← Fantasy Football Happy Hour with Matthew Berry
Fantasy Football Happy Hour with Matthew Berry
Week 1 Takeaways: Josh Allen, Aaron Rodgers, Tyreek Hill + Drake London, Brock Bowers injured
00:51:58
September 8: Matthew (@MatthewBerryTMR), Jay (@croucherJD), and Connor (@ConnorJRogers) recap player performances in Ravens-Bills, Steelers-Jets, Dolphins-Colts, Bengals-Browns, Lions-Packers, and 49ers-Seahawks. The trio also spotlights Xavier Worthy, Drake London, and George Kittle suffering injuries in Week 1, standout days from Emeka Egbuka and Marvin Harrison Jr., and hand out their best bets for Vikings at Bears.
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- [00:02]
Matthew Berry
For years, everyone thought Verizon had the best network because they did. But now the best mobile network in the US is T Mobile. T Mobile's network has the most advanced 5G with more towers and their signal reaches further than ever.
- [00:16]
Connor Rogers
So you can text an insta talk.
- [00:19]
Matthew Berry
And say, you won't believe where I am.
- [00:22]
Jay Morrison
T Mobile has the best mobile Network in the US based on analysis by Ookla of speed test intelligence data 1H2025C.T mobile mobile.com network suffering from dry, tired, irritated eyes. Don't let dry eyes win. Use Sustain Pro. It hydrates, restores and protects dry eyes for up to 12 hours. Sustain Pro Triple Action Dry eye Relief. That's a hell of a win. Man, this guy's legs. First of all, he's almost as old as I am.
- [00:54]
Matthew Berry
Right?
- [00:55]
Jay Morrison
And his legs are smaller than mine. Right. But we are so proud to have you in Buffalo, man. On that kick right there. Welcome to Buffalo.
- [01:04]
Matthew Berry
You gotta play this 60 minutes, man.
- [01:08]
Jay Morrison
All right. No quitting this team.
- [01:10]
Connor Rogers
No love y', all, boys.
- [01:19]
Jay Morrison
Fantasy football Happy hour with Matthew Barry. Happy Monday.
- [01:25]
Matthew Berry
Welcome to the Fantasy Football happy hour. That sound you heard was. Yes. A very rowdy Buffalo locker room after a crazy Sunday night football finish. Josh Allen drinks for free for putting the team on his back in the fourth quarter. What a wild, wild slate of games. And then you had the cherry on top for one that was insane finish.
- [01:48]
Jay Morrison
Just a completely bonkers, bananas game on football night in America. Myself and Jason Garrett were the only two that picked the Bills to win. And we were getting it from the rest of the cast for much of the game. We held tough.
- [02:02]
Matthew Berry
We often say, you and Jason Garrett versus the world.
- [02:04]
Jay Morrison
Yeah, exactly. Me and Jason Garrett. Me and coach versus the world. There you go. Never in doubt. Never in doubt.
- [02:10]
Matthew Berry
No, I always count on a Derrick Henry fumble and a miraculous deflection.
- [02:14]
Jay Morrison
Yeah, and three field goals from a guy that got there two days ago.
- [02:17]
Matthew Berry
The Ravens choosing to punt.
- [02:19]
Jay Morrison
I mean, that was a weird decision.
- [02:21]
Connor Rogers
Yeah, John harbor got what he deserved.
- [02:25]
Matthew Berry
As soon as he made the decision. What do you think Josh Allen was going to do? You thought Josh Allen was just going to quiet into the night?
- [02:30]
Jay Morrison
Yeah, I mean, look, we'll get into fantasy in a second. I will, but I mean, just I had a rooting interest in the Bills, obviously, because I picked them on national tv and so I'm rooting for the Bills there. And by the way, Josh Allen, proud fantasy life investor, of course. So anyway, so I'm rooting for them and I'm Sitting there going, please punt, Please punt. Please punt. Please punt. Because you know the. He's got a choice. It's going to come down to one play, and he can either have the ball in Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry's hands, or he can give the ball to Josh Allen. It really boils down to that. Like, who do you. Who. Who. If you're John Harbaugh, who do you want with a game on the line? Like, I'd rather take it with my guys. And then, by the way, you still have three timeouts, and then it's in midfield. Like, if they don't get it, like, that's.
- [03:14]
Connor Rogers
Anyway, if you don't get it, you don't definitely lose the game.
- [03:17]
Matthew Berry
Exactly.
- [03:17]
Connor Rogers
You make the ball back faster. The way it unfolded, you. You've just sentenced yourself to. Because now it's automatic death. Because if they do score, you're done. Because you're out of time. So they got to drive down the field. I thought that was just as incredible. Like, there was so much Twitter chat leading up to that about, why are the Ravens ever throwing the ball? Like, why isn't Derek Henry just throwing the ball every time? It's like, no, let's put the ball in Lamar Jackson's hands. Give Lamar. Lamar had those two drives at the end. He got one play. He got one play on two drives, which was the pass to Hopkins, which was short. It's like, no, how about we give Lamar Jackson multiple chances to win the game? That's why I love what Harbaugh did with Justin Herbert on Friday night. Where.
- [03:53]
Jay Morrison
Yeah, the other Harbaugh.
- [03:54]
Connor Rogers
Yeah, trying to. Exactly. Trying to run out the clock to win the game. No, it's called pass play. First play. Let's do this. Let's just be aggressive and actually go and win the game. So credit to Josh Allen, credit to Sean McDermott. Anti credit to John Harbaugh.
- [04:08]
Jay Morrison
This is a good question from. Raise the Flags and I'll let you two answer this. I can't judge my own.
- [04:12]
Matthew Berry
Who has the better ankles, Matt Prater or Matt Berry?
- [04:16]
Jay Morrison
Yeah, it's a good question.
- [04:17]
Connor Rogers
You know what?
- [04:17]
Matthew Berry
Actually, Matt Prater today, after that performance.
- [04:19]
Connor Rogers
Everything that happened in that game, which was so ridiculous and one of the most just surreal football games you'll ever see, the fact that Kyle Hamilton didn't block the field goal, like, in real time. Kyle Hamilton was like, minus thousands of blocks of that field goal. He got a hand on it, ball moved right. I still understand how it wasn't blocked. Anyway, that was just one of 8,000 things that was wild about that game.
- [04:37]
Jay Morrison
And the other thing is, is that as awesome as a game as that was on NBC and Peacock, I'm a company man. As awesome as that game was, guys, I don't know that there's a ton of takeaways from it because it was such a bat blank, crazy game.
- [04:50]
Matthew Berry
It was a fantasy powerhouse game.
- [04:52]
Jay Morrison
It was an interesting game. Right? And I mean, my Twitter blew up from people that, like, they were dead and they were done. And then all of a sudden they had Henry or they had Allen or they had Lamar or Zay Flower. Like, you know, so many superstars from that game. Like, including, by the way, Roto Pat, who, you know, I had Derrick Henry and I was feeling pretty good. But then Roto Pat and his Josh Allen.
- [05:13]
Matthew Berry
The old Josh Allen trick.
- [05:14]
Jay Morrison
Yeah. Oh, my God. Anyway, and I, of course I had a 0 from Xavier Worthy. So anyway, I'm 01 in the league of assholes despite having like the 3rd or 4th highest score in the league because Rotopad had Josh Allen. You just sort of see the fantasy goodness there as well, you know, whatever. Six different players over 20 points. Josh Allen, Lamar, of course, Derrick Henry mentions eight flowers, but Keon Coleman and James Cook, welcome to the party. It was nice to see Dalton Kincaid get in the end zone. And how about DeAndre Hopkins? Not. Not done yet. People had thought he was unbelievable. Josh Palmer with a nice debut for the Colts, for the Bills as well, I should say. So let's, I mean, let's talk. It's just. I don't know what to make of this. I mean, Josh Allen threw for almost 400 yards, four or six attempts.
- [06:00]
Matthew Berry
Let's hear from Josh Allen. Although it was a wild game. And Keon Coleman.
