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2203: Bitcoin to $250K After 'Chaotic' Period – $1M Advocate Dismisses Bears
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Savings versus comparable Verizon plans plus the cost of optional benefits. Plan features and taxes and fees vary. Savings with three plus lines include third line free via monthly bill credits. Credit stop if you cancel any lines. Qualifying credit required. Welcome Bitcoin Fam to the number one Bitcoin pod. In today's show we'll be discussing the latest ta what's happening in the market. Of course, everything you need to know. Also Bhutan building up a green Bitcoin economy from the ground up. Also Arizona lawmaker proposes bearing or bar in taxes on crypto and blockchain tax free. Send it. We'll also be discussing Strategy boosting their US dollar reserve with the recent 748 million stock sale. Skipping their Bitcoin purchase for the week. They now have a US dollar war chest of over $2 billion. Also Galaxy Digital exec is predicting a quarter million bitty price action after the chaotic period. I'll the precise timeline. And speaking of bullish price predictions, we'll be discussing Bitcoin's 1 million price advocate. I want to talk to Samson Fires analysts who predicted a $60,000 bear target claiming bearish targets are not real despite the recent price drop. We'll also be taking a look at the overall crypto market. All this plus so much more right here in today's show. Taco Tuesday Yo Christmas week. Tomorrow's Christmas Eve already. Crazy times. Today is episode 2203. I'm your host JV 12-23-2025 Bitcoin correcting currently sitting above 87. 7 at the time of the live and I'm your host of course JV alongside my fearless co hosts the Fed Chair Nipinator Keeping them nipinating. Let's kick this off with our market watch as we do each and every day. Pulling up coin360 as you can see, Bitcoin down 4% on the day the bulk of the market all correcting and in the red including ether, XRP, Salana, BNB, Tron and Cardano. Checking out coinmarketcap.com yesterday we reclaimed 3 trillion and guess what? We're right back down. Coordinated FUD attack of the AI I think so because every time we reclaim 90 we insta crash including yesterday yet again and here we are today. Total crypto market cap 2.94 trillion the bitcoin market cap 1.749 trillion checking out top 100 crypto gainers past 24 hours. Speaking of Pippin, we got Pippin leading the pack up 38%. Apparently there's a pippin coin. I didn't even know that but anyways xdc up 3% very modest gains as the bulk of the market's correcting and in the red. Maybe because Pippen allegedly met Satoshi when he was a kid. I'm still trying to put the pieces together. Help me please in the chat. Checking out the crypto greed infare index today were extreme fear 24 yesterday 25 last week on 11 and last month of 13. Checking out the time chain calendar today is block height 929165 and you could exchange one fiat monopoly dollar for 1139 SATS. And today's episode is brought to you by zero tax Bitcoin.com learn how to use OPM other people's money to buy Bitcoin at 0% interest and how to pay zero taxes on your gains. To learn how to do this visit the website and learn right now go ahead and visit 0tax bitcoin.com and let's stack these bitties during the holidays, shall we? Here's a little live chart action. Jackson satisfaction Bo Jackson for the Broskis Today a one hour chart red candle in play. You can see the sideways trading action. Very boring. We kind of been stuck between 85 and 90 for a while and yesterday we tried to break above 90 yet again and we did instantly crash right back down. Here you can see 96 is the bull target on the one hour chart. Checking out the four hour. It's typically the same as the one hour. Yep, same similar target of 96. Also you'll notice the the sideways trading action. We do have a descending channel but then we have the rising wedge and there's literally three bear scenarios ranging from around 80000 which is the current bottom and then ranging up to 84 000. Which direction do you think the price action will be? Big week, end of the week, big options, expiry event analysts divided as always. Some say we're going to dip below the current bottom of 80 and others say, you know, we'll pump back up to 100. Ain't no telling with the constipated Janet yelling naturally. But let me know your thoughts. Here's the daily chart. You're going to notice a green, sorry a red candle on the day yesterday was barely a red candle. And then we had three consecutive green candles. But that was after bottoming out after a bunch of, you know, red candles of the week or I should say daily. Making up the week and checking out the weekly. There is a rising wedge as you can see. Unfortunately we're significantly lower than the moving averages right now. And we've had more bearish price action since the fourth quarter commenced. You know, back October 1st, I mean we did for the first week at a pump short lived hit the firmament. 