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Sam. Saint Gonna change one welcome, friends, to another edition of Economic Update weekly program devoted to the jobs, the money, the income, the debts, all of the economic dimensions of our lives, our children's prospects, all that. I'm your host, Richard Wolff. Been a professor of economics all my adult life, and I currently teach at the New School University in New York City. Before jumping into the updates for today, I want to remind you all that this weekly program is a project of a sizable group of people. And if you want to get an idea of who we are and what we do, we maintain these two websites that are designed to provide you, at no cost, of course, at 24 7, whenever it's convenient for you, access to all of the work we do. The first website is rdwolf, that's me, 2F's rdwolf.com and the other one is democracy at work. All one word democracyatwork.info info okay, let's begin with some economic updates of important subjects, but that we will treat in a short amount of time. China China looms larger in the world economy, literally with every passing day. It's frightening to some people, exciting to others, but it's something we have to come to terms with. Many of you have written to me and asked me to talk about it, so I'm going to be doing that more. But let me start off with a kind of shadow over all this conversation. The shadow can best be summarized by quoting from President Obama's 2015 State of the Union address. I'm going to quote china wants to write the rules for the world's fastest growing region. He meant Asia. Why should we let that happen? Asks President Obama. We should write those rules. Well, whatever you think about the United States arrogating to itself such a role in the words of its president, the hard reality is that the United States is no longer in a position to do that, however wistful Mr. Obama's hope to the contrary. Let me give you some ideas of the scope of what we're talking about. On the 30th of November last year, the International Monetary Fund announced that the Chinese currency, called either the renminbi, it's usually abbreviated with the capital letters rmb. The renminbi or the yuan, would soon be included in the basket of currencies that are the dominant major currencies in the world, and those are the US Dollar and the euro, the British pound and the Japanese yen. This is an enormously important symbolic, but also real arrival of China as a major world economic power. Another statistic since the launch in 2009 of a pilot program to settle trade agreements in Asia, India, in their own currency. In the Chinese currency. The share of Chinese trade settled in their own currency, not as they used to do in dollars, went from 3.2% to 25%. That's in six or seven years. That's amazing. China's share of the total output of the world GDP in something called purchasing power parity. It's one of several ways of, of measuring and comparing GDPs from one country to another. GDP standing for Gross Domestic Product has risen in 40 years from less of the. From less than 2% of world production to 16%. China produces one sixth of the world's output. It's extraordinary average per capita how much output per person is now expected to increase within a few years from 10,000 to $16,000 in dollars. In 1980 it was $250. Let me say that again. 1980 the per capita output was $250. By the end of the. By the 2020 it'll be 16,000. There are few examples in the history of the world of economic growth as rapid, as sustained for that many years as China is. It is now a major power. At the end of last year we saw a number of symbolic meetings where something called the Asian Infrastructure Investment bank was established. That is China's baby and is meant to be the counterweight to the Japanese led Asian Development bank and the World Bank. And it has almost as much money that it will be using to develop the world in the ways it thinks should be done so that that is no longer monopolized by the World bank which used to do it in the name basically of Europe and America. Then the Japanese wanted to get in on it. Now the Chinese do. What is my point? China has to be dealt with, has to be understood that it is an economic powerhouse. It has accomplished that in literally 30 to 35 years. It is extraordinary what they have done. And if you remember how poor they were 40 years ago, and if you remember that they are the largest country by population in the world and if you remember that they were led all this time by a communist government that was a pariah in the minds and in the policies of much of the world, then the achievement they've accomplished is even more impressive. The current collapse in the oil market has been very damaging to Russia, to Venezuela, to Nigeria, to the Middle Eastern countries that depend on oil. China is not a major oil producer, it's a major oil consumer. So it has not been hurt in anything like that way. As these other countries have. And that gives China yet more leverage, relative strength. China has arrived and it's a problem for the rest of the world if it keeps pretending that that hasn't happened and isn't a major issue to deal with. Next item. Equally important, drugs. There have been recent reports in the United States, quite a few, of a shortage of drugs. For example, the New York Times on 29 January had a long story with the following. Drug shortages forcing hard decisions on rationing drugs, treatments. This was a long story by Sherry Fink, based in Cleveland. And Sherry Fink interviewed a lot of doctors in a lot of different places and discovered I found this shocking that drug shortages are endemic. They happen all the time. And these are drugs often for minor aches and pains, but also for major diseases, cancers particularly. And when these shortages show up, and they show up often, doctors and hospitals are put in what they call extremely difficult situations. Difficult, ethically difficult, morally. Why? Because if you've got more sick people than you have drugs to deal with those sick people, you suddenly have a terrible decision you have to make, namely, who gets the medicine and who doesn't. Who waits maybe never to get it, maybe never to get it in time before