December 19: Matthew (@MatthewBerryTMR), Jay (@croucherJD), and Connor (@ConnorJRogers) look back on the showings of Puka Nacua, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Matthew Stafford, and Kenneth Walker III on Thursday night. They also analyze the latest injury news surrounding Rashee Rice, Drake London, and Marvin Harrison Jr. before welcoming Denny Carter, who highlights Xavier Worthy and Darius Slayton in “Flexual Frustrations”. Matthew, Jay, and Connor also answer start/sit questions from the Regulars before Jay and Connor pitch Matthew on a Philip Rivers and Omarion Hampton prop bet on Sunday.
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Russell Wilson
What a group, man. What a freaking football team you guys are. What a football team, man, we're the freaking Seahawks. Let's go. That's what we do, man. One play at a time. Look, every phase picks each other up all the things. Okay? Defensively, look, you guys did a hell of a job adjusting in the second half and offense picking us up when we needed it.
Matthew Barry
Man.
Russell Wilson
That's a freaking great job. Special teams with a freaking punters, let's go see it. We are in the playoffs. We are in the proud of you guys. Let's go celebrate this thing. Leo, get us a break. Hey, here we go, fellas. Love y'.
Connor Rogers
All.
Russell Wilson
Boys, lights on three. One, two, three.
Connor Rogers
Fantasy Football Happy hour with Matthew Barry.
Jay Morrison
Happy Friday. Welcome to the Fantasy football happy hour. That was a fired up for all the right reasons. Seahawks locker room don't worry, we're gonna break all Excellent, amazing Thursday night football game. Jay, maybe the some people are saying best game of the year. I think so.
Matthew Barry
I think the game of the season.
Jay Morrison
Bill's Ravens to kick things off, was still pretty close.
Matthew Barry
Yeah. It's week one though, right?
Jay Morrison
The stakes of the game.
Matthew Barry
I didn't know what those teams were. Just. Yeah. With the stakes being so clearly defined and just the absurdity of how it played out to go from 34 games done, like games completely done at 30 to 14. And then the Rashid Shahid punt return touchdown. That's the thing. It's like a lot of these games that turn out of nowhere. It is like something random, like special teams or some random bizarreness.
Jay Morrison
A quick score. Yeah.
Matthew Barry
So it was. But it was pretty special.
Jay Morrison
Yeah, it was. And despite all of that, who's wandering on in?
Connor Rogers
You guys doing the show?
Matthew Barry
Yeah, let's do the show.
Connor Rogers
All right. Should I get on the air?
Matthew Barry
Yeah, let's go.
Connor Rogers
Is this a good angle? This is my first time on tv. My first time on tv.
Matthew Barry
Yeah. Well, it was a late night for all of us watching.
Connor Rogers
Oh, east coast dad. Shout out to my friend J.J. zacharison. Yeah, it was beautiful. Yeah. You know what, Vlad? I'm gonna teach Colby how to catch the ball. No, they wouldn't let me. It's a long story. They wouldn't let me get miked up on air. I wanted to give Kenny some screen time, but they wouldn't let me do it.
Jay Morrison
Kenny would be great on air. He's entertaining.
Connor Rogers
We love Kenny. One of our stage managers here, die hard Lions fan as well. What were you guys talking about?
Jay Morrison
Just the big game.
Connor Rogers
Oh, yeah.
Matthew Barry
Blazers Kings. Blazers Lou a 17 point lead with three games to go. Yeah as I was saying on the the pre call for our show really Rams Seahawks just the matinee for for Blazers Kings which kicked on well into the night past 1am but yeah, ridiculous game I think. I mean there's so much we can get into here Connor. But I think the, the story of the game is the wide receiver superstar performances and Puka Nuku are going absolutely berserk. JSN matching him in the second half. They're, they trade game winning touchdowns now fancy wise not much to take away from that but I just think marveling at the level of play that those two got to is the story.
Connor Rogers
Congratulations to Puka Nakua for no racist touchdown celebrations either by the way.
Matthew Barry
Okay, hold its breath. Yeah he got tackled inside the five twice but yeah the crazy thing about Puka is that he scores 46 and a half points. He got tackled inside the five twice and Stafford missed him wide open for a 40 yard touchdown.
Jay Morrison
Could have somehow been so much bigger.
Matthew Barry
I feel like he underperformed. I wanted more for Puka.
Connor Rogers
It's unbelievable. Yeah, I'm in a guillotine league where I have both Puka and jsn. You know we're down to final two. I mean everyone's got a team right. You know so I'm feeling pretty good in that league. Of course in the other league I'm playing against a guy that has both.
Jay Morrison
That's how it goes.
Connor Rogers
Just how it goes. But I mean it just, it just goes to show I mean like we sort of talked about this yesterday in the show about you know these guys were probably the two fantasy MVPs this year. I argued for JSN over Puka based on you know third round ADP versus late first round for Puka but still you know when it mattered most they absolutely crushed. It was looking dicey there for JSN for a little bit. Your best bet yesterday. Yeah six and a half over six and a half but absolutely zeroed half.
Matthew Barry
Needed overtime to get there. It's pretty wild though that Jackson Smith and Jigba goes. Where'd he go like 8 for 96 on the game winning touchdown in the end and was doubled in points by his, his rival, his contemporary and Puka Nukua those two going to buy off. That's basically a head to head now for offensive player of the year. I think that'll come down to the wire with the Colts struggling and why.
Connor Rogers
Why I mean is McVay just that good of a coach? Where, where Just like, like again, I think most people are suddenly like, you know, he's the only guy. Why are you bracketing him? Triple teaming.
Matthew Barry
They did.
Jay Morrison
I mean, crazy.
Connor Rogers
That's not all the time.
Jay Morrison
And it felt like maybe they should have all the time. McVay is a mastermind. I know it's weird to say that on a day we're breaking down. The Seahawks have an amazing win, but I mean, this is the second week in a row where they've had three tight ends on the field for over 61% of the time. Nobody in football does that. But what it does is it allows them to balance the run in the pass with an elite wide receiver In Puka, obviously. No Devonta Adams. And they use all these tight ends, much to our chagrin because it's a little frustrating in fantasy, but the balance in their offense and then to be able to feed their number one wide receiver. The Seahawks tried to. They had a safety over the. They were. They were playing different leverages. It just didn't matter. He's that good.
Matthew Barry
Yeah. Also Kanata Mumfield, he's a real person. He is actually. He is a real person. Don't get confused with that.
Jay Morrison
Eight targets fucking out of Mumfield. That's a respect of his name he.
Connor Rogers
Picked up in my dynasty league last week.
Matthew Barry
Yeah, exactly. I thought tactically, Connor, it was fascinating because I really felt like the Rams are the better team last night and I felt that the Seahawks were the better team in the first matchup and they traded outcomes with them. The beauty of the Seahawks defense, which was made to look not great last night, the beauty of that defense is that they can stay in light of personnel and still destroy the run game. And so Sean McVay was just like, all right, well, you guys can say you like personnel. You guys can stay a nickel. Yeah, we're just going to put our tight ends out there. We're just going to mole you. And until the end, where Stafford started getting hit a bit, Ram's O line was magnificent, keeping Stafford upright. But ultimately Nakuur and his gravity was really what created everything.
Jay Morrison
I mean, he didn't. The one first down, he caught through the defender. There's nothing you could do there.
Matthew Barry
Yeah, I think Jackson, Smith and Jika ultimately will win offensive player of the year because the stats are going to be similar. JSN has Sam Donald as his quarterback. Puknakua has the MVP Likely as his quarterback. And Devonte, that didn't move right.
Jay Morrison
I don't want to skip over that. Yeah, Stafford, it's not like you look at that game and go, well, Stafford can't be the MVP anymore.
Matthew Barry
Funny, his price is basically identical. I actually think he's more likely to win MVP now than he was before the game because, I mean, a Guy Just went three touchdowns, no picks for 57 yards against the Seahawks defense.
