B (35:00)
It's interesting because he did not thank Israel, he was thanking the other parties. Didn't bring Israel to this equation at all. But also, let's remember that he's unpredictable. I mean, he, at least on four different occasions, he surprised the Israelis. On the Houthis, he just withdrew without telling them. On the issue of Iran, he says, according to him, that he told Netanyahu to have the planes going back instead of bombing. He wanted to stop this war. On the issue of Syria, at one point, he was sitting. Netanyahu was sitting next to him, and he started telling him that he needs to get in negotiations with the Turks. He can't just try to instigate problems with them. And then on the issue of the apology to Qatar, so he brings these things, and I think Jeremy is correct. I mean, there could actually be some motivation, personal stake here at play, but also could be that some people, perhaps wise people, are talking to him and said, this is taking us into a. In the, in the abyss. That this. If you look at, for instance, for example, some of these MAGA figures, what they have been saying about this. I mean, recently there was this interview between Tucker Carlson and Jeff Sachs, but before that, about half an hour of monologue of Tucker Carlson, who took the Israeli narrative apart completely, and within 24 hours, over a million views. I mean, this is going to eventually impact his base. So if he doesn't put a stop to this and he goes after Netanyahu with this genocide and with all these wars, it's going to actually eat out from his popularity, from his program, from his agenda. I don't think he views that as positive. He gave Netanyahu all the time he needed. Last summer, during the campaign, he kept telling him, finish the job. Netanyahu saying, I'm working on it. Then they have this lull between January and March. He gets a lot of the hostages back. And then Netanyahu asked for more time. And then it's been now over six months and he hasn't. He's not even close to finish the job. And now he sees that this is, you know, blowing back. There is a blowback here. And today there was also a very significant phone call between the Turkish president and Trump. And I think he leaned on him a lot. I don't know what went on. We don't know exactly what went on. But the fact that the Turkish president, which I think he knew what the response would be, probably prepared Trump to what's coming, and that might have played a role. So I don't think Trump is abandoning the Zionist regime, but I think he's had enough and he's trying to change course, at least from the standpoint of having some sort of a victory. And to him, victory would be the release of the captives, which I think is going to come. The trick right now is whether he can actually pressure the Israelis to stop permanently, not just for a few days and then resume, because now he's before the whole world. I'm sure he heard from dozens and dozens of countries that enough is enough, and that if this continues, there will be a major rupture, not just in the Middle east, but probably worldwide. Because right now you have these strikes coming in, in Europe, in Italy and in other parts of the world. People are fed up with this. And also I think he probably cares about the image and reputation of the Zionist regime, the Zionist state. And he's trying to see what he can do to salvage the situation. And this is actually have no strategic interest. I'm sure he's heard that a lot. It is the Zionist ideologues that are driving the train right now, some in the Zionist state, such as Netanyahu, Smotrich and Ben gvir, and some even within the American government, like this, a American Ambassador Huckaby. And I think he's seen enough now, how that translates again, Trump being Trump, he completely reverses himself without any shame. He would just come back and says, oh, they did not follow. You know, I thought that they were going to accept every single point I had. Now they're saying no. You know, I tell Netanyahu, go and finish the job. He could do that. And as Jeremy says, he's done it in the past. But what does that mean? I mean, it means that the resistance will continue. That's where we are today, where we were yesterday. So they will continue. Now, most experts would tell you that to finish off or to bring the end of an insurgent group or resistant movement, it takes years, not months. If Israel was capable of finishing off the resistance, Hamas and Islamic Jihad and others in the last two years, they would have done that. I mean, there is nothing that they spared short of a nuclear bomb. They tried everything in the book, including a policy of starvation. It was all targeting the civilians to put pressure on the resistance more than the resistance itself. But I think the whole world now is fed up and they want to end this. And I think Trump is trying to get credit, and certainly he would get credit if this happens, and then he can go and boast that he wants or has won the Nobel Peace Prize. The real question right now, and I'm going to end with this, the real question right now is what would be the details? Would he accept the fact that there are aspects in which Hamas cannot negotiate and he should not push Hamas to give an opinion, because they can't? I think he's accepted that by praising Hamas's response. The next question is under what conditions would the captives be released? Now, in terms of Hamas and the Palestinians, there are certain conditions. I don't think there will be any problem about the aid. So that's going. There will probably be a cessation of hostilities, cessation of the war. The question whether this is going to be permanent or temporary, that's open. But I think he can impose on Israel to make it permanent. So that's two conditions out of the Five, the rehabilitation could actually come over time. That leaves the exchange of prisoners. The formula he has in the, in the, in the 20 point plan, I think for the most part is acceptable to the resistance. I think there will be another. There has to be a negotiation. 250 life sentences versus the living captives is acceptable. They would be pushing for those who have 15 or 25 sentences. So that's negotiable. It could be worked on. And that leaves one point and one point only. That would be the sticking point, which is withdrawal. Now, the withdrawal in terms of the resistance, they want complete withdrawal of the Israeli troops from Gaza. The Israelis do not want to do that. There is another contentious issue on the Philadelphia corridor between Egypt and Israel. And in that case, we're saying that there is another factor here because that also controls the Rafah crossing. That means that the free movement of goods and people through that is going to be controlled by Israel. That would not be acceptable over time. And that would mean it's another leverage that the Arab and Muslim countries could probably use with Trump since they are bankrolling this whole situation. So I think this would be the most important sticking point if Trump is sincere of what he said today.