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While the ECB and other central banks, maybe even the Fed, are likely to overreact to oil prices by raising their policy rates, suddenly that possibility isn’t so straightforward. Even in Europe where policymakers are the most aggressively hawkish, several officials have come forward expressing major doubts on the inflation narrative, focusing instead on what’s already going on with demand especially for workers. And that’s not oil, two of the world’s leading energy agencies just slashed their own demand forecasts to levels you only see in periods like 2020 or 2009.

Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre

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