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2245: Bitcoin Volatility Sparks Buying - ETFs Absorb Shock as $850K Case Builds
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Get exclusive deals up to 50% off at MeUndies.Com comfort code comfort that's MeUndies.Com comfort code Comfort Happy Sat Stack and Saturday welcome everyone to the number one daily Bitcoin pod. Bitcoin sitting just above 69300 at the time of the live. In today's show we'll discussing Bitcoin to fill the 84,000 futures gap very soon as Bitcoin rejects above the 2021 top. Also Bitcoin difficulty drops over 11%, the sharpest drop since the 2021 China ban. We also discussed 231 million pours into the IBIT which is Black Rocks Bitcoin ETF following the second worst day for the E price. Also Google search volume for Bitcoin skyrockets yet again amid this recent Bitcoin price swing and massive volatility. Also Russia's largest bank to offer crypto back loans for corporate clients. I'll be breaking down the latest report. Also I'm going to lead you with a, I should say leave you with a $850,000 price prediction and why this prediction is still on the table. We'll also be taking a look at the overall crypto market. All this plus so much more right here in today's show. Today is sat stacking Saturday pre little bitty sitting just above 69200 at the time of the live stream. We did bottom out the other day. The new cycle low is 60 and then we had a God candle ascension. Thank the Lord. Today is POT episode 2245. I'm your host JV alongside the Fed chair Nipinator, the only Fed chair not referenced in the Epstein files. Just a fact Jack. But anyways let's kick it off this sat sack and Saturday with our market watch as we do each and every day pulling up coin360 you can see Bitcoin little correction after we regained 70000 just yesterday but we're maintaining only down 1% on the day. Ether is in the green looking to reclaim 2100 up almost 2% on the day. Salana barely in a green tron up 2% as card, Cardano, XLM, XRP and BNB all correcting and in the red checking out coinmarketcap.com currently trading sideways, sitting at 2.37 trillion. We have a long ways to recover to the all time high which was well above 4 trillion. So half the crypto market was literally wiped out and liquidated over the past roughly 90 days. And checking out the Bitcoin market cap, it's 1.385 trillion million. Checking out top 100 crypto gainers past 24 hours. Leading the pack on the day decred bitcoin cash and layer zero. Now you're going to notice for the crypto greed and fear index, this is the lowest we have seen bitcoin in years. In fact it's a six today. I, I think it was back in October we bottomed at a 10, you know, and so this is pretty bad. Uh, yesterday was a nine. But silver lining, the lower this number goes in extreme fear, the more bullish things are because we're gonna regain the momentum. Obviously when things are in extreme fear, it brings in the buyers which we're loading up at 60 GS which the market is reflecting. And last week we're 20 and last month at 28 in fear time chain calendar shows we're currently on block height 935, 466 and you could exchange one fiat monopoly dollar today, 2-7-2026 for 1442 SATs. This is quite a good deal as roughly a week ago it was 1111 sats per dollar. Now you can get 1443 sats per dollar. Take advantage of it, pick up the sats, put down the gaps, pick up some bitcoin caps from a man Sergio over at bitcoin caps on net. But anyways, let's continue looking at some of the live charts. We, we finally kind of settled a little bit after the extreme volatility to the south and followed by extreme volatility up. As you know, we did bottom out at 60,000 the new cycle low and then we regained 10,000 the following day. Currently trading sideways a bit sitting at 693 at the time of the live. This is the one hour chart. We're right at pretty much the moving average. Checking out the four hour, you're also going to notice very similar to the one hour we had the massive correction flash crash, the 60 GS. It was one of the worst days in crypto history as far as liquidations. And then we bounce right back. Many consecutive green candles. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5. And then we started trading sideways a bit here over the weekend and checking out the one day. This is very fascinating. You see the massive red candle, one of the biggest candles we've ever had on the daily. And then we recovered most of those losses yesterday on tgif. But here on Satsack and Saturday we are correcting just the itty bit. Where do you feel the price action will likely lead us from here? Do let me know. Checking out the weekly. Unfortunately we're most likely going to get a red candle for the new week, which will be officially tomorrow, Sunday around this time. And this will mark the third consecutive corrective candle in a row. And then checking out the monthly, unfortunately the month of February, unless things drastically change and we get a lot of relief. You know, obviously there's a big red candle printed about the size as last week's, or I should say last month's. But the crazy part is this is the fifth consecutive red candle. But the future is yet to be determined. We'll see how this plays out. And next up we'll do some analysis and TA astrology for the Brosis headline reads Bitcoin A fill the 84 futures gap. Well, there's a silver lining. We finally got a futures gap that's upwards on trajectory versus below. And also we close all the low futures gaps. So that's a good sign as well. Let's entertain this. You can see here, this is actually the one hour chart shows the price action drop in more than 4000 versus the Daily Open. And with the old 2021 all time high increasingly turning to resistance, already wary traders were in no mood for relief as analysts shared here the bitcoin bottom. My priority right now is capital preservation. This is according to Material Indicators analyst Keith Allen. He said if you're thinking we're so back, we're not. There is literally no evidence of that yet. He also described a 202169000 all time high as important within what he called the ongoing relief rally. 60, 000 was a gift yesterday, but there's a high probability that lowers likely before the bull market returns. Zooming out, we had analyst Rec Capital who also had reason to believe that the worst of the bearish bitcoin price move was not yet over. Quoting him here. Whenever bitcoin peaks in its bull market in Q4 of the post having year, it tends to produce a multi month relief rally from the macro triangle base before breaking down from the triangle to the transition into the bearish acceleration. This is the fourth consecutive cycle that this historical tendency has continued and history does suggest there is more downside to come. Let me know if you agree or disagree with the analysts. Now the bitcoin bulls bet on the CME Gap fills Saturday's retracement left a new potential gap which I just pointed out. The classic short term price magnet gap joined another left at 84, 000 and currently we're at 69. So that's again if we close that gap, it's onwards and upwards. Joe 84215 Today's episode of Bitcoin News Al is brought to you by Progressive Insurance. Do you ever find yourself playing the budgeting game? Well, with your name your price tool from Progressive you can find options that fit your budget and potentially lower your bills. Try it@progressive.com Progressive Casualty Insurance Company and affiliates Price and coverage match Limited by state law not available in all states.
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Today's correction today. Tomorrow back up again towards the CME gap next week. Continuation to 75 plus according to Macau Van. They pop. Then we got Samson. I need to talk to Samson CEO at a Bitcoin adoption company. Jan3 included the higher CME gap as one of the two questions that every financial analyst should be asking themselves. The other topic revolved around the ability of large scale corporate buyers to add Bitcoin to their Treasuries at the current 15 month lows, he said. I believe the answers are not for long and very soon. And there you go yo. Let me know your thoughts. Let me know if you're more leaning towards short term bearish retesting the 60G floor or regaining the Momentum closing that CME gap at around 84 and onwards and upwards. Holler next Bitcoin difficulty drops over 11 my favorite number. The sharpest drop since the 2021 China ban. Let's break this down. Bitcoin network mining difficulty, the metric track and the relative challenge of adding in new blocks to the bitty Ledger fell by 11.1% in the last 24 hours, the worst drop in a single adjustment period since China's 2021 ban on the crypto mining. Bitcoin mining difficulty is at 125 trillion and took effect it blocked 935,429. This is according and verified from data from co. The average block time is currently 11 minutes. Overshooting the 10 minute target difficulty is projected to fall again and the next difficulty adjustment scheduled February 23rd by about 10% to 112. I guess that's terabytes or something. I don't know. T Whatever. Trillion maybe. Yeah, I guess trillion, right? According to the coin wars as outlined right here yo Now China announced the ban on the crypto mining that began enforcing the crackdown of the digital assets back in May of 2021 resulting in several downward difficulty adjustments between May and July of that year ranging from 12 to 27%. Now the steep downward adjustment came in mid the broad crypto downturn which we witnessed which crashed the price bitcoin by over 50% from the all time high Firman achieved October 6th when we hit the 1263 all the way down to 6. That's more than a 50% crash. Now winter storm fern sweeps through the