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2199: BOJ Policy Will Catapult Bitcoin to $1M, Says Arthur Hayes
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- [00:00]
JV
Today's episode of bitcoin news alerts is brought to you by Progressive Insurance. You chose to hit play on this podcast today. Smart choice. Make another smart choice with Auto Quote Explorer to compare rates from multiple car insurance companies all at once. Try it@progressive.com Progressive Casualty Insurance Company and affiliates not available in all states or situations. Prices vary based on how you buy.
- [00:26]
Mrs. Claus's Younger Sister
Guys, thanks for helping me carry my Christmas tree.
- [00:29]
Zoe
Zoe, this thing weighs a ton.
- [00:31]
Drew Ski
Lift with your legs, man.
- [00:32]
JV
Santa. Santa, did you get my letter?
- [00:34]
Zoe
He's talking to you, Bridges.
- [00:35]
Drew Ski
I'm not.
- [00:36]
Mrs. Claus's Younger Sister
Of course he did.
- [00:38]
Drew Ski
Right, Santa, you know my elf Drew ski here. He handles the nice list.
- [00:41]
Zoe
And elf. I'm six' three. What everyone wants is iPhone 17 and at T mobile you can get it on them. That center stage front camera is amazing for group selfies. Right, Mrs. Claus?
- [00:51]
Mrs. Claus's Younger Sister
I'm Mrs. Claus much younger sister and AT T mobile there's no trade in needed when you switch. So you can keep your old phone.
- [00:58]
Drew Ski
Or give it as a gift.
- [00:59]
Mrs. Claus's Younger Sister
And the best part, you can make the switch to T mobile from your phone in just pay 15 minutes.
- [01:03]
Zoe
Nice. My side of the tree is slipping.
- [01:05]
JV
Kimber.
- [01:06]
Drew Ski
The holidays are better. AT T mobile switch in just 15 minutes and get iPhone 17 on us with no trade in needed. And now T mobile is available in U S Cellular stores with 24 monthly.
- [01:16]
T-Mobile/US Cellular Ad Voice
Bill credits for well qualified customers plus tax and 35 connection charge credits and balance due if you pay off earlier. Cancel Finance Agreement 256g830 eligible for in a new line 100/a month plan with auto payments, taxes and fees required. Check out 15 minutes or less per line.
- [01:26]
JV
Visit t mobile.com welcome Bitcoin fam to the number one Bitcoin pod. Bitcoin is pumping up almost 3000 on the day which is a beautiful thing as bank of Japan did hike their interest rates as we anticipated. Also this just in. 2.6 trillion city says Bitcoin could hit 189,000 in the next 12 months. You already know. Send it. We'll also be discussing tomorrow the samurai bitcoin developer will start a five year prison sentence. I think that's officially now. Today let's see if Trump pardons the samurai wallet founder. We'll also be discussing Bitcoin's weekly RSI falls to the most oversold level since the 15,000 bitty price action. We'll also be discussing the blockchains quietly preparing for the quantum threat as bitcoin debates continue to heat up. I'll be sharing the timeline Also how cheap powerful turn Libya into a bitcoin mining hotspot as well as CryptoClarity ACC set for a Senate markup in January according to David Sachs. And our feature story today, stunning bitcoin price prediction. Bank of Japan policy could catapult the bitcoin to a $1 million super cycle according to Arthur Hayes. Just blaze whilst we take at the overall crypto market. All this plus so much more TGIF special right here. Episode number 2,199. Today is pod number 2199. I'm your host JV alongside my co host Fed Chair Nip Anator. And today is December 19, 2025. Bitcoin up almost 3,000 on the day, which is very nice and of course there's always so going on in the markets. Happy tgif. But yeah, let's kick it off with our market watch as we do each and every day. Pulling up coin360 here, you should be able to see on your screen everything in the green. Ether is up 7%, looking to reclaim three GS probably any moment now. Bitcoin looking to reclaim 88,000. We're right on the cusp. Even XRP getting a warm piece of the sidewalk today up 5%, trading back above a 190 and again virtually everything in the green. We love to see that. Checking out coinmarketcap.com we do have the market cap still down just a itty bit since yesterday. 