← Fantasy Football Happy Hour with Matthew Berry
Fantasy Football Happy Hour with Matthew Berry
Week 14 Love/Hate: James Cook, George Pickens, Nico Collins, Matthew Stafford
00:52:10
December 4: Matthew (@MatthewBerryTMR) details why his boss drinks free to start the show, then dives into players on the Love/Hate list with Jay (@croucherJD) and Lawrence (@LordDontLose). Kyren Williams, Bucky Irving, Nico Collins, Jameson Williams, Dalton Kincaid, and Dak Prescott are among the names highlighted. The show concludes with the crew unveiling George Pickens and Jameson Williams props as their best bets on Thursday Night Football.
Loading summary
Transcript206 lines
- [00:02]
Jay Croucher
For years everyone thought Verizon had the best network because they did. But now the best mobile network in the US is T Mobile. T Mobile's network has the most advanced 5G with more towers and their signal reaches further than ever. So you can text and insta talk and say, you won't believe where I am.
- [00:22]
Matthew Berry
T Mobile has the best mobile network in the US based on analysis by Ookla of speed test intelligence data 1H2025CT mobile.com network.
- [00:32]
Royal Caribbean is next level. On another level. Go all in on the world's boldest ships. Filled with mind blowing entertainment, world class.
- [00:39]
Lawrence Jackson
Dining and the largest water parks at sea.
- [00:42]
Matthew Berry
And just when you think it couldn't.
- [00:43]
Lawrence Jackson
Get any better, you'll stop at our.
- [00:45]
Matthew Berry
Award winning private island.
- [00:46]
Lawrence Jackson
Perfect day at Coco Cay.
- [00:48]
Matthew Berry
This is the undisputed champion of vacations book today@royalcaribbean.com Big Time, Best time, all the time. Come seek the Royal Caribbean.
- [01:00]
James Quinn talking about the fact that he's optimistic. He's gonna get a lot of reps in practice. They'll take Friday. He's off to a good start. Still not clear for practice but just, you know, they're starting to ramp him up.
- [01:11]
Jay Croucher
Show us the ankles, Barry. People want to see the ankles.
- [01:14]
Matthew Berry
An ankler sign off?
- [01:15]
Jay Croucher
Oh no, Guinea.
- [01:16]
Matthew Berry
Oh, does he even have pants on?
- [01:19]
Jay Croucher
That's it for us.
- [01:20]
Matthew Berry
The guys will be back tomorrow. Matthew, I'm Connor. We're getting the hell out of here.
- [01:29]
Fantasy Football Happy Hour with Matthew Berry.
- [01:33]
Jay Croucher
Welcome to Fantasy Football Happy Hour. I'm Jay Croucher. Lawrence Jackson. Matthew Berry. Not since the ending of Requiem for a Dream has there been more terrifying footage.
- [01:44]
Lawrence Jackson
Heavy on the word foot.
- [01:46]
Jay Croucher
Yeah, yeah, exactly. Matthew, how are you doing out there, my friend?
- [01:49]
Matthew Berry
You know what, I'm great, Jay, and thank you for asking. I'm still in Orlando. My daughters compete for the national Cheers competition tomorrow. You see from last year when we were nationals AYC championship. So I'm excited but I just want to take a moment here. I'm going to. Can I be sappy for a moment?
- [02:08]
Jay Croucher
Yes, sure, go for it.
- [02:11]
Matthew Berry
No, like, so I'm here like we had a check in like when? First thing Wednesday morning. So we flew down Tuesday night and we've had practice. Today we compete tomorrow we pretend if we finish top five on Friday, we compete on Saturday. This whole thing. And I've been here for all of it, which is really an amazing thing to do. Not every parent has the ability to get up and leave their job and go to Orlando for what is, in essence, a week, a full week. And I'm here with my wife, and so it's a real blessing. I mean, and the girls have had an amazing time. We went to Islands of Adventure, Universal Studios last night. They had an absolute blast. All the Hogwarts rides are amazing. But. But it's all core memory stuff for my daughters, right? It's all core memory stuff. Just this whole experience of being here, and I've been able to be here and experience it and see it, and it's really magical. And so I just want to take a moment here to thank NBC for allowing me to do this. Right? For allowing me to do the show from my hotel room. For allowing me to. You know, my column is a little bit late because I'm, you know, I'm. I'm doing all this stuff, and just, you know, not every job would say, like, yeah, go ahead, take a week off. And so I just want to take a moment here to just honestly thank NBC and specifically our boss, Alexa, who allowed this. So Alexa drinks free today in happy hour bar. You know, and what I want to tell you is, you know, and I also say this. I want to say this about Alexa, specifically, when I called and said, like, hey, so my daughters ended up making the. My daughters ended up making the finals, and, you know, it's in Orlando, and it's this first week in December. Like, Alexa wasn't like, all right, I guess, you know, if you got like, Alexa was like, go, obviously, go. What are we talking about? Like, we'll figure it out. Like, there was never. There was never a hesitation from her or from NBC that. That I wouldn't be able to do this, that I couldn't do it. And so I just. Anyway, we can get to love, hate. But I just want to say thank you truly to. To NBC and specifically Alexa for. For allowing me to be here and do all this and experience it with my daughters.
