Week 12 Love/Hate: Derrick Henry, Tee Higgins, Colston Loveland, Patrick Mahomes

Summary

Fantasy Football Happy Hour with Matthew Berry

Episode: Week 12 Love/Hate: Derrick Henry, Tee Higgins, Colston Loveland, Patrick Mahomes

Date: November 20, 2025
Host: Matthew Berry (with co-hosts Jay and Lawrence Jackson)

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Episode Overview

This episode centers on Matthew Berry’s classic “Love/Hate” analysis for Week 12 of the fantasy football season. Along with co-hosts Jay and Lawrence, Matthew dives deep into matchup-based starts and sits, with particular focus on big-name players such as Derrick Henry, Tee Higgins, Colston Loveland, and Patrick Mahomes. The show is full of actionable advice, player debates, plus the signature mix of banter and humor that defines Fantasy Football Happy Hour.

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Key Discussion Points & Insights

Fun Open: Hair Jokes, Sports Apparel, and Banter

• The hosts riff on hair, AI “deepfakes” and the possibility of Matthew getting a Trevor Lawrence-style hair transplant.
  • “Should I get Trevor Lawrence hair? ...What I would actually do is I would probably keep my forehead. I wouldn't go crazy, but just more, just fill in up here.” – Matthew Berry [01:30]
• They debate sports jerseys and apparent allegiances, teasing Lawrence’s Houston Astros gear, and transition into the main fantasy football topics.
• Notable Moment: The playful banter sets a loose and witty tone for the episode and provides some needed laughter before the football talk intensifies.

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Running Back "Love/Hate" Discussion

Derrick Henry – King Henry’s Workload (Love)

• Key Points:
  • Derrick Henry is Matthew’s RB7 this week, citing his increased workload with 20+ touches in five straight games and NFL-leading goal-to-go rushing attempts since Week 6.
  • The Jets give up 19.7 fantasy PPG to RBs with 15+ touches.

“Since week six, he’s had at least 20 touches in five straight games... averaging 105 yards from scrimmage during that stretch.” – Matthew Berry [05:34]

• Insight: Even without a ton of receptions, Henry’s volume and red zone role make him a safe “love” play despite limited upside in the passing game.

Bijan Robinson – Receiving + Rushing Threat (Love)

• Key Points:
  • Bijan is ranked ahead of JT due to his dual-threat usage; likely to lead the Falcons in both rushing and receiving with Kirk Cousins likely limited post-Achilles.
  • Saints matchup projects him for heavy involvement.

Chase Brown – Pass Game Magnet (Love)

• Key Points:
  • With Samaje Perine out, Brown is fourth among RBs in utilization and is averaging 19 fantasy PPG over the past two weeks.
  • Patriots allow 5.7 receptions/game to RBs (most in NFL); Brown has a 26% target share over past two games.

“Chase Brown is getting a 26% target share... fourth among all running backs in utilization, averaging over 21 touches a game.” – Matthew Berry [08:07]

• Insight: Enormous usage, especially in the passing game, makes Brown a top-10 play regardless of New England’s defensive reputation.

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RB Start/Sit Questions & Comparison

[10:12] Viewer asks: Pick 2 RBs + Flex: Chase Brown, Breece Hall, Quinshon Judkins, Tyrell McMillan, Travion Henderson.

• Matthew and Lawrence advocate Henderson and Brown; Jay adds Tyrell McMillan for upside.

Quinshon Judkins (Love/Borderline)

• Faces Raiders who are mid-pack, but more giving versus the run recently.
• Volume projection high, but lacks recent efficiency.

Ashton Genti vs. Judkins (Rest of Season)

“I got to still go Genti because he’s had multiple games with 6+ targets... Juggins just not getting [enough]." – Lawrence [12:21]

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Running Backs: Others Receiving Votes

• Travis Etienne: 21 touches/game, top red-zone volume; solid play even as Bashal Tatutin emerges.
• Emmanuel Wilson (with Jacobs possibly out): Reliable double-digit scorer if workload is there.
• Ken Walker III: Has upside vs. Titans if workhorse role continues.
• Hate List: Tampa Bay RBs (messy committee, tough Rams matchup), Kyren Williams (tough Buccaneers rush D), Ashton Genti (bad Cleveland matchup).

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WR/TE "Love/Hate" Discussion

Tee Higgins (Love)

• Higgins is WR6 for the week due to Jamar Chase being out and impressive production with Flacco.

“Last three games he’s played without Jamar Chase: 23 fantasy points, 110 receiving yards in each…” – Berry [23:22]

Stefon Diggs (Love)

• “The Diggler” faces Bengals, whose defense is a sieve for WRs.

Chris Olave (Love)

• 31% target share without Rashid Shaheed; Falcons allowing big WR games.

Colston Loveland (Love)

• Rookie TE production spike; Steelers allow 5th-most PPG to TEs.

“First five games...played 45% of snaps; last four, 75%...third option on this team in 5 straight games.” – Lawrence [27:53]

Travis Kelce (Love)

• Colts have given up a TD to a TE in 4 of last 5; second-most yards per game to TEs.

“In a must-win game...Mahomes is going to be looking for 87, his most trusted weapon.” – Berry [29:27]

Others Receiving Votes

• Tetaron McMillan (rising rookie, WR3 since Week 8 on target share), Jameson Williams, Michael Wilson, Alec Pierce, and Hunter Henry (Bengals hemorrhage points to TEs).

Hate List: WR/TE

• Xavier Worthy, Trey Tucker (Raiders; relying on garbage time/TD), TJ Hockenson (McCarthy can’t get him the ball; only nine catches in four games).

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Quarterback "Love/Hate"

LOVE:

• Drake Maye: Number one overall this week against Bengals (high recent fantasy points allowed).

“It’s all bad Cincinnati stuff...Mace playing as well as any QB in the NFL.” – Berry [43:28]

• Patrick Mahomes: “Season on the line” vs. Colts, expected rushing reemergence, home favorite.
• Matthew Stafford: Top-six play v. Tampa Bay’s porous secondary.
• Brock Purdy: Healthy again, juicy matchup.
• Jared Goff: Bounce-back vs. Giants (highest passing TD rate allowed).

HATE:

• JJ McCarthy: Passing volume/efficiency woes; Packers allow lowest YPA.
• Kirk Cousins: Even with play-action, too many passing limitations, lacks weapons.
• Dak Prescott: Tough Philly defense, game script likely suppresses upside.

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Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments

• On Derrick Henry:

*“He’s averaging 105 yards from scrimmage during [last five games]...leads NFL in goal-to-go attempts.” – Berry [05:34]

• On Tee Higgins sans Chase:

*“23 fantasy points, 110 yards in each of the last three games without Jamar Chase.” – Berry [23:22]

• On Travis Kelce in must-win spot:

*“If you’re Patrick Mahomes in a must-win game, you’re obviously going to be looking for 87, his most trusted weapon over the years.” – Berry [29:27]

• On JJ McCarthy:

*“He’s been under 160 passing yards in four of his five starts...just nothing to hang your hat on.” – Berry [48:18]

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Back-and-Forths, Banter, and Pop Culture

• Hilarious Star Wars/Star Trek confusion segment, with Matthew being corrected by the “nerd army” on Spock’s title.

  • “It’s Mr. Spock, not Dr. Spock. Dr. Spock was a baby expert.” [41:45+]
  • Matthew: “Nerd!” [42:18]

• Ongoing jabs about AI, fantasy football culture (“Neck Brace Nation”), and who is melting in the cold for future outdoor broadcasts.

