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Bitcoin News Alerts | Daily BTC Macro Signal
2189: Buffett Dumps $184B as JPMorgan Targets $170K Bitcoin
00:25:46
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- [00:00]
Host
Today's episode of Bitcoin News alerts is brought to you by Progressive Insurance. Do you ever think about switching insurance companies to see if you can save some cash? Progressive makes it easy to see if you can save when you bundle your home and auto policies. Try it@progressive.com Progressive Casualty Insurance Company and affiliates. Potential savings will vary. Not available in all states.
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Mrs. Claus
Guys, thanks for helping me carry my Christmas tree.
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Elf Drew Ski
Zoe, this thing weighs a ton. Live with your legs man.
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Host
Santa.
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Santa
Santa, did you get my letter?
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Elf Drew Ski
He's talking to you, Bridget.
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Host
I'm not.
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Mrs. Claus
Of course he did.
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Elf Drew Ski
Right Santa, you know my elf Drew Ski here. He handles the nice list and elf I'm 6 3. What everyone wants is iPhone 17 and at T mobile you can get it on them. That center stage front camera is amazing for group selfies. Right Mrs. Claus?
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Mrs. Claus
I'm Mrs. Claus much younger sister and at T mobile there's no trade in needed when you switch. So you can keep your old phone.
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Elf Drew Ski
Or give it as a gift.
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Mrs. Claus
And the best part, you can make the switch to T mobile from your phone in just 15 minutes.
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Elf Drew Ski
Nice. My side of the tree is slipping.
- [01:02]
Host
Kimber. The holidays are better. AT T Mobile switch in just 15 minutes and get iPhone 17 on us with no trade in needed. And now T mobile is available in U S cellular stores with 24 month.
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Host
Visit t mobile.com welcome Bitcoin fam to the number one Bitcoin pod. Bitcoin is back in a green looking to regain 100 GS for the 10,000 time since originally hitting it. But anyways we are up 1800 on the day. In today's show I'll be sharing the latest ta. Also big news out of El Salvador El Zante we have La Katija kitchen has been buying bitcoin for the balance sheet. If you don't know, it's the first restaurant officially in El Salvador to do so. So congratulations out there El Zante for the win. We'll also be discussing rising bitcoin liveliness indicator suggests the bull market may continue. Also bitcoin buries the tulip myth after of proven resilience according to the latest ETF expert. Also rich dad Robert Kiyosaki says goodbye to the US dollar as Bricks currency rumor goes viral. Also in today's show, billionaire Warren Buffett sells 184 billion in stocks in one year. Here's what happened to the last time he dumped exposure to the market. And also we shall be discussing what's happening with JP Morgan projecting 170,000 target for Bitcoin based on the gold model. We'll also be taking a look at the overall crypto market. All this plus so much more right here in today's show. Sat stack and Sunday let's get it.
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But anyways, let's kick this moo off, shall we? If you guys are new to the Rumble, you know what to do. Smash the likes give us follow. Hit the repost over on X. You'll notice the stream pin to the very top of the profile. Let's kick it off with our Mario watch as the 12-07-2025 Sunday Funday SASDAQ and Sunday we're up 18 hundo on the day trading above 91, 300 at the live time alongside JV Fed chair Nipinator. So let's do the damn thing, shall we? So yeah, pulling up. Let's start with coin360. You can see the bulk of the market back in the green. Like a bottle of Listerine. Yeah. Ether up 3%. Bitcoin up 2%. XRP up 2%. Bulk of the market doing its thing thing, you know what I mean. Checking out coinmarketcal.com Current crypto market cap coming in strong. Back above 3 trillion 3.04 the Bitcoin market cap back on the climb $1.822 trillion. Checking out top 100 crypto gainers past 24 hours. We got Athena leading the pack. Very modest gains for those actually in the green but tis what it is. Checking out the crypto greed fear index. We're still in extreme fear. A little lower than yesterday and a 20 most likely it'll rise considering we had a. It's typically a day behind if you haven't figured that