Where Will Gold & Silver Peak in 2026?

Summary

Earn Your Leisure: "Where Will Gold & Silver Peak in 2026?"

Podcast: Earn Your Leisure
Hosts: Rashad Bilal & Troy Millings (iHeartPodcasts)
Date: January 20, 2026
Episode Theme:
A sharp, insightful conversation about where gold and silver prices could peak by 2026, set against the backdrop of global economic uncertainty, U.S. debt, geopolitical tensions, and evolving market trends.

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Overview of the Episode

In this episode, the Earn Your Leisure team unpacks the dramatic rise in gold and silver prices, sharing both economic analysis and big-picture commentary. They discuss historical precedents, analyst predictions, the impact of U.S. fiscal policy, the weakening dollar, and the increasing appeal of precious metals and other "store of value" assets. The conversation ties market trends to political leadership, the state of American brands, and the broader implications for investors.

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Key Discussion Points & Insights

1. Historical Context and Current Surge in Precious Metals

• Past precedents: Gold and silver last ran in tandem during the periods before COVID, the European debt crisis, and the 2008 crash.
  • ["The last time gold and silver went up this much in tandem was pre-Covid, the European debt crisis, and the 2008 crash." — Financial Commentator, 04:57]
• Recent demand: An unprecedented number of conversations around gold and silver indicate heightened investor anxiety.

2. 2026 Peak Price Predictions for Gold & Silver

• Range of projections:
  • Worst-case scenario for gold is $5,480 per ounce; analyst consensus averages closely at $4,800–$5,000 by Q4 2026.
    • ["JP Morgan has it at $5,000/ounce by Q4 of ’26. HSBC has it at $5,000. Morgan Stanley has $4,800. The average price is $4,800." — Tara Davis Woodhull, 06:53]
  • For silver, estimates range up to $153 or $105.47 per ounce.
  • The rise is attributed to economic instability, geopolitical threats, and loss of faith in U.S. leadership.

3. What Drives and Stops the Rally?

• Drivers:
  • Weakening U.S. dollar
  • Persistent geopolitical tensions (Greenland, Iran, etc.)
    • ["A weaker dollar, geopolitical tension. And it looks like we're headed into more uncertainty..." — Tara Davis Woodhull, 06:41]
  • Growing distrust in the American economic system and leadership.
• Possible brakes:
  • Only a reduction in economic and geopolitical threats, better leadership, or stabilization in the dollar.

4. Comparisons to Other Cycles and Assets

• Crossover with Crypto:
  • The crypto market is also reflecting the same stresses seen in gold and silver.
  • ["...it's also reflected in the crypto market." — Financial Commentator, 05:23]
• Memory lane: Robert Kiyosaki’s early advocacy for silver in 2005 is acknowledged as prescient, underlining the market’s long-term evolution.
  • ["Last time I was talking about silver ... it was $12." — Tara Davis Woodhull, 07:38]

5. Economic Realities vs. Market Performance

• Divergence between perception and reality:
  • Tech stocks have become more concentrated; only Nvidia and Google of the "Magnificent 7" performed well last year.
  • Many companies languish below their 200- or 400-day moving averages, signaling market fragility despite pockets of growth.

6. Debt, Dollar Weakness, and Policy

• Ever-growing U.S. debt:
  • The rate of American debt accumulation, especially under Trump, is historic and directly weakens the dollar.
    • ["In the first 10 months of Donald Trump’s presidency, he added $4 trillion to the debt." — Economic Analyst, 13:14]
  • Predictions that more deficit spending and military outlays under current leadership will drive further precious metals gains.

7. Political Leadership & Future Instability

• Trump’s influence and instability:
  • Spending patterns, international relations (especially the "Greenland situation"), and erratic leadership are spotlighted as risk factors.
  • ["This Greenland situation is going to be a humiliating defeat for him ... just very unhinged, uncouth behavior." — Economic Analyst, 17:14]
• Impact on American brands:
  • Key brands like Netflix, Meta, Microsoft, Starbucks, and Nike are faltering—a sign of wider economic malaise.
    • ["All in this tenure ... Netflix is down 34%, Meta down 22%, Microsoft is down 17%." — Financial Commentator, 18:48]

8. Investment Outlook and Alternative Assets

• Gold and silver as primary “store of value” assets.
• Bitcoin: Predicted as the next domino to fall upward in price as gold and silver run.
  • ["...it’s just a matter of time before bitcoin ... has to follow suit at some point." — Economic Analyst, 20:03]
• Platinum and rare earths: Briefly mentioned as new areas for growth and exploration.

