Jets at Patriots Reaction + Brock Purdy, Ricky Pearsall’s expected return

Summary

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Fantasy Football Happy Hour with Matthew Berry

Episode: Jets at Patriots Reaction + Brock Purdy, Ricky Pearsall’s Expected Return

Date: November 14, 2025

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Episode Overview

The crew—Matthew Berry, Connor Rogers, Jay Croucher (with Dr. Denny Carter joining later)—breaks down the Thursday night matchup between the Jets and Patriots. They focus on emerging fantasy football storylines including Trayvon Henderson’s RB breakout, workload uncertainty, and returning injured playmakers such as Brock Purdy and Ricky Pearsall. The team navigates key fantasy start/sit questions, trends in weekly production, waiver wire strategy, and closes with their famous “pickup lines” betting picks for Week 11.

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Key Discussion Points and Insights

1. Jets at Patriots: TNF Fantasy Fallout

• Trayvon Henderson’s Big Night

  • Henderson tallies 24 touches and 3 TDs; reminiscent of Jameer Gibbs’ rookie breakout (04:40–05:12)
  • Berry: "It was all Trayvon Henderson again… like Jameer Gibbs last year where they didn’t want to give him a workload but then are forced to. Trayvon responds with a three touchdown night." (04:40)
  • Henderson records 70% of Patriots’ team rush attempts, 15% target share (05:12)

• Backfield Future Unclear

  • Rogers: Hoping the staff keeps backfield focus on Henderson even when Stevenson returns. (05:40)
  • Croucher: Stevenson likely returns soon (06:04), but favorable near-term schedule for Henderson: Bengals, Giants, then tougher playoff matchups.

• Start/Sit Regrets: The Cameron Conundrum

  • The hosts debate an apology for benching Henderson in favor of more predictable RBs.
  • Berry defends analysis: "It's a little bit like Vegas… all we're doing here is playing the odds. We can only make decisions on the information available at the time." (08:01–09:36)

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2. Broader Fantasy Player Trends and Analytical Philosophy

• Analysis Philosophy
  • Berry: "In fantasy football you play the odds—what's most likely to happen—not just what's possible.” (08:01)
• Patriots’ Pass Catchers
  • Matt Collins surges with 24% target share over two weeks (14:11).
  • Hunter Henry's production has faded: "back to being TD-dependent… hasn't scored double-digit fantasy since week 4.” (15:15)
• Jets’ Skill Players
  • Only Breece Hall is a reliable start.
  • "You’re not even thinking about rostering any Jets wide receiver… Even with Garrett Wilson out." (16:28)
  • Justin Fields produces almost 20 fantasy points despite "not playing well." (16:39)

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3. Injury Updates & Key Returns (22:22–25:20)

• Notables for Week 11
  • Aaron Jones, J.K. Dobbins (RBs), Davante Adams (Oblique), D.J. Moore (shoulder), Sam LaPorta (back), Dalton Schultz (not practicing but expected to play)
  • Ricky Pearsall expected to play (22:44) but Berry urges caution on starting Pearsall immediately: "I want to see it before I really trust… I like Jauan Jennings more this week." (25:44)
• Brock Purdy
  • Set to start, managing turf toe: "Welcome back. It's Brockvember." (32:11–32:14)
  • Croucher: “If [Purdy] can stay healthy… he's an elite quarterback.”

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4. Waiver Wire & Flex/Start-Sit Guidance

• Waiver Hot List (34:19–35:15)

  • Noted adds: Amari Demercado, Trey Tucker, Parker Washington, Michael Wilson, Dalton Schultz.
  • Berry: "Sean Tucker is a viable flex with upside… needs to be rostered in more leagues." (27:55)

• Start/Sit Questions & Flexual Frustration

  • Key dilemmas tackled:
    • RB: Rashad White, Chase Brown, Kamani Vidal, Woody Marks, Aaron Jones (27:55)
    • QB: Davis Mills a viable superflex start vs. Tennessee (30:23–31:19)
    • Consensus: Prioritize opportunity and matchup, but beware projected workload volatility.

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5. Fun Set Pieces & Show Personality

• Notable Banter

  • Inside jokes abound on Producer Pete’s hat choices and staff members (22:11–22:22).
  • Power rankings of show “regulars” (44:14): Vigorous debate and some friendly dissension about who deserves a spot.

• Flexual Frustrations & Denny Carter Segment (35:32–40:52)

  • Denny Carter answers high-stakes flex/start questions with his signature tongue-in-cheek delivery—touching on Tyler Lockett, Greg Dortch, and Rashid Shaheed.
    • Denny Carter: "You can get weird with old people this week [starting Tyler Lockett]." (38:16)
    • On Greg Dortch: "It's Dorch season is what I'm saying." (40:38)

• Humorous Commentary

  • On Devonta Smith's prop bet line:
    • Jay: “I thought this line was a typo… Devonta Smith is the #1 WR in this offense for now… 55.5 receiving yards, I don’t get it.” (54:59)
  • On the show’s longevity:
    • Connor: “Year four. Can you believe it? The over-under was three and a half months.” (41:08)
    • Berry: “We’re on Peacock. Watch an episode of Love Island. What we do is tame.” (41:15)

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6. Weekly Picks & Betting Insights (“Pickup Lines”) (54:48–56:37)

• Best Bets (“Pickup Lines”):
  • Jay Croucher loves Devonta Smith over 55.5 receiving yards vs. Lions: “Devonta Smith is the #1 WR… 55.5 yards, I don’t get it.” (54:59–55:38)
  • Connor chooses Woody Marks over 59.5 rushing yards vs. Titans:
    • “He’s the lead back… should be winning, favored. I think he clears this number.” (55:59)
• Berry’s Take: “I’m going home with Jay. We’ll be in Philadelphia this week, watching the bet cash together.” (56:36)

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Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments

• On Trayvon Henderson:
  • “For all of his touchdown theatrics last night, averaged 3.3 yards per carry… you play the odds.” — Matthew Berry (07:18)
• On Apologizing for Bad Advice:
  • “We can only make decisions on the information available at the time. I would make the same decision.” — Jay Croucher (07:49)
• On Fantasy Frustration:
  • “Justin Fields finishes with 19.3 fantasy points on a night where he truly played bad. Drake May was brilliant and only gets 15.4. That’s why fantasy drives you crazy.” — Matthew Berry (16:39)
• On Analysis Philosophy:
  • “In fantasy football you play the odds—what’s most likely to happen—not just what’s possible.” — Matthew Berry (08:01)
• On Show Meta:
  • “Year four. Can you believe it? Some didn’t give the over-under more than three and a half months.” — Connor Rogers (41:08)

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Timestamps for Key Segments

• Trayvon Henderson’s TNF performance: 04:09–06:20
• Fantasy analysis philosophy: 08:01–09:42
• Injury round-up / Pearsall & Purdy status: 22:22–25:44 & 32:11–33:41
• Patriots pass-catchers review: 14:11–15:20
• Waiver wire rundown: 34:19–35:25
• Dr. Denny Carter flex Q&A: 35:32–40:52
• Regulars Power Rankings: 44:14–45:52
• Start/sit mailbag: 46:21–51:14
• Betting picks “Pickup Lines” segment: 54:48–56:37

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Conclusion & Episode Tone

As ever, the hosts blend sharp fantasy football analysis with their trademark camaraderie and witty repartee. The episode is filled with rapid-fire, actionable insights about key playmakers—especially Trayvon Henderson and the Patriots backfield—as well as candid self-reflection on the highs and lows of navigating fantasy advice. Listener questions are woven throughout, ensuring relatable, practical perspectives for managers making tough lineup decisions.

The episode’s lively banter, statistical rigor, and humility regarding fantasy football’s chaos ensure listeners are both better informed and entertained as they prep for Week 11.

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Transcript

[Connor Rogers]

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[Matthew Berry]

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[Jay Croucher]

Need to understand what's wrong as soon as possible.

[Matthew Berry]

So when a conveyor motor falters, Grainger offers diagnostic tools like calibration kits and multimeters to help you identify and fix the problem. With Grainger, you can be confident you have everything you need to keep your facility running smoothly. Call 1-800-GRAINGER clickgrainger.com or just stop by Granger for the ones who get it done. If you're Connor Rogers, what are you doing right now in the sense of like, I'd be drinking, right? That's my point. Like, how do you prepare for a game like this where you like, it's just a disastrous. And like, do you like, are you just like, I'm just gonna get drunk. I gotta, I gotta go on to SNY and I gotta talk about this for like, you know, a couple hours tonight before and after, like, are you just getting loaded or are you like, do you still, are you still optimistic? They already know what they're gonna say on that show. They say it every week.

[Jay Croucher]

Basically.

[Matthew Berry]

They have to say the same. Do you think he just recycled? Did he say to some pa, give me my notes from week six. That was good.

