NVIDIA STOCK: Will It Skyrocket or Crash? (Future Predictions)

Summary

Earn Your Leisure Podcast Episode Summary

Title: NVIDIA STOCK: Will It Skyrocket or Crash? (Future Predictions)
Release Date: March 8, 2025
Hosts: Rashad Bilal and Troy Millings
Podcast: Earn Your Leisure

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Introduction

In this episode of Earn Your Leisure, hosts Rashad Bilal and Troy Millings delve deep into the current state and future prospects of NVIDIA's stock. The discussion is centered around recent market movements, broader chip sector trends, geopolitical factors, and expert predictions that could influence NVIDIA's trajectory in the stock market.

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NVIDIA's Recent Stock Performance

Timestamp [00:58] - Market Analyst 2:
"Watch Switching gears a little bit Nvidia reported last week that was the news of the last week and this stock is going down ever since."

The conversation begins with an analysis of NVIDIA's recent stock movements. Despite initial positive reports, NVIDIA's stock has been on a downward trend since the announcement, experiencing significant volatility.

Timestamp [01:10] - Market Analyst 1:
"Well it was, it was, it settled and then it opened and it tanked a little bit and then it closed. There was like a miraculous rally at the end of Friday and it got back up to 126. And then today yeah roller coaster ride again."

The analysts describe the stock's erratic behavior, highlighting a sudden rally that briefly pushed the stock price back up before continuing its decline.

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Broader Chip Sector Trends

Timestamp [01:27] - Market Analyst 2:
"So yeah so we're seeing, we're seeing the whole chip sector. Nvidia hovering around 116. We see S SMH down. The TSM is down 20. TSM is actually in bare territories. 20% MU all of these things are down."

NVIDIA's struggles are not isolated but part of a wider downturn in the semiconductor industry. Companies like TSMC (TSM) and Micron (MU) are also experiencing significant declines, indicating broader market challenges within the chip sector.

Timestamp [02:05] - Stock Expert:
"Negative year to date."

A stock expert underscores the grim picture by noting NVIDIA's negative performance for the year so far.

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Geopolitical Influences and Market Sentiments

Timestamp [02:07] - Market Analyst 1:
"Like 11."
(Context needed; likely referring to percentage decline.)

Timestamp [02:08] - Market Analyst 2:
"Yeah it's been free falling for a while now. So where are we at with Nvidia?"

The discussion shifts to the underlying causes of the downturn, with geopolitical tensions playing a significant role.

Timestamp [02:16] - Stock Expert:
"You should listen when I tell you some gonna fall apart. Shout out to stock club. If you want to know where the price of what to get in go to ianinvest.com Most people in stock club know the real price. I see it's getting below 105. You might want to look to invest there but okay. Public service announcement. The chip trade is over. It's done It's a good investment."

The stock expert expresses skepticism about the chip industry's future, suggesting that the chip trade might be coming to an end despite recognizing NVIDIA as a potentially good long-term investment.

Timestamp [03:18] - Stock Expert:
"Only going to be a few Pl. Nvidia is one of the ones who going to do well."

Despite overall pessimism, there is a consensus that NVIDIA stands out as a company with resilience and potential for recovery.

---

Impact of US-China Trade Relations

Timestamp [03:24] - Market Analyst 1:
"So I, I won't go that far. I don't think it's done. I think what we're seeing, obviously we talked about how the Fed has an impact on for sure the market. There was supposed to be two rate cuts. Now there might be one. The, the lingering tariffs on these countries."

The analysts discuss the impact of U.S. Federal Reserve policies and tariffs on the semiconductor market. Uncertainty around rate cuts adds to the market's instability.

Timestamp [04:09] - Market Analyst 1:
"And here's what I'm thinking and hit me the other night when we talked about all these, these CEOs going to the White House to speak and we were like, you know, Zuckerberg was there. Right. And he was the. Everybody was there. And then Jensen went. And I'm thinking to myself, like, why are these guys going? Why are these guys going? At some point, do you think they discussed tariffs to China?"

The discussion turns to high-level meetings between tech CEOs and government officials, speculating that trade negotiations, particularly regarding tariffs on China, are a central agenda.

Timestamp [05:19] - Market Analyst 1:
"And he has to know if he has these tariffs in place. And yes, you're trying to make a stand but you're hurting Americans greatest companies. Apple's going to be affected. Nvidia is going to be affected. Microsoft and we've seen it, we've seen them pull back. They're going to be affected. So I don't think the chip trade is done. I think we got to figure this out. Right."

There is concern that ongoing tariffs are stifling American tech giants, including NVIDIA, Apple, and Microsoft, suggesting that the chip trade conflict is far from resolved.

