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2228: Trump Signals Major Crypto Bill Signing — U.S. Pushes to Lead Bitcoin Era
00:29:25
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- [00:00]
JV
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JV
All.
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JV
Time.
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- [00:54]
JV
Welcome Bitcoin fam to the number one Bitcoin pod. Bitcoin corrected but then just recaptured 90,000. It's been a pretty wild roller co a ride to say the least. In today's show, be breaking down the latest TA as Trump sees the crypto bill signing very soon as per his speech he just gave. We'll also be discussing central banks versus Bitcoin. Who deserves the public's trust? Well, first and foremost, what kind of question is that? We all trust bitcoin. We can't say the same for the banksters, you know. Also spot bitcoin ether etf. See heavy outflows as the institutional caution continues to grow. Also smart money loaded 3.2 billion in Bitcoin over the past nine days. I'll be sharing the latest report from Santiment. Also fun strats Thomas Lee sees a painful start to the new year before late year rebound. I'll be sharing his analysis. Also Trump always in the headlines. His crypto empire now one fifth of his family's seven billion dollar fortune literally tied to digital assets. Then of course with his speech, he aims to sign the major crypto bill very soon and a push to make the US the crypto capital of the world. His motivation behind it, he says is so that doesn't get a hold of crypto. We'll also be taking a look at the overall crypto market. All this plus so much more right here in today's show. I'm your host JV alongside the Fed chair, my co host the nipinator. Today is January 21, 2025. Finally back in the green. It's been a roller coaster. We've Been dumping, pumping, dumping, only to pump again. We're currently in the green but barely. We did recapture 90,000 after bottoming out at around 87.88. And it's crazy because a couple of days ago we tapped almost 98 before the correction. So the sideways trading action continues here in the month of January. Let's kick it off with our market watch as we do it each and every day. Pulling up coin360. It's nice that everything's back in a green. Yesterday everything was in the red or the blood red. Today ether back above 3G's. Bitcoin up a half a percent. Monero is up 5% green across the board. The only thing in the red really is BNB which is the native binance token on their platform. Checking out coinmark gap.com the market cap barely back on a rise today it's 3.04 trillion. Bitcoin market cap 1.75 trillion. So that's actually been on the decline. Checking out top 100 crypto gainers past 24 hours. We got layer 0 up 15, MyX up 60% and Canton up 11. Very modest gains after that. Still a lot of, you know, the alt market either even on the day or correcting. Checking out the crypto greed and fear index. We are still in extreme fear. Believe it or not. We got pushed back down here today. Rated A24. Yesterday was A32, last week of 48 and last month A25. An extreme fear. Checking out the time chain calendar. Today's block height 933, 259. You can exchange one fiat monopoly dollar for 1115 SATS. So you know what to do. Pick up the stats, put gats, pick up some bitcoin caps from a man Sergio over@bitcoin caps.net in the headlines. Trump is all over the headlines today. So it's going to be a lot of Trump stories including RTA here. But actually before we dive into this headline, Bitcoin eyes 90,000. As Trump sees the crypto bill signing very soon, let's look at some of the live charts. We'll do a little live chart action. Jackson satisfaction, Bo Jackson dedicated to the Broskis for the day. You can see we have bipolar charts. Big ass red candle taking us down to like 87. Yep. And then we climb straight back to like 88. 89, close to 90. And now we have another candle taking us right back down. Definitely tends to be, in my opinion manipulation going on in the markets. Some is happening behind closed doors. It's like they're suppressing the price almost as if every time we hit 90 and looking to break away, make a clear run for 100 right back down. Deja vu. But there you go, yo. Bipolar price action on the charts. Checking out the four hour, you're going to notice a big red candle printed right now. But before that we had a pretty respectable green candle again today we are in the green, though barely on the day, but it's good to see compared to the corrections we've had in the past few days. Checking out the Daily you're also going to notice green candle on the day. Looking to recover some of the losses of yesterday's mega red candle which was three times the size of what we have printed in the green thus far today. But unfortunately in the red. And checking out the Weekly you're also going to notice a red candle printed on the week. Last week we finally got a green candle close and it's just been sideways. We've been stuck in this range for quite some time. Bitcoin definitely is going to