[Jay Croucher]

I will say there is kind of a weight lifted because like the season has descended into fast so you can just kind of have some, some fun with it. So, yeah. Tune in to our friends SNY to see Conor Rogers thoughts staying in the AFC East.

[Matthew Berry]

Tune in for his thoughts. Stay for Todd Zeal Fantasy Football Happy hour with Matthew Berry. Happy Friday.

[Connor Rogers]

Welcome to the Fantasy Football Hour. I didn't see our friend Todd Zeal last night.

[Matthew Berry]

I still gotta tweet out our links.

[Connor Rogers]

His Emmys piling up.

[Jay Croucher]

Is he warm? Is he staying warm in the cold weather? I hope Todd Zeal's well.

[Connor Rogers]

I hope he's enjoying his time off before the craziness of the way too long baseball season. Not you guys.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, well, here's the I mean, just to give you a sense here, the reason he has so much time off is because he's won two Emmys. If you would win second round, this is why you work so much.

[Connor Rogers]

Nothing going on in baseball. That's why he's off.

[Matthew Berry]

Disagree. When you are an analyst, the level of Todd Zeal, is there anything. He can't talk about it. Stop it. We could put. We could drop him in here today. He'd be great.

[Connor Rogers]

So if I win an Emmy, I don't have to host this show anymore?

[Matthew Berry]

That's correct.

[Connor Rogers]

All right, you heard Stephen.

[Matthew Berry]

Good luck. That's literally the whole point of trying to win an Emmy.

[Connor Rogers]

You better be praying that I never win that Emmy.

[Jay Croucher]

You said there's nothing going on in baseball, my friends.

[Connor Rogers]

That's right.

[Jay Croucher]

Yesterday, some people say the highlight of the baseball season. Game seven, Dodgers, Blue Jays. No, no, no. Yesterday was the highlight of the baseball season. Aaron Judge crowned American League MVVP for the third time in four years. All rise. Court is in session. Justice is served. This is a photo of me and my little brother, despite him being much, much taller than me at Yankee Stadium in September. And that's me holding a foul ball that Aaron Judge hit. Now, it may have been off the bat of Riley Green, but it was hit by Aaron Judge.

[Connor Rogers]

Your children will be told it was Aaron Judge.

[Matthew Berry]

Everyone. America's been told. Your children have been told that. Yeah, it came off the bat of Aaron Judge, the reigning AL mvp. Did you win more or less money on this award than you did from Nas Reed?

[Jay Croucher]

Nas Reed was bigger than Judge, but Aaron Judge, it was more about. It was more about the ethical triumph, really. Cal Raleigh goes down. Justice prevails. The better man. The better man wins.

[Connor Rogers]

It was a long August with you. Like every day he would come in and you could tell if it was a Cal Riley night or an Aaron Judge evening.

[Jay Croucher]

Very upset. This big bloke in Seattle swinging for the fences every single swing. That's why he bats 247, because he.

[Matthew Berry]

Tries to hit it out of the.

[Jay Croucher]

Aaron Judge batted 331.

[Connor Rogers]

And we're still the man. 62, 80.

[Jay Croucher]

Yeah, well, 17, 13. Thank you, voters of the Baseball Writers association of America. Doing God's work.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, that's right. Jay's kids get to eat tonight as the Patriots ate last night.

[Connor Rogers]

Yes, Trayvon Henderson specifically. Nice transition, Matthew. Don't worry. We're going to answer your questions. And what's on tap. Denny's going to join us to answer your question. Flexual frustrations. Jay and I Have pickup lines as we look to get back on track with those after a tough one last weekend. But let's get into the roto world player news, which includes or really just includes Thursday Night Football because we've been waiting for Travion Henderson to have this kind of game. We saw big flashes last weekend and the touchdown equity in this one. Matthew was off the charts.

[Matthew Berry]

24 touches. I mean it was all Trayvon Henderson again reminded me of Jameer Gibbs rookie year where they didn't want to give him a workload. Didn't want to give him a big workload. But then Dave Montgomery goes down with a injury and they just, they're forced to. And so Travan Henderson responds with a three touchdown night. Travan Henderson obviously drinks for free.

[Connor Rogers]

Or is it.

[Matthew Berry]

Is it Trayvon or is it Trace V on See what I did there?

[Connor Rogers]

Yeah, it's really late in the group chat or the tweet.

[Matthew Berry]

I disagree.

[Connor Rogers]

But people like sucks. Whenever you could run back a 4 out of 10, you have to run.

[Jay Croucher]

Back a 4 out of 10. Let's put that in the bin and start again. No good.

[Matthew Berry]

Screw you guys. I like that one either way. The other thing I liked was Trevon Henderson getting to the end zone not once, not twice, but three different times. You know, over the past two games he's had 60 combined fantasy points, five touchdowns in the last two weeks and 70% of the Patriots team rush attempts. Both were season highs. Also nice to see Conor 15% target share. They started using him in the passing game, which for the longest time they never did and we didn't get it.

[Connor Rogers]

And that was one of the things we were most excited about with him. When you go back to his college tape and his skill set and his ability in space. So just so many positive things with Travion Henderson here. You just hope that these flashes of talent, not even flashes, consistency of talent. Now that when Ramandre Stevenson is back, the staff is like this backfield runs.

[Jay Croucher]

Through Trayvon, you know, he plays next week. Matthew, who's that? That's natty Bengals. Trevin Nessie. Minus 400 yards.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, right. Yeah. Rocket ship emoji. You know, if Trey games, they give him the ball. Season sen.

[Jay Croucher]

They give him the ball because Ramondre, I think Ramondra logged to practices like Lamondre's coming back.

[Connor Rogers]

He was limited this week and then they ruled him out.

[Jay Croucher]

But 10 days off, he's probably going to be back.

[Connor Rogers]

Yeah, it's a good call, Jay.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, I mean and honestly it's a It's a pretty nice schedule, right? So at the Bengals, then home to the Giants, they get a buy in week 14. But then it gets a little tougher in the fantasy playoffs. Home to the Bills, at the Ravens, at the jets in week 17. You could certainly see Travon Henderson deciding some Fantasy Championships. Week 17 at MetLife Stadium. Now, a lot of people have said, and this is including one regular, I have to shout this out, saying we owe Cameron an apology. For people that watched yesterday's show, young man, I think he's, you know, Cameron said, if you see it there on your screen, Cameron said, hey, guys, need to sit one RB and half point ppr. Jenty James Cook, Rico Dowdle, Trevian Anderson. And we did choose. So Jake Chavez says you guys owe Cameron an apology today because me, Jay and Lawrence all agreed Trayvon Henderson was the guy that you should sit because we were uncertain about the workload. The truth of the matter is, is that Trayvon Henderson, for all of his touchdown theatrics last night, averaged 3.3 yards per carry. Lawrence, in the group chat, would like you to know, Jake, he's not apologizing for. For anything. No.

[Connor Rogers]

He said he gave it his best.

[Matthew Berry]

He said he gave it his best. He left it all on the field. That is what it is. Lawrence is going to watch the tape. He'll learn from it. He'll get better next week.

[Jay Croucher]

There's three things. One, Jake Chavez, why do you have Cameron's back?

[Matthew Berry]

Why.

[Jay Croucher]

Why are you riding with Cameron?

[Connor Rogers]

He really was Cameron.

[Jay Croucher]

Yeah, maybe he was Cameron.

[Matthew Berry]

Cameron. That's Cameron's burger.

[Jay Croucher]

Yes. Secondly, we don't know that Rico and, and Cook and Co won't outperform Trayvon Henderson.

[Connor Rogers]

So we, we don't know it, but the odds.

[Jay Croucher]

Yeah. Confirmed yet. And then thirdly, we can only make decisions on the information available at the time. I would make the same decision. Yes, I'm happy with that, even if it's going to probably be proven to be wrong.

[Matthew Berry]

But, and I'll just say this, this is going to sound defensive, and I don't mean it to sound defensive. And Cobra Kiger, that's a. Was he good last night to steal the starting role? We'll get into that in a second here. But I just want to talk about sort of fantasy football analysis very quickly. In a nutshell here is that it's a little bit like, like Vegas. And this is what Jay does as well. Like, we make fun of you. Like, oh, you've got the Giants at 80 to 1, you know, to make the playoffs last year just. But your odds said they probably should have been priced at 30 or 40 to 1. Exactly right. And so all we're doing here is you're literally just playing the odds right again. Like you know, you can be at a blackjack table and you've got 18 and the dealer showing 10. And so you stay thinking that the dealer is going to bust or that he's going to fall under you, but then he pulls, you know, he pulls an ace and you lose. And that happens sometimes. But you, you play the odds more often than not at blackjack or anything like that. And more often than not it will come, it will work out in your favor. And so we with that answer last night, and this is what you need to do at all times with all questions, all decisions in fantasy football is you play the odds. What's most likely to happen. Like Travian Henderson scored three touchdowns last night, which is awesome. But that wasn't the most likely outcome. The most likely outcome was not that he was going to outscore James Cook, Rico Dowdle and whoever the third guy that he had all three Ashenty was a great matchup this week. Like all guys that get massive workloads and we were unsure if Traybian was going to get as much touches again. You know, backup producer Pete in the group chat said if I told you he was going to get 3.3 yards per carry, would you still have wanted to start him last night? You know, so I just think that's again that sounds defensive and I don't mean it to like sorry Cameron, you know, it would have been nice to enjoy that. But let's go. We played the odds. What's going on?

