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2238: World's Highest IQ Holder Predicts $276K Bitcoin by February 2026
00:29:29
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- [00:00]
Max
Ugh.
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I barely got any sleep last night.
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JV
What? Why?
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JV
Nope.
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Max
Just.
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JV
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Nipinator
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JV
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JV
See terms welcome Bitcoin fam To NoOne Bitcoin pod Bitcoin hit a new cycle low of 75,000. The carnage is real in today's show. I'll be breaking down the latest and everything you need to know. We just had a $2 billion liquidation event. Also Bitcoin versus Gold Bitcoin is a better opportunity than in 2017 according to the data. Also as I reference, 1.8 billion pulled from the spot Bitcoin and Ether ETFs amid the metals rally. Also the latest of what's happening regarding the government shutdown the markets are embracing. Get ready for impact on Monday. We also discuss the probability of the US government shutdown right now according to Polymarket, 99% chance. Also Silver's 35% plunge ends up beating Bitcoin and rare crypto liquidation shock. Everything is being liquidated right now. Financial markets on red alert. But I'm going to leave you with some bullishness. The world's highest IQ holder still predicting Bitcoin surging to 276000 in February. Now as you know, today is January 31st. So we'll be covering this. All this plus so much more right here in today's show. Today is Pod Episode 2238. I'm your host JV alongside the Fed chair Nipinator somewhere around here keeping them nip and ating carnage in the crypto markets and financial markets. In general, massive liquidation event yet again today on a SAT stacking Saturday, we just bottomed out at roughly 74,5, which is the new low for the cycle. Let's dissect what's happening right now. Diving in with coin360. Now this is going to be, I think it was down earlier. Let's refresh. Yeah, it's down unfortunately. So let's just go right to coinmarketcap.com as you can see here, the crypto market cap is all the way down to 2.72 trillion. Down another 4% on the day. Bitcoin market cap, this is crazy. 1.5 trillion. This is the lowest we have seen it in a very, very long time. I'm not anticipating many gainers on the day. In fact, looking at it, there's no gainers. Everything is in the blood red, you know, because the market is having a massive correction right now. Checking out the crypto greed and fear index, we are a 20 and extreme fear yesterday 16, last week at 25 and last month at 20. And checking out the time chain calendar, you're going to get a lot of bang for your buck. A lot of sats per dollar today in fact you're going to get 1290 sats per dollar. This is pretty high. You know, just the other day it was like 1100 ish. So today we're on block height 934, 516. And once again you can exchange one fiat monopoly dollar for almost 1300 sats. So you know what to do. You pick up the SATs, put down the gas, pick up some bitcoin caps from my homie Sergio over@bitcoin gaps.net let's keep them nipping. Looking at the live charts here via Trading view. Looks like bitcoin just fell off a cliff, you know, well below the moving averages. You look at these candles, man. We just continue cascading down further and further and we're, we're dropping so fast that leads me to believe we're going to continue going downwards. We did touch roughly 74,5 which is currently the local bottom. Now also keep in mind the previous cycle all time high was 69. It looks like we may be testing that soon as a level of support. How low will she go? Let me know. Checking out the four hour. Very similar to the one hour massive candles. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 concess negative. Now we have a itty bitty green being printed that took us back from the 74 to the 77, 78 range where we're currently hanging at the time of the live Checking out the daily again, massive red candle on the day Yesterday was a red candle. Day before was a red candle. It should spin Correction moments Unfortunately, checking out the weekly we do get a weekly close tomorrow, but it's going to be in the red and it's a massive red candle even bigger than last week's close in the red. So things have not turned around unfortunately and sucks. We get a big red candle printed for the first month of the new year. Especially considering we had the October, November, December and here we are Janu Bear unfortunately. I was really hoping for a Janu bowl to kick off the new year, but it is what it is. Will February be the turnaround month? You guys let me know and now entertaining some analysis. Bitcoin