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Bitcoin News Alerts | Daily BTC Macro Signal
2214: Bitcoin to $3 Million — BTC Supercycle Targets Explode
00:29:24
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- [00:00]
JV
Today's episode of Bitcoin News Alerts is brought to you by Progressive Insurance. Do you ever find yourself playing the budgeting game? Well, with your name your price tool from Progressive, you can find options that fit your budget and potentially lower your bills. Try it@progressive.com Progressive Casualty Insurance Company and affiliates Price and coverage match limited by state law not available in all states.
- [00:25]
Sponsor Announcer
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- [02:22]
JV
Welcome everyone to no. 1 daily Bitcoin pod Bitcoin recaptured 90, 000 again. As you can see, we're pumping and in the green. In today's show I'll be breaking down the latest TA where the price action is likely to take us next. Also, billion dollar Bitcoin hacker has been released early thanks to Trump. We're talking about the bitfinex hacker from 2016 that stole billions worth of a bitcoin I'll be breaking this down for you. Also, crypto social chatter has been very positive to start off the new year according to Santiment Analytics. We'll also be discussing the BITM chairman proposing a 1000x increase in companies authorized shares to 50 billion. Also Bitcoin's price projection suggest a potential bottom. I'll break down for you. As well as a $203,000 top. But why so bearish, JV? I thought you never asked. We have Tom Lee predicting Bitcoin hitting a super cycle at 3 million per coin. I'll be breaking this down for you. All this plus so much more right here in today's show. A happy 420 in advance. Today's episode is number 2,214. I'm your host JV is January 3, 2026. It's kind of a big deal considering Today is the 17 year anniversary since the Genesis block went live 17 years ago. Today Bitcoin's buffering right at 80. I'm sorry, right at 90,000. Right on the money here. Lots happening in the world as you know with Madoro being captured by the United States. So let's see how the markets react and let's kick this mofo off with our market watch. Pulling up coin 360, we see Bitcoin maintaining above 90100 at the time of the live barely in the green ether above 3100 in the red. Solana, Cardano, BnB all correcting while XRP, Litecoin, XLM and Tron all pumping. And in the green checking out coinmarkcap.com the crypto market cap is back on the climb. Today it's up one and a quarter percent, currently 3.07 trillion. The Bitcoin total market cap has been back on the rise. It's almost now 1.8 trillion, which is a good sign. Checking out top 100 crypto gainers past 24 hours we got MyX up 58%, WLFI up 14% and virtual up 12%. Which alts, if any are you bullish on? For the bull holla and let the Nipinator know. And checking out the crypto Greed and fear index. Yesterday we recovered from extreme fear back to fear. Today we're still in fear. Last week, you know, and for the last month, really or two months we've been stuck in extreme fear. So it's good to be getting out of that and checking out the infamous time chain calendar. Today is block height 93768 and you could exchange one fiat monopoly dollar for 1110sats, that's a chandy 10. Now yesterday you could have got 1111sats, an 1111 omen. So take advantage of it. You know what to do. Pick up the sats, put down the gas, pick up some bitco caps from a man. Sergio over@bitcoin caps.net let's dive into some live chart action. Jackson Satisfaction, Tony Braxton dedicated to the baddies. This is the one hour chart. You do got a red Bull Target sitting at 96.5. Bitcoin wanted dead or alive like Maduro. But only thing is they can't capture the biddy. You know it's not Pokemon. You can't catch them all, especially not Satoshi. Best of luck to you. But, but you do notice we do got some bullish momentum occurring on the one hour. That's kind of nice. Checking out the four hour, no particular bull scenario. We have three bear scenarios from ranging from 76 to 83. You know, checking out the daily. You're going to notice this is our third consecutive green candle though the day is still a little young, but we are in the green but barely. But we do got some momentum since Thursday which is nice considering it's been very corrective Q4. So we're starting the new year off on the right foot. Checking out the weekly chart. We're about to get a weekly close tomorrow, the first one of the new year and God bless, it's going to be in the green. Hallelujah. You know that's exciting. Checking out the monthly and this will be the first green monthly candle in the past four months. Granted we continue in this direction, you know, inching closer and closer to the 100,000 psychological resistance. Flip that back to support and before you know it we'll be in price discovery, you know what I mean? Next up we'll do a little ta a little deeper. Bitcoin returns to 90 GS is the bare market behind us alongside 2025. You let me know. S&P traded just 1% below the all time high. Investors are growing concerned about the worsening economic conditions, especially after Tesla reported disappointing sales. Womp, womp, womp. The tech heavy NASDAQ index futures failed to reclaim the 26000 level as the sector remains torn between the optimism and the AI and the risk tied to the weaker U S job market. And According to