[Jay Croucher]

The jets run defense, they lose Quinn and Williams and they immediately shut down everyone in front of us.

[Connor Rogers]

And if you look at the history when he's hurt, this is what it looks like. He's that talented of a run defender in the NFL. He's a one man wrecking crew. So the end, Harrison Phillips apparently might have been in a boot all week and then played which credit to him. But like this is a skeleton defense.

[Jay Croucher]

But to be fair, like they kept Trayvon, like I know that Trayvon gets the touchdowns but they the yards.

[Matthew Berry]

Be careful.

[Connor Rogers]

They played better than they had any business plan and they kept last night.

[Jay Croucher]

Jumpkins as well to a very inefficient day.

[Connor Rogers]

Look at the roster out there. I mean this is a skeleton defense and they did everything they could but.

[Matthew Berry]

They kept it much closer than I thought they would. As somebody who Has Drake May in our league against producer Steven. I was hoping for a much bigger day in this game. Like again played well, 25 of 34, 281 passing yards didn't run. He's not running as much recently, which is, which is frustrating as well. And then again just they got in close and they gave it to Travian Henderson. His one touchdown pass was to Travian Henderson, so that was a little bit frustrating as well. He's now been under 17 fantasy points in two of the last three. That only happened twice in his first eight games. Any concerns on Drake May or just it is what it is?

[Jay Croucher]

I don't think so. Like he's just been, he hasn't had to throw much. They just lead in all these games. They've had a really easy schedule and he's really good and the team's really, really good. And so I don't think we're necessarily going to see the Drake May explosion games until I believe it's week 15 and 16 against Buffalo and Baltimore back to back. And those are going to be epic games like Drake May against Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson back to back. Those might be the explosion type games. The one thing that I think really bodes well for Drake May though Connor, is that Stefon Diggs is looking the best that he has in a couple of years. He's got 19 targets the past two weeks and he was just doing whatever he wanted. Last.

[Connor Rogers]

It was his fifth straight double digit fantasy performance where now you're getting so much consistency from Stefan Diggs even without the touchdowns obviously. The three middle games amongst these five, he caught a touchdown but the target share and the yardage is big enough that it doesn't even matter in that regard. So he, he's just.

[Matthew Berry]

And he actually I know he had at least the one drop and you know, a couple like it could have been an even bigger night.

[Connor Rogers]

Yeah, yeah. That was a third and long that he should have caught for sure. So Diggs is. He's Drake May like in an offense that a lot of guys touch the football, at least Diggs brings you consistency. Even when Ramon Dre is back, Travion is going to have a week that drives you nuts. That's not his fault. It's going to happen with Diggs. I just feel like you don't worry about that recently.

[Jay Croucher]

Yep. Sorry Matthew, I made a mistake. I heard his name is not Stefon Diggs. It's comeback player of the year elect Stefon Diggs making his case. What is he at now, now he's like plus 800 or so. He's in the mix. I don't think he's going to win, but he's in the mix. If he comes home like a steam train, has another big game against Buffalo. I can see it like, he looks the best that he has. Much better than last year. Better than the year before in Buffalo as well, where he had a strange year. This is the best he's looked since 2022.

[Matthew Berry]

And he's looked better even recently. Last three weeks, 10.9. Average depth of target compared with just 7.7 in the first game. They're starting to. I think they are. Drake May is starting to throw deep more. They're trying to take more shots. He's stretching the field more. Diggs feels to be all the way back. You know who comeback player of the year this year is going to be? It's going to be Joe. It's going to be Joe Burrow. You know what I mean? Like, he come back. Yeah, he came back this season.

[Connor Rogers]

Yet another comeback.

[Matthew Berry]

Every year. Another. Every year he's come back player of the year.

[Jay Croucher]

Yeah. I mean, I think I made this joke earlier. He's not going to win this year, but he literally will win the award next year and have won comeback player of the year three years out of six, which is completely insane.

[Connor Rogers]

At what point do you like just.

[Jay Croucher]

Going to move on?

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, I thought people were going to.

[Jay Croucher]

Move on last year because he already won the award. Like. No, he's Joe Burrow. He's the best player that's eligible.

[Matthew Berry]

Who is the betting paper right now? Is it McCaffrey? McCaffrey, yeah.

[Jay Croucher]

Which is. I think he's the most likely winner. He's having a very good year. Yeah. He's also averaging like three and a half yards per carry on a team that's kind of floundering because of injuries. But he is carrying a massive workload and the receiving stuff is ridiculous. So he probably wins. But the door is open for Mr. Diggler to make a run. Aiden Hutchinson also in the mix. I don't think Dax going to win because the team's 3, 51 and he's fallen off a bit. But I think Diggs, if he comes home really hot, he could be the best story.

[Matthew Berry]

I also, I know that he's supposed to be not eligible, but Daniel Jones.

[Jay Croucher]

Yeah, I don't think he's. He wasn't injured last year.

[Connor Rogers]

Right. You're not supposed to come back from.

[Matthew Berry]

Being a dad again.

[Jay Croucher]

The AP was so disgusted that Joe Flacco won the award. They literally changed the criteria. I mean it was like.

[Connor Rogers]

It's not like they take him off the ballot.

[Jay Croucher]

It's not on the ballot. But it's the same thing with Sam Donald last year and Donald like didn't feature at all in the voting.

[Matthew Berry]

So Matt Collins, last two, last couple of things here on the Patriots side of the ball. Matt Collins, who we mentioned yesterday by the way, he cashes. That was my bet yesterday. Over 37 and a half receiving yards. That cashes as well, I believe. Your bet, cash. You just had the Patriots to cover, right?

[Jay Croucher]

Yeah.

[Matthew Berry]

Was it 12 and a half.

[Connor Rogers]

Nice.

[Jay Croucher]

It was funny because when so the jets get down into the red zone at the end, I think it was like second and 10. And I checked the odds on DraftKings and the jets, it was, they were plus six and a half because it's basically just like 50, 50 chance they're going to score a touchdown or not. Patriots defense holds firm and we cover, we get it done.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah.

[Connor Rogers]

Justin Fields just.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah. Cover. First win later. That is the rule always. So thank you Patriots. But anyway, Matt Collins, in the two weeks since case on booty has been out 24% target share, six game, eighth game this season with under seven point fantasy points for Pop Douglas. Feels like it's kind of turned back into a pumpkin a little bit. And Hunter Henry, man, like at first we took him off the waiver wire show and then he was in the, you know, keep it open, close it out show. He might be have to go back to the waiver wire show.

[Connor Rogers]

He's, you know, getting back to being touchdown dependent.

[Jay Croucher]

Yeah.

[Matthew Berry]

Hasn't scored double digit fantasy points since week four.

[Denny Carter]

Right.

[Connor Rogers]

That's Matt Collins, by the way. Could have even had a bigger night.

[Matthew Berry]

Oh, that was a bad drop.

[Connor Rogers]

Steven's kind of knocked it out, but like he had a big step where I was like, oh boy.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, I mean he caught it and then, yeah, it got, it got knocked out.

[Jay Croucher]

You know what, I completely forgot about that because the only drops I can remember last night were Adonai Mitchell.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, yeah.

[Jay Croucher]

Who Justin Fields had one of the best passes of his career. That was like 50 yards down the left sideline, direct right into the bread basket and just dropsy.

[Connor Rogers]

But that's the problem with Fields is that you always remember the one great throw because if you don't capitalize on that, you're doomed. Valiant Vincent says AD Mitchell drinks at double price for not doing the one thing he's literally paid to do and catch the ball. Yeah, it was a tough night for Adonai Mitchell. To be fair. There was also two, at least two really bad misses from Fields to him.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah.

[Connor Rogers]

So it was just like they were not even close to on the same page the whole night.

[Jay Croucher]

That was one like the date ball. That's bad. That's a bad. He's got to catch him. There was one that Fields kind of threw behind him and it kind of reminded me that Wes, well, could drop in the super bowl against the Giants where it's like quite. But you probably should catch.

[Connor Rogers]

It's a bad throw.

[Jay Croucher]

Yeah, it was a bad throw.

[Connor Rogers]

A great receiver catches it, but it needs to be a better throw. He missed it out. That was like a freebie first down.

[Jay Croucher]

It's just some of the Fields misses are really bad.

[Connor Rogers]

You're not even thinking about rostering any of these jets widers receivers. Even with Garrett Wilson out. Jon Metchie gets the touchdown. Tyrod has to start if you're even thinking about rostering any jets wide receiver.

