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Bitcoin News Alerts | Daily BTC Macro Signal
2184: Vanguard Opens Crypto ETFs to 50M Clients – BoA Backs Bitcoin Allocation
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Today's episode of Bitcoin News Alerts is brought to you by Progressive Insurance. You chose to hit play on this podcast today. Smart choice. Make another smart choice with Auto Quote Explorer to compare rates from multiple car insurance companies all at once. Try it@progressive.com Progressive Casualty Insurance Company and affiliates not available in all states or situations. Prices vary based on how you buy.
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B
Oh hey.
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C
Welcome to gift wrapping.
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A
Whoa.
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C
So is Saldana.
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D
Hey, can you wrap these please?
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A
Wow.
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IPhone 17s.
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D
You splurged at T Mobile. You can get four iPhone 17s on them. The new center stage front camera is amazing for group selfies. It's the perfect gift for everyone.
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I'm the worst.
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C
I only got my mom a robe.
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D
Well, it's better than socks.
- [00:45]
C
So I have to trade in my old phone, right?
- [00:47]
D
No AT T Mobile. There's no trade ins needed when you switch. Keep your old phone or give it as a gift.
- [00:53]
E
Incredible.
- [00:53]
D
In fact, wrap up my old phone too for my Aunt Rosa. Forget that. Aunt Liz will be jealous.
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C
Sounds like my family drama.
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D
Oh, I got it. I'll give it to my abuela. I'll take reindeer paper with. Hey, where are you going?
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A
To T Mobile.
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C
The holidays are better. AT T Mobile get four iPhone 17s on us. No trade in needed when you switch plus four lines for just 25 bucks a line. And now T Mobile is available in US cellular stores with 24 monthly bill credits and four eligible board ins on essentials for well qualified customers bought or pay plus taxes, fees and $35 device connection charge credits and depends on balance due if you pay off earlier, cancel contact US Finance Agreement 256 gigabytes. 830 required.
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Visit T mobile.com welcome everyone to the number one daily Bitcoin pod. Bitcoins are ripping like a new Scotty Pippen. We just recaptured 91, 000 up over $6200 on the day. In today's show, I'll be sharing the latest TA. Also Bitcoin valuation metric projects or sorry projects. 96 chance of a Bitcoin recovery in 2026. Also major news. Bank of America, one of Bitcoin's biggest haters over the years, now backs up to a 4% crypto allocation opening the door for Bitcoin ETFs. Also digital asset treasury boom stalls as flows drop to 1.3 billion and stocks tumble. Also, Goldman Sachs buys innovator for $2 billion, adding Bitcoin link ETF to the lineup. And speaking of institutions, the final behemoth Vanguard with over 50 million clients will soon have access to crypto ETFs. I remember just like yesterday, they were fighting bitcoin, saying no, it goes against our ethos. We're not going to be having any bitcoin products. And now lo and behold, here we are. This is major. Probably why we're pumping at the level we're pumping here today. So guess what? The bulls are back in town. December, let's get it. Today is Pod episode number 2,184. I'm your host JV. The good news is Bitcoin reclaim 91,000 after a very bearish first day of the month to kick off December. But here we are up 6400 on the day, which is a beautiful thing. Let's kick it off with our market watch pulling up coin 360. This is the tail of the tape. You can see everything pumping. Ether up 10% on the day. Looking to reclaim 3000. We have XRP up 7%, Sui up 20%. Even Dogecoin getting a warm piece of the sidewalk today up 9%. But everything is virtually in the green, which we love. Checking out coinmarketcap.com we finally regained 3 trillion milestone for market cap. We have a long ways to reclaim where we were at. At the all time high we were above 4 trillion. But it's a step in the right direction. Bitcoin market cap also back in the rise. 1.8 trillion today. Checking out top 100 crypto gainers past 24 hours. We got pudgy penguins leading the pack up 32% followed by SUI and SPX all doing pretty well today. Checking out the crypto greed and fear index. We're still in extreme fear. A 23 today, 24 yesterday. Last week at 20 and last month a 37 in fear. Considering we have a massive pump today, I would assume we'll be back in fear from Extreme Fear for tomorrow. Checking out the infamous time chain calendar. Today's block height 9206163 and you can exchange one fiat monopoly dollar for 1,099 sats. So again $1 will get you just shy of 1100 sats. But let's move right in to our chart watch. We'll look at the which are pretty bullish right now. And then the latest analysis. What's going on in the market? You're looking at the one hour on your screen here you can see there's a big blue target sitting at 111, which is practically a 20,000 price increase from the current price action. You Also notice a lot of bullish momentum on the hourly. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 9 of the past 10 candles have been green. So a lot of bullish momentum and I believe that's due to the back of the bullishness of the institutions. Vanguard, the second largest asset manager in the world, fully embracing crypto to their 50 million customers and even bank of America, you know, Rockefeller foundation, they're even bullish suggesting up to 4% allocation. So this is major as bank of America and Vanguard have always despised Bitcoin publicly and now it's sign of the times as they're adopting it or forever get left behind. But here's the four hour, also very bullish. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 8 consecutive green candles here. So we've been pumping since last night and we're moving in real time. We just hit 91.2. Hopefully the Bulls can continue this momentum and we can flip this December into a December. And checking out the daily, you can see we have already regained all the losses from yesterday. This is a fantastic sign. No particular bull targets though. Checking out the weekly, you're going to notice there is a rising wedge and it looks like an overall ascension pattern. After bottoming out four consecutive red candles on the weekly, we finally closed in the green and we're kicking off the new week in the green. Maybe she's born with it, maybe it's Maybelline, I don't know. And checking out the monthly, unfortunately we had a very bearish October and November, but hopefully things reverse. This is really the moment of truth before entering the new year of 2026. And again we're pumping in real time. We're about to hit 91,300. Maybe we'll head right on up. Right on up. Like the Jeffersons. Just saying. Next up we're going to check out the Bitcoin rsi. What's happening in the market? The bottom is in. I do believe so. Why? We got the Nipinator indicator early in the stream yesterday and the Bitcoin Nipinator indicator LI indicator are the only indicators with 100% accuracy. Deal with it. So yeah, on Chain Mind flagged rare single digit readings of the bitcoin velocity of the rsi. Bitcoin bare market comparisons have come thick and fast recent weeks, but now a leading price indicator demands a market bottom velocity RSI which takes into account recent price momentum changes, has now dived below 10 out of 100 to hit some of the most oversold levels of all time. As quoted Here the velocity RSI on the three day chart has just hit the lowest reading since the bottoms of the last three bare markets. Quoting him here, this analyst on Chain Mine. It is one of the more reliable WY track momentum exhaustion indicators and it's now flashing a level we have only seen at major cyclical resets. An interesting technical signal worth paying attention to. And again, this is the three day chart which we typically don't really look at. So this is cool. It shows Bitcoin ascending doing its thing. Depending on the perspective, the Bitcoin price behavior stands out from the past bearish phases. Not all classic metrics have reacted the same to the latest events and these now include Bitcoin's long and short ratio. Quoting another analyst here, over the years we've identified several strong alpha signals in the crypto market. One of the most reliable has been the Niponator indicator. Okay, I'm paraphrasing has always been this. When Bitcoin's long short ratio rises above the average of the major alts, it historically points to a price bottom forming. But this time something different just happened. For the first time ever, Nip Anator licked the log. Again I'm paraphrasing. But anyways Bitcoin kept this ratio at extremely elevated levels for an unusual long period and yet we saw false bottom signals throughout November while the price continue to drop. The analyst goes on to explain the implications of the which could hurt the bulls trading. Being overly eager to long Bitcoin while attempting to catch the fallen knife may incentivize large volume players to liquidate them by driving the price down further. Next story. Bitcoin valuation metric is projecting a 96% chance of a price recovery in 2026 and yeah, right in alignment with my extended cycle theory which we discuss. But yeah, bitcoin price trading 31% below the 126 all time high reached October 6th according to data. Morning Zoe Got donuts.