out. Yesterday was a 23, last week at 28 and last month at 24. An extreme fear. Checking out the infamous time chain calendar today is block height number 926883. You can stack, you know for $1. Just one fiat monopoly piece of crap. Fiat, you can get 1095 sats. I much rather have 1100 sats per dollar than the almighty Ponzi. The greatest Ponzi known to mankind. Known as the Fiat. US dollar backed forces. Pretty much the only reason people are using as a world reserve currency But I'm preaching to the choir. I want to give a shout out, a very special shout out to Zero Tax Bitcoin.com today's podcast is brought to you by Zero Tax Bitcoin.com and on the website you'll learn how to use OPM, other people's money to buy bitcoin and crypto at a whopping zero percent interest. That's right. I'm going to teach you how to pay 0% capital gains. And it's a secret really Revere reserve for the rich. But you can learn how to do it too. Not only that, but the bigger picture. Learn how to use business credit to tap into hundreds of thousands of dollars using an ein from a business, whether you already have one or you have yet to establish it. We show you the road map so check it out again. It's zero tax bitcoin.com stack the biddy during the holiday season. You already know with that being shared. Next up, let's pull up some of the live charts here. We're looking at trading View via Coinbase. You're going to notice some bullish momentum. A lot of green candles. We've been pumping since this morning. Late this morning I should say. We do have $109,000 target on the screen. Maybe he's born with it. Maybe it's Nipinator Maybelline. I don't know. Checking out the four hour. We'll work our way backwards here, fam. The four hour chart. You can see a big green cand. That's beautiful. Look at the significance of that. So we're going to continue to climb. We got to re approach. I mean getting very close to 100 GS, especially after bottoming out at 80. Personally I do think the bottom is in. I'm still anticipating a December bull run. Do I think this is going to be the cycle peak in 2025? No, I'm a firm believer in the extended cycle theory. I give like 80 to 90% probability that will continue to hit new all time highs into 2026. But you let me know your thoughts on that. Checking out the daily. You're going to notice a big green candle on the day. Lovely. No particular bull targets in sight, but it's nice to get some momentum after a couple of corrective days in a row. Checking out the weekly, we will get a close here probably during today's live stream or around. You can see this is going to be the second green consecutive week after four consecutive bearish weekly closes. We had a hell of a November but thank God the November is over and we're in the Nova or the December checking out the monthly no particular targets. And yes, October, November, which are historically our most bullish time of the season or year has been, you know, very disappointing. But hopefully we can make up for those losses here in December and leading into Q1 2026. With that being shared, let's now dive into a little more analysis here. I just shared with you the live charts. I'll skip that. Here's what an analyst says if the weekend done pump and FYI we are pumping here so this was probably written right before it it increases the probabilities of a pivot low forming on Monday. If we do get a weekend pump, it increases the chances of Monday forming a pivot high. So it's a good sign that we're up a few grand on the day above 91g is definitely a good indicator. Now market participants were broadly focused on key macroeconomic topics of the week, including US Federal Reserve's decision on the interest rate changes. Markets continue to expect a quarter of a percent cut result from Wednesday's meeting with FOMC data. You know the Fed watch tool confirmed this quoting them here. The rate call is easily the number one event of the week. Liquidity, risk, appetite, all positioning hinge on it. We're also getting delayed jolts report worth watching private investment manager Peter Tar wrote on the topic over the weekend. Most expect the point or should say 25 basis point cut which is ultimately a quarter of a percent and look at the odds 86% we get that cut and 13% chance we don't according to the odds there. Bitcoin often sees downwards pressure into these FOMC announcements which can spark significant volatility. Typically it does as markets assess Fed official language for hints such as the nibinator indicator the only Fed chair that it's worth watching. You know Nipinator indicator. But anyways for hints over the future policy changes we'll be on the lookout for that. Crypto analyst Macau van de Pa suggests the FOMC nerves could spark a retreat the 87 but it doesn't look like we're going that way is considering we're pumping but hey there's no telling