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Rapid-Fire: Viewer Questions and Parlay Bets

• Start/sit dilemmas handled in real-time with attribution (e.g., Emmanuel Wilson or Woody Marks based on Josh Jacobs injury uncertainty).
• “Last call” segment: Best bets for Bills at Texans Thursday Night Football.
  • Jay: Josh Allen over 32.5 rushing yards [54:09]
  • Lawrence: Davis Mills more passing yards than Josh Allen [54:49]
  • Berry: Nico Collins most receiving yards in the game [54:51]

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Timestamps for Key Segments

• Derrick Henry deep dive: [05:05] – [06:40]
• Chase Brown breakout: [07:40] – [09:18]
• RB viewer Q: [10:12]
• Wide Receiver “love” (Higgins, Diggs, Olave): [23:22] – [27:08]
• Colston Loveland & TE values: [27:53] – [28:44]
• Kelce/Chiefs-Colts TE talk: [29:27] – [30:29]
• Star Trek/Spock banter: [41:06] – [43:08]
• Quarterback rankings: [43:24] – [49:15]
• Last call/props & bets: [53:12] – [55:31]

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Takeaways & Fantasy Advice

• Derrick Henry is a “set-and-forget” starter as long as volume continues.
• Chase Brown’s passing role makes him nearly matchup-proof for now.
• Tee Higgins is in line for a massive week with Chase out, even if QB is Flacco.
• Colston Loveland could be a league-winning pickup in tight end-premium or deep leagues.
• Don’t trust Tampa RBs, Ashton Genti (vs. CLE) or the Vikings passing game.
• Target Travis Kelce, Travis Etienne, and Tetaron McMillan in matchups with forgiving defenses.
• Fade Kirk Cousins, J.J. McCarthy at quarterback unless desperate.

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For more in-depth insights, watch the video version on Peacock or the NFL on NBC YouTube Channel. For Matthew Berry’s full rankings and the 10 Factor column, head over to RotorWorld.com.

Transcript

[Matthew Berry]

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[Jay]

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[Matthew Berry]

The products you trust, from paper towels.

[Jay]

And disinfectants to floor scrubbers. Plus, you can rely on Grainger for easy reordering, so you never run out.

[Matthew Berry]

Of what you need.

[Jay]

Call 1-800-GRAIN click grainger.com or just stop by Grainger. For the ones who get it done.

[Matthew Berry]

You know what they should do? They should invent a wig that's also, like, really warm. So I could wear it and be like, oh, look, Barry's got hair. No one would even be onto that. No one would be onto that. Barry should get hair transplants to grow his hair out like Trevor. I would love that.

[Jay]

I would be opposed to that. Be too jarring.

[Matthew Berry]

I can't have that. Yeah, with the long, the Fabio look. Oh, my God.

[Jay]

Oh, goodness.

[Matthew Berry]

That's Michael. Not bad.

[Jay]

Ah.

[Matthew Berry]

Should I get Trevor Lawrence hair? We've got a poll. I would probably do. I would do shorter. Like, I would just. Honestly, what I would actually do, what I would actually do is I would probably keep my forehead. You know what I mean? Like, just, like, I wouldn't go crazy, but I would just. Up here, it would just be, you know, just more. I would fill in my, you know.

[Jay]

Oh, God. AI Very troubling.

[Matthew Berry]

See the boat. Should I do that? Should I get the Trevor Lawrence hair. Fantasy Football Happy Hour with Matthew Berry.

[Jay]

Welcome to the Fantasy Football Happy Hour. B Law. The AI offspring of T Law.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah.

[Jay]

Barry Lawrence breaks for free today. For better or worse. I'm Jake Groucher. Matthew Barry Lawrence Jackson El Segundo. Would Matthew Traveler Barry look better as a blonde or brunette?

[Matthew Berry]

Oh, that's a good question. I. I think neither. Yeah. Do we have to choose one? I sort of. I. Oh, that's a good question. Maybe a brunette.

[Jay]

Yeah, there's a lot going on here. First of all, I don't know why in the still that we showed in the open, why you look like Michael Keaton. Secondly, there is another photo, which maybe producer Stephen can bring up at some point during the show that was floated in a group chat. You on a horse with hair.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah.

[Jay]

Colt. Where you look like.

[Matthew Berry]

Well, that was. Yeah, that was last weekend. That was a picture from my excursion last weekend. So, Yeah. I don't know. The whole thing is bizarre. I did briefly think about showing up in a wig today, but then I decided.

[Jay]

You decided against it?

[Matthew Berry]

I decided against it.

[Jay]

Okay, well, you don't have it.

[Lawrence]

You decided, you know what? I'm not gonna look better than Lawrence did when he wore his blonde wig on this show. So let me just take that away.

[Matthew Berry]

I also said to myself, I said, you know what? No, you know what? Here's. What's gonna happen is Lawrence is gonna show up in his Shadur Sanders jersey, and I want to show him up. But wait, why are you. You're in a Zach Wilson.

[Jay]

It's an ode to Shedeur. Who's next? Zach Wilson.

[Lawrence]

No, he ain't gonna put that on him. Yeah, I'm just.

[Matthew Berry]

Come on.

[Lawrence]

I'm just a Zach Wilson fan, man. He's gonna get another shot. He's gonna get another shot in the NFL.

[Jay]

Wait. Yeah.

[Lawrence]

Why are you wearing a. I don't know.

[Jay]

Why you wearing a Houston Astros?

[Lawrence]

How you notice a Houston Astros hat?

[Matthew Berry]

Because it is.

[Jay]

What position. What position is Jeremy Pena play? Is he a pitcher or.

[Lawrence]

Stop.

[Jay]

That's all right. He won the World Series.

[Lawrence]

Altuve is a Houston Astros player.

[Jay]

Yeah.

[Lawrence]

Is he still playing for the. See, there you go. I'm up on the baseball.

[Jay]

Try playing in the outfit anyway.

[Matthew Berry]

Like, you've worn a Shitter Sanders jersey multiple times on the show, and yet the one day where it actually would be good, appropriate, and rightful to wear it would be today.

[Lawrence]

You see, the thing about it, Matthew, is like, I would like to see Shador Sanders succeed. And there's other people out there that would like to see him succeed as well. Right.

[Matthew Berry]

But there's some people that think he already has.

[Lawrence]

Yes. And so there's a yes, and there's.

[Matthew Berry]

Work their way through it.

[Lawrence]

Right?

[Jay]

Yeah.

[Lawrence]

And it makes it tough for guys like me who, you know, we just keep it football. I ain't into all the other stuff, you know, so that's why I'm just. I'm chilling right now. But we. Hey, soon. Soon we gonna be here.

[Jay]

Okay. Well, Lawrence loves Chadur. We love the Houston Astros and baseball, which is on NBC. And we're going to talk about other things that we love, love, hate today. Let's jump right into it. Jump into the running backs love, hate and take a look at ranks one through 10. Christian McCaffrey, Jonathan Taylor fourth. You only put my man JT fourth. You see what he did last time? 5,000 yards and a million touchdowns.

[Matthew Berry]

I didn't, I, I didn't.

[Jay]

That's right.

[Matthew Berry]

Kansas City has a very good run defense. I think they load the box. Still four.

[Jay]

Okay.

[Matthew Berry]

But just in terms of matchups and workload. Yeah, I have JT at four.

[Jay]

Still three spots ahead of Derrick Henry who comes in at seven. Very favorable matchup for the King against the New York jets who obviously have no Quinn and Williams. Not sure they've really faced the rushing attack to take advantage of that yet. But the King quietly seen his workload really ramp up the past five games.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, I mean look, look at the touches right that first column. Since week six he's had at least 20 touches in five straight games. He's, he's averaging, you know, he's averaging 105 yards from scrimmage during that stretch. And by the way since this time, since week six and they've started, you know, going back to King Henry, he also leads the NFL in goal to go rushing attempts. When they get in close, they give it to Derrick Henry as well. And it's worth noting the reason we bring up the touches here specifically Jay, is because that running backs that have seen at least 15 touches against the jets and again since week six, he's averaging over 20. But running back says there's at least 15 touches against the New York jets are averaging 19.7 fantasy points per game. Derrick Henry makes the loveliest as you saw on the screen, he's my running back. 7 this week, high expectations for King.

[Lawrence]

What I like about that too Matthew is you saw on that screen all of those were double digit fantasy point games and for a guy like Derrick Henry who doesn't catch a lot of passes and even some of those games he didn't get a touchdown. But still being able to get those double digit fantasy points is key for a guy like him.

[Jay]

Indeed. Speaking of big workloads, B John Robinson against the New Orleans Saints Falcons two point dogs in that game now but expect that it will be close enough that he is going to get substantial workload and I think gamescript should get too far ahead of them and I think there's a very good Chance. Matthew. He is the number one wide receiver for the Atlanta Falcons.

[Matthew Berry]

Very true. You just criticize the fact that I haven't ranked ahead of Jonathan Taylor. I have I Bijan ahead of him for a lot of those reasons. I agree with you. I think, I think he's not only the leading rusher but very potentially the leading receiver for Kirk Cousins who honestly doesn't seem to have the arm strength he used to have prior to the Achilles injury. Just feels so. I could see more dump offs than even normal with Bijan Robinson.