- [06:04]
Jay Morrison
Yes.
- [06:07]
Connor Rogers
No one on the sideline blinked.
- [06:09]
Jay Morrison
I mean, down 15 points, whatever we.
- [06:13]
Connor Rogers
Were with five, six minutes left, staying with it. Fans leaving, you know, the stadium.
- [06:21]
Jay Morrison
You know, you got to play this.
- [06:22]
Connor Rogers
Game for 60 minutes and that's, that's a really good outfit that we just played. And you know, God willing, we.
- [06:28]
Jay Morrison
We take care of business how we're.
- [06:29]
Connor Rogers
Supposed to and how we think we will. You know, it's probably a team we'll see again. So, you know, they're a greatly coached team. Hats off to them for having a really good game plan. But, you know, gotta we stuck in there and I'm just proud of our guys.
- [06:43]
Jay Morrison
What about Keen, everybody starting with him, stepping up this year. What about what he did for you tonight?
- [06:48]
Connor Rogers
He stepped up for us, made some good plays.
- [06:52]
Jay Morrison
Proud of him. That didn't seem like a, that didn't seem like a full throated endorsement. That was like, yeah, he stepped up.
- [07:00]
Connor Rogers
He was exhausted.
- [07:03]
Matthew Berry
The adrenaline finally wore off.
- [07:04]
Jay Morrison
He might have been 24% target share. That was a team high. And 94% route participation for Keon Coleman. That was great. Got two end zone target. It was 50% of the team's end zone targets. But if there's one concern here about Keon Coleman, guys, he had. Of his eight catches that he had in this game, seven of them came in the fourth quarter when they were in crazy comeback mode. That's not how the Bills want to play the majority of the year and that's not how they're going to have to play the majority of the year. They want to be more balanced. They want to be, you know, more run heavy. Not, not a run heavy team, but they want to be more run heavy than they were last night.
- [07:37]
Connor Rogers
Yeah, I think it's just again folds into the fact that I think there's a lot of small takeaways. Like Duncan K looks spry and look good and looked healthy as we expected him to be. James Cook got a lot of work in the receiving game. Again, a small thing like Keon Coleman. So much of it was out of structure, these crazy plays. I do think it's a good sign that Keon Coleman, he seems to be on the same mental wavelength with the Josh Allen on these crazy Josh Allen out of structure plays, which is not the easiest thing. But yeah, I don't think that, you know, going forward it's like, yeah, Keon Coleman definitely locked in Josh Allen's wide receiver one every single week. I think it's going to be a little dispersed.
- [08:09]
Jay Morrison
But you know what, I do think that at least again the numbers are all inflated because it was a, it was just a bizarre game. I mean like 81 points are scored in this game. Like I can't imagine what the, the over under was like was 50. It's like 51 and a half. So I mean like, I wonder if he's taking an outline of like over 80, what kind of odds you would have gotten there. But what I will say is, is that we did get with. It's basically it's going to be Coleman and Palmer on the outside and Shakir in the slot, right? Palmer and Shakir each get nine targets. Coleman gets the 11. Again, those numbers are inflated because they were so pass heavy. But like that's going to be the thing. I mean Kincaid, even in a game in which he passed almost 50 times. Kincaid got four targets. I mean, you know, so I do think the passing game at least we got some narrowness to, you know, and Curtis Samuel was out. But still like, it feels like at least we have a better sense of what the Bill's passing attack is.
- [08:59]
Connor Rogers
I think a big thing for all these week one games is like how an offense's usage and who gets usage in a given game is so much dictated by the opponent. And we've only seen one opponent for each of these teams. Like Josh Allen was just going after whoever Jay Alexander was on. And it's going to be hard for Dalton Kincaid when he's going up against a team that has Roque on Smith and Kyle Hamilton patrolling the middle of the field. So let's see what it looks like, you know, next week against the Jets.
- [09:20]
Matthew Berry
I think one we can question though a little bit in this game right now, Jay, is Mark Andrews at this point because now we're starting to get a larger sample size of just is Mark Andrews just not that guy in terms of how much you can count on him as a tight end in fantasy anymore?
- [09:33]
Connor Rogers
Yeah, I think that look, it's suddenly a crowded pass catching room. Which it, the thing was it wasn't for Mark Andrews. For so long his competition when he was peak, Mark Andrews was like Devin Duvernay. But now it's like, all right, Sammy Watkins.
- [09:45]
Jay Morrison
Yeah, Nelson Aguilera.
- [09:47]
Connor Rogers
Exactly. Just the revolving door of Lamar Jackson's wide receivers. Hollywood Browns like the big, the big competition. And now it's like, okay, well Zay Flowers looked incredible. Rashad Bateman has taken a huge leap as a player. Isaiah likely is going to come back. DeAndre Hopkins is going to be a real part of this offense. And then also they have possibly the best running back in football, the fumble notwithstanding at the end. So this offense is just completely loaded. I think that there are weeks where Mark Andrews will have good games and explosive receptions, but I don't think that he is a guy that you want to count on week in, week out.
- [10:16]
Jay Morrison
I mean, look, for as crazy as the game is, Lamar Jackson only attempted 19 passes. But you know, he, he was targeted once on 15 routes. Mark Andrews was 5% target share, had a under 70% route participation, played 76% of the snaps. And by the way, like I might one of my bets, part of my parlay on Football Night America, one of the legs was four receptions from Mark Andrews because obviously that didn't cash. The argument that I made was like he had a 22% target share last year when Isaiah likely was out the four games that likely missed and this game he got a 5% target share. He is a touchdown dependent tight end and there's a lot of them. Right. But I mean that's basically all he is. If you're starting Mark Andrews, he needs to get in the end zone for him to pay off. Anovac's card says Mark Andrews will get his. He was open a few times last night. He was, but so are other guys to. The point is there's a lot more competition for targets on a team that wants to run and can run. That's the problem here with Mark Andrews.
- [11:18]
Matthew Berry
It's a matchup that you actually like because if you're going to look at weaknesses of the bill, sometimes it is the middle of the field. They've had some problems at safety so this is definitely one to keep an eye on and you might have to make a quick pivot early in the season. Let's keep it rolling here guys. We got a lot of games to go through.
- [11:31]
Jay Morrison
If I was redrafting, Mark Andrews would not be in my top 10 tight ends.
- [11:34]
Matthew Berry
We're going to go through weekend warriors and Sunday scaries. But how about the well anticipated shootout known as Jets Steelers at MetLife? The over under for this game closed at 37 and a half. They exploded past this as the quarterback stand atop the scoreboard there Justin Fields. Aaron Rodgers throws for four touchdowns. Of course one was a pop pass to John O. Smith because Arthur Smith will never quit. John Smith.
- [11:58]
Jay Morrison
No.
- [11:59]
Matthew Berry
But before we get into any of this, let's hear from Aaron Rodgers on beating the Jets Sound that I didn't put in the rundown but our producing team did.
- [12:07]
Jay Morrison
Interesting. You spoke about the meeting with Aaron Glenn on McAfee a few months ago. Beating him. Is there significance in that since he basically told you to your face that he didn't think you were right for that team?
- [12:20]
Connor Rogers
Yes, that's what he did.
- [12:22]
Jay Morrison
So there's significance in beating him for you.
- [12:24]
Connor Rogers
I was happy to beat everybody associated with the Jets. There were probably people in the organization didn't think I could play anymore. So it was nice to remind those people that I still can.
- [12:39]
Jay Morrison
I will say bitter Aaron Rodgers is a fun Aaron Rodgers.
- [12:44]
Connor Rogers
Like I just, I go the other way. I'm a big Seahawks fan. Next week Seahawks crush him.
- [12:48]
Jay Morrison
Honestly, I'll join you on that. I. I much prefer like that's honest. Like give Aaron Rodgers credit. 100 honest. Yes, that is.
- [12:57]
Matthew Berry
He's always going to say he's not Going to mince Warrens in the podium.
