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2207: Bitcoin to $575K by 2026 — Bull Market Targets Accelerate
00:28:08
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Crypto Analyst JV
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Crypto Analyst JV
Welcome Bitcoin Fam to the number one Bitcoin pod and Happy Sat Stack and Saturday in today's show we'll be discussing the latest of what's happening in the market with the latest TA. Also crypto ETF set to explode higher in 2026. Also rich dad Mr. Kiyosaki issues a massive silver price forecast, warns precious metal mania signals hyperinflation may hit the US Dollar. Also be discussing Coinbase CEO says reopening the Genius act is red line slamming the bank's lobbying. Also, Arthur Hayes just blazed sticks to his 250,000 Bitcoin price target by year's end, predicting 575,000 by the end of 2026. We'll also be discussing Bitcoin saw bare market in 2025. Decade long bull run ahead of us according to Jan3's Samson Mount. We'll also be taking a look at the overall crypto market. All this plus so much more right here in today's show. Sat Stacking Saturday. Today is December 27th, 2025. I'm your host JV alongside my co host Fed Chair Nipinator. And today is Sat Stacking Saturday. Bitcoin hovering just above 87,500 on the day. Pretty break even. Only a few more days left. We put a bow on 2025 and of course there's lots of happening in the market. So without further ado, let's pull up coin360 and as you can see, the bulk of the market in the green. Maybe she's born with it, maybe it's Maybelline, but I prefer the color of the Listerine in the market versus the blood red or the bloodshed. The fed is dead, as the nip once said in his standup comedy special. But yeah, everything's in the green today, which is kind of nice. Checking out coinmarketcap.com we're on the verge of recapturing 3 trillion. We've been floating just under it all week. Right now it's 2.96 trillion. Total crypto market cap biddy market cap $1.747 trillion. Checking out top 100 crypto gainers past 24 hours. We got zcash, the privacy coin leading the pack currently up 16% on the day followed by Canton up 16% and another privacy coin dash up up 13%. Making a dash below that we got the polka dot and the mem core which al ifany are you bullish on for the bull Holla, let me know. Drop a comment in the chat. Checking out the crypto greed and fear index. We've been stuck in extreme fear for a very long time. We bottomed out at around a 10 today it's a 23. Yesterday at 20, last week at 20 and last month at 22. And checking out the time chain calendar and here's a little knowledge for you. When Satoshi invented bitcoin he didn't use the terminology bitcoin blockchain. That was invented after he used the term time chain. And that's why this is the time chain calendar. Today we're at block height 929, 755 and you could exchange one fiat monopoly dollar for 1142 SATS. But anyways, let's just continue. We'll do some live chart action. Jackson Satisfaction, Tony Braxton dedicated to the baddies today here on the one hour chart we do have a blue target in the bear which is 76 and we have one of the bulls of 96 and we're practically 87 now. So it's like a God candle. Above, below, water above, water below. Welcome to the bitcoin show and checking out the four hour. You're gonna notice man, we've just been trading sideways again. I've been calling it out for the past few weeks. A lot of market manipulation. The major exchanges tend to do massive sell offs all in coordination like within, you know, 30 minutes. Massive selloffs. Anytime we start breaking out, it's like they're suppressing bitcoin price. But what else is new? I think even silver. Silver just had a massive breakout hit, an all time high and then they had to put it in check because they don't want anything. Just running to new all time highs and continuing to go because it makes the dollar look bad. So there's forces of evil that do suppress all asset classes in my humble opinion. Me know your thoughts on that. But on the four hour chart we do have a red bull target at 96. Three bare scenario targets floating from 87 to 76. You know, float like a butterfly, sting like a bee, rest in peace Muhammad Ali and Bruce Lee. Checking out the daily. You're going to notice another barely green candle on the day. So minuscule it doesn't really matter. We kind of just been stuck in this range 8590 for a while now. Will we get a big massive breakout to the upside or downside? That's what all the analysts said because of the options expiry yesterday. And guess what? Nothing changed. We're still stuck in the same range. Crazy rising wedge on the weekly. You're gonna notice the forecast skating down red candles that dropped us down to the 80 local bottom had a little bit of a recovery correction sideways again. We have 2026 around the corner like