[Jay]

With Kirk, there's some Uncle Rico throwing the football over those mountains type of vibes just to sail on Kirk at the moment. Chase Brown Matthew yes sir. I have a new quarterback. Well, 1104 quarterback returning against the Patriots. I'm a little skeptical that Joe Burrow will actually be back on Sunday if you read between the lines of the reporting.

[Matthew Berry]

But he is practice, he did practice in full yesterday.

[Jay]

Practice in full. Yes. But Joe Flacco, the reporting has been that he is going to get the full practice snaps today with the first team. So I don't know. You're splitting time between Joe Burrow and Joe Flacco. If Joe Burrow is actually going to play on Sunday, we'll see.

[Matthew Berry]

Anyway, two comeback players of the year. It's hard to choose.

[Jay]

Yeah, one of them might win it again next year.

[Matthew Berry]

That's right.

[Jay]

But the Patriots, they give up a lot of receptions to running backs. The most in the league. Take advantage.

[Matthew Berry]

As you see, they're giving up 5.7 receptions per game to opposing running backs. That is the most in the National Football League. And the reason we talk about that over the last two games with Samajp Ryan on the bench, you know, he's been out. Chase Brown has a 26% target share over the last two games. Chase Brown is getting a 26% target share. So much AP Ryan listed as doubtful for this Sunday's game. We don't expect him to go for the Patriot. I'm sorry. For the Bengals against the Patriots. And so you expect Brown to once again be heavily involved in the passing attack against a defense that again gives the most receptions per game to opposing running backs. It's also worth noting over the last two games with Samajp Ryan out, Chase Brown is fourth among all running backs in utilization score. He's averaging over 21 touches a game. You know, just so massive usage, not just in the passing game but just overall as well. He's, you know, he's been averaging. He's been averaging, you know 19 fantasy points per game. It's been like a top four running back over the last two weeks as well. So I'm at running back eight this week. I know the Patriots have a good defense but I just think the usage will there and if Joe Burrow comes back here's what's weird is I don't would the line move that much because Black was actually been pretty good.

[Lawrence]

I've got to say before last week's game coming into that four games of him starting, they were averaging 32 and a half points a game. Yeah, that's Joe Burrow like just off of production.

[Matthew Berry]

It seems insane to say that but.

[Jay]

I mean like I mean it would move particularly after watch Flacco but it's the thing is it's not as cool having Joe Burrow when your defense turns every opposing quarterback into Joe Burrow as well. This is. I'm not getting like statistically this is one of the worst defenses in the history of football. Yes, there is just nothing there. They have a 15 point fourth quarter lead to Justin Fields lost in regulation.

[Matthew Berry]

Footballer in the history of the sport.

[Jay]

Yeah, in the history of the sport. Need to choose between these players in the sport of football for two running back spots at a flex. Chase Brown, Breece Hall, Quintean Judkins, Tyrell McMillan and Travion Henderson. Too many options. Three exclamation marks.

[Matthew Berry]

Lawrence.

[Lawrence]

Well definitely Treveon Henderson.

[Matthew Berry]

I agree with that. I would also add Chase Brown. You just heard me talking about him and then so now you're looking at Judkins, Breeze hall or Tedeo McMillan. I'm going to go with Tedro McMillan.

[Jay]

Yeah T Mac potential offensive rookie of the year, sixth in the NF in receiving yards right now I believe. Anyway, one of the names mentioned there Lawrence is Quincean Judkins who gets a favorable matchup against the Raiders. First favorable matchup in a while for Judkins who's really struggled to generate anything on the ground. Just no blocking in front of him.

[Lawrence]

Yeah and not that the Raiders are some just complete pushover on defense but they're like middle of the pack. But in these last three games they've been semi generous. We just saw Javante Williams go for 93 rushing yards against them. Week before that Dobbins 77 and then ETN 84. Jumpins himself, he hasn't averaged more than three and a half yards per carry in a game since Week 5. That was against the Vikings overseas where he went for 23 for 110, had the long touchdown callback so he really had a good day. And then you look at this over, under ooh 36 and a half. That's the lowest of the week. That's the lowest. That's the this tie for the lowest of the season. Know who had the other one? Browns and Vikings in that matchup. So I expect them to try to get the running game going. Let Shador play off of that. That's what they tried to do with Gabriel too but they didn't push the ball downfield. So Quinshawn Juggins, I think he'll get a lot of opportunities versus the Raiders.

[Jay]

Yeah the good thing for Quinshon is at least, at least it's different now. This is something different about the offense because the status quo that enduring it was just Quinn Sean getting tackled behind the line over and over again. The Browns have been able to generate nothing in terms of just gas for him to run through. So maybe we should do a bit more of a three point threat. There is upside for Judkins Neck Brace Nation so we get another little close look at his famed blonde hair. Judkins or Genti rest of season. Oh that's pretty close.

[Matthew Berry]

That is very close. That just sort of tells you here I'm probably. I think it's Ashton Jenkins.

[Lawrence]

Yeah I got to still go Genti because he's had multiple games with six plus targets in the game. Jukins just not getting. We don't know what it's going to look like with Shador. We you you just got to know what you're going to get with Genty.

[Matthew Berry]

But I would lean the receiving there. But it's close. Yeah it's close and it's not pretty.

[Jay]

Good question Neck Brace Nation. All right, let's have a look at some others receiving votes headlined by Travis Etienne who just keeps on enduring. Matthew.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah since week eight since their week eight by ETN 21 touches per game. He leads all running backs in red zone and goal line rushing attempts in that span. Yes, we've seen Bashal Tutin come on and we like Tudin quite a bit. But the Cardinals allowed multiple rushing touchdowns to running backs in three of the past four games. So I think there's a chance that ETN and Tutin could be useful this week against the Cards. How about Emmanuel Wilson? Still a chance that Josh Jacobs plays in this one but right now we're operating with the idea that Wilson will be the starter for the packers six career games where he's had double digit touches. He's averaging 13.3 fantasy points per game in those games. And then how about ken Walker the third? He gets Tennessee Mike McDonald saying this week that Walker is earning more opportunities to get the ball. I mentioned that because seven of the 10 running backs that have seen at least 14 touches against the Titans have scored at least one touchdown. More, more work for Ken Walker playing the Titans. Ergo ipso facto therefore he makes others receiving votes. I meant running back 19 this week.

[Jay]

Yeah, I thought it was a huge tell the way that Clint Kubiak called that game against the Rams even when they're down two scores late. Still going to run the ball because we don't want Sam Donald in traditional drop back offense. They have the offensive line for that. Don't think they trust Donald for that either. So Kenneth Walker is going to continue to get work and the Seahawks should have a relatively low pass rate over expectation. T. Spitzki I really need insight on Josh Jacobs entry because I have to make a decision on Emmanuel Wilson or Woody Marks this week in the flex and that decision has to be made tonight.

[Matthew Berry]

That's right because obviously the Texans play the Bills in the Thursday Night Football game and I get the, the I don't like Woody Marks tonight. Obviously Bills have struggled defensively as well. But I think the packers are so run heavy. Vikings 25th against the run over the last four weeks. So for me I think I would just hold out and just say I'm going to start the packers running back again. Marks has had really nice usage but it hasn't turned into fantasy production. Only one of the last three games has Marks actually been good fantasy wise. So I just, I feel better about quote the packers starting running back.

[Jay]

I don't think he has Josh Jacobs though. Yes, it's Emmanuel Wilson or Woody Mark. So I would go with Woody Marks for that because I don't think that.

[Lawrence]

If you make a difference that's different.

[Matthew Berry]

Okay.

[Jay]

You have no better options on the waiver wire than I think that. Yeah, I don't think the gap between Emmanuel Wilson and Woody Marks is significant enough to offset the risk that Josh Jacobs ends up playing.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, I agree with you actually. Okay, I misread the question. But you know, but I would, I would, I would had if you did have Jacobs I would use the Green Bay running back. But assuming you don't have Jacobs then I agree with you because there's a non and I don't know if it's 5% chance, 10% chance, 30% chance that Jacobs plays but we've just seen this before where Jacobs, he's out, he's out, he out. He done practice all week and then he shows up and carries the ball 20 times. And so right now we expect Wilson to play. But because there's a non zero chance that Jacobs does return this week, I think you got to go with Woody Marks tonight.

