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Bitcoin News Alerts | Daily BTC Macro Signal
2221: Bitcoin Parabolic Run to $315K as Demand Outpaces Supply 3-to-1
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Today's episode of Bitcoin News Alerts is brought to you by Progressive Insurance. Do you ever find yourself playing the budgeting game? Well, with your name your price tool from Progressive you can find options that fit your budget and potentially lower your bills. Try it@progressive.com Progressive Casualty Insurance Company and affiliates Price and coverage match limited by state law. Not available in all states.
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Welcome Bitcoin fam to the number one bitcoin pod. Bitcoin going parabolic making major moves now up over 4000 on the day. About to hit 98,000, roughly 2500 shy of the coveted 100,000 milestone. Hopefully we hit it. During today's live stream we'll be breaking down the latest of what's happening in the market as Bitcoin ETFs are on a roller coaster with traditional funds pulling in 46 billion already this year in 2026. We also discussed the crypto treasury buying is outpacing bitcoin supply by a factor of three to one. Can you say supply shock? We also discussed bit chat tops the charts over in Uganda as authorities cut the Internet. Also the Swiss city which wants to become the bitcoin capital of Europe, Lugano. I'll be breaking it down. What's happening there. Also a bitcoin price prediction of 315,000 and why this famed investor and bitwise exec sees bitcoin going parabolic. The doing do all this plus so much more right here in today's show. Prelo Bitty doing its thing. Massive gains on the day already up over 4400 as you can see. Today's episode 2221. I'm your host JV alongside the Fed chair Nipinator keeping them nipinating. Let's kick it off with our market watch as we do each and every day and everything in the green looking like a big old bottle of Listerine. Bitcoin up now almost 5% on the day. Ether up 6%. Everything is up. It's days like this we love in crypto. Checking out coinmarketcap.com you're going to notice the crypto market cap significantly climbing now up over 3% of the day. It just hit 3.25 trillion. The Bitcoin market cap about to reclaim the coveted 2 trillion milestone. Today it's 1.95 trillion. So these are great signs and indicators. Dash has been making a. I heard something got rugged or something happening with the developers of ZC Cash. So my understanding is they're moving out to other privacy coins. And that's why you see Dash on the rise up another 49% on the day and 103% on the week. Also Monero making major moves, up 12% on the day. Also other top gainers. We have ICP, the Insane Clown Posse, where you been? And the Pump Fun. And if you don't know, now you know. Checking out the crypto greed and fear index. It's good to see we're back in neutral territory. We were stuck in extreme fear for the bulk of the fourth quarter. We just got out of fear and now we're back to neutral, which is a great sign, an indicator. Checking out the infamous time chain calendar today is block height 93 thou. I'm sorry, 932,270. You can exchange one fiat monopoly dollar for one 24 sats. So you know precisely what to do. You pick up the SATs, put down the gats, pick up some bitcoin caps. Without further ado, let's continue with the bitty news, shall we? Next up we're going to look at some of the live charts. Why? Because we're ripping like the new Scotty Pippen. But first let me activate my camera. We did a pump watch yesterday. Last night, I don't know, around 700pm till this morning when I woke up and we saw bitcoin make some moves. It did pump a couple of thousand. Then this morning the next leg up continued here you're looking at a 15 minute chart. I like to start maybe. Yeah, this is a good indication of you can see how much we're ripping and we're about to reclaim 98, 000 in real time here. I think we're going to hit a hundred thousand today with all this momentum that we have. But let's go to the one hour. You can see 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, straight parabolic, straight up in the sky and nipinators Paul stay up and they stay there. Nip don't play fair. And then we check out the four hour. You're also going to notice very similar 1, 2, 3, 4. The majority of the candles in the green. Very significant. We ain' price action like this since early October when we hit the all time