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Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments

• “I don’t know about you guys but I’ve never had these many conversations about gold and silver as we’ve had the past six months.”
  — Financial Commentator, 05:12

• “The average price is $4,800. All right, so there’s still some growth.”
  — Tara Davis Woodhull, 06:53

• “A weaker dollar, geopolitical tension … Those are the conditions when you see commodities rise.”
  — Tara Davis Woodhull, 06:41

• “If you look at spending across the board in budgets for the first quarter… things are not going as well as people suspect.”
  — Financial Commentator, 06:12

• “Only two of the Max 7 outperformed the S&P last year … they really have consolidated whether it was Microsoft.”
  — Tara Davis Woodhull, 07:45

• “As long as the national debt keeps growing, then [gold] really has no other option [but to rise].”
  — Economic Analyst, 13:08

• “Trump, only thing he knows how to do is spend money. He did that the last time he was in office … gold is going to continue to go up.”
  — Economic Analyst, 14:51

• "I prefer my presidential leadership to not act like King Von and Dirk personally. Yeah. But this is like, this is too much."
  — Financial Commentator, 18:48

• “We used to be a proper country. But ... If this erratic behavior continues, gold will continue to go up.”
  — Economic Analyst, 19:48, 20:03

---

Important Timestamps

• Historical Context and Peak Drivers: [04:46–06:37]
• Predictions and Analyst Consensus: [06:41–07:45]
• Current Market Consolidation & Tech Insights: [12:36–13:05]
• Debt, Policy & Dollar Weakness: [13:05–15:45]
• Banking System Vulnerabilities: [15:50–16:13]
• Bitcoin’s Future: [16:13–16:50], [20:03]
• Trump & Geopolitical Risks: [16:50–18:48]
• State of U.S. Brands and Equity Markets: [18:48–19:28]
• Investment Implications for Listeners: [20:03–20:23]
• Tease for Next Week on Rare Earth Metals: [20:23–20:33]

---

Conclusion

Tone of the Conversation:
Conversational, candid, sometimes irreverent, blending financial analysis with real-world skepticism and humor.

For Listeners:
The episode offers actionable takeaways for investors—expect further precious metals growth, heed the signals from currency and debt markets, and don’t be distracted by pockets of equity strength in a structurally fragile environment.

Final Thought:
Gold and silver’s bull run is positioned as both symptom and symbol of systemic risk. With continued uncertainty in both geopolitics and leadership, and with U.S. debt surging, the hosts see little to slow the climb of “store of value” assets in the coming 18–24 months.
Keep an eye on platinum, rare earths, and especially on what comes next for bitcoin.

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This summary covers core themes, forecasts, and notable moments for anyone who missed the episode and wants to understand the economic case for gold and silver in 2026.

Transcript

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[Economic Analyst]

Gold and Silver Where? Where will gold and silver peak at? In 2026 first.

[Financial Commentator]

It depends on the economic climate. But I was talking to stock club about this yesterday. The last time the gold and silver went up this much in tandem was pre Covid the European debt Crisis and the 2008 crash. I don't know about you guys but I've never had these many conversations about gold and silver as we've had the past six months. Platinum is running, copper is running of course because of the AI investment. Worst case scenario, gold could shoot to $5,480 per ounce and silver, highest case can get to 153 or 105.47. What will make silver and goals stop running as much? Not. Not having as many economic threats, not having a geopolitical bomb that is waiting on our table, not having bad leadership. And I don't think those things are going to go away within the next year. I don't think he's going to have a change of heart. So as a result I think gold and silver will continue to spike as the dollar value is dropping and as and it's also reflected in the crypto market. And like you talked about, there's a bunch of companies that are amazing that are sitting underneath a 200 day moving average which is not a good sign. I know some of you push back on the comments of the economy being stronger than ever. It's not true. If you just look at spending across the board in budgets for the first quarter and the revisionist history that we're having in some of these reports, things are not going as well as people suspect. So gold and silver should continue to climb for the next year and a half.

[Tara Davis Woodhull]

I think you nailed it. I think the conditions for the, for it to continue to appreciate are all there.

[Financial Commentator]

Right?