[Jay]

Yep. Okay, let's jump to the hate list headlined by the Tampa Bay running backs against the Rams. Matthew on Sunday Night Football expectation Bucky Irving may be back for this one. And so it all becomes, it becomes a huge puzzle actually who is going to get the work between Bucky, Sean Tucker and Rashad White.

[Matthew Berry]

And that's the point, right? I mean even by the way, even if Bucky Irving doesn't return, you know, you're still like, what's the workload? Did Shawn Tucker earn a bigger workload here? Is it going to be more of a committee between him and Rashad White? There's definitely a chance that it's a three headed committee as well. And it's worth noting that the Rams are tied for the fewest rushing touchdowns allowed to opposing running backs. It's been a really good run defense as well. Derrick Henry. Derrick Henry is literally the only running back since week five to run for more than 67 yards against the Rams. Right. Three times this season, only three times this season of the Rams even given up 15 fantasy points to an opposing running back and two of them were Chris McCaffrey. So you just got a really good run defense with a very messy situation here. I will say at the moment my ranks are I have Irving at 23, I have Rashad White at 37, I have Sean Tucker at 46. But you know, like we just, it's just a mess and I think you want to wait to see it. And the fact that you've got multiple running backs in a tough matchup here, Lawrence, to me it's a stay away if you can.

[Lawrence]

So Sean Tucker just had that big game. That's right. Remember last season he had the game where he ran for almost 200 yards and then the Saints game.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah.

[Lawrence]

We kind of never heard from him again for that season. And, and, and they, we know they like them, but it's just like you just never know, especially if Bucky Irving back in the fold. But to your point, still a tougher matchup anyway.

[Jay]

Yep. My best guess, and it's just a guess on how this is going to shake ours, I think that Bucky Irving will play, I think he'll split early down work with Sean Tucker and then Rashad White is The predominant third down back. And none of them.

[Lawrence]

And that's an ugly situation. Fantasy.

[Jay]

You don't want any of them.

[Matthew Berry]

You don't want any of it. No, no. Exactly.

[Jay]

Okay, well.

[Matthew Berry]

And then by the way. And then watch like Baker Mayfield score two rushing touchdowns like this. Right. And like none of them will be useful. Yeah.

[Jay]

Indeed. Okay. Well, a guy you still want to start. But I would lower expectations for a little bit staying in that same game. Kyron Williams, sure. Going up against the Bucs rush defense, which I know two weeks ago they gave up some long runs to Travion Henderson, but I don't think that's predictive of what's to come. Like those were two isolated runs on a down.

[Matthew Berry]

Williams ain't Travan Henderson from a.

[Jay]

From a speed doesn't quite have that burst. I think it's more indicative what James Cook did, or rather didn't do against their defense. Even in a game that finished at what, 76 total points, James Cook wasn't really able to get much going on the ground. It's still Vita Veer. It's still the Bucks front defense. I think the total for this one is almost 50. I think it might be a bit more of a defensive struggle than that. And Kyron Williams struggles to get going on the ground. Another running back who may struggle Lawrence is Ashton Genty, who even in good matchups lately can't really do a great deal. And now he gets a brutal matchup against the Browns rush defense.

[Lawrence]

Yeah. And the funny thing about it too is Jay. In their past two games, Cleveland has allowed both Derrick Henry and Breece hall to have 80 or more rushing yards. Right. Which is solid. We'll take that. The thing is, Derrick Henry's got a quarterback named Lamar who you got to worry about running Breeze. Hall's got one named Justin. You gotta. You have to worry about Geno taking the ball running down the field. And so for Ashton Ginty, who was already struggling, look, Week 11 versus Dallas. Caught six of eight targets, 27 yards. Still didn't get double digit fantasy points. That's crazy. If I told you those passing numbers for any running back you would assume like, oh, especially this PPR. Not double digit fantasy points. One game this season with at least 75 rushing yards. And he's only got one game this whole season where he's got double digit points in fantasy and he didn't score a touchdown. So he needs a touchdown for it to. For it to pay off. And in a game that's 36 and a half over Under I don't know how many touchdowns going to be in that. So he's on my hate list for this week.

[Jay]

Brown's defense is is legit. The team's going to finish like 4 and 13. But that defense is unassailable.

[Lawrence]

It's a defense that you could see playing in the AFC Championship game.

[Jay]

Yeah. Here's how good the defense is. Is that the team's probably going to go 4 and 13, 5 and 12, whatever. They're probably going to have the defensive player of the year in Miles Garrett who's -300 on DraftKings and they're probably going to have the defensive rookie of the year in Carson Schwesterger, who's -220. DraftKings there. Aloha bricks. That Raiders Browns game needs to be broadcast on the radio. It doesn't even deserve to be broadcasted on the tv. I like the TV on the tv. The television set.

[Lawrence]

See? Aloha bricks. We can't do that, man, because we got a quarterb back in there. That's.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, that's what you're. I'm missing. Aloha bricks. Like like that the Raiders Browns game. I com like I love the comment but the truth is is that it's must must see tv.

[Lawrence]

That is going to be because one.

[Matthew Berry]

Of two things happen. One of two things happens. Either Shadur Sanders is awesome, which will be great to see and fun and he can shut up all the haters or Shador Sanders is terrible and like all the haters will be enjoying it and you know, it'll be dancing around. But either way, either way, you know, Shador is one of the more polarizing players in the NFL. I think that's fair to say. Right? One of the more polarizing players.

[Lawrence]

That might be an understatement.

[Matthew Berry]

And so just like you know, you've got lovers and haters alike that will be tuning in to watch that game.

[Lawrence]

It's very much and me and Connor talked about this a little bit the other day. It's very much Tim Tebow like when he was doing this. Shador Sanders could throw the ball a lot better in Tebow. But I'm just talking about like the. Just the whole.

[Matthew Berry]

The circus.

[Lawrence]

Yeah.

[Jay]

I will say as well, like Geno Smith has not been good this year. Love Geno Smith. Great story. Won money on him for comeback player of the year when I used to win money on that award before I started losing on it annually. But he is also like it's pretty bad. And that's kind of compelling theory as well. Like, where's Gino going to throw it next? Oh, it's unbelievable. It's going to be a bit of a.

[Lawrence]

Well, you got to run. He's got to worry about Miles Garrett hunting him down.

[Jay]

No good. Oh, my bricks. Okay, then we can broadcast it on the Weather Channel for you, Barry. All right, we'll speak to the Weather Channel people. Speaking of the weather, by the way, as soon as I looked at you, Lawrence, I was changing my papers in the rundown. I expected them to just fly away. Still in my head.

[Lawrence]

Still freezing from that day.

[Jay]

And the link. All right, let's.

[Matthew Berry]

By the way, we have to. It's even worse next. This Sunday, we're here. We're in the friendly confines of the. The happy hour bar. But the following Sunday, we have to go to Kansas City. We're doing it live from Arrowhead. Yeah. Well, that's going to be very cold.

[Jay]

It will be cold. I think it'd be a good test for us as men because we failed the first test.

[Matthew Berry]

Then we're gonna do it.

[Lawrence]

Well, I tell you what, I'm gonna be ready this time and also be ready.

[Jay]

George Savari is not gonna be ready because he will be. He goes. It's in Missouri, not Pennsylvania, so legally he can host the show and travel to it. But he will.

[Matthew Berry]

Because he won't be ready. No, he's. He's as soft as anyone.

[Jay]

Soft as butter. Yeah. My God, Soft is butter on a 100 degree day.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah. So. Oh, God. Yeah.

[Jay]

George the Greek don't like it in. Yeah, absolutely not.

[Matthew Berry]

He's used to being on the. On the sandy beaches sipping martinis.

[Jay]

Indeed.

[Matthew Berry]

All right.