Bloomberg, Tesla's total vehicle deliveries reached 418000 units in the fourth quarter down 15 from 495000 a year. Earlier, Tesla shares fell 2 1/2% on Friday and remained 12% below the all time high. In contrast, moderate optimism emerged from China after shares of Chinese tech company Baidu surged 15%. The company filed for the IPO with the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to spin off its AI chip unit and the tech sector has clearly underpinned the Nasdaq 20% gains of 2025. But traders are worrying about valuations which may have become excessively stretched. Meanwhile, demand for the leverage bitcoin bullish positions remain flat on sat stack and Saturday even as bitcoin rebounded to the tightest level since December 12th. Again, we're hovering just above 90 GS at the time of the live Bitcoin Wanted dead or alive, Bitcoin's prices remain confined to a relatively tight 6% range over the past 20 days, leaving investors increasingly anxious as the breakout above the resistance continues to be delayed. Now, the bitcoin futures basis rate stood below the neutral threshold on Friday, signaling a lack of confidence amongst the bulls. The current 4% annualized premium over the spot market reflect traders concerns that the US Import tariffs would weigh on the broader economy. And on the positive side, the most recent retest of the 85 level on December 19 was not sufficient to trigger the broader bearish sentiment. So ultimately the lack of demand for the leveraged bull bitcoin positions could be linked to the selling pressure of the Bitcoin ETFs. Noten. Since December 15th, these products have recorded more than 900 million worth of outflows. And typically when there's more outflows than inflows, we see corrections. Meanwhile, gold ETFs have posted seven consecutive weeks of net inflows and as you know, gold and silver recently hit new all time highs. So skepticism lingers near the current 90,000 level. But panic is absent. And it's good. The less panic the better. I mean, what do we have to fear? But fear itself. Ignore the fudsters, you know, and let's focus on the good next story of the day. This one's very fascinating to me. Billion dollar Bitcoin hacker Ilia Lichtenstein released Early thanks Trump. That's right, Ilia Lichtenstein, the hacker behind the largest bitcoin theft on record, has officially been released from prison just over a year after receiving a five year sentence thanks to the Criminal Justice Reform law signed under the former President Trump's first term. Thanks to President Trump's First Step Act, I've been released from prison early, lichtenstein said. I remain committed to making a positive impact in cyber security as soon as I can Today's episode of Bitcoin News Alerts is brought to you by Progressive Insurance. Do you ever think about switching insurance companies to see if you can save some cash? Progressive makes it easy to see if you can save when you bundle your home and auto policies. 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- [10:50]
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- [11:51]
JV
World'S most notorious bitcoin hacker is now out of prison and he's going to continue doing cybersecurity. Does anyone else find that a little odd? Let me know. The First Step act, passed in 2018, expanded eligibility for sentence reductions through earned time credits and other rehabilitation measures. Lichtenstein was sentenced in November of 2024 after pleading guilty to money laundering conspiracy tied to the 2016 hack of the Bitfinex in which nearly 120,000 bitcoin were stolen. Well over a billion dollars of today's prices. Lichtenstein's beautiful wife Heather Morgan. She's hilarious by the way, also acknowledged the news, posting a photo of the couple and calling it the best New Year's present after years of separation. Morgan, who performed under the infamous name Razzle Khan, one of the greatest female rappers ever exists, was charged for helping launder the stolen funds, received an 18 month sentence and announced her own early release in October. This is kind of reminiscent of Bankman Freed and Caroline Ellison, as Caroline Ellison has now been released from prison. But Bankman Freed remains in prison and probably will most likely get pardoned by Trump. Uh, I hope not, but that seems like what Trump would do considering he's letting everyone else off the hook and these are people who pleaded guilty. You know, he's only served one year. Uh, I thought he was gonna be in prison for the rest of his life. Apparently not. Not with the Trumpster, you know. Lichtenstein and Morgan were arrested in 2020, two years after the hack, following a Sweepin federal investigation that ultimately led the seizure of of a significant portion of the stolen bitcoin. Their case later become subject to Netflix documentary. I actually watched one of them. It was pretty informing. Like, it's hilarious, I should say. Razzle Khan is one of the most hilarious personalities I've ever seen, hands down. But after being sentenced to five years in prison, Lichtenstein confessed the hack and Bitfinex in 2016 laundering thousands of bitcoin, but suggested he wanted to shoulder the entirety of the blame rather than his wife. My wife has no way involved in the hack. She didn't even know about it for years. What a gentleman. And though there were many victims of the Bitfinex act, the exchange may only be a part of the qualify