[Tara Davis Woodhull]

A weaker dollar, geopolitical tension. And it looks like we're headed into some more uncertainty when it comes to geopolitical tension. Whether it be Greenland.

[Financial Commentator]

Greenland's a big one.

[Tara Davis Woodhull]

We were on the Iran. I mean you just never know. It feels like, I mean there's so much uncertainty around it. And those are the conditions when you see commodities rise. And you nailed it, right? J.P. morgan, like forget what we think. This is what the analysis is saying. JP Morgan has it at 5,000ounce by the Q4 of 26. HSBC has it at 5,000. Morgan Stanley has 4,800 average analyst. We did. I did this for about 15 of them. The average price is 4,800. All right, so there's still some growth. It's interesting like when the last time I was Talking about silver, I think was this 2005, we went to watch Robert Kiyosaki speak about silver.

[Financial Commentator]

He was big, we gotta give him credit. 506 run.

[Tara Davis Woodhull]

I promise you it was $12. And I was just like sitting there for hours. I'm like, yeah, this guy's really serious about silver.

[Financial Commentator]

Yeah.

[Tara Davis Woodhull]

And here we are in 20, at the end of 2025, early 2026. And now silver is right on the cusp of reaching a hundred thousand ounce, which is incredible. It's unprecedented, man. And, and I don't think those things change. You said something interesting though about people texting about the economy. And it dawned on me the other day that the people who watch us and listen to us, they may feel like the economy is great because we've been put in a few positions that have run right, like whether it's the semis or the memory companies. And people have done really well with those. But overall, like even the Max 7, they had a whole piece in the Journal this weekend about how the Max. There's only two of the Max 7 that outperformed the S and P last year. They really have consolidated whether it was Microsoft.

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[Tara Davis Woodhull]

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[Hunter Woodhull]

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[Tara Davis Woodhull]

Meta Down Right. Like even Amazon, like kind of Consolidated Nvidia and Google were the only two out of those seven that had a positive year. And so you, oh well, outpaced the S P. And so there's been consolidation. It's just that we have been put in some pockets that had extreme growth and probably will continue to have stream growth. But if you look at the overall scale, you take a, a bigger glimpse. Yeah, there's a lot sitting under the 200. There's definitely some at the 400. And so it's an interesting time.

[Financial Commentator]

And once again, go ahead, Rashad.

[Economic Analyst]

It goes, going to keep going up because it's a store of value. And as long as the national debt keeps growing, then it really has no other option. And he's accelerated. That's why I put on Instagram that In the first 10 months of Donald Trump's presidency, he added $4 trillion to the that. And the thing about it is that you created a whole government agency to lower the situation and only reversed. You fired 300,000 people and actually added $4 trillion of debt. So the speed at which the debt and borrowing is accelerating is pretty historic. And that only means that the dollar is weaker than it has been in recent history. And if the dollar is weaker and then you add to the geopolitical uncertainty and people really trust in the American economic system anymore because they don't trust the American leadership. So it's a direct correlation to other store of asset, store of value assets like gold and silver have, they have no choice but to go up, shout out to Larry Morrow. He was at his event in New Orleans the other day. He was talking to Mike Novogratz. And I told him that, you know, when he said that, he said gold was going to go to 10,000 and he was just saying like, yeah, you know, it's just one of these things that it has to happen because of the amount of spending that Washington continues to do. And that's the, that's the ironic thing about it, is that the whole Republican Party, but mainly Trump, they ran on a whole campaign of lower, smaller government.

[Financial Commentator]

Inefficiency and it's not there and lower.

[Economic Analyst]

Spending and they've actually spent more money and borrowed more money and have more debt. So. But he's done that the last, he did that the last presidency. That's why, that's why Mike said that, because it wasn't Just based off of like, okay, like, he's like, Trump, only thing he knows how to do is spend money. He did that the last time he was in office. So he was like, based off of his tendency. Based off of last time he's in office is going to carry over to this time he's in office. He's going to spend more money, we're going to have more debt, and gold is going to continue to go up. And that's, that's literally exactly what happened so far. And I don't think it's going to stop. You gotta, you gotta spend more money on. On the military, which is our, our biggest expenditure in healthcare, and doesn't seem like you're gonna have any. Any. So it's like you cutting small things. The Somali daycare center and, you know, stuff like that.

[Financial Commentator]

But it's just corporate bailouts are higher than ever.

[Economic Analyst]

Yeah. So.

