B (29:46)
The two winning teams in the al. I think that this is unusual even at this early stage of the season and thanks to listener Patreon supporter Sean Kelly who looked into this for me. So couple instances in The American League, 1959 was close to finishing with two winning teams. They got to September 8th that year, but fewer teams in the league and then post expansion, 1967 made it to May 25th and then it happened in April a number of times after that as recently as say 2005. That was super early though. April 8th, there was one winning team that had a three in one record. And then every other team but one was two and two in the American League. And then there was August 4th, 1958, when there was one winning American League team, the Yankees, who had a.654 winning percentage and no other team in the league was above.500. But eight team league, this is the latest in a season that it has happened in a 15 team league. So even just to get to this point is unusual and technically I guess it has happened at a later date. But in 2020 in the American League on July 25, when the Astros were 2 and 0 and everyone else was 1 and 1 or 0 2, that season started late, as you may recall. But really it's, it's unusual and so the only one team even early in the season, Sean says happened 30 times in the 16 team era, plus another seven from the Federal League. And then twice in 2002, the NL had two teams out of their 16. So also one out of eight. But I have a spreadsheet with every day with under a 25% rate of winning teams in a league. But yeah, this is weird and unusual, but does it matter? I don't know. I think just the fact that you have mediocre records, that doesn't necessarily tell you that much about the quality of the teams in isolation. I guess it tells you about the quality of the teams in relation to each other. But they could all be pretty good and just fighting each other to a standstill or something. Or they could if we didn't have the NL to compare the AL to, because the NL has been trouncing the AL in interleague play. So if this were an earlier era where we didn't have interleague play or there wasn't as much interleague play, then there wouldn't be as much basis for comparison maybe. And you could kind of talk yourself into, ah, it's just, you know, all the teams are okay instead of just a really stratified league because people didn't love that either when there were a bunch of tanking teams and a bunch of super teams. So maybe damned if you do, damned if you don't, but I think there is just a perception because it's not purely the records and the run differentials. We can see the rosters too, and we can see the teams. And we know that these are not powerhouses for the most part, even if we've been somewhat surprised by teams that have been worse than expected or better than expected. But really, I guess what this highlights and Joshian just wrote about this, that we are seemingly in an era where the pendulum has swung back to the National League being superior to the American League. And even that doesn't really matter so much anymore because the leagues, it's a distinction without a difference really. It's just kind of geography, kind of historical affiliation. But it's not as if there are dramatically different rules or really any different rules. It used to be really almost, you know, different leagues was a meaningful distinction, whether it was because of DH or no dh, or different balls or different umpiring groups, crews or different rules or whatever. And now, and for quite some time now, it's been unified, really. The DH was kind of the last actual significant difference. And when that fell, when pitcher hitting went away then, eh, now it's just, it's kind of conferences really, and there's some historical resonance to it, but beyond that, not much significance. So it is, I guess, true that we are in an era where things have swung back toward the nlp because, you know, there was an earlier era where the NL reigned supreme for years and years and this was back when you had to judge based on All Star Games and World Series. And then from 2004 to 2017 the AL beat the NL in interleague play every single year. So that was a formative period for us and for this podcast. And the AL was consistently superior during that time. And we talked a lot and people wrote a lot about why that was and it was kind of interesting to try to untangle that. And people thought, well, is it because the AL has the dedicated dh? And so when you play interleague games, the NL sort of someone has to be forced into service as the dh, but they don't have a dedicated dh and maybe that handicaps them somewhat. And I think it did. But that wasn't that big in effect really. I think the big effect was that the best teams and the biggest spenders were in the al. And Joe just wrote about this, we've talked about it. We just talked about it the other day with the Yankees, how they're sort of second fiddle to the Dodgers, if that now. And so I guess the lesson from this that maybe is kind of interesting is that teams that are really trying, they do really raise all boats. And when you have a a team in a league or in a division that is outspending everyone and trying really hard, then everyone has to keep up with them. Because even if the leagues are essentially the same, there are still six playoff spots per league. There are only so many to go around even now. And so if you're in the division with the Dodgers, if you're in a league with the Dodgers, well then you've kind of got to raise your game too. And maybe the Mets start spending more or the Padres say we don't want to be also rans in this division, so we're going to try to build up our team to too. So when it was the al, you had the Yankees who were out spending everyone and attracting all this talent. And then the Red Sox said, well, we got to try to keep up with the Yankees. And so they started spending and accumulating talent and they got good. And then other teams tried to follow suit. And now that's not really where we are. We have the Dodgers and we have the Mets and we have the Phillies and a lot of the big spenders are in the nl and things have flipped where for years, as Joe documented in his newsletter, Joe Sheehan Dotcom, the tax overages for years and years were mostly in the al disproportionately where teams exceeded the competitive balance tax threshold. And now it's mostly in the NL that those dollars are being paid by NL teams. So ultimately does that matter? Not really, except in the sense that it dictates who makes the playoffs in any given year, which is pretty important. But I guess the larger point is that when teams try and really invest, then it does light a fire under other teams and then there is kind of a domino effect. And so the more teams you have spending and trying, the more pressure that puts on other teams to spend and try. And there are only so many wins to go around in Major League Baseball and there are only so many major league quality players and WAR to be distributed and everything. And it's a zero sum game and all. So there's a limit to how many teams you can have spending a ton and investing in their rosters at any given time. But it does really have knock on effects. I think it just depends on who the powerhouses are at any particular time because they do kind of pull the other teams up and now that's happening more in the NL than the al.