for reimbursement. According to the 2024 court filing, US government had asked victims of the 2016 hack to submit impact statements by November. And it just goes to show you, we have a pretty fucked up judicial system. I don't wish anyone, you know, go to prison unless they're legit criminals, such as, like a pedophile, a murderer, doing really bad things. I don't like people, you know, just ending up in prison. But if you plead guilty, more than likely you're probably guilty. And when it comes to billions of dollars worth of fraud or stealing, you think there'd be more severe consequences than serving, for example, one year prison sentence? For example, didn't the samurai developers who just produce code get sentenced to several years in prison? They didn't steal billions of fucking dollars. You know, so low key. Makes me believe Trump's gonna fucking pardon Bankman fried. He's next. I hope that's not true, but the way things are going, like, nothing really adds up. Next story. Yo. Crypto social chatter has actually been very positive for the start of the new year, though we're only three days, according to Santiment. I want to talk to Samson Analytics. This level has historically been a concern. It is very positive at the moment. Usually that's a bit of a concern, but in this case, it might just be why we're back from the huddle days. That's right. Happy huddle days. Quinn Livian said it isn't overly worried about a lot of the fomo, but added we could enter the market and bitcoin quickly climbs towards 92. Bitcoin trading in 90 at this time. Not too shabby huh? Quinn Valian said a quick increase at a bitty price to this level will show the true reaction from the retail. They are starting to pour in the money because they're saying the biddy go up. That would be bad retail euphoria and crypto trends. It tends to surge near all time highs or the cycle peaks. And historically the market has dropped shortly after. Analysts had previously argued that when the excitement gets too intense, the crypto market often moves in the opposite way. The opposite of the consensus. The crypto greed and fear index has finally staged a short recovery. We're back in the fear territory after being trapped in the extreme fear for a couple of months. That's a good sign. And we also have other macro indicators which show some bullishness. But you got to keep it one hun Anytime there's like war on the horizon or things of this nature, typically it dampens the markets financially. But we'll see what happens. And we're stuck like Chuck at 90 200. Will she climb higher? Will she stage a recovery? Will we drop? Will we remain insane in the membrane or insane in the pinky in the brain? Let me know. Let's continue with the bitty news. Here's the big story of the day. Bit mine chairman proposes 1000x increase and the company's authorized shares to 50 billion. That's right. Thomas Lee, the chairman of the public listed ether treasury company Bit Mine urged the shareholders to back a proposal to dramatically increase the company's authorized share count to 50 billion. From 50 million. Move the bottle out of the way. J.V. you got it. Citing the potential need for the future stock splits as ether's price drives the company's valuation. So someone's all in on the ether. Lee said Bit Mine share price closely tracked to the price of the ether and that he molded potential future valuate. I'm sorry. Modeled future evaluations using the ETH Bitscoin ratio. And according to Mr. Lee, ETH could reach 250000 per Bitcoin and then climb to a million. A scenario that would push the bit Mine share price of levels he said would be inaccessible for money most retail investors. BITM shifted from operating as a bit Bitcoin mining and holding company to an ETH treasury strategy last year. But it still retained some of the bitcoin operations. The doing ETH reaching 250 puts BITM shares at an implied price of 5,000 per coin according or per share, I should say, according to Lee, which is far too expensive for most retail investors. Not everybody wants a stock price at 500, 1500 or even 5000. Most people want shares to stay at around 25 bucks, Lee said. If ETH hits 250 bit mine would have to initiate a 100 to 1 stock split to maintain a share price of 25 bucks, but could create 43 billion shares outstanding. Quoting them here, the current shares outstanding are 426 million. We're trying to get the authorized share count to 50 billion. That doesn't mean we're issuing 50 billion shares. That's what we want the total maximum shares to be. Lee is describing the unit bias problem so in finance, unit bias is the psychological tendency for investors to prioritize the number of the shares or tokens owned over their return on investment risk to reward ratio or other critical metrics of evaluating an investment. Reaction to LE proposal were overwhelmingly negative, with several users arguing that raising the authorized share limit is a dilutive move. Quoting this guy here, Tom this looks fishy and redonkulous. Today's episode of Bitcoin News Alerts is brought to you by Progressive Insurance. You chose to hit play on this podcast today. Smart Choice make another smart choice with Auto Quote Explorer to compare rates from multiple car insurance companies all at once. Try it at Progressive Progressive Casualty Insurance Company and affiliates not available in all states or situations. Prices vary based on how you buy.
