Fantasy Football Happy Hour with Matthew Berry

Episode: Daniel Jones, Romeo Doubs Headline More Free Agency Deals + Kyler Murray Bound for the Vikings?

Date: March 12, 2026
Hosts: Matthew Berry, Connor Rogers, Jay Croucher

Episode Overview

This episode covers the second wave of NFL free agency, focusing on fantasy implications of quarterback and skill-position movement—including Daniel Jones’s big contract with the Colts, Geno Smith’s return to the Jets, Romeo Doubs’ signing with the Patriots, and other headline deals. The hosts also speculate on potential future moves, notably Kyler Murray’s rumored fit with the Vikings, and break down the impact of running back and receiver signings on fantasy football draft strategies. The conversation is fast-paced, opinionated, and full of inside jokes, with a strong focus on actionable fantasy takeaways.

Key Discussion Points and Insights

Daniel Jones to the Colts: Fantasy Impact

Timestamps: 02:27 – 07:17

• Deal Details: Daniel Jones signs a 2-year, $88 million contract—short term, high guarantee, “Kirk Cousins-ish.”
• Matthew Berry: “This is the best possible landing spot for Daniel Jones… he was like, you know, QB7 on a points per game basis [last year]… But I think he won’t run as much coming off the injury. For fantasy purposes, he’s a mid-tier QB2, in that 14 to 18 range.” (03:03)
• Jay Croucher: “His best year was 2022 with the Giants… over 700 rushing yards. Last year, playing 12 and a half games, he didn’t come close to that. He just gets hurt a lot… There’s a lot of red flags.” (04:42)
• Connor Rogers: Colts are betting on "the floor" with Jones, due to riskier alternatives.

Geno Smith Returns to the Jets (via Raiders)

Timestamps: 07:17 – 16:34

• Connor Rogers: "They could do a lot worse, especially in the fantasy world, than Geno… he’ll be able to get the ball to Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall." (08:36)
• Smith is “a bridge guy” as Jets look to future, but has a chance to improve fantasy output in New York vs. last year’s poor circumstances in Vegas.
• Matthew Berry: “Vikings were very interested in Geno Smith… but now it’s looking like Kyler Murray will go to Minnesota, probably the best possible outcome for Minnesota given their quarterback situation.” (13:11)
• Fun Fact: The Jets have only had one 4,000-yard passing season in franchise history (Joe Namath, 1967), but “Seattle Geno would be the best quarterback the Jets have had in like two decades.” (16:18)

Romeo Doubs Signs with the Patriots

Timestamps: 16:46 – 23:17

• 4-year deal up to $80 million; replaces Stefon Diggs.
• Matthew Berry: “Is he the best wide receiver on the Patriots? Maybe… I have him in the WR36-40 range. He’s a high-end wide receiver 4. More interesting is the bump for Packers WRs like Jaden Reed, Christian Watson, and Wicks.” (17:44)
• Jay Croucher: “If you had to bet your life on who is going to be the number one pass catcher for Drake May… the best answers are Romeo Doubs or ‘player not yet on the team.’ But he’s only 25—there’s room for growth.” (20:09)
• Connor Rogers: “He can actually win down the field when you go back to his prospect profile… But I don’t know about the consistency aspect for fantasy.” (21:33)

JK Dobbins Returns to Broncos, RB Outlook

Timestamps: 23:17 – 31:57

• Dobbins re-signs (2 years, up to $20 million). High floor, capped upside due to injuries.
• Jay Croucher: “J.K. Dobbins—5 yards per carry last year, got hurt as always… expect 13-14 carries, 4.5 yards per carry, some TDs. Waiver wire regular, not much ceiling.” (23:24)
• Connor Rogers: “Dobbins back really hurts RJ Harvey’s value. Payton leans veteran, but Harvey still has theoretical upside if Dobbins gets hurt again.” (24:28)
• Matthew Berry: “He’s a low-end RB3… touchdown-dependent flex. Dobbins hurts Harvey’s value more than Harvey hurts Dobbins’s.” (25:13)

Aaron Jones Stays with Vikings (Restructured)

Timestamps: 32:00 – 34:51

• One-year, $5.6 million deal.
• Berry: “Kevin O’Connell loves Aaron Jones for his locker room leadership… He’s going to be a low-end RB3 in PPR, but more involved than people think.” (32:36)
• Noted risk: Age/injury (missed at least 5 games in 3 straight seasons).

