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2158: Samson Mow: Bitcoin Bull Run Hasn't Even Started – $1M 'Sudden Upheaval' Incoming
00:30:22
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Welcome Bitcoin fam to the number one daily bitcoin pod. In today's show, we'll be discussing the latest ta. Unfortunately there's another correction. As you can see, we're about to retest $100,000. We'll also be discussing privacy coins surging 80% and why exactly Zcash and Dash are back in the spotlight. We'll also be discussing us spot Bitcoin ETFs bleed over 2 billion and the second worst outflow streak ever. Also, the FBI can't be blamed for wiping a hard drive with 345 million worth of Bitcoin according to a judge. We'll also be discussing Bitcoin could bounce. Bounce. Come on, bounce. Headwinds can turn into tailwinds, according to fund strats Thomas Lee. Also, bitcoin bull run hasn't even started yet, says Samson Ma. That's right. I'll be giving you his latest updates. He says his bitcoin end of the year target is still suddenly. We'll also be taking a look at the overall crypto market. All this plus so much more in today's show. If you're new to the Rumble important smash likes give us a follow and hit the repost over on X. You'll find it pinned to the top of the profile. Bitcoin is doing another Correction. It is 11-06-2025. We did do a flash crash to roughly 98, 99 to just the other day and then we recovered to 104 and here we are right back at 101 and dropping. Give it up for the Fed Chair Nipinator. I'm your host jv. We do got a lot to discuss and today is pod number 2,158. Let's kick it off with our market watch as we do each and every day. Pulling up coin 360 seems to be. There we go. Everything unfortunately back in the red. Yesterday everything was in the green. Expect more volatility. But yeah, nothing really standing out outside of zcash and ICP as far as top tokens are concerned. And as you know, zcash and the other privacy coins such as Dash has been doing very well and we will touch upon that later in the Stream.
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Pulling up CoinMarketCap.com the current crypto market cap is sitting pretty at 3.37 trillion.
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So quite a bit of a correction.
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From the top bitcoin market cap. Barely holding on to that 2 trillion dollar milestone. Checking out top 100 crypto gain past 24 hours. We have Internet computer which is ICP. Not the insane clown posse but up 32 on the day, 24 hour volume in the crypto market is down 40 on the day at 161 billion and the Bitcoin dominance 60%. Even McEven ether dominance back on the decline all the way down to 11.8%.
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And Zcash is the third top gainer on the day followed by Dash. Like I said, privacy coins have been doing quite well against all odds as Tupac would say. And checking out the crypto bubbles on the daily not a pretty site. As I mentioned, Dash, zcash, ICP is pretty much it. Everything else in the red bloodshed. Checking out the weekly does it get any better? It actually gets worse unfortunately unless you're a Dash holder. Dash is up 173% on the week and Zcash up 63% and Monero the old school OG privacy coin up 8%. So privacy coins for the win. Checking out the monthly it gets even worse. Many of these top alts are down 40, 50% and very respectable projects. But welcome to the coinery fam. That's why we stack the biddy. Checking out the Crypto Green Interior index. We did hit a low of 23 and extreme fear yesterday. Today it bounced just a little bit.
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A little itty bitty bit.
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Today it's a 27. Last week at 34 and last month of 70 in greed. And if you don't know now you know. All right fam, now let's do a little ta. Bitcoin faces insane sell wall above 105 as the stock's eye the tariff ruling. That's right, check it. Bitcoin kept traders nervous on thirsty throwback Thursday as sellers lay in wait at 105 and unfortunately we start going the other way and we're currently 4000 away from that price target. The bulls face an uphill struggle throughout Wednesday's Wall street trading session the exchange order book confirmed a wall of ass positions directly above the the price pretty clear price has been capped with the cluster of ask above 105. Not surprising according to SKU analytics. Warning, there were signs of sell side pressure increasing as the price attempted a comeback. Don't call it a comeback. Bitcoin's been here for years peer to peer leaving suckers in fear. People like Peter Schiff and often this tactic is used to drive the price lower during the Asian hours. You know, the trading session over there. They're in the future typically 12 hours ahead of us. But the ask are sitting at 105 currently trading resource material indicators raised the stakes arguing it was interesting that the.