crashing below 76 strategy cost basis and a 2 billion dollar liquidation event. I already shared with you how horrific the live charts are, so let's just go right to the analysis. Keith Allen Material Indicator said the local low at 8500 was annihilated to say the least. Analysts on Chain College noted the Bitcoin had now lost the true market maintenance the aggregate cost basis for the current activity of the bitty supply Bitcoin now below the true market mean which was 80,700 for the first time since October 2023 when the price was only 29 G's. Put simply, this is not good for bitcoin short term to medium term price action. Now he also supplied various downside levels to notice including the top of the bitcoin last bull market from November of 2021 which I referenced earlier which was 69,000. Then you remember the massive crash of 2022 due to the FTX collapse, the Terra Luna collapse and all the chaos of the market tanked us down to 16,000. Now strategies Bitcoin holdings dip negative. I think this is like the first time we've seen this another cost basis level loom large for both crypto market participants and beyond strategy, the firm with the largest corporate bitcoin treasury face going into the red on its bitcoin holdings at 76. So yeah, this is the first time it's significantly now below the company currently holds in excess of 700,000 BTC. The stock price is trading at $143, having tumbled nearly 70% from the local high of $455 per share back in July of last year. And naturally they're the largest bitcoin holder as far as publicly traded companies are concerned. And now there's speculation and FUD that sailor is going to be forced to liquidate. But I don't know. He also still has the cash. What do we call that? The cash fund he built up. You know, instead of buying some bitcoin some weeks he just built a cash reserve which I believe is multiple billions of dollars. I would assume that would go first before liquidating any bitcoin. But we shall soon see. The question is how bad will the carnage get from here? Will it continue? Is the worst over? Let me know. Okay, yo. Let's continue with what's happening in the markets. Next headline Bitcoin versus Gold. A Bitcoin is a better opportunity than in 2017. That's right. Because the the network is that much more stronger. The higher the price goes, more security you got. That's why people love aping in at the all time high prices. I'm just saying. But check this out. Key takeaways. Bitcoin versus gold hit a record low. A level that has lined up with past major bottoms. Some analysts warn that a rotation to the biddy from gold. There's no guarantee. I want to talk to Samson. That's the only thing guaranteed. Working across teams is tough but Asana helps you handle it. That's because Asana is where humans and AI coordinate work together. AI can spot roadblocks and assign work in a snap. So everything and everyone stays on track. That's how work gets handled. That's Asana. Visit us@asana.com that's a S-A-N-A.com on Saturday sad stack. And Saturday the bitcoin value compared to gold fell to the lowest level ever after adjusting for the global money supply. Now the indicator shows when bitcoin is unusually strong or weak versus the gold. It has now moved near an extreme zone that in the past appeared around the bitcoin market bottoms. The last time this band fell to similar levels was all the way back in 2015. Indicating extreme Bitcoin undervaluation to the goal that preceded 11,800% bitty price gains to 20,000 from around $165 within a couple of years. As analyst Van Pop wrote here today represents better opportunity to be buying bitcoin than in 2017. Ironic enough, that was my inauguration year to the BTC 2017. It was trading between 1000 and 1500. A coin I aped in. The rest is a history. His comment echoed analysts who expect some capital rotate from gold into bitty. That's right. But the bitcoin market cap being one and a half trillion. That's nothing. The gold market cap just surpassed 40 trillion. Just to show you how much potential prelo bitty got. That includes bitwise European head of the research an analyst say ladder such rotations could start occurring February or March, meaning a lot of that liquidity flowing from gold into the btc. The bullish views emerge as the gold prices have doubled over the past year while bitcoin has fallen by 18% over the same period. So long overdue you're going to see a lot of rotating liquidity flow from the precious metal to the btc because gold is a poor man's bitty. And how fast can bitcoin double in market cap? What's 1 1/2 trillion from a 40 trillion gold market cap? Easy peasy. So just saying he said Bitcoin's downtrend may last longer than many hudders expect. But this is coming from Benjamin Cohen who is absolutely a perma bear to typically we don't cover his analysis here on the show. I don't like perma bears, I just don't resonate with them. But anyways, despite the bitcoin sharp pullback of January, onchain