four or five days. Checking out the monthly. We do get a monthly candle close in four more days. We do get the weekly close tomorrow so. But you'll notice another red month up. We had October, November, December and there you go. Yo next up we're continue here. No 90,000 bitcoin till next year. Bitcoin futures open interest hits an 8 monon low but how low will she go? Bitcoin face another rejection after briefly testing 89 on Friday. The move caught the traders off guard. I'll let you try my Wuang style. Liquidating more than 260 million in leverage Bitcoin futures positions the aggregate Bitcoin futures open interest on the major exchanges fell to 42 billion on Friday from 47 billion just two weeks earlier, marking the lowest level in eight months. Still, the sharp drop in leverage is not inherently bearish since the longs and the shorts are always matched. Investor unease intensified after 5 day outflow for the spot Bitcoin ETFs total in 825 million. We'll do a deeper dive into the ETF volume here in a little bit. Precious metals have been soaring and stealing the show. As you know, gold and silver both recently just broke out hitting all time highs. That was on Friday as investors sought protection from the rising US debt demand for government back debt increases pushing the yields of the US 10 year treasuries to 3 week low of 4%. Part of the skepticism towards the US monetary policy stems from inconsistent signals around the import tariffs. Well, I will say this, the only consistent signal is the NIP indicator and the nip lick indicator, the only bitcoin indicator with 100% accuracy, Trump's administration said on Tuesday. Duties on Chinese semiconductor imports were postponed until June of 2027. Previous week, US government lifted restrictions on Nvidia's second most powerful AI chip exported to China, which had previously been banned from Mr. Biden's administration over national security concerns. Yay. The Bitcoin monthly futures premium helps assess whether the whales and the market makers have turned to bearish under the neutral conditions. Bitcoin futures typically trade at 5 to 10% annualized premiums, known as the basis rate, to compensate for the longer settlement periods. Given Bitcoin's repeated failures to reclaim 90 well, we keep touching it and then we just instantly crash. Which tells me orchestrated, you know, attack sell off again. All the major exchanges tend to sell off at the exact time within 30 minutes. Not a coincidence in my humble opinion. But what are your thoughts? Also, the Delta SKU measures the cost of the put options relative to the buy instruments. When sentiment weakens, the metric rises above the neutral 6 threshold, while the bullish phases typically push it into negative territory. However, the decline of the Bitcoin futures and options open interest, along with roughly 1% of the net outflows from the Biddy ETFs.
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Crypto Analyst JV
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Crypto Analyst JV
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Crypto Analyst JV
Itself signal a sustained bear market, particularly when the Bitcoin option metrics and the basis rate remain healthy. So all eyes on the nibinator indicator and we'll go from there. Next up, exchange traded products set to explode higher in 2026 according to the top analysts. And they've had a hell of a run since going live January 2024. So here we go. Crypto ETF set to explode this coming year with over 100 new ETF filings expected and billions of dollars of net inflows pouring into the investment vehicles. Pouring like you know, cats and dogs, you know. Senior ETF analyst B. Chunes forecast the base case of 15 billion of capital flows for this following year 2026 and as much as 40 billion if the market conditions improve. Meanwhile, the US Federal Reserve is probably going to lower the interest rates so they say in 2026, pushing net inflows towards the mid to upper limits of the estimate, according to Eric Bal Chunes. And here you can see the weekly crypto asset flows by assets Bitcoin in the black Z, Cash in the green and Ethereum in the blue. ETF investors have also become a structural price support for Bitcoin, adding the Bitcoin ETF hodders held strong during the market draw down and at the long term. Bitcoin natives also call the OGs were to blame for the recent selling pressure. Quoting them here, only 4% of the assets exited in this recent 35% drawdown, 96% of the assets hung tough. In some weeks there was even inflows. But all told that's pretty good because if you think about it, a 35% drawdown is the equivalent of 2008 for equities. That's a lot to stomach and I think that really shows their metal, he said. He attributed the discipline amongst ETF hodlers to the higher levels of financial education and the long term investment