- [04:13]
Jay Croucher
Yes. No. Well said, Matthew the goat. Yes. Our benevolent leader, Alexa. A lot of love in the chat for Alexa. As many have said in the chat, Alexa, you are the man. So good stuff there. And good luck to Samantha and Brooke.
- [04:29]
Lawrence Jackson
Yes, indeed.
- [04:30]
Jay Croucher
Indeed. All right, comment from. Always trade back. Alexa drinks a lot because she's Barry's boss. Yes. Fair. Fair. That's. That's very true.
- [04:40]
Matthew Berry
All right, let's. Accurate comment.
- [04:41]
Jay Croucher
Let's jump straight into.
- [04:44]
Matthew Berry
All the more reason why it's that she at least gets one day to do it for free, because, you know, it's a fairly big bill, you know, to keep herself well medicated when she's got to watch this show and answer to HR every week. You know, it's a whole thing.
- [04:56]
Jay Croucher
Yes, indeed. All right, so let's. Let's get straight into Love Hate, lots to get through today. We're going to talk about Cowboys, Lions later on in the show, but we're going to start off with Love Hate running backs as we take a look, Matthew, at your top 10 running backs this week. We have a few on by, but a lot of the big names up there, headlined by Jameer Gibbs, who plays tonight. Devon A. Chain has been on absolute tear. And then James Cook, second in the NFL in rushing yards. He had a career high 32 carries last week. And we heard from his offensive coordinator, Joe Brady on James Cook.
- [05:33]
Lawrence Jackson
I saw Jimbo pregame and he just had that look in his eyes and it's such a.
- [05:38]
Matthew Berry
Kind of a dumb thing to say, but like he was ready to rock. I tried not to ever have a.
- [05:41]
Lawrence Jackson
Guy get 30 carries, but, you know, and so we were trying to make sure we were rotating him as it went. But the way that he was running it, you don't want to take him out too, you know, And Ray did a great job on some of those drives. It was good to finally be able to get some of those guys going, get some carries. But we were able to run it that many times.
- [05:57]
Jay Croucher
We were able to do that.
- [05:58]
Lawrence Jackson
But, you know, Jimbo had that look.
- [06:00]
Matthew Berry
In his eye and I felt like.
- [06:02]
Lawrence Jackson
He ran like that.
- [06:04]
Jay Croucher
Okay. Thoughts, Lawrence, on the nickname Jimbo.
- [06:07]
Lawrence Jackson
I like Jimmy better.
- [06:09]
Jay Croucher
Jimbo?
- [06:09]
Lawrence Jackson
Yeah, Jimbo. I just think about big lumberjack and cutting down trees and stuff. Like, Jimmy seems sleek and quick, like what James Cook is.
- [06:20]
Jay Croucher
Yeah, Jimbo implies a width that isn't really there. James Cook.
- [06:24]
Lawrence Jackson
Yeah, much more of a. Yeah, he's not a guard. He's a running back.
- [06:27]
Jay Croucher
Indeed. Well, Jimbo, Jimmy, whatever his name is, Matthew, he should have a big week this week against the Bengals. The Bengals opponents are frequent mainstay on the love list for running backs. Have you got any Bengals defense stats for us this time?
- [06:43]
Matthew Berry
You know what I do. Running backs that see at least 15 touches against Cincinnati this year are averaging over 21 fantasy points per game. Basically, if you get work against the Bengals, you score fantasy points. And we expect Jimbo Cook to get at least a lot of work. He's averaging 21 touches per game. He's had at least 15 touches in every single game. So you think about that. He's had at least 15 touches in every single game, running backs to get at least 15 touches against the Bengals average over 21 fantasy points per game. Ergo, therefore, bingo bango. Obviously, James Cook going to have a monster game this week. He's my running back three for a reason. The other thing that's exciting, by the way, they're starting to use him in the passing game. Jay, I think this is important as well. He's had an 11% target share over his last four games. He's had at least three receptions in each one of those games. He was actually their leading receiver against the Steelers is only 33 yards, but you know, he was legitimately the Bills leading receiver against Pittsburgh. So he. Yeah. Big day coming from. From James Cook. I'm not comfortable with the nickname Jimbo, although I will say that if we're going with Jimbo Cook, he's my fate. He's officially my favorite Jimbo because previously the only Jimbo that I knew was Jimbo Fisher, who took Texas A and M and just kind of took $90 million to run him into the ground. And so, you know, we're anti Jimbo Fisher on this show. I am pro Jimbo Cook.