data shows long term hudders are quietly rebuilding positions. The supply held by the long term Hodler entities that hold the biddy over 155 days, which are all of us, began recovering during the January selloff. Also the long term Hodler spent binary a metric that shows whether the long term holders our selling or staying put continue to decline during this period. In the past cycles, recovering long term hotter supply and declining long term Hodler spent binary preceded the formation of the durable bitcoin bottoms and a recent example came after the April 2025 lows. Long term Hodler supply began to recover first and Bitcoin followed with a sharp rebound after a month later rallying 60% from the lows. And if you don't know now you know next story of the day close to 2 billion pull from the spot bitcoin and ether ETFs amid the metals rally. Those numbers are probably significantly higher right now because we're crashing in real time. But here we go. Between Monday and Friday U. S based bot bitcoin atfs lost one and a half billion while ether ETF saw 327 million of outflows and according to far side that was the outflows come as a spot price. Both cryptos continue to decline despite the recent signs of recovery and and over the past seven days bitcoin and ether have fallen six and a half percent and nine percent and it's continuing to fall obviously a lot more significantly since then. We just touched the local bottom of 745 with a BTC for a little bounce back, but Bitcoin rose 7% over the two days leading to Jan.15th amid the speculation of the U.S. clarity Act. You know, and during that period the Bitcoin ETF saw their highest inflow day for 2026 January 14 with 840 million, just before the Crypto Green Fair Index which measures the overall crypto market. Sentime serves to the highest score of the year which was greed rated a 61. Crypto market participants often track the spot crypto ETFs to gaze retail investor sentiment and get clues on the asset's near term price direction. Analyst Eric Balchunas called the negativity around the bitcoin price action versus Gold and silver very short sighted. Quoting him here Bitcoin spanked everything so bad 2023, 2024 emphasizing people must have forgotten precisely those other assets still haven't even caught up after their greatest year ever and bitcoin being in a coma, baltuna said. It's the institutionalization narrative. It got priced in for the bitcoin quickly ahead of it actually happening, so it had to take a breather so the actual narrative could catch up to the price. Gold and silver reaching the all time high. I believe gold surpassed 5700, silver surpass 120 and then they had a massive liquidation as well. I believe over 15 trillion wiped out of the market which is collectively five times larger than the entire crypto market which is insanity next door. Yo Bitcoin ether fall, a shut down clock hits the markets brace for the messy Monday. I've already seen a lot of FUD speculation of fake Trump posts from Truth Social floating around X declaring the shutdown has begin but I didn't see anything official but I think they're all hinting that it's going to be an official announcement maybe on Monday. If you guys want to chime in on that in the chat, do let me know. Also I want to bring this up the poly market odds they have a bet here going on US government shut down Saturday greater than 99 chance and then if you read the comments it says people will really bet against something that has already happened and then complain it's a scam when they lose. But this leads me to believe the government shutdown thing is definitely happening, but I don't know if it's official yet or if Monday it will become official. So let's dive a little deeper here yo because this absolutely has impacted the price. Since they've been talking about a potential government shutdown, the markets have been wrecking havoc if you know what I mean. So yeah, prices stayed under pressure on Friday as you had gunman entered a partial shutdown. So apparently the shutdown is official, but it's partial after lawmakers missed the midnight funding deadline, probably on purpose, adding another layer of uncertainty, all by design to a market that has already been struggling to find bids. At that time bitcoin was trading at 83 and a half. And again today we continue to dump hitting a local bottom of 745. Before a little bounce back now ether was sitting at 2600. It also has significantly declined even more since then. In fact all of the major cryptos are, you know, reaching Havoc right now. XRP I saw down to A$50 last time I checked. The shutdown itself looks short. The Senate passed the funding package but the House is out until Monday obviously and they're not working on the weekends. They're too busy visiting Epstein's island for all we know. You know and they're speaking of Epstein's Island. Another 3 million page dump was just released that'll blow your can mine. But the government still hits