Transcript
A (0:01)
I'm Mike King from the podcast Profiling Evil. A place where true crime meets behavioral science. I spent my career investigating serial predators and studying the psychology behind them. Here we don't just talk about what criminals did. We explore why they do what they do. We expose manipulation and control, look at how offenders select their victims and uncover the ways that they try to avoid det. You can find Profiling Evil on your favorite podcast platform, Dan Bernstein unfiltered unfiltered on 312 sports.
B (0:46)
Welcome to Dan Bernstein Unfiltered. I'm D.B. that's Matt Abaticola. We are brought to you in partnership with my bookie and we thank protein bar and kitchen. Delicious, nutritious and protein packed food and drink. Check out the menu@theproteinbar.com There was a analysis that was published just recently@cbssports.com I think this just came out about an hour ago. And it essentially is using the NFL trends that dictate who makes it to the super bowl and who wins the super bowl to decide who the real contenders are and which teams are not. And I have to say it's bad news if you're a Bears fan right now. And it's pretty hard to argue with some of the logic that's involved here. So I just wanted to do this off the top because we've been debating all season as they've gotten good, say, hey, oh look, are the Bears good? Yeah, well, I guess they're good. I guess they are. And the win against the Eagles and hey, look at that. And then even still being optimistic after what happened against the packers and say they were in it until the end and if they were that close and say, well, you know, they're a real team right here, this is damn good. Well, there's some cold water that's been poured here by Douglas Clausen of CBS Sports and he does describe this as the most wide open super bowl race ever because there's 10 teams with at least nine wins. That's tied for the most entering week 15 in the last 40 years.
A (2:22)
Okay.
B (2:23)
Last year's super bowl teams, Chiefs and Eagles 3 and 7 since the start of November. The current top three seeds in the AFC, that's Denver, New England and Jacksonville, 18 and 33 last season. None of the current AFC division leaders won a division last year and it could be the first postseason without Tom Brady or Patrick Mahomes since 2008.
A (2:45)
Wow.
B (2:46)
So he said you could make a legitimate super bowl case for 23 teams still in for the among the 2310 to 15 of those teams said it feels like March Madness. So he said there could be an unpredictable ending. But if you look at the numbers, they provide a pretty good indication of where we're heading. So Clausen uses six particular trends to do this in a way that with every trend he shunts away, he pairs everything off to see, to see which teams are left at the end using each of these numbers. So when I read this, I thought, okay, let's see how long it takes to lose the Bears. Because to me, a lot of this has to do with which criterion is before, which other. It's the order in which you do this. And that's where the writer, the analyst can have some editorial freedom here and some creativity is to determine when they do that. Because there isn't a statistical reason given that makes it feel like we're sort of narrowing things in that way.