126,3 has been downhill since we had the worst November in seven years. We had an October and we're currently towards the end of our December. So you know, 2026 around the corner. Suppression. Absolutely. There's definitely manipulation and things of that nature. Coordinated attacks going on in my humble opinion. But I think they can only suppress it for so long. And trying to suppress the biddy price, a great analogy is like one of those big water, you know, balls. I don't know if they're called beach balls or something but they're filled with air and you try to put it under the water and then eventually it just pops up. That's basically the bitcoin price action. 2026, mark my words. But checking out the monthly, you also notice, yeah, it's just been very lackluster. Q4, the worst Q4 performance we've had in a long time where historically we should have seen 70% gains. Instead we saw 35, 40% losses. But you know, I dedicate this to all my bitcoin bosses eating the pasta sauces. It's delicious with the mom spaghetti. Let's next dive a little deeper. Bitcoin bullish divergence builds as Go prepares to hit a new 4,500 record high. Peter Schiffmeister just spotted in Dorado, Puerto Rico at the Walmart parking lot on bingo night doing back flips. I'm not surprised. I mean even you know, it's like a dog getting a warm piece of the sidewalk. It's very rare. Gold hits a new all time high in the past decade. So I'd expect nothing less from the shift meister. If you Know what I'm saying? But you can see here trading view showed bitcoin trading down currently in the red but barely on the day we did reclaim 90. It was short lived yesterday and naturally the manipulators of the market crashed it right back down to where we're currently at. After rejecting 90 expectations were uninspiring which languish while gold and silver hit new all time highs. Bitcoin keeps rejecting from the 4 hour 200 moving average and exponential moving average. If this wants to get out of the choppy range that would be the first level we need to be broken on to the upside which are the levels outlined here in the chart. The 4 hour 200 EMA and the 4 hour 200 MA. Now Dan Crypto trades reference this also crypto Tony Montana mang a political everyone.
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Emoji moment from Mark who I just want to thank you for making GLP1s affordable. What would have been over $1,000 a month is just $99 a month with mochi money shouldn't be a barrier to healthy weight. Three months in and I have smaller jeans and a bigger wallet. You're the best. Thanks Mark. I'm Mayra Amit, founder of Mochi Health. To find your mochi moment visit join mochi.com Mark is a Mochi member compensated.
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For his story Refugee from Kuvo M He's he wrote update I'm waiting today for the move down 868 for the possible long entry upon the holding. Going to get the wiki one over the next few days but determined to catch the big moves like yesterday. Now bitcoin's back around 88. Any move towards 90 has been facing lots of selling and that's why I believe there's manipulation happening. Until bitcoin reclaims his own. The sideways chop shall continue. And as Ted shares here a whale has opened 166 million bitcoin short. You can't short your dorks can't afford that. He also opened a 54 million ETH and 18 million Solana short so it seems they're shorting everything. He also noted this entry that's I mean 250 million dollar position. That's insane. All shorts Bullish market takes Meanwhile focus on bullish divergence playing out on the three day chart as outlined here. The Bitcoin relative strength index, the RSI making higher lows while the price made lower lows. Pretty sure the bottom is in and the biddy will push back in the six figure territory soon enough. Let me know if you agree. I think it's inevitable. Just a matter of time here. Also they noted the previous two three day bullish divergences have resulted in bitcoin forming a bottom as outlined here on the one hour chart. And as gold approaches new all time high of 4,500an ounce Bitcoin revealed the bullish divergence forming key support. According to the analyst, gold has pushed to fresh all time highs while bitcoin remains stubbornly range bound heading into Christmas week. Liquidity is thinning meaningfully as traders close out positions ahead of the hoddle days. And speaking of the hoddle days. Happy hoddle days fam. Next story yo how the Kingdom of Bhutan is building a green bitty economy from the ground up. They're also one of the largest hodlers of the world of bitcoin, so respect to them especially considering it's a small country. Bhutan's pitch to the crypto world simple. If a country has abundant renewable power limited domestic demand, it can turn electrons into digital assets. In practice, the Himalayan Kingdom has been quietly doing exactly just that using the hydropower. Yes please to run the industrial scale bitty mining and to build a state backed value driven green digital asset strategy that officials say can generate hard currency liquidity, support public spending and help develop domestic tech workforce. Step one Start with the only natural resource that scales Bhutan's energy system