[Matthew Berry]

Correct. Correct. I had hoped that maybe Mason Taylor would get a little love here, but just had no pass game. It's interesting. I mean, Justin Fields. This is why fantasy football drives you crazy sometimes. Justin fields finishes with 19.3 fantasy points on a night where he. He truly played bad. Like he just was not good at the football. And Drake May was brilliant and finishes with 15.4 fantasy points. It's just, you know, a buddy of mine. Sorry, Jeff. Speaking of like the Trayvon, apologize to Cameron. I'll apologize to Jeff in advance. My buddy Jeff texted me and he said super flex league Justin Fields or Trevor Lawrence? And I'm like Trevor Lawrence. Like, not that I like the Trevor all that much, but I'm just like Justin Fields without Garrett Wilson on a short week on the road at New England. Potentially. Potentially.

[Connor Rogers]

That's what I tell people every time they go, can I keep playing Fields. Fields in fantasy. I'm like, not if he's potentially benched.

[Jay Croucher]

You can't play him in Guillotine ever.

[Matthew Berry]

No, no, absolutely.

[Connor Rogers]

You guys don't walk yourself to the chop.

[Matthew Berry]

Exactly. Yeah, but. Yeah, but like I. So like I said I would. Lawrence. And obviously then obviously he winds up with 19 fantasy points because he gets the rushing touchdown. He gets some rushing yards and he did. Yeah, we'll see. I need the Traveler to, you know, have a huge game this week. He won't at home. At home against the Chargers, you know, I'm hoping for junk time.

[Connor Rogers]

Jesse Minter against the Traveler. I don't love It.

[Matthew Berry]

But I don't love it either. But, but my thought process was literally. That was just not Justin Fields who literally could have you.

[Connor Rogers]

Three points could get happened multiple like you. I got three points.

[Matthew Berry]

He was, he. It was the best I've seen Justin Fields play in a while. Which again, you have to write on a bell curve when you think about the Denver game. Cincinnati. He was okay against Cincinnati.

[Connor Rogers]

He was okay.

[Jay Croucher]

Yes.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah.

[Connor Rogers]

A lot of breeze hall that day.

[Jay Croucher]

But yeah, to be fair, Connor could play quarterback against the, the Bengals. And look.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, I mean it's, it's, it's fair.

[Connor Rogers]

I can't even see over the line.

[Matthew Berry]

He neither can. Can just.

[Jay Croucher]

You don't need to. To torch the Bengals.

[Connor Rogers]

You can d. Gabriel. They don't make fun of him.

[Matthew Berry]

So I'm in. I'm in a dynasty league where I'm literally trying to tank. Right. You know, like this. We're in a rebuilding year.

[Connor Rogers]

Ethically though, you're still filling out a lineup.

[Matthew Berry]

I'm still filling up.

[Connor Rogers]

That's how ours is.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, no, I, I'm still, I still fell out my best possible lineup based on like projections or whatever. But I am, I'm rooting to, you know, to lose. And so last week I only have three quarterbacks in this league. It's a super flex league and it's a crazy deep super flex league. And my three quarterbacks last week were Patrick Mahomes on a buy Brock Purdy hurt. Somebody else in league has Mac Jones and Dylan Gabriel again. And my team is not good in this league again. It's gotten older. I've rebuilt, I'm in the process of rebuilding. Dylan Gabriel led me to a victory in this dumb league like because he had 20 fantasy points last week. And you know, and like I have Quinshon Judkins, I have McConkey had a big game.

[Connor Rogers]

Like I have some bad tank commander. Dylan Gabriel.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah. It's brutal. I mean like I thought, oh well, Superplex league. I'm literally only starting one quarterback and it's Dylan Gabriel. I got this loss, but I have a bunch of good tight ends. I have like, I have like Hawkinson, I have Theo Johnson. It's a tight end premium league. And so Theo went off Jeremy Ruckett. I don't have Jeremy Ruckett. No.

[Jay Croucher]

It's so funny that the jets passing game has gone through like Rocket Adonai Mitchell, John Metchie, who eventually it'll be like Robert woods will be on the table.

[Connor Rogers]

Punt returner Isaiah Williams who's been cut this year and is now catching screens in the offense. He.

[Matthew Berry]

Al Michaels said, you know, oh, that's a run by Isaiah Williams. I'm like, I'm thinking to myself, you mean Isaiah Davis, dude, like Al. Like, oh boy, Al. You know, somebody getting Al's here. And then it actually was literally.

[Connor Rogers]

And you're like, who?

[Matthew Berry]

Wait, what? Wait, Isaiah Williams is on this team?

[Connor Rogers]

Yes, yes. He has been cut before this year. Now he's back with an elevated role beyond punt returner in the offense. Some other good news come out of this game.

[Matthew Berry]

The. The only. The only takeaway is that again, Breeze hall remains the only Jet that you can start.

[Connor Rogers]

Right.

[Matthew Berry]

Even I know that Fields had a good game here, but, like, they can't keep going. I don't know. We have all next week to talk about that.

[Connor Rogers]

Oh, yeah. One more bright spot from this game. Stupid Dev was there. Stupid Dev, who does a lot of great work on the show. Huge spot.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah.

[Connor Rogers]

At least Stupid Dev got to enjoy the game. Jen, who also works on this show, is a Jets fan. She did not get to enjoy the game.

[Matthew Berry]

She did not enjoy the game.

[Jay Croucher]

But to be fair, that's baked into the jets experience.

[Connor Rogers]

If you go to Foxborough as a Jets fan, I don't think it's gonna be great.

[Matthew Berry]

To be clear, Stupid Dev is the one in the Patriots hat and Jen is in the jets hat, Right? Yes.

[Connor Rogers]

Thank you, Matthew.

[Matthew Berry]

Just wanna clear that up. Well done. Both. Both work on the show.

[Connor Rogers]

Yes.

[Matthew Berry]

Both work on the show and do.

[Jay Croucher]

Great work for us.

[Matthew Berry]

We appreciate both of them.

[Jay Croucher]

Yeah. I believe backup producer Pete is playing Dev this week. And I was watching the game last night with backup producer Pete and he was cursing Stefan Diggs, who I believe Des had.

[Matthew Berry]

Every time. Stupid Dev has. I thought, Dev does. Doesn't Dev have travy on too? He. He went.

[Connor Rogers]

He's a big Patriots fan.

[Matthew Berry]

I think he was very upset.

[Jay Croucher]

He wasn't having a good time either.

[Connor Rogers]

And he will yell in public, which I really appreciate that about him.

[Jay Croucher]

He's very loud.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah.

[Connor Rogers]

Like, if you go out to dinner or to the bar with Pete and like, something happens, like, you know, if it was us, we're like, ah, man. He'd be like, what the hell?

[Matthew Berry]

Pete is very loud and demonstrative. But by the way, between Jay and Pete, they have six kids under the.

[Connor Rogers]

Age of 10, right?

[Matthew Berry]

So, like, who knows what they were doing? Who knows what they were doing? IPads. Yeah, exactly. No, not even.

[Connor Rogers]

Not even iPads.

[Matthew Berry]

Here's some candy, kids. Daddy will be back in a Couple hours.

[Jay Croucher]

It's actually the only grown up I've seen at a dinner get shushed by the people at his own table.

[Connor Rogers]

I was there for that. I won't name names. I will not name names.

[Matthew Berry]

But he was shushed.

[Connor Rogers]

Yeah, like. Like you would do to your children when they were like four, not now.

[Matthew Berry]

Somebody shushed him. That's amazing.

[Connor Rogers]

I'll tell you after the show who it was and it makes it even better.

[Matthew Berry]

Okay, even better.

[Connor Rogers]

What?

[Matthew Berry]

Last question then. What hat did he wear last night? Did he wear his fancy Mets hat or his fancy Giants hat?

[Jay Croucher]

I can't recall. But that was a hat.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, of course.

[Jay Croucher]

Maybe that wasn't a hat.

[Connor Rogers]

No way.

[Matthew Berry]

No, he had a hat on.

[Jay Croucher]

He might not have had a hat.

[Connor Rogers]

Anyway, Steven's begging me to do the injuries. So here's the week 11 injuries we're tracking. Aaron Jones, J.K. dobbins at Running back. Devontae Adams with that oblique. Brian Thomas Jr. And Parker Washington for Jacksonville. D.J. moore with the shoulder. Gary Slayton has not practiced with that hamstring, which is concerning. Ricky Piersall working his way back finally.

[Matthew Berry]

Sure he is.

[Connor Rogers]

Yeah, we'll believe it when we see it. Sam LaPorta dealing with that back injury. And Dalton Schultz, much like last week, has not practiced. But we'll see if he can get.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, again, he missed Wednesday and Thursday last week, practiced Friday, obviously, then had a big game here. So there is a whole bit just. We'll see. Schultz is able to go today, but if he does, you kind of like the matchup here and you like Davis Mills under center for Dalton Schultz.