- [13:01]
Connor Rogers
What did the jets do to him again?
- [13:03]
Matthew Berry
Gave him Nathaniel Hackett, gave him Alan Lazar. Gave him everything he could have ever asked for. Randall Cobb.
- [13:08]
Jay Morrison
Randall Cobbs stood by him while he. He tore his Achilles on the fourth place.
- [13:12]
Matthew Berry
Still paying Alan Lazard, by the way. Yeah, he's still. He was inactive, but he still collects the check.
- [13:17]
Jay Morrison
No, he's up. He's upset at them because they told him they didn't want him back this year.
- [13:20]
Matthew Berry
Yeah, he was happy with how the meeting went with Aaron.
- [13:22]
Jay Morrison
Right. That's what it is. Which is fair.
- [13:24]
Matthew Berry
That's fine.
- [13:25]
Jay Morrison
Which is fair. No, 100%, you know. You know, no one likes to be fired, which is what he was. Right. And so. But like, well, there you go, jstab saying exactly what you just said. Connor, Aaron Rodgers acting like he didn't waste two years of the jets time and made them sign all of his friends.
- [13:42]
Matthew Berry
You know, Aaron Glenn's got one shot at this. And he wasn't down for the Aaron Rodgers experience.
- [13:46]
Jay Morrison
I don't blame him.
- [13:47]
Matthew Berry
And Aaron Rodgers has a fresh start with Pittsburgh. That's off to a great start.
- [13:51]
Jay Morrison
Yeah. Right.
- [13:51]
Matthew Berry
The question I have for you.
- [13:52]
Jay Morrison
Yes, sir.
- [13:53]
Matthew Berry
To pivot back to fantasy. He throws for four touchdowns. Is this news or noise?
- [13:59]
Jay Morrison
I think this is noise.
- [14:00]
Matthew Berry
This is probably the best fantasy game of the season.
- [14:02]
Jay Morrison
I think. I think it is. I mean, like, his average depth of target was under 5 yards. Now, again, like, I've said this, like, I think fantasy wise Arthur Smith drives us crazy. But I actually, you know, I said this last year that like John who. No, John, by the way. I was right on. John Usmith and Kenneth Gainwell, who played the most snaps of any running back, by the way. And so. But my point is that Arthur Smith actually calls a good game. I actually think he's a good offensive coordinator. He drives us crazy for fantasy. But in terms of what we said is if he'll play within structure, meaning if Aaron Rodgers plays within structure and they run the ball effectively and set up play action here. But no, I mean, there was a lot of stuff after the catch in terms of this. And no, I think Aaron. We've seen Aaron Rodgers best fantasy game of the year. Justin Burke saying, buy this dip, Jon will be a top eight fantasy tight end this year. I agree. But I mean, like, again, to the point of like, Arthur Smith drives us crazy. The wide receiver that had the most routes was Calvin Austin. It wasn't DK Metcalf.
- [15:04]
Matthew Berry
I think the nice thing is we're actually starting to finally figure out Arthur Smith. Yeah, like, we saw value in John New Smith. We saw a little value in Kenneth Gainwell, Calvin Austin, they were targeting Brandon Stevens at will, which is the right choice.
- [15:15]
Connor Rogers
Yeah, indeed. I think that it was good. Rogers was definitely played well, but I didn't think that he played, you know, he had a password in close to 150. I don't think he played that well. To your point, Matthew, about the yak. It was all yak. He had negative EPA through the air.
- [15:28]
Jay Morrison
It was QBR, was 62.
- [15:30]
Connor Rogers
Yes. So I think with Rogers probably is his best game. He still can't really move. He had tried to escape pressure once and throw what should have been a really bad pick that was dropped. He got sacked four times. Like, I think Aaron Rodgers is going to be a fine quarterback, but this is almost, almost certainly very likely his best game of the season.
- [15:47]
Jay Morrison
Yeah, they lucked out in this game. I mean like, right. I mean, so Boswell hits a 60 yarder. He's a very good kicker. But like again, like to set that up, they get the, you know, triple deflection. The triple deflection, right. DK Metcalf pops it up, somebody pops it back, DK catches it. So yes, to your point, he doesn't run much. Rather have Justin Fields, who does run, who actually had a better QBR than Aaron Rodgers does, which is an ESPN stat. On a scale of 1 to 100, his QBR was 6.79.5 compared with just 62 for Aaron Rodgers. Jacob Lund wants to know, is Justin Fields a top five fantasy quarterback going forward? I don't know that he's top five, but I think he's like top eight. I had him at QB9 going to the preseason. He was on the preseason love list and this is why he is somebody that every time he starts, all he does is produce fantasy points.
- [16:32]
Connor Rogers
Here's the thing though, like some of the guys who are going ahead of field, Patrick Mahomes, who doesn't have any receivers anymore, Bo Nix, who looked horrific yesterday. I'd rather have Justin Fields than Bo Nix. My homes will say, still rather have Joe Burrow over Justin Field. So I can't get him into the top five. But he's knocking on the door of six, seven. I reckon he's a legit.
- [16:50]
Jay Morrison
He's a legit QB one, a legit starting quarterback in the NFL and kind of. We were talking about this before the show, but Breece hall, who a lot of people and I'm raising my Hand right here. Kind of wrote off in the preseason like he's injury prone. They're going to throw to him. He looked awesome.
- [17:05]
Matthew Berry
He looked as good as he's looked in years. Breeze Hall. But the, you know, the funny thing is Breece hall has this great game. The jets line was awesome. Even without Elijah Vera Tucker. Breece goes over 100 rushing yards, which he doesn't typically do anymore. He looked fresh. His touchdowns were all vultured by Justin Fields and Braylon Allen. So it's not that Breece's looks great and this might be Breece's best career year, but in fantasy that might be sustainable. The two runs for Fields were designed. One was a sneak and one was the play action rollout where he walked to the pylon. They love Braylon Allen down at the goal line. So you, you almost.
- [17:39]
Jay Morrison
Is Breece Hall a cell high? I mean, because I think people, fantasy managers will be looking at this, you know, like. Oh, like you know, he had this.
- [17:45]
Matthew Berry
Monster game and what you can get.
- [17:46]
Jay Morrison
Yeah, yeah.
- [17:47]
Matthew Berry
I mean I, I just, I worry about this being the problem this year. Breece is great in real life. He's great for the jets, but does he need to run for 100 yards and catch a couple passes to have a standard fantasy day while Fields and Braylon Allen are stealing his touchdowns? That and it feels scrambled for one of those touchdowns, I'd be like, yeah, that's a little fluky, even though he can do that. But they're designed runs over and over again. So Breece was awesome. I just think he might be capped in fantasy if he doesn't score touchdowns consistently.
- [18:15]
Jay Morrison
Yeah. For a team that put up 34 points the way the Steelers did, I don't know that there's a lot of fantasy takeaways. We tried to warn you on Caleb Johnson returning kicks. Yeah, he's on special teams. He got one carry. If you out there have Caleb Johnson, it's your own fault. Because we could not have been more clear about what this backfield was going to look like here. And I do think better days are ahead for Kenneth Gainwell and Jalen Warren in that run game there as well. Garrett Wilson. Just amazing.
- [18:43]
Matthew Berry
Julio, thank you. Question here. Is Braylon Allen matchup dependent and is it Breece's running back room as the clear RB one? I think yes to the latter. To the former. About Braylon Allen, I don't think you're comfortably starting him unless you're in a bi week disaster right now. Fields and Breece just have too much equity with this team right now, you would need Breece to get hurt to start Braylon out. I say Davis got a couple carries. Yeah, so. And then. Yeah, like you said, Matthew, Garrett Wilson just so obvious how much he's going to be targeted.
- [19:10]
Jay Morrison
Last note here, Alan Lazard still on the jets payroll. A healthy scratch. Yes, yes. He got to. He got to Aaron Rodgers. Yeah, exactly. He got to sit in the street clothes, watch Aaron Rodgers just destroy his team. So the last thing I'll say here is obviously unfantasy, but just if I'm a Jets fan, tough loss, but I have to feel like we have a quarterback.