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This drawdown has seen the price drop below its network value for the first time in two years, a setup that has historically predicted the bitcoin recoveries with accuracy. According to economist Timothy Peterson, Bitcoin's Metcalf value is the theoretical fair price derived from Metcalf's law which states Bitcoin rises of the price in correlation with the growth of active addresses and transactions. This means that the more wallets and transactions which there are, the higher the fair price of the bitty. This divergence signals Bitcoin is undervalued relative to its expanding network, often after speculative excess. And while this does not necessarily signal a bottom, it does indicate that most leverage has been removed in the bubble and has deflated Price to Metcalf value has been a good indicator of future performance. On any given day when the price is below the metcalf performance is positive. One year later 96% of the time. That means we're going to have a hell of a bullish 2026. I say send it. Notably, when the bitty USD pair dropped below its fair value of 2019 and 2020, the price saw significant price recoveries in the months that followed. The last time this happened was early 2023, preceding a more than 3 bitcoin price rally to its previous all time highs of 74, 000. You run the math. What's the 340% price action increase from today's price? Well, if we round up to a hundred thousand, that would practically be 340000 per BTC. Again send it Bitcoin recovery odds appearing strong with network growth intact as evidenced by the sharp increase in the number of investors who have held Bitcoin for more than six months. Out to all the diamond hands tuned into the live stream or if you're the nipinator, the not with the diamond nuts, hope the first uptick According to Charles Edwards Caprioli Investments, the first uptick in 6 million HODLers since the April lows. So again another bullish indicator. Additional data revealed the number of transactions of the bitcoin network increased 15% over the last seven days. More bullishness and looking at 2026 a convergence of factors including persistent institutional buying, macroeconomic tailwinds, Fed easing could drive Bitcoin back above Metcast value trend line by mid year, targeting new all time highs then also spot market data supporting the case for the Bitcoin recovery spot Cumulative Volume Delta, which is the cvd a metric measuring the difference between buying and selling volume over time, has reversed to 106 million to 29 million over the last week. The signals stronger buyside flow and a shift towards improving the sentiment. With the CVD turning positive for the first time in several weeks, it signals renewed buyside aggression despite the thin in liquidity. I mean the thin in liquidity. Almost like Logan Paul's hairline. But yeah, reversal in full effect next Story of the day. This is a big one. Bank of America backs 1 to 4% crypto allocation yeah, I mean opening the door for the Bitcoin ETFs and our feature story. Stay tuned. We'll discuss Vanguard. As the institutions have now all fully embraced the btc. More big name financial institutions are opening the door to Bitcoin exposure. And of course there's a connection bank of America Rockefeller foundation so even the forces of evil are fully embraced into the crypto, signaling a growing institutional appetite for regulated digital asset products. Bank of America, second largest US bank next to JP Morgan, reportedly recommended a up to 4% crypto allocation to its wealth management clients through the Merl bank of America private bank Merl Edge platforms, according to the statement shared on Yahoo Finance Taco Tuesday, which is today for investors with strong interest in thematic innovation comfort with elevated volatility. That's hilarious. A modest allocation of 1 to 4% digital assets could be appropriate. Let me decipher that. Go all in or forever hold your peace and stay forever poor. Just saying. Start starting January 5th, the bank will enable its clients to gain access to four new Bitcoin ETFs including the Bitwise ETF the Fidelity ETF, Grayscale and Black Rock, which is the largest, which is ibit. The development will enable the bank's wealthiest clients to gain exposure to the Bitcoin ETFs which were previously only available upon request. The banks over 15,000 wealth advisors were unable to recommend any crypto investment products. So things have changed. Quoting them here, our guidance emphasizes regulated vehicles, thoughtful allocation and a clear understanding of both opportunities and risks, added the bank's chief investment officer. The bank's bitcoin allocation recommendation is signaling a wider institutional appetite for regulated crypto investment products. It comes a day after Vanguard, the world's second largest asset manager, enables crypto ETF trading for its clients. And that's actually going to be our feature story of the day, so we'll dive deeper into that. Back to bank of America. It's the second largest bank of the U.S. which has 2.67 trillion in