have to make a move. The question becomes will it make a move to the upside or to the downside? Let me know, I'll entertain your comments here shortly. Checking out the monthly we are silver lining here. The month of January we're barely in the green. If we crack much more it'll flip red. But thus far we do got a little bit of bullish momentum. We had a pretty decent jump on the New year but now the corrections and the bears are coming in. So let me know where you feel the pretty little bitty likely take us next. And let's continue with some ta here. So yeah, trading view showed Bitcoin gaining almost 2% as Trump took the stage at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. And you can see the price action on the one hour chart was bullish before the current correction to unleash innovation and savings and financing. I'm also working to ensure America remains the crypto capital of the world and to that I and or that end I signed the landmark Genius act into law, he said. Now Congress is working very hard on crypto, market structure, legislation, bitcoin, all of them, which I hope to sign very soon, unlocking new pathways for Americans to reach financial freedom. And you can see the news here. Posted by the World Economic Forum I'll be straight up, I've never been a fan of the World Economic Forum. As you know, they set the precedent and the stage of what's to occur. I just remember the whole novid rollout and all the corruption behind that. I get deja vu vibes. And of course we have Larry Fink, who's Lawrence Fink, the CEO of BlackRock. And all the movers and shakers are there, everyone of significance with that power, if you know what I mean. But Trump also said he would not use force to take over Greenland, a topic that stock market's welcome. With the S P up a half a percent at this time, that stock market is going to be doubled, he added about the Dow Jones Industrial Average. We're going to hit 50, 000 and that stock market is going to double in a relatively short period of time. So he is very bullish on stocks. Apparently. Trump's words came as markets waited to see the full extent of trade retaliation over the Greenland issue. And across the world, Japanese bond markets, a topic that crypto markets are traditionally sensitive to, once more hit the headlines. In fact, ready to buy a car.
- [08:17]
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- [08:47]
JV
Yesterday's episode was dedicated to the N carry trade and the bond apocalypse coming soon, as per the high priest Max Kaiser. If you missed that episode, I highly encourage you to check it out. But quoting QCP Capital here, After decades of near zero rates, the 10 year Japanese bond yields have risen to 2.2% levels not seen since 99. This shift is exposing the deep fiscal vulnerabilities. Government debt now exceeds 240 GDP. Total debt stands near 1,342. I guess that's in Japanese yen, so I'm not going to pretend to understand that number. But it's big. And the debt servicing is projected to absorb roughly the quarter of the fiscal spending in 2026. So as the yields rise, the sustainability of Japan's public finances is being openly questioned. And the spillover to the global bonds underscores Japan as a key volatility catalyst. And that's the key chart we should keep our eyes on. It's that yen carry trade as it's starting to unwind and this can cause obviously a blow up in the markets. Obviously that's why we're hedging with bitcoin against the dollar because fiat currency as we know it is doomed now. Also there was a gap of the CME group. I think we closed that one. Let me make sure BTC had a solid buying wall showing the support line is strong. Dan Crypto trades advise monitoring local lows arguing it would be beneficial for bitcoin wick below the 2026 opening mark. I guess to fulfill those gaps. Almost retested the yearly open and a flush lower. Still think it's a good idea or area to watch closely. In my opinion it'd be good to have a bit of the wick below the yearly open so that at least it's taken out then from there we can see and you do see that level it looks like it's between 87 and 88. The particular gap is outlined here back to the 84.94 range it spent the past two months and already breakout fail doesn't make it look pretty good. Now been talking about a yearly open likely being taken out at some point as it's rare to see no wick before on the yearly candle. But there you go. Yo, there's the latest greatest what's happening? Next up, Central banks versus the bitty who deserves the public trust? What kind of question is that? Obviously nobody trusts the banksters. I mean it's like trusting Epstein. No thank you. The long running tension between the central banks of the biddy resurfaced. Oh, of course. At the World Economic Forum in Davos, senior execs to the policymakers debated regulation versus innovation and digital finance. Trust and money musk come from regulated public institutions and that's what the powers that be. I want you to believe the forces of evil, but I don't buy into that, French central bank Governor Franciois