a technical lapse over the weekend. That timing matters for risk assets because it lands right into the thin weekend liquidity in a heavy headline cycle which may pressure to pre lo biddy in the broader crypto market over the weekend. No diddy or is there diddy? Especially with Epstein involved. There's also a clean crypto angle here and it's just not risk off. Prediction markets have spent the past 24 hours showing how messy the definition of the shutdown can get. Traders of the poly market at the Kali the two largest prediction markets were forced to think like lawyers. The government can be shut on paper at 12:01am and still look normal to most of the people for two days. That gap between the legal status and the real world impact is exactly where contract wording and settlement rules start to bite. Like a young Fed chair Nip Anator coming for you. For crypto the shutdown the headlines is more like a stress test for the sentiment the than a direct economic shock. It keeps the traders cautious. I want to talk to Samson. Pushing the people towards the smaller position sizes makes the dips feel heavier because the buyers do not want to step in in front of the weekend news tape. And there we are. There you have it. Let me know your thoughts on that regarding the Shutdown. Apparently it's done deal. We have a partial shutdown. Is it going to be a full fledged shutdown? Will it be the longest shutdown outpacing the previous recent shutdown? Your guess is as good as mine. So do let me know. Next story Silver's 35% plunge ends up beating the bitcoin in rare crypto liquidation shock. The markets are getting wrecked. What you need to know Tokenized silver futures led to crypto market liquidations over the past 24 hours wiping out 142 million and these numbers are probably significantly higher now since the time this article was published. As the market continues getting wrecked, surpassing bitcoin and ether as the metals sell off to hit the commodities base, crypto products shake out followed a sharp reversal of the silver prices. I know it broke out, hit an all time high above 120 and crashed right back down to like $70. So yeah, this has been major. So yeah. Tokenized silver futures record the largest liquidation across the crypto market over the past 24 hours, overtaking Bitcoin and ether and rare reversal of the usual risk hierarchy as the pullback of precious metals spilled into commodities base crypto futures. According to the coin glass data, 129,000 traders were liquidated just in the past day with a total loss region over 543 million. Tokenized silver contracts led the wipeout with roughly 142 million liquidations tied to the product. Tracking the silver prices, Bitcoin followed with about 82 million while ether saw nearly 139 million. The largest single liquidation order during the period occurred on Hyper Liquid where a leverage position worth 18 million was forcibly closed as prices swung sharply. You got to be very careful with these future positions, especially trading with leverage. Everyone's tending to get wrecked, especially with the volatility of the uncertainty of the market. But you guys already know. The move marks an unusual moment for crypto market where bitcoin and ether typically dominate the liquidation tables. But now precious metals are more volatile than the btc. Take that Peter Schiff. Silver prices have been under pressure after an extraordinary rally earlier this month gave way to sharp reversals. Hedge funds and large speculators cut the bullish silver positions to a 23 month low in the weekend in January 27, US government data show Friday, reducing the net long exposure by 36%. That pullback accelerated after the exchanges moved to cool the volatility. CME Group said it would raise margin requirements on gold and silver futures starting Monday tomorrow, lifting collateral demands by as much as 50% for some silver contracts, higher margins tend to force the leverage traders to either add the capital or exit their positions, amplifying short term price swings. Expect more volatility. Tokenized metals, which allow the traders to gain the leverage exposure to the gold, silver and copper without using traditional futures accounts, saw heavy activity on Friday as the price turned lower. These products trade around the clock and require less upfront capital, also more risky Naturally, while the bitcoin prices also fell over the period, the damage was more muted compared to the metals linked products. Ether followed in a similar pattern with liquidations reflecting the broader risk off sentiment rather than a single dominant unwind. So yeah, everything's being liquidated right now having massive losses. The move shows how the crypto venues are increasingly used as alternative macro trading. Rails traders are not just a speculating on the digital assets. They're expressing views on commodities, rates, currencies, tokenized instruments that mirror traditional markets and there you go