- [19:31]
Matthew Berry
It's the best the offense has looked in quite a long time.
- [19:34]
Jay Morrison
We have a quarterback. That loss wasn't on Justin Fields at all.
- [19:38]
Matthew Berry
No. Couldn't ask more for me.
- [19:39]
Jay Morrison
No, exactly. Garrett Wilson got to hang on to that ball.
- [19:41]
Matthew Berry
They have the Bills next week. Which Jets? Bills. Sounds crazy. Could be a shootout. You could love both sides of the offense on the run for sure.
- [19:47]
Connor Rogers
Yeah. I think there's a reasonable chance the jets finished second in that division.
- [19:50]
Matthew Berry
Well, that's. That's going to take us to our next game. That was a disaster for the Miami Dolphins as the Colts and Daniel Jones pretty much did whatever they wanted in this game. And we're gonna, you know, as you see the score leaders here, Daniel Jones at the top, Michael Pittman, Tyler Warren had a really good game. Before we get to any of this, we heard from TUA on what was just, quite frankly, an embarrassing day for Miami.
- [20:15]
Jay Morrison
I would say this was. This was a lack of a lot of things today. I can speak more so on the offensive side, as we were trying to get things started, get things rolling. You know that that's just not how you start the game. Interception. We come back out the next drive, turn the ball over with a strip sack. You know, next drive, we just can't get anything going. So, you know, how do you. How do you build off of that is what we're.
- [20:41]
Matthew Berry
We're looking forward to. I mean, not much life there.
- [20:47]
Connor Rogers
It's difficult. I mean, you never want to overreact to one guy. That was as. That was a zero percentile performance from the Miami Dolphins. They look like. And there was a lot of concerns coming into the season. They got all these injuries, like, didn't end great last year. Like, could this be the disaster team? They certainly look like it yesterday, Matthew. I don't like just everything was broken about the offense to a. Look bad. Tyreek Hill did not look like Tyreek Hill. Jalen Waddle got hurt and then comes back Devon H and gets some stats like, like it just. Overall I think that there's still too much talent here. I still trust Mark McDaniel off. I think they're going to bounce back, but I don't know what that looks like. I don't think this is an elite offense by any means.
- [21:23]
Jay Morrison
So I'll tell you a couple of things here. I think there's a scenario now we'll see they play. They're home to the Patriots next week. So I mean that's, that's potentially a win because the Patriots did not look good.
- [21:33]
Connor Rogers
Dolphins are one and a half point favorites there, which is pretty stunning that they're favored in the NFL game after yesterday. But that just goes to show but.
- [21:40]
Jay Morrison
Like so that'll be really telling. Like again a home opener against a team that they should be that they're favored to win, right? But Also if they're 1/2 point favorites means basically they're saying they're a pick em with New England, right? Who, who you know, Geno Smith came in and carved up yesterday. So we'll talk about that in a little bit. We'll get into this more tomorrow in the wave wire show. But I'm just going to say this. I think, I think the Dolphins are a tear down situation again. I mean I think this is going to be, we'll see how it plays out. But my expectation is based on what we saw yesterday. Like I don't know, the offense will be better, tool will be better. Like they just have too much talent on offense but the defense does. Like the Colts had their way with them and, and you know, we wonder this going out of the preseason, like who's playing defense for these guys because they've had so many injuries. I think Tyreek Hill has a very real chance to be this year's Devonte Adams where you know, in a couple of weeks when, when they realize, you know, hey this ain't going our way, we've got to tear it all down and restart. Why wouldn't listen, right? That's so obvious, right? I mean like they brought back Kareem Hunt, you know, like why wouldn't the Chiefs bring back Tyreek Hill? They clearly need a wide receiver, right? And so you bring back Tyreek Hill and so this is why we'll talk about it tomorrow on the waiver show. But Malik Washington should be a priority on waiver wire because I think he's going to be a factor at some point this season. Trap X Nation says Tyree kill to the Chiefs like he never left 100%. So I wouldn't bail on Tyreek Hill here, but just, you know, we'll get into this story, but like, they just, they looked awful. You know, three turnovers, three sacks. They had only 12 first downs. Isn't like. Do we think the Colts defense is that good or is it. They're just that inept.
- [23:21]
Connor Rogers
I think the Colts defense actually will be better than average. I like Luana Rumo, who I think was just scapegoated in Cincinnati because they had to get rid of someone because they just didn't have any talent on defense. A respected defensive coordinator, super creative, does a lot of funky stuff. I think they've got more talent. They have a good defensive line. Various. Ward comes in to be CB1. I think that defense is going to be above average or like the 14th best defense or whatever. But the Dolphins, Connor, I mean, I think we've seen enough from Tour across his career. We know like, Tour is a good quarterback. Like, he's not a bad quarterback. And if you have a good quarterback with weapons, then you can't be this bad consistently. But there might just be something in the water in Miami.
- [24:00]
Matthew Berry
That's where I kind of go to. At what point. I know this is dangerous after week one, but it was. There's a lot of bad quotes this offseason. At what point is this team just starting to quit on Mike McDaniel? Like, you have another one like this and that's going to be the narrative. Whether you agree, believe it, don't believe it. It just feels. I mean, there was a lot of bad Tyreek Hill quotes this offseason. It's a team that's dealt with a lot of injury on defense over the years to core players that are trying to work back. They have problems on the back end. The offensive line is in a transition this year.
- [24:29]
Jay Morrison
And by the way, just look at their upcoming schedule. So if they don't beat the Patriots, their next game is they're at Buffalo and. And then they're home to the Jets. So, I mean, like, there's a real scenario. They're 0 and 4 and division games, right? 3. Right. So it's just like this could. This could get really ugly, really quick on the cold side of the ball. Guys, you see here, you see their schedule. They have the Panthers at week five. Okay, fine, they're the Panthers at week five. But then week six, home to the Chargers. Week seven at the Browns. That's not going to be easy game. Week eight at The Falcons. And then a week nine, a short week, the Thursday night game against The Ravens, week 10, they play the Bills again and then they got to go to Madrid to play my commanders before they get to a buy.
- [25:11]
Matthew Berry
Like you might not make it today.
- [25:13]
Jay Morrison
I mean like that's a, there's, there's a rare real chance they're like they're three and seven, you know, heading into the buy or whatever it is. You know, they're. They're 4 and 7.
- [25:21]
Connor Rogers
Yeah. To give context as well in terms of like potential tear down, in terms of like odds on next coach to, to lose their job. It's like Mike McDaniel, tier one. It's basically Mike McDaniel versus the field versus the other 31 coaches and head to head pick him. So yeah, I think that that's definitely trending in the wrong direction.
- [25:38]
Jay Morrison
Yeah. Talk about the cold side of the ball though. I feel like for the most part we were right. There's one thing that.
- [25:43]
Matthew Berry
But Warren.
- [25:44]
Jay Morrison
Yeah, I Mean Tyler Warren, 100% 31.
- [25:47]
Connor Rogers
What you called this Daniel Jones thing.
- [25:48]
Jay Morrison
Yeah. No, no.
- [25:49]
Connor Rogers
Was I not the Daniel Jones guy?
- [25:51]
Jay Morrison
I was saying we. I said we. I was actually going to give you credit.
- [25:53]
Connor Rogers
Okay, well I don't reckon you weren't.
- [25:55]
Matthew Berry
I love fight over Daniel claiming Dan.
- [25:58]
Connor Rogers
No, he's basically peak Pyton Manning.
- [26:00]
Jay Morrison
I don't know about that. But Daniel, look, we've talked about this on the show and credit to you, like you've also said this as well. Like you've talked about this and I think you actually said it on Fantasy bowl pregame yesterday as well that we thought Daniel Jones would be competent here. Like he's actually a very good fit for Shane Steichen's offense. This is somebody who has had a top 10 fantasy quarterback season on his resume. Is he a top 10 fantasy quarterback? No. But is he competent enough to like is he viable in a two quarterback super flex league? 100%. And is he good enough to get the ball to the guys that we care about? Yes. Like Anthony Richardson ain't getting that job back anytime soon barring injury.