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Ass liquidity had not already caused the.
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New market flush down the toilet like a deuce. The owner of the position suggested could be trying to suppress the price down to 98 to 93.
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That could be the next test.
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If the price hits 105 I'd expect part of it.
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Not all of those asked to get pulled. And before you panic sell, remember we have a bounce from the 50 week simple moving average which if it holds has macro bullish implications. Y' all must have forgot now. Commentator exit pump what a username called the ass wall Insane. Insane in the membrane, insane in the brain and likewise implied the liquidity may not be genuine as the outline here. Bitcoin what the hell is going on in the order book on Bance spot insane amount of ass were added above the price can be spoof orders manipulation in the market. Meanwhile, Bitcoin OG Kyle Chass saw the potential for another bitcoin price dip. Thanks to the bid liquidity building below the price now confidence could get wiped out in a heartbeat, he said alongside data from Coin Glass showing you the bitcoin liquidation heat map for the past 24 hours. So with the US stocks cooling their ascent to new all time highs, the potential for the Supreme Court to strike down the blanket international trade tariffs was of key importance. As a government shutdown continues, rumors began circulating that such a scenario would give equities across the board a major boost. Prediction markets have little faith in tariffs remaining after mainstream media reports suggest the judges were skeptical of their legality. How about this? I'm skeptical of everything, including this tariff war.
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So what are your thoughts? Yo, you guys got to let me know. Next up, we'll dive deeper into the privacy coins. Why? They're unusually doing well at a time like this when everything else is crashing. And there you have it, Tammy. Proverbs 27:1 is a Bible verse that says do not boast about tomorrow, for.
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You do not know what a day may bring.
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This verse emphasizes the uncertainty of the future, the value of humility. Can I get an amen? Well said Tammy. Appreciate the biblical quote, but anyways, let's continue with the broadcast. The next headline, Broski's Privacy coin surge 80%. Why is Zcash and Dash back in the spotlight? Well, because they rhymes the cash and dash. I'm just saying. Check it. Privacy focused cryptos are back in the spotlight. Early November 2025, sector's combined market cap surged nearly 80%, briefly topping 24 billion.
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To the 25 billion dollar range.
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Zcash rallied to the highest level in seven years.
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In fact, it overtook Monero as now the number one privacy coin by market cap, while Dash notched a three year high as trading activity accelerated across the major exchanges. The move reflects textbook rotation. Prolonged downtrends finally gave way. Short positions were forced for cover anticipation around the zcash upcoming having providing traders with a renewed catal amid the largely stagnant broader market. Let me know if you guys are bullish on the Dash the Z Cash the Monero Now Privacy coins are cryptos designed to hide some or all details of a transaction, including the sender, receiver or amount. They do this using advanced cryptography or mixing techniques which reduce linkability between addresses. That stands in sharp contrast to the Bitcoin style public ledgers where every transaction is visible and analytic firms can often reconstruct user identities over time.
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Ultimately once they identify your address, you know it's pseudo anonymous, but once they identify an address they can trace it to everything you've ever done very simply using the blockchain. Now zcash supports two modes. You got transparent transfers which are shielded transfers keeping transaction details private and its privacy features are powered by what's called zero knowledge proofs. Originally ZK snarks which allow the network to verify transactions without revealing the contents. And since the network upgrade number five Zcash's Orchard shielded pool uses Halo 2 proving system, a zero knowledge protocol that eliminated the earlier trusted setup ceremony and streamlined private payments. Privacy remains opt in, allowing users to choose between transparent and shielded addresses as needed. Meanwhile, Dash is built for fast low cost digital payments with optional privacy. Its wallet features Coin Join a non custodial mixing mechanism that combines multiple user inputs and outputs, making individual transaction histories harder to trace. Coin Join operates through master nodes and must be manually enabled for the in the D Dash core wallet, standard transactions remain transparent by default. Now why rally now when everything is crashing? These are the four key drivers on why the privacy coins are doing very well. Number one A move towards privacy a compliance heavy on ramps and blockchain analytics, titan traders are rotating into assets that offer stronger privacy features, less trust with the lizard folk. Quite simple. Number two Technical breakouts. Zcash broke out of a multi year downtrend and gained momentum once it cleared resistance lifting peers. This trend following screens lit up Number three derivative feedback open interest and volume spike shorts were forced to cover funding flip. This kind of fuel can turn a sharp move into a sustained leg higher and number four attention and chatter Bold calls from the high profile traders and headlines about the multi year highs drew a new interest and capital into the trade, further boosting sentiment. You know who was always bullish on privacy coins? John McAfee.