Connor Rogers
But ultimately that's the thing that's most amazing. Like, I benched Stafford in a couple of leagues thinking, well, short week, no Devonte Adams against Seattle. Like his third worst game of the season was against Seattle earlier in the year. And so it just sort of like, I mean, Stafford was brilliant. He was brilliant last night. And so, yeah, go ahead.
Matthew Barry
I think it's going to like. I thought Stafford was very good. He's very good. 457 and three touchdowns against the Seahawks. They did go five straight drives in the second half without scoring any points. It wasn't, it's been described as like Josh Allen against the Rams last year. I think it's quite that level. He was very good at an 80 PFF grade last night. That's what I thought it was. It was like an 80th percentile type of game. Puka did a lot of work after the cash. Now, Stafford was great in his ability to succeed in that way without Devonte.
Connor Rogers
Adams, but they weren't getting anything really going on the run game. Like, you know, I mean, like they.
Jay Morrison
They dropped some that they should have had to.
Matthew Barry
Yeah.
Jay Morrison
Stafford speaking. Drinks for free, so.
Connor Rogers
Exactly. I mean, in a game in. Almost 80 points were scored. Colby Parkinson, who, listen, he was on my love list Item, his top 10 play. A lot of people across the industry, I saw many angry Reddit threads about Colby Parkinson and all of us drink for free. The play was right. 73% route participation for Colby Parkinson against a team that going into this game had given up the second most receiving yards, second most receptions to opposing tight ends. The problem is, is that tight ends did do well against them. It just wasn't Colby Parkinson.
Jay Morrison
They played three of them on the field at a time, all times.
Connor Rogers
That was it. And it felt like they used Colby Parkinson more for blocking, which was weird. Like with Devontae Adams out, they went with three tight ends quite a bit. And they, they used Parkinson more for blocking, which would surprise me. I didn't think he was that good a blocker. I didn't think it was that much.
Jay Morrison
Threat on the line of scrimmage for them while the other guys get to play big slot a lot.
Connor Rogers
And so he led the tight ends in route participation. But obviously he had two big drops, obviously. And they didn't, you know, when they. He wasn't the tight end that scored the touchdown, which is very upsetting. So incredibly annoying. Colby Parkinson then in a game in which Matthew Stafford was brilliant, in a game in which Matthew Stafford threw 49 times, Colby Parkinson somehow a week after he gets 75 yards, a week after his route participation has increased again, 73% route participation. He was out there like he just. They couldn't get him the ball. It's unbelievable.
Matthew Barry
Yeah. Do you think the Seahawks like Seahawks defense statistically? Really. Only the Texans have been better than them this year. But do you think they can be got a little bit where the Rams are relentlessly targeting job corner. Last night Baker Mayfield put up 38 points against this team. Stafford just put up 37, admittedly in overtime with effectively a defensive score. They got down to. To the one off the Donald pick. But do you think that like next week not so much against the Panthers, but in Week 18? The Niners are not as scared of the Niners now.
Jay Morrison
It's not a perfect defense. Right. It's definitely has a lot of young talent. Nicki, man, War, he got banged up last night. You could see the town with him on the back end. Witherspoon's a great player. Witherspoon was step for step with Nakuan plays that Naku would just make a miraculous catch. So. Yeah. And then they come in waves with their pass rushers. I don't think you look at their defense and go, oh, they have a Micah Parsons or a Max Crosby or a TJ Watt. They just more come in waves. So.
Matthew Barry
And a lot of this game, I.
Jay Morrison
Think that's really fair. And Mike McDonald's a mastermind, but you know, who knows how to attack masterminds. Sean McVay.
Matthew Barry
Yeah, absolutely. To tie off the previous thought as well, I think JSN likely wins offensive player of the year because the stats will be close and he's got the weaker quarterback and no Devonte Adams taking pressure off. I think Pukka Naku is the best receiver in football. What he can do contested catch wise. I think from Jason as well. Yeah, yeah.
Jay Morrison
A monster.
Connor Rogers
He's just. He's unbelievable. Insane to think he was a 5th round pick.
Jay Morrison
Insane even they passed on him a couple times.
Connor Rogers
That's right. I mean credit to Les sneed and Sean McVay and you've seen the clip is, you know, like about, hey, I think this guy could be something.
Jay Morrison
He really did like him.
Connor Rogers
But no one I Don't think anyone thought that coming out of college he would be the best wide receiver in the NFL, let alone fantasy football. The last two things I'll say about this game here is that you need to take this game and this is a good question from Aloha Bricks. I think PUK is the number one wide receiver.
Matthew Barry
I think he's the only thing is the injury stuff. He's more of an injury risk than jsn.
Connor Rogers
That's right. He's a first rounder. I think he's probably a top five guy overall. Yeah.
Jay Morrison
I think he'll be the second or third player taking him most.
Connor Rogers
He's probably right. You're take. I mean you think about this year you could make an argument again assuming health that could you take Jamar Chase over him?
Jay Morrison
Sure.
Connor Rogers
Could you take JSN over him? Sure. You're not taking CD Lamb over him. You're not taking Jefferson. Jefferson over him.
Matthew Barry
No, I think it's. It's JSN Chase and Puka.
Jay Morrison
Is there a running back you would take over him?
Matthew Barry
Bijan.
Jay Morrison
Bijan.
Matthew Barry
I think Bajan should be the number one pick probably because of the, the workload, the receiving work and the fact that he's just doesn't. He doesn't get hurt which I know everyone's no one's injury prone until they are.
Connor Rogers
That's by the way. That's the. In some order it's. It's those three wide receivers. It's Bijan. I think it's probably Devon, Achan and Gibbs. You know with maybe Jonathan Taylor again depending on what they all. But that's probably your top eight next year. Would be my. Would be my assumption. Yeah.
Matthew Barry
Yeah. Say who the Colts quarterback.
Connor Rogers
Yeah. Again there's a lot of. Yeah. What happens?
Jay Morrison
Kyle Murray, Joe Burrows, weird quotes every. I know it seems like a long shot but I'm just saying a lot can change from now when we're sitting here in August actually predict Joe Barra.
Matthew Barry
Is talking and so he just came out of a viewing of Waiting for Godot with me last Saturday. I wonder if that's.
Connor Rogers
Now we're getting into NFL talk and we have a lot to get to. The only thing I would say about Joe Burrow is I wonder if. Yeah, I suppose I wonder if. I have no inside knowledge. I have absolutely zero inside knowledge.
Matthew Barry
Is he going to retire?
Connor Rogers
No, no, no, no. Just. But like because I am in business with him like again. And like I mean so I just. But I. So I don't want to be very clear about you know, I have no inside knowledge at all. I don't talk to Joe.
Jay Morrison
We don't know if he knows he's an investor.
Connor Rogers
He does. He does. No, he does know he's an investor. He does know he's an investor. I have a picture like I took with him where he was holding the fantasy Life magazine. So I know he knows. He knows. He does know. But, like, I deal with his business guy. You know what I mean? I don't even deal with his business guy all that much. Yes, exactly.
Matthew Barry
Right.
Connor Rogers
It's. Yes, it's Andre Yosemite. But I wonder if. I wonder if he is trying to. I wonder if he is trying to, in a. In a roundabout way, get out of Cincinnati, because that is. That is. He is the cheapest owner in the NFL, Will not invest in the defense.
Matthew Barry
Won't.
Connor Rogers
Whether Zach Taylor is the problem or not. I mean, we can. We can debate that. That's a different. That's an NFL discussion. But, like, there's no chance Zach Taylor gets fired because the owner is too cheap to buy out a contract. He just never has. Right. He just. He's let Marvin Lewis, you know, all these. And so it's just like, this is why I always say Bengals fans. I always feel so brutal for Bengals fans. It's so tough. But he is the cheapest owner in the NFL. And so if Joe Burrow sitting there going like, I've got my prime, and I just. Maybe he can force his way out or make it to an extent. Like he's thinking about retiring. And the only way he'll come back is if the owner does open up the purse strings. And that's a defense. Defense, you know, so just.