US and curtails the minor hash rate as outline here. Yo a severe winter storm swept through the US in January impacting literally 34 states across the 2000 square miles with snow, ice and freezing temperatures that disrupted electrical infrastructure. Now JV is a firm believer they've been manipulating the weather for decades and they use this as a way of weather wars to do some very sick and evil things against the American population. Surprise surprise. I'm not surprised, but what are your thoughts on that? Maybe I'll do a little deeper dive later. The disruption to the power grid caused US based bitcoin miners to temporarily curtail their energy usage halt in operations, reducing the total network hash rate. Yes please. The amount of computational power expanded by the miners to secure the bitcoin protocol. Now Foundry usa the US based mining pool, the biggest mining pool about hash rate of the world, briefly lost 60% of the hashing power amid the winter storm. Do you think this is all a big coincidence? Let me know the mining pool's total hashing power declined from nearly 400 Exa hashes per second to 198 in response to the storm. And how many of you were drastically impacted by the storm? Let me know. Foundry's U S hash rate recovered to over 354extra hashes per second. The mining pool's hashing power at the time of this article is still commanding roughly 30 of the market share, according to Hash Decks. However, the total Bitcoin network hash rate declined to a four month low in January amid deteriorating crypto market conditions and trainers Peter shifting operations to the AI data centers. I guess it's all about the highest and best use right for the time being and other forms of high performance computing. And if you don't know, you'll never know. Ask Putin. But there we go, yo. All right, yo. Next story of the day. 231 million pours into the IBIT, which is the BlackRock Bitcoin ETF, following the second worst day for the ETF price. That's right, Black Rocks I bit saw 231 million of inflows on Friday following two days of heavy outflows. The turbulent week for the BTC. IBIT saw over half a billion in total outflows Wednesday and Thursday as the market sentiment declined to record low levels, which Bitcoin's price briefly dipped to 60 GS on Thursday, which is the new cycle low. Preliminary far side data shows inflows across nine US spot based Bitcoin ETF products totaling 330 million following three days of collective outflows totaling one and a $4 billion dollars. So far this year, IBIT has posted just 11 trading days of net inflows. Bitcoin holders and participants closely watch the Bitcoin ETF flows for clues about where the price is headed and whether the interest in the asset is rising. And speaking of interest in the asset rising, it absolutely is because the Google search volume for Bitcoin is going parabolic. And that's going to be our next story. Stay tuned. It comes as the Bitcoin price has fallen 24 over the past 30 days, currently trading just shy of 70G's which we did regain yesterday. And on Thursday IBIT crushed its daily volume record with 10 billion worth of shares traded. Now that's a big dub for blackrock as they earn money on the fees. So regardless if their inflows are outflow, they're always making money just like the exchanges. Baltunes added that the ibid dropped 13 on the day, second worst daily price drop since it launched with its largest daily price decline at 15% back on May 8th of 2024. And you can see the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF currently trading at $39.68 after hours now ETF analyst James Safart noted that while Bitcoin ETF holders are facing their biggest losses since the US products launch, which was January 2024 paper losses of 42% with Bitcoin below 73,000, the recent outflows still pale compared to the inflow seen at the market peak. So before the October downturn spot Bitcoin ATF net inflows were 62 billion. They have now fallen to roughly $55 billion. Here we go. Next up Google search volume for the Bitcoin skyrockets amid the Bitcoin price swings. And notice this article was published 11 hours ago. Anytime you see that 11 always a divine omen. Thank you God. Google search volume for the term Bitcoin surge over the past week as the asset price briefly fell to the 60 level for the first time since October of 2024. Google trend showed worldwide searches for the BTC reached a score of 100 for the week starting February 1st, the highest level in the past 12 months. We're so back. The previous week was a score of a 95 at a week of November 16th to the 23rd when Bitty slipped through the key psychological 100,000 level for the first time in six months. Google search interest is one of several commonly used indicators amongst crypto analysts to gauge the retail interest of the BTC in the broader crypto market, which typically spikes during significant price