consolidated assets and over 3,600 branches, according to Forbes. You can see the outline here. JP Morgan Chase, which was the banking institution of Epstein, believe it or not. Their assets is 3.79 trillion with over 5,000 branches. Bank of America ranking number two, 2.67 trillion with 3,600 branches. Then you got Citibank, Wells Fargo, followed by US Bank. So yeah, Black Rock, the world's largest asset management firm, was the first big institution to recommend up to 2% bitcoin allocation. And guess what? Bank of America just doubled it. Said the go all in already. The Magnificent Seven refers. Yeah, of course we know that. They're all bullish as well. What's 1 to 2% of a portfolio having bitcoin exposure? That's probably the most bearish allocation possible, next to having zero exposure. But hey, it's a start. In June, asset management firm fidelity also recommended 2 to 5% bitcoin allocation, which was small enough to minimize the risk of a bitcoin crash, but large enough to enjoy the upside of the bitcoin inflationary hedge. Also in October, Morgan Stanley more recently suggested a 2 to 4% allocation to crypto portfolios for investors and financial advisors, further signaling that large financial institutions moving towards the shared playbook of modest risk, manage exposure to digital assets. And if you don't know, now you know. Next storyo headline reads Digital asset Treasury boom stalls as flows drop to 1.3 billion and stocks tumble. That's right. Digital asset treasuries, better known as DATs, you know, experienced their slowest month of 2025 in November as the corporate treasury boom slowed Data aggregator the D5 llama showed that in November that saw only 1.32 billion of inflows. The sector's lowest monthly inflows this year represented a 34 decline from October's 2 billion and an 88 decrease from September's 11 and a half billion. The Bitcoin Dats led the month with 1 billion of inflows driven by strategy buying 835 million of Bitcoin on November 17th and Meta Planet buying 130 million of Bitcoin November 25th. XRP follow with 214 million of inflows. Now Ether, which led the last three months in dat inflows lag behind in November seeing outflows of about 37 million despite BITM immersion Tech deleting E D continuing to add to the stack throughout the month and along with the drop in that inflows, that equities also saw the sharp correction during the month with major debt stocks underperforming despite the brief rally on Monday, Google Finance data showed strategy, the second biggest debt, fell 35% over the month. There's also been a tremendous amount of FUD surrounding Strategy, dropping from $264 November 3rd 271 and I saw it at like 149 just the other day. Despite the drop in the strategy stock, the chairman, Mr. Saylor, continued to show his resolve on social media, saying he won't back down from the bitcoin bit.
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Oh hey.
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A
Welcome to gift wrapping. Whoa.
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So is Saldana.
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D
Hey, can you wrap these please?
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Wow.
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IPhone 17s, you splurged.
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At T Mobile you can get four iPhone 17s on them. The new Center Stage front camera is amazing for group selfies. It's the perfect gift for everyone.
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I'm the worst.
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I only got my mom a robe.
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D
Well, it's better than socks.
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C
So I have to trade in my old phone, right?
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No AT T Mobile. There's no trade ins needed when you switch. Keep your old phone or give it as a gift.
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Incredible.
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In fact, wrap up my old phone too for my Aunt Rosa.
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A
Forget that.
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D
Aunt Liz will be jealous.
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C
Sounds like my family drama.
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D
Oh, I got it. I'll give it to my abuela. I'll take reindeer paper with hey, where are you going?
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To T Mobile.
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The holidays are better. AT T Mobile get four iPhone 17s on us no traded needed when you switch plus four lines for just 25 bucks a line. And now T Mobile is available in US cellular stores with 24 monthly bill credits if we're eligible. Board Inside essentials for well qualified customers. Auto pay + taxes fees and 35 device connection charge credits end and balance due if you pay off earlier. Cancel Contact Us Finance Agreement 256 GB830.