said during a panel titled Tokenization the Future. The guarantee for trust is independence at a central bank side. I trust more independent central banks with a democratic mandate than a private issuer a bitcoin. Now call me Sally, but I don't trust anything to do with bankers. I don't give a what side of the coin they're on. I trust bitcoin and I trust, let's see private issuers of bitcoin. I don't know what exactly a private issuer of bitcoin means, but I do trust bitcoin and in code we trust all hell Satoshi. His remarks sparked the sharp exchange with the Coinbase CEO Armstrong clapping back by arguing trust should ultimately be determined by the users, not the institutions. Correct Responding to this argument, Armstrong said Bitcoin is a centralized protocol with no issuer. And that's what I was going to say. I'm like, who the is the issuer? It's the map, it's the code, the block rewards. Contrasting it with the central bank's institutional independence in the sense that the central banks have independence, Bitcoin's even more independent. Armstrong said there's no country or company or individual who controls it in the world. And that's why the forces of evil are shaken in their boots and doing everything they can behind the scenes to, you know, suppress Bitcoin, which we've been witnessing, in my opinion, in the markets. But anyways, Armstrong said bitcoin and central bank should compete rather than replace one another. Competition, game theory, global hash wars. Exactly. I think it's a healthy competition because if the people can decide which one they trust more, I think it's actually the greatest accountability mechanism on the deficit spending. Now, Gareth pointed out Armstrong deserves an award for evangelizing for Bitcoin. At World Economic Forum in Davos, France, central bank governor said he trusts central banks more than independent issuers of Bitcoin. Yeah, this guy can go himself. Armstrong clarifies Bitcoin is a decentralized protocol. There's actually no issuer. Spot on. The guy said he trusted central banks. But again, why are we believing anyone on stage at the World Economic Forum? Right. Money has existed for centuries as a public private partnership, suggesting tokenization could play a role in the operations within a regulated framework. And one of my favorite Max Geyser quotes in which I shared in yesterday's episode, Money existed before the state. Bitcoin separates money from state. Bitcoin kills the state. You know, anyways, regulation is not the enemy of innovation. On the contrary, it is a guarantee of trust. I don't believe in that. The governor also sought to reassure the banks that the EU central bank digital currency, the digital euro, is not intended to displace private financial institutions, saying the goal is to modernize the payments while preserving the monetary sovereignty. Next headline. We did the Trumpster. Did we do the ETF inflows? No. So we'll do this. Spot Bitcoin and Ether ETF see heavy outflows as the institutional caution grows. That's right. Spot Bitcoin ETS recorded 483 million of daily outflows with the grayscale Bitcoin trust leading the selling at 160 million. Like a constipated Ms. Shelling followed by fidelity wise origin Bitcoin fun at 152 milli according to so so value spot E3 test posted 230 million of net outflows ending the 5 day streak a positive flows with black rocks eth a seeing 92 million exit spot XRP ETFs also registered the largest single daily outflow yet a 53 million. While Salana ETFs buck the trend, I say we buck the Fed with 3 million of net inflows. Practically nothing right? ETF outflows point to the institutional caution amid the geographical trade tariffs and the broader risk off sentiment. According to this chief investment officer at the trading firm Kronos Research, Japan's bond sell off at the rising of the JGB yields the Japanese yen tightening the global liquidity and pressuring the risk on assets. The ETAB withdrawals coincided with the broader weakness of of the crypto markets as Bitcoin fell below 89 after surpassing 97 last week. Again we've had very bipolar price action. Analysts attributed the downturn to the ongoing macro pressure including the eu, U S trade tension over Greenland and panic selling of Japanese government bonds which weighed on the global liquidity and risk assets. Traders are watching for the macro updates on the trade tariffs with attention turning to U S initial jobless claims on Thursday. A weaker print could reinforce growth concerns and risk off sentiment. Meanwhile, despite the bitcoin recent drop, the large hodlers continue to accumulate addresses holding between 10 and 10,000 of the biddy added roughly 36000 bitties over the last nine days. No Diddy these are wallets with less or while the wallets were less than 0.01 reduced their holdings. So those with very little holdings now have even less and those with a lot have even more. The Giga Chad sailor great example of that announcing a 2.1 billion dollar buy now surpassing 700000 bits going for the balance sheet a strategy. The rest is history.