[Tara Davis Woodhull]

Oh, but. And they'll tell you that the trade deficit has been lowered.

[Financial Commentator]

Come on. Like a major bank almost went belly up. And they swept it under the rug and they poured billions of dollars into the repo market to cover the bank being short silver and being down tens of billions of dollars.

[Economic Analyst]

And he also said that he saw bitcoin. He has no choice. He said if it was a weird year for bitcoin, he said he wouldn't have thought that bitcoin would have stayed flat for the year, relatively based off of all the circumstances. But he was just like, if it hits over 102, it's going to 140. And it's just a matter of time before bitcoin, because that's the last store value that really has not increased. All the other store values have increased. So Trump is, He's, he's, he's losing it. He's losing it mentally and it's.

[Financial Commentator]

Why do you say that?

[Economic Analyst]

Why is he losing it mentally?

[Tara Davis Woodhull]

Alleged.

[Financial Commentator]

Yeah. Allegedly. Allegedly, yes. Before the real news. And think about this. Silver and gold are going up this much without the real news coming out about the banks, about health care and health issues in the administration. But why do you say that he may be losing some of his faculties?

[Economic Analyst]

Well, I think this Greenland situation is going to be a humiliating defeat for him. And sometimes you put yourself into a fight that you can't win. And, I mean, he writes a whole letter to the prime minister of Denmark saying, because you guys didn't give me the Nobel Peace Prize, I'm. Because you didn't give me Nobel Peace Prize, I'm not really interested in having Peace Anymore. And I'm taking Greenland. But the thing about it is, you know, we could talk about it, too, as far as the amount of treasuries that the EU and Canada hold. And you can only push somebody in the corner for so long before they can. They have, they have weapons at their disposal as well. And I think he's putting himself in a situation where he's gonna, he has no choice but to kind of lose this battle. And it's going to be. It's going to be a humiliating defeat, and it's going to be a crack in the American armor, and we don't really know how that's going to play with the economy. But just stuff like that, like, just, just, you know, just unhinged behavior after a while, it can't really be excused. It's like the mad. It's like the mad king, like, you know, like after a while, it's like, you know, it's just very unhinged, uncouth behavior. But he's having a piece, a peace party. You got to pay a billion dollars to be a part of it. And he's.

[Financial Commentator]

I didn't hear about this.

[Tara Davis Woodhull]

Wait, he invited Putin to it.

[Economic Analyst]

20, 20 countries. A billion dollars. He's. He's gonna be the chair for, for life. And if you pay a billion dollars, then you're. It's like protect. It's like extortion.

[Financial Commentator]

It's an extortion party. Listen, I prefer my presidential leadership to not act like King Von and Dirk personally. Yeah. But this is like, this is too much. And for those of you who may push back and say, well, it was worse under Biden, I too, had my deep criticism for that administration. It does not mean that this one isn't being misled. And we're only a year in. Netflix is down 34%. Meta down 22. Microsoft is down 17. Elon and OpenAI are in a tough legal battle now. Target is an American brand is dying. Starbucks, an American brand is dying. Nike is dying. All in this tenure.

[Tara Davis Woodhull]

And I mean, they'll hold on to the, hey, the Dow's at a record high. S and P on a record high. Nasdaq on its way to a record high. Like, they'll hold on to these, these talking points, but, like, at some point it's going to have to add up, right? Like, at some point it's. Something's going to hit the fan.

[Financial Commentator]

And then they want you to now be able to leverage your 401ks to buy a home. It's like what we used to be a proper country. Yo, we used to be a proper country. But.

[Economic Analyst]

If this erratic behavior continues, gold, gold will continue to go up from. From an investment from a pure make money standpoint. If you're interested in that standpoint. Yeah, I mean, gold, silver, then I think bitcoin is only a matter of time before bitcoin has to. It has to follow suit at some point.

[Financial Commentator]

Yeah. Keep your eyes on platinum too.

[Tara Davis Woodhull]

Yeah, Platinum copy.

[Financial Commentator]

Yep.

[Tara Davis Woodhull]

Yeah, yeah. And the rare earths. We'll talk about that maybe, yeah, next week. But yeah, there's some stuff going on there. Exploration is happening soon, so.

[Financial Commentator]

Yeah, yeah.

[Tara Davis Woodhull]

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[Economic Analyst]

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[Hunter Woodhull]

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[Financial Commentator]

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