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I remember it naturally.
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He was originally very bullish on bitcoin. He made the wild prediction if bitcoin.
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Done hit a million dollars.
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But his date I'll he say I'll.
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Eat my own gonads on live tv.
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Something crazy like that.
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And then he kind of took a.
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Step back from bitcoin. He started doing like the coin of the week thing and then you know, he was always very vocal and bold on privacy coins.
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Why he did not trust the government AKA the lizard folk.
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Rest in peace John. We miss you. But Dash how it works and where.
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It fits beyond the coin join, Dash emphasizes speed and transaction finality. Insta sends uses the master node quorums.
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To lock transaction inputs. There's a lot of benefits, you know, for using Dashzcash what's under the Hood.
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Their most significant shift came with the Halo upgrade. By removing the trusted setup and introducing unified addresses that automatically root funds to the appropriate pool, the project made private transactions both stronger and easier to use. So these are some of the reasons why they're so bullish Now. I would assume the regulators hate privacy coins. Would you agree? For obvious reasons, it's harder to trace illicit activity. Does that make someone does that mean they're using it for illicit? No, absolutely not. In fact, I dare say the most.
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Illicit use case for money is dollars. Correct me if I'm wrong, but criminals love their fiat. But with that being shared, they got to stick up for the crypto ecosystem, bro. Next story U.S. bobby Connect has bleed.
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Over 2 billion in their second worst outflow streak of all time. Unacceptable institutions. How dare you.
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U s spot beacon ETFs have recorded more than 2 billion worth of outflows.
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Of the past week and hence why the market's up right now.
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Wednesday Spot by community test posted another.
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137 million of outflows marking the sixth consecutive day of redemptions. And what I point out yesterday I.
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Made it a point to share the.
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Perception of typically when there's more outflows and inflows, the market dumps. When there's more inflows than outflows, the market pumps.
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Now the streak began October 29 and erased more than 2 billion. The heaviest day came Taco Tuesday when investors pulled 566 million following prior sessions of 4704-881910-00000. It is second only to the late February sell off when the fund saw more than 3.2 billion of redemptions within a single week, led by massive single leg withdrawals of 1.11 billion.
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You got to love the numerology there.
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And on February 25th to 757 million on February 26th. And I must say February is the greatest month of the year. Am I biased?
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Absolutely.
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Spot ether ETFs also continue to face selling pressure. On Wednesday, recording 118 million of net outflows among issuers Black Rocks. ETH A led the day's outflows 146 million. And ETH has been getting 4 wrecked, to say the least, it seems. Last week we were at, you know, 4,000 and we just touched, I don't.
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Know, maybe as low as 3,000.
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It may be roughly 3,200 today. I haven't even looked, but not looking so great. The latest figure marked the sixth consecutive day of redemptions, during which institutional investors withdrew 1.2 billion from ether Products. And overall, the total cumulative inflows remain at over 3.13.9 billion.
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Solana. Who gives a fuck? We're not even going to entertain that bullshit. Supreme Court tariff case injects uncertainty into crypto. Exactly.
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The U.S. supreme Court began hearings with President Trump's use of the International Emergency.
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Economic Powers act, better known as ieepa.
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To impose tariffs, with several justices signaling.
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Skepticism towards broad presidential trade powers. And a note shared with cointelegraph BIT UNEX said that analysts believe a ruling against the Trumpster might not eliminate the tariff risk, as alternative statutes could be used to sustain trade pressure. If existing trades are overturned, the US tariff rate can fall 6.5%, slightly easing the drag on gross domestic product, but potentially deepening fiscal concern.
