A (99:29)
Well, I mean, I. We're in this giant transition period where everything is going to change, the fourth turning, that kind of those kinds of ideas, these cycles that occur in history where everything changes. And my. My personal belief is that we've been in World War 3 since 2020, and that modern warfare does not look like old warfare, although we do see elements of old warfare occurring obviously on the front in Ukraine and Russia. We see elements of old war, but I think we've been in a state of war since 2020. And I do think that there's a connection between what's happening in what happened in Iran and what happened with Syria and what happened with Lebanon and with Gaza, with what's happening in Ukraine and Russia. And if you assume, as I do, and it is an assumption, because it hasn't been clearly articulated, is that China is the adversary that must be taken down in order to preserve the status of the US the tariffs certainly indicate that's a big part of it. Then I see Russia and Iran as gateways to China, as gateways to disempowering them. It's picking it at the sides like a direct conflict is extremely risky. What's much wiser is to try and pick apart the infrastructure that enables China to overpower the US And Russia is an ally as a fuel source, as a source of many resources, actually, that China is. Needs to be peeled away. Can it be peeled away through destruction? Yes, it would in that case. But could it be peeled away through negotiation? Perhaps. And maybe Trump is pursuing both of those options at this point. But I think that the idea that the notion. I think that if Trump ever really sincerely believed he could resolve the war within 24 hours or whatever, was the idea that he thought he could negotiate a deal that would peel them away from China. And I think given all that had happened at that point, I don't think that was a likely possibility. Not to say it couldn't still be done. But Iran also is a key vector in this entire system because Iran and China are close trading partners. And China relies a lot on the. On oil, for sure, for them and so, yeah, so I think all of those activities are basically targeting China ultimately, but doing it in an indirect way because in a direct way, the whole world could lose and certainly the US or the US alone could lose. So this is a war is not being fought the way it was once before. The. What do they call it, Spider attack or whatever. These more blowing up pagers. This is what you should expect. Much sabotage and subversion is, I think, a big part of it. Combined with economic warfare, I think, are the fundamental tools of all this. So I think that's my. I'm not an expert on Iran, I'm not an expert on certainly on anything really, but that's my overall impression based on what I've been able to gather in terms of the US itself. The US itself is a decaying empire. And I think that the state at least would like to maintain its power if it comes at the expense of the people. I don't think any state ever really cares about that, truly, so long as the state can retain its power. Which is why, I think. Which is why the primary focus of reindustrialization happens to be military in nature, why the DoD in particular is stepping forward and making specific investments. So. But that also supports the idea that the US is setting the stage for more conflict leading toward supplanting China's current rise. And along the way, I worry about a lot of things in the United States. I mean, the erosion of civil liberties, the basic discourse between people, the dire economic circumstances that people find themselves in. It's like the vast majority of all the spending. If you go to airports which are still full, or you go to some nice restaurants which are often still full, that's the top 10% of the population that's doing all that consumer spending. Lots of other people are having a hard time making ends meet. Lots, most. And their situation is becoming more and more dire by the day. So that landscape, plus, of course, then we have this invasion of millions of people into the country, then we have the increase of the internal police state to oppose it. One of the things in the big beautiful bill that a lot of MAGA people would support, and I understand why, is that the ICE budget went from, let's say 0.2 billion to just under 75 billion in this bill is an 800% increase in spending for them. Now, I have to say that the deportation numbers of Trump in any single month have not yet exceeded the month of January of this year. Before, when, before Trump was in charge of it, they deported more. Biden deported more people in January of this year than Trump has been able to deport in any month since then. And they did that with an eight point something billion dollar budget, not a $75 billion budget. So I have concerns about what this, how these funds will be allocated, how much of them will be used. This is this internal police force that is attempting to identify individuals and to do deport individuals. But that internal police force, federal police force, could so easily be used in ways that we, that don't only serve the interests of deporting people that are here in the country illegally. And that's a concern of mine for sure. But just the growing division, you see these couple of coordinated attacks on ICE facilities. There was this one where I think it was nine individuals with body armor and assault rifles and attacked. They basically lured some police into an ICE facility, attacked him, shot him in the neck. He survived. But these guys mean business. And I think these sort of insurgent forces could grow in addition to that. Of course, one has to think. And Michael Ioannis talked about this. I'm pretty sure he said, I guarantee that every country that does not love the United States has infiltrated the country during that period with sabotage units of some kind that have the ability, when they get the, to get the message to cause chaos and America. And I just think it's dangerous. I mean, the bottom line is bringing back to my hometown, which I saw decay over my entire life because it lost its economic engine. That decay led to more crime and more suffering among the people there in particular, that is true of much of America. There are spots of wealth where the wealthy people are who have profited from the way the economic structure is because they own assets and the assets have all gone up in value, so they become wealthy because of it. But this, I guess quoting Yan again, he says it's all about conditions and the conditions ripe for things to go wrong in the US And I think this internal police force with now this gigantic $75 billion budget, I think is a little frightening because if we were able to deport more people with only $8 billion and with it supposedly not being a priority, clearly it wasn't a priority under Biden. But more people than we've been able to deport since he left makes me think that it isn't a model of money problem and that money could very likely be allocated toward other activities which we would oppose. So I worry about it. I worry about the state of the country. I worry about the way the people, the economics are a big part of it, but also Just the demeanor, the civility, treating each other like humans. It sets the stage for bad things. And so, yeah, I worry about it. Timeframe, who knows, as Michael Yan would say, who knows about timeframe? I only know about conditions. Conditions are there. It's gonna happen. It's inevitable. The question is when?