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JPMorgans top strategist, Oksana Aronov, is calling for a halt on talk of Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. She believes the bar for any hikes is high due to slowing economic growth and hidden risks. The Fed held its target range steady at 3.50% to 3.75% in March, and Aronov argues earlier easings fueled excess in private credit. Wall Street is also predicting a hike in December 2026, with Morgan Stanley delaying cuts to September. Private credit is struggling, with defaults hitting a record high and big redemption requests overwhelming funds. Fiscal pressures are also mounting, with the budget deficit ballooning to $1.85 trillion in fiscal 2026. Aronov advises investors to stay nimble, build cash buffers, and snag cheap credit protection before stress worsens. She also suggests sticking closer to home, as the U.S. looks stronger than Europe amid energy risks.

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