Jay Morrison
Anyway, Ryan Oswald Barry cuts off the NFL talk like it derails, but talks about Nemo scripts pitched for five minutes.
Connor Rogers
Yeah, because those are interesting. Yeah, yeah. A thousand percent. Because by the way, if you want NFL talk, pro football talk, Sims unbuttoned. They do a great job of it. But you know, Nemo scripts, the only places you're getting it here, by the.
Jay Morrison
Way, it's corner of the market. We have absolutely nailed.
Connor Rogers
We've run that lane. The last. The two things from the game. Last two things from this game. Back to NFL talk, Ryan. Back to fantasy football talk. Number one is, is that this is such a crazy game from Puka Nuku, even by his standards, the most fantasy points by wide receiver in a game the season, third most by any player. But at least it happened on a Thursday. So if you are facing Puka Nakua in a semifinal right now at least you understand as you head it. And we'll talk more about this on fantasy football pregame Sunday morning. But as you head into this weekend, you now need to aim for upside like you are. It is no longer about floor play. Every line of decision that you have now, you're not going to do something stupid. But I'm just saying like if you're trying to decide between two players, it's always the guy that has the chance of going off versus the, versus the floor play.
Jay Morrison
Right?
Connor Rogers
Right. It's. It's. You know, you're. You're trying to. That, that's. I'm trying to give a good example here. But you prefer in a, in a flex blot. I'm, I'm trying to make it up. But like you prefer Darius Slayton in a, in a deep flex to then you know, some possession receiver or you know like a guy that I've got.
Matthew Barry
A decision make between. Like looks like Marvin Harrison will play. So I gotta choose between Michael Wilson and Khalil Shakir and I think their median outcomes are pretty similar but Michael Wilson has more chance to go for 120. Right. Shakir who just doesn't really have that scope. So I went up against Puka in that league and so now Michael Wilson. Good luck.
Connor Rogers
Yeah, but that's, but that's exactly the right. Like you're, you know somebody like Derry Slayton who like you're hoping he catches two long ones. Like even if it's a 10% chance. Right. I mean just that's the idea is that you just need to, you need to now re. Recalibrate how you are setting your lineup and any moves you might make. Right. I mean like, like I normally wouldn't start Adric Estimate but like if I'm down to Puka Nicole I might think like. Like he's going to get the start for the. Like he's probably splitting with Evan Hull, but on the other hand he's playing the Jets. And is there a chance that Audrey Estimate out of nowhere has 100 yards and two touchdowns given the jets, he could score twice. Like. So that's the kind of thinking you have to think about again at three.
Jay Morrison
Touchdowns against the jets last week through the air.
Connor Rogers
That's right.
Matthew Barry
So it's amazing that a high upside stack in the fantasy semifinals is Audrey Gastame and the Saints defense both in.
Jay Morrison
The semis in an I believe right now.
Connor Rogers
Again, it all depends on your situation. Don't get crazy crazy, but just and you have to see sort of who else you have and. But I just think you have to recalibrate your thinking now that you know, you know, you're chasing, you know, whatever it was 46 points that Puka had. The other thing I'll say here is that what the hell, Ken Walker. We've been waiting for this game all year long. No one that has Ken Walker in the lineup is either in the playoffs or using him. And then, you know, Ken Walker, by the way, still had the same usage. It's not, it's just he had two big plays. He broke two plays, which is in a skill set. But it's just. It was just annoying to see.
Matthew Barry
Yeah, the issue is like 11 carries still.
Connor Rogers
That's right.
Matthew Barry
I mean, he popped off touchdown.
Connor Rogers
But I bench Ken Walker.
Jay Morrison
It's hilarious, too. That's the real icing on the cake here.
Connor Rogers
Yeah, 43% snap rate. He gets 11 rushing attempts, but winds up with 24 and a half, 25 and a half fantasy points. I benched him in a league, I mean, like, again, now I have nice options in that league, but still, it's just like he was a potential flex play for me and I'm like, no, against the Rams, he doesn't get the goal line work. You know, I was, I watched the game last night with my kids, my adult sons, and you know, they. One of them had a anytime touchdown on Zach Charbonnet. I'm like, oh, you got this. And it ended up, you know, ended up cashing early. But I'm just like, yeah, they never use Ken Walker.
Matthew Barry
And then it's so funny watching Ken Walker at the end of these long runs as he gets to the goal line because, you know, like, you better get it in, Ken. You're coming out.
Connor Rogers
By the way, nothing says father of the year than just sitting around with your two adult sons talking about the parlays and all the bets we have.
Jay Morrison
That's right.
Connor Rogers
It's a degenerate bet throughout the entire game. Parenting me and my kids actually was an awesome night.
Matthew Barry
Last thing on this game, Rams Backfield Blake Corum, 14 carries. Now, they had a lot of games, Griff. They just ran a ton of plays here. Kyron Williams still goes 23 carries, gets 70 rushing yards himself, but Blake Corum gets into the end zone. I think it just repeats, Connor, what we've said in recent weeks that Blake Corum has standalone value and they're going to be huge favorites their final two games against the Falcons and Cardinals.
Jay Morrison
This is an offense that scores a Ridiculous amount of touchdowns both guys play while Kyren gets more volume. Sure. But the bottom line is Corum gets opportunities down in the red area as well. That he is a viable flex play now for feels like a month plus, dude.
Connor Rogers
Yeah, I mean 1,000%.
Jay Morrison
And if you thought about cinema this week, Seattle and a lot of people thought that and didn't matter.
Connor Rogers
Again, that's the other thing. That by the way, again, it was an amazing game, but a super annoying game. Incredibly frustrating game. Parkinson Walker. Here's the other thing. I got a ton of advice. A ton of people ask me randomly, like just a. Should I start the Saints defense? Friends texting me, Seahawks defense or the Saints defense. Right. Seahawks defense or the Broncos defense? I got randomly just a bunch of questions about Seahawks defense or another viable option. And in every case I said give me the other option. I don't want the Seahawks defense against the Rams on a short week and everything like that. And I feel like that was the right call, obviously. I mean, they always put up 40 points. But then, you know, Shahid returns the, returns the punt for a touchdown and you're just like, come on. Like, you know what I mean? Like, it was the right call to bench the Seahawks Seahawks defense. But then, you know, what are you going to do? Anyway, I'm better.
Jay Morrison
I don't blame you. I think you're justified, this one.
Connor Rogers
No, not all of them are. I appreciate that. By the way, just so everyone knows, as long as we're paused here for one second.
Matthew Barry
We're not paused. We didn't pause.
Jay Morrison
But go on.
Connor Rogers
Just, just. I want to apologize to the audience. I am. We are currently in a monsoon here in. Here in Connecticut, at least, you know, by American standards.
Jay Morrison
Did you have to swim to work?
Matthew Barry
Yeah.
Connor Rogers
No.
Matthew Barry
Thailand.
Connor Rogers
Cold.
Matthew Barry
They've got some problems with your definition of water.
Connor Rogers
The particular place where my house is, is, is like underwater, like. And so there's water seeping into our house. And so I was like dealing with, trying to get people over there. My wife is out of town. And so it's just like, I'm like, so anyway, that's why I was, by the way, a couple seconds late for the show is it's literally trying to like save my house. So just so you know. Anyway, so we've got people over there and they're. They're dealing with. They're doing what they're supposed to do.
Matthew Barry
Bucketing.
Connor Rogers
They are like, there's water. I mean, I saw videos. There's water seeping into the house and.
Matthew Barry
Get your hands Dirty. Once you get back there, you get on your knees, put your buckets. Yeah. Put your waders on the many gumboots.