0 or 4% to be precise. It's currently sitting at 2.97 trillion. The Bitcoin specific market cap is $1.7 trillion. Checking out top 100 crypto gainers past 24 hours. We got privacy. Coin Z Cash leading the pack up 14% on the day followed by Aptos up 14% followed by Pepe up 12. Which alts if any are you bullish on for the bull holler. And checking out the Crypto Greed and fear index. Today we're extreme fear rated at 16, yesterday 17, last week at 29 and last month of 15. An extreme fear. And according to the time chain calendar as of today we're at block height 928, 592and as you know, Tik Tok next block approximately every 10 minutes. And as of today you can exchange one fiat monopoly dollar for 1140 SATS. So you know precisely what to do. You pick up the stats, put down the gas, pick up some bitcoin caps from a man sergio over@bitcoin caps.net copy yourself a custom bitty exclusive just like this, this is one of my faves right here with the yellow with the El Salvador flag repping bitcoin country, the countdown is here. It's literally less than two weeks away. So the big event is amongst us. Some kind of option expiry today. Did not see too much says Chris. Six days until the Christmas December is a flying. That's 100 accur six days we shall be celebrating Christmas day on the live stream. Christmas Eve only five days out. We deserve a Christmas pump. Especially you guys who have been holding. You know you haven't let the the FUD shake you out of your position. And 100% bub you get the double caffeinated nipinator today. Tis what it is. I replaced the bowl of water with espresso. You know he loves it. He chases the cats right up the tree. How he does it, I don't know. It's magical. Just like Satoshi bringing the Christmas magic. But let's dive next right into our TA AKA astrology for the baddies. Checking out the hourly chart. We do have a bull target in the red sitting at 97. And we've been just trading sideways for a while. It seems every time Bitcoin breaks above 90 the manipulated, you know, orchestrated FUD hits and the exchanges offload lots of crypto and we crash right back down. It definitely seems orchestrated in my opinion. Checking 4 hour. We also have a red target sitting at 97000 which is practically a God candle from where we're currently at. Working our way down. Checking out the daily. We do have a big green candle on the day which is nice especially consider the last two days we had bearish closes as you can see on your screen real quick. Checking out the weekly of the weekly chart. You're going to notice the last week was a close in the red. This week even though we're pumping right now is still in the red. So we gotta still pump more to get a green close which will be on Sunday. Sunday Funday. And checking out the monthly real quick, you're going to notice this is the worst performing fourth quarter we have had the year preceding the having in a very long time, potentially ever. As historically we would see roughly 70% gains over the fourth quarter the year preceding the having. And this year we lost 40% from the top which is106.3 the current firmament. But anyways this headline here reads the big news did come in today. Bitcoin did jump above 87 slides as the bank of Japan hikes the interest rates. So they raised a short term policy rate by 25 basis points to 75%, which is the highest in 30 years. And a lot of analysts were anticipating a massive dump in the market and naturally bitcoin did the opposite of what people were anticipating. Remember, there's no telling with the constipated Janet Yellen, but anyways, Bitcoin strengthened as the Japanese yen dropped after the bank of Japan hiked interest rates as expected. Konichiwa, the Japanese central bank raised the short term policy rate 25 basis points, which is 3/4 of a percent, the highest level in roughly 30 years, continuing the gradual shift away from decades of ultra loose monetary policy. I say loose as a goose. In the policy statement, the bank of Japan acknowledged that the inflation has held above the 2% target for an extended period due to the rising costs of imports and firmer domestic price dynamics. However, policy makers emphasize interest rates adjusted for inflation remain negative, implying monetary conditions are still accommodative even after the hike. For example, the Japanese yen slipped to 156 per US dollar from 155 following the rate decision. Today, Bitcoin by market value rose from 86:87.5 looking to take out 88 watch out bears before pulling back slightly to trade near 87. Now the market reaction aligns with expectations as the rate hike had been widely anticipated, ultimately meaning it was priced in. Furthermore, speculators have held long positions in the Japanese yen for weeks, preventing any sharp yen buying response after this announcement and in recent weeks observers had expressed concerns that the rate hike could strengthen the yen, triggering an unwinding of the yen carry trades and a broad based risk off sentiment. For example, for decades Japan's ultra low or even negative interest rates made the yen a preferred funding currency for carry trades. Investors borrowed cheaply and yen to invest in higher yielding assets including US Tech stocks, Treasury notes and emerging market bonds which amplify global liquidity and risk.