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JV
Kalshi trade on anything Michael Saylor Taking over the world but control over the bitcoin market direction as Peter shifted towards the short term whale huddlers marking a change in how the price moves through are formed according to data from the crypto quant. For the first time on the record, the so called new whales short term hodlers controlling more than a thousand bitties with coins held less than 155 days now account for the larger share of the bitcoin realized cap than the long term as outlined right here in the chart. Realized cap measures the value of the coins based on their last on chain movement, offering clearer views of who controls bitcoins marginal supply. Quoting them here, control has moved from experienced cycle tested huddlers to capital that entered late in the trend. And remember the trend is your friend smart money loaded 3.2 billion unreloaded in Bitcoin over the past nine days according to Science. But I still want to talk to Samson Crypto could be in optimal conditions for a breakout. That's what I'm saying as the bitty whales and sharks accumulate 36000 of the BTC over the past nine days while the retail dump according to analysts from Sandman, Bitcoin whales and sharks continue to accumulate after Bitcoin dropped 4% just the other day. But we are back a little bit at least we just recaptured 900 between Jan 10th and the 19th. Wallets holding between 10 and 10,000. Bitcoin referred to the smart money accumulated 3.21 billion retail wallets described as those holding lessons than 01. Bitcoin offloaded 11 million over the same period. You know now since Trump's inauguration January of 2025, Bitcoin experienced volatility whenever the US President has floated new tariffs. Almost like it's an attack on the bitcoin price, as crazy as that sounds, makes you wonder. It happened again on Monday. Trump discussed imposing tariffs on eight European countries as part of his push to claim green in leading to Bitcoin falling 7%. Crypto Quan CEO said the retail has left bitcoin markets and Wales buying. However sentiment pointed out Taco Tuesday that the bitcoin seeing one of the highest increases in discussion rates on social media amongst the crypto community, including comparisons to the metals like gold and silver which reach new all time highs and continue to do so. Other crypto indicators suggest market participants are cautious, still heavily bitcoin focused compared to the other cryptos as they should be. And as you know the crypto green and fair index sunk right back into fear after we just got out of it the other day. Being objective it's tough to be excited about bitcoin here on the price action, according to on chain analyst William Clemente. Let's continue with the news, jv. You got it yo. Fun Strats Lee sees painful start to 2026 before a late year rebound like a young Dennis Roth pre Chicago Bulls when he used to play for the Detroit Pistons next to Bill Lambert, Joe Dumars and Isaiah Thomas. I'm old school like that. Fun Strat Head Research Tom Lee whose views are closely watched by the crypto investors and corporate treasuries Warren investors, brace yourself for the painful decline across the Crypto Stock Market 2026 geopolitical tension before the recovery towards the end of the year. In an interview on the Taco Tuesday with the Master Investor podcast, Wilfred Frost, Lisa 2026 will mirror 2025 with the tailwinds for the blockchain of the AI of the industry. But risks from the tariffs of the political divides would hold the market back from a sustained rally initially. So my theory is correct according to Tom Lee, he believes the same thing that this Trump tariff thing is only going to sabotage the markets and not going to help us whatsoever for this time being. I hope I'm wrong, but that's what it seems like. Lee estimated a stock market correction of 20 this year. Meanwhile Trump is saying stock market's going to double leaves like I think we really finished the year strong though in part due to the dovish U S Fed and the conclusion of the quantitative tightening last year. Our only hope in all honesty with the Fed Fed chair