- [26:36]
Connor Rogers
And just the way to look at it is you're not betting on Daniel Jones per se, you're betting on Shane Steichen through the Daniel Jones vessel. And Shane Steichen again was the guy who got the initial career season out of Jalen Hurts was the guy who took Gardner Minshew to 9 and 8 and one catch from winning the division. Like I just think that there is enough out there to believe that Shane Steichen is one of the best offensive minds in the NFL.
- [26:57]
Jay Morrison
Could not agree more.
- [26:57]
Matthew Berry
How about this one from Johnny Dangerly, Danny Dimes or Dak going forward?
- [27:01]
Jay Morrison
Still Dak.
- [27:02]
Matthew Berry
Yeah, I still like Dak as well.
- [27:03]
Jay Morrison
Still Dak, but I get the question. I get the question. Yeah. Warren, 31% target share. You know, they only threw the ball into the red zone three times. Two of them went to Tyler Warren here as well. But the one thing I did think that Josh Downs would have a bigger role than he did and he didn't in this one. You know, Josh Downs Just 2 for 12 on three targets. Michael Pittman more involved than I thought he would. Eight targets, six for 80 as well. Pittman had a 27% target share. No other Indianapolis wide receiver was over 11%. So I do think again we're always looking for clarity. You know, it's, it's Pittman and it is Tyler Warren. I love Josh Downs and again, it's only one game. You don't want to react too much, but bummer. Also like by the way, I, I had Jonathan Taylor. My, you know, I did the, the touchdown draft with LeBron. I ended up winning. No big deal, just saying. But I got screwed out of. Jonathan Taylor was one of my guys and like should have had, should have had at least one touchdown, you know, and they gave it to Daniel Jones on the tush push twice.
- [28:06]
Connor Rogers
I would say just one thing. I would try and trade for Jonathan Taylor today because people will be disappointed because he only had like 71 rushing yards, didn't get into the end zone. D.J. giddens got a lot of carry swords in. He played 100% of the snaps in the first half and Daniel Jones looked really good. Like he is going to be a work, a true workhorse back on what I think is going to be a decent offense that is going to primarily.
- [28:26]
Jay Morrison
Rely on him especially because by the way, and if you, if you need to wait, go ahead. Like they played their Denver next week and then at Tennessee, so they got two tough run defenses the next three weeks. So I just think over the next couple of weeks Jonathan Taylor is going to be a great buy low candidate.
- [28:38]
Connor Rogers
For sure against Den Velocia. He did run into the end zone against them. Didn't score the touchdown as he entered the end zone, but did have a breakaway touchdown.
- [28:45]
Matthew Berry
Our next game guys, turned a little bit of a rock fight here between the Bengals and the Browns. A very bizarre game or maybe not so bizarre if you expected the Bengals to once again get off to A slow start. The leading scorer. Yes, that is Dylan Sampson. And then a very small drop down to club Said is back and better than ever. Harold Fanning getting in on the action. And then the two Bengals and Chase Brown and Noah Fant. Probably not the Bengal you expected to hear at the top of that board in Noah Fant. Let's hear from the Bengals in general and another slow start and some struggles on offense.
- [29:19]
Jay Morrison
I left two plays out there, you.
- [29:21]
Matthew Berry
Know what I'm saying?
- [29:21]
Jay Morrison
I dropped one and I didn't get my feet down on the other. So, you know, I'm a little. I'm not upset, but you know, I feel like I left something out there. I've been here long enough to know this whole year is a roller coaster. The first game is going to be a roller coaster at sports. At the end of the day, I just gotta, you know, be me, be myself and provide for the team. Defense stepped up.
- [29:41]
Matthew Berry
You know, the first half we were.
- [29:43]
Jay Morrison
Really rolling on offense and then, you.
- [29:46]
Matthew Berry
Know, it feels like we barely got.
- [29:48]
Jay Morrison
A first down in the second half.
- [29:49]
Connor Rogers
So we gotta get that fixed.
- [29:53]
Jay Morrison
Pretty honest.
- [29:54]
Connor Rogers
Bengals just kind of have these random games. I don't know why we won always week one.
- [29:59]
Jay Morrison
That's the point.
- [30:00]
Connor Rogers
Yeah, even still like Joe Bald, they'll just have these like. Even last year towards the end of like Burrow was amazing in the second half of the season. Like had a bad game in the last week against the Steelers. They just have these random games that pop up. They do tend to be earlier in the season. I think this is mainly just Miles Garrett who is still probably, along with Michael Parsons, the best defensive player of football. Going up against a very suspect offensive line just kind of wrecked everything from Bengals fan. I'm happy Joe Burrow got out of that game alive with the way the Miles Garrett was coming. They got sacked on three plays in a row and I think that you just throw this one out happy to bank the win and that they'll be fine going forward.
- [30:34]
Jay Morrison
His last three week one games, Joe Burrow averages 6.7 fantasy points per game. He's got one total touchdown pass. Ja' Mar Chase under 10 fantasy points in each of his last three week one games. T. Higgins, you think about the two week one games against Cleveland, 2023 and then this year 33 total yards. He didn't play in 2024, week one. So adjust. They start slow. It's just. It's the weirdest thing in the world. There's no real takeaway.
- [30:58]
Matthew Berry
Like you're sitting them.
- [31:00]
Jay Morrison
You're gonna right. You're gonna be fine with it. I think the more interesting story, like we know what Cincinnati is. I'm not. Whatever Noah Fant got loose for one. Whatever. We know what Cincinnati is. Chase Brown, I thought was really good as well. Team had 25 running back touches. 23 went to Chase Brown as well. He got all the team's red zone rushes. Chase Brown is going to be exactly what you drafted him to be, which is an RB one. I think the more interesting conversation here is Cleveland comeback player of the year, Joe Flacco. I thought jokes aside, looked pretty good. Looked pretty good.
- [31:29]
Connor Rogers
Yeah.
- [31:29]
Jay Morrison
Now he was going against the Cincinnati Bengals defense, but still he was ripping it, though. Yeah.
- [31:33]
Connor Rogers
He's still got his arm. Definitely never going to go away.
- [31:35]
Jay Morrison
No. And that's. And that's what we want from Joe Flacco. We want slinging Joe Flacco. That's what we talked about here. Now the weird part is is we slung it too. Right. So I thought David and Joker would have a big game. He had six targets, three for 37. But it was Harold Fannin who we've talked a little bit about that. He's rising up. But Connor, are you surprised to see this out of Fannin, the rookie out.
- [31:54]
Matthew Berry
Of Bowling Green, this early? Yeah, because you have Njoku in front of him. There's other mouths to feed in the offense. I know they used the top 100 pick on Fannin and he was one of the rare tight ends that was the focal point of his college offense. College tight ends typically the only two I could think of in the last couple years that are notable. Trey McBride and Harold Fannin. Trey McBride in the Colorado State offense, Harold Fannin in Bowling Green's offense in action. They were the guys. So it's not shocking because he's done it before, but it's a little surprising this early.
- [32:21]
Jay Morrison
Yeah. And again it was against the Cincinnati Bengals defense. But certainly we'll talk about Fannin a lot tomorrow, I'm sure, as we will with Dylan Sampson. So we got news over the weekend that Quinshon Judkins had signed. He was not active for this game. So it was Dylan Sampson and Jerome Ford. We thought Ford would be the guy and he was not. Sampson got more of the carries, didn't do much, 12 for 29 in this one, but he was really involved in the passing game. 8 for 64 on 8 targets. Got every ball that went to him. He out touched Jerome Ford, 27. He had a 19% target share, but only played 45% of the snaps. Are you surprised that Sampson got this much work in the passing game?