dominated by the hydropower and electricity exports, especially in India or to India, are the core pillar of their economy. Reportedly, Bhutan's leadership views expanded hydropower capacity as a prerequisite for scaling its green crypto ambitions of a rod rod, the government's own energy plan and documents to frame this expansion into the large numbers. Bhutan's National Energy Policy 2025 cites techno economically viable hydropower potential of 33,000 megawatts based on the Power System Master Plan 2040 and positions hydropower alongside solar, wind and storage essential long term growth. A World bank report similarly places Bhutan's feasible hydropower potential at roughly 33 gigawatts and notes that the macroeconomic impact of the recent imports of the IT equipment linked to crypto mining expansion. I want to talk to Samson. Now we're talking. Step 2 Use the surplus hydropower as computing fuel that's right. Bhutan's crypto strategy spearheaded by Grck Holding Investment, the commercial investment arm of the royal government. In April 2025, their CEO said Bhutan began adding cryptos to the DHI portfolio back in 2019. He framed Bitcoin mining as a way to increase access to foreign currency liquidity and create value from surplus hydropower. Bhutan has used some crypto related profit to help pay government salaries for the past couple of years, according to the senior officials. Step 3 Treat Bitcoin like a financial buffer for seasonal grid that's right. Hydropower systems often face a timing problem. Generation can surge when rivers run high and shrink when the flows drop back. In January of this year, Bhutan's Jeuu City GMC project described the country's approach as a way to monetize surplus summer hydrop power via the green bitcoin, then convert that value back into electricity imports when the power is tighter. That battery framing matters because it is one of Bhutan's most consistent arguments for why mining is not merely speculation. Instead its position as infrastructure adjacent to turning otherwise curtail renewable generation into a liquid reserve asset. Now step number four Keep it sovereign and increasingly regulated regulators rest in peace. Nate Dog Bhutan's mining and reserve building efforts have attracted attention because they are state linked rather than purely private. September 24th that's 2024 yo blockchain analytics firm ARCAM identified the Bhutan government linked bitcoin holdings on a platform characterized those holdings as originating from a minor rather than seizures. Unlike the United States, however, on chain estimates fluctuate with the price, movement, wallet attribution and should not be treated as audited public accounts. Let's skip down to step number five and get down and gritty here. The green coin narrative and the risk involved. Bhutan officials explicitly emphasize the climate angle and for example arguing that the coins mine using Bhutan's hydropower offset Coins mine with fossil energy and that's an oxymoron. Fuel does not come from fossils. You know, fossil fuels that whole. But that's a topic for another conversation. Remind me during our Q A segment so I can rip into the forces of evil at hand. But I digress lizard folk. Even in a renewable heavy system, these risks do not disappear. There's a volatility in fiscal risks. Just remember, volatility is definitely a pro in the bitcoin ecosystem. Only the fudsters and lizard folks position it as a con. Make note of that transparency. There's nothing more transparent. Tick tock, next block, baby, baby. And the financial crime, consumer protection. We all know the biggest crime syndicate, central banking cartels, Jamie Demon, the ones that banked Epstein and his clients. And I'm sticking to it. But Kingdom of Bhutan for the win. They have almost double the amount of bitcoin than bitcoin country. So they're doing big things. They adopted bitcoin quite early in the race as the global hash war continues all around the world. All right, yo, next story. This is Arizona Lawmaker proposes barring Taxes on Crypto and Blockchain. There are some people that have a lot of high hopes that Trump will eliminate capital gains taxes altogether in the United States. I'm a little skeptical because, you know, that's how they control us through the taxes. But at a state level, I think that's brilliant and I hope more states go that route. So let's entertain this here. Arizona State Senator Wendy Rogers has proposed two bills and a resolution in an effort to change the state laws on taxing digital assets. And legislation pre filed with the Arizona state Friday, she proposed amending state statutes to exempt virtual currency from taxation. God bless her. Barring countries, cities and towns from taxing or finding equities or entities running blockchain nodes. That's awesome. And amending the state constitution's definition of property tax to clarify rules and digital assets. The blockchain node bill may move through the state legislature, but the crypto tax bill. The resolution would require a vote by Arizona voters during the next general election, November 2026. It's called scr1003.