---

Potential for Market Recovery and Future Investments

Timestamp [07:21] - Market Analyst 1:
"So that would be the thing. Wait, where would be the spend if it's not coming from American business that you'd have like China would be that place. Right. You're not looking at India just yet."

The conversation explores alternative markets for semiconductor sales, noting that while China is a significant player, other regions like India and Africa are not yet primary targets due to infrastructural and economic factors.

Timestamp [07:37] - Market Analyst 2:
"Do you think in four years it'll be higher than it is today?"
Timestamp [07:39] - Market Analyst 1:
"Yes, 100. Right."

Despite short-term challenges, there is optimism about NVIDIA's long-term prospects, with expectations that the stock could surpass its current value within a few years.

Timestamp [07:51] - Market Analyst 2:
"So if you invest now, it's a good investment for sure because that's going to double at some point."

Investors are encouraged to consider NVIDIA as a long-term investment despite current volatility, anticipating significant growth as market conditions stabilize and geopolitical tensions ease.

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Conclusion

The episode provides a comprehensive analysis of NVIDIA's stock within the context of the broader semiconductor industry and global geopolitical dynamics. While short-term prospects appear shaky due to market volatility and trade tensions, experts maintain a cautiously optimistic view of NVIDIA's long-term potential. The consensus suggests that strategic geopolitical negotiations and market adaptations could pave the way for NVIDIA's resurgence, making it a noteworthy consideration for investors looking toward the future.

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Notable Quotes:

• Market Analyst 2 [00:58]:
  "Watch Switching gears a little bit Nvidia reported last week that was the news of the last week and this stock is going down ever since."

• Stock Expert [02:05]:
  "Negative year to date."

• Market Analyst 1 [03:24]:
  "So I, I won't go that far. I don't think it's done."

• Market Analyst 1 [05:19]:
  "You're trying to make a stand but you're hurting Americans greatest companies."

• Market Analyst 2 [07:21]:
  "Do you think in four years it'll be higher than it is today?"

These insights provide listeners with a nuanced understanding of NVIDIA's current market position and the factors that could influence its future performance.

Transcript

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[Market Analyst 1]

Perfect.

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[Market Analyst 2]

Watch Switching gears a little bit Nvidia reported last week that was the news of the last week and this, this stock is going down ever since.

[Market Analyst 1]

Well it was, it was, it settled and then it opened and it tanked a little bit and then it closed. There was like a miraculous rally at the end of Friday and it got back up to 126. And then today yeah roller coaster ride again.

[Market Analyst 2]

So yeah so we're seeing, we're seeing the whole chip sector. Nvidia hovering around 116. We see S SMH down. The TSM is down 20. TSM is actually in bare territories. 20% MU all of these things are down.

[Market Analyst 1]

Broadcom. Yep.

[Market Analyst 2]

So and that's the broader stock market has continued to go down. The broader NASDAQ has gone down as well. So Nvidia is, is pretty much Nvidia.

[Stock Expert]

Negative year to date.

[Market Analyst 1]

Like 11.

[Market Analyst 2]

Yeah it's been free falling for a while now. So where are we at with Nvidia?

[Stock Expert]

You should listen when I tell you some gonna fall apart. Shout out to stock club. If you want to know where the price of what to get in go to ianinvest.com Most people in stock club know the real price. I see it's getting below 105. You might want to look to invest there but okay. Public service announcement. The chip trade is over. It's done It's a good investment.

[Market Analyst 1]

Okay.

[Stock Expert]

I'm gonna be real.

[Market Analyst 1]

Okay. Okay.

[Stock Expert]

It's a great investment long term. But for everyone who missed out on the last two years, you're not going to get 700 return off of this trade anymore. And there's a lot of geopolitical concern about if they're smuggling chips in China. We have to have a real conversation. While he's focusing on tariffs that don't matter. We have a war, a technological war going on with China that we could lose. You're seeing Chinese stocks starting to take off.

[Market Analyst 1]

Yeah.

[Stock Expert]

And hedge funds are rotating to potentially get in the Bible.

[Market Analyst 1]

Well, that's why I don't think the chip trade is done.

[Stock Expert]

Only going to be a few Pl. Nvidia is one of the ones who going to do well.

[Market Analyst 1]

So they're, they're going to be playing.

[Stock Expert]

They'Re going to be good.

[Market Analyst 1]

So I, I won't go that far. I don't think it's done. I think what we're seeing, obviously we talked about how the Fed has an impact on for sure the market. There was supposed to be two rate cuts. Now there might be one. The, the lingering tariffs on these countries.

[Stock Expert]

Yeah.