Connor Rogers
Yeah. So this is what I tell my wife. This is what I tell my wife.
Matthew Barry
You earn the money to not do that.
Connor Rogers
This is what I. My wife will say, like, honey, can you go fix the car? And I will say, listen, honey, you did not marry the fix the car guy. You married the write a check to get somebody else to fix the car guy.
Jay Morrison
Couldn't agree more than that.
Connor Rogers
Find your lane. This is my advice to the kids out there. Figure out what you're good at. Do that and then the stuff that you're not good at. And for me, it's a very long list. Get the hell out of the way.
Matthew Barry
Yeah.
Connor Rogers
But work hard enough so that you can earn enough money so that people that know what they're doing can do it. Because otherwise I would just.
Matthew Barry
Right.
Connor Rogers
Finding Nemo 3. Barrett's flooded basement. That's right. Valiant business. Damn right.
Matthew Barry
Well, they said it. When Nemo ends up when he's looking for his brother, whatever.
Connor Rogers
I don't know.
Matthew Barry
Cheshire.
Connor Rogers
Yeah, it's. It's. Yeah, it's not. It's not pretty.
Matthew Barry
From the Opera House in Sydney to Cheshire.
Connor Rogers
Yeah, it's just. Yeah, exactly. Right.
Matthew Barry
Anyway, so let's get into the week.
Jay Morrison
16 injuries we're tracking. This is a long list, as you see right here. Josh Jacobs dealing with the knee injury. Deandre Swift has been limited with a groin injury this week. Javante Williams, the same for him with a neck injury. We saw him briefly leave the game, what we thought was a shoulder, and then came back in and played. Woody Marks with an ankle. Drake London has returned to practice with that knee injury. Rasheed Rice, N.T. higgins dealing with concussions. Marvin Harrison Jr. Has been back at practice in a limited capacity. Mike Evans, more veteran rest related Dalton Kincaid with a knee. Let's start with Rasheed Rice specifically, though, because he did not practice on Thursday with that concussion. If he's out and Gardner Minshew is starting, how do you stack up the Kansas City pass catchers?
Connor Rogers
Well, listen, Rasheed Rice, there's been three games in which Rasheed Rice has not played, but Xavier Worthy has, and he's averaged almost 13 fantasy points per game. That's a 20% target share. Now it's Gardner Minshew, not Patrick Mahomes. But, you know, I currently have worthy at wide receiver. 27. I think you lean a little bit more on Kelce here. Hollywood Brown probably gets in the mix. They probably take a couple of shots. Tyquan Thornton as well. You don't feel great about any of it. Sounds fun, dude. I mean, it is what it is. But honestly. But Xavier Worthy is one of those guys that if I faced because he's somebody that could get loose for two long ones. Gardner Minshew is Gardner Minshew Patrick Mahomes. Of course not. No one is. But Gardner Minshew is a professional quarterback who has been a starter in this league many years. Has a. Has a little. Especially given the fact that they're out of the playoffs. You know what I mean? And like, he knows, like, this is. It's not like he's trying to fight for hey, I got a shot at starting next year. Like, I mean, like, this is Gardner Minshew has ultimately effort X is down there somewhere. Like, he'll just, he'll. He'll, you know, he'll chuck it up there. So like Xavier Worthy is one of those guys that I think it's interesting, like, if you face Pukinakua, especially if Rasheed Rice is out.
Matthew Barry
Yep. No, I agreed. And also like, don't forget we're two years removed from Gardner Minshew being Tyler Goodson's fingertips the AFC South Garden Minchu can function in an NFL offense and.
Connor Rogers
He start of your Colts love. Yeah, they were heroic that day.
Matthew Barry
They were gallant. Alas, it's all been down.
Connor Rogers
They were gallants.
Matthew Barry
Jonathan TAYLOR with like 180 on the ground with a bad knee. Anyway, Gardner Minchu. Gardner Minshew is bad in a way that's fun and entertaining and voluminous. He will throw some bad picks. He'll get strip sacks, but he will Nick Mullens it up and accumulate yards.
Jay Morrison
He will.
Connor Rogers
He will be similar. I'm not trying to troll you here, but he will be similar to Joe Flacco. Especially that run at the end of the year with the Browns two seasons ago where Flacco was like again threw like a couple of bad picks every game. But like ultimately was. It's like just he has zero Fs to give Gardner Minshew this one from.
Jay Morrison
Ryan Scott if Rice can't go Cortland Sutton or DJ Moore.
Matthew Barry
The DJ Moore business has not been a fun.
Jay Morrison
That's a Saturday game.
Connor Rogers
Keep in mind, I think it's Sutton for me. It's, you know, Sutton. I think for me against Jacksonville. Yeah, I prefer Sutton, especially because their guys are banged up as well. I know Noah Medunze or I have D.J. moore currently at wide receiver 23. I'll just say this about D.J. moore when he's gotten at least an 18% target share. He's scored at least 15 fantasy points here. So I think it's close. I understand the question. I'm Joe Shane.
Jay Morrison
I like that.
Connor Rogers
Yeah, I get the question. I understand the question. But I just prefer, I prefer Sutton just because I feel better about going against Jacksonville than I do against going against Green Bay and I feel better honestly about Bo Nixon than I do about Caleb Williams as a throwing quarterback. Yeah.
Matthew Barry
Also one thing, we don't have any idea if Jacksonville's pass defense is any good because they haven't played any real offenses.
Jay Morrison
Brady Cook wasn't enough for you last week.
Matthew Barry
Brady Cook, Riley Leonard, the week before that they played I guess like Jacoby Brissette. That game like moved the ball and then that game went to overtime. Geno Smith put up like, you know, that got that game to overtime. It's been a while since they've had a real test. Their run defense is very good. It is elite. It is elite that don't have the.
Jay Morrison
Front seven is very good.
Matthew Barry
But the back end we'll see. And though, you know, Bo Nix isn't Joe Montana or anything, but he's coming off his best game maybe his whole career. So yeah, I wouldn't be surprised if Denver can move the ball through the air in that one.
Jay Morrison
Drake London limited on Thursday. He's been working his way back from that knee injury coming off last week. Jay, if Drake London is back, where's your confidence level?
Matthew Barry
Yeah, I mean, I think you take confidence from the fact that Kirk Cousins has looked certainly better than he did in that first game against Miami. He's looked much more confident and so it's a reasonably favorable matchup against the Cardinals team that has been decimated for a long time now. And the good thing too is that the Falcons are dumb. Like they're not doing anything this season. So if they're bringing back Drake London, that means he's fully healthy. They're not going to bring him back if he's dragging around a leg. So I feel pretty good that Drake London, you fire him up. You know, almost as usual, I'm at.
Connor Rogers
Wide receiver three and I'm just going to tell you here right now he's going to go off. I'm playing against him in my I'm in this dynasty semifinals. I've been the number one team all season long, had a first round bye and I lost in the finals of this league last year. I've lost in the SEM. Like it's been every year I have, like, the best team, and then just something happens and I can't ever get it done. And I'm going to tell you right now. So I started Colby Parkinson in this league last night, right. Because I lost Zach Ertz.
Jay Morrison
It's not a fun night.
Connor Rogers
It's not a fun night. I'm playing my buddy Daniel Dopp again. This is a Dynasty league with all my friends from espn, a lot of people that, you know, producer Damian's in that league as well, but my buddy Daniel Dopp, that's the only saving grace, is that if I lose this, and I'm likely gonna lose this, that it'll be to Daniel, who I love. Like, I adore Daniel. You know, he's. He's a good friend.
Jay Morrison
Very. I'm glad it's you moment. What does he beats you in? Tears. Shoulder?
Dr. Denny Carter
No.
Connor Rogers
There's other people in the league that if I lost, who I would be bitter about, but that, you know, I don't like.