[Jay]

Pebble Beach, George. All right, let's come to love, hate, pass catches. Matthew, take a look at your ranks. 1 through 10. Puka nakua on Sunday Night Football headlines the list. But coming in at number six, ahead of the likes of Justin Jefferson and Nico Collins, is T. Higgins against the Patriots with no Jamar Chase.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, obviously that's. That's a big part of this as well. He's his last three games that he's played without Jamar Chase, he's 23 fantasy points, 110 receiving yards in each of them as well. You see on your screen, here's what he's been doing with Joe Flacco under center, which at the moment is the. Is the expectation against New England. He's averaging over 20 fantasy points per game and 85 yards per game with Flacco at her center. He's been seeing at least a 20% target share. So in essence, basically, he's already got a nice role in this offense. And now Jamar Chase, who commands such a massive target share, won't be playing as well now. Now there's a concern, of course, that will he be shut down a little bit by Christian Gonzalez? This is a pretty good defense for New England, but I think Higgins is good enough. They'll move him around enough as well that they'll be able to get him the ball. It's worth noting that even with Gonzalez, wide receivers have seen at least seven targets against the Patriots this year. And obviously we expect Higgins to get at least seven targets. They're averaging 18 fantasy points per game. So just volume, Higgins talent and just kind of like the laser focus on him gets you there, I think.

[Jay]

Yep. By the way, the point spread on that one, which was Patriots minus nine a couple days ago, is now down to Patriots minus six and a half. So do you think that's.

[Matthew Berry]

That's people hedging the bets that there's a chance Burrow plays?

[Jay]

Yeah, a little bit. I think it's more like the line won't close six and a half. It won't be six off. It's either going to go closer to a field goal inside of a field goal if Joe Burrow does play. And if he doesn't play, then it'll go back out to nine. So right now, just the market hedging its bets a little bit, staying in that game. Matthew Stefon Diggs is on my personal love list.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, the Diggler.

[Jay]

Yeah, the Diggler. It's not much to say here. He's playing the Cincinnati defense. I thought what was interesting, he kind of. He threw it out there that he's playing with a broken finger and he had a broken finger. And then Drake May on the podium was like, he's probably been dramatic. Like he complains about this stuff all the time, which I like and I think is a sign of kind of good kind of culture there. Because there would be a time in Stefan Diggs's previous stops where that might have caused a stir. But I think Diggs continues to come into his own. Coming off the ACL injury, the more time removed from that. He looked fantastic against the jets. Over 100 yards. Could have had more as well. Left a bit on the table as we look at the most passing yards per game conceded. Pittsburgh Steelers are number one only because they played Joe Flacco on that Thursday night game. But the Bengals are second, which is stunning when you think about how much they give up on the ground as well. But I think ultimately Stefan Diggs should do whatever he pleases against the Bengals. And also if Joe Barrow does go, which I don't think he will, but if he does, then that would imply that the game is going to be closer and that the Patriots don't have to queue in the rack for the fourth quarter and are throwing throughout the. Let's go to the NFC South, Matthew. Chris Olave against the Falcons. Chris Olave with a quarterback who doesn't mind pushing it down the field and was pretty competent his first two starts.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, he's got kind of that shuck it attitude as well. Team high 31% target share for Chris Olavi in the first game without Rashid Shahid. So that's just a stat that tells you what you know. No Rashid Shahid. Chris Olavi already had a massive target share. It bumps all the way up to 31% without Shahid. He went 5 for 104 with a touchdown. And now you get Lawrence Jackson's Atlanta Falcons that have just taken on tough times.

[Jay]

Yeah.

[Matthew Berry]

Just sad.

[Lawrence]

It seemed like yesterday they was beating up, whooping the Buffalo Bills, but you.

[Matthew Berry]

Lose your quarterback, you lose your star wide receiver. Next thing you know, Lawrence is on.

[Lawrence]

National TV and the Houston Astros see, see what happens. And it's not even like before those losses. It was like they was just lighting it up on people. Yeah.

[Matthew Berry]

But anyway, they've allowed. Falcons have allowed at least 18 fantasy points to a wide receiver in four straight games and opposing wide receiver as well. So Olave is my wide receiver. Nine here as well. I can just see, you know, you this morning with your wife. Like, you know, Lawrence, what do you want to wear? Like, you know, I got this Falcons hat, I got this bracelet. No, no, no. Give me Houston. I got to get far away from the atl.

[Lawrence]

Yeah, well, if you look at the. The rack, it's like all Atlanta has. Then it's like la la, Little Houston, Pittsburgh from the time we went out there. And anything but that rack over there. Give me some from over here.

[Jay]

Exactly. Okay. Well, speaking of Pittsburgh, Lawrence Colson Loveland gets the Steelers. We'll see who's a quarterback for the Steelers, but Caleb Williams for the Bears. The Steelers have really struggled against tight ends.

[Lawrence]

Yeah. And Caleb Williams, when he gets to scrambling and running around, he's looking for the tight end, whether it's Loveland or Cole Comet. Right. The thing About Loveland, first five games of his rookie year, played 45% of the snaps. Now the last four, he's played 75% of the snap and it showed. He's no less than the third option on this team in five straight games, just based on receiving yards alone. Then you go to Pittsburgh, right. They allow the fifth most fantasy points per game to the tight end position. So when you talk about guys like Noah Fent who was able to catch five passes against this Steelers defense, I like the upside for coast and Loveland here in a matchup versus.

[Matthew Berry]

I like the analysis. Just like he's not Noah Fant. Come on. Even Noah Fant did something.

[Lawrence]

There you go. He did a little something.

[Jay]

Yeah. Question from Dr. J. Who's no relation to me.

[Matthew Berry]

No, I know this is. No, that's Julius Irving. Julius Irving.

[Jay]

No relation to me.

[Matthew Berry]

That's cool. The real Dr. J. Great to see you.

[Jay]

Thank you.

[Matthew Berry]

We're huge fans.

[Lawrence]

You can even see the picture. That is him.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, Exactly. Well, listen, Dr. J, I think it's Keisha Booty here.

[Jay]

Yep.

[Lawrence]

Gotta go. Versus the Bengals.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, yeah, yeah.

[Jay]

One of the most efficient receivers in the sport of football. All right, well, hitting another tight end, Matthew. Travis Kelsey, one of the lone bright spots for the Chiefs on a devastating loss to the Broncos, but looked a little bit like the old Travis Kelsey. And now he goes up against a Colts team that has been hit and miss in the past game.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, I mean, listen, specifically around tight ends. Jay, to your point, they've given up a touchdown to a tight end in four of their past five games. They're allowing the second most yards per game to opposing tight ends. They're giving up the fourth most fantasy points to opposing tight ends. So it's a good matchup for tight ends in general. And now you've got Travis Kelce coming in since Week 5. Kelce, second in the NFL among tight ends in receptions per game. He's got a 21% target share in a must win game where Patrick Mahomes is like, this is our season, man. They can't go below.500. You know, they have. This is a must win game for the Chiefs. And So if you're 15, if you're Patrick Mahomes in a must win game, what are you doing? You're going to run a lot. You're going to do whatever you can, but you're obviously going to be looking for 87, his most trusted weapon over the years. So we like Kelce quite a bit this week. He's my tight end.

[Lawrence]

5.

[Jay]

Yep. It's as we look at Matthew's top tight end rankings, Kelsey Fifth in between Dallas Goddard and Aronde Gadsden. The second. You know, it's.

[Matthew Berry]

Which is so crazy by the way. If you said that at the beginning of the season between Goddard and Gadsden.

[Jay]

I called that one, actually Gadsden in advance. I think what's going to happen is that. So the Colts get Chavarius Mooney Ward back with practice, likely going to be off IR and back for this game. And then I think the Colts have the best cornerback room in the NFL between Kenny Moore on the slot source Gardner and Traverse Ward out wide. So you suspect that my home's gonna have someone to throw to. It might have to be Travis Kelsey because all the.

[Matthew Berry]

Do you think they would put Kenny Moore on Kelsey?

[Jay]

It's a bit of a hot mess.

[Matthew Berry]

I understand. I know, I understand. But I'm just.

[Lawrence]

They could go safety. They usually put a safety on them.

[Jay]

Yep.

[Lawrence]

It's sometimes linebackers.

[Jay]

It's pretty wild, the chase that splits between man and zone. Yeah, like they just can't do anything against mankind coverage. No one's getting open. So they may rely on Kelsey busting zones in that one. All right, let's get to some others receiving votes.

[Matthew Berry]

Yes, sir.