[Jay Croucher]

Yeah, Davis Mills. Look, he wasn't great last week, but.

[Matthew Berry]

He got us home.

[Jay Croucher]

Yeah, he got us home. He got the money lime home for the Texans as an under. And also, like he is bad in a way that at least he can fill it up statistically in terms of accumulating yards. Like he'll make some ungodly throws, but he'll make some godly throws as well. For Nico Collins and friends on the.

[Connor Rogers]

More positive 49ers news, Brock Purdy is going to start this week against.

[Jay Croucher]

Welcome back.

[Connor Rogers]

Brock Purdy with that turf toe he's been dealing with. Sounds like he'll just have to manage it. And it's been confirmed by Kyle Shanahan, who is a known liar, that Ricky Pierasol will play against the Cardinals. It's confirmed.

[Jay Croucher]

Shanahan, who shush paid at that dinner, by the way.

[Connor Rogers]

That's a plot twist.

[Matthew Berry]

I like Coach Shanahan even more now. All Right. Fair enough. He is a known liar, though.

[Connor Rogers]

I mean, I respect it. Yeah, right.

[Matthew Berry]

Competitive advantage.

[Connor Rogers]

Any competitive advantage.

[Matthew Berry]

Well, that's what Aaron Glenham. I'm not. Yeah. I'm not going to. I'm not going to tell you who our starting quarterback is going to be.

[Connor Rogers]

You'll just have to see for yourselves when they don't complete a pass.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah. So listen, there's a chance, though, if one of these guys isn't able to play or because of bye weeks, you might need to go to the waiver wire and pick somebody up to help you out. So some of our top waiver targets this week.

[Connor Rogers]

Where are you going?

[Matthew Berry]

I was going to the waiver wires. We're not going to waver wire.

[Connor Rogers]

We got more injuries to go.

[Matthew Berry]

Oh, we do?

[Jay Croucher]

Yeah.

[Matthew Berry]

God dang.

[Connor Rogers]

This is the first time you've ever read the Rundown. I feel like you just got so excited about the waivers. Talk about why you might need one of these people.

[Matthew Berry]

What are we talking about?

[Jay Croucher]

What's wrong with you?

[Matthew Berry]

What are we talking about?

[Connor Rogers]

Then can you start? Ricky Pearsall.

[Matthew Berry]

No. There we go.

[Connor Rogers]

Okay. Can you start Brock Purdy?

[Matthew Berry]

Yes.

[Denny Carter]

Okay.

[Connor Rogers]

Well, we're not done there. Bucky Irving, as Steven said on the call, which is great. The Sasquatch esque pictures we've had of him back at practice in a limited capacity, it was really good. Chris Godwin was limited as well. Oh, we got a question.

[Matthew Berry]

So there you go. This is Adam Schefter.

[Connor Rogers]

Adam Schefter.

[Matthew Berry]

Adam Schefter. Clearly watching the show and just tweeting.

[Connor Rogers]

Their books been ruled out.

[Matthew Berry]

Bucky Irving and Chris Godwin are out for Sunday's game versus the Bills. Although I will say the fact that we're finding out on a Friday afternoon feels like they're closer now. I mean, usually it was like a Wednesday. Yeah, Godwin's not playing this week. Bucky's not playing.

[Jay Croucher]

But the fact that they were rolled.

[Matthew Berry]

Out on Friday, I think you're right.

[Jay Croucher]

Yeah, I think they'll play next week. And if they don't play next week, that's a very bad sign. If you had two weeks of practice and not playing. But yeah, I think the takeaways are pretty much as expected. I think we really expected these guys to give it a go. So Rashad White, load him up again. A favorable matchup against the bills and McCrae. Booker is going to get fed as many targets he can handle. And Kate Otten remains pretty viable because he operates in the same kind of part of the field that Chris Godwin would have otherwise.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, I just. I just feel like when Joanne Jennings and Ricky Pearsall have been on the field together, it's. Honestly, it's happened so little. Pearsall, Jennings, Kittle McCaffrey with Brock Purdy under center. Like, I don't know. It's not that many snaps that we've seen, all those guys here, but I just. I want to see it before. I'm willing to really trust. Especially like this week. Yes, there are some injuries. We got two teams on a bye, but I don't know, I, like, I feel much better. I'll just say I feel much better about Juwan Jennings this week than I do Ricky Pearsall.

[Jay Croucher]

Like, yeah, also like, Kittle, too. Like, I think they've had, like, one drive all season with those guys where, by the way, George Kittle looked amazing that first round against Seattle and scored a touchdown, and then he got hurt, and then they haven't had their team at all. Bourbon breath. Is it Sean Tucker time? I see the shift happening this week, by the way, those woods from the Sopranos, the Russian guy.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, it might be. Yeah, yeah. Pine Barons. Is that Christian, by the way? So how this works is that we have a screen that shows what you guys watch. So we have a. It's whatever. We have a monitor that. And so. And so this camera over here, I see it. There's a small monitor right here. And so out of the corner of my eye, I see the comment here from Bourbonbread. Is it Sean Tucker time? I see the. And I thought it was a very different word than what it is, shift. But in the initial quick reading, I was like, I can't believe Steven put that comment up.

[Connor Rogers]

He missed that one.

[Matthew Berry]

I see the shift happening this week. It might be Bourbon breath. In terms of Sean Tucker, 44% of the team's running back touches over the last couple of weeks. You know, I love his talent. The pride of Syracuse, Sean Tucker, number 44. Number one in your heart.

[Connor Rogers]

Him and Ronda Gadson.

[Matthew Berry]

Him and Ronda Gadson. I'm good company. We. We had a solid team last year, Syracuse. Yeah, we. We really did. So, yeah, Tucker. Well, Tucker wasn't on the team last year. He was on the team two years ago. But still, I'll tell you this. If we'd given Sean Tucker the ball a few more times in the second half, we'd have beaten Clemson. Don't get me started. All right, A couple. Everyone knows it's true. Everyone that watched that game knows it's true. Jay yeah, I'm sorry.

[Jay Croucher]

If only Dan Wilson had gone to Andres Munoz against George Springer, Game 7 could have gone so much differently for the Mariners. Exactly.

[Connor Rogers]

Good comparison.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, pretty good comparison. So, yes, maybe. Bourbon breath. I think Sean Tucker is a viable flex with some upside for more. I do think he needs to be rostered in more leagues. Jared Hootman asks us to pick two Arling backs at a PPR league. Rashad White. Rashad White. Is this Chase Brown, I assume. Yeah, Chase Brown, Kamani Vidal, Woody Marks, or I assume Aaron Jones. I think it's the first two. I think it's Chase Brown and Rashad White would be my take at all.

[Connor Rogers]

It could be a sneaky big Woody Marks day, but we'll see. I know there's more risk, though, with that one.

[Matthew Berry]

There is. I actually don't like. I like all those options. And I do think Kymani Vidal on the road at Jacksonville. Jay, you've talked about this. There's no run defense worse than the NFL, than the Jaguars.

[Jay Croucher]

I mean, Woody Marks and Nick Chubb did whatever they wanted against that defense. So, yeah, very favorable matchup. I think all those guys are in a similar kind of range. Like Aaron Jones is a very favorable matchup. Two against the Bears. But yeah, I'd agree it's probably the first two guys there.

[Matthew Berry]

Those are the two guys. I feel best about their workload and their matchup here over in Denver.

[Connor Rogers]

Sean Payton said RJ Harvey will have more opportunities when he was talking about the potential absence of J.K. dobbins, also known liar. Another big liar. Jahliel McLaughlin is having 12 touches in this game.

[Matthew Berry]

1,000%. Tyler Beatty starts and plays the entire first half.

[Connor Rogers]

Right. Somehow Taysom Hill ends up in a Broncos uniform and gets direct snaps.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah. Yeah. Audrey Estimate makes his triumphant return.

[Connor Rogers]

Yeah, we brought him back.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, exactly. I just, you know, be careful with this one. Yeah. Mike Anderson. What are you doing here? Alondis? Gary. What the other Bronco running back Grades Classics. Yeah. Terrell Davis.

[Jay Croucher]

I think this is the ultimate. We have to actually see it to believe because of course he's going to have more opportunities with JK Starting running back on the team. Just went down this bit. NJ Harvey plays running back, so there'll be more opportunities. But is it 3 to 5 more touches per game? Is it 10 more touches per game? I don't think so. I think it's going to be divvied up still.

[Matthew Berry]

I completely agree. He has always used multiple running backs and just. I've RJ Harvey at running back. 21. Like again like have. Is that higher than I've ranked him previously this season? Yes. Is that higher than you would think for the lead running back of a good offense? No, because again like really tough matchup against the Chiefs coming off of a buy and also again Sean Payton uses multiple running backs so you know there is more opportunity. To your point, dobbins was averaging 16 touches a game but I think it will be split up among the guys.