the disease becomes much worse or death arrives. These are life and death decisions as well as health decisions. What's going on? Well, I'm an economist. I'm looking at the economics of this. Otherwise I would talk a lot about the moral dilemma here, which is painful for the doctors and terribly dangerous for the public. What I want to, though, is focus on the economics. While there are several reasons why drugs are scarce, one of the reasons, and the article mentions this, even though it doesn't give it anything like the prominence I'm about to, one of the reasons is ready the low profitability of producing certain drugs. So let me be clear with you. We have a shortage of drugs that people need to get well or to survive. And we have that shortage because we allow drugs to be made by for profit corporations who can decide, because that's what free enterprise means. They can decide to produce fewer or none at all of a medicine because it isn't profitable. Their job is not in their minds to heal the sick. That's the job of the doctors. They just produce a commodity called a drug and they'll do it if it's profitable, and they won't do it if it isn't profitable. Now, one way to react to that is to say, well, they should raise the price. There have been quite a few scandals about folks raising Prices on drugs. The problem with raising the price is the it puts pressure on people who haven't got insurance to destroy their financial well being in order to handle an illness, which is most of the time not anything they are guilty of doing. It's something that happens to people, it doesn't happen by their own behavior much of the time. So to jack up the price means. Okay, you're basically saying to people you want to be healthy? Well then you'll have to become bankrupt to do it. Wow. And maybe you can't raise the price because the insurance company won't cover it or won't cover all of it. And then the company says, well, if we can't raise the price, there's not the profit, we're not going to produce it. And then we have the shortages and the ethical dilemmas as doctors decide who lives, who dies. Wow. Here's a thought. As an economist, why do we permit drugs to be produced as a matter of making profit or not? Why do we permit profit calculations to determine whether we have the drugs we need to heal the sick who need them? Maybe drugs should be produced in a different way, not as a profit commodity. Maybe drugs should be produced by planning the production, charging a price that simply covers the cost of doing it, not the profit to somebody we don't need that. Organize the production of medical equipment, the production of drugs, the production of everything having to do with health. Make it as cheap as you can by simply covering the cost of doing it and selling it at cost. No profit because it's done as a public service. It would be treated like a public park. Friends, when you go to the park in your town, that park is made available to you. It is made available to you because you pay for the cost of maintaining it. You know how you pay? By paying taxes. Part of the taxes you pay is taken by your city or your town or your state and sent over to a group of people to pay the costs of maintaining the camping site at the state park. The costs of the park where you can play with your dog or have a picnic. You don't make the local park run a profit and you don't make the state park run a profit. They don't, they're not profit making enterprises. Because we've decided as a society that park recreation is something people should have in their communities, in their states. We're not going to make it subject to profit calculations. Well, if recreation in a park is, is important enough to suspend the profit motive, get it out of there so we don't Have a situation where the park charges a lot of money so only people with money can go to the park. That's what we would do if we let the price go up. Why do we, excuse me, do that with drugs which are at least as important in keeping us healthy and keeping us alive? The economic reality is a profit based capitalist system for producing drugs is creating ethical disasters and public health losses that we don't need. We know how to produce the medicine. We know what the medicine is we need. We know how to distribute it. We're not producing it because we're letting it be done in an economic manner, a capitalist manner, which doesn't make sense if health is what's on your mind. Speaking of health, here's another update that caught my attention. This had to do with a struggle going on in California between the California Medical Exchange on the one hand and the United Health Care Company. Here we go. Capitalist enterprise providing health care, basically. California Exchange chief, a fellow named Peter Lee has accused UnitedHealth of doing the following. I don't know. I haven't had the time to investigate it. So I'm not commenting on whether this charge is true or false. I don't know that yet. But Kaiser Health News reports and I want you to hear the story, according to Peter Lee, head of the California Exchange, how masses of Californians are now getting health care. The United Health Group Corporation made a whole series of investment blunders. They invested in the wrong things, they charged the wrong prices. They lost a lot of money the way capitalist corporations do when the people at the top, the tiny number of people who make the key decisions, the make bad decisions. You know, like those oil companies that went into fracking and have brought up all that oil, collapsing the price and losing their shirt. They made a big mistake. Or the big banks that lent them the money to make this disastrous investment. They made a big mistake. These folks made a mistake. We live with the consequences. Well, it turns out that when United Healthcare made a lot of mistakes and lost money, according to Peter Lee of Covered California, the exchange there, they took an interesting step. He said they blamed Obamacare. They saw an opportunity in an issue that is hotly debated in the United States. Those who think the Affordable Care act was a great step forward in insuring the American people for medical coverage versus those who think it's an unwanted intrusion