yo. All right, yo. Now for our feature story of the day. World's highest IQ holder predicts Bitcoin surge to 276,000 in February now granted, we all know Bitcoin just hit a new low for the cycle. Literally today on January 31st we hit 74,500. But nonetheless, we're going to entertain you with this man's very bullish prediction. Ultimately predicting Two Omega candles incoming. Send it the world's highest IQ holder, Young Hun Kim has turned heads again to predicting a major bitcoin breakout early 2026. Kim, who described himself as the world's smartest man, at least by IQ, said bitcoin could surge to 276 GS by February, which begins tomorrow. Bro, the forecast suggests the bidding more than triple from the current value within weeks. That's right. Significantly, Kim linked his outlook to the rising global debt pressure and the weakened in fiat currencies, which he believes could push more capital into scarce digital assets. His claim arrives as the biddy remains volatile, closely tied to the macro headlines including the inflation Peter shifts, interest rate expectations and broader currency stability concerns. Here's the official tweet. World's highest IQ holder well this is shared by document and sailor Young Hoon Kim predicts the Biddy will reach 276 by February of 2026. Kim's latest call centers on the idea that the fiat currencies could continue to lose the purchasing power over time. Hence, he expects Bitcoin to benefit as investors search for alternative stores of value. Additionally, he pointed to the bitcoin history to sharp trend changes where the major rallies can form quickly after long periods of pressure. Even so, Bitcoin has not shown clear momentum recently. Oh, that's an understatement. The coin continues to react to liquidity changes, investors fud risk appetite, global markets, you know. However, Kim's earlier price targets missed the mark. Back in November he predicted bitcoin to reach 220G's within 45 days. Obviously that never materialized. It was a November, you know, and bitcoin failed to deliver that surge. And by that time 45 day window expired 01-02-2026 Bitcoin was 88Gs, nowhere near 220. The outcome represented a miss of roughly 60% versus projected target, highlighting the risk tied to the short term forecast. Despite the setback, Kim has now shifted his focus into the longer term structural thesis. My master thesis is Bitcoin's going up forever Laura. But on Tuesday, Kim said Bitcoin may be entering a decade long super cycle. He argued that Bitcoin's traditional four year cycle has ended as extended cycle theory. Instead of repeating the boom and bust patterns tied to the having events, he claimed the market's transitioning into an extended growth phase driven by the structural adoption. Kim's view echoes a broader narrative gaining traction amongst industry figures such as the cz. The Binance founder who made a similar argument last December at the Bitcoin Mana conference suggesting the bitties historical cycle model may no longer apply. And I'm in agreement agreeance with that that the four year cycle as we know is dead and but there you go yo, take anything anyone says with a grain of salt. Personally I'm not anticipating 276,000 tomorrow or in the month of February, but nonetheless we entertain it because that's what we do here. You guys got both sides of the coin. The bear, the bull. You guys let me know where you feel we'll go. How low will she go? How fast do you think the market will recover? Do you think it'll take a long time to get out of this dump? Holler? Do you think this government shutdown is going to be full blast versus partial? Do you think it could potentially be longer than the previous shutdown of the fourth quarter which was historically longest shutdown we have ever seen? Do you think this is all by design lizard folks controlling assets from rising against a dwindling dollar and it's purchasing power? That's what I feel is happening. We just saw gold and silver hit new all time highs and then the government instantly intervenes and does everything in their power coordinated Attacks, dumping, you know, exchanges, black rock, asset managers, carnage, blood, sweat, tears. To pull those assets back down because they don't want it to continue to achieve escape velocity versus the dwindling purchasing power of the dollar. What are your thoughts? That's what I've been seeing and witnessing since Q4. Every time Bitcoin re broke above 90,000 looking to make another run to 100 GS. Correction, correction, correction, you know. But this is the global insurrection against banker occupation. Hang the bankers. Running out of patience. Start with Jamie Dimon. Sick of all his statements. Put that up on Netflix. Respect this pet rocks on the checklist. Off with his head and rock that on my necklace. Stacking bits for my breakfast Stacking bits like a reckless Stacking bits like his Tetris and the rest is history. Welcome everyone to the Q and A segment of the live stream.