- [33:00]
Matthew Berry
A little bit. It's something he did well at Tennessee. I just didn't think we'd see this week. One where it's constant. My take on the Cleveland backfield is in a matter of time. Judkins is just going to be the guy and you're going to. These guys are going to be kind of afterthoughts. The premium pick they spent on Judkins, how they're going to use him because Sampson is not going to get any carries when Judkins is ready. So then you need the six catches and maybe if the Browns are playing from behind a lot, but they might play a lot of games like this that are just ugly.
- [33:25]
Jay Morrison
Yeah, just ugly fights. The last thing we'll say here. Club said always Cedric Tillman is good.
- [33:31]
Matthew Berry
I don't know what any. I know it's been a running joke on this for a while, but Cedric Tillman is a really good player. He's a nice possession receiver. He's a big body player that catches touchdowns. That's repeatable. So if you took Cedric Tillman for free at the end of your draft, good for you. You got a flex option if you really need one.
- [33:46]
Jay Morrison
Over his last five full games dating back to last season, averaging 18.1 fantasy points per game.
- [33:51]
Matthew Berry
That's crazy.
- [33:51]
Jay Morrison
I'm towed. Club said always open.
- [33:54]
Matthew Berry
All right, let's move over to Packers Lions here. And this was a game that the packers controlled for the most part. Honestly, at home, Jordan Love played really well. I know the fantasy numbers don't always show that at the top, but Jordan Love played well. Micah Parsons had a huge sack at the end of this game in his packers debut. Jameer Gibbs was solid, but kind of an uninspiring day from the Lions offense and we got to hear from Jared Goff and Coach Campbell on exactly that.
- [34:21]
Jay Morrison
I think really we just never, if you're Talking about the 60 minutes of.
- [34:26]
Matthew Berry
Offensive football, we really never got in a rhythm.
- [34:29]
Jay Morrison
You know, we did for a couple of drives, man, where we got it.
- [34:31]
Matthew Berry
Down there and then we didn't finish.
- [34:33]
Jay Morrison
You know, we weren't able to finish with seven. We had to settle for three. Then we have an interception.
- [34:38]
Matthew Berry
But other than that we just never.
- [34:39]
Jay Morrison
Really got in the rhythm.
- [34:40]
Matthew Berry
Yeah, we'll move forward fine.
- [34:41]
Connor Rogers
We will.
- [34:42]
Matthew Berry
We've got good players, we got good coaches.
- [34:44]
Connor Rogers
We'll be fine. It's just there needs to be a urgency of improvement, you know, it has to be. And today wasn't even close to good enough. I think offensively.
- [34:51]
Matthew Berry
And we got a lot of work to do. I'm going to be honest, guys. My takeaway from this game with the Lions and this is probably under the category of week one overreaction. Not a good start for John Morton, especially when Tanner Angstran on the jets staff looked really good. We'll see what Ben Johnson can do tonight. And they couldn't keep Ben Johnson, but this was the big decision to make to put John Morton in that seat. And I. It just didn't look like the Lions offense we have known to grow and love.
- [35:16]
Connor Rogers
Yeah. It's almost as watching that game and watching their offense made me feel compelled to bet the Bears to win tonight. Right. Because it's almost like correlated where this is. It's such a statement on what Ben Johnson potentially means something. Now look, it's week one. It's so just in general, you need to diminish at least like the emotional reaction is that week one is going to be what you're going to see every week. They will get better. They have too much talent to really fail. But I think it's a red flag. Matthew particularly, they just couldn't run the ball at all. That's been the identity of this team.
- [35:44]
Jay Morrison
Gibbs and Montgomery combined to average 2.2 yards per carry. I mean like 11 for 25 on Monty Gibbs, 9 for 19. Like, you know, they, they, they did 20 rushing attempts, you know, and had under, under 45 yards, you know. And so it was brutal. And then the other thing is just about how impressive this packers defense was or how uninspiring this Lions offense was. And it's kind of a little bit of both. I thought this stat line was the most telling. Jameer Gibbs caught 10 balls for 31 yards. Like, do you know how hard it is to catch 10 ball if you're Jameer Gibbs? Like and you've got that kind of speed in the open in open field and that kind of ability to catch 10 different balls and only get 31 yards. Like that's one of the most insane stat lines I've ever seen. Especially given the player involved.
- [36:31]
Connor Rogers
Yeah, I think that rose tinted glasses you'd say, okay, week one new system is going to be growing pains and there's a chance Connor, like the packers could have the best defense in football. Like that's on the cards. Like that defensive line. Rashan Gary looked awesome. Lucas Van Ness, that's the best that he is.
- [36:45]
Matthew Berry
I totally agree.
- [36:46]
Connor Rogers
Devontae Wyatt was great. Oh, you have Micah Parsons, who's still ranking up Adrian Cooper might be one of the three, four best linebackers in the league. One of the best.
- [36:54]
Jay Morrison
Yeah.
- [36:54]
Connor Rogers
Like so this defense, like the corners aren't great but it doesn't really matter that much of everyone else is absolutely amazing.
- [36:59]
Jay Morrison
So they're getting home and you don't have time to throw. Like it doesn't matter what they're doing on there.
- [37:03]
Matthew Berry
Golf that isn't going to escape a lot of those.
- [37:05]
Jay Morrison
So Mike, it's a victory Monday. So I'm wearing obviously five. But we play the Commanders, we play the packers on Thursday night. We're at Green Bay. That's Thursday night game. I am worried the weird part. So I am nervous about the Lions offense. I agree with you. I think you clearly missed both coordinators, right? You clearly saw that Ben Johnson and Aaron Glenn both very missed on the Detroit side of the ball. But the only thing I'll say here is that I don't know what you do about it fantasy wise. Like you're not getting rid of Amon Ross, St. Brown or either the running backs or LaPorta. LaPorta had a solid game 6 for 79 here as well. You know, I mean maybe you wait to see something from this offense before you start Jameson Williams or Jared Goff. I thought Goff looked bad in this game as well. So it's just, it's weird for as dominant as this game was, you know, and whatever, you know, I mean golf's numbers look better than they actually were because he gets a touchdown at the very end. Like Tesla with an amazing catch. A catch, yeah, but. But then on the other side of the ball, like is there the only thing I could take away that might change your opinion here is that like, you know, kudo to you Jay, because. Kudos to you because you set all presets and you thought Jordan Love, you know, a fully healthy Jordan Love could be a very big fantasy factor. This guy that was going like quarterback 18, 20 in drafts and I thought Jordan looked. Jordan Love looked very much the part he did.
- [38:29]
Connor Rogers
And that's the thing is last year he was dealing with injuries from week one where he does his MCL against the Eagles on the turf in Sao Paulo and then he hurts his groin later on and then elbow on the final week before the playoff game against the Eagles. I think that when he is healthy, when he's been healthy since the second half of 2023, he has played at an MVP level. He's been hyper efficient. And the thing that he does, Conor, is that he generates explosives through the air. He takes shots down the field. And so for fantasy purposes, it's just like, what do we do with all these receivers? Because there's so many of them. To me, the most interesting guy is still Matthew golden, who wasn't out there a ton.
- [39:02]
Jay Morrison
But.
- [39:03]
Connor Rogers
But he's the guy who I most want. Just he has the most scope to expand.
- [39:06]
Matthew Berry
Yeah. To me it's ironically still Tucker Kraft.
- [39:09]
Connor Rogers
Sure.
- [39:09]
Matthew Berry
Who only had two catches, but he catches the touchdown. He's just, it's. He's just always out there. That's the difference. I mean, tucker craft had 83% route participation. But I, I think the most important point is one you did make all summer, is Jordan Love is really good. And when he's healthy, it's just you probably don't want to play the roulette game of his receivers. But if you got Jordan Love or Tucker Kraft, you got to value at those position groups.
- [39:29]
Connor Rogers
Also, sneaky thing about Jordan Love as well, which doesn't matter so much. Fancy. But I think the point needs to be made to talk about this enough. It is so valuable when you don't get sacked as a quarterback. Jordan Love never gets sacked. Josh Allen never takes sacks. It's just such a hidden value and that is allows them to stay on schedule and so they can keep generating explosives through the air.