- [08:03]
Jay Croucher
Thank you for clarifying that. Jonathan Medici 7, shocker, evil J hates a nickname. Death and Taxes. I just think we can do better than Jimbo.
- [08:12]
Lawrence Jackson
Right. And I'm with you on that. I think we all have just said we agree that Jimbo, it just don't match with a player like James Cook. Like, he just. He. He too good. Like Jimbo is like a fun backup type of player who come in like Ryan Fitzpatrick or something. That's who you get names like Jimbo to. Not a James Cook.
- [08:32]
Jay Croucher
Yeah, there's other names. A bit of a controversial figure in history, but Captain Cook, who, you know, brought British settlers to Australia, that's one. There's other names we can do better than Jimbo. We also need a nickname, Lawrence, for Kyron Williams, who doesn't. I don't think he has one, but he's on the love list for you. And he plays the Cardinals.
- [08:52]
Matthew Berry
Yeah.
- [08:53]
Lawrence Jackson
And for good reason. He's on here this week. Despite, you know, recently losing touches to Blake Corm is getting closer to a 50, 50 timeshare. But Kyron Williams Russian touchdown and four out of his last five games going up against this Cardinals defense that has allowed at least 30 receiving yards to the running back position in three straight games, a running back is scored versus the Cardinals four straight games. Just a lot of Cardinals stats you could go with here. They're 22nd against the run over the past four weeks. And we know that LA Rams defense is near the goal line often now. Most of the time they're throwing slants or trades to. To Devonte Adams. But like I said, Kyron Williams has still been getting in the end zone. That, and that's kind of been like carrying his fantasy value over the last few weeks. So on my love list this week.
- [09:49]
Jay Croucher
Very good. I should have the chat up more often during these shows. Some great comments here about James Cook. Some of the nicknames in here, there's some strange ones. The Magnolia Cook. Yeah, that makes a lot of sense. The cookler. Aaron Cashman, 33. The chef, which I get. It's a Cook.
- [10:08]
Lawrence Jackson
But, well, James Cook, actually. I'm pretty sure his picture on his profile for social media is him looking like Chef Boyardee. So that one probably would suffice.
- [10:22]
Jay Croucher
You know what? Go ahead, Matthew.
- [10:24]
Matthew Berry
What about LET as a nickname? Let. Let. James Cook.
- [10:29]
Jay Croucher
That's very good. No, that's not good. I've actually.
- [10:33]
Matthew Berry
Those that would know would know.
- [10:34]
Jay Croucher
Yeah. All right, I've got. I've actually got the answer. But first, Aaron Cashman, 33. Flexural frustrations. Guys, do I start? Kyron Debo Vale. Jaden Higgins in the flex. I still think it's Kyron Williams.
- [10:46]
Matthew Berry
Oh, yeah.
- [10:46]
Lawrence Jackson
This Kyron. Easy for me.
- [10:48]
Jay Croucher
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- [10:50]
Matthew Berry
That's getting. That's too cute. That is getting way too cute.
- [10:52]
Jay Croucher
I've got it. The nickname for James Cook, it's, if you watch Better Call Saul. Slippin Jimmy. Because he slips. He slips through tackles like that. All right, Jimmy, let's get it going. Slippin Jimmy. All right, Bucky Irving. Matthew, who looked good in his return, I think better than we all expected, got a huge workload against the Cardinals last week and now plays New Orleans. As we look at his snap rate against the Cardinals, 54% snap, right. 17 carries. So, Matthew, that was the big thing. And now the Bucks more than touchdown favorites at home to New Orleans.
- [11:25]
Matthew Berry
Yeah, that's the point. So you see the 17 rushing attempts. Turns out Bucky Irving in his first game back, despite Todd Bowles being like, well, we're going to work him in. He got 81% of Tampa Bay's running back rushes in his first game back last week. And most Importantly, he got 100% of the Buccaneers goal to go rushing attempts. When they got in close, they only gave it to Bucky Irving. And you mentioned this matchup against the Saints where they're heavily favored. We know Baker Mayfield still struggling a little bit as well. We talked about him yesterday on the show but we expect them to be able to run and run effectively against the Saints team. They've given up a rushing touch on the Saints have to a running back in five of their past six games. They're allowing the third most rushing yards per game to running back since week nine. So it's just, it's a team that you can effectively run against. Bucky Irving gets a lot of work. He's my seventh ranked running back this week.