Jay Morrison
But I'm road to perdition, by the way, if you're wanting to film reference.
Connor Rogers
But Daniel, I love. I truly love Daniel. But, yeah, he's got Drake London. So I'm just promising you Drake London's gonna come back. He's definitely playing, and he's gonna go off. There's no question about it. I do have an inside source that tells me Drake's going to play. And you like the fact that. Yeah, I'm just saying, you know, we'll see.
Matthew Barry
Morris.
Connor Rogers
Well, it's. It's. Yeah, it's Raheem Morris.
Matthew Barry
It's your best friends with Zach Robinson.
Connor Rogers
Yeah, exactly. Bijan. It's my Bijan's mike.
Jay Morrison
What? Falcon invests in fantasy.
Connor Rogers
Yeah, yeah, exactly.
Jay Morrison
Tyler Algiero. Exactly.
Connor Rogers
No, that's actually more in line. Ray Ray McLeod. Ray Ray McLeod.
Jay Morrison
We know it's not Kyle Pitts. Yeah, all the Kyle Pitts slander over the years, which is basically the role Drake London steps into, by the way, when he's healthy.
Connor Rogers
48 and a half over under. We expect a lot of points in this game.
Jay Morrison
I love a lot of points.
Matthew Barry
Good for you, Kirk Cousins. You're in a game with a 48 and a half total.
Connor Rogers
Right?
Matthew Barry
Didn't look like we're gonna get there after that.
Connor Rogers
Where does Kirk Cousins play next year?
Jay Morrison
Everybody keeps saying the Jets. It's not gonna be the Jets. He doesn't want to play for the Jets. No, they've already been through this. He'll start somewhere. Will he Maybe Minnesota. Maybe he'll compete. Does he go Minnesota? Because that's one where like say, McCarthy has a good summer. Okay, McCarthy, you're the starter. But we have a break in case of emergency. Kind of boxing. Kirk Cousins.
Matthew Barry
We should back up Brock Purdy. I don't think we want Mac Jones under contract. It's true, but Mac Jones might get traded somewhere.
Jay Morrison
He might. Miami.
Connor Rogers
Yeah. I mean, that's what they did.
Jay Morrison
Quarterback carousel. This offseason is going to be wild to watch.
Connor Rogers
Kyler's going to start somewhere. Like, I have Kyler in a dynasty league and I'm like, Kyler. And some people were trading for him and it was hard for me to value him because it's like Kyler Murray. Minnesota awesome. Kyler Murray with the Jets. Yeah.
Jay Morrison
Raiders bridge quarterback Kyler Murray. No. Right. It's all reasonable.
Connor Rogers
It's all reasonable. All right, let's move on here.
Jay Morrison
You want to go back on track? Sure. Imagine telling somebody in this fantasy playoff semis how important this topic would be. Marvin Harrison Jr. Was limited in practice on Thursday. And this isn't about Marvin Harrison Jr. This is all about Michael Wilson. Matthew. Because if Marv's back panic hours if he's not. You have a bona fide wide receiver 2 locked into your lineup in Michael Wilson.
Connor Rogers
Yeah. The problem is, is that in the games in which Jacoby Brissette has started and Marvin Harrison has been active, Michael Wilson averages under 8 fantasy points per game, has a 15% target share. This is a guy that has gotten you here like so many people, and I'm one of them, has ridden Michael Wilson to the fantasy semifinals or in my case, a seven game win streak that allowed me to lose on a tiebreaker. Ultimately. Ultimately be part of the. Ultimately defeat a lot of people in our league that should have finished higher than me and did not.
Matthew Barry
It's amazing that Michael. It just doesn't feel like it should be this extreme because When Marvin Harrison Jr. Plays, he's basically wide receiver Tyjay Spears. And When Marvin Harrison Jr. Is out, he's God. He's God in Cardi's Booker.
Jay Morrison
Yeah, he's basically Booker Light.
Matthew Barry
Yeah. Puka Dakua. So best player in the league versus basically useless. I think there has to be a middle ground. I guess I would. If Marvin Harris Jr. Plays, I think Michael Wilson's playing prop will be set around like 50 and a half and it'll have, you know, some chance. 25, 30% chance of getting in the end zone. 25% chance getting in the end Zone. It's not great.
Connor Rogers
Again, given the nature given, we expect this to be a reasonably high scoring game here. Atlanta secondary doesn't scare you. I'm Mike Wilson at wide receiver 19. And I have Harrison ranked. I'm ranked as a top 12 play, actually. So I. I do expect Marvin Harrison to play, and I do have Wilson still as a top 20 play this week. But I would be lying if I said I wasn't nervous. I'm a little bit nervous about it, but I still think he's just been too good and the matchup's been too good that I just. I can't imagine benching Michael Wilson given the production that he's had even with Marvin Harrison Jr. Out. But certainly you don't feel great about it. Like. Yeah, I feel like most of the injuries this week, I'm just sort of like rooting for people not to play versus to play. I mean, like, you know what it is? Yeah. Yeah. As somebody who has Malik Davis, like, I hope Javonte Williams misses. He's dealing with that neck injury.
Jay Morrison
The Louisiana regular, longtime listener for first time commenter. Loved it. Is that in a Saints jersey?
Matthew Barry
Yeah. And that's. I've never worn that jersey, so it's been nice.
Connor Rogers
Were you wearing Michael Thomas? That's unbelievable.
Jay Morrison
That's really good. He's getting a regular. You might get a regular power rankings next week.
Connor Rogers
Yeah. You might make others receiving votes today.
Matthew Barry
I definitely didn't forget that Michael Thomas was number 13. I definitely didn't forget that.
Jay Morrison
Love the show. Bench 2. Non PPR. Michael Wilson, Pickens, Sutton, Hampton, Pollard. Not start to. It's Mike. Bench two.
Connor Rogers
Bench two. All right. So not non PPR makes this interesting, I think. I think it's the running backs.
Jay Morrison
I was just gonna say I think I like Amari and Hampton this week, oddly enough. I mean, again, Dallas's run defense has been a lot better, but it gets a lot of volume. Quinn Williams back at practice, but still in concussion protocol. Yeah, you never know what those non.
Connor Rogers
I mean, non ppr. I just don't know. Like, let's start with who you're definitely starting. You're definitely starting Pickens.
Jay Morrison
Yes.
Connor Rogers
Right. You're definitely starting Pickens here.
Matthew Barry
I think he's starting Sutton.
Connor Rogers
I think you're starting Sutton as well. So then it's like, if you like Hampton, we're definitely benching Pollard. I know that Pollard's been good for the last two weeks here as well, but Kansas City does have a good run defense here. I just. I don't Know, Yeah, I think I'm probably benching Pollard here. So then it's Hampton or Michael Wilson. I think I probably would still go.
Matthew Barry
I'd go Wilson.
Connor Rogers
Yeah, I think I'd still go Wilson.
Jay Morrison
It's a good problem to have.
Matthew Barry
Yeah. I think you bench the running backs. Yeah.
Connor Rogers
Again, nine PPR helps the running backs, but again, I think you're going to need touchdowns from each of them to pay off.
Matthew Barry
Thank you, LA regular.
Connor Rogers
Yeah.
Matthew Barry
See more comments before you go forward.
Connor Rogers
Yeah, exactly. Nice to have a ton.
Jay Morrison
Really good debut from Louisiana regular. Woody Marks not seen at practice on Thursday. He's dealing with an ankle injury. Nick Chubb back at practice with his rib injury. Jawar Jordan.
Matthew Barry
This is like very high leverage. Strangely, because The Texans are 14 and a half point favorites against the Raiders. Their offense looks the best that it has released in C.J. stroud's rookie year. So whoever the running back is is going to have a real good chance of scoring touchdown, multiple touchdowns, having great game script. If Nick Chubb can go and given that he practiced in full, you'd expect that he would. And Woody Marks is out, then, yeah, Nick Chubb. Flex, flex. Viable, I think. But Jawad Jordan is the real wild card.