- [09:14]
Amazon Music Ad Voice
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- [09:48]
Drew Ski
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- [10:06]
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- [10:18]
JV
Appetite this strategy thrived as long as Japan's rate stayed pin near zero, effectively turning the yen into a key enabler of leverage and risk taking across the global financial markets. So the prospects of higher rates in Japan scared risk asset bulls. These fears however, were overblown, noting even after the rate hike, Japanese rates would remain notably cheaper than their U S counterparts, ensuring there is no mass unwinding of carry trades. So apparently we have been saved. And another big news I want to outline here. Justin 2.6 trillion dollar city says Bitcoin could hit 189 GS in the next 12 months. I say why so bearish? And in other news, this was actually probably posted yesterday. Let me verify that. December 19th. No, it was actually posted today but it says tomorrow the samurai Bitcoin developers will start a five year prison sentence. And of course we're hoping Trump does the right thing and pardons him. Just like he pardoned Ross Albrecht and CZ as this guy was nothing more than a coder that developed something that, you know, helped us protect our privacy and as a result with the war on crypto with the Biden administration, you already know they targeted him and he's serving five years in prison, allegedly supposed to start his prison sentence within the next 24 hours. So I have faith Trump will pardon him because the community is asking for it and Trump tends to follow what the consensus is. If enough people ask and sign the petition, he's likely to do it. I don't see why he wouldn't, especially considering he's pro crypto and he understands the prior administration weaponizing, you know, crypto with the war on crypto and all that kind of stuff. You know what I mean? But anyways next story fam the bitcoin weekly rsi, which is the relative strength index, falls to the most oversold level since the 15000 pretty little bitty price action. No diddy. That's right. Bitcoin's 36 drop to 85 hundo on November 21st from the all time high of the 126 has significantly impacted the high time frame of the RSI. The on the weekly chart on your screen the RSI fell from a local high of 64 September to 35 at this time levels not seen since January of 2023 when the period low bitty traded between 15 and 17,000. Historically, when the weekly RSI tags this level, it's time to pay attention. Either we're close to a bottom or we're in for a lot more pain soon enough. Let me know what side you're leaning on. RSI measures the trend strength containing the three key levels for observers, including the 30 oversold bound midpoint and the 70 overbought threshold. And when the price crosses these levels, depending upon the direction, traders can make inferences about the future of any given uptrend or downtrend. During the bull market, ETH regularly spends extended periods in the overbought territory Bitcoin looks the most oversold. It's been all cycle according to Mr. Crypto. And if there's a Mr. That knows crypto, it would be Mr. Crypto, wouldn't it? Now, referring to the stochastic RSI also shown in the two week chart on your screen, a bounce is very likely and he outlines here the most oversold the cycle is definitely a good bullish indicator here. Not all traders were quick to suggest the bitcoin price was due for a relief bounce due to the overbought conditions. For example, another analyst, Lark Davis, wrote, when Bitcoin was this oversold in 2018 it dumped another 49 and in 2022 it dumped another 58%. These bottoms can take way longer to form than you think and they can bring more pain than you think. Now on chain data from Crypto Quan explain how Bitcoin could currently be undervalued based on its network value to transaction, a metric which compares the market cap to the actual network usage. This chart shows that Bitcoin's NBT golden cross dropped to a historically depressed level near negative 0.6, a zone reflecting structural undervaluation of the network. This metric increased slightly to negative 0.32 over the last few days, an indication that the price is beginning to realign with transaction driven fundamentals. After a sharp valuation discount, however, indicator remains in a negative territory, meaning Bitcoin is still priced conservatively relative to the network utility. The present setup points to a market transition from the deep undervaluation towards equilibrium, a phase historically associated with accumulation and structurally healthier price discovery. Someone say price discovery? Yes please. Now price is now recovering, but valuation is still discounted relative to the usage. That setup has only shown a handful of times in a bitcoin history. And note the last two times the NVT golden cross reached such levels were back in April of 2025 and the bottom of the 2022 bare market preceding 60% and 350% price rallies. Now, hypothetically, if