moves, particularly major rallies to the new all time highs or sudden selloffs. And naturally it's good for the pod. Now the increase comes as Bitcoin dropped from 815 on February 1 to roughly 60 GS within five days before rebounding like a young Dennis Rodman when he played for the Detroit Pistons. Just saying. Today's episode of Bitcoin News Alerts is brought to you by Progressive Insurance. Fiscally responsible financial geniuses, Monetary magicians. These are the things people say about drivers who switch their car insurance to Progressive and save hundreds. Visit progressive.com to see if you could save Progressive Casualty Insurance Company and affiliates. Potential savings will vary. Not available in all states or situations. Well, the holidays have come and gone once again, but if you've forgotten to get that special someone in your life a gift, well, Mint Mobile is extending their holiday offer of half off unlimited wireless. So here's the idea. You get it now, you call it an early present for next year. What do you have to lose? Give it a try@mintmobile.com Switch limited time 50% off regular price for new customers. Upfront payment required $45 for three months, $90 for six months or $180 for 12 month plan taxes and fees. Extra speeds may slow after 50 gigabytes per month when network is busy see terms now. Some market observers suggest the current price range may be drawing renewed attention from the broader retail audience. Bitwise head of Europe said on Today Saturday retail's coming back. Meanwhile Cryptoquant had a research set on today that the US investors are buying Bitcoin after reach 60 GS. Yeah that's exactly. There was a whole you know onslaught of buyers which sent us parabolic God candle ascension to 70 G's. You know the Coinbase premium is now positive for the first time since mid January. Now other indicators such suggest that investors are cautious. I want to talk to Samson about the crypto market. The alternative crypto greed and fear index just hit a low as we discussed earlier as well, a level we ain't seen in years. The sentiment indicator declined to such low levels has led market participants to suggest it could be a buying opportunity. No, that's precisely what it is. Every single metric right now is telling you bitcoin has never been more undervalued on a relative basis. And that's Rand Nooner saying that. And I do agree the signs are all around us hidden in plain sight. Now is an excellent time. It's buy one get one. Ultimately it's a bogo sale. Stack the bitties on a SAT stacking Saturday, continue through the SAT stack and Sunday and before you know it 10 years go by and you're like Rick James Rich. Next up bro. Here we go. Russia's largest bank to offer crypto back loans for the corporate clients. At least according to the reports. Russia moves to establish comprehensive digital asset framework this year. The country's largest bank is reportedly planning to issue crypto backed loans to corporate clients following a successful pilot conducted in December. Also got to give respect to the is it called president in Russia. You know the guy in charge, the Kremlin, whatever. Because I didn't see any reference to him at Epstein's Island. At least I haven't yet. I still got a lot of files to go through but kudos to him. Unlike all the other people in politics. I mean I didn't hear Any reference of Putin or Bukele. Long live Bitcoin country. Yeah. Anyways. Bird bank ready to expand the crypto back loans Reuters reported Russia's largest bank by assets, Spur bank is preparing to offer crypto back loans to the corporate clients amid strong corporate interests in the digital asset sector. Spur bank finalizing it almost sounds like sperm bank. But I'm not saying sperm. Even though unvaxed firm is the new bitcoin. I'm saying Spur get your shit together. Finalizing necessity infrastructure methodology for the potential scaling of the crypto backed lending Spokesperson told New News Media it's ready to work with the Central bank of Russia to develop regulations Like a young Warren G. Nate dog, you know, we're ready to engage in dialogue with a central bank to develop appropriate regulatory solutions for the launch of such services. Our work with the clients whose activities are related to the crypto is carried out in several areas based on the deep understanding of the business model and the risk profiles. The bank shared with the news. Now the bank affirmed that interest from corporate clients is a good opportunity but noted clear regulations are necessary. It explained that the transition to a permanent regime of lending secured by digital assets and its mass implementation will depend on the development of the regulatory environment. And in December 2025 Spur bank conducted successful pilot of the crypto back loan to the crypto mining company offering a loan against digital assets. The firm had