high current firmament 1263. Checking out the Daily. You're also going to notice massive green candle yesterday and the green momentum continuing into today. I say 1, 2, 3, 4. That's four consecutive green days. You got to respect it. Green day dookie. You know what I'm saying? Also zooming it out. Checking out the weekly. You're also going to notice we got a big green candle even though we're only halfway through the week. Last week was the itty bitty corrective red. Then prior to that we got some green momentum and then prior to that we bottomed out at the 80000 floor. The bottom is in. I repeat the bottom is in. You gotta jump in to swim. Checking out the monthly big green candle Foreman like a young George Foreman without the grill, you know what I mean? But this is pretty significant considering we had three consecutive red candle closes. We had a very disappointing Q4. We were expecting fireworks but we got the polar opposite. Dropping from the 126 high to the 80000 bottom. We've recovered significantly now almost 20000 from that bottom as the green candle continues to be printed. I'm hoping for like green candle months Omega candles, God candles throughout the entire year for 2026. Parabolic bull run all time high supply shock hyper bitcoinization. Send it with that being shared now let's dive a little into some little TA. Headline here reads Bitcoin Price Tags 97. We're on the cusp of reclaiming. 98. Despite the high PPI inflation on the no US tariff ruling here, you're looking at the one hour chart. I already shared the live charts. They're all very bullish at this time. So with the buy in power back during the US tradi sessions, Bitcoin diverged from the stocks after the PPI inflation data came in considerably above expectations as confirmed by the Labor Bureau statistics. And the core PPI. November came in at 3% against the anticipated 2.7%. Quoting their official statement November increase in price for final demand can be traced to a 9% advance in the index for the final demand goods prices for the final demand services remain unchanged. Insane in the membrane, insane in the brain. Higher inflation implying stricter economic policy reactions from the Fed and less liquidity available for crypto and risk assets as a result. Despite this the bitty bulls show little interest and slow in a rebound. Markets had already priced in a pause and the interest rate changes at the Fed's January meeting. Quoting them here, the Cabisi letter PPI inflation now up to its highest level since July of 2025. The Fed will pause the rate cuts in two weeks. Come on now. Now, while a decision was expected on the day, the court ultimately did not release any rulings on the matter. Schedule for rulings is not disclosed in advance. And then you got the Bears eyeing 93, 500. I mean, if we close above that, it's bullish and we're significantly higher than that right now. Bitcoin simply just needs to hold this level of 935 heading into the new week. Easy peasy. History suggests retest of 9,350. And as a new support could also be in the cards. And speaking of cards, got to know when to hold them. Got to know when to fold them. Let's continue yo next story. Excuse me of the day Bitcoin ETFs on a roller coaster as traditional funds pull in a whopping 46 billion already this year in the 2026. That's right. US listed spotty test pulled in 753 million on Tuesday alone in the second consecutive day of inflows after a four day losing streak. The Bitcoin ETFs have raked in a total of 660 in net inflow so far this year as demand for the funds continue to fluctuate. Traditional ETFs on the other hand, attracted 46 billion just in the first six days of the new year and an abnormally high to start. Today's episode of Bitcoin News Alerts is brought to you by Progressive Insurance. You chose to hit play on this podcast today. Smart Choice. Make another smart choice with Auto Quote Explorer to compare rates from multiple car insurance companies all at once. Try it@progressive.com Progressive Casualty Insurance Company and affiliates not available in all states or situations. Prices vary based on how you buy.
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Well, the holidays have come and gone once again. But if you've forgotten to get that special someone in your life a gift. Well, Mint Mobile is extending their holiday offer of half off unlimited wireless. So here's the idea. You get it now. You call it an early present for next year.