[Connor Rogers]

As we hinted at guys. CJ Stroud of course is going to miss this game for Houston against the Titans. Crazy question in two quarterback leagues. Davis Mills is a starter in this matchup, right?

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, yeah. Against Tennessee I guess. Yeah, he was, he was solid last week. He absolutely is.

[Jay Croucher]

Yep, Tennessee's been bad. Texas. The Titans give up a ton of explosive pass plays. You know that Nico Collins can be a weapon deep and I think like Davis, he's been on his team for a long time. Like this isn't a guy coming in from the cold who you don't know what to expect. Like I think we kind of know what to expect out of Davis Mills. It's interesting Australia's outlook going forward. The fact that he's. He missed two games with a concussion his rookie year where I think he got hurt against the jets that game in the rain. So I don't know if it's a bad concussion or whether it's just that the Texans want to give their star quarterback two weeks off when he gets a concussion which is maybe as we talked about what should happen yesterday. So yeah, I think Davis Mills with the favorable matchup is a viable QB2 type.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, I completely agree in two flex leagues especially given the matchup here. But just this is something that has come up all the time. We always talked about this again on my old show. Concussions are non linear injuries. It's not like oh he's been out for two weeks so he's immediately getting better. Sometimes it's like this and you have good days and you have bad days and like everyone recovers from concussions at a different time frame and a different, at a different pace. And so like I mean how long didn't like Cedric Tillman have a concussion last year and was out for like.

[Connor Rogers]

Four or five weeks.

[Jay Croucher]

Trevoris Ward's been able to shut him down with a concussion right pre game warm up. He's going to be out like six weeks and he's had multiple throughout his career which always is a bit scary. The other thing with the Texans though is that they have a Short week coming up here before they played the Bills on Thursday night Football in Houston. And so Stroud's been in the building and so I suspect, I would guess that he's probably going to play that game, but we don't know because the concussions are.

[Connor Rogers]

How about this one from Aloha Bricks, Davis Mills or Brock Purdy this week?

[Matthew Berry]

It's Brock Purdy. Come on. It's Brockvember. Yeah, it's Brockvember.

[Jay Croucher]

He missed Brocktober so obviously now.

[Matthew Berry]

But you know the games in Arizona over under 48 and a half, I think. And, and like everyone's finally healthy. So it's not just Brock Purdy coming out there and hoping, you know, you know, Kendrick Borden, a couple guys they met on the way to the stadium. Like it's. It's the full complement of.

[Jay Croucher]

Outside of Brandon Aiyuk, who we may.

[Connor Rogers]

When he comes back. That's going to be fun.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah.

[Connor Rogers]

Sorting through the back this year or matters.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah. No, but. But my point is, is like they knew coming into the season that Brandon Iuk was going to miss at least half the year, if not more. But like they expected to start the season with Jennings, Kittle McCaffrey, Ricky Pearsall. Yeah.

[Jay Croucher]

That's so many guys when you consider that Christian McCaffrey is like trying to win the receiving title as well.

[Matthew Berry]

And they got great production from Kendrick Bourne, so. But anyway, that's why I sort of want. On the question about Pearsall before that's. I want to see it with Piersol. I do feel good about Jennings though, who seems to be fully healthy now.

[Jay Croucher]

And he has connection with Brock Purdy. Correct. That's the. That's the guy that he is connected with more than Mac Jones. And also we're going to see there's a lot of Mac Jones boosting him up, booing him. As a quarterback in the NFL. I say boy owed you. He said Boyd. Yeah. Which is not a word. As we discussed yesterday. We did a whole thing yesterday. Noah Webster, the creator of the Webster dictionary, he drank free yesterday.

[Matthew Berry]

I'm going to make boy OD a.

[Connor Rogers]

Thing that's up there on the drink free candidates.

[Jay Croucher]

I don't know why I descended into the American pronunciation there in Australia we say Boyd. Okay. Which I will continue with. But as solid as Mac Jones was, Brock Purdy's a different tier quarterback. Yeah. To Mac Jones and this offense, I think this offense could really explode the second half because they have a really easy schedule, they're healthy and Purdy, if he could Stay healthy with the toe. Purdy's a. He's an elite quarterback.

[Matthew Berry]

Teams have been able to throw against the Rams recently. You know, I mean, like, huh.

[Connor Rogers]

And the Cardinals.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, and the Cardinals.

[Jay Croucher]

Don't think they're playing the Rams. Playing Seals. And also teams have not been able to throw against the Rams. Really. They're really good defense.

[Connor Rogers]

The good news is you've been really excited for the next portion of the segment. The waiver wires are.

[Matthew Berry]

Yes, I forgot. You tried to get us there 20 minutes ago. They're playing. It's fine.

[Connor Rogers]

We finally made it.

[Matthew Berry]

Yes, they're playing the Cardinals. I'm just saying that over the last four weeks, the Rams are 26 against the pass now. Some of it's junk time, but, you know, they're giving up a lot of passing games. I'm just saying at some point.

[Connor Rogers]

Here's Mariota against the Dolphins. QB 11, Jacoby Brissette, Amari Dmercado, QB 13 and RB 27. We talked about Sean Tucker. Maybe this is the week. Tajie Spears, who's a staple on our waiver wire show every single week. Trey Tucker, because of the matchup. Maybe he can get a touchdown against Dallas. He comes into the the top 35 wide receivers. Parker Washington, of course, Michael Wilson, 25%.

[Matthew Berry]

Target share over the last three games for Parker Washington. Michael Wilson, 83% route participation this year. Marvin Harrison is out. Jacoby Brissette's been a top 12 quarterback in all four weeks that he has been a starter. We talked about Dalton Schultz as well. Said 13 fantasy points or more than three of the last four. And how about Harold Fannin Jr. Who over his last four games has a north of 20% target share for noodle armed. Dylan Gabriel.

[Connor Rogers]

Dylan Gabriel Jr. Dylan Gabriel Jr.

[Matthew Berry]

Browns Jr. Yeah.

[Connor Rogers]

Anyways, let's bring in Denny.

[Matthew Berry]

Yes. Time for Denny or Denny time.

[Jay Croucher]

Denny, I want to talk to you about men who get naked. I speak, of course, of the 1997 British comedy film the Full Monty, which, according to Google, AI is about a group of unemployed steel workers in Sheffield who decide to form a male striptease act to earn money. Led by Gaz, played by Robert Carlisle. Will you be going Full Monty, Denny, with David Montgomery in your flex this week?

[Denny Carter]

That's a great question. And I will. Okay. And I will. I'm not gonna have any shame about it. This is the one thing that I want to get across in this segment every single week. That we can have no shame. We should have no shame.

[Connor Rogers]

We welcome on the Doctor of the Show. Denny Carter Junior. Denny, how are you?

[Denny Carter]

Denny Carter IV as they know me in the chat on NBC. NBC. On NFL and NBC YouTube channel. You can find me on after. After the show. But, yeah, good to be back. I went full monty. I got 10 points out of it, so, you know, it worked okay.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah. Well done.

[Jay Croucher]

Doctor, I want to talk to you about balls that go deep. Every night, Matthew's head hits the pillow, dreaming of deep balls. I speak, of course, of Rashid Shahid.

[Matthew Berry]

Yes.

[Jay Croucher]

Who does a lot of work down the field. He has a difficult matchup against the Rams, but we know the talents. We know how much Sam Donald likes to throw those deep balls. Can we start Rasheed Shahid in the flex?

[Denny Carter]

There will be balls that go deep in this game, I think, on. On both sides of the ball. Sam Darnold throwing at one of the highest rates downfield this year. Rashid Shahid last week only ran 10 routes, as you. As you may know. But the. The Seahawks only dropped back 13 times. So that's actually pretty good usage for Shahid. In his first game with the Seahawks. This will be, of course, his second game. No quarterback has averaged more yards per attempt on balls that go deep than Sam Darnold. So I think Shahid fits that very well. Fits what Darnold wants to do against a Rams team that I think can be burned deep if you look at the metrics.

[Matthew Berry]

I like that, Dr. Carter. All right. Sam Darnold goes balls deep with Rashid Shahid. Got that? Understood. Appreciate that as well. So I got a letter in from my buddy Pete. Pete writes in and he says, dear Matthew, help me out and please pass this on to Dr. Carter. Pete says, listen, I was out at the bar the other night, and I've been having trouble scoring. Still having trouble scoring. Pete is. And Pete says, I've been having trouble scoring. So I was asking my buddy, what should I do? What am I doing wrong? And my buddy says, he goes, well, the problem is that you keep looking young. You shouldn't look young. You should look old. It's easier to score with old. So much easier to score with old. So my question, Dr. Carter, is should I try to score with an old person? Tyler Lockett.