Chris Rodriguez to Jaguars, Bashaw Tootin Outlook

Timestamps: 35:53 – 39:48

• Rodriguez signs as supporting back for Jags.
• Berry: “This is good news for Bashaw Tootin… Rodriguez is early-down depth, nothing in the passing game, doesn’t threaten Tootin’s role.” (36:16)
• Hosts agree lack of strong rookie RBs keeps incumbent situations stable.

Potential: Kyler Murray to the Vikings

Timestamps: 47:09 – 48:27

• Berry: “If you knew for sure Kyler was the starter in Minnesota, I think he’d be a low-end QB1, top 12. That’s the big one left to drop in terms of fantasy QB dominoes.” (47:27)

Market Watch: Player Props and Draft Strategy

Timestamps: 48:54 – 51:34

• Jay Croucher: “Betting unders on RB yardage props is generally wise—injuries are not ‘baked in’ by casual fans… Dave Montgomery’s line feels high given workload split.” (50:54)
• Berry: “Running back unders in general is a good idea.” (51:32)

Notable Quotes and Memorable Moments

• Matthew Berry on his return to the show:
  “The truth of the matter is that no one at NBC of any importance watches our show… God bless all the executives who aren’t even aware that our show is on… So somehow I’m back.” (00:24)
• Producer Steven’s tech advice:
  “About three minutes before the show, producer Steven goes, ‘Just don’t move and we won’t have any problems at all.’ And 60 seconds into the show, Matthew’s like, ‘If I go like this… the camera will follow me.’” (01:43)
• On Geno Smith’s upside for the Jets:
  “Seattle Geno would be the best quarterback the Jets have had in like two decades.” – Jay Croucher (16:18)
• On Dobbins’ injury history:
  “The faith with RJ Harvey is that Dobbins gets hurt again. This is somebody who’s missed 36 games over the last four years.” – Matthew Berry (25:13)
• On the practicalities of drafting Romeo Doubs in NE:
  “More of a better NFL move than somebody you can count on for consistent fantasy production.” – Matthew Berry (17:44)
• On Bashaw Tootin’s outlook:
  “Bashaw Tootin just has another gear… Chris Rodriguez is kind of just a guy to me.” – Berry (36:16)
• Recurring bit: Matthew’s battle with his iPad battery (pops up throughout; referenced as the “miracle of Hanukkah” at 53:24).

Timestamps for Major Segments

• 02:27 – Daniel Jones’s new contract and Colts fit
• 07:17 – Geno Smith returns; quarterback dominoes (Vikings, Kyler Murray)
• 16:46 – Romeo Doubs to the Patriots, Packers WR fallout
• 23:17 – JK Dobbins re-signs with Broncos, RB value talk
• 32:00 – Aaron Jones stays in Minnesota
• 35:53 – Chris Rodriguez to Jaguars, Bashaw Tootin outlook
• 39:48 – Draft prospects, Washington/Tennessee RB thoughts
• 42:01 – Isaiah Pacheco signs with Detroit, Gibbs fantasy value
• 44:37 – Chigoziem Okonkwo to the Commanders (TE talk)
• 45:32 – Jalen Naylor to Raiders, Vegas WRs for 2026
• 47:09 – Kyler Murray’s fantasy potential with Vikings
• 48:54 – Player props and RB yardage market
• 51:34 – Tech talk and closing announcements

Tone and Language

• Conversational, humorous, and fast-paced, with plenty of inside jokes and reader/listener engagement ("regulars" chat).
• Frequent fantasy draft tier language (“mid-tier QB2,” “RB3,” “wide receiver 4”), quick analytics, and skepticism about injuries.
• Parting shots about league management and show logistics, maintaining a fun and engaging style.

Additional Notes & Community Moments

• Ongoing banter about their league of listeners (“League of Assholes”) and how to promote/demote members (52:21).
• Playful digressions on running the podcast, show tech fails, and listeners’ “commissioner” drama.
• Closing: Show returns next Thursday. Follow the hosts on social media for up-to-date free agency reactions.

For listeners:
This episode provides detailed, real-time fantasy analysis and laughs on all the latest NFL free agency news as of mid-March 2026—making it ideal listening for draft prep and offseason strategizing.