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Terms the year and this was according to the blue Bloomberg ETF expert Bal Tunes. He says the ETFs have taken in 46 billion in only six days. This is abnormally high to start a year on a pace for 158 billion for the month, about 4x the norm. So massive institutional adoption. The divergence shows ETF investors actively deploying capital but prefer allocating to funds tied to traditional investments instead of the crypto ETFs with a higher perceived risk profile. Meanwhile, demand for the Bitcoin ETFs has declined in the past six months from 6 billion in monthly net inflows in July of 2025 to just above 1 billion of outflows during December. And that's why the market reflected, you know, a correction when there's more outflows and inflows from these massive institutions, including IBIT from Black Rock. So looking at the other crypto funds, we also have the spot ether one, which pulled in 130 million on Tuesday, reaching 240 million in total inflows thus far in 2026. Also, spot Salana ETFs continue their uninterrupted winning streak, recording 67 million of net positive inflow since the start of the year. Meanwhile, Bitcoin treasury firms step in to fill the demand gap. While the lack of the ETF demand is concerning sign for the bitty price blockchain data suggests Bitcoin treasury firms are stepping in to fill that gap through steady monthly accumulation. For example, the corporate digital Asset Treasuries added 260,000 bitcoin to the balance sheet over the past six months, outpacing the estimated 82,000 coins mined over the same period. This equates to monthly corporate investments of around 260,000 BTC worth roughly 25 billion according to the latest from Glass Node. And in contrast to public treasury companies, the industry's leading traders by return tracked as smart money. We're still betting on the bitcoin decline. Remember, you can short your dorks with 122 million of net short positions, and I'm sure many of those have already been liquidated. Now let's discuss a potential supply shock looming as crypto treasury buying is outpacing the bitcoin supply at a ratio of 3 to 1. It's basic supply demand dynamics, better known as stock to flow. When you have massive demand and very limited supply, we already know what happens. Bitcoin goes parabolic. That's right, Corporate digital treasuries, better known as Dats added a net tutor at 60,000 bitcoin to the balance sheet over the past six months, outpacing the estimated 82,000 coins mined over the same period. Over the past six months bitcoin treasuries held by public and private companies increased by approximately 854,000 BTC to 1.11 million Bitcoin according to the latest onchain data. This equates to an expansion of 260,000 BTC. We're at 25 billion at the current prices which is 43,000 Bitcoin per month. The growth in the treasuries highlights the steady expansion of corporate balance sheet exposure to the BTC. Meanwhile, the Bitcoin miners, which produce an average of 450 Bitcoin per day, mined around 82,000 coins over the same period, which could indicate a favorable supply chain demand dynamic at play. The lion share of the 1.2 million bitcoin held in public and private company treasury balances is obviously held by Sailors strategy. They're the largest corporate holder currently holding 687410 BTC which is 60% of that total worth around 65 and a half billion at the current prices. The firm resumed its purchases this month with a big one. I believe it was 1.25 billion on their latest buy which was announced which was 13, 627 Bitcoin and you already know Sailor's going to be buying the top forever. Laura the second largest corporate Bitcoin dat is Merrill holdings with 53000 Bitcoin worth roughly $5 billion. Meanwhile the spot ETFs could add this supply demand dynamic if the inflow trend continues this year. I'm a firm believer in which it will. Let me know your thoughts quoting Matt Hougan here. The bitcoin price will go parabolic persists in the long term. Since the ETF's debut January of 2024 they've been buying more than 100% of the new supply of Bitcoin single handedly. But the price hasn't gone parabolic because existing holders have been willing to sell. If ETF demand persists, and I think it will, eventually the sellers will run out of ammo. I agree with that. Let me know your thoughts. Meanwhile, Spot Bitcoin ETF of the US saw the net inflows of 22 billion last year with Black Rocks IBIT taking the lion share. However, they have a mixed start thus far this year with current data showing 1.9 billion of inflows and 1.38 billion of outflows resulting in a net aggregate inflow of just over $500 million. Here's a another headline which is interesting. Bit Chat tops the app charts in Uganda as authorities cut the Internet. Now the beauty of the bit chat, this was developed by Jack Dorsey. It allows one to still communicate using mesh networks and other alternative ways outside of the Internet to also send and receive bits coins. This is actually pretty amazing inventions. Let's dive deep into this because if it could happen elsewhere in the world, who's to say that you know the the forces of evil. Epstein's clients who are running the show can't do the same in the US you know. Bit Chat has become the most downloaded app in Uganda. State officials confirm Internet access has been cut off and will remain inaccessible ahead of the Thursday presidential election. It marks the third straight election in which Ugandan authorities have cut the Internet access. So up right. A move official said is necessary to mitigate the spread of online misinformation. We know that's nothing more than fud. Let the people decide what's misinformation. A government censoring the Internet is just straight up, you know, at the end of the day you can't justify that, you know. However, critics argue that shutting off the Internet surpasses election. Really? Exactly. It's corrupt. We already know that. There's definitely corruption going on. If they're cutting off our communication and could potentially manipulate. No, it will manipulate the outcome because now people don't have access to information. Right. No brainer. The Internet shutdown took effect Tuesday 6pm local time. According to Uganda Communications Commission executive director. Bit Chat is an Internet free encrypted messaging app powered by Bluetooth Mesh networks currently sitting at the top of the app charts. So shout out Mr. Dorsey for creating this. You know if you guys don't have it downloaded I'd encourage it because what if they cut off our communications as well? We need a way to continue to communicate, you know, in case of an emergency. Right. Other top apps include virtual private network apps highlighting that access to info remains one of the most urgent needs in Uganda as Thursdays vote approaches. And you can see the top apps which are being downloaded right now and Uganda specifically. It's number one bit chat mesh, number two a VPN number three bit chat plus number four thunder VPN. So it's basically bit chat and VPN's way for people to, you know, alter their location on the Internet and be able to still communicate. Last week they said the Internet wouldn't be cut off so apparently they lied. Why would you use chat when there is Internet? Internet will be there. Yeah, and they were obviously lying, claiming the team has technical capacity to turn off bit chat.