we were to climb 350% from here, that would be what, roughly a 350,000 Bitcoin price action. I say send it. In fact, we're going to strike the gong and send it where it belongs. Multiple six figures eventually. Seven figures, eight figures per bitty. Heck, I'm calling $1 per set. 100 million per Bitcoin baby. Come on now. If that don't wake the neighbors, I don't know what will. Okay, next story. Baby, baby. Headline reads blockchains quietly prepare for the quantum threat as the bitcoin debates the timeline. That's right, quantum computers still cannot break the prelo biddy. But several major blockchains are prepping for the future in which they might. For example, in the past week, Aptos preserved or proposed the post quantum signature report as Solana tested quantum resistant transactions. Meanwhile, parts of the bitcoin community renewed calls to accelerate work on quantum safe upgrades. These developments point to the growing anxiety across the crypto Investors argued dismissal of the quantum risk by influential voices is weigh in on the bitcoin price which has dropped 24%. End of the world, you know I'm just playing, right? While altcoin blockchains are experimenting with the post quantum projections through the opt in upgrades and the test networks, Bitcoin remains divided on how publicly and urgently it should address the quantum risk. A lot of proponents, including Michael Saylor, is proposing they freeze the lost bitcoin, which I don't agree with, but there's a lot of speculation here. So let's go deeper. Ethereum has been clear about why quantum computing is now being treated as an engineering problem rather than a distant hypothetical. Ethereum co founder Vitalik argued that even the low probability outcome demands early preparation when the cost of failure is high and the time required to migrate global systems is measured in years. Citing forecasting models, he said there's roughly a 20 chance that quantum computers capable of breaking today's public key cryptography could emerge before 2030, ultimately within the next five years with a median estimate closer to 2040, which is more realistic, according to the OGS. That's a long time now. Buterin reportedly said no machines exist today that can break Bitcoin or Ethereum. That's true. It's if they did exist, they would have already broke it. But waiting for certainty itself is risky as migrating to a global network. Post quantum schemes can take years, as Vitalik outlines right here. Now the framing has begun to echo across other major blockchains, particularly those that can experiment without reopening foundational debates. Aptos had proposed adding post Quantum signature report or support at the account level through an opt in upgrade which would leave existing accounts untouched. The proposal relies on the hash based signature scheme positioned for future proofing rather than a reaction to an imminent threat. Users can adopt the new scheme if they choose without forcing a network wide migration. Meanwhile, Solana has taken a similar posture through testing rather than development in partnership with the post Quantum Security Firm Project 11.
- [18:17]
Mrs. Claus's Younger Sister
Guys, thanks for helping me carry my Christmas tree.
- [18:19]
Zoe
Zoe. This thing weighs a ton.
- [18:20]
Drew Ski
Drew Ski, lift with your legs man.
- [18:22]
JV
Santa. Santa, did you get my letter?
- [18:24]
Zoe
He's talking to you Bridges.
- [18:26]
Drew Ski
I'm not.
- [18:27]
Mrs. Claus's Younger Sister
Of course he did.
- [18:28]
Drew Ski
Right Santa, you know my elf Drew Ski here. He handles the nice list.
- [18:32]
Zoe
And elf, I'm six' three. What everyone wants is iPhone 17 and at T Mobile. You can get it on them. That center stage front camera is amazing for group selfies, right Mrs. Claus?
- [18:42]
Mrs. Claus's Younger Sister
I'm Mrs. Claus's much younger sister and AT T Mobile there's no trade in needed when you switch so you can keep your old phone or give it.
- [18:49]
Drew Ski
Does it give?
- [18:49]
Mrs. Claus's Younger Sister
And the best part? You can make the switch to T Mobile from your phone in just 15 minutes.
- [18:53]
JV
Nice.
- [18:54]
Zoe
My side of the tree is slipping.
- [18:55]
JV
Timber.
- [18:56]
Drew Ski
The holidays are better. AT T Mobile switch in just 15 minutes and get iPhone 17 on us with no trade in needed. And now T Mobile is available in US cellular stores with 24 monthly bill.
- [19:07]
T-Mobile/US Cellular Ad Voice
Credits for well qualified customers plus tax and $35 vice connection charge credit and balance due if you pay off earlier. Cancel Finance Agreement 256 gigs $830 eligible for in a new line $100 plus a month plan with auto payments taxes fees required to in 15 minutes or less per line.
- [19:16]
Amazon Music Ad Voice
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- [19:23]
Mrs. Claus's Younger Sister
Mysteries, Amazon Music's got millions of podcast episodes waiting. Just download the Amazon Music app and start listening to your favorite podcasts ad.