[Jay]

Headline Matthew by superstar from last week, Tataron McMillan, now one of the favorites for offensive rookie of the year.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, we just talked about it. We answered that question earlier as well. And one of the reasons why is four straight games at least a 27 target share. His target share since week eight is actually third highest in the sport since week five. Jay. The 49ers by the way, allow the most fantasy. He points to opposing wide receivers. We saw what Michael Wilson did to him last week as well. How about Jameson William? Who since Dan Campbell took over the play calling two weeks ago, he's been a top 10 wide receiver in back to back weeks. Giants allow the fifth most yards to wide receivers. The aforementioned Wilson gets Jacksonville this week who allows the fourth most yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. Team high 32% target share for Wilson last week. No Marvin Harrison Jr. This week. Your man Alec Pierce makes the list.

[Jay]

AP the greatest AP to ever play football.

[Matthew Berry]

1000% sure since week seven he's the 17th best wide receiver in fantasy. 26% target share during that stretch. Kansas City since week seven allows the highest completion rate on passes of 15 or more air yards. And then finally I got some bad Cincinnati Bengals stats. You want to hear some?

[Lawrence]

Yeah.

[Jay]

Yeah.

[Matthew Berry]

All right.

[Jay]

On me.

[Matthew Berry]

So no team in the NFL has allowed more yards to opposing tight ends than the Cincinnati Bengals. No team in the NFL has allowed more touchdowns to opposing tight ends than the Cincinnati Bengals. No team in the NFL has allowed more fantasy points to opposing tight ends than the Cincinnati Bengals. Hunter Henry is a tight end, therefore, ipso facto, ergo, obviously Hunter Henry. Yeah, I'm going to use ipso facto quite a bit. Anyway, anyway, he's a top 12 tight end for me this week.

[Jay]

You guys call Alec Pierce? Alec Pierce? I call him all day because.

[Matthew Berry]

By.

[Jay]

The way, we'll go to the question first. Brian Hickman, full ppr. Alec Pierce or Michael Wilson?

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, I don't think you can go wrong because I like both these guys, Brian. But give me Michael Wilson.

[Jay]

Michael Wilson with the usage. Yeah, I agree there with ted roll and McMillan. Now it's a bit annoying that he hasn't had his buy yet and so he only has six games left. Most teams players have seven games left. But. But I think that he is going to be potentially a top five seven receiver the rest of the way. The way they changed his usage against the Falcons. Dave Canal has had a great, very in depth sound bite on this about moving Tetarola more into the slot, putting him in motion, moving around the formation, not having him just isolated out wide as the X receiver. Now, I don't know why it took them until week 11 to do this because he's really good, but it really seemed to activate their offense and look, he's just a superstar. He's a superstar.

[Lawrence]

Yeah, he could play too.

[Jay]

Yeah, I think that's going to manifest over his final six games.

[Matthew Berry]

This is, yeah. Dave Canales swinging him around, you know.

[Jay]

And finding different angles for him to pound.

[Matthew Berry]

Different angles for him to different pound angles.

[Lawrence]

It has helped Bryce Young, which is what it was intended to do. Right. So it'll be interesting to see him now with that momentum go on the road now. Well, they was in Atlanta, but. But going to San Francisco is completely different than going to Atlanta.

[Jay]

Indeed. Still the favorable matchup again against the Niners.

[Lawrence]

Yeah, for sure. They hurt and stuff, but.

[Jay]

All right, let's get to the hate list. Matthew Xavier Worthy, who you drafted, who you declared in the preseason, hasn't been his year and now he gets that vaunted Colts cornerback room all of a sudden.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah. It's going to be either Chavarius Ward, who as you mentioned is back, or Sauce Garner. You don't love that. Since week five he's got one game, literally one game where he's finished higher than wide receiver 36. He hasn't been higher than wide receiver 36. Except for one week since week five, he's had a below 12% target share in two of the four games since Rasheed Rice returned. I just, yeah, I just. There's nothing other than his talent that we saw, you know, in college and we, you know, we saw flashes of towards the end of last year. There's, there's nothing to hang your hat on here with Xavier Worthing. It's just the production hasn't been there since Rasheed Rice has come back. The offense doesn't look great. The Chiefs did not look good last week, guys. And so, and this is a big game for the Colts too. As much as I'm saying like it's a must win for the Chiefs and it really is. The Colts need to maintain pace. The Colts have a shot at the number one seed in the afc. And so many people have said about the Colts like, ah, you know, they're a little, you know, they've beaten up on some mostly bad teams, you know and this would be a signature win.

[Lawrence]

Daniel Jones gotta bounce back this game.

[Matthew Berry]

That's right.

[Lawrence]

Because he's been kind of reverting back to the turnover prone days. But if he could bounce back this game then all systems good.

[Matthew Berry]

This would be a signature win for the Colts.

[Jay]

Oh, absolutely. Yeah. They beat the Broncos earlier in the year.

[Lawrence]

Now what if Jonathan Taylor have a big game can like similar to how it was versus Atlanta where he literally ran them to the win. Then are we really talking MVP shot.

[Jay]

For him if he goes for 200 against the Chiefs?

[Lawrence]

Maybe like 150.

[Jay]

Yeah, 150 and two touchdowns against the Chiefs. He'll get, he's in the mix. I think Stafford might have said set the bar pretty, pretty high now for a running back. We'll say. I'd love to see it as a Colts man. I do think the other thing too with the Colts is that say what you want about them, they have a really good coaching staff. Coaching staff off the by. I think Shane Stark and will fix some stuff with Daniel Jones under pressure. And Lou Anarumo will come up with game planning as the Chiefs offense is a little shaky. Not as dominant as it was. Speaking of not dominant offenses, Lawrence, Trey Tucker, Raiders in that game that we've spoken about.

[Lawrence]

Yeah. Once again, 36 and a half over under here. Congrats to Trey Tucker for becoming the Raiders wide receiver one now. And you know he caught four passes for 47 yards, a touchdown in garbage time versus the Cowboys. But that's just it. It was in garbage time. I Don't know. This will be like a back and forth slug fest between struggling offenses here. You know a wide receiver hasn't even caught a touchdown pass against Cleveland since week six and that was DK Metcalf. So I would say Trey Tucker probably need a touchdown for him like he needed that touchdown last week to get double digit points. I think it's just going to be tough with Miles Garrett and those guys barreling down on Geno Smith who's not the most fleet of footed out there. So Trey Tucker makes my hate list this week.

[Jay]

Yep. Myles Garrett by the way needs eight sacks and seven games to break the all time record which would be crazy to do that.

[Lawrence]

That's in play.

[Jay]

I don't know team that's gonna have.

[Lawrence]

And he won't have a guy that you know.

[Matthew Berry]

Too bad he's not facing Shadur. Well no. Shadur hosed the ball so long he's gonna take five seconds sack Props gonna be.

[Lawrence]

It's too bad he's not going against Brett Favre because that's who, that's who let Michael Strahan get the record like that.

[Jay]

Yeah.

[Lawrence]

So yeah.

[Jay]

Indeed. All right. Last night for us on the height list list TJ Hawkinson, which sends me but he's going up against the packers and this is just a reflection on JJ McCarthy and where he's at at the moment. Hawkinson just has not developed that rapport with McCarthy. TJ says nine receptions in his past four games.

[Matthew Berry]

Brutal.

[Jay]

Now he did get more targets against the Bears but still he turned six targets into 6.9 fantasy points. The week before that two target targets, eight yards.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, it's not, it's just they're, they're hiding JJ McCarthy Hawkinson, we know he's super talented but they just can't seem to get him the ball since week nine. As you see it there at the bottom of your screen, he's averaging 6.3 points per game. He's tight in 26 since Week 9. TJ Hawkinson, there's a crazy swollen though.

[Jay]

Yeah it's not good. So I think JJ McCarthy maybe he'll turn into a great quarterback at some point in his career. It's not now. He leads the NFL and off target throw rate and just Justin Jefferson is the only guy that you feel good about in that offense. If you even feel good about him. All right, we're gonna hit our first break when we come back. Oh wow. See Matthew Berry as Nick Saban on an Indianapolis Colts horse with Trevor Lawrence's.

[Matthew Berry]

Like hair mixed with the princess bad.

[Lawrence]

Guy in Ghostbusters too.

[Matthew Berry]

There's a little Nick Saban and there's a little bit of Tommy Lee Jones.