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Next story of the day. Bitty Broski's Bitty Baddies. Yeah, check this out. This headline is mindboggling. FBI cannot be blamed for wiping hard drive worth 345 million Bitcoin. Just hypothetically speaking, imagine owning 345 million worth of Bitcoin and then the FBI somehow seizes your devices for whatever reason. We'll get into here shortly. And then they wipe it clean and there's. You have nothing. And then there's no liability on behalf of the FBI because the judge sides. Naturally, the FBI. So let's get into this. I haven't read this story in advance. A man convicted of identity theft claim his hard drive with over 3, 400 bitcoins was seized and wiped by the FBI. Here's an old joke. FBI forever bother the italians. Hey now that's what john gotti used to say at least. Has lost his lawsuit against the government.
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In the u. S. Appeals court.
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The three panel judge of the 11th circuit court of appeals found Tuesday michael prime cannot sue the government over the.
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Loss of a key to access of 3,443 bitcoin now worth 345 million. That's mindboggling. Prime asked the court after he was released from prison July of 2022 for a hard drive containing the bitcoin to be returned. But the FBI wiped it out as part of the standard procedure which prime claim was illegal. Like the court cares, right? For years, prime denied that he had much bitcoin at all and bitcoin was not on the list when he sought to recover missing assets after his release from prison. Well, naturally he didn't want to reveal he had that much bitcoin because they probably would have stole it. So instead they just wiped it clean. Either way, that's a l. Only later did prime claim to be a bitcoin tycoon. So maybe he's just making it up and never had it. Let's see. They agreed the lower court that prime's delay in claiming a right to the bitcoin was unreasonable and bars his suit, adding that even if the bitcoin existed, that's a big if. So awarding prime an equitable remedy here would be inequitable. So maybe he would have to prove that he actually had that or potentially on that drive that was allegedly confiscated or seized. He claimed to have only 1500 in Bitcoin, the judge says. According to the panel's opinion, prime claimed to own 3,500bitcoin before he struck a plea deal in November of 2019 to admit to device fraud, identity theft and illegally possessing a firearm. But after the plea, prime changed his tune. He no longer claimed to own a significant amount of crypto, the panel said.
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February of 2020, Prime's financial disclosure to the government reported he owned only $200 to 1500 in Bitcoin. That's a bit of an exaggeration. And later told the probation office that the holdings were his only remaining asset. So after serving two years in prison and being transferred to a halfway house, the opinion said prime sued to have the hard drives returned to him. But in orlando federal this was in florida court denied the request as they had already been destroyed. So the FBI just destroyed his hard drives and never gave it back. That's insane. The appeals court opinion said prime tried to explain away his lower figure by claiming he was just reporting, reporting that the market value of a single bitcoin at the time was between two hundred.
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And fifteen hundred dollars. We don't buy it, the judges wrote.
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Adding that the valuation is preposterous as Bitcoin is worth $10,000 at times in February of 2020. Now, a cryptographic key is the only way to access Bitcoin stored on a physical device such as a hard drive or wallet. And after losing it, it means losing access to the funds inside. So if they destroyed the device, there's.
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No way to get it back. Unless he had the private keys.
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Which is the next question.
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Why don't he have the private keys?
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See, I mean now glass no. Data showed 1.46 million bitcoin, nearly 7% of the total 21 million supply loss gone forever. I stress that many times because we always talk about Finite Limited supply Bitcoin 21 million.
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Well, 7% loss gone forever, making it that much more scarce.
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Estimates vary.
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Chainalysis reported in 2018.
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The amount of bitcoin permanently lost could.
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Be as high as 3.7 million, which is almost 18 of the supply, which in my opinion is probably more accurate. So you already know that's a pretty crazy story. What are your thoughts on that? I'll read some of the comments out loud, then we'll get into our next two stories.
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Next story.
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Bitcoin could bounce. Headwinds can turn into tailwinds. And speaking of tails, shout out to the nibinator, the Fed chair co host right here, holding it down. Bitcoin's recent break below the key technical level was driven by a cascade of the macroeconomic headwinds. Still, these pressures can soon reverse and fuel a rebound. According to Tom Lee, Bitcoin recently broke below the 200 day moving average. We did flash crash 98, corrected, bounced 104. Here we are right back at 101. Will she hold? You guys gotta let me know. But quoting him here from a recent interview on cnbc. Bitcoin is very sensitive to the market liquidity and also perceptions about the risk appetite. Over the past couple of weeks I think we have been in headwinds building right from the government shutdown to the hawkish Fed cut. That means government manipulating the value.