horizons. And here you see the bitcoin price versus the U S Spot ETF cost basis. Baltuna shared that the one of the main things to watch for this coming year 2026 increased crypto ETF allocation by the institutional investors, pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, registered investment advisors and endowments. That's where all the real money is. According to the expert, the number of the new ETF filings is expected to surge in 2026 driven by the US crypto regulations. Fabian Dory, chief investment officer of Singum bank, shared if the US Lawmakers pass the Clarity Act, a comprehensive crypto market structure bill, it will open the floodgates Pandora's box for the new crypto ETFs 2026 according to Dorian Mahogan, chief investment officer of the investment company Bitwise. You know, and on the basis of the potential passing of that Clarity act, we could expect new filings continuing to go beyond Bitcoin and eth, adding that staking yields attract very solid demand and the rule based index or basket products may emerge as a new frontier. Baltuna said the number of the alts with the ETFs of the US could double in 2026, opening those digital assets to flows from traditional financial markets. These all ETFs will likely be accompanied by an influx of crypto related income producing ETFs or other types of crypto related investment funds. Oh boy, we can't wait for the Melania Coin ETF, right guys? The total assets under management and crypto ETFs could double to 400 billion by the end of 2026. Let me know if you agree with that forecast. Adding to the forecast shared by Bifinex analysts. Yeah, ultimately. Let me know if you agree disagree. We all know there's big money from the institutions flowing which started in 2024 and they're continuing to rise. And I know companies like BlackRock are making a killing just based off the fees. And speaking of making a killing, shout out to Shaolin Monk Krillin for holding it down with the destructo disc. But next story is actually the latest with silver and rich dad's prediction. Mr. Robert Kiyosaki. So let's break this baby down. Headline reads Robert Kiyosaki issues massive Silver price forecasts Warning the precious metal mania signals hyperinflation and it may hit the US dollar. Hitman now. That's right. Rich dad says silver price explosion may signal that hyperinflation is a coming silver over 70 bucks. Great news and I saw it at 79 last night. I don't know if it rose a little higher but let me know where it peaked out at fam. He says great news for the gold and silver stackers. Bad news for the fake money savers making fun of those who save in dollars. What do we call them folks? According to Sailor call them poor. I am concerned. $70 silver may signal hyperinflation in 5 years as the fake dollar keeps losing value. Now don't be a loser. Fake dollar will continue to lose purchasing power as silver goes to $200 in 2026, which is more than a double of where it's at currently. Kiyosaki reiterates. His silver call also says over the next year a solid hyperinflation trade will be buying up more metals, Bitcoin and ether. Lesson number nine, how to get richer as the world economy crashes. The Fed just let the world know their plans for the future. The Fed lowered the interest rate, signaling QE or turning on the fake money printing press Burr. But Larry Leopard calls the big print the title of his great book, Shout Out. Larry Leopard. This will lead to hyperinflation, making life very expensive for the unprepared. My suggestion is the same. Buy more real gold. And he has to throw in real there because derivatives or notes are not actually real, meaning you're not holding the underlying asset. And do you know how many derivatives exist in the gold market? Not even funny, yo. Also silver, bitcoin and ethereum. I bought more real silver as soon as the Fed announced another rate cut last week. Silver's going to the moon. Possibly 200 an ounce in 2026. You guys let me know if you agree disagree with Rich dad. Silver was $20 an ounce in 2024. Wow. So it actually 10x in one year. That's actually quite impressive if that's accurate. Can someone check that for me and verify that? He says question did I need to buy more silver? Answer no. I just hate getting screwed by my own gunman. And I'm gonna get richer when the fake economy crashes. There's the latest and greatest from rich dad, Mr. Robert Kiyosaki. Any of you guys precious metal holders, let me know. I have some gold chains and but personally I don't have any silver eagles or none of that. I'm all in on the Nipinator. At this stage in my life, Juju says I've never had the faith in the eighth. Well, you got to look at the background. You know, the Ethereum Foundation. Trustworthy? No. You know, Joseph Lubin, Vitalik. Trustworthy? No. You know, consensus. Trustworthy? No. Anyone involved in it is not trustworthy