[Jay]

Yes, Little lady ordinal no country for Old Men. Tommy Lee mixed with Nick Saban on the aforementioned cold source. It's no good what AI is doing to society. We'll discuss this after the break. For years, everyone thought Verizon had the best network because they did. But now the best mobile network in the US Is T Mobile. T Mobile's network has the most advanced 5G with more towers and their signal reaches further than ever. So you can text and to talk and say, you won't believe where I am.

[Matthew Berry]

T Mobile has the best mobile network in the US based on analysis by.

[Lawrence]

Ookla of speed test intelligence data 1H.

[Matthew Berry]

2025 CT mobile.com network it takes real skill to truly thrive at fantasy football. It's all about having the right lineup and adapting quickly on the fly. And your small business should be no different. That's why the Hartford offers insurance solutions designed to fit the unique playbook of your business. With over 200 years of experience and top rated digital tools, coverage is quick, smart and customizable. Get a quote [e-mail] smallbusiness and start protecting your business like a true MVP. Traditions have the power to bring a whole city together. Tapas tailgate in the pouring rain or refuse to wash that lucky jersey. And tradition is what inspires Tostitos to make their masa the traditional way, starting with whole corn kernels and made with no artificial flavors, colors or preservatives crafted for that perfect crunch. Anytime I'm watching football on Sunday, I look around and there's always somebody eating Tostitos. Whether you're at the tailgate or home watching with friends. Choose Tostitos for your next game day. Tostitos. Tradition matters. Official chip and dip sponsor of the NFL. Are you a Star Trek guy at all, Connor? No.

[Jay]

Sorry. Neither am I.

[Matthew Berry]

So I'm not a Star Trek guy. I was much more a Star wars kid than a Star Trek guy.

[Lawrence]

But I'm familiar.

[Matthew Berry]

I Star Trek. I'm a. And you are. Like, you have a. You have enough knowledge, somewhat of a baseline. Like, I understand the show is not on planet Earth, Correct? Right. Right. Yeah.

[Jay]

Yes.

[Matthew Berry]

And you know the character Spock? Yeah. You heard of Spock?

[Lawrence]

I could Google.

[Matthew Berry]

So Spock is. Spock is basically Scott Spock is emotionless. Like, he's very logical, he's very smart on the show, but he is emotionless. He Shows no emotion. That's his. That's jay. That. That's Dr. Spock over here.

[Jay]

Okay, well, Matthew being held to account. Chris Heffernan played in the afl. The Aston and Bombas, once upon a time. Maybe not the same guy. Not to nitpick, but the Star Trek character is Mr. Spock. Dr. Spock was the baby expert. Matthew, you screwed up. Tricky Dicky 33, not a former AFL player. Barry, Dr. Spock is not a Star Trek character. That's Mr. Spock. Dr. Spock was a 20th century children's doctor slash author. The Vulcan first officer on the USS Enterprise. He's never a doctor. What's wrong with you, Matt? A medical degree.

[Matthew Berry]

Let me just say to Mr. Sparky33, you know what I have to say to you?

[Lawrence]

Nerd.

[Matthew Berry]

That's right. Exactly. That's right. I got you guys. Exactly. I threw it at Dr. Spock in there. I said all the nerds came and played. Oh, no, no, no. He's Mr. Spock.

[Lawrence]

I saw how you walked it back and changed it from Star Trek to Star wars, as if it was much difference in those two Star Trek guidelines.

[Matthew Berry]

No, no, no. Live long and prosper. Can you do that? This is how Vulcans shake hands.

[Lawrence]

That looks weird.

[Matthew Berry]

Well, that's how you do it.

[Jay]

It's terrifying.

[Matthew Berry]

That's how you do it. Live long and prosper. Come on, Lawrence.

[Lawrence]

No, look, I'll hit you with one of these right here. There you go.

[Jay]

Unbelievable.

[Lawrence]

Connor said. I just know it was on the. Not on planet Earth.

[Matthew Berry]

Very broad.

[Jay]

Yeah. No, I haven't watched the show, friends, but I believe it's on Earth. That's all I know about it. All right, let's get to love. Hate quarterbacks. Star Trek RIP all my time, Matthew. Quantum Leap was the first sci fi.

[Matthew Berry]

Show that I watched.

[Jay]

Fair enough.

[Matthew Berry]

Fair enough.

[Jay]

All right, let's take a look at 1 through 10 in the QB ranks, headlined by director.

[Matthew Berry]

I had the movies, though. You're a big movie guy. Yeah, big movie guy.

[Jay]

They had grab me as much as Star Wars. I'm like you, Star wars guy.

[Matthew Berry]

Anyway, you see Drake May there at my number one overall quarterback. It's all bad Cincinnati stuff, right? Five of the last six quarterbacks to finish a game against the Bengals have scored at least 20 fantasy points. They've given up at least two touchdown passes, and nine of the past 10. They have the second highest implied team total this week as well. So the only concern here is, does the same thing happen where Travian Henderson just runs a bunch of touchdowns? In and Drake May has a great game, but not a huge fantasy day. But look at the last six quarterbacks against Cincinnati. Bo Nix, Jared Goff, Jared Love, Aaron Rodgers, Justin Fields and Caleb Williams, all with the exception of Love, all had north of 20 fantasy points. Caleb over 38, Knicks with 25. You know, on and on and on. It's a great matchup. Mace playing as well as any quarterback in the NFL. He's my number one quarterback this week.

[Jay]

Second favorite favorite to win MVP. A guy who has a couple MVPs. Lawrence Patrick Mahomes against the Colts. Season on the line.

[Lawrence]

Oh, yeah.

[Jay]

Big total. Chiefs 3 1/2 point favorites. What are you expecting?

[Lawrence]

Love that, love that. Fifty and a half over under there. But Patrick Mahomes, quarterback, 27 weeks 9 through 11 in fantasy points per game. But you're at home now. You're going against the Colts, who even with sauce Garner, allowed three touchdowns, a two point conversion and a field goal to the Atlanta Falcons. Right. So now you're Patrick Mahomes, who you've only had eight rushing yards in your last two games combined. The previous four, Patrick Mahomes averaged 37 and a half rushing yards per game. So he has to run that ball. Justin Herbert, when he went up against this Colts defense, he used his legs and didn't. They didn't win the game, but it was effective. To that end, I think Patrick Mahomes is going to run the ball more. He's going to do what it takes. I think we're going to have to get playoff Patrick Mahomes and we know he runs the ball more in those situations. Like you said earlier, Matthew, these Chiefs at home can't afford to go under 500. So Patrick Mahomes on my love list this week in your top five.

[Jay]

Yep. I think what we're going to see a lot of is a lot of man coverage, a lot of guys not getting open, but then also not much pass rush from the Colts because that's not really that.

[Lawrence]

No DeForest Buckner anymore.

[Jay]

DeForest Buckner. It's a lot of Lialty lots and not much else. So Patrick Mahomes might scramble around Matthew Stafford. Matthew, he's the MVP favorite. He plays on Sunday football against the Bucs defense that Josh Allen just scored a million touchdowns against.

[Matthew Berry]

That's exactly right. They're 31st in past defense. The Buccaneers are since week five. They give him over 277 yards per game. And then you think about how Matthew Stafford has played. He's been red hot, obviously. Puka very healthy. Adams very healthy. No quarterback has more pass attempts inside the red zone this year than Matthew Stafford. Rams have the fourth highest implied team total this week. And so again we talk about that all this time. Tampa Bay, very good run defense, kind of a pass funnel defense. So I think it is, you know, a really favorable matchup here for Matthew Stafford. He's my QB6 on the Week and I am sure I will be talking about Mr. Stafford on football night in America later this week.

[Jay]

Indeed. Okay, question from Cobra Kiger. Shot for shot. Matthew Stafford will outscore Josh Allen this week in fantasy.

[Matthew Berry]

I don't doubt that at all. Defense is legit. Short week.

[Jay]

You know, it's like Josh Allen because of the rushing, but not a crazy shot.

[Lawrence]

Yeah, listen, if the Rams get inside the five, inside the three, they are throwing that ball. Devonte Adams they have. That's like how Aaron Rodgers and Devonte Adams used to look with those little no doubt.