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Lee pointed to the US government shutdown related treasury dynamics as a key factors putting the pressure on the risk assets. This aligns with analysis from other experts who have recently pointed to the US dollar strength as a significant macro headwind for cryptocurrencies.
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So let's discuss the headwinds becoming tailwinds. And speaking of tailwinds, I used to watch Tailspin growing up, Shout Out Blue.
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And Kit Cloud Kicker. They were my homies now.
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Despite the recent sell off, Lee struck.
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An optimistic note for the future, suggesting.
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The headwinds became the tailwinds. When you resolve these things as the.
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Nibinator, the analyst tempered his views, comparing the current market cleanup, the past deleveraging.
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Events, quoting them again. The October 10th deleveraging was the biggest in history, and that means there's still a ripple effect being felt even two weeks later.
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Agreed. It's going to take some time for the confidence to come back.
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As you know, when there's the uncertainty, it happens. The market panics.
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They sell.
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Unfortunate, but it's true.
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Despite the recent technical weakness, Lee highlighted, the broader financial market indicators are signaling a positive outlook. He noted, after the stocks are up for six consecutive months, history suggests a flatter positive novemble, which could support a.
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Constructive environment for the crypto. And we all know historically November is the most bullish time of the year.
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This potential for the rebound is supported by the prediction markets where retail sentiment remains bullish. For example, Das stand this analytics from decrypt put 64% chance Bitcoin revisiting 515,000 before it falls to 85,000.
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So more likely to happen.
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According to these odds, the confidence extends.
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To Ethereum, with users assigning 63% chance it'll hit 4500 before dropping to 25 hundo.
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All right fam. Now for our future story of the day, the latest from Jan3's Samson Ma.
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He says the bitcoin bull run hasn't.
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Even began yet and I'm actually going to first hit you with a throwback. He made this prediction months back. He says it's not going to be a gradual slow increase to a million of bitcoin, but rather a very short and violent upheaval that sends us there.
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In a matter of weeks to months.
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So if you're questioning can bitcoin hit a million? According to Samson Mao, the OG himself, it can happen within a matter of weeks. And more recently, he doubled down on some of this. He wrote in a tweet timestamp November 5, 9:14pm my bitcoin end of the year target is still suddenly violent upheaval.
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One million.
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Send it. He also made some more tweets. He put Bitcoin has been basically flat for 2025. If you believe in the cycles then it hasn't topped. That means a larger cycle Like a cycle top in 2026. Or it means a generational bull run for a decade, like the goal post etf.
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Or it means no more cycles again, hence the Omega cycle. Plan accordingly.
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And one more bonus tweet from Samson. People are fearful because they created their.
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Own theory that the OGs are selling.
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Above 100,000 and they may sell more. It's incredible how people are capable of.
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Self owning themselves with fear. Focus on the big picture.
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Bitcoin's going to add a zero.
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It's just a question of when I agree with the man.
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Let me know if you agree with the man. We'll dive a little deeper here.
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So yeah, the founder of the bitcoin.
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Technology infrastructure company Jan3 argues the Bitcoin.
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Bull run has yet to even begin.
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As Bitcoin falls under 100 GS. Let me know if you agree.
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Bitcoin, the broader crypto market continue to slump this week. I mean, obviously, right? And the correction continues. However, in a series of tweets which I just read to you, he predicts the market still has plenty of upside on the horizon as bitcoin continues to outperform the US inflation rate of 3%.
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Which is a bunch of. By the way, we all know inflation's like 10 billion percent, but hey, what.
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Are you going to do?
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Amongst his post, MA also wants the commentator. He is not uncertain. And he says he is not uncertain, which means he is certain we're going.
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To have that violent upheaval and bitcoin will do what it do and that we haven't even seen the bull run yet.
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He also says we can see a Christmas God candle.
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Can I get an amen?
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Which typically represents significantly buying pressure, bullish momentum. He also started the year saying he thinks bitcoin would jump to a million.
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Again in a very short and violent upheaval. I say full send that mofo. And on Wednesday he said those who.
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Do believe in cycles, they could expect the cycle top 2026, which is.
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He's alluding to that the cycles are.