to me. But I only trust Satoshi and Nip, so I am a little biased. Next story of the day. Yo, here we go. Coinbase CEO says reopening the Genius act is a red line. Slamming the bank lobbying. Damn banksters. That's right. Mr. Clean aka Brian Armstrong said any attempt to reopen the Genius act would cross a red line. Never cross that red line, Broskis. In a Sunday post, he said he was impressed the banks could lobby Congress openly without the backlash, adding Coinbase could continue pushing back on efforts to revise the law. We won't let anyone reopen Genius, he wrote. My prediction is the banks will actually flip and be lobbying for the ability to pay interest and yield on a stable coin in a few years once they realize how big the opportunity is for them. So it is 100% wasted effort on their part. The Genius act, passed after months of negotiations, bars stablecoin issuers from paying interest directly, but allows platforms and third parties to offer rewards. And you can see Brian Armstrong ranting here in response to Max Avery, who wrote banks earn 4.4% on reserve parked at the Fed. They pay you 0.01% on your savings account. And now they're lobbying Congress. Make sure stable coins can't Guys, thanks.
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Crypto Analyst JV
This thing weighs a ton.
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Crypto Analyst JV
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Crypto Analyst JV
Right? You know my elf Drew Ski here.
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Crypto Analyst JV
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- [20:06]
Crypto Analyst JV
And that's precisely what you would expect from the forces of evil. They do not like anyone earning yield. Remember when there was a war on crypto with the Biden administration? They went after every company in crypto offering yield. Not surprised. Armstrong's comments came in response of this board member and business development exec who outlined why parts of the banking sector are pushing lawmakers to revisit the legislation. He argued that proposed amendments would go beyond banning direct investment or interest payments by stablecoin issuers. He argued, yeah, because they want you to park your money in the bank and give you zero. And it's fractional reserve banking. Ponzi scheme, right? So they borrow, they let people borrow 10 times the amount you put in and they don't even keep your money available for you at the bank. So why are you guys giving your money to the bank? Something to seriously think of, right? Sailor says those who treat fiat as a store value, what do we call them folks? Fill in the blanks. Cutting off indirect yield sharing mechanism offered by the platforms at a third parties. Avery pointed. While the banks currently earn 4% of the reserves parked by the Fed, consumers often receive close to zero. That's 100%, right? You're really losing money due to inflation when you park money at the bank. Which leads to the next question. Why in your right mind would you dare park money in the bank? I say only keep in the bank, number one, what you can afford to lose. And number two, maybe enough to pay the bills for 30 to 90 days max. Otherwise, I think you're missing a point. But that's just me. Jv, Crypto, OG they're calling it a safety concern. They're worried about the community bank deposits. Sure they are. Independent research show zero evidence, a disproportionate deposit out. And here's the other thing. If there's ever a bank run, do you think the FDIC has the money available to pay back all the customers? You know, they're like, you're insured up to 250,000. Well, if there's a bank run and there's no money at the bank to begin with, you know, I mean, 10, 20 years ago, I used to go to the bank, I'd like to withdraw 10,000. Sorry, we don't have that kind of capital available. You got to make an appointment, come back next week. This is the shenanigans we deal with with the banksters. And I know I'm preaching to the choir, but last week US lawmakers unveiled a discussion draft aimed at reducing the tax burden on everyday crypto users, exempting small stablecoin transactions from capital gains. I think it was like 200 or less. Big whoop. I say we need to eliminate capital gains tax altogether if you really want to move in the right direction. But I'm very skeptical because the lizard folk love to use taxes as a way to keep you poor and they're doing a fantastic job at it. Shout out to the nipadator. Make it a nibinator and a gator next. Story of the day Arthur Hayes Just Blaze sticks to his end of the year target. Now that's an interesting statement considering we only got four days left till the end of the year. However, he is saying 575000 target by the end of 2026, which ultimately means within the next year. And yesterday we discussed his bull scenario of 