mine. Now Russia's largest bank aims to expand its services and companies and holding digital assets following similar moves by global institutions such as JP Morgan and Wells Fargo. Everyone's least favorite banks Spur bank at least here in the United States, right? We all despise JP Morgan and their CEO Jamie Damon. Hence why as a demon, Spur bank has already conducted one pilot project lending secured by crypto. The statement explained the main goal was to test the technological aspect of working with this type of collateral. We are currently analyzing its results finalizing the necessity infrastructure the methodology for the potential scaling of such the products Spur banks domestic rival soft of them bank recently affirmed it was the first Russian lender to start issuing crypto backed loans. Bigger picture here. Even the Russian banks, the largest ones are starting to embrace crypto related products including crypto backed loans. This is very bullish. Now this other bank against Gofkom bank sees the potential for the partnerships with all the participants of the industry from miners to the data centers operators to crypto exchanges to the exchangers. We're developing specialized products for each segment such as cash management with special features conditions loans, project financing as well as risk management tools. So they're doing the whole dealio Russia's Upcoming Framework these developments come as Russia's work to implement its upcoming digital asset framework. Will they get it first before the US here? Which is expected to take effect by July. We're falling behind. In December, the CBR unveiled comprehensive regulatory proposal to enable the retail to qualify the investors to buy the digital assets through the licensed platforms in Russia under the central Bank's new rules now, qualified investors will be allowed to purchase up to 300,000 rubles in the most liquid digital assets annually following a knowledge test. Interesting. Meanwhile, qualified investors will be able to acquire limited amounts of any digital asset after passing the risk awareness test. I love to see what the this risk awareness test consists of. Notably, Russia's leading stock exchange, the Moscow Exchange and the SPB Exchange shared their support for the CBR's proposed framework. The institutions recently confirmed they're ready to launch the crypto trading services as soon as the framework is enacted. In addition, the Committee on the State Building legislation as the State Duma, the lower house of the Federal assembly of Russia has also advanced the bill and talking Bill Clinton, even though Bill Clinton is implicated in the Epstein files, clearly no redaction. Throw him under the bus. I don't you know. As reported by Bitcoin is the ruling political party in Russia. The all Russian political party United Russia Reveal legislation to regulate the seizure of crypto assets criminal proceedings was recommended for adoption in its upcoming third reading. If this bill does get approved, it would reduce the risks associated with the use of cryptos and criminal activity such as money laundering, corruption and terrorists financing. The big takeaway here, countries are adopting Bitcoin. They're getting all the framework done so they can fully go on all out, just like these biggest banks of the world. So and we got to get our shit together, Trumpster. That's all I'm saying. Now for our feature story of the day, here's a bullish price prediction. Bitcoin to be worth 850 GS per coin in the next 10 years. That's right. It's almost impossible to argue with the assumption. Perhaps all investors would have loved to have owned bitcoin over the past decade. That's because Bitcoin has skyrocketed 19, 300% during that time, even after a sharp pullback in the recent weeks. I'm going to correct them. Bitcoin is up over a hundred million percent, in fact hundreds of millions percent since the inception of the Genesis block. So naturally any human being who is has two brain cells would love to accumulate bitcoin, especially in the early years. I think that's a given, right? But anyways, Bitcoin still experienced periods of extreme volatility like we've been witnessing this week. This is exactly what's going on right now as it trades 41 off the peak. What so called experts who always try to sound smart act as if they know exactly what's going on. The reality is that pinpointing the reasons for the leading crypto recent dip is truly difficult. And that's the fact, Jack. In fact, that's a sexy bitty blackjack. Ultimately, it's always important for the investors to keep their focus on the long term. With that being said, I predict the bitcoin price will reach 850 GS in 10 years. That's according to the author of this article who works for the Motley fool and then Yahoo Finance Reed Today's episode of Bitcoin News Alerts is brought to you by Progressive Insurance. You chose to hit play on this podcast today. Smart Choice. Make another smart choice with Auto Quote Explorer to compare rates from multiple car insurance companies all at once. Try it@progressive.com Progressive Casualty Insurance Company and affiliates not available in all states or situations. Prices vary based on how you buy.