of the incompetent government on the private sector. This debate is useful for companies that lose money because they can blame it on something that at least a good part of the public might actually Believe, as I said, I don't know the details of the case, but it makes you aware, as I have become aware, that when you hear a critique of Obamacare, you got to look real carefully when who's making it and why they're making it. Because it may have nothing to do with the goods and bads of Obamacare. It may be a convenient excuse to help some executives get out of blame for what in fact they've done. Next item has to do with the great country of Ireland. Ireland has been put forward by people who should know better as a case study of a country that collapsed in 2008 with bad bank behavior, uncollectible mortgages, much like the United States. But it has been put forward as an example of a country that found a solution that worked and that restored its banks. It's just a wonderful example. And yes, they had a little bit of austerity along the way, but they imposed some burdens on their people and now they are out of the woods and things are better. Well, that's not true. And the interesting thing is that over the last couple of weeks there was a report commissioned by the European Central bank that's the European equivalent of the Federal Reserve here in the United States, a 400 page report about what happened in Ireland. And it's very, very interesting because it points out that what the Europeans did to bail out the Irish collapse is actually very similar to what they did in Greece, Portugal and elsewhere. The particulars were different, but the basic story was the same. These European central banks came in and they bailed out those banks. When the Irish government which took over the collapsed banks in Ireland, when the Irish government said part of this has to be paid for by wealthy people who had lent to those banks. No, said the Europeans, you can't punish them. You have to put the burden on the Irish people as a whole. Austerity was the way to pay for the bailout because you did not. The Europeans did not allow the Irish government, some of whom wanted to make the wealthy who had invested in these banks that had gone belly up because of all the mistakes those bankers made. No, no, no, said the Europeans, we are going to protect the senior bondholders. They were called the investors in those banks. They were bailed out, the average people in Ireland had to pay the full freight for the banks they didn't own, for the banks they didn't run, for the say they didn't have. They were nonetheless held responsible. And has Ireland at least climbed out of the disaster having been made to pay the Price. Well, the answer is no. Here's the truth about Ireland today. The country continues to suffer the effects of the crisis. Hospitals. I'm reading from the New York Times. Hospitals are postponing operations because of funding cuts. Unemployment is 9%, and the number of people leaving Ireland continues very high. Folks, you don't need to be an economist to understand if the young people of your country, the ones that you've invested an entire education in, they've been going to Irish schools, paid for by Irish taxpayers, to learn to read, to write, to develop a skill. And when finally they are young adults ready to give back to society, we what their education has enabled them to contribute. The conditions for life, the jobs they can get, the incomes they can get, are so awful that they leave the country of their birth, the country they know best, going elsewhere, where the languages are different, the customs are different, everything is there. You have to be desperate. You have to be in a condition of economic depression, economic limits that are extreme. Austerity has devastated Ireland. That's why it's losing its people. It hasn't been a success. You saved the wealthy, those who had invested in those banks that didn't work well. Capitalism took care of the people at the top before they broke down the capitalism, before capitalism broke down, during it and after. And the Irish people, the mass of people are still paying the price. That's what the Greeks resisted. And my guess is the Irish are resisting. But like the Greeks, the Irish too are leaving their country of home in an exodus that reminds us of the worst periods of Irish and Greek suffering in the 19th century. In the time we have left, I want to respond to a question. Is there any place in the United States where taxing the wealthy is a real proposition? And the answer is yes, indeed. And I just want to mention one. A new bill has been introduced in the legislature in Massachusetts. It is to put a tax on millionaires. If you earn over a million dollars a year in Massachusetts, the government of Massachusetts is debating whether to hit you with a 4% tax on the grounds that you are the most able to pay. You are part of a community that has become much richer over the last 30 years ahead of everybody else. And that is your civic duty. I don't know whether that bill will pass. But in answer to the question, are there Americans that are beginning to want to tax wealth? The answer is yes. Even more interesting in Massachusetts was a column by Meredith Wilson, a conservative columnist in the Boston Globe recently, saying, look, why could limit yourself to taxing millionaires? You ought to tax the billionaire private colleges, Harvard, mit, places like that. They ought to be taxed too. There was an effort to do that in 2008. It failed, but the effort is being renewed now as the inequality in this country keeps spiraling out of control. The inevitable is coming, which is the desire of the mass of people to use politics to correct an economic system whose inequality is not acceptable. We've come to the end of the first half of this program. I want to thank you for your attention, ask you please to stay with us and to remember also to make use of our two websites, rdwolf.com and democracyatwork.info to follow us on Facebook and Twitter, to share what we do here to through social media, and to let us know what you think about this program so we can plan based on your comments. Stay with us. We will be right back Come gather.