[Jay]

Yeah, okay. Love list for me. We missed out on Brocktober due to a turf toe, but we segued straight into Brockvember. Yeah, Brock Purdy now on Monday Night Football against the Carolina Panthers. A very susceptible past defense. That does not scare you. I think the main thing is that Purdy, he just looked like himself against the Cardinals. Not so much the stats which were great and he had the three touchdowns, but he was just moving around freely. He looked a lot better than when he came back the first time from this injury. So Brock Vembert rolls on in earnest. Let's get to others receiving votes headlined by Jared Goff. Matthew with a bit of an easier matchup this time against the Giants and the Eagles.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, exactly. I mean, I know he was brutal last week, but I'm back in this week. Last four weeks, the Giants allow passing touchdowns at the highest rate in the Sport. Since week six, they allow 25 fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks. And how much? Kobe Brissette, who since he became the student, is literally the fourth best quarterback in fantasy football. He's been a top 12 quarterback in all five weeks. Five of the last six quarterbacks to face the Jaguars have had at least 20 fantasy points.

[Jay]

Okay, let's jump to the hate list, headlined by a guy whose presence on this list almost need not be outlined. But J.J. mcCarthy against the Packers.

[Matthew Berry]

I mean, like he's been under 160 passing yards in four of his five starts. He's 31st in yards per pass attempt. Packers allow the fewest yards for pass attempt this season. Just. There's literally nothing that, you know, I know you hang your hat on. Oh, you know they're going to throw Justin Jefferson and Kevin O'.

[Jay]

Connell.

[Matthew Berry]

But yeah, I mean you can't be starting J.J. mcCarthy not even in the two quarterback league.

[Jay]

Probably can't be starting Kirk Cousins either, who not only has he looked how he has but now he would you.

[Lawrence]

Go McCarthy or Kirk Cousins, who I have here.

[Jay]

McCarthy rushing. Yeah.

[Lawrence]

Yeah, Kirk. So the reason. Yeah, I guess the reason I got Kirk Cousins here just in case there's people out there who may get cute, you know, and think, oh, this is just the Saints. Well, Kirk Cousin doesn't have drake London. He's 4.8 yards per pass attempt where doesn't have a rushing. 39 and a half over, over and under. Just a lot of things like dump offs to Bijan's not good enough to start Kirk Cousins this week.

[Jay]

Yep. Still think you're likely starting Dak Prescott, but I would lower expectations for Dak, understanding he was great against the Raiders, but now he goes up against the Philly defense. There might be a best in the league. The way that they're playing, are they looking frightening and they've shut down some elite offenses, particularly the Lions recently, naturally. But Dak, I think Dak kind of showed against the Broncos in particular that I don't think that this offense is as defense agnostic as it looked like it might have been earlier in the season where I think that a great defense can still shut them down. Dak played well the first time he played the Eagles, so on opening night, but didn't really get the station. I think the Eagles defense is much better than it was then. Okay, we're gonna hit our last break. When we come back, it's the last call. We're gonna talk about Bill's Texans and tell you our best bets for Thursday Night Football.

[Matthew Berry]

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[Jay]

And the who's in Whoville were in.

[Matthew Berry]

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[Jay]

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[Matthew Berry]

Drafting Sports Club oh, the crown is yours.

[Lawrence]

That crown yours.

[Jay]

Crown is yours. All right, this last call. Let's take a look at the most bet props on DraftKings for bills at Texans. What a Josh Allen Josh Allen passing.

[Matthew Berry]

Two passing touchdowns for Josh Allen at plus Money Lawrence that's solid.

[Lawrence]

That is. Yes, it is. Anytime he got two touchdowns. Yeah, I like that a lot.

[Jay]

Yeah, I think that might be A reflection of the fact that when they do get in close, unlike Matthew Stafford, he doesn't running it in.

[Lawrence]

He running it in.

[Matthew Berry]

Josh Allen.

[Jay]

Okay, let's talk about our best bets. I'm gonna go with Josh Allen over 32 and a half rushing yards. We saw what he did on the ground against the Bucks. Naturally when he played the Texans last year he went for 54 on the ground. And I think a big part of that is that the Texans love to play man coverage. What happens in man coverage I and there is not a spy. It almost cost them the game against the Jags. As we were cheering on the Texans, Matthew and Trevor Lawrence almost ran far enough to give his kicker a shot at the game winner. So I think that Josh Allen. I suspect that there's going to be a lot of guys covered in this game. It's going to be a pass rush that is fierce for the Texans and the Josh Allen is having to move around a lot in this one and he'll get to 33 rushing yards. What do you got, Lawrence?

[Lawrence]

I agree with you, Jay. Thank you. That's why I have Davis Mills throwing for more passing yards than Josh Allen in this game. That's +106. Davis Mills has been averaging 283 passing yards per game. Now Josh Allen has thrown for over 305 in his each of his last two games. But one of those was at Miami comeback mode versus Tampa Bay. One of them was like a quick throw to Ty Johnson. 55 yards for touchdowns. So. And I expect more of the Texans to kind of be in combat mode to whereas Josh Allen won't be. So give me Davis Mills for more passing yards than Josh Allen.

[Jay]

Okay, I like that one. What do you got?

[Matthew Berry]

I'm going to give. I'm going to go with Nico Collins to have the most receiving yards in this game. That's at only minus 1 10. Look, he's had over 90 receiving yards in both games with Davis Mills. You think about the Bills offense and just there's not one guy that demands targets on Buffalo's side of the ball.

[Jay]

Right.

[Matthew Berry]

You've got Shakir. You know you have some of the deep threats there as well. Ken Coleman. We'll see if Shavers gets to more, more work as well. But it just feels like they spread it around so much and Nico Collins who is just. It's such a narrow target share for Davis Mills. Give me Nico Collins to have the most receiving yards in this game at minus 110.

[Jay]

Yeah, some are calling Nico Collins a Davis Mills Merchant. Yes. I'm not, but people have said that.

[Lawrence]

I think for the. For any guy on the Bills to get 90 receiving yards, it'll have to be like a one long play.

[Matthew Berry]

Exactly, exactly. So you see it there, like you're starting Cook. We have marks as a. As a flex. Chubb is only a desperation. Obviously you're starting Josh Allen and Nico Collins. Dawn Schultz. I have as a top eight fantasy tight end here. Higgins is a desperation wide receiver. Four tonight.

[Jay]

Yep. Shakira. And the flex obviously is starting James Cook as well. I believe we may have some Star Trek content. Okay, what do we got out the show? Dm. Jesus, I don't know how to say that. Pick one. Star Trek. Star wars or Star is Born.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, it's Star Wars.

[Jay]

Yeah. Matthew doesn't like a Star Wars.

[Matthew Berry]

I know. I hate Star Is Born.

[Jay]

Yeah, we won't go into that, but.

[Matthew Berry]

I would agree that that's a rant for another day.

[Jay]

Star Wars. What's your favorite Star wars movie, Matthew?

[Matthew Berry]

Empire Strikes Back is pretty awesome.

[Jay]

I think Return of the Jedi guy, which I understand is not the correct answer probably, but screw it. Bangdali is my favorite film and Return of the Jedi is my favorite Star wars movie.

[Matthew Berry]

I. That's not nearly as outrageous as that. Magnolia being your favorite movie, is all that. Return of the Jetty. But I also, by the way, I also love the original Star Wars. How about you, Lawrence?

[Lawrence]

Dancing with the Stars.

[Matthew Berry]

The original Star Wars. Just because I was a kid and the first time I saw it, I.

[Jay]

Will say the first 30 minutes, they're in the desert, like, forever. Nothing happens.

[Matthew Berry]

Yeah, I get it.

[Jay]

Nothing happens.

[Matthew Berry]

All right, it's closing time. You don't have to go home, but you can't stay here. Go read my ten factor column on rotorworld.com for Lawrence and Jay, I'm Matthew. Good luck tonight. We'll see you tomorrow. Peace out.

[Jay]

Tis the season of gifting and holes to deck and the who's in who.

[Matthew Berry]

Louville were in love with new tech. Where can we find Sonos and Samsung and Nintendo? They shouted. Would they find it in one place? This they questioned and doubted when suddenly a who yelled, walmart's the place to start. And D2 added headphones, TVs and games to their carts. With Walmart, their shopping was done in a flurry. They cried out, who knew? And ordered their gifts in a hurry shop. The latest tech gifts in the Walmart applied.