Connor Rogers
Yeah. I mean, again, if you face Puka and you want to roll the dice, you know, that's an interesting thing. But by the way, if you start Geowarre. Jordan. Jordan, here's what's going to happen. It's going to be Nick Chubb and Dario Gumbawale. Dario Gumbawale is going to get like 15 touches and two touchdowns. Like, you just know that's happening. But if you try to start Dario Gumbawale, he's going to get, you know.
Jay Morrison
He'Ll be on 2 for 13 exact for you.
Connor Rogers
Yeah, Just unless we get some more clarity heading forward, you know, be interesting. Maybe I'll reach out. Aaron Wilson is a guy that covers the Texans really, really well. I'll be interested to see if he has any insight.
Matthew Barry
So you're going to text him?
Connor Rogers
I will, I will text him. I'm just saying.
Matthew Barry
But like, this is like your Falcon source.
Jay Morrison
Woody Marks is currently doing some work on the side of practice right now.
Connor Rogers
So I have a couple of Texan sources. Aaron's one of them. But like, Aaron's not a source. I mean, he's a team beat reporter, but there it is.
Jay Morrison
Yeah, that is Woody Marks.
Matthew Barry
This is better than the Bucky Irving.
Jay Morrison
Footage, which is basically Sasquatch.
Matthew Barry
Yeah. Bigfoot. Bigfoot meets the Loch Ness Monster.
Connor Rogers
Yeah, we Can't.
Matthew Barry
We gotta do. We gotta make changes. We gotta make changes.
Jay Morrison
So what? That's what we got.
Connor Rogers
It's ridiculous what we do.
Jay Morrison
This is the life we've chosen. It's horrible. Everybody out here, Gerard, Jordan, Woody Marks. Well, Woody Marks was walking on the practice field. So now. It's a ridiculous life when you think about it.
Connor Rogers
Ideally, this is what you're going to do. You're going to tune into fantasy football pregame Sunday morning, 11am Eastern on the NFL and NBC YouTube channel or Peacock and we will have a definitive answer. I will text my sources. We will get this all sorted out. We don't have an answer for you right now, but we will have an answer on the Texans running back situation. What you want to do on fantasy football pregame Sunday morning.
Jay Morrison
Nick Underhill does a really good job covering the Saints.
Connor Rogers
He does a great job.
Jay Morrison
New Orleans football is who he covers for. I believe that is his own. It is, yes.
Connor Rogers
Support Red.
Jay Morrison
Yeah, yeah. Support writers that run their own operation and Nick is one of the best of them. Says Audrey Guestame will probably start in Week 16 against the Jets. I know who I'm rooting for in this spot. It's not the Jets. Audrey Guessamet, this is your shot again.
Connor Rogers
Have you guys done a special episode of NFL Stock Exchange, you and Trevor?
Jay Morrison
We did just have a listener and I feel bad that I will make up.
Connor Rogers
This feels like an emergency podcast.
Jay Morrison
Yeah, it should be. I shouldn't be here right now. Who mailed our. Our business mailing address? Yes, we have one of those. A signed Audra Guesstimate photo for our backdrop.
Matthew Barry
Come on.
Jay Morrison
I will find their name in the DMs and give them a special shout. So this is a big moment for us and a big moment for Audra Guesstimate. Him and Tyler Schuck might actually have a huge impact in some fantasy semi finals this week. I'm not kidding.
Matthew Barry
I'll be the future.
Connor Rogers
Yeah.
Matthew Barry
Yeah.
Jay Morrison
Well, more important than now. Yeah.
Matthew Barry
What does estimate have? The jets, they look like they've given up. Yes. Does estimate have like 145 yard, two touchdown game in here?
Jay Morrison
I don't think the yardage, but I genuinely think if he falls into the end zone twice, it would be. I'd set that at like plus 210.
Connor Rogers
But you sort of like Evan Hall. Like, it's interesting.
Jay Morrison
Like fine. Right. I'm worried that they sort of like Kevin Hall.
Connor Rogers
Right. I know, right? Exactly. Like, is this a. Is this a split backfield?
Jay Morrison
You know, the weird thing was Estimate got the pass.
Connor Rogers
Does everyone start Audrick Est and then Tyler Schuck runs two in, right.
Jay Morrison
I'd rather. I think Schuck has the biggest fantasy, you know, impact in this game. Maybe even like Juwan Johnson somehow.
Connor Rogers
17 or more fantasy points in four of the past five games for Tyler Schuck. He's QB12 over that stretch. By the way, facing your jets and Audrey Estimate, is this worth noting that since week eight, your jets allow the most fantasy points to opposing running backs? They have given up four and a.
Jay Morrison
Half point spread that we've been on.
Connor Rogers
They understand the assignment.
Matthew Barry
Yes. Lose.
Connor Rogers
Lose.
Dr. Denny Carter
It's time to lose.
Connor Rogers
Yeah, it's time to lose.
Jay Morrison
They should have kept Steve Wilkes. They would have kept doing that easily. Yeah, I don't know why they fired him today. This one from. I think it's Mr. ANC or just Mrank. Whatever you want to be. Kamani Vidal, Michael Carter or Audrey estimate in the RB2 spot. He has Jacobs in the RV1 spot. I know it's not Vidal.
Connor Rogers
It's Carter. I think it's Carter. Unless. Unless again, you face JSN or you face Puka or you just feel like you need to swing for the fences. Because I think Estimate has a higher ceiling than Carter because there's a chance. You know, I feel like the Falcons have a better run defense than pass defense to an extent and that with Carter there's a chance because the Cardinals are so weird that they pass all the time and that there's also. Amari Dmicardo came back last week. Could they increase his role this week? Like there's more like I think Carter has the better chance at is much more to the floor play. Yep. Estimate could be any. Estimate could be 100 yards and two touchdowns. Estimate could be 25 yards easily. Just like just you got. We just, you know, could be all Evan hall and Tyler Schuck.
Jay Morrison
All right. I was going to rip through the rest of our injuries real quick here. Chris Rodriguez was not on Washington. Final Week 16 Injury Report. The Bears ruled out Luther Burton and Roma dunes for week 16 for the 80th time. That is the Saturday game. Please check your lineups today and tomorrow morning if you are playing Chicago Bears or Green Bay packers because DeAndre Swift is still questionable for that game. He's been dealing with this groin injury all season long. Hopefully you have Kyle Manungai as an insurance back. If for some reason Swift doesn't go. He usually plays through these scenarios. So. So we'll see. Josh Jacobs and Christian Watson are Both questionable in the same exact game. Christian Watson, though, sounded on the more optimistic side when he spoke about it.
Connor Rogers
You know what? This is one of those, like, even if he play and tell me if I'm crazy on this one, but I just feel like if he plays, I still don't want to part. Even though Christian Watson is an awesome.
Jay Morrison
This year and a big play guy.
Connor Rogers
And a big play guy. But I just feel like Christian Watson is one of those guys. Aaron Jones is another one that I just feel like every game they just sort of get injured and leave early. They're always a threat to get banged up and leave the game early. And just.
Matthew Barry
He's another upside guy. If you go up against Puka, Christian Watson a good guy to stop because he could go, you know, four for 90 with two touchdowns.
Connor Rogers
There's no question.
Jay Morrison
Yeah, I'm in a scenario between him and Michael Wilson, and I'm starting Wilson right now. That's what I'm playing Puka. So I'm thinking about playing. It's just a mess. Just a mess. All right. As we always do on Friday, we have a doctor to answer your flexible frustrations as we welcome on our good friend Denny Carr.
Matthew Barry
Dr. Carter, I want to talk to you about love in a group setting of men. I speak, of course, of Jordan Love and his group of wide receivers, which features Jaden Reed, who now is in this big group of men of Christian Watson and on Tavian Wicks and Romeo Dobbs and Matthew golden, if he's still alive.