- [19:32]
Amazon Music Ad Voice
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- [19:34]
JV
I say 1111 all day every day. 111111111111 all nipinators get to go to heaven. Absolutely. The network recently ran a dedicated test net using quantum resistant signatures to access whether such integrated without undermining performance or compatibility. Austin Federal wrote it is quantum proof Corporate DD checkbox checked now Bitcoin's quantum debate is really about trust. Bitcoin relies on the elliptic curve trip cryptography to verify the ownership control over funds proven through the private key while only the corresponding public key is revealed on chain. In theory, sufficiently powerful quantum computer running shores algorithm could work backwards from the public key to recover the private one, although an attacker spends funds without triggering any obvious signs of theft and from the network perspective those coins would simply move as if their owner had decided to transact. But anyways Blockstream CEO Adam Back repeatedly dismissed the near term quantum fears and he's a very intelligent man by the way, stressing that the practical quantum attack remain decades out so it's not a concern right now. He claimed amplifying quantum risk fuels panic, encouraging the market price to threat that does not yet exist. And I'm going to leave you with the words of Nick Carter who responded on the back of Adam Back pun intended extremely bearish that many influential DEs flatly deny there's any quantum risk, completely unlike the philosophy of being proactive and paranoid that normally characterizes bitcoin. Meanwhile, companies raising hundreds of million to build quantum computers that can crack the ecc Bitcoin's mere existence is accelerating quantum development, AI accelerating the math and physics discoveries, U. S government planning to depreciate classically crypto by 2030, disallowed by 2035 and quantum ARM race actively underway between the U. S and China. So bottom line, let me know where you stand. Do you agree more with Nick Carter or Adam Back or somewhere in the middle? Holler at your boy. Next story of the day, how the cheap power turned Libya into a bitcoin mining hotline spot. The spot is hot. The block is hot. It's a hot spot for the biddy. November 2025 Libyan prosecutors quietly handed down three year prison sentence to nine people caught running bitcoin miners inside a steel factory of the coastal city of Zitten. Now the court ordered their machine seize and the illegally profited or profits returned to the state. The latest in a series of high profile raids that have swept from Benghazi to Mistrada and even netted dozens of Chinese nationals operating the industrial scale farm show. Yet these crackdowns are targeted in an industry that until recently most outsiders did not know even existed. For example, in 2021 Libya, a country better known for the oil exports and rolling blackouts, accounted for.6% of the global bitcoin hash rate. That put it ahead of every other Arab and African state and even seven European economies, according to estimates from the Cambridge center of Alternative Finance Finance. This unlikely rise was driven by the cheap, heavily Subsidized electricity and a long period of legal and institutional ambiguity. Bigguity. Ambiguity. I'm butchering this word ambiguity. Holy and big uity. There we go. That allowed miners I had to slow down sometimes spread faster than the lawmakers could react. And then the section that follows. Let's unpack how Libya became convert or covert mining hotspot. Why the grid now under severe strain of what the government's escalating crackdown means for the betty miners operating in the fragile states. And here you can see this is surrounded Libya by Egypt, Sudan, Chad, Niger and Algeria. Baby baby. Here's the economics of the almost free. Almost free electricity. Good lord. Libya's mining boom starts with a number that looks almost unreal. Some estimates put the country's electricity price price at.004 per kilowatt hour, amongst the lowest in the world. That level is only possible because the state heavily subsidizes fuel and keeps tariffs artificially low even as the grid struggles with the damage, theft and under investment. From an economic perspective, such pricing creates a powerful arbitrage for the miners. They are effectively buying energy far below the real market costs and converting it into bizcoin. So for the miners, this changes the hardware equation completely. In high cost markets, only the latest, most efficient asics stand the chance of staying profitable. So in Libya, even the older generation machines would scrap metal in Europe, North America and would still generate a margin. As long as they're fed with subsidized power, you're not going to get cheaper electricity, bottom line. That naturally makes the country attractive for foreign operators willing to ship and use rigs and accept legal and political risks. Regional analysis suggests that its peak was back in 2021. Bitcoin mining in Libya may have consumed roughly 2% of the country's total electricity output, about 0.855 terawatt hours a year. So in a wealthy stable grid, that level of consumption might be manageable. In Libya, where rolling blackouts already part of the daily life, diverting that subsidized power into the privately run sector room is a serious issue. And on the global mining map we have the U. S. China and Kazakhstan