[Denny Carter]

Tyler Lockett looks distinguished, not old. Okay, let's. Let's make this very clear here, okay? Like I said on the last week's show, this segment includes no shame. And we are not shaming Tyler Lockett for being the oldest NFL receiver of all time, but he seems to be the Raiders wide receiver one right now. Plays Dallas this Week, a horrible defense, especially the secondary, giving up the second most fantasy production. Two opposing receivers last week, guys. Tyler Lockett ran 65% of the routes for the Raiders. He saw 32% of the air yards, 22% of the targets. No Raiders wide receiver had a higher rate of per route targets. All the nerdy stuff says Tyler Lockett is a thing. And yeah, you can get old. Get weird with old people this week.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, they're more desperate old people.

[Connor Rogers]

Somebody in the chat reminded us that Matthew tried to retire Tyler Lockett. Tom Garrett goes, didn't Barry involuntarily retire Tyler Lockett a year ago? I think he's right.

[Jay Croucher]

I can see Matthew Stafford. He's trying to make this like a Final Destination movie.

[Connor Rogers]

Yeah, sure enough.

[Matthew Berry]

Anyway, yeah, I'm just. I might have. Not wrong, just early.

[Connor Rogers]

Yes, a little early.

[Jay Croucher]

It's unbelievable. He's a wide receiver. One for an NFL 10. It's unbelievable.

[Matthew Berry]

I was right, by the way. He should have retired.

[Jay Croucher]

Wow.

[Connor Rogers]

Paycheck's a paycheck. Denny, there's a lot of disrespect for shorter people on this show. I've noticed over the years. And for the 5 foot 7, Greg Dorch, he might be the guy for the Cardinals this week. Does size really matter here for Greg Dorch?

[Matthew Berry]

It's a good question about size. Does it matter, Dr. Carter?

[Denny Carter]

It doesn't matter. It matters how you use, you know, what you got. And you know Connor Rogers, our short king. Many are calling him. When I go to the studio, all I hear is, short king, Connor. So Greg Dorch is our short king for the Cardinals. Look, he's going to play a lot this week. There's no way around it. No Marvin Harrison Jr. Okay, he had surgery on Monday. Apparently no. Zay Jones ruptured his Achilles, so it'll be Dortch, Michael Wilson and Trey McBride catching passes from Jacoby Brissette. And Deutsch will play the slot primarily. At least that's. That's what we. That's what we believe. And we have reason to believe that. And the 49ers are allowing the third most yards to opposing slot receivers. Only the Colts and Matthew Berry's commander give up more yardage to opposing slot receivers. So it's Dorch season is what I'm saying.

[Matthew Berry]

I love it.

[Connor Rogers]

The human Dorch, back and better than ever.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah.

[Connor Rogers]

And it's Denny season. For all those that have more questions for Denny, you can catch his live Q and A promo right after our show. Denny, thank you, as always. So Great having you join us every Friday.

[Denny Carter]

Thanks guys. No shame.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah. Thanks for dropping knowledge. Thank you, Dr.

[Connor Rogers]

Coffee Shop. Man, this show is habitual. Line steppers. Yeah. Welcome to the party. Yeah, it's amazing. You're four. Can you believe it? Yeah, some didn't give the over. Under was three and a half months.

[Matthew Berry]

I gotta be honest with you. Listen, we're on Peacock, okay? Watch an episode of Love Island. What we do is tame. All right.

[Connor Rogers]

Sunday night the Lions come roaring into Philly for a primetime showdown as Jared Goff leads Detroit against Jalen Hurts and The Eagles. Sunday 7 Eastern on NBC. And Peacock. And don't miss the guys live from Philadelphia this Sunday for Fantasy Football pregame, 11am Eastern on Peacock and the NFL on NBC. YouTube channel. We're taking our first break. When we're back, we're answering some of your best questions. What's on tap is next.

[Matthew Berry]

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[Denny Carter]

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[Matthew Berry]

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[Denny Carter]

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[Matthew Berry]

Award winning private island. Perfect day at Coco Cay. This is the undisputed champion of vacations.

[Denny Carter]

Book [e-mail] Big time, best time all the time. Come seek the Royal Caribbean.

[Matthew Berry]

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[Connor Rogers]

This is the longest username by far we've ever seen on the show.

[Jay Croucher]

Oh, this is because there was a bit that Matthew did at one point. Regular Josh, AKA casual Josh. Until MB approves. He did like that stupid thing.

[Matthew Berry]

Well, I just thought because he's calling himself Regular Josh, but he hasn't really shown up all that much.

[Connor Rogers]

Well, here he is putting more effort in.

[Matthew Berry]

That's right. I wish I appreciate your motivation. You're still Casual Josh, but you're heading in the right direction.

[Connor Rogers]

The Week 11 Fantasy Football Happy hour power rankings. Aloha bricks.

[Matthew Berry]

Welcome to number one, a new king, the flying Hawaiian Clark Brady. Down to three. Well, we haven't seen him. He got his fill for the year in one day.

[Connor Rogers]

He watched his marathon and we never heard from him ever again.

[Matthew Berry]

What does Jonathan Medici got to do to get up this list?

[Jay Croucher]

I mean I oppose. I raise log opposition to that.

[Matthew Berry]

Raise the flags has been solid. He's number. He's up one spot to number two. Valiant Vincent gets to fifth. He's up one spot. Ved also up a lot of risers. Heavy meat sauce. Down a spot to number seven. Mr. T also also down one to number eight, Johnny Dangerly and then Tej at 10 back on the list. Regular Casual Josh is an others receiving votes. I feel like more people should make others receiving votes. Or is it. Is he the only one that also received a vote? Like only 11 people got a vote.

[Connor Rogers]

When they hold the vote. Yeah, he's the only one that didn't break it.

[Matthew Berry]

I just, I question the committee. To be honest, I don't know that the committee much like the college football playoff committee. Does the committee here really watch every comment from all the regulars?

[Connor Rogers]

I would give Cobra Kiger an honorable vote.

[Matthew Berry]

Personally.

[Connor Rogers]

I would give Stuntman Chuck.

[Jay Croucher]

Not on there.

[Connor Rogers]

I would give Stuntman Chuck.

[Matthew Berry]

K. Gemma.

[Connor Rogers]

K. Gemma. Very loyal watcher of NBC content.

[Jay Croucher]

Yeah, yeah. Cobra Kiger. He's a Cinderella story. The right. He's the Vanderbilt.

[Matthew Berry]

I'll sneak in next week, baby.

[Connor Rogers]

What's on tap is brought to you by Bud Light, the official beer sponsor of the NFL. Sundays are easy to enjoy when they are full of football and the fridge is filled with beer. We're going to make it even easier for you by taking some of your best questions. This one from regular ed. Hey, Matthew Berry. I am starting a chan, but need two other running backs out of Uncle Rico, Jalen Warren and Javante Williams. I think Warren and Williams have the higher floor, but Uncle Rico has an astronomical ceiling. Your thoughts and advice would be greatly appreciated.

[Matthew Berry]

That's about as polite a question as I get.

[Connor Rogers]

Your mentions don't look like that too often.

[Matthew Berry]

No, no, sir, they do not. I don't think you can screw this up a regular ad because I like all three guys. I have all three guys inside my top 12. But by my rankings, I have Dowdle at 6 and Warren at 10. So those are my answers. Now again, I have. I have Javante Williams at 11. But. But Dowdle and Warren to me. First off, Dowdle, of course, just the workload here. In his four starts, he's averaging 27 touches a game. They do not want Bryce Young throwing the ball. Right. And since Week 5, Falcons allowed the most fantasy points to opposing running backs. They're giving up almost 150 rushing yards a game. And then Jalen Warren, who's been so involved in this offense. I mean, first, like, you saw that Jaylen Ward made the love list this week at Cincinnati. They've given at least, at least 16.9 fantasy points to a running back in every single game this year. Literally every single game this year, including to Jalen Warren himself when they played earlier in the season. You know, so I think that's the answer is Dowdle and Warren. I like Javante Williams as well, but just a little bit narrow. Las Vegas kind of played plucky defense last week. And so anyway, you got to nitpick here, but all three should have big games.

[Jay Croucher]

Yeah. And the Raiders rush defense with Max Crosby still, there is not a turnstile. The Raiders are able to limit Jonathan Taylor. It's one of his most inefficient days on the season. Now, he scored three touchdowns against them, but he wasn't efficient in terms of yards per carry. So I agree. I think it's Dowdle and Warren.

[Connor Rogers]

Our next question comes from Prince Sarcedo. 8392.

[Matthew Berry]

Do you think he's a real prince?

[Connor Rogers]

Absolutely.

[Matthew Berry]

Okay.

[Connor Rogers]

DK Metcalf or Wandell Robinson. Can you believe if someone showed you this question in August?