Dr. Denny Carter
I think there's enough love to go around, and really there always should be. As a doctor, we, you know, we study the spreading of love, you know, in a group setting like you're talking about, Jay. And so I do think that there's enough to go around for Jaden Reese.
Jay Morrison
Flexural frustrations with our Dr. Denny Carter. Denny, a lot of talk about enough to go around. No Rasheed Rice for the Chiefs. Is there finally enough to go around for the feels like underutilized Xavier Worthy?
Dr. Denny Carter
I mean, maybe. I don't know if there's much love in Kansas City anymore. The vibes may be too bad, but. But without Rasheed Rice in the lineup, Xavier Worthy's being targeted on 25% of his routes. That drops to 16% of his routes when Rasheed Rice is active. So if he's inactive, I think Worthy could be a decent flex option. If you're frustrated, of course, and it could lead to more frustration. But it's against a Titans defense that profiles as a pass funnel. One of the most extreme pass funnels in the league. 40 drop backs for Gardiner Minshew.
Matthew Barry
Okay. Want to talk about balls, Doctor? I know you love them. Darius Slayton in particular. And deep balls.
Connor Rogers
Yeah.
Matthew Barry
Will he get the deep balls from Jackson? Dart enough to be startable in the flex against the Vikings?
Dr. Denny Carter
The Vikings see a lot of deep balls, and that's fine. You know, I mean, different teams, different people see different amounts of deep balls and whatever. Look, the Vikings are into it. They are fifth in the league in completion rate on those deep balls. No team is giving up a higher yards per target, yards per attempt on downfield shots. And what does that mean? It means Darius Slayton is in play as a high variance wide receiver.
Jay Morrison
3.
Dr. Denny Carter
You may be frustrated, but this could be glorious for you to get through to your championship.
Matthew Barry
Could be glorious. The Darius Slade story.
Jay Morrison
That's a good sell.
Connor Rogers
Could be glorious. Dr. Carter, I get an email in here. It's from Pete. Pete says. Pete says, please pass this along to Dr. Carter. I have a problem. I was out at the nightclub the other day trying to introduce myself to a young lady that I was interested in. She was ignoring me. I was having trouble scoring. I was having trouble scoring. And I said to my buddy, I need help. I need your help with some scoring here. And he said, well, listen, you gotta mack that ass up. And he said, wait, what? He said, yeah, you gotta mack that ass up. He goes, I don't know how to dance. He goes, no, I thought you meant about your fantasy team and Mack Hollands mack that ass up?
Matthew Barry
I.
Connor Rogers
So, yeah, should. Should Pete mack that ass up?
Dr. Denny Carter
It's a common mistake, Matthew. And by the way, thanks to Pete for emailing Matthew every single Friday with his flexual frustrations.
Connor Rogers
But he's got a lot of them.
Jay Morrison
Loyalists.
Dr. Denny Carter
He has a lot.
Jay Morrison
He has a lot.
Dr. Denny Carter
And that's okay. There's no shame here. Listen, Mac Holland, since week 10, he leads the Patriots and targets and air yards. I don't know how that's possible, but he does. He's second on the team in receptions. Hollins has. He leads league. He leads the team in first read targets over the past three games. I don't know what's going on, guys, but Mack Hollins is a viable flex against Baltimore in a game that could be, I think, high scoring. On Sunday night on NBC.
Jay Morrison
For more answers to your flexible frustrations, Denny always does a live Q and A right after our show, so please check that out. Denny, thank you, as always.
Connor Rogers
Happy holidays, Denny. Very festive today. That's Right.
Jay Morrison
Happy holidays to you, Denny.
Matthew Barry
See you guys.
Jay Morrison
All right, we're taking our first break. When we're back, we're answering some of your best questions.
Connor Rogers
You think we're definitely back?
Jay Morrison
I think we'll be back.
Connor Rogers
I'm not sure.
Jay Morrison
I won't say 100% guarantee.
Connor Rogers
I'll put it if. If we're back.
Jay Morrison
Aloha breaks. Poor Pete is going through it all year. He doesn't need a doctor, he needs a therapist.
Connor Rogers
You have no idea. All the things that Pete needs. All right, there's a chance we're back. And if we are, stick around. We will. We will. We get into your question questions and what's on tap. Valiant Vincent, 13, writes, no, Barry, after what you did to Stafford, how dare you wear that? Stop it. Stafford was good last. Stafford was good yesterday.
Matthew Barry
Spill diet or bring it a loss to the Carolina Panthers.
Connor Rogers
He was like. Even though they had three rushing touchdowns, he. He still was a top 11 quarterback heading into Monday Night Football. Matthew Stafford. Stop it. I'm on raw St. Brown, Madden, Kirk. Don't worry. Don't worry. I've got, you know, spill proof. Yeah, spill proof here.
Jay Morrison
Here's the fantasy football happy hour regular power rankings for week 16. Valiant Vincent. Welcome to the top spot. Big dog. Jonathan Medici. You've been doing great, but you dropped one spot down.
Connor Rogers
Who will win regular of the year at the Peacockys?
Jay Morrison
Massive new category.
Connor Rogers
Massive new category. Aloha bricks. Up one to number three. Raised the flags. Down one to number four. Neck Brace Nation. Good to see him in the top five for the first time.
Jay Morrison
Climbing Neck Brace Nation.
Matthew Barry
Look at Louisiana Regulus. Thinking into all those receiving votes.
Jay Morrison
Yeah.
Connor Rogers
Gone with Scott McClory. And footballer. Footballer always brings it. I feel like he should be ranked, but he's not. He's quality over quantity as he's. He's a sniper. When football. When he shoots, he scores. Yeah.
Jay Morrison
Everybody look at him.
Connor Rogers
Vet is plus one to number nine. Ryan Oswald wasn't ranked last week. Gets into the list at number eight. K Gemma, 89, plus two. Up to number seven again. Stuntman Chuck at six. He's down one and making his, I believe, regular top ten debut. SEC Man 01 in the top ten. I don't believe he's made the top ten before.
Matthew Barry
Football's kind of like Josh Hader. He's only going to give you one inning, but it's going to be good.
Jay Morrison
Has anybody checked in on Clark Brady since his marathon?
Connor Rogers
No. Clark Brady's dead.
Jay Morrison
I believe he's dead.
Matthew Barry
I believe it killed him.
Jay Morrison
I really hope not.
Connor Rogers
Yeah.
Jay Morrison
Anyway, he'll be back for the next year's marathon. Boy, oh boy.
Connor Rogers
The competition for regular of the year at the Pekkakes is unbelievable.
Jay Morrison
We should all have a vote, like the entire staff.
Connor Rogers
I agree.
Matthew Barry
Sure.
Jay Morrison
A handwritten vote.
Connor Rogers
Yeah.
Jay Morrison
What's on tap is brought to you by Bud Light, the official beer sponsor of the NFL. Sundays are easy to enjoy when they are full of football.
Connor Rogers
Football.
Jay Morrison
And the fridge is filled with beer. And we're going to make it even easier for you by taking some of your best questions. And the first one of those comes from Steven Dunn. Here's a conflicting question. Genty, who's been extremely underwhelming against the Texans, or Gainwell, who seems to be the more consistent running back for the Steelers against the Lions?
Connor Rogers
I think the answer is Kenneth Gainwell.
Jay Morrison
I don't think it's close.
Matthew Barry
Yeah. Agrees. Yeah.
Connor Rogers
Kenneth Gainwell, eighth best running back in fantasy since week 11. Sixteen or more fantasy points in four of the past five games. That's the highest over under on the slate. And again, Daniel Doff has him against me. You know he's going to go off.
Jay Morrison
Yep, that's a good sign. Question number two from Cody Porter.
Connor Rogers
Yeah.