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Constitution specifically to exclude virtual currency from property tax. While SB 1044 would add similar language to the state statutes. SB 1045 would prohibit cities, towns and country, I'm sorry counties in the state from imposing a tax or a fee on a person that runs a node on blockchain technology. Arizona is one of the few states of the US that has a law on the books allowing the government to claim ownership of digital assets that have been abandoned for the last three years. The law was part of the efforts by crypto advocates to establish a digital asset reserve in Arizona. But there are other proposals to give the state more authority to invest in cryptos like the king the BTC. Rogers was one of the co sponsors of the bitcoin reserve bill VetoeD by Arizona Governor Katie Hobbs back in May. The senator condemned the move and said she would refile the bill during the next session. Now U. S States adopt Crypto reserve bill Different Digital asset Policies Arizona remains one of the few U S states with a law establishing a digital asset reserve along New Hampshire and Texas. And although some lawmakers and other states have been attempting to gather support for similar bills, there's only are all many suggesting different approach and different on digital asset taxation. For example, Ohio's House of reps passed the bill which could exempt crypto transactions under 200 bucks. Now this is what I would see if like the U S government went this route and they like minimize taxes on crypto. I think they do some like that which to me is not exciting. But on everyday purchases I guess maybe it will incentivize people to use crypto to buy things. However, I mean I'm not so excited about that personally. But yeah, imagine if US government's like yeah, we're going to eliminate taxes but it's not eliminate all capital gain. They're just like well eliminated on purchases up to $200. So best of luck trying to buy your dream home with your crypto gains and you're still going to get taxed or whatever your state capital gains tax is. For example, Puerto Rico capital gains tax is 15%, meaning for every 100,000 profit, let's hypothetically say you purchase Bitcoin for 20 grand and let's hypothetically say you sell it at 120, you capture a realized gain of $100,000 in profit. Hypothetically in Puerto Rico you're then responsible for paying 15 which would be 15,000 to the government unless you're Act 60 or grandfathered in from Act 20 and then you have zero capital gains tax liability. In every state there's going to be whatever capital gains tax Is. I would assume the worst is probably in California because everything sucks there nowadays. But you know, that's how capital gains tax work, yo. Unless you position yourself to minimize or reduce that. Next up bro. Strategy boost US dollar reserve with 748 million stock sales skipping bitcoin purchases on the week. So they now have a war chest of fiat of roughly 2.2 billion. Here was the official announcement from the Gigachad yesterday. Strategy has increased as US dollar reserve curve by 748 million. Now holds 2.19 billion and 671268 BTC. You know, the filing with the regulator shows strategy sold 4.5 million shares of the class A common stock MSTR during the week December 15th to the 21st, generating 748 million worth of net proceeds through its ATM program. The company did not sell any preferred stock during the period. Strategy announced the establishment of the U S dollar reserve early Dec. December, initially set at 1.4 billion. So they just doubled down on that. The reserve would support the payment of preferred stock dividends and interest on its outstanding indebtedness strategies. Current intentions to maintain the U S dollar reserve in an amount sufficient to fund at least 12 months of its dividends Strategy