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Well, the holidays have come and gone once again. But if you've forgotten to get that special someone in your life a gift. Well, Mint Mobile is extending their holiday offer of half off unlimited wireless. So here's the idea. You get it now, you call it an early present for next year.
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See terms which seems to be fud because it was designed to basically not be able to be shut down by anyone. Ultimately decentralized. But yeah. Last year Jack launched the BIT Chat, the Bluetooth peer to peer encrypted messaging app. Now it's leading a revolution in Uganda. I doubt Dorsey would have thought bitch would help Uganda's contest the 38 year presidency dictatorship. Good lord. So this guy has been in power for 30, 38 years and apparently if they can continue to shut off the Internet and people don't have access to bitch or alternative ways, they can continue to rake the elections. So yeah, Uganda has now cut Internet access three times. First during the 2016 election, imposing a nationwide block on Internet and social media access, citing security and safety concerns, which I'm sure again just fud to basically manipulate the election. Bit Chat is being used in all corners of the globe. It has since become a critical solution for people in countries where Internet access has been disrupted, whether due to government interference or natural disaster. For example, back In September, nearly 50, 000 net police users turned to the app to circumvent a temporary social media ban as corruption protests unfolded in a similar situation which played out in Madagascar roughly three weeks. Three weeks later. Also many Jamaicans flocked to the app in November when Hurricane Melissa struck which saw 185 mile per hour winds batter the Caribbean region, knocking out regular communication channels. So it's good to have these, especially in matters of emergencies because you never know what could happen. We can't predict tomorrow, so it's best to be prepared than to be sorry. There you go. Yo, let me know if you guys have the Bit Chat app. Let's continue where we left off here. Headline reads the Swiss city of Lugano wants to become the bitcoin capital of Europe. And maybe it already is. I hear a lot of good things of Lugano. So in a McDonald's by the lake in the center of Lugano, Switzerland. Let me know if you've ever been to Switzerland. I've been there one time, roughly a decade ago. It's a beautiful country to visit. A customer orders the coffee, asking if you can pay with the btc. The salesperson says yes, absolutely, then holds up. It looks like a credit card payment terminal, but is in fact a special crypto one distributed free to businesses by the town council. The customer pays contactless from the bitcoin wallet using his phone to the tune of 0.00008629 Bitcoin. Bitcoin is purely digital currency. Using encryption to control, manage and issue units, which we call satoshis, as opposed to fiat money issued by the central banks or the governments, is something the people often buy as an investment, betting that the value is going up. Of course, it's the perfect hedge against inflation, hyperinflation, currency debasement, corrupt governments, etc. But how may many even think about using to buy actual things like a diamond ring or pizza? Well, Lugano is different. Quoting the guy from the Plan B hub here, I want to talk about an experiment I did this July. I have a problem with my bank. I had to live in bitcoin only for 11 days and a meeting. Basically. Mr. Lee Peony of the Plan B hub here says while there are some things that you just can't purchase with bitcoin, in Lugano, such as public transportation, you can pay your bills, buy your groceries, or even pay your taxes. According to this guy, not everyone in Lugano is keen on crypto. At a local market place stands a square block of metal, upon which stands the infamous Satoshi statue we all know as the creator of bitcoin. So, playing on the mystery, the statue made of slats of metal, is transparent, where you can literally see through it. It's pretty cool little statue if you've never seen it. There's several of them now all over the world. They got to bring one to Puerto Rico. I know there's one in bitcoin country as well, and I believe there's one in Miami. It's now completely invisible because the summer some equally anonymous individuals or individuals unscrewed it. No way. Hoodlums, they need to put a camera there, yo. Broke into the bits and threw it in the lake. And now they will be forever cursed. It's interesting because not that many things get vandalized around here. People are usually fairly well behaved. According to a local resident. He says, I'm from the University of Lugano and there's a club to promote