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Max
Take me to the beach. Kaiser's gonna preach expanding the bitcoin reach. Max is on the leash. This isn't a vacation, it's a demonstration. Sun hit the green like a signal flare Orange lenses, salt in the air. Max hits the stage and the crowd leans in. He speaks with passion and conviction. He inspires adoption of the bit while flipping banker scripts. This isn't noise. This is our voice.
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JV
Yeah.
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Nipinator
Fiat is blasphemy, profanity, insanity, God acting, humanity. Fiat priests preach lies, manufactured gravity time chained on the rise Coded truth finality Bitty samurais cutting through depravity with cryptographic clarity I declare alchemy in El Salvador.
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Max
Stacking sets from my Stacking bits from my breakfast Stacking bits like it's Tetris.
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Nipinator
We are a different kind of army. It's the Max and Stacy second annual Golf invitation on El Salvador lit golf and pickleball and beck calling we're rolling and living it Sound money only no suits, no strings Kaiser on the mic.
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JV
Feel the passion he brings Max.
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Nipinator
Max.
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JV
Stacy.
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Max
Stacy.
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JV
Boom, boom boom Just buy it, just.
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Nipinator
Do it we got that bitcoin swagger Proof of work, no slacking Together we are strengthened and we're firmly positioned like minded on a freedom mission Investing with wisdom we're bullheaded Rider dies with diamond hands and true grit Being a fire brew Coco Max in my grip Low time preference train never see me slip Swinging for the moon but we're patient with it.
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Max
Bukele's aesthetics Confidence tested Bitcoin still underestimated, still undefeated Give it time, it's been proven Pressure train code from survival to sovereignty Watch the bitcoin office is transforming an economy like bosses do judge it by the fruit watch the system grow just tap in keep stacking them from San Salvador down to El.
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JV
Zonte waves signal cuts through noise even.
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Nipinator
Pundits can't save Citadels and permaculture chest moves every move intentional create complete by BTC growth will be exponential no we can see yeah, we do what we can Code is free speech Brick house built on the plan sipping Coco Max in fact in actuality sipping Cocomax no tax municipality sipping Cocomax syntax McAfee didn't kill himself they whacked him actually Satoshi achieved the unstoppable thing solved the double spend and showed the world there's no such thing as an impossible win Success of Boo Kelly the philosopher king Orange.
- [28:46]
Max
Shades Orange made OG players new to the gamers innovative thinkers Bitcoin shades and bitcoin bling all gathered with a BTC team max and station what a pair 2 bitcoin OG spreading bitcoin news since 2000 Stacy said it first on air hey I trailblazers digital Oregon trail path makers Bitcoin strategy Bitcoin is your majesty we can just do things BBO Stacy said we can look at that Renaissance 2.0. No foot on the fairway sound money swings golf balls humming off the teeth overworking his trajectory Pickleballing like Tom Petty free falling shot calling like huddle gangsters balling patience position placement competition poker room nightlife with royal flush wishes fifth level pity holding G's already deep debt traps exposed engineer dependency paper wealth dissolves in synthetic liquidity Hard cap law restores trust and credibility Private keys unlock sovereign immunity borderless freedom digital divinity volcano blocks and.
- [29:55]
Nipinator
Sacred stability Energy baptizing proof of work immutability Max spoke the truth with fearless audacity Stacy framed the proof of game theory perspicacity Bitcoin country rising from forced calamity El Salvador wrote the proof in reality from chains to choice proclaim sovereignty no IMF no suits, no monetary authority Law written in math incorruptible integrity forced in the fire undeniable clarity what Max spoke loudly Stacy proved mathematically no banners.
- [30:23]
Max
No flags no debt to defenders Rules that don't bend and blocks that don't.
- [30:36]
JV
And don't forget to check out bitcoinnewsalerts.net for the full premium experience with video and to participate in the live stream along with the Q and A. And I look forward to seeing you on tomorrow's episode. Hodl.
- [30:59]
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- [32:11]
Max
Com.