intends to strengthen the U S dollar reserve over time with the goal of ultimately covering 24 months or more of the dividends. And I think they achieved just that. I think I heard them say they can now cover up to 3,38 months to pay their investor dividends with the new war chest, you know, exceeding the $2 billion the cash reserves comes with a slowdown of the bitcoin purchases which we were really anticipating. The company's total holdings were acquired at an aggregate purchase price above 50 billion with an average purchase price of 75,000 per BTC. In the latest purchase December 15, the company bought 10,645 Bitcoin for 980 million. Yep, another billion dollar purchase the previous week. Strategy common stock is down nearly 50% over the past year according to Google Finance. Currently exchanging hands at 16723. Let me know if any of you have any exposure to micro Strategy stock now known as Strategy B. Now treasury companies face bare markets this year. Yes, some of them have not been doing so well. 2024, 2025 several companies adopted strategies Bitcoin Treasury Model for example Meta Planet announced its crypto treasury back in April of last year now ranks the fourth largest Bitcoin holder with over 3800 bitties. Has seen its shares fall 75% over the past six months even though the stock is still up 26 year to date. Also Mara, the second largest holder is a Bitcoin mining company. They have 53000 Bitcoin and they're down 38. So pretty much all these stocks are down because when bitcoin doesn't perform well on the year, their stock is not going to do so well. So you can see here the largest holders, the top 12 strategy number one pole position by far with 671, 000 MERA not even close in second position with 53 000. Then we got Jack Mahler's new company 21 Capital Meta Planet Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company, Bullish Riot Platforms, Coinbase Hut 8 which is partnered with the Trump family, Clean Spark and then we have another Trump one, number 11, Trump media and Technology Group. And then we have Tesla as the largest holders of bitcoin as far as publicly traded companies are concerned. And of course we also have major financial arms such as Blackrock, which I would speculate probably has over 800,000 Bitcoin which belong to the investors. Though I believe the custodian There is Coinbase, Mr. Armstrong, aka Mr. Clean. Which one's the best crypto asset? Well, bitcoin's the best crypto asset. Okay, what's the second best? There is no second best.
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I'm not saying I'm number one.
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I'm sorry I lied.
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I'm number one. 2, 3, 4 and 5.
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There's no second best crypto asset. There's a crypto asset. It's called bitcoin. Right now for our feature stories of the day. Pure bullishness. Galaxy Digital exec predicts 250000 bitty price after chaotic period. I'll be breaking down the timeline here. Let's get right into it. A new post by researcher Alex Thorne says the growing uncertainty and shifting investor behavior points to volatile price expectations throughout 2026 for the BTC. Quoting him here from the post. Bitcoin will hit 250000 by year end 2027. 2026 is too chaotic to predict though Bitcoin making a new all time high in 2026 still possible. So you're saying there's a chance? Options markets are currently pricing about equal odds of 70 or 130,000 for the month end June 2026. Equal odds of 50,000 or 250,000 by the year end 2026. These wide ranges reflect uncertainty about the near term. At the time of writing, broader crypto is already deep in a bear market and Bitcoin has failed to firmly re establish its bullish momentum until Bitcoin firmly reestablishes itself above 100 to 105.