bitcoin and everything. I just personally don't use any cryptos. It seems like it must have just been a hater, you know, who. Who would go through great lengths to vandalize something bitcoin related in a city which is known for not having any crime or vandalism. Bitcoin hater. I mean they do exist, fam. But anyways, he says, I do find a surprising institution such as my university would promote it so much. She says, I think it's associated to crime. The dark web speculation A lot of people lose their money because they invest in it and then it crashes. Obviously these folks are misinformed. Want to know what people lose a lot of money in? Rug pulls from coins such as Melania coin. I think their investors lost 99. It was a rug and Trump coin was a rug. And any other meme coin launch that has come before it and that comes after it will be similar. That's why you got to stick to bitcoin and just saying. I know I'm preaching to the choir here. They say mafia people are more interested to use Fiat for money laundering. Correct. Because they can get away with it. The risk for Switzerland is this with the Swiss franc, not with the bitcoin. Because when they sell drugs or something like this, they receive Fiat, not Bitcoin. Because the most anonymous is the cash. You can use Fiat to do something good or something bad. The same with bitcoin. Lugano now is a bitcoin Magnet with almost 110 crypto sector companies moving or starting there. Let me know if you've ever been to Lugano and let me know if you'd ever visit another great city for bitcoin adoption. Trying to become the crypto hub all of Europe. Now for our feature story of the day. Bitcoin priced at 315,000. Send it. And why this famed investor and the bitwise exec see bitcoin going parabolic and you can say as of yesterday we started going parabolic. Look at the chart. Straight green, you know. Love these candles. We're printing right now. Hopefully this momentum can continue for the entire year. And we surpassed 315 and make it look like child's play. But anyways, prominent bitty bull renewed his bullish forecast suggesting the price surgeon 315 000. Meanwhile the Bitwise exec I Believe this is Matt Hoogan said that the continued demand from the ETFs could eventually send the bitcoin price on a parabolic rise. And as we already discussed, bitcoin purchases with the institutions are outpacing the supply by a factor of three to one, which can send a supply shock, you know, sending bitcoin parabolic. The bullish predictions contrast with the rise in number of the bitcoin bears. The bears, that's all I'm saying. Who claim the price is heading for a substantial drop. Who listens to Peter Schiff? Nobody. Meanwhile Mike Alfred, well known investor, wrote on X Bitcoin is quietly building towards the next major test at the critical 94 level. And guess what? We blew right past that mofo. We already damn near hit 98 today. So we're coming. 315. Watch out. God bless and long live the Nipinator. The Fed chair taking over the J Pal Nipinator indicator. We just received it. Hundred thousand incoming. Send it. But yeah, this is what Mike alfred wrote just yesterday. 93000 Bitcoin. That was precisely where we were. We are quietly building towards the next major test of the critical 94 level. Again we blew right past it. If we break 94, Dundilio on the volume 315 is coming. So he's a firm believer that 315 this year. I repeat, if we break 94 we smashed it. 315 coming Valhalla, comrades. Godspeed. I mean let's make 315 look like amateur hour at the Apollo, you know what I mean? The comments came just before the bitcoin price rose another 2%. We continue to rise in the real time. Last month Alfred argued the market sentiment has swung too far to the negative. This is what he wrote then. Everyone seems to think Bitcoin's going lower here even though Bitcoin is deeply oversold. AI demand is growing. The liquidity conditions are about to improve. It's possible the drama queens, you know, the Karens are getting a bit carried away and I damn near.
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Well, the holidays have come and gone once again. But if you've forgotten to get that special someone in your life a gift. Well, Mint Mobile is extending their holiday offer of half off unlimited wireless. So here's the idea. You get it now. You call it an early present for next year.
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What do you have to lose?
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Give it a try@mintmobile.com Switch limited time.
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50 off regular price for new customers. Upfront payment required 45 for 3 months. $90 for 6 months or 180 for 12 month plan taxes and fees. Extra speeds may slow after 50 gigabytes per month when network is busy see.