Nipinator keeping them nipinating Nipinator liquinator indicator the only indicator but 100 accuracy. Just saying. But he also said the White House is a pick in the winners and losers may also influence which sectors outperform this year for bitcoin. Lee said he still expects to see new all time high send it but didn't mention the 250 Bitcoin target prediction he made the previous month. What's going on Mr. Tom Lee? Lee said in a new Bitcoin all time high would be a key milestone as would indicate the market has fully shaken off crabs and crabs aren't good. You know crabs in a bucket it October 10th market crash that was the worst crash of all crashes for the Bitcoin. We saw 20 billion worth of leveraged crypto positions wiped out. That's right. I think 2026 will be a really important test because bitcoin makes a new all time high. We know that the leveraging event is behind us so he didn't sound so confident here. He says if what the bro. So he went from predicting 250000 for last year to like if we make a new all time high this year. I have no trust what Trump's doing with terrorists but if we do, it's kind of what I get out of it. Lee noted crypto's recent divergence from goal was due to the deleveraging cycles which periodically shake the market Yahtzee mofos severely impair the market makers whom Lee describes as the central bank of crypto. I like, I've never heard of that term central bank of crypto. The market makers. Now it makes perfect sense. Until crypto sees broader mainstream adoption, more of the institutional support disruptions will continue to impact market stability. Lee tipped his energy and basic materials as the winning sector of the 2026 the energy sector of course, adding that the gold should be included in the portfolio into the crypto verse. Benjamin Cohen sees similar Pat well, just FYI, he's always bearish, however unlikely expects metals to face a big correction later in the year. Trade the market you have, not the market you'll want according to these guys. What are your thoughts? Let me know if you agree. I do agree with some of Tom Lee says. I don't agree that it's going to take all year for bitcoin to hit the all time high, but I do feel the tariffs absolutely sabotages our bull runs and in my opinion is not good for financial markets as Trump paints it to be. I'm not no expert at that but from what I've witnessed thus far from tariffs hasn't been good whatsoever. So I am skeptical but that's that. Let me know your thoughts. All right fam. Now for our feature story of the day, Trump is basically all over the headlines. Trump's crypto empire, 1/5 of the family 7 billion dollar fortune is tied to crypto, aka digital assets. We'll touch upon that. And then of course Trump aims to sign major crypto bill, he says very soon in a new speech he gave this morning in Davos and a push to make the US the crypto capital of the world. His motivation behind it, he says that China doesn't get a hold of crypto, which kind of leads me to believe he doesn't understand crypto like but we'll dive into this. Let's start though first with Trump's Fortune 1 fifth, which is roughly 20 in crypto right now. A year into his presidency, President Trump and his fam have reportedly seen a notable shift in their wealth distribution with a growing concentration of crypto ventures linked to the presidential family, Bloomberg on Tuesday reported. The Trump family wealth has remained relatively steady over the past year despite the plunging value of their social media company Trump Media and Tech, and the massive gains of their new crypto ventures, according to the report. The family's overall net worth has not grown significantly since President Trump's inauguration, remaining at only 7 billion, according to data from the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. Notably, the gains were from new projects, which were offset by the losses of Trump Media, whose shares have declined 66.6percent over the last 12 months despite efforts to diversify into various endeavors. Nonetheless, the way that Trump's wealth is distributed now, particularly in concentration and virtual assets and public companies ready to buy.