- [20:07]
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- [20:33]
JV
Get started@vanta.com to authorize a higher share count because the stock might go to 500. You can do this next year when it isn't in the gutter. W W Meanwhile Bit mine bought almost 33,000 ETH on Tuesday valed over 100 million using prices at this time. The company's treasury crossed 4 million ETH valid at 12 billion in December and also been staking the ETH to earn the yield staking in crypto. As you know, that's when you put aside some of your crypto and you get some form of a Return on that crypto. But there you go, yo. I mean, what are your thoughts from Mr. Tom Lee being all in on the ether and projecting a th000x increase in companies authorized shares to 50 billion. Holler at your boy. Bada boom, bada bing. Bitcoin price projection suggests ADG is the bottom this year of 2026 with 203,000 as the top. I say why so motherfucking bearish? But that's just me. The bitcoin price movements are forming a recognizable pattern according to the macro chart from the crypto bullet. Based on the Fibonacci retracement levels, the analyst suggests the B will hit its bare market bottom at around 40 GS in October 2026. I'm going to have to agree to disagree here, but let me know your thoughts. Here's what they wrote. Bitcoin macro chart new cycle October 2026 Bitcoin bare market bottom around 40Gs. Next cycle top September 2029 between 172 and 203,000. Extremely bearish because that's actually a target for the next cycle. Obviously the next having is in 2028. So that's the year preceding. I say by then we'll be over a million. But let me know your thoughts following this bottom. Bitcoin is expected to enter the new bull with a projected top reaching between 172 and 203 GS by September of 2029. The chart also shows the bitcoin prices already peaked within the hundred thousand one hundred thirty range during the previous cycles. Well, yeah, we actually just peaked at 1263 October 6th to be exact. But who's counting? Besides the nipador, these cycles identified by specific Fibonacci levels are being used to predict the future price action. Liquidity and short liquidation may push the biddy beyond 90 GS. Liquidity is a key factor influencing the bitcoin price in the short term. The bitcoin liquidation heat map based off from Coin Glass here shows their significant cluster of short liquidations between the 91 and 96 4. But again, let me know your thoughts. I personally think this is extreme Bear. So that's why I'm gonna hit you next with an extreme bull and we're gonna discuss a 3 million dollar super cycle. Just send it and we'll go from there. But first let's read a little comments, shall we? What do we got? What do we say? What do we do? Scooby. Mado. I'm here. The car is out of the errands. Snap. Welcome back, Tam. Do you mind? Weather nice in Santa Barbara? Weather's always nice in Santa Barbara. That's one of the benefits of being in Santa Barbara. Perfect weather. We zooming, zoom, zoom, zoom. 91 soon. That's what I'm saying, Jimbo. Now send it right to 191. The cut to the chase. Let's get right to it. Why around when you could find out, you know McCassey McCasey made one of the best virus security systems out there. Yeah, McCasey was amazing. Shout out to McCasey. But now I do miss McAfee though. I think they whacked him because he was speaking too truthful about taxes and he had a lot of influence. He was also running for president and he was just straight up. He didn't, you know, he wasn't controlled by anyone. He wasn't controlled opposition. Like all your favorite influencers you probably watch, you know, and that's always a benefit. But unfortunately those are the people that get whacked first, the ones that don't do business with the forces of evil. That's why I got to respect McAfee clearly, you know. Now for our feature story of the day. Tom Lee Bitcoin prediction can Bitcoin hit 3 million via a super cycle