- [39:46]
Jay Morrison
Two last things, then we'll move on. But to your point, I don't want to play roulette with these wide receivers. Matthew Golden, a 9% target share, just a 57% route participation for the first round pick. That was shocking. Jaden Reed, I thought he was walking around on one foot, but Jaden Reed, 22% target share, had a 52% route participation. Again, it is mix and match. They also were dominating this game, so they didn't need to throw that much. We'll see what happens on Thursday night. They play after Washington. They're at Cleveland, at Dallas and then a bye. So more to be told on the packers, but great win for them. And I think we know you're starting Love, Kraft and Jacobs and that's about it till further notice.
- [40:26]
Matthew Berry
Our final game here, the Niners sneak one out against the Seahawks. That was quite the battle with a lot of injuries in this game. Somebody who wasn't hurt in this game and had over 30 touches was Christian McCaffrey who goes for over 23 points. Jackson, Smith and Jigba ends up with over 19. They're the standouts in this game. But we got to hear from CMC on all those touches after the win over Seattle.
- [40:52]
Jay Morrison
Sense of how your body.
- [40:53]
Matthew Berry
Is going to feel.
- [40:55]
Jay Morrison
Oh, amazing. Yeah, it's a really good defense, man. I mean you never, you go to an NFL game, you never know, you know how it's going to play out. You just got to be ready for the ops. And we knew that was a good defense. They don't give up a lot of explosives, so, you know, some of them was just stick your head in there and try to get as many as you can and stay on the field. We had a lot of long drives, but, you know, overall I was, you know, just happy we got that win. They're not all going to be pretty, but it was good to come out with a win.
- [41:25]
Matthew Berry
I hate to ask this right after that, but you have to. Is McCaffrey now a sell high candidate?
- [41:31]
Connor Rogers
I think he is. There's a couple reasons. Obviously there's the health concern and people, a lot of people are going to think it's alleviated because he got such a heavy workload. And look, he's always going to have the value because of the receiving and he was amazing as a receiver, but to me, he did not look like Christian McCaffrey. I understand the Seahawks have a good defense, but this team, when it's at its best, they generate a ton of explosives. He had 22 carries and none of them went for more than 13 yards. When he came back last year, all of his speed metrics were down across the board. He just didn't quite look. Maybe he can build up and get it back, but he's supposed to be healthy now and so I'm a little bit concerned there or like the rush yards over expectation. That stuff was very poor for McCaffrey.
- [42:09]
Jay Morrison
Yesterday at New Orleans home to Arizona, home to Jacksonville. So maybe no but like the but. But to your point, like we got. We got a question on fancy bowl pregame Sunday morning that was something like should I trade Chris McCaffrey for like was Bucky Irving and like a wide and Trevian Henderson. And we said yes, do that deal. Yeah. And so yeah, I mean like I wouldn't necessarily actively try to get rid of McCaffrey but yes, if somebody's willing to offer you in essence market value which at the moment number one running back in fantasy or like top three running back in fantasy. Like I would, I would certainly consider that because I'm with you. It just little, little concerning minus feel very shaky.
- [42:47]
Connor Rogers
It's very shaky. Just the injuries.
- [42:50]
Matthew Berry
Oh. I mean you lose Kittle really early on.
- [42:52]
Jay Morrison
Jennings yeah, and I mean, they need help. By the way, Kendrick Bourne returning to the 49ers has got an alert as well. So, like, you know, they, they're, they're looking for people there. To me, the biggest. And we'll see what happens with Kittle. Obviously, that was a tough one with a, with a hamstring injury. I have a ton of Kittle this year. That is very upsetting. Juwan Jennings also leaves with an injury to me. The biggest story from this game, however, is the running back room. We were on the other side of the ball in Seattle. We talked about this. We were concerned that, like, we don't know what's going on with this new offense coordinator. Like, there's a chance that Charbonnet, who looked good all through preseason, earns a bigger role. And that's exactly what happened. 12 for 47 looked better than Ken Walker, who just gets 10 for 12. 20, I should say. It was a split down the middle in the backfield. They used Walker as a pass catcher. They didn't use Charbonnet. But still, like, this is a committee, guys.
- [43:42]
Connor Rogers
Yeah, absolutely. Ken Walker did not look good either when he was out there. Did not look like himself again. Yeah, and they have trust in Charbonnet, so that does look like a genuine committee.
- [43:50]
Jay Morrison
Charbonnet played 58% of the snaps compared to just 40% for Walker. Charbonnet 12 touches. Walker 13 again. Charbonnet, the much better draft day value and nothing that we saw yesterday from the Seahawks in a tough loss makes me think that they're going to go away from that. The other concern here is let's see what they do next week. But Cooper cup just might be done.
- [44:10]
Connor Rogers
Yeah, that was for him.
- [44:11]
Matthew Berry
It didn't look great.
- [44:11]
Connor Rogers
They ascend to the moon.
- [44:13]
Matthew Berry
Couple injuries were tracking all throughout the week. Xavier Worthy, of course, left the game extremely early. Drake London with a shoulder. Brock Bowers said that he's okay. He left the game with a knee injury. George Kittle did not come back into the game with the hamstring injury. Juwan Jennings left with the shoulder. Evan Ingram with a calf injury. And Will Shipley. Saquon Barkley's backup that did get some work is dealing with a rib injury. We're going to take our first break. When we're back, we got our weekend warriors and Sunday scaries for you coming out of the first week with the NFL's return.
- [44:48]
Jay Morrison
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- [45:54]
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- [46:24]
Jay Morrison
AI had the time of my life.
- [46:30]
Connor Rogers
Hey, I never felt this way before.
- [46:34]
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- [46:45]
Jay Morrison
And I owe it all to you.
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- [46:55]
Connor Rogers
You know, when it gets to that situation, you know, we're down by, down by three, field goal to tie.
- [46:59]
Jay Morrison
We're shooting the kill.
- [47:00]
Connor Rogers
I mean, we, we want the win. That's just our mentality going into it. So, you know, field goal is, is can be plan B. And that's cool. But you know, we want, we want seven. I think the only way that he's able to trust me is just doing it every single day in practice. So building that chemistry, building that trust. And you know, when it comes to Sundays, we just let it rip. Everything that we've been training for, so it's nothing we haven't done before.
- [47:21]
Jay Morrison
In practice.
- [47:22]
Connor Rogers
We're Just this is the first time.
- [47:23]
Jay Morrison
The world's seen it.
- [47:26]
Matthew Berry
That was Bucs rookie wide receiver Emeka Buka. No Chris Godwin. No problem. As Emeka Buka gets his NFL career off to a great start for catch a city, 67 yards. He catches two touchdowns here. Matthew. Everything we thought he would be, knowing that Godwin's going to be down for a couple weeks.
- [47:41]
Jay Morrison
94% route participation. Half of his targets came on deep passes. They weren't scared to chuck it deep to him and they weren't scared to chuck it to him in clutch, important situations. So, you know, sometimes you see a performance on week one, you're like, ah, that was a little fluky. Ameca Buka is the opposite of fluky. Marvin Harrison Jr. Big Mech. I see you too.
- [48:01]
Matthew Berry
Those Ohio State wide receivers. The Ohio State wide receivers yesterday were all phenomenal.
- [48:06]
Jay Morrison
Jackson, Smith and Jegba.
- [48:07]
Matthew Berry
Garrett Wilson. Yeah, obviously we just talked about a Mecca Buka. How about Marvin Harrison Jr. J. Great start to his second season. 5 catches, 71 yards. He gets the touchdown as well.
- [48:16]
Jay Morrison
Yep.
- [48:16]
Connor Rogers
The main thing is just getting in the end zone. He looked explosive. Just the gap between him and every other wide receiver on the Cardinals is just such an enormous golf. Kyle Murray looked okay. It was kind of a very strange game. Very happy with the effort from my plucky New Orleans Saints. Yeah, they may be heard from, maybe competent.