- [25:32]
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- [26:01]
JV
Which did not exist when he left office in 2021 represents a sea change and how they'll earn money for the years to come. Per Bloomberg, the family's most notable change has been the growing concentration of their net worth in crypto, with one fifth of their fortune coming from crypto projects for the first time, which would mean roughly 1.4 billion of that treasure trove of their wealth is coming from cryptocurrency right now. And of course you got their sons all in on crypto. Eric Trump, Trump Jr. And my homie Baron were very close. In a statement to the news outlet, Eric Trump reaffirmed his family's crypto push was driven by their clothes. Experience with the banks after the President's first term having been cancelled by the banks out of the political malice led us to many incredible opportunities as we redefine the future of finance and over the past year various news outlets estimated the first family's crypto fortune with some reports calculating the value at around 1 billion. And in October, Eric Trump shared the real number was probably more. And while the Trump family dived into multiple crypto related projects, Bloomberg analysis highlighted three of their main ventures. Number one world Liberty Financial, which is their D5 platform for shitcoinery American Bitcoin Corp. Which is now their partnership I believe with Hut 8, the major American bitcoin miner and the official Trump and Melania meme coins. If I was Trump, I distance myself from those scam offerings. I believe Melania coin already effectively lost over 99 point something of its value. Not surprised they're scams. I don't know why he would want his name on that, but I mean teach their own world Liberty Financial reportedly sold 550 million worth of tokens, generated 390 million for the presidential family, according to the news media outlet. And then in August, the company announced the partnership with Alt 5 Sigma to become the investor for the tech firm sought to raise one and a half billion for its crypto treasury based on WLFI. And according to Bloomberg, the Trumps netted more than 500 million, which is a half a billion just from this deal. The company also launched their stablecoin USD1 in March, which has grown to more than 3 billion since the debut. Bloomberg estimated the business could be worth more than 300 million. So he's making money hand over fist on all these projects. Meanwhile, the official Trump Melania meme coins which launched the weekend before the Trump second inauguration, generated gains of roughly 280 million from the family's holdings and associated proceeds. But do keep in mind, majority of the traders probably got wrecked. Common sense, right? In addition, the only ones that win on meme coins are the founders, the snipers and you know, those doing the shenanigans behind closed doors. Typically never the investors. That's why it's best to not be involved. I know I'm preaching to the choir, but in addition, Eric Trump owns about 7.4% of the American Bitcoin, worth 114 million. So bottom line, they are dominating with crypto. I mean, one fifth of the Trump fortune now belongs to digital assets. Now let's dive deeper into the big news of the day Coming out of Davos, Switzerland. Trump claimed today that he signed a landmark genius act. So it's a done deal or no, that was last year, right? Focus on stable coins. But he did basically say he was going to sign something big coming up. I don't know if he, he went deep into it, but let's see. He wrote he hopes to sign something new very soon. He says he's working on broader market structure rules, whatever that means. The U. S. Senate's currently working on a market structure bill through two committees when expect to release draft legislation after Wednesday. I guess that just means after today, while the other pull the vote. Last week, still working on legislation, Trump said he put the crypto policy high on the agenda for two reasons. Number one, I thought it was politically good it and it was. He said I got tremendous political support. Crypto companies have supported political action committees to the tune of hundreds of millions. These pox heavily donated to candidates 2024. He also says more importantly, China wanted the market. We have to make it so that China does get a hold of it. It's just like they want the AI. We've got that market I think pretty well locked up up. My understanding is it's, it's borderless market. China already has a piece, I would assume of AI and crypto as every country. But yeah, maybe adopting it put on the balance sheet. Creating a strategic bitcoin reserve is a whole nother story. But there you go, yo. And also this article was just written by Coin Telegraph right before I went live just scanning through it. Here it is politically popular. It's more, much more importantly, we have to make it. China doesn't get a hold of it again referencing the crypto market. Once they have that hold, we're not going to be able to get it back. He says, well, you know what? We need to start stockpiling some bitcoin in the strategic bitcoin reserve as per the executive order already. You know, Cynthia Lumis proposed, I believe it was 1 million Bitcoin over the course of five years, which would hypothetically mean 200,000 Bitcoin being acquired year over year for five years. Let me know if you think that will actually happen or do you think there's some going on behind closed doors with the US will never move forward with this. I mean, there's a lot of speculation naturally, but let me know either way. And welcome everyone to the Q and A segment of the live show. And don't forget to check out bitcoin news alerts.net for the full premium experience with video and to participate in the live stream along with the Q and A. And I look forward to seeing you on tomorrow's episode. Hoddle.
- [31:51]
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