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This is to say we're moving from a skew normally seen in developing growth y markets to market seen in more traditional macro assets. And according to the researcher, he also wrote this maturation will likely continue and whether or not bitcoin bleeds lower towards the 200 week moving average, the assets class maturation, institutional adoption are only increasing. 2026 could be a boring year for bitcoin. And whether it finishes at 70 or 150, our bullish outlook is only growing stronger. Increasing institutional access is combining with relaxing monetary policy in a market in desperate search for non dollar hedge assets. It is very possible that bitcoin follows gold to become widely adopted as a monetary debasement hedge within the next couple of years. All right fam. Now for our future story of the day. Bitcoin's 1 million price advocate Samson Mao fires the analyst who predicted 60,000 claim it's too bearish. It's not real. Despite the ongoing correction. So shout out to the man, the myth, the legend, the one and only Gen3 founder Samson Mao aka Bruce Lee. That's right. Samson argues that Bitcoin has already reached the cyclical bottom. Rejecting the bearish forecast. He also sparked debate after claiming he fired an analyst from predicting 60 G's. How dare he. Despite the near term volatility, Mal maintains his long term view that the biddy price was will reach 1 million per coin in a violent upheaval. Long live Samson. Prominent bitcoin advocate known for repeatedly predicting 1 million per coin said he does not take recent bearish price targets seriously and claim he fired an analyst who forecast bitcoin a fall to 60 GS. Speaking on a recent pod, he argued the Bitcoin had likely reached the cyclical bottom. That's when we tapped 80Gs, dismissing predictions calling for declines to 50, 10,000 or lower. Pure insanity. If you were to ask me, I think the lowest target we did see, I think his name was Mike Mlone, the Bloomberg guy. He's like yeah, we're going to 10,000. I'd fire the too. Just saying if you look at bitcoin at even 110,000, I think 2026 is going to be a surprise people adding that the current prices barely outperform inflation by his estimates. We're kind of like trolling around the bottom of the a seabed and people think it is going to go lower. Stupid. Now Mouse suggests the bearish price targets are often arbitrary and lack analytical justification. He says if you're going to pick a random number down, pick zero. Might as well, because what sailors say I'm ready to ride that zero. He also argued the bitcoin is trading at a discount when viewed through inflation adjusted returns, reinforcing his view that the downside risk are overstated. The comments come as Mao intensified as criticism a bearish forecast on X where he claimed he had dismissed the analysts over a pessimistic bitcoin price call. Quoting him here I have fired the analyst that said bitcoin's going to 60 GS. Hey, fair play brother. However, they didn't identify the person so they didn't throw them under the bus. Kept it generic. And then others, you know, they question Samson, they say that boy is a clown. We're going way below 60 during the bear market, you know. And naturally analysts are very divided. But you know, Ma has been predicting 1 million as one of the most vocal proponents of this seven figure price action. In March he wrote bitcoin historically moves faster than expected and said recent political developments only strengthen the conviction quoting them here since getting into bitty, what I've consistently found is that everything always happens faster than I expect. That's why my prediction is for a fast run to 1 million, call Bitcoin. Jackie Joiner cursor and let's freaking go. And while MA has said his internal model predicts bitcoin reaching a million by 2031, he does believe the market can reach that level significantly sooner. I say send it in 2026 or forever hold your peace. Meanwhile, Peter Schiff, everyone's least favorite bitcoin skeptic, recently dismissed claims that bitcoin was forming a market bottom. Here's what he said. The idea that a bottom is forming is more more wishful thinking than actual ta. It is more likely the market's consolidating as it gets ready for the next leg down. And you know Peter Schiffmeister loves flexing when gold is hitting a new all time high because it's so rare for gold to do that in the last 10 years. I just seen them with the boys over in Dorado, Puerto Rico, bingo night, doing backflips in the the parking lot of Walmart. Schiff added that he believed bitcoin has not decoupled from other assets. He wrote it just doesn't rally as much when they rise and in Dec much more than they fail. He also claims claims Michael Sailor's running the largest scam in history through strategy. But that's Peter Schiffmeister for you. But there you have it. Yo, what are your thoughts? Violent upheaval 1 million prelo bitty going up forever lore. Let me know and we'll go from there. Welcome everyone to the Q and A segment of the live show. And Merry Christmas on behalf of the Nipinator indicator. Baby baby. Anyways, okay, you definitely get to stay from the house. He has the worst world's largest jail. Yeah, you get to stay at the jailhouse. You get the jailhouse blues. Samson is on the line and let me talk to him. I agree with the Samson 1 million for the cycle peak. Why so bearish? 1.1 sounds prettier to me. Does that mean we're in the same cycle now? Is the 1 million absolute? Freaking lutely so this cycle theoretically would be over 2028 the year the next having. So for example, one cycle was 2012 to 2016, another one 2016, 2020, another 2020 and 2024. And right now we're in the cycle that began at the having of 2024 last year until 2028. Once 2028 occurs, then theoretically it's a new cycle. However, if everything just shift like Peter, there's no telling what the constipated giant yelling bands. And don't forget to check out bitcoinnewsalerts.net for the full premium experience with video and to participate in the live stream along with the Q and A. And I look forward to seeing you on tomorrow's episode. Hoddle.
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