700. I forgot the exact number but if you missed yesterday's podcast, make sure to check it out. I'll break it down and recap it here. And then next up we'll discuss the latest from Samson Mao predicting a decade long bull run. Definitely speaking my language here Samson. I want to talk to Samson. But first, Arthur Hayes just Blaze. It has been interesting year for the pioneer crypto asset, the btc. As you know, lots of volatility. This year we hit the new all time high126.3. Then we had the correction 35% bottomed out at 80, been trading sideways in the 8590 range. Every time we break above 90 there seems to be a mass sell off, coordinated attack amongst, you know, the exchanges and whatever's happening with the market makers and the AI. But he's also predicting 575000 by the end of 2026 which means within the next year. So whether bitcoin hits these targets within the next year or not, it is clear leaders and financial figures believe in the long term strength. Well of course Arthur Hayes is a bitcoin billionaire. I'd expect nothing less. Anyways, he is the founder of Bitmax which was the largest derivatives exchange in the world. I don't know if it still is because back then there was the lawfare and you know they Biden administration ultimately went after all the founders and CEOs of all the big crypto companies. And then from my perception my two satoshis, what I believe happened was the government, Gensler, the sec, all the Organizations working for the lizard folk. They basically colluded to bring up Bankman Fried's FTX because they had control over it and they didn't have control over Bitmex. So FTX took over in a very short period of time. Within a couple of years it went from no one ever heard of it before to the second largest crypto exchange in the world and the largest derivatives exchange. And who was having secret meetings with Bankman Fried? Gary Gensler. At least three times according to his own testimony. So you can only imagine the shenanigans that were going on there. I don't think any of that was a coincidence. I believe it was because the government was doing business with scamster Bankman Freed. And so they targeted bitmax and Arthur Hayes with lawsuits and he had to step down as the CEO in a similar way to CZ having to step down and pay the 4, you know, billion dollar shut the up fine to the DOJ. But anyways, I digress. What are your thoughts on Arthur Hayes's prediction? Can you foresee literally 575000 by the end of 2026? Let me know and here's the proof of work. We'll click on the actual tweet he shared. Let's time stamp it. This was December 23rd. So the day before Christmas Eve. He's ultimately saying bitcoin still going. Oh yeah. So he's obviously joking here. 250000 in eight days. You can tell from his laughing. But he does say 575000 by the end of 2026. I can see that happening. I'm going to reiterate my personal prediction. I'm gonna stick to 222000 as the bear scenario for the cycle peak which may happen in 2026, 2027. Remember, there's no telling with the constipated. Janet Yellen Finance. However, we do got a base case for the Broskis of 420 which is pretty much in alignment with Arthur Hayes. And then we have the bull scenario which means, you know, if all the stars are aligned, we can see 1.1 million this cycle. Let me know if you agree or disagree. And moving on from Arthur Hayes, just blaze. Let's dive into the Latest from Samson Mount. The Jan3Founder headline reads Bitcoin saw the bear market in 2025. Decade long bull run ahead. I say send it. Bitcoin could be entering a bull run run last. Imagine that till 2035. I can see it following what may have been a bare market of about. Yeah, so this was a bare year. Prepare for the real bull run coming soon. However, other analysts argue the bitcoin all time high 126 in October marked the cycle high. In 2026 would start. Yeah, so if we have the traditional four year cycle as we know it, that's exactly what would happen. It mean we peaked out this year and then we have pure bear 2026, 2027 leading into the next having of 2028. However, a lot of very smart people including Samson Mao believe in the extended cycle theory. Other you know, top influencers, you know, Max Geyser, Arthur Hayes, we just covered, you know, Adam back and the list goes on and on. JV Nipinator, you know, 2025 was the bear, he said adding that bitcoin may be about to record a decade long bull run. And Sailor has said pretty much the same thing. He said we can go on a 21 year bull run seeing like I don't remember the exact number, but like 100% annualized gains every year over the course the next 21 years and in pretty little bitty 21 million per coin. Blackjack. And this was off the back of the plan C echoing a similar sentiment. Let me show you the proof of work. AI agents are everywhere, automating tasks and making decisions at machine speed.