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Not a thing no more.
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Which means maybe what Sailor has been projecting, we may just have a continuous.
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Bull run for the rest of the.
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World, for the rest of society, the rest of time as we know it. Meaning bitcoin's going up forever, Laura. In fact, Sailor man, you know, Michael the sailor man tutu.
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He projects 30% steady annualized gains over.
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The course of the next 20 years.
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Sending pretty little bitty 21 million per coin. Let me know if you agree disagree with the gigachad.
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He's now back to Samson. He says Bitcoin has been basically flat for 2025.
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If you believe in the cycles then it hasn't topped.
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That means a longer cycle such as the cycle top 2026 question mark. Or it means generational bull run for a decade like the Gold Post ETF where it means no more cycles ever again. Omega cycle. Plan accordingly and also Macro analyst and Wall street old hand Jordy Visser said on Sunday he believes the bitcoin is undergoing an initial product offering phase where existing holders are selling and the new traders are snapping up the coin. Snap snap snap snap snap. Huddle be thy name. So yeah, people are fearful because they created their own theory that the OGs are selling. And I know I read that to you a bit earlier, but I want to know if you agree or disagree with Samson. He says I don't know any OGs that are selling by the way, and he's an OG that knows other OGs. So maybe it's just a bunch of hype. The OGs are not selling. Meanwhile the Crypto Greed and Fear index continues on the decline. But you know what? It's a great buying opportunity. BTFD Buy the freaking dip and let her rip Tater Chip.
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Ride or die Warrior Zero to hero Ride or die let's go.
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Dust in my lungs fire in my chest Spitty in my blood I can't rest I store mine safely in a Yeti ice chest.
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They said I pull when the nights got long But I stacked in the cold and proved them wrong.
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True Grit like Wayne what pain hold your claim no safety net, no bailout plan Just faith and code in a few Freedom Land when the power cuts out and the world throws a that's when you see my.
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True grid Bitcoin ready generator steady Solar savvy contributed True Grit I Hard on.
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My ground BTC bull still roaming around we don't ride bulls, we raise them legit Novembles rising that's True Grit. True Grit I Out on my ground BTC bull still roaming around we don't rivals we raise them legit Novembles rising that's True Grit.
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True Grit describes an unconquerable spirit, courage and strength. A character to persist through hardship and achieve long term goals. It embodies a refusal to give up despite setbacks and challenges the mental fortitude that keeps faith and fire alive over time. They print that line I'm in my proof stacking sets under a Goddess sign sovereign and rule 5G Y6 5 dips let her rip Tater chip Safety in the clip clip we're flipping in the script buy the dip Safety in the clip Every dip just fuels my BTC.
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Dragon flame Can't shake the faith can't kill this chain no trust fund no Wall street fix Just cold and courage Courage in my mix I walk through but I don't submit that's a marker.
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True grin Courage ain't the absence of fear it's riding on through it Like John Wayne said you saddle up and do it Boots in the dust had tilted just a bit when you stand your ground for true now that's true.
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Grit True grit I hot on my ground BTC bull still roaming around we don't rivals, we raise them legit November's rising that's true it's not luck, it's.
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Not charm it's the callous hands and the cold alarms Cold storage safe on Arkansas farms is waking up when your balance dips and whispering it's Marshall hanging.
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Judge for Smith diamond hands Grip by the bit Bitty Bitcoin it's going.
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Bitcoin cause God gave me it Mission complete stack secured Maxi confirmed.
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Roger and don't forget to check out bitcoinnewsalerts.net for the full premium experience with video and to participate in the live stream along with the Q and A. And I look forward to seeing you on tomorrow's episode. Hoddle.
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Tell you a little secret. It doesn't have to be. Let me point something out. You're listening to a podcast right now and it's great. You love the host, you seek it out and download it. You listen to it while driving, working out, cooking, even going to the bathroom. Podcasts are a pretty close companion. And this is a podcast ad. Did I get your attention? You can reach great listeners like yourself with podcast advertising from Libsyn Ads. Choose from hundreds of top podcasts offering host endorsements or run a pre produced ad like this one across thousands of shows. To reach your target audience in their favorite podcasts with Libsyn ads, go to Libsynads.com that's L I B S Y N ads.com today.