dominating an absolute hash rate. But Libya's slice stands out precisely because it achieved it with a small population, damage infrastructure and also the cheap electricity now inside Libya's underground mining boom. On the ground, Libya's mining boom looks nothing like a glossy data center in Texas or Kazan. Reports from Tripoli and Benghazi describe rows of imported as six as outlined in this photo right here. That looks Wild. Look how many wires into an abandoned steel, iron factory, warehouses, fortified compounds because they got to do it in secret, often on the outskirts of the cities or an industrial zone where heavy electricity use does not immediately raise eyebrows. You'd wonder why their government isn't massively doing these mining operations, considering how cheap electricity is out there, you know. But anyways, the timeline of enforcement shows how quickly the underground economy is growing. In 2018, the central bank of Libya declared virtual currencies illegal to trade. They'll probably chop your hands off if you're caught, so that's why it's high risk. You know, I'm just exaggerating. Maybe, but maybe not, citing money laundering and terrorism financing risks. Ban yet not exactly illegal on paper, Libya is a country where Bitcoin should not exist at all. In 2018, the central bank of Libya issued a public warning that virtual currencies such as bitcoin are illegal and that anyone using or trading them would have no legal protection. Yikes. Citing risk of money laundering and terrorism financing. Yeah, so you'd be labeled a terrorist if you're caught seven years later. However, there is still no dedicated law that clearly outlaws or licenses crypto mining. As part of the expert Nadia Muhammad told the new Arab Libyan law has not yet explicitly criminalized mining itself, and instead miners are using prosecuted or usually prosecuted for what surrounds it illegal electricity consumption, important banned equipment, or using proceeds for illicit purposes. Now, when miners and hospitals share the same grid, Libya's bitcoin boom plugged into the same fragile grid that keeps hospitals, schools and homes running, often just barely. Before 2022, part of the country saw blackouts lasting up to 18 hours a day. Sounds like Puerto Rico done it as war damage, cable theft and chronic. Yes please. Underinvestment left demand far ahead of the reliable supply. But anyways, I mean it's very interesting place. Again, you can get amongst the cheapest electricity in the world, but their government deems it illicit or illegal, so there's high consequences.
- [27:35]
Amazon Music Ad Voice
Ever notice how ads always pop up at the worst moments when the killer's identity is about to be revealed during that perfect meditation flow On Amazon Music, we believe in keeping you in the moment. That's why we've got millions of ad free podcast episodes. So you can stay completely immersed in every story, every reveal, every breath. Download the Amazon Music app and start listening to your favorite podcasts ad free included with Prime.
- [28:09]
Drew Ski
Everyone deserves to be connected. That's why T Mobile and US Cellular are joining forces. Switch to T Mobile and save up to 20% versus Verizon by getting built in benefits they leave out. Check the math@t mobile.com switch and now T mobile is in US cellular stores.
- [28:27]
T-Mobile/US Cellular Ad Voice
Savings versus Comparable Verizon plans plus the cost of optional benefits, plan features and taxes and fees vary. Savings with three plus lines include third line free VA monthly bill credits, credit stop if you cancel any lines Qualifying.
- [28:36]
Drew Ski
Credit required.
- [28:39]
JV
Around find out as they say in the hood and look at the pre little bitty still pumping baby let's regain back in the 90s. Currently 883 up now 34 hundo on the day. Next Story of the day Bitty Broskis as it's the top of the hour, we got two more stories to share so be prepared. Crypto Clarity Act Set for the Senate Markup in January according to David Sachs that's right, long awaited Digital Asset Market Clarity act known as the Clarity act and moving closer to law with a Senate markup expected in January with White House AI and crypto czar David Sachs Sachs posted on X On Thursday, the Senate Banking Committee Chair Tim Scott and the Agriculture Committee Chair John Boozman. Is he an alcoholic or something? Imagine having the last name Boozman. Just saying has confirmed that the bipartisan crypto bill will be shaped up by the Senate next month. They say we are closer than ever to passing the landmark crypto market structure legislation that President Trump has called for. We look forward to finishing the job in January and here's the official proof of work post on X Posted by David Sachs that was today, December 19th timestamp 8:43am now the clarity act would define crypto securities and commodities and clarify the roles of the SEC and the cft, SEC and other financial regulators. Backers of the bill say it will reduce regulatory uncertainty for the crypto firms by establishing clear compliance pathways and encouraging innovation while strengthening investor protections. Movement of the Clarity act has been slower than expected, with Senator Cynthia Lummis having predicted in September that the Clarity act would get to President Trump's desk for a signature before the end of this year. And we didn't quite get there, did we? The delays have largely been attributed