- [12:10]
Jay Croucher
Yep, that makes a lot of sense. I'm going to add Quintean Judkins to the love list. The reason why is that even when they're losing, the Browns still give quick John 20, 25 carries. Now he's a favorite. Quechuan Judgment is never a favorite. He might actually have game script by a lot too.
- [12:26]
Lawrence Jackson
Like it's not a north of a.
- [12:28]
Jay Croucher
North of a field goal. Now a game that the Browns are expected to win against the Titans, whose rush defense with Jeffrey Simmons isn't terrible but you know it's not the Browns rush defense either. So Quinte on Judkins, I think that he very good chance that he gets north of 20 carries and if you can get north of 20 carries then you should be able to get 90 rushing yards and I think that Quintean Judkins will be able to do that. Let's get to others.
- [12:54]
Matthew Berry
You know what, hey Jay. Yeah, you know it's interesting here just about this game real quickly. You know I was doing radio yesterday so I did a bunch of radio yesterday in Kansas City because I'm going to be in Kansas City for Football Night in America and our friends at DraftKings as well. Sports betting has gone live in Missouri. So so heading out there, I'm excited to do that for our friends at DraftKings and obviously I'll be there on the sideline at Arrowhead for Football Night in America. But so I did a bunch of radio yesterday and one of the guys asked me the reason I'm bringing this up is one of the guys asked me, he was talking about a survivor pool and he said basically, you know, his choices were either Philadelphia this week, you know, against the Chargers or Cleveland. And you know, all of his co hosts were like obviously go with Philadelphia. And I said actually, I don't think so. I actually think you go with Cleveland here. I said because you're never going to want to use the Browns. If ever there was a week to use the Browns in a survivor pool, it's when you're at home against Tennessee, like, you know, you feel better about Myles Garrett against Cam Ward than you do in any other sort of scenario here. I think the Browns win this game, Jay, and I'm not convinced the Eagles go to LA and beat the Chargers, honestly. So I just. I just thought this is it. I think this is an interesting game and that where we normally shy away from Browns players. I think given the fact that they are at home and going against the Titans, I think the Browns suddenly become, you know, I think Fannin becomes kind of interesting. And I agree with you on Judkins.
- [14:18]
Jay Croucher
Yep. Well, the interesting thing there is that the Browns are a bigger favorite.
- [14:23]
Lawrence Jackson
I feel more confident. I feel more confident that the Browns could beat the Titans more than the Eagles could go to la, beat the Chargers. Yeah.
- [14:30]
Jay Croucher
Yes. All right, question from Aloha Bricks. Lawrence Judkins or Javante Williams?
- [14:36]
Lawrence Jackson
Oh, I would go Javante Williams here.
- [14:39]
Jay Croucher
He's.
- [14:39]
Lawrence Jackson
He's gotten back on track. You got a what's the over under here? 54 and a half. Highest total of week 14. I'll go Javante Williams.
- [14:49]
Jay Croucher
Do you prefer that to the 33 and a half total in Brown's title?
- [14:53]
Lawrence Jackson
Just a little bit in. Although.
- [14:54]
Jay Croucher
Three touchdowns.
- [14:55]
Matthew Berry
Different. Although.
- [14:57]
Lawrence Jackson
Although. That's crazy. Although Quinn Sean Judkins will go north of 20 carries and probably will get two touchdowns. He'll probably get somewhere like 72 yards because that's just how it goes for Quin Sean Juggins. I like Javante Williams more for the explosive play. So I would go Devonte Williams.
- [15:15]
Matthew Berry
I agree with you, Lawrence. Javante Williams actually makes my others receiving votes for the love list as well. Three straight games with over 20 touches. He's top 10among running backs in terms of touches, averaging over 19 a game. We know this. Javante Williams is their workhorse back, their bell cow running back. And by the way, especially when they're getting close, since week seven, he's tied for the third most red zone rush attempts among opposing running backs. So I'm with you on Javante Williams. We'll talk about this game a little bit later today, but I think you want as much of this Lions Cowboys game tonight as you can get.
- [15:46]
Jay Croucher
Yep, absolutely.
- [15:47]
Lawrence Jackson
All right.
- [15:47]
Jay Croucher
Well, Matthew, you foreshadowed that Javonte Williams was on others receiving votes. Let's take a look at those other names too. Chase Brown against the Bills and Carl Menunga against the Packers.
- [15:59]
Matthew Berry
Yeah, Chase Brown. In the two full games he's played with Joe Burrow this year, he's got 45 touches, 45 touches every two games, a 15 target share. So, you know, running back to see a lot of work against Buffalo, generally doing fairly well. We already talked about it later. But how about my guy? Common on Guy. Four straight games with a rushing touchdown. He's gotten 71% of the Bears goal line rushing attempts over that span. And over the last two weeks, again with Deandre Swift still back, over the last two weeks, he's had over 50% of the bears running back touches. I think we saw against Philadelphia. This is what they want to do. They want to run Swift.