with the constipated Janet Yellen bananas. After that the bounce back up swiftly in which the uptrends confirmed for the biddy and is ready to break 92. Therefore the run towards 100 in the coming one to two weeks as the Fed is reducing the QT, the quantitative tightening, doing the rate Cuts expanding the money supply to increase the business cycle. Then a pot put 86 as the Bulls line in the sand. Well hallelujah. We're well above that. We're 5,000plus above that at the time of the live. So things are looking good. Also shout out Max Kaiser. He just dropped the bombshell. Did you guys know La Kutija and El Zante? This special restaurant has been buying bitcoin for the balance sheet which makes history. The first restaurant in El Salvador to put the biddy on the balance sheet. If you visit El Zante and you don't stop at this restaurant, it's blasphemous. So I just want to throw that out there. Shout out Max Geyser. I personally can't wait to visit this restaurant and cop a few cocoa Maxes, you know what I mean? It's going to be lit and I will be there in a few weeks and I'm looking forward to live streaming from the Max and Stacy invitational. So you already know. But anyways, let's continue with the bitty news, shall we? Rise in bitcoin liveliness indicator suggests the bull market may continue. Oh it will continue. I mean a technical indicator called the liveliness is rising. That's right. Which historically signals the bull run activity which could mean the market cycle is not over yet. Of course it's not over. We're not even getting started yet. Liveliness continues to march higher this cycle despite the lower prices indicating of floor demand for the spot bitcoin that is not yet reflected in the price action. The analysts explain the elegant metric which is like the long term moving average for on chain activity. It's a run in some of all the lifetime spending compared to the holding activity on chain. It rises when the coins are net transact acting and falls when they have they're being held scaling by the age of those coins. So liveliness usually rises and bull runs as supply changes hands at the higher prices indicating a flow of the newly invested capital. And here you see by Glass Node this shows you the bitcoin liveliness has reached a new peak. Hey, Ryan Reynolds here wishing you a very happy half off holiday because right now Mint Mobile is offering you the gift of 50% off unlimited. To be clear, that's half the price, not half the service. Mint is still premium unlimited wireless for a great price. So that means a half day. Yeah. Give it a try@mintmobile.com switch upfront payment.
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Mrs. Claus
Of $45 for 3 month plan equivalent to $15 per month required new customer offer for first 3 months only speed slow 135 gigabytes of networks busy taxes and fees extra.
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Rubrik Announcer
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- [12:13]
Host
One hell of a chart if you're to ask me. Well, ask the Nip. Stay tuned. Check Compared to the current liveliness of the 2017 cycle, which was the first epic parabola with widespread participation. And that was my inauguration into Bitcoin 2017. It was between a thousand and fifteen hundred when I first discovered it. By the end of 2017 we went on a parabolic rally. It's almost 20 GS. I call that the Christmas rally. And hopefully we have another Merry Merry Christmas this year. You know, I mean the new liveliness peaks shows how the extreme the return of the old dormant coins in this cycle, he said, adding the magnitude of the value is now much higher. The intriguing part, unlike back in 2017 where the transactions were in the hundreds of thousands of dollars changing hands, this cycle is in the several of tens of billions of dollars. Quoting them here when have seen extraordinary volume of the coin days destroyed when I am of the view we have just watched one of the greatest capital rotations and changing of the guard in bitcoin history. The ETFs are here. Bitcoin hasn't moved much over the past 24. Well, we did just a couple of thousand. What's a couple of percent for the biddy? But anyways, the analyst says anything between 86 and 92 is pretty much noise. Not much will happen for the biddy. If 92 gets tested, I think we'll break it. If not, brace yourself for the test of the low 80 range. And that's the current bottom by the way, that we bottomed out at. He also says I don't think we're far off bottoming for Bitcoin and that should result in a strong rally at the end of the year going into Q1, and that's what I'm anticipating. But just remember, there's no telling with the constipated Janet Yellen Bance. Free falling in this case probably means losing. No, that's why we say free balling. Of course we're not free falling. Yeah, free