- [48:31]
Jay Morrison
Right. They may make the. They may make the playoffs.
- [48:33]
Connor Rogers
My boy Spencer Rattler put it on an absolute dime to your former hero, Juwan Johnson, who dropped it in the end zone to tie it up late. Sainz might be a little. Might be okay.
- [48:42]
Jay Morrison
Harrison caught 83% of his targets that was tied for the second highest catch rate in a game of his career. He just. He looked better. He looked better.
- [48:49]
Matthew Berry
Confident, a little smoother.
- [48:51]
Jay Morrison
100%.
- [48:51]
Matthew Berry
I'll tell you who looked better. It was Debo Samuel. For your commanders, everybody was kind of wondering, is Deebo on his last legs?
- [48:57]
Jay Morrison
Yeah. There was some early camp photos. He sort of looked like Fat Debo.
- [49:02]
Matthew Berry
Fat Borks off the weight throughout camp and he's just on time in week one. Seven catches, 77 yards. I think more notable was the rush for 19 yards on the classic Debo jet sweep action.
- [49:13]
Jay Morrison
Matthew also had a. Yeah, I mean, looked, looked, Looked like Deebo. Right. Friend of the podcast multiple times. Deebo Samuel. They used him in creative ways. It was one of the reasons why we were excited when the commanders got him because he is such a fit for what Kliff Kingsbury wants to do on offense. Limited snapshare for McLaurin in his first game back. Obviously he missed a lot of training camp but the fact that six of his 10 targets came from the slot for Deebo Samuel just sort of lets you know that you know they'll have McLaurin, they'll have Noah Brown, the other guys on the outside but they're going to be really creative with Deebo Samuel. Not a fluke. Like I don't know if the targets may come down a little bit when McLaurin gets more up to speed but like the commanders were exciting between Deebo and Jakory, Crosky, Merritt, him and Ekeler Chris Rodriguez a healthy scratch Jay the.
- [49:56]
Matthew Berry
Raiders happy they didn't listen to Jacoby Myers trade request Nice start for him. Eight catches, 97 yards, almost 18 fantasy points without a touchdown for Jacoby.
- [50:04]
Connor Rogers
Yeah I thought the big thing too was Geno Smith looked great. He played really well in tough conditions against so I think it'll be a solid defense and the Patriots and Jacoby Myers the big beneficiary of that. Connor, your man Michael Pennix who had an amazing touchdown run. I don't know how he kept his shin off the ground on that but it was not like the deep deep ball throwing that we expected.
- [50:23]
Matthew Berry
Yeah it feels like the Bucs knew exactly what to do and the good thing is the Falcons adjusted and took what was there a more efficient day for Pennix. 2742 for almost 300 yards is not typically what you' see from Penix. You probably see less volume, some higher quality 3 point shots but hey the fact that he can adjust. Michael Pentac is going to be a very good quarterback in this league for a long time.
- [50:44]
Jay Morrison
Yeah by the way and like he had Drake London out there and then Ray Ray McLeod, Kyle Pitts got involved. I'm not just off the dump pass. Yeah Bijan had the big lot of yards after catch but still the fact of the matter is is that Penix by the way very quietly second rushing touchdown. He's got four career starts, he's got two rushing touchdowns. Not a big part of his game but somehow he keeps finding his way into the end zone. But I agree with you almost 300 yards gets you 21 rushing yards with his legs as well. Falcons have the seventh highest pass rate in week one with not a lot of guys out there. I get that it's Tampa Bay and that's always a shootout but still I.
- [51:18]
Matthew Berry
Think Pennock's interesting Sunday scaries here real quick CJ Stroud and Nico Collins not their best day for this Texans offense as a whole. Stroud under toner passing yards Matthew Nico Collins 3 for 25.
- [51:31]
Jay Morrison
Stroud was pressured to the sixth highest rate in week one. We thought that offensive line would be an issue. I'm not worried about Nico Collins, just a bad day at the office. Calvin Ridley was on the hate list from last week's show. Rightfully so. Right? We thought he'd be covered by Pat Certain and he was. Cam ward pressure on 53% of his drop backs. Better days ahead for the titans offense. Terry McLaurin had an 89% route participation. Just it wasn't there for him and they didn't need to. The Giants never really threatened them. And then of course let's talk about Tyrone Tracy of your New York Fighting Giants.
- [51:59]
Connor Rogers
10 for 24. He might have a new quarterback in two weeks. It's not good for the Giants. Sole training south five and a half point Dogs against Dallas. Just not a great sign.
- [52:07]
Jay Morrison
The offense just looks bad like third straight awful third straight. Third straight opening day for the Giants without a touchdown.
- [52:13]
Connor Rogers
That's correct.
- [52:14]
Jay Morrison
I mean like it's. Yeah, it's not good. Jackson Dart can't get here soon enough.
- [52:18]
Matthew Berry
Monday Night Football Preview Best Bets right after this.
- [52:23]
Jay Morrison
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Connor Rogers
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Jay Morrison
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Connor Rogers
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- [52:49]
Jay Morrison
Granger are the ones who get it done. AI had the time of my life.
- [53:00]
Connor Rogers
Hey, I never felt this way before.
- [53:03]
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- [53:15]
Jay Morrison
And I owe it all to you.
- [53:19]
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- [54:11]
Matthew Berry
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- [54:28]
Jay Morrison
Crown is yours.
- [54:31]
Matthew Berry
It's time for last call. Let's take a look at the most bet Monday Night football props on DraftKings lotta Justin Jefferson ladder style bets all the way 50 to 70 plus Caleb Blame's passing yards 220 plus Roma Dunes a who I think is going to have a really strong sophomore NFL season at 40 plus. Jay, where are you going with this one?
- [54:51]
Connor Rogers
Going to the Vikings run game. Jordan Mason over 39 and a half rushing yards. He set 11 yards lower than Aaron Jones, which I don't agree with. I think this will be a pure split. I think that Kevin o' Connell will want to lean on the run.
- [55:03]
Matthew Berry
I agree with you. I think also in the past game they're going to want to lean on the tight end for the young quarterback TJ Hawkinson going over 43 and a half receiving yards. This line has slowly moved up throughout the week. I think everybody's kind of catching on. J.J. mcCarthy is going to have to lean on that player in Hawkinson who was really good when he came back.
- [55:19]
Jay Morrison
I like both those bets. I was looking at a Mason line. I was looking at Hawkinson. You guys both took those. So how about Alameda Zacchaeus? That's right. I'm going with an Alamede Zacchaeus bet as well. You know Zacchaeus had the most yards and receptions from Caleb Williams in the preseason. He had the second highest target share as well. They like him. He's the number three wide receiver in a game in which I think Caleb Williams will have to throw. The line was 21.5 at the start of the show. It's up to 23 and a half now.
- [55:44]
Matthew Berry
Everyone's buying it.
- [55:45]
Jay Morrison
Still taking over. Everyone loves a Lambda Zacchaeus. So give me the over on lambda Zacchaeus at 23.5 receiving yards tonight. Here are some of my ranks for the game tonight I agree with you on Jones and Mason I really need Aaron Jones to have a big game here hopefully gets the end zone should be a lot of Jefferson Be interesting to see what the quarterbacks look like.
- [56:02]
Matthew Berry
Guys yeah especially JJ McCarthy the lights are going to be bright for this one but can Caleb Williams step up in year two as well under Ben Johnson? Boy if Ben Johnson has a hot start this division's going to get really.
- [56:13]
Connor Rogers
Ben Johnson plays next week Detroit Lions that's right.
- [56:16]
Jay Morrison
It should be a lot of fun. I also want to see what Colston Loveland does after Tyler Warren's hot start. Of course Loveland drafted ahead of Warren. It's closing time. You don't have to go home but you can stay here for Jay and Connor I'm Matthew. Good luck tonight on your Monday night miracles. We'll see you tomorrow. Peace out.