[Market Analyst 1]

Is weighing on the economy. Like if we go like that. Weighs on the economy. Deep seat still had an impact. Even when we were talking about the AI conversation at Carnegie hall backstage with some of the leading people in AI, we can say it didn't. It had an impact.

[Stock Expert]

Had an impact, but it was real threat.

[Market Analyst 1]

But it was overblown.

[Stock Expert]

Yeah, it was overblown, but it was a Trojan horse. The real concern is all of China teaming up together at the right time to. Toward how well we're doing.

[Market Analyst 1]

And here's what I'm thinking and hit me the other night when we talked about all these, these CEOs going to the White House to speak and we were like, you know, Zuckerberg was there. Right. And he was the. Everybody was there. And then Jensen went. And I'm thinking to myself, like, why are these guys going? Why are these guys going? At some point, do you think they discussed tariffs to China?

[Stock Expert]

Because what they have to.

[Market Analyst 1]

Right. This is probably like one of the prime conversations that they're having. When I looked at the, the ecosystem of Nvidia prior to the Biden administration putting a ban on advanced chips going to China. That was 20 of your business.

[Stock Expert]

That's a huge part of it.

[Market Analyst 1]

So now think about that's. Over the past three years, Nvidia has had this run without that China component in it. Can you imagine what that looks like when you get some of that business back. Even if it's not the Reuben, even if it's not Blackwell.

[Stock Expert]

Yeah.

[Market Analyst 1]

We still try to figure out how the hopper got in there. 200000 of them. Allegedly. We don't know how they got in there.

[Stock Expert]

Right off the boat.

[Market Analyst 1]

We got to figure that part out. But I know he's saying 10 and then he's at another 10. But at a certain point the president is a businessman.

[Stock Expert]

Yeah.

[Market Analyst 1]

And he has to know if he has these tariffs in place. And yes, you're trying to make a stand but you're hurting Americans greatest companies. Apple's going to be affected. Nvidia is going to be affected. Microsoft and we've seen it, we've seen them pull back. They're going to be affected. So I don't think the chip trade is done. I think we got to figure this out. Right. Like I think the tabs go in effect tomorrow for Mexico and Canada.

[Stock Expert]

Yeah.

[Market Analyst 1]

And I think the China one start this week as well.

[Stock Expert]

Why are we selling our greatest technology to China unless we know the game's over anyway? That's the point we have to talk about. If you want to ship Blackwell and our best chips to China. It's one or two scenarios. Either Jensen doesn't care about America which isn't true for the record or a lot of people on the inside know that the America trade is over and we got to find a way to get every dollar we can. Hence a 5 million dollar citizen card.

[Market Analyst 1]

This is real global business war. Right.

[Stock Expert]

And as BRICS trade is heating up. That's why Zielinski got so much heat. There's a lot of.

[Market Analyst 1]

Yeah.

[Stock Expert]

Like the deep sea thing like you said was overblown. I think the concern is if that big seven in China can they beat our big seven. And right now it's looking like yes.

[Market Analyst 1]

So that would be the thing. Wait, where would be the spend if it's not coming from American business that you'd have like China would be that place. Right. You're not looking at India just yet.

[Stock Expert]

Not yet.

[Market Analyst 1]

Eu not really. Africa is not. Doesn't have the infrastructure.

[Stock Expert]

So it.

[Market Analyst 1]

You kind of are looking at that space. Right. If we look at where all those max sevens are spending. Right. We had that chart. I think he posted it.

[Stock Expert]

Yeah.

[Market Analyst 1]

Where that Capex is going. I mean there's a clear sign that is pointing to this company.

[Stock Expert]

Yep.

[Market Analyst 1]

That is goes by the name of Nvidia. I think Microsoft was over 2,20 billion last quarter.

[Stock Expert]

Yeah. Insane.

[Market Analyst 1]

Like everybody is coming. So I don't think that trade is over. Yes, there's been some pullback, but it's one of these things when you talk about growth over a quarter of 79.

[Stock Expert]

And that's not good.

[Market Analyst 2]

Well, I think he the trade is like as far as the entire semi space. Right.

[Market Analyst 1]

And but they lead that.

[Market Analyst 2]

So if they go, then you have to look at it from the standpoint like okay, Nvidia is down 25% from its high. Right. Do you think in four years it'll be higher than it is today?

[Market Analyst 1]

Yes, 100. Right.

[Market Analyst 2]

And that would be a good investment now do you think in six months? We don't know what's going to happen in six months, three months. So if you're trading it, you have to be careful because long term projections are positive. You would have to think that if you invest now, it's a good investment for sure because that's going to double at some point.

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