falling. And bitcoin is not a good look. But when you're free balling in bitcoin, it's always a good look. All right, next up, fam, Bitcoin buries the tulip myth. Oh, it's tulip mania. JV after 17 years, a prov resilience according to the ETF expert. That's right. Bitcoin can no longer be compared to the tulip bubble due to the endurance and the resilience over the years according to the ETF expert Eric Bal Chunas. You know, he works over at Bloomberg. A very smart man over there. But anyways, he says, personally I would not compare bitcoin to tulips, no matter how bad the sell off. Balunez pointed out the tulip market rose and collapsed in around three years. So yeah, if Bitcoin's been resilient for 17 years, you should not compare it unless you're purposely fudding the preload bitty going up forever, Laura, which is typically what they do. He says the endurance alone warrants shedding tulip comparison, let alone the fact it's still up 250 over the past three years and was up 122% last year. In a fact is up millions of percent since the inception of the genesis block. You know, earlier in the month, the big short investor Michael Burry called it tulip bulb of our time. Idiot. JP Morgan CEO Jamie Demon famously said bitcoin's worse than the tulip bulbs and a fraud. And he's the biggest fraud. Again, all I gotta say is Epstein to shut that mofo up. But anyways, the Dutch tulip mania was a speculative frenzy in the Netherlands during the Dutch golden the golden age. Tulip bulbs, which is also introduced to Europe from Turkey, became status amongst wealthy Dutch merchants. Price began rising back in 1634. The audacity for the these bastards to compare bitcoin, the greatest form of money or store value to ever exist, to anything from the 1960s. It's just mindboggling if you're to ask me. The tulip mania is often cited as one of history's first recorded speculative bubbles and gave rise to the famous pump and dump chart pattern. As you can see here, Tulip mania only lasted three years, that's it looks like from 1934 to 1937. Yet these fudsters continue to compare Bitcoin to the 1960s tulip mania, which is mindboggling. As I said, Bal Chunas points out, yes, bitcoin and Tulips are both non productive assets, but so is gold. So is the Picasso painting Rare stamps. Would you compare those to tulips? Not all assets have to be productive to be valuable. Great points taken. Tulips were marked by euphoria and a crash and that's it. Bitcoin's a different animal. Ask the Nip. Head of the strategy of the German Bitcoin treasury company concurred stating bubbles don't survive multiple cycles regulatory battles, geopolitical stress, havings exchange failures and still return to new highs in which Bitcoin always does like clockwork. Typically every cycle we add a zero a 10x price appreciation next Door Yo Rich dad says Goodbye to the US Dollar as brics Currency rumors go viral that's right. In a new post, Kiyosaki touts rumors of a gold back bricks currency. Currently in a farewell address to the US dollar quoting Kiyosaki Bricks Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa announced the unit a gold back money Bye bye US dollar Standby. Stay awake. Stay tuned in Excuse me. Rumors of a custom bricks currency has gone viral over the last 24 hours, linking the economic alliance to a new asset called the Unit G Unit that's governed by the International Institute for the Applied System Analysis. However, the unit does not appear to be directly connected to bricks. According to the project's website, the asset will be available for use in global trade but not direct linked to bricks as stated. Presently, Bricks is not ready to launch its own currency. The need for reliable independent international financial monetary system is urgent. Unit ecosystem offers Bricks country's unique framework which can fully accommodate the inner block trade and facilitate mutual investments, thus alleviating economic disbalances hindering further integration. Rich dad is a longtime investor in gold and silver. In the recent years also touted Bitcoin and ether as assets will hedge against the dollar debasement. Kiyosaki says my forecast is savers of US Dollars will be the biggest losers. If you own US dollars, hyperinflation may wipe you out. I stand by my mantra. Own gold, silver, Bitcoin and ether. There you have it, yo. Yeah, let me know your thoughts on that. Next up, the big news from Warren Buffett. Dumping 184 billion worth of stocks in one year. And then JP Morgan's 170 G's baby. All right, next story of the day. This is a big one right here. Billionaire Mr. Warren Buffett sells 184 billion. I had to double check that number. I'm like million or billion? It's billion. Bro in stocks in just one year. Here's what happened last time he dumped exposure to the market. They say history rhymes or repeats. We'll see. Billionaire