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, I mean, it just. It just goes to show you how nutty fantasy football is and specifically this season, that this is a real question and more importantly, that this is the real answer. Wandell Robinson, like, right. I mean, I have Wandell Robinson at 20. I have Metcalf at 29 through the past four games, Wanda Robinson's had at least 11 targets since Week 6. He's averaging almost 14 fantasy points per game. You know, Jameis is going to sling it and you're sort of looking around, who's he throwing it to? Wando Robinson has become the leading wide receiver the Giants. Metcalf has been fine, but it's weird. Like they, they, they target they and I get them. I get the matchup. But what's weird is, is that Cincinnati, for all the flaws of the Bengals defense, D.J. turner's actually had a nice year. They actually have done a good job against number one wide receivers so far this season. And so Metcalf didn't have a monster game against them the first time they played. He's not a huge target earner. Like you're basically hoping that, that Metcalf makes his fantasy bones, as it were, on three to four targets. Like he doesn't. He's not a guy that's going to get eight or nine targets in a game. They're going to be able to run it well. They like the tight ends.

[Connor Rogers]

I don't Rogers and the Rodgers offense is just a tough watch for wide receivers.

[Jay Croucher]

Yeah, every tight end on the 53 scored a touchdown against the Penguins.

[Connor Rogers]

Darnell Washington is an offensive tackle playing tight end.

[Matthew Berry]

That's right.

[Denny Carter]

So.

[Connor Rogers]

And Rogers still kind of prefers him. Our last question comes from the real commish Lawrence and Matthew. This is for you guys. I'll go read this from far away. Pick two flexes, ppr, Swift, Woody and etn. Hashtag snappinnecks. Showing angst.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, I like it. Okay, fair enough. Obviously.

[Connor Rogers]

What do you think?

[Matthew Berry]

Well, I am showing my angst and I'm sure Lawrence, wherever he is, is snapping his neck, but I think It's Swift and ETN for me. I have Woody Marks at running back 20. So again, you see it there on your screen. I like all three guys. I'm all as RB2s this week. But even though we liked what we saw out of Marks in terms of the usage and the production, Nick Chubb is still hanging around games on the road to Tennessee. They're off of a buy, so maybe they prepared a little bit. There's always a chance that Chubb vultures a touchdown. But Swift has had six. Five straight games. I should say five straight games with at least 14 or more fantasy points. He's been a top six running back on A points per game basis since week five. And then Travis Etienne just quietly has a massive workload, 45 touches over just the last two weeks. He's got one game, only one game this year. He's had less than 15 touches. So you're sort of guaranteed a floor there with etn.

[Connor Rogers]

What do you think, Jay?

[Jay Croucher]

Yeah, I think that's reasonable. I think that etn, I mean it was such a difficult matchup against Houston last week. The Chargers are not an easy matchup either. But it is a little bit less imposing of Davis. Woody Marks is really interesting to me though because he looked. That's the best that he has looked. And I think a lot of that is about the Jags defense, but they're playing the Titans defense. Like, what do you think the ceiling is for Mark?

[Connor Rogers]

I have some big thoughts on him for pickup lines and yeah, I think he's somebody that it's nice to see him turning into a natural running back, not just a third down pass catcher. So I think the ceiling is growing for him. And we'll have more of that in our last segment.

[Matthew Berry]

But again, I mean, you saw it like I had those three running backs within five spots of each other. Like, I mean they're all tight, they're all right there. They're all top 20 running backs.

[Jay Croucher]

For me this week, I thought it was instructive with Marks that Nick Chubb, every single one of his runs was a successful run against the Jags and they still went to Woody Marks over and over again. So they believe in him to the eye test.

[Matthew Berry]

He just brings an explosiveness that they don't have with Chubb at the moment.

[Connor Rogers]

That'll do it for what's on tap. Presented by Bud Light. Easy to drink, easy to enjoy. Old Chuck this regular ranking is more rigged than the voting for judge's mvp.

[Jay Croucher]

Yeah, it is written in ink for all of eternity. There is nothing to be done now. Old Chuck brackets my cock.

[Matthew Berry]

Sour.

[Connor Rogers]

Little sour grapes in that one.

[Matthew Berry]

You know what? I don't hate it though, Chuck. Yeah, you advocate for yourself. That's all you can do.

[Connor Rogers]

That's all you can do. Pick up lines.

[Matthew Berry]

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[Connor Rogers]

Giraffe King Sportsbook is an official sports betting partner of the NFL. New customers could bet $5 and get $300 in bonus bets if your bet wins, down the app and use promo code FFHH when you sign up Drafting Sportsbook.

[Matthew Berry]

Oh, the crowd is yours, yours crowd is yours.

[Connor Rogers]

Time for last call. Quick news nuggets here, guys. Dalton Kincaid has been ruled out. Sam laporte will not practice Today, pickup lines effectiveness, not our best year for pickup lines, which is usually our monster segment. So hopefully we can turn around the.

[Matthew Berry]

Second half of the season. I've gone home with you guys a lot only to be disappointed once I got there.

[Connor Rogers]

That's more results.

[Jay Croucher]

Yeah.

[Matthew Berry]

I may need to talk to Dr. Denny Carter about my flexual frustration with the two of you.

[Jay Croucher]

Let's see.

[Connor Rogers]

Yeah, he might have to bring them in.

[Jay Croucher]

All right, well, we can chalk up an easy W here, Matthew. I thought this line was a typo.

[Matthew Berry]

No kidding.

[Jay Croucher]

I thought it was. Right. Devonta Smith, his receiving prop set at 55 and a half yards. Again, 55 and a half. So the past month there are three receivers in the NFL with a target share of over 34% and these three guys, they're all 42% and above. So it's just these three guys and everyone else. Jackson Smith in Jigba.

[Matthew Berry]

Right.

[Jay Croucher]

Jamar Chase.

[Matthew Berry]

Yep.

[Jay Croucher]

And Devontae Smith.

[Matthew Berry]

That's correct.

[Jay Croucher]

Devontae smith is at 69, 84 and 183 receiving yards. The past three games he's had seven, nine and 11 targets. He set six yards lower than A.J. brown. Devontae Smith is the number one receiver offense for now. The total's 46 and a half. The Lions are a pass funnel defense. 55 and a half receiving yards. I don't get it.

[Matthew Berry]

I don't. I don't either actually. I mean my 10 facts, my 10 facts you need to know before week 11 literally has that fact about Devontae Smith that he's had a 41% target share. Like only Jackson Smith and Jigba is actually higher than him. Like I'm with you that this is going to be tough to beat. It's going to be tough to beat. I'm just letting you know it's going.

[Connor Rogers]

To be real tough to beat. But we'll give it our best.

[Matthew Berry]

That's a ridiculous line.

[Connor Rogers]

Medium show and I got in the kitchen to cook up this one and I feel good about it. I'm very impressed with that one. I'm going woody marks over 59 and a half rushing yards and here's why. Tennessee's run defense, 29th in the league. Tennessee has allowed a 60 plus rusher in eight of their nine games this season. Almost every single game they allow rusher. He's the lead back in the offense. In each of the last four games he's gotten 10 plus carries. Also with Davis Mills, they had a 64% run rate last week and they're playing a bad team where they should be winning, where they're favored. So I think Woody Marks clears this number and I've been really impressed with the player he's developed into this year.

[Matthew Berry]

I like both of these, but I mean. Sorry. I get it.

[Jay Croucher]

Come on.

[Matthew Berry]

I'm going home with Jay. We will be in Philadelphia this week. We get to watch this bet cash together. You and I canoodling and our exotic Philadelphia hotel Fantasy Football pregame, 11am Eastern on Sunday. Me, Jay and Lawrence Jackson live from the link. We get to do it from the link this weekend. So I'm excited about that. George Taborrigis, of course, once again, not allowed in the state of Pennsylvania. I gotta get a lawyer. I gotta get George. Figure this out here something that's not good.

[Jay Croucher]

Yeah, we're doing a show in a month from Harrisburg. So if he can't make that one, then there is really something wrong with his ability to visit Pennsylvania.

[Matthew Berry]

There is. And Conor Rogers finally gets a Sunday off after doing double duty yesterday.

[Connor Rogers]

It's going to be amazing.

[Matthew Berry]

It is. That music means you don't have to go home, but you can't stay here. Cuz it's closing time for Jay Croucher, Denny Carter and Connor Rogers. I'm Matthew Berry. We'll see you Sunday morning. Good luck and peace out. Everybody knows Shaq, but off camera, he's just a regular guy. People never believe me when I say I'm just like them. I take out the trash, do dishes, and I struggle with moderate obstructive sleep apnea, or osa. And a lot of adults with obesity also struggle with moderate to severe osa. You know, those scary breathing, interruptions during sleep, the loud snoring, choking and daytime fatigue. I knew I had to talk to my doctor. Don't sleep on the symptoms. Learn more@don'tsleeponosa.com this information is provided by Lilly, a medicine company. Here we have the limu emu in.

[Jay Croucher]

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[Matthew Berry]

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[Jay Croucher]

They see us.

[Matthew Berry]

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[Jay Croucher]

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[Matthew Berry]

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[Connor Rogers]

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[Matthew Berry]

Excludes Massachusetts.