- [16:34]
Jay Croucher
It's.
- [16:34]
Matthew Berry
It is Thunder and Lightning. It is Knuckles and Sonic, whatever nickname you want to go. But Ben Johnson is doing in Chicago what he did in Detroit, which is used two running backs effectively against each other. And so Manon Guy is a. Is a viable flex for me even against a top packers defense. He's my running back 26 this week.
- [16:53]
Jay Croucher
Okay, well, speaking of Sonic and Knuckles. Knuckles and Sonic. Let's jump to the hate list where Knuckles himself, Matthew David Montgomery is on it against an improved Dallas rush defense since Quinn and Williams got there.
- [17:05]
Matthew Berry
Yeah, since trading for win at Williams, no team allows fewer rush yards per game to opposing running backs than the Dallas Cowboys. Their defense has also gotten healthier. It's not just Quinn Williams, but it does seem like that's just been sort of a spark plug that this Cowboys defense need. Again, since trading for Williams, they're allowing 13.4 fantasy points per game to running backs. That's the lowest in the NFL. And by the way, since week seven, Montgomery has one game, literally one game with over 50 receiving. I'm sorry, over 50 yards from scrimmage. So you basically what with Montgomery, and there's always a possibility of this, but with Montgomery, you need him to fall into the end zone because if he doesn't do that, it's just not going to be a great day at the office for him. I have. I think he's a shaky flex play. He's my running back. 25. But again, I've lowered expectations for Montgomery in this matchup. I think it's a big Gibbs game. I think they have to throw to keep up with his Dallas offense.
- [17:55]
Jay Croucher
Okay, question from Carlos Lopez. Flex options. Jaden Higgins, C Rod. Chris Rodriguez, btj D Monty Pick. One win and I'm in Lawrence. Who do you like here?
- [18:10]
It should be btj but it's not.
- [18:12]
Lawrence Jackson
But it's not. I might have to go. Oh, C, Rod. Right here.
- [18:17]
Jay Croucher
Matthew, what do you say?
- [18:19]
Matthew Berry
Right? I get. I get it. Chris Rodriguez is obviously getting the majority of the work for the for the Commanders. If you're starting Commanders, running back Chris Rodriguez is the answer. I don't know that I love the matchup against Minnesota. I actually might think Jaden Higgins, I think that the Chiefs will probably spend a lot of time on Nico Collins. I don't think they can run effectively of the Texans against this Chiefs defense. So actually I weirdly think Jaden Higgins might be the answer here.
- [18:45]
Jay Croucher
Yep, I think it's a coin flip between those two. But yeah, no interest in BTJ or David Montgomery. That backfield has been transitioning to Jimmy Gibbs over the past few weeks. Hey, list ultra out there, RJ Harvey, who he scored, he got the two touchdowns against Washington. But when we're looking at what's going to be predictive going forward, usage is more important. And the past three games, four carries against the Raiders, three places weekend 11 against the Chiefs, 11 for 30 and then 13 for 35 against Washington and what should have been a really favorable matchup. And the issue is just that Jaleel McLaughlin still getting six carries. Bo Nixon is going to carry it a little bit and he just hasn't got the workload that you would have hoped for since J.K. dobbins went down. The Raiders rush defense, it's not amazing, but it's not a real weakness of the team on a per play basis either. The total in this game on DraftKings is 40 and a half reduced to the under. So I don't think you want many shares of this game overall. And RJ Harvey, I think he, he's either he's big play dependent or he's touchdown depending.
- [19:49]
Lawrence Jackson
That's the type. That's a scenario, Jay, where I feel like when you have RJ Harvey, you put him in the flex spot if you have to play him there in this match just because you know he's on a better team and he's getting the most work out of that backfield. It's a if I have to start them, you do it because like you said, the Raiders run defense 13th in the league over the last four weeks. So there are no slouches in that area. So definitely feel you there.
- [20:16]
Jay Croucher
Yep. Okay. Lawrence Another potential flex option, Jalen Warren gets a tough matchup against the Ravens defense. It's been playing better for the most part. Yeah. Yeah.
- [20:25]
Lawrence Jackson
And even though the Ravens defense got completely dominated by Kyle Manoungai on Matthews love list and DeAndre Swift, I don't see the same thing happening for these Steelers running backs in particular. Jalen. Jalen Warren. No more than two catches in a game since week seven. Remember, this is supposed to be the guy who's the pass catching running back out of the backfield, not catching passes. No more than 70 rush yards in the game since week six. And to that point, like only one running back has ran for 70 yards or more versus Baltimore in a game in their last eight games. So the Steelers don't have the same type of offensive lineman that the Chicago Bears do. So you know, on my hate list this week, Kenneth Gainwell getting a lot of touches too. So I'd be that. I think that's a shaky start.
