Transcript
A (0:00)
This episode was recorded at the 2025 DealBook Summit. This year's Dealbook Summit sponsors include premier sponsor Accenture, associate sponsors U.S. bank Vanguard Invesco, QQQ and University of Michigan, supporting sponsor Capital One and contributing sponsor Invest Puerto Rico.
B (0:27)
Tariffs are a shrinking ice cube. The ultimate goal is to rebalance trade and to bring back domestic production.
A (0:36)
This is Andrew Oz Sorkin with the New York Times, and you're listening to interviews from our annual Dealbook Summit recorded on December 3rd in New York City.
A (0:51)
The 79th Treasury Secretary of the United States is here, Scott Bessant. He is, of course, at the center of all of the major policy decisions of the moment, and we're going to cover them all. We're going to talk about the economy, affordability, global trade, national security, the future of the Fed, and so much more. I want to welcome you to Deal Book.
B (1:08)
Thank you, Andrew. Great to be here.
A (1:10)
I'll tell you where I want to start. I want to start this conversation and talk to you about tariffs because I think almost singularly it's the biggest shift in the United States and really the global economy. And it's a philosophical choice and a practical shift. And I want to understand your thinking, and I'll tell you why I want to understand your thinking about this, because when I went back and was really looking at sort of how your own thinking has evolved, it clearly is different today than it was before you were the treasury secretary. So back in 2024, this is long before Trump had won, by the way, you had predicted he was going to win. And this is long before you were the treasury secretary. You wrote an investor letter while running keybridge, and you wrote the following. One of your differentiated views that we have is that Trump will pursue a weak dollar policy rather than implementing tariffs. Tariffs are inflationary, you said, and would strengthen the dollar, hardly a good starting point for a US Industrial renaissance. And I read that and I thought to myself, help us just understand your own thinking on this issue.
B (2:17)
Well, Andrew, that I think a big part of my investment career and to the extent I was successful, was being able to evolve my thinking. And I believe that what we've seen, and I have to say that President Trump has been right on this, that he's he told me early on, he said, scott, the United States is like a department store. Everyone wants to shop here, and only the United States can do what we're about to do. And I watched as the leader or nation after nation, trade negotiator after trade negotiator, leader after leader President Trump has normalized the idea of a 15 to 20% tariff. And I think what goes, you know, everyone likes the hysteria, prices and this and that. But what has gone unnoticed is USTR Jamison Greer, with President Trump's support has done an incredible job of dropping the non tariff trade barriers and the tariffs from other countries. So when you see this deal and you say, well Indonesia has agreed to, and by the way, Indonesia is getting a little recalcitrant here, but you know, a good actor, Malaysia has agreed to do this, they might have dropped 8,000 lines of tariffs. So US business, it's actually flowing much better.