Mr. Warren Buffett just completed a year long cycle of relentless selling at Berkshire Hathaway. So what does he know that we don't know? In the last 12 months, Buffett sold a net total of more than $184 billion of the conglomerate holding company shares. I wonder what he did with all that. The legendary investor has steadily exited huge stakes in Apple, bank of America along with Capital One Financial, Citigroup, New Holding, Nucor, the Vita Vertisign and Dr. Horton. Berkshire now has a record 381 billion in cash and short term treasury bills as of the latest SEC data from September 30th. Good Lord, that's a lot of cash. This isn't the first time Buffett has steadily unloaded Berkshire's exposure to the market. His first notable pullback came back in the late 1960s when Buffett dissolved his investment partnership in 1969, returning cash to partners because he viewed the stock market as widely overpriced. Amid the speculative frenzy, he issued a warning in a letter that year that wrote I just don't see anything available that gives any reasonable hope of delivering such a good year. The decision eventually paid off when Buffett sidestepped the brutal 7374 bear market. Must have knew something, right? Where The Dow Jones plunged 45. Buffett repeated the caution in the late 1990s during the dot com bubble, Berkshire avoided tech stocks entirely, holding massive cash reserves instead. And by 1999, Buffett's 98 shareholder letter highlighted his reluctance to buy at it. The inflated prices stating the markets offered a few bargains. This stan stance protected Berkshire as the NASDAQ crash. 78% from 2020 I'm sorry from 2000 to 2002. Another key example happened from 2005 to 2007 ahead of the great financial crisis which sparked Bitcoin. Buffett sold off Berkshire stakes, petrochemicals and other cyclical sectors high valuations. He also reduced exposure to the consumer goods like Procter and Gamble after Gillette acquisition trimming positions as markets peaked. Berkshire cash rose to 44 billion by 2007, positioning it to buy distressed assets during the 08 meltdown. And then in 2018 2019, Buffett again dialed back. Berkshire sold significant portions of IBM and Oracle holdings shortly after buying them, admitting misjudgments on tech valuations. He also trim airline stocks before the pandemic. Obviously he's an insider. He knew that was coming, right? But fully exited them in 2020amid the Novid turmoil, locking in losses but freeing capital. Although critics argue that these sometimes miss major bull runs, these moves, there's no doubt that Buffett's long term record shines. Berkshire's book value grew 18 annually all the way from 1965 to 2023. And if you don't know now you know. Next up, our future story. JP Morgan projects 170 GS for the Biddy based on the gold model, which we recently hit like 30 trillion. But anyways, let's knock out our final story of the day. Bitcoin price target JP Morgan projecting 170, 000 for bitcoin based on the gold model. That's right, JP Morgan analysts have released a new bitcoin price projection based on the crypto's relationship with gold Guys, thanks.
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Mrs. Claus
For helping me carry my Christmas tree.
- [22:24]
Elf Drew Ski
Zoe. This thing weighs a ton. Drew Ski, lift with your legs man.
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Host
Santa.
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Santa
Santa, did you get my letter?
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Elf Drew Ski
He's talking to you britches. I'm not.
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Mrs. Claus
Of course he did.
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Elf Drew Ski
Right Santa, you know my elf Drew Ski here. He handles the nice list and elf, I'm six' three. What everyone wants is iPhone 17 and at T Mobile. You can get it on them. That center stage front camera is amazing for group selfies. Right Mrs. Claus?
- [22:47]
Mrs. Claus
I'm Mrs. Claus much younger sister and AT T Mobile there's no trade in needed when you switch so you can.
- [22:52]
Elf Drew Ski
Keep your old phone or give it as a gift.
- [22:54]
Mrs. Claus
And the best part? You can make the switch to T Mobile from your phone in just 15 minutes.
- [22:58]
Elf Drew Ski
Nice. My side of the tree is slipping.
- [23:00]
Host
Timber. The holidays are better. AT T Mobile switch in just 15 minutes and get iPhone 17 on us with no trade in needed. And now T Mobile is available in US cellular stores.
- [23:11]
T-Mobile Announcer
Bill credits for well qualified customers plus tax and $35 device connection charge. Credit sentinel balance due if you pay off earlier. Cancel financing agreement. 256 gates $830 eligible for in a new line $100 plus a month plan with auto pay plus taxes fees required. Check out 15 minutes or less per line.