Jay Morrison
Zay Flowers or Juwan Jennings? Jennings has a really good matchup. Jay. Looks like Jennings could be a top 20ish play at wide receiver this week.
Matthew Barry
Absolutely. It looks like the Niners offense is rolling again. Brock Cody is magnificent against the Titans. Understand it was the Titans, but the Colts, no Source Garden are not particularly imposing either. So as you can see, Matthew's rankings neck and neck here. Juan Jennings and Zay Flowers. But I feel better about San Francisco's offense right now than I do Baltimore's.
Connor Rogers
I also feel a lot better about Jennings chances to get into the end zone. Zay Flowers is not a red zone target, but Juwan Jennings so far this year, when Brock Purdy, since he's returned, since Purdy's been back, Juwan Jennings has gotten 44% of the Niners end zone target.
Jay Morrison
Our last question comes from John. We go in with Loveland or Dalton Schultz. No burden or a dunesday, but the Texans played the Raiders.
Matthew Barry
Anyone else?
Jay Morrison
I like the last part. Anyone else out there? Yeah, send me a sign.
Connor Rogers
No, I'm Dalton Schultz at tight end nine, right. By the way, that's exactly where he's been since week five. He's literally been the ninth best tight end in fantasy on a points per game basis. At least 11 fantasy points in seven of the 10 games during that stretch 35% target share last week. Again more of a floor play than an upside play. He's kind of a catch and fall down kind of tight end. We like Nico Collins. But again against Las Vegas, Dalton Schultz should return. Top 10 numbers that'll do it for what's on tap.
Jay Morrison
Presented by Bud Light. Easy to drink, easy to enjoy. We're taking our last break. We think we'll be back and Jay and I have our best picks to impress Matthew. It's pickup lines after this. DraftKings Sportsbook is an official sports betting partner of the NFL and new customers can bet $5 and get $200 in bonus bets. If your bet wins, download the app and use promo code ffhh when you sign up. DraftKings sportsbook.
Connor Rogers
The Crown it is so yours. It is not mine.
Jay Morrison
Pick up line's effectiveness. All right, Jay, let's. Let's get it going.
Matthew Barry
Let's fire up get back on the horsey and what better way you could do what better way Matthew to get back on said horsey. Yes, than Philip Rivers. My good friend never met but is the quarterback.
Connor Rogers
But it's horse like.
Matthew Barry
Yes, horse like. Yeah, he is kind of horse like. Philip Rivers to throw an interception is minus 120. Now the angle here is I watched him play football last week.
Connor Rogers
Yes, you're a Colts man.
Matthew Barry
I'm a Colts man. I watched every snap. Phil Rivers can't really throw the ball anymore, unfortunately. Now he's still the brain still works. Everything about the shoulders still works. He just can't really connect the body with the brain and his passing attempts. Prop is set at 28 against the Niners. If that man throws the ball 28 times, one of those passes is getting picked off. And here's the thing is last week they were able to run Jonathan Taylor on first down 19 out of 23 times because they had game script like that game. They were either leading or it was close. Like Phil Ribs didn't need to drop back and really do anything until the final drive where he immediately threw an interception. I think that the Niners are going to score more heavily than the Seahawks did against pretty suspect Colts defense with no Source Gardener and no Mooney Ward. I think that Rivers is going to have to throw. I think he'll get picked off once.
Jay Morrison
All right Matthew, for me I'm kind of cheating here. I'm going with your ride or die Marion Hampton. You know his rushing prop is set at against Dallas this week. Just 45 and a half rushing yards. Dallas run defense has been a Lot better recently. We don't know if Quinn Williams is going to play, which is a huge factor in all of this. But the good news is for Hampton, it seems like the volume is now ticking upwards. He's cleared this number in five of seven games, and I think this is one where I think he can get there, even if he's not overly efficient. But I think he's looked good. Like Hampton passes the eye test when they get him going downhill. They cannot protect Justin Herbert. They can't. He gets hit a million times on his drop backs. They have to run the ball. They're leaning into the run. I think Amari and Hampton honestly goes over 50 rushing yards in this game. But I'll take the number 45 and a half.
Connor Rogers
Yeah.
Matthew Barry
Game.
Connor Rogers
The line in that is Cowboys just favored by a point and a half, so in theory, they're keeping it close as well. Jay, I like. I like the idea there. Although the Seahawks offense is awesome, and then they, you know, they didn't do anything against the Colts defense, right? And we just showed them put up almost 40 points. So I can't bail on my ride or die. It's cheating a little bit. Connor, honestly is absolutely. He's pandering. He's absolutely pandering.
Jay Morrison
Play the game.
Connor Rogers
That's me.
Matthew Barry
Gladly.
Connor Rogers
He's the panler. But I'm going home with Connor. So. There you go.
Jay Morrison
Valiant Vincent.
Dr. Denny Carter
Hey.
Jay Morrison
I'll have you know I was ranked the number one regular of the week for fantasy football happy hour this week. Gonna be my new pickup line. Throw it out of the bar.
Matthew Barry
They'll have great success.
Connor Rogers
Yeah.
Matthew Barry
Zero percent. Yeah.
Jay Morrison
The ladies will know exactly what you're talking about.
Connor Rogers
100%.
Jay Morrison
I love that show. I know you're Valiant. Vincent.
Connor Rogers
Text us back next week. Let us know if you managed to score. And Mac that ass up. All right, listen, close the time. You don't have to go home, but you can't stay here for Jane Connor on Matthew. We'll see you Sunday. Peace out.
This episode of Fantasy Football Happy Hour is centered around the electrifying overtime shootout between the Rams and Seahawks, with Matthew Berry, Jay Morrison, and Connor Rogers breaking down the fantasy impact of the game’s wild plays, standout fantasy performances, and what it all means for fantasy managers deep in the playoffs. The crew also delivers injury updates (including on Rashee Rice and Drake London), fresh waiver advice, and their spirited, always on-brand banter.
“I think Puka Nacua is the best receiver in football.”
– Matthew Berry, [10:16]
“As you head into this weekend, you now need to aim for upside... it is no longer about floor play.”
– Matthew Berry, [15:13]
“JSN likely wins offensive player of the year because the stats will be close and he's got the weaker quarterback and no Devonte Adams taking pressure off...”
– Matthew Berry, [10:16]
“Colby Parkinson then in a game in which Matthew Stafford was brilliant... just... They couldn’t get him the ball. It’s unbelievable.”
– Connor Rogers, [08:45]
“If you faced Puka Nakua last night in your semifinal, you now have to chase upside. You're not playing for floor anymore.”
– Collective advice, [14:21–15:52]
“No one that has Ken Walker in the lineup is either in the playoffs or using him. ... He broke two plays, which is in a skill set. But it's just, it was just annoying to see.”
– Connor Rogers, [16:41]
“If they're bringing back Drake London, that means he's fully healthy. They're not going to bring him back if he's dragging around a leg.”
– Matthew Berry, [26:17]
The show maintains its trademark blend of expert fantasy analysis, dry wit, and irreverent humor. Matthew Berry’s measured pragmatic takes are interspersed with self-deprecating rants (Colby Parkinson, Ken Walker), Connor Rogers brings energy and relatable league stories, and Jay Morrison provides data-driven, clear summaries. The extended “Doctor’s Office” with Denny Carter delivers comic relief and useful last-minute flex advice.
This podcast episode is a quintessential “deep playoff” edition: If you missed the Rams-Seahawks thriller, the crew lays out why it was historic for fantasy, with record-setting WR outputs and implications for the 2026 draft. Injury nuggets, waiver priorities, and strategic playoff advice—especially for those burned by Thursday night explosions—are covered in detail. The emphasis throughout: it's time to maximize upside, stay agile on waivers, and don't tilt too hard if fantasy football’s chaos takes you out—because sometimes, all you can do is “Mac(k) that ass up.”