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Required Visit T mobile.com Meanwhile, Japanese Bitcoin accumulator Meta Planet slid 20% in the same frame, dropping from 450 Japanese Yen $2.89 to $2.29 now. Apart from Bitcoin, Dats Ether focused stats also showed major losses unfortunately, but you know that's to be expected. Also the same with Solana, but there you go yo that sector heads to sharper differentiation Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hoogan said the last six months showed dats tend to move in lockstep, rising or falling together, which is what we're witnessing. Still, he expects this phase to end, arguing that going forward the market will reward companies that employ coherent strategies and demonstrate real execution. All right, next story of the day Goldman Sachs buys Innovator for 2 billion, adding Bitcoin link ETF to the lineup so do you notice a theme in today's episode bank of America, Goldman Sachs and Vanguard fully embracing Bitcoin, offering bitcoin related products to their massive line of customers. This is a big deal, hence why we're up so significantly on the day. So let's break this baby down. Goldman Sachs agreed to acquire Innovator Capital Management for 2 billion, bringing the issuer of defined outcome ETFs, including the Bitcoin Structured fund under its asset management umbrella. The transaction, slated to close second quarter 2026, will bring 28 billion in digital assets under supervision of Goldman Sachs, which reported three and a half trillion in assets under management. So again, another major institution fully adopting Bitcoin. Goldman said the purchase will broaden its plan for active and defined outcome ETFs, a fund that uses options to limit losses and set how much of an assets gain investors can capture over a fixed period. Launch back in the greatest month of the year, February. Innovators QBF ETF uses the Flex Options referencing Bitcoin ETFs or the CBOE Bitcoin US ETF index to mirror part of the bitcoin gains while capping quarterly losses at 20%. Its current 71 participation rate means the funds designed to capture 71% of any positive bitcoin price move over that Period. And as a Friday innovator reported, qbf held almost 20 million in market value. So yeah, Goldman Sachs complete reversal on Crypto Take that Gary Gensler. After dismissing cryptocurrency as unsuitable for client portfolios in 2020. Correct. They also fud the Bitty. Goldman Sachs has since become increasingly bullish on crypto and blockchain tech. For example, from 2020 to 2024, the US investment bank took part in 18 investments in blockchain companies, placing it among the most active global backers of early stage companies in the entire sector. And in the second quarter of 2024 it bought over 419 million worth of Bitcoin ETF shares. And in the last quarter of 2024, SEC filing show Goldman bought almost 1.28 billion worth of the iShares Bitcoin Trust from Black Rock and 288 million of Fidelity's Origin Bitcoin fund. The bank also boosted Ethereum ETF exposure that quarter of 476 million through Black Rock and Fidelity's Ether product. So you can tell they're making a drastic shift into crypto. The bank had reportedly been working on creating a new entity designed to issue and trade tokenized financial instruments. And also in July, Goldman Sachs was preparing to let institutional clients access tokenized money market funds with 24. 7 settlement and blockchain base ownership tracking. Now for our big feature story of the day fam. Vanguard's 50 million plus clients will soon have access to crypto ETFs. This is major. I just looked it up on Google. They're currently worth 9 trillion in assets under management, officially making them the second largest asset manager on the entire planet, with number one being BlackRock, currently worth close to 13 and a half trillion dollars. So let's break this down. They're set to allow its clients to start trading crypto ETFs and mutual funds on the platform today, reversing the previous stance on digital asset ETFs. They have always fuded bitcoin. Oh, bitcoin goes against our ethos. We have no desire to introduce any bitcoin related products. Well, they've completely shifted their stance. 180 Spurred by persistent retail and institutional demand, Vanguard will permit third party access to crypto ETFs and mutual funds similar to how the firm treats gold. According to the Vanguard spokesperson, Bloomberg reported that only ETFs that meet regulatory standards will be included, such as Bitcoin, Ether, XRP, Solana and related ETFs. The investment manager also ruled out Meme coins as well as creating its own crypto ETFs for mutual funds. Quoting Eric Balchunas Starting Vanguard or Tomorrow Vanguard will allow ETFs and that was posted yesterday. So talking about today and MF's tracking Bitcoin select other crypto assets trading on the platform. They cite how the ETFs have been tested, performed and designed through multiple periods of volatility. We serve millions of investors who have diverse needs and risk profiles. We aim to provide a brokerage trading platform that gives our brokerage clients the ability to invest in products in which they choose. Vanguard is second only to BlackRock as an asset manager and according to this published source, they're saying they have 11 trillion in global assets or management. Now Vanguard was previously against offering crypto ETFs on its platform, which I referenced, citing volatility and the speculative nature of the assets. Its former CEO, Mr. Tim Buckley was also strongly opposed, saying in May on a video the company doesn't believe it belongs like a bitcoin ETF belongs in a long term portfolio of someone saving hey, Ryan Reynolds here wishing you a very happy half off holiday because right now Mint Mobile is offering you the gift of 50% off unlimited. To be clear, that's half price, not half the service. Mint is still premium unlimited wireless for a great price. So that means half day. Yeah, give it a try@mintmobile.com switch upfront.