with a supply shock Less entertaining Bitcoin investors got a gold prediction. Bold, I should say from Tom Lee. During a recent live CNBC interview, Tom said a supply shock was a coming it could push the bitcoin price over 3 million per coin. The doing in the long term. This prediction is extraordinary considering bitcoin currently trades at 90 GS. But Lee believes the market dynamics and scarcity could create the massive upward pressure in the years ahead. A supply shock happens when demand rises faster than the available supply. In the bitcoin case, Lee points to the limited supply as we know, 21 million coins currently over 19 million in circulation 1.1 million belong to the infamous Satosh. And as more investors, institutions and companies buy the biddy fewer bitcoins will remain available for trading. That's right. Bitcoin is rarer than the Charizards of the Pokemon. According to Li, the imbalance between supply demand could drive the price sharply higher. He also emphasized the past events like the bitcoin hab have historically reduced supply growth and triggering the long term rallies. That's a fact. The the reward for the miners gets chopped in half every four years after the bitcoin having which makes bitcoin that much more scarce simple supply demand dynamics better known as stock to flow. But not all experts agree with Lee's extreme forecast. Critics have been warned at reaching 3 million per coin is highly unlikely in the short term. Regulatory changes, macroeconomic factors and market volatility could all prevent such dramatic growth. Yeah, I don't think it happens short term either. It's obviously going to take some years, but the point is it can occur. And how soon it can occur. In my humble opinion, as early as 2029. But let's continue. Lee's prediction highlights a key trend in the crypto world so scarcity institutional adoption driving the long term bullish sentiment. Investors who focus on these factors may see opportunity, but they should also be cautious. I want to talk to Samson and do some risk management carefully. Why Investors Should Watch Bitcoin Scarcity Bitcoin market behavior is influenced by supply constraints and investor sentiment. Lee's comments draw attention to how limited supply could affect the price over time for retail and institution understanding supply dynamics and help inform strategies and timing and back to the long term outlook. While 3 million may sound extreme, the idea of a supply driven price increase is nothing new. Bitcoin has always been scarce. That's right, and demand continues to grow as adoption expands. Like Samson Worldwide, investors should watch how liquidity, regulatory development and market demand evolve. Even if the 3 million figure has never reached supply, shocks can push Bitcoin to new highs beyond expectations. Well, let's do some realistic math. A simple 10x from here Bitcoin sitting pretty at 1 million to get the 3 million is about a 30x Ken Bitscoin 30x absolutely. We're only up 250 million percent since 17 years ago to this day from the Release of the Jan 3rd genesis block. Hence respect to Samson who has the company Jan3, which is to pay homage to Satoshi's wife White Paper and the Bitcoin Genesis block. But anyways, yeah, 30x can absolutely happen. It will happen. I guarantee it in our lifetime. Since I discovered Bitcoin in 2017, we already went up 80x. What's another 30x from here? A mere 3000%. Bitcoin can do that sleeping, you know. And we don't need the institutions. We don't need Trump. We don't need Today's episode of Bitcoin News Alerts is brought to you by Progressive Insurance. You chose to hit play on this podcast today. Smart Choice. Make another smart choice with Auto Quote Explorer to compare rates from multiple car insurance companies all at once. Try it@progressive.com Progressive Casualty Insurance Company and affiliates not available in all states or situations. Prices vary based on how you buy.