- [21:19]
Jay Croucher
Yeah. Until further notice, I think we're going to see teams against Aaron Rodgers just sell out to stop the run. That's what you should prove, that he can beat them. All right, let's jump to love hate pass catches as we take a look at the rankings 1 through 10. No surprise, the top two, Puka, Nakua, Jackson, Smith and Jigba. For George Pickens, who has been wide receiver 2 in the NFL this year at least in terms of receiving yards, he comes in at number six. Matthew neck and neck really with CD Lamb this year. They have almost identical receiving props. What do you think of his matchup against the Lions?
- [21:56]
Matthew Berry
Yeah, I love the matchup against the Lions. Right. Detroit plays man coverage in basically the second highest rate. Literally only one team in the NFL plays more man coverage than the Detroit Lions. Why do I bring this up? Because no wide receiver, no wide receiver has more receiving yards against man coverage this year than George pickens. He's actually 112 receiving yards more than the next guy. Like so just, he just absolutely dominates man coverage. Detroit plays it at a very high rate. And here's the other thing. CD Lamb coming back hasn't hurt George Pickens at all since CD Lamb came back. My guy Eights. I call him Eights, my friend. Eights. Since Eights came back. George Pickens is the seventh best wide receiver in fantasy football. He has a 28 target share during that time frame. So like again, we've talked about it. I think you want as much of this game as possible. Obviously everyone at starting Pickens that has them, but I do think it has a. It has a. There's the potential here for a blow up game from George Pickens.
- [22:51]
Jay Croucher
Yep, absolutely. We'll talk a bit more about George Pickens in our final segment. I will add Nico Collins to the love list. Favorable matchup against Kansas City, whose past defense has really struggled in recent weeks. They just don't have the pass rush they had in years past. They're not nearly as effective blitzing as they have been in previous years. I think Lawrence, the main thing is that he just looks like Nico Collins again in recent weeks. He got the rushing touchdown against The Colts, goes 5 for 98. Had the huge game against the Jags a month ago where he went 7 for 136 with the 15 targets. Had the huge game against the Titans too where he had that third and long conversion towards the end of the game to effectively seal it before the walk off field goal. So Nico Collins, it's been an up and down year, was a really disappointing start but he pretty much looks like Nico Collins.
- [23:39]
Lawrence Jackson
Yeah, look, 20 plus fantasy points in three out of his last four games. I actually think the one you see at week 13 versus the coast, that's closer to his floor. And that's what you want out of your top receiver in fantasy.
- [23:52]
Jay Croucher
Absolutely. All right Matthew, let's jump to Jameson Williams who could be the guy tonight for Detroit with their season on the line. A Monroe St. Brown listed questionable. We'll see if he gives it a go or not, but it should be a relatively favorable matchup against the Cowboys secondary.
- [24:09]
Matthew Berry
Yeah, wide receivers that have seen at least seven targets against Dallas this year are averaging 20, 24 fantasy points per game. Every single one of them, literally every single wide receiver that got at least seven targets against the Cowboys this year has scored at least 14 fantasy points. And then you sit here and look at what Jameson Williams shot at. Jameson at the headline there. Nice job there last year. 37% target. They're not a typo. 37%. 10 targets, 10 receptions to 144. Just dialing up play after play for Jameson Williams. Especially when Amman Ross St. Brown left that game very early. I expect more of the same.
- [24:46]
This week tonight. I should be should say Williams was targeted on 33% of his routes. I mean this golf was just looking for him all the time. And so even if Amon Ra is out there, we don't expect him to play tonight. But even if he's out there, he's probably, maybe he's out there as a decoy. I think Williamson Williams will be the first read for golf tonight in what should be a high scoring game. Kind of want to just mention there that if you're desperate and Aman Ross St. Brown does not in fact play. Isaac Tesla is how you say becomes kind of an interesting punt play if you like. If you're sort of in a three team 12 receiver. You know the place three receivers league and you're kind of desperate. I think Isaac Tesla sort of interesting.
- [25:27]
Lawrence Jackson
Tonight that I will be starting him in the league of assholes. If Monroe St. Brown does not play, he will be in the not the flex spot that Thursday wide receiver one spot. Isaac Tesla score again for me dog help brother out.
- [25:43]
Jay Croucher
Yeah. Between Isaac Tesla and Marcus Mario Tarr. It's been a tough year for open ended vows at the end of names. Really no good at all. What do you think Lawrence about Jameson Williams potential against Dallas which is think of the Cowboys like this but with Quinnel Williams is such a good run defender and he changes the total complexion of that run defense that the Cowboys might become a bit of a pass funnel now.