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Reading the source from Yahoo just right now. Just FYI, looking at the math, we're going to hit 850G's by early 2036. The price would need to increase 1060% based off the current value at the time of the article. Astute readers will quickly realize that this would imply a much lower rate of return than what was achieved naturally in the past. Obviously the bigger Bitcoin gets, you know you're not going to see those crazy gains. We've seen previous cycles like thousands of percent and like that. But it's still a possibility. Just saying, just common sense. The larger the mark cap goes, the harder it is you know to have those types of swings. But we still get these crazy swings. And Samson is still suggesting we'll have hundred thousand dollar omega candle swings before you know it. And we're having God candle swings already like you witnessed in the past couple of days. But I digress. Given that the Bitcoin is no longer some esoteric financial asset or is it it is recognized on a global scale. The gain should come down to going forward. Naturally there's less upside as the risk of investing in it subsides. Comparing Bitcoin to gold makes the most sense. The estimated value of all the gold that is above ground is currently 34 trillion plus. I believe that it's totally possible that a bitcoin market cap gets at least half of that to the precious metal which would be a 17 trillion market cap. With Bitcoin currently less than 1.26 trillion it would need to rise approximately 13 fold or 1,300% to hit that expected level. And if it gets to that point and I think it's going to overcome that of gold because gold is the poor man's Bitcoin and Bitcoin is just that much more superior. Peter Schiff Take that it was still had meaningful upside for a comparative sake. Global equity market of the bond market miner measured in the hundreds of trillions and let's not forget real estate market I would assume is hundreds of trillions as well. Bitcoin and gold are the ultimate showdown Samurai showdown because of the gold strong performance. As you know it recently hit the all time high of 5,700 an ounce and then it cracked it. It's probably closer to 5,000 announced at the time of the live investors might be critical about the crypto slowly approaching the shiny met Bill's valuation. That's understandable, you know but I think it's important to pay attention to the bitcoin fundamental characteristics of yes, it is relatively new financial asset. However, it's portable, transactable, the visible, censorship resistant, my favorite uncomfortable, skatable and verifiable. And it has a hard supply cap. Introducing the scarcity. True scarcity. Unlike all the other assets of the world which we have pretend scarcity. Even though the goal supply increases 1 to 2% every year. How is that? Because they just find more of it and they invest more to find more just how they do it. Gold, no true scarcity. Silver, no true scarcity. Oil, no true scarcity. The earth produces it naturally. It's like blood running through our veins for mother Gaia. Just saying. Of course the people in charge managing the massive pools of capital, namely the central banks need to start viewing bitcoin the same way they look at gold. And guess what? They already are. They're not. I think this will happen over time and it's definitely already happening behind closed doors and it's already happening for the United States. We got the strategic Bitty reserve, the executive order for the Trumpster, we got Naichi Buchelle, first Bitty president. You know El Salvador Reppin, we have the Kingdom of Bhutan and now we have the state adoption we've been discussing all week here as more and more states are having favorable regulation for the btc. You know. But there you go. Let me know your thoughts. I think 850000 is a given. I think that's very bearish for 10 years. In fact, I'll go on a limb and say I firmly believe by the year 2030 we have a very strong possibility of surpassing a million per coin. Anything can happen. Just remember, there's no telling with constipated miss Yelling Finance. But there you go yo. Let me know your feedback. Let me know your thoughts, your predictions. Welcome everyone to the Q and A segment of the live stream. And don't forget to check out bitcoin news alerts.net for the full premium experience with video and to participate in the live stream along with the Q and A. And I look forward to seeing you on tomorrow's episode. Hoddle. 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