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Crypto Analyst JV
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Crypto Analyst JV
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Crypto Analyst JV
Is a tweet by plan C on Christmas day. Congratulations. If you made it through 2025, you made it through the bear. So we all agree 2025 was a bear market. Correct. And he shows you the Red Bear Bear Bear Care Bear countdown for your cycle bro. My point is that 2025 should be green because of this nonsense three year and one red pattern idea. Bitcoin has never had two red yearly candles in a row. Someone responded, bear markets do not equal odd number years. You're a bit too early. He responded, My point, 2025 should have been green because of this. Yeah, pretty much. But anyways, here's Samson's response. 2025 was the bare market. Let me know if you agree or disagree with that sentiment. So yeah, bitcoin is down right now 9% since January 1st. So we are down on the year from where we were the prior year. So things have definitely played out unexpectedly where we were all anticipating a massive bull run in Q4, you know, kicked off in October and we started on the right foot, right? Thinking back, October started a government shutdown. It was like, oh. And it ended up being the longest u. S. Government shutdown in history. But ironic. By the end of the first week, it was October 6th. We hit the current firmament of the 1263 and we've been correcting ever since. We had the worst November in seven years and the worst Q4 performance historically I ever recall in the market. And that's why a lot of us believe we're going to have an extended cycle to make up for him. We ain't seen nothing yet. But let me know your thoughts. Of course the perma bears are preaching 65 000. I've even heard Bloomberg analyst McGlone it's going to 10,000, you know, but I disagree with that. I know strategy CEO also very bullish. Naturally, you know, sailor's going to be bullish as he's the largest corporate holder of bitcoin on the planet, currently over 670,000 bitties. His plans to have seven and a half percent of the circulating supply. And Samson has been on record for a while suggesting a violent upheaval. And this is historically accurate. When bitcoin does make major breakouts, typically within 10 days, we do some crazy, you know, unexpected price action which ultimately means we can rise, you know, tens of thousands, a hundred thousand like we've never seen before. Just as we lost 20,000 in price in the month of november, we can gain 20,000 in 10 days. It could happen that fast. In fact, I remember in 2017, Bitcoin was like a thousand dollars by the end of the year, 20,000. I was practically a 20x gain. And we saw something similar in 2020 after Novid the market crash, this was around March of 2020 and Bitcoin dropped from like 9,000 back down to 3,000. That was my last big buy opportunity that I took advantage of, you know, significantly, and I'm very grateful for that. And long story short, later on in that same year, it was from, you know, 3,000 to 60,000. And then by 2021, we peaked out at the cycle high of that cycle, which was 69,000. So from 3,000 to 69,000, short period of time. And I forget the exact month because I don't recall it off top of the head, but definitely occurred. So when bitcoin rips, it rips. And it will silence the naysayers, the Peter Schiffmeisters of the world, the Charlie Mungers, the Warren Buffets. Bitcoin is rap, boys and square, the Dan Penas. It's going to zero. And all the haters, you know. So watch out, pretty little bitty coming to a theater near you. And with that being shared, welcome, everyone. This is the Q A segment of the live stream. Happy holidays. Let's get it. This is our Q A segment. 575, end of the year 2026. Now we're talking. And don't forget to check out bitcoinnewsalerts.net for the full premium experience with video and to participate in the live stream along with the Q A. And I look forward to seeing you on tomorrow's episode. Hoddle.