- [26:08]
Matthew Berry
Yeah.
- [26:08]
Lawrence Jackson
Yeah. So I think that if the Cowboys are not able to get pressure on Jared Goff then it could be a big day for him and Jameson Williams. That's the whole key with the Lions. You got to get linemen around. You got to get defensive linemen around Jared Goff, get him around his legs, get him all jittery in the pocket. But last week I think we saw why Jameson Williams was drafted where he was drafted right early in the first round there and they completely just. It's like in two seconds he turned into one of the top receivers in the league and they would. He was carrying the offense. Basically wasn't a great day for Jameer Gibbs. Their offense was going through Jameson Williams and you should expect that tonight if Aman Ross St. Brown can't go.
- [26:53]
Jay Croucher
Yep. Should be a good game as well. Lawrence for Dalton Kincaid if he's healthy against the Bengals very well chronicled how dominant tight ends have been in that matchup.
- [27:01]
Lawrence Jackson
Yeah got him going against the Bengals but just quick, quickly. Speaking of the Bengals, I meant to say Chase Brown how he ran against the Ravens earlier not Kyle manon guy in DeAndre Swift. Yeah, I, I couldn't let that go. I couldn't let that slide.
- [27:17]
I couldn't do it. But darling Kincaid this the thing. He obviously he's hurt but he had a limited practice yesterday and man if he could go this is about the best matchup you can get as a tight end. The Bengals have allowed 122 receiving yards per game over their last four games to tight ends. Look, they let Isaiah Likely and Mark Andrews go for 95 and 47 yards respectively. So clearly obviously they allowed the most fantasy points per game. Two tight ends this I even think if Dalton Kincaid does not play. If you're looking for a streaming option. I would say look towards Dawson Knox's way. But if it's Dalton Kincaid, which we hope it is, this all wheels up for him versus the Bengals, especially when the over under is 53 and a half.
- [28:10]
Jay Croucher
Yeah, absolutely.
- [28:11]
Matthew Berry
All right.
- [28:11]
Jay Croucher
Another tight end, Matthew Tyler Warren had a couple of rough weeks in a row. Didn't do much against the Chiefs, did very little against the Texans. Very difficult matchup and Warren was dealing with an illness going into that one. But before the buy he had that awesome game in Berlin against the Falcons where he effectively won it at the end. What do you think of his prospects against the Jags?
- [28:35]
Matthew Berry
Obviously I like him a lot. As you see it there on your screen, he's my number three tight end this week. He's playing the Jaguar. Jack allowed the second most receptions per game to opposing tight ends. Dalton Schultz, Travis Kelce, Trey McBride, Brock Bowers, all of them scored at least 16 fantasy points against Jacksonville. Ward gets a lot of targets that hasn't always produced fantasy points recently, but three of the last four games he's gotten at least seven targets. Given the matchup with Jacksonville and how important this game is to your Colts, Jay, I believe Tyler Warren does it for the shoe. He does it for you and he does it for fantasy managers this Sunday.
- [29:07]
Jay Croucher
Very scared about this guy.
- [29:08]
Lawrence Jackson
Shaking my head. I'm shaking my head. Yes, I could do that now. We getting there.
- [29:12]
Jay Croucher
Yeah.
- [29:12]
Lawrence Jackson
Yeah.
- [29:13]
Jay Croucher
Troubling game. Just win the game. Colts 1 1/2 point favorite.
- [29:17]
Lawrence Jackson
The Jags did just whoop the Chargers a couple of weeks ago.
- [29:21]
Matthew Berry
When was the last time the Colts beat the Charger? I'm sorry? When was the last time the Colts beat Jacksonville in Jacksonville? It's been years.
- [29:27]
Jay Croucher
I don't know. But all I know is that they lost in the final week of 2021. A 17 point favorite. Sign it cost me an ungodly amount of money. I will still never forgive Carson Wentz for that performance down in Jacksonville. Some fantasy managers. Matthew won't forgive Michael Wilson for his performance last week. Disappointing. But he headlines others receiving votes on the love list.