to the record 43 day US government shutdown. Yeah, that didn't help across October November, however, U S regulators met with execs over at Coinbase, Ripple and Circle and others during that time to ensure the momentum of the bill didn't stall. Sax Post confirmed earlier reports that the Senate markup would be pushed into the new year, so probably be sometime in January. I would assume the House passed the Clarity act back in July with the Senate markup debating the potential amend with the bill before it's sent to the full chamber for the vote. Scott will have to tackle the passing of the bill with the super majority of the votes to avoid being forever stalled and essentially abandoned. If the Senate passes it with amendments, the bill will return to the House for the final approval before reaching the Trumpsters desk. Now for our feature story of the day, Here's a stunning Bitcoin price prediction bank of Japan policy could catapult the Bitcoin price to a million per coin according to Arthur Hayes Just blaze. That's right. Could a central bank's controversial policy be the rocket fuel that Bitcoin needs? Well, according to Bit Max co founder Arthur Hayes, he dropped the bombshell prediction directly linking the bank of Japan's monetary strategy to a potential 7 figure biddy price, which is ultimately an 11x from here happy 1111 fam. His analysis presents a compelling, audacious case for the stunning bitcoin price prediction of a million. So let's unpack the logic behind the bull forecast. Arthur Hayes, respected, often provocative voice in crypto. Absolutely. And he is a bitcoin billionaire and he's very intelligent. You know he's not just some Joe Schmo. By the way, he made the case on social media that the argument hinges on a single powerful directive. Do you you do not bet against the bank of Japan. Hayes points to the BOJ's long standing commitment to negative real interest rates as the core catalyst. This policy, designed to stimulate the Japan economy, effectively makes holding yen costly over time. Hayes argues this creates immense pressure for capital to seek harder, non depreciating assets. Therefore, his bitcoin price prediction isn't just hopeful thinking, it's framed as a direct consequence of the global monetary flows and as he says, yahtzee. To understand this potential chain reaction, we need to grasp the mechanics. Negative real interest rates means inflation outpaces the nominal interest rates. Savers and institutions see the purchasing power of their yena road. This triggers a search of alternative stores of value. Hayes forecast this will lead to two major outcomes. Number one, a drastically weaker yen potentially reaching 200 yen per US dollar. Number two, a momental capital flight monumental into the assets perceived as an inflation sensation. Resistant Bitcoin with The fixed supply 21mil is positioned as the prime beneficiary. The logic is clear like a crystal. If Japanese capital, the indeed global capital anticipate in the further currency debasement, moves even a fraction into Bitcoin, the demand shock could be unprecedented. This forms the bedrock, like the Flintstones of Hayes's ambitious bitcoin price prediction. So the million dollar question is this realistic or pure speculation? I say it all depends upon the Nipinator indicator. But I digress. While the narrative is compelling, it's crucial to weigh the challenge. Bitcoin price prediction of a million represents nearly a 15 increase from today's lows from the all time high. So such a move would require number one a sustained BOJ policy without major reversal. Number two, massive institutional adoption from the Japanese international investors Konishiwa and number three, regulatory clarity in major markets to facilitate the large scale entry. You know frequently asked questions. What did Arthur Hayes predict about bitcoin? He predicted the bank of Japan negative interest rate policy would drive the Bitcoin to a million seven figures per coin. Doing quoting Chandy how do negative interest rates affect the biddy? Negative interest rates erode the value of holding a currency like the yen. Is the bank of Japan using negative rates? Well the latest shows BoJ maintained the Ultra loose as a goose monetary policy keeping it loose as a goose. And what would bitcoin at a million mean for the market cap? Let's discuss 20 trillion. And we already know that the gold market cap broke out this year hitting an all time high at 30 trillion. And everyone does predict Bitcoin will eventually overtake the gold market cap because where's all that capital going to flow? Pretty little bitty going up forever Laura. But let me know your thoughts. The million dollar question to me when moon, you know my favorite Asian when moon. Let me know your thoughts. We all know a million's incoming. Bitcoin's only up like 250 million percent since the inception of the Genesis block. I've watched Bitcoin 10X over and over now eight times since I discovered it. Bitcoin up over 8,000%, you know. So let me know your thoughts. I'll read them out loud. And welcome everyone to the Q A segment of the live stream. And don't forget to check out bitcoinnewsalerts.net for the full premium experience with video and to participate in the live stream along with the Q A. And I look forward to seeing you on tomorrow's episode. Hoddle.
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Zoe
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