- [23:21]
Rubrik Announcer
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- [23:52]
Host
I can blow up this article for you. There you go. The bank's volatility adjusted model suggest Bitcoin could reach 170 GS within six to 12 months, which would mean extended cycle new all time highs in 2026. That's what I'm saying. The projection but why so bearish JP Morgan? The projection uses a framework that compares Bitcoin to gold's role as a store of value goals. Total market stands at approximately 29 trillion because Bitcoin experiences higher volatility than gold, JP Morgan applies a discount to calculate the theoretical fair value of the BTC. As Eric Balchuna's outline here on AX, JP Morgan predicting Bitcoin at 170000 in the next 6 to 12 months says the perp deleveraging is behind us and that it is undervalued versus the gold. Hist implies significant upside next 6 to 12 months. Let me know your thoughts on that. Also, another analyst published the findings Dec. 3. The team noted Bitcoin continues to show goal like behavior during periods of market stress. The prediction follows a turbulent period for the biddy. In early October the cryptos experience one of the largest downturns on record. I Believe it was 10:10 October 10th. Bitcoin fell from a record high of 126 to nearly 80,000. The drop coincided with roughly 19 billion in digital asset liquidations, the biggest liquidation event in crypto history. And you can see another headline here. JP Morgan says it's sticking to its Bitcoin versus Gold model target, which would see the preload bitty hit 170 GS over the next 6 to 12 months. Volatility differences drive model calculations JPM model accounts for the stark volatility difference between the biddy and the gold. Over the past three months goal rose 17%, Bitcoin fell 19%. Year date figure show goal surge 60% compared to Bitcoin's 8% decline. But looking at a five year time frame, gold only gained 125% while Bitcoin slipped 3.4% according to this model. And as of December 5th, Bitcoin traded at 89. Today we're back above 91. Market Factors JP Morgan strategists identifies several factors influencing Bitcoin's current position. Recent risk aversion has pressured crypto sentiment. Shifting expectation for 2026 interest rates have also affected the market dynamics. The bank noted concerns around strategies Bitcoin holdings, which just hit 650, 000 of the BTC as another factor. However, Strategy CEO Fung Lee indicated any sale would depend on specific metrics. JP Morgan reported the company recent 1.4 billion cash build up their war chest reduces the likelihood of the four sales force sales and that is actually accurate. So they theoretically have enough to pay investor dividends for 18 to 24 months. Which means they wouldn't be forced to liquidate their massive 650000 Bitcoin because they're in a bitcoin accumulation strategy, not a bitcoin selling strategy. But there's the latest. Let me know your thoughts on JP Morgan's modest 170,000 price target for 2026 and I'll stick around for a few minutes, entertain you guys and read some comments out loud.
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Santa
You know Max and Stacy and Andreas and JV Sailor and Hodlers and Cathie Wood, Bitty Bathwater and Maulers. But do you recall the most famous pumpkin indicator of all? Bitty Merry Christmas Nipsey. Nipsey the top dog Bitty Sniffer had a very bright mind and if you ever saw it at work you would even say Nipsey Shine Dog all mine like a light bulb.
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All of the shifty fudslingers used to laugh and deny Nipsey's claim. They never let poor Nipsey tell em how bitcoin was where they'd forever find games. It's not Monopoly money.
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But then one biddy pumping Christmas Eve night Santa came to say Nipsey with your skill so tight.
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Won'T you guide our pump tonight? That's a salty dog. What a bro. Then all the shifty butt slingers loved him and they shouted out with glee Nipsey the top dog. Bitty Sniffer 5th Level Pump Indicator puppy. You'll go down in history like Satoshi. Nipsey guide us in for the 110k refueling stop. Then we will follow you to the 1.1 million rocket shots. Nipsey what a ding ding ding. Got Christmas swagger Top Dog.
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Oh stop dog.
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Host
Now.
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Santa
Stop dog.
- [29:17]
Host
And don't forget to check out bitcoin news alerts.net for the full premium experience with video and to participate in the live stream along with the Q and A. And I look forward to seeing you on tomorrow's episode. Hodle.
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Mrs. Claus
Shopify helps you sell at every stage of your business like that. Let's put it online and see what happens.
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Host
Stage and the site is live that.
- [29:48]
Mrs. Claus
We opened a store and need a fast checkout. Stage thanks you're all set that count it up and ship it around the globe.
- [29:54]
Host
Stage this one's to going going to.
- [29:56]
Mrs. Claus
Thailand and that Wait, did we just hit a million orders? Stage whatever your stage Businesses that grow grow with Shopify. Sign up for your $1 a month trial@shopify.com listen.
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