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Terms have to say I agree there. Alfred is one of the many industry figureheads who has backed the seven figure bitty price and you already know seven figures is inevitable. But anyways, Matt Hoogan Chief Investment Officer a bit wise weighed in on the bitcoin price trajectory drawing parallels to the gold historic 2025 surge. Quoting him here on this tweet. Let's actually open to it. I'll read you the proof of work. This was time stamped Jan 13 yesterday 10:30am already 73000 views. Here's what he wrote. The bitcoin price will go parabolic if the ETF demand persists for the long term. A lesson from goals 2025 move the price of both gold and Bitcoin are set to buy supply demand. The popular story is that the gold prices spiked in 2025, which was 65% because central bank purchases title the supply demand balance or tilted history teaches us something different and tells us what's happening with the biddy. Central bank purchases of gold spiked in 2022 after the U S sees Russia's treasury deposits annual purchases rose from 5, 000 tons to 1, 000 tons and then they stayed consistent since these purchases tilted supply demand balance but didn't immediately show up in the price. Meanwhile, gold rose only 2% in 2022, 13 in 2023 and 2020 or 27 2024. Wasn't until 2025 the prices went parabolic. That's because for the first few years central bank demand was met by people willing to sell their gold holdings. But eventually the sellers ran out of ammo and also demand persisted. Prices soared. It's the same thing is happening with the Bitcoin and ETFs. Since ETFs debuted in January of 2024, they've been buying more than 100 of the new supply of the bitcoin. But the price hasn't yet gone parabolic because existing holders have been willing to sell. So if DTF demand persists, and I think it will, eventually these sellers will run out of ammo. And when they do, you already know and it shows you a decade of the central bank gold purchases. Estimated purchases over the last three years up 104% versus the 2014-2016 era. And we already know and I think we would all agree that Bitcoin is superior to gold any way you can slice it. One of my favorite Quotes from Uncle Max is gold is the poor man's bitcoin. So, yeah, granted you had 65% price appreciation for gold and it outpaced bitcoin for the first time since I've been in bitcoin in 2017. 2026 is yet to be written. And if history is to rhyme, we may see multiple six figure price action, potentially even seven figures this cycle. Extended theory, but let me know your thoughts and I'll read your comments out loud. Welcome everyone to the Q A segment of the live stream. Yeah.
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All these years in future was frozen Now I climb that great big hill of hope for a lunar destination I wake in the morning then I step outside and I take a deep breath My bid is getting me high and I scream from the top of my lungs thanks Satoshi for bitcoin Bitcoin bills keep stacking screens keep lyin Everyone yelling, nobody trying I don't need block from the money I own I just wanna know what's real When I'm alone and I say hey hey banks banks I said banks like what's going on? What's going on? And I say hey hey banks banks I said banks it coins what's going on? What's going on? And I tried oh my God did I try I tried all the time in the fiat institution and I prayed oh my God did I pray I prayed every single all day for a revolution why is fear breaking when we work so long? What's the money on? Yeah, mine's on bitcoin.
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Huh I ain't confused I was misled Paper promises inside my head See I dreams with a real life cost every time they print we're the ones that lost and I found code found true.
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Truth and math hard cap law no.
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Aftermath no spin room no backdoor keys Just rules that run the same for.
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You and me Fix the money, feel it click future bill brick by brick no more begging, no more doubt I see the path I'm walking on this is bitcoin going on Sound money when the noise is gone from the green to the beach at dawn this is bitcoin going on this is bitcoin going on Sound money when the noise is gone from the green to the beach at dawn this is bitcoin going on.
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Max on stage crowd locked in Truth hits hard when it cuts through spin Stacy frame it proof so clean Game theory shop know what I mean? El Salvador said watch this face turn the page change the base from broken systems to something real you don't believe.
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Just watch the yield golf green sun orange glow Pick up all laughs poker slow coco Max being a fire low time preference thinking higher this is bitcoin going on from the code to the carry on we don't wait we we build and move on yeah this is bitcoin going on this is bitcoin going on this is bitcoin going on.
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I.
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Was asking what's going on Now I know life is high and good Living in the orange glow I say hey, bitcoin's going on.
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And don't forget to check out bitcoinnewsalerts.net for the full premium experience with video and to participate in the live stream along with the Q and A. And I look forward to seeing you on tomorrow's episode. Hoddle.
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