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A
It's a speculative asset. Then Buckley announced he was stepping down as the CEO in February of 2024, retired at the end of the year. Now the former head of BlackRock's global ETF who succeeded Buckley as the CEO of Vanguard has also ruled out offering crypto related investment products as recently as August. So again, complete change of heart here now. Change of heart could open the crypto floodgates, I'd say so. This is probably one of the biggest stories we have seen here in the fourth quarter, especially and most likely the reason why we're pumping the way we are today looking to reclaim 100 GS up literally 6400 on the day after a very I was going to almost said terrific but horrific kickoff for the first day of the month yesterday it was absolutely bearish. Wasn't a good look but things completely flip. We actually recovered all the losses from yesterday and we're actually back in the green on the month. But what are your thoughts with all the bullishness today? We discussed Vanguard sign of the times 50 million you know customers now will have access to crypto ETPs which are exchange traded products such as Bitcoin ETFs etc we discussed Goldman Sachs as well as bank of America all fully embracing the prelo biddy.
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They flew through the fud but they knew they were luna bound they played in and slung a little mud what they did was have each other six and spit out the bitcoin sound they spread hope with their dragon fam singing bitty jammy jams Working with their fifth Lev g dragon family JBC and Nate family Hoddle gang dragon so legendary they flew through wars and political storms Satoshi armed fire breathing champions of the bitcoin sharing the message Lighting bitcoin flames fire breathing truth preaching fighting for financial hope and currency change Music lit words so hot only a dragon could spit lit lit rip rip lit lit rip rip Fiat was burning and bitcoin was on fire. The tide was turning. They had spent some time learning they had a yearning for victory through the earning they had tickets for an outer space flight launching from a VIP dragon only rocket station Prepped for feeling a milky way high kind of delight doing da dung moon Just a pit stop. But they had to be patient. The bitcoin dragon team isn't weak. They're not greedy. They are unique. They're not sheep. Well yeah dragons aren't sheep. Da da how did he doing going so they knew they weren't done with their work. No time to take a vacay. But soon they did pause to applaud the 100k Puerto Rico bound the dragon wings rested and they were taking it easy on a private jet. Whoa. Under gunning in Puerto Rico. Then they got back to work. You can't stall or tame a Bitcoin Dragon Name Number 10 Mountainburg Dragon Whenever back down a CNA Dragon will always stand its ground breathing fire to protect the house the hoddle house these dragons were given the gift of a flame meant to light the world orange Painting a brighter picture with the Bitcoin vision oh Dragon Dragon. Never underestimate a bitcoin dragons God guided passion or its loyalty to humanity and Satoshi Dragons, Dragons, dragons. Our flame is your light burning bright on fire Guiding you to the bitcoin truth. The Satoshi lights. Oh oh oh yes. 2024 year of the Dragon hear it roar. Bitcoin hear it roar. Dragons hear them roar. Auto gang, hear them roar. Peanut bread, Hear them roar. Jambi 10 Hear a roar. Paper hear a roar. Jamie hear them roar. Nipsey hear them roar. CNA family, hear them roar. Satoshi here and roar. Ross hearing more roar. Bitcoin kids, hear them roar. Wise owls, hear them warn. Bitcoin Watch it soar, soar, soar. Doing, doing. We've won this war. 2024 we don't slay dragons. We are dragons that slay. It's the bitcoin way. It's the bitcoin slang. It's the bitcoin play. Do yourself a favor, listen to what we say. Dragon power. Rocket power. Bitcoin power Unseen, Unstoppable, Unbreakable Undefeatable Competent and capable Loving and unchainable Passionate and untamable what a Beautiful B High 2024 Year of the Dragons Bang. Foreign.
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And don't forget to check out bitcoin news alerts.net for the full premium experience with video and to participate in the live stream along with the Q and A. And I look forward to seeing you on tomorrow's episode. Hoddle.
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