- [29:03]
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- [29:33]
JV
Javier Malay we don't need anybody. All we need is an indicator. Indicator. JV with a mic Chandy music Holler out and there you go. Yo. What are your thoughts? Holler. 3 million. You know MacGyver could build the bomb using a stick of the butter and a box of popsicle sticks. He learned it from the nip clearly. Butter bombs baby. If you like the herb, you should be eating the RSO oil for overall health. I make my own and eat it every day. It saved my life. Life. What does RSO stand for? Let me know. Cannabis oil. We call the RSO cause of Rick Simpson. I want to talk to Samson. Pretty soon there'll be no bitcoins left. Correct. Because our community will own them all. Take that and Michael Saylor. But besides Michael Sailor and the BNA fam, there are no bitties. Nipinator done atemo for supper. Long live the nip with the drip. Razzle con. You guys gotta look up the Razzle Con rap videos. She's hilarious. I'm still shocked though. They're like completely out of prison. The largest bitcoin hack one year jail sentence so that nobody in bitcoin should be serving a prison sentence more than one year. Because unless you stole more than a billion dollars if you stole more than 120,000 bitcoin like Bankman freed let em rot in prison but if you stole less apparently you gotta let them go. Sorry, didn't mean was Lawfare. Oops. Did I steal all those bitcoins? You know what's going on? Maybe Trump wants to hire this guy to steal some more bitcoins for the strategic bitty reserve. He's up to something.
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Rap Artist
Strawberry destiny Under a bitcoin moon by a fire Bitcoin strawberry full moon take.
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Me light it up fire it up.
- [31:35]
JV
A fire under a full moon It's.
- [31:37]
Rap Artist
A strawberry fill me up from a cup kind of bitcoin powered moon Strawberry moon come I need you to come with me.
- [31:47]
Sponsor Announcer
Whoa.
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Rap Artist
Full moon bitty I'm just so Curious.
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Just a little curious. Libra, do you want to pump bitcoin under the. Fuck me.
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Imagine Dragons 2024 Year of the dragon.
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Thunder before the lightning no baby, it's.
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Lightning under the thunder.
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I'm thirsty. Are you feeling thunder?
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Are you feeling hunger?
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I'm craving being under the thunder. Let's pump the bitty.
- [32:13]
JV
Baby.
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Rap Artist
Do you have anything to say? Rap with me baby.
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This is the chance for all my bitcoin champs to do the move Moonlight Bitcoin dance I hit him up like Pac with bitcoin rants My balls is hot sitting in my big boy pants I trust the biddy like Biggie when he trusted Diddy I trust a bitty like Eminem how he trusted 50 the Citadel isn't just a city this is bitcoin Camelot Just this pretty Spinderella Chandella Cinderella Take it baby.
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The moon comes up when the sun goes down I wanna go down and get down wow.
- [32:49]
Under the full moon I'm feeling like Voltron I'm so untransformed to a great ape like Gohan I'm so bomb that it remains so calm A bitcoin Super Saiyan so strong this is Gohan versus Vegeta. Bitcoin is so long like chasing the cheetah chasing the zebra or like deer chasing the sea Erasing the beach at the apex predator the matrix defeater Bitcoin embracing the Reb moonlight is lit it's time to free your mind from the slave mind the time is here Spinderella, take us out.
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Thought you never ask Cool I I got you baby. The full moon is coming don't let it undo you Unless you wanted to. I know I wanted to. Biddy up Strawberry Moon up Respect and freedom I commanded out of mana Biddy up trump pump Munu I need you JB doesn't believe in the moon I thrive on it guided by it I'm on 16 cherokee I don't want a Lamborghini I'm a moon girl not a fancy girl I'm a Luna girl I'm.
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A bitty flying high ready to soar Jeep girl We don't have to agree on everything Love la la la Loyal to humanity and our destinies Bitty bitcoin destinies always manifesting Strawberry moon wow Gotta.
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Get ready now so roger full moon video. Strawberry fire full moon Strawberry Tooth Fairy.
- [34:01]
Bitty loving Honeyland under the full moon baby come and please me I'm gonna.
- [34:05]
Man at the point with my man I want to build I don't want to overflow. I just want security, you know, and my Alice in Wonderland, a wolf or Peter Pan.
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You never know. On a full moon I'm Mary feeling all of me that I am effing Peter Pan. I'm inside Allison, I'm in Wonderland.
- [34:38]
JV
And don't forget to check out bitcoin news alerts.net for the full premium experience with video and to participate in the live stream along with the Q and A. And I look forward to seeing you on tomorrow's episode. Hoddle.
- [35:01]
Sponsor Announcer
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- [36:59]
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