- [29:48]
Matthew Berry
Yeah, we're assuming Marvin jarrison Marvin Harrison Jr. Is out and if he is out, Mike Wilson has gotten a 32 target share in games that MHJ has missed. Ran to the last 17 vanity points or more to wide receiver three in the past four. How about you Kobe Myers, who randomly is the 13th best wide receiver in fantasy football over the last three weeks? Colts have allowed at least 90 receiving yards to a wide receiver in three straight games. Sauce Gardner not expected to to go. I did not expect to talk about AD9 Mitchell in week 14 of this season, but here we are. Since joining the Jets, Mitchell has actually gotten a 30% target share. Obviously Garrett Wilson being out helps a lot of that, but their passing game has stabilized a little bit with Tyrod Taylor. Mitchell's got an end zone target in all three games been a member of the Jets. He has already called him, caught him, but he is getting the targets and obviously the breakout game last week as well. Hopefully that gives confidence to both himself and Tyrod against the Miami defense that allows the seventh most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. Finally, I'll mention Devon Bailey. You saw him there on your screen. 91% route participation over the last three weeks and it's a good match against Tampa Bay. Gives it the second most receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers.
- [30:59]
Jay Croucher
Okay, Matthew, the chat is chiming in saying that 2014 was the last time that the Colts won in Jacksonville. Unverified. But J. Woogie66 seems like a reliable source there, so we'll go with 2014. Question from born under a bad sign half point PPR flex Matthew Michael Wilson, Debo Neal Vidal or Jake Ferguson?
- [31:21]
Matthew Berry
All right, let's I'm assuming Michael Mark I'm assuming Marvin Harrison Jr. Is not going and so if MHA is out, the answer here is Michael Wilson.
- [31:32]
If it's if Michael Wilson can't go.
- [31:36]
Devin Neal maybe I mean Ferguson tonight. I think the upside of Michael Wilson is worth benching Ferguson tonight. Right? You're going to have to make that decision or we know. So I would do that. So now it's Neil and Vidal. If Amari and Hampton isn't activated this week, then the answer is Kamani Vidal. But if, if Amari and Hampton is active and we just don't know how that spirit split is, I'll say, I'll say Devin Neal would be my answer there. So a lot of caveats. It sort of depends on how it all sort of shakes out. I want to mention two two tight ends that made others receiving votes real quickly, Jay, but Kyle Pitts, Lawrence, your man Kyle Pitts, your best friend Kyle Pitts since Week 7 actually is fifth in the NFL among tight ends in target share. He's been getting a big target share, especially with Kirk Cousins under center Drake London being out last couple of weeks. But it's a nice matchup with Seattle. We don't often say that, but this is actually a nice matchup against Seattle. And Seattle allows the third most receiving yards per Game to opposing tight ends. And finally, Breton Strange Parker. Washington's banged up Colts allow the fourth most fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends. Very quietly, Breton change. Brenton Strange has double digit fantasy points in every game, full game that he's played this year.
- [32:48]
Jay Croucher
Okay, let's jump to the list. Matthew, a man that you drafted and put your good name behind and then unfortunately got injured at the start of the season. But it hasn't really happened this year for Xavier Worthy and now he gets a brutal matchup against the Texans. He's not going to have either of his tackles to help him either get deep. And so he is headlining the hate.
- [33:08]
Matthew Berry
What is the is. Does draft teams have a market on how many times Mahomes will get sacked in this game? Yeah, I mean they got home to Josh Allen eight times. The Texans did. And now to your point, the Chiefs might be missing three starters from their offensive line.
- [33:22]
Jay Croucher
Yeah, I mean it might be three and a half. You might set the line at three and a half because my not going to be able to run the ball on Houston's front either after Jonathan Taylor just went 21 for 85 and hadn't played well to get there. So. Yeah, so I mean I'm in three.
- [33:38]
Matthew Berry
I'm in the finals in like I think in a handful of guillotine leagues and I have Mahomes as my quarterback in three, three of them. And I'm benching him in all three just because it's just I'm again in a guillotine league. You know, one bad week and you're done. So I'm just nervous about that. I'm starting Mahomes in normal managed leagues. But specific to Xavier Worthy, I'm. He's barely a top 40 wide receiver for me this week, guys. I'm at wide receiver 39 since Rasheed Rice has returned. I'm being generous, by the way, because since Rasheed Rice returned, He's wide receiver 51 on a points per game basis. You mentioned this Texans defense, Jay, they allow the lowest catch rate and the third fewest yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. Obviously that's where Worthy lines up a lot of the time. Week six, Week six is the last time Xavier Worthy got an end zone target. I just, you know, he's always. There's always a threat that he gets a big play, but I just, I'm not seeing it. My wide receiver 39, unfortunately, yeah, my good name, my. My previously formerly good name was attached to Xavier Worthy in the preseason. It's one of the Reasons why I started 0 in 7. Xavier Worthy.
- [34:41]
Jay Croucher
Yeah. Yeah. Your name. Your name was attached. We don't need to make judgments about whether your name was good or bad in the preseason. But your name was. Your name was.
- [34:49]
Matthew Berry
It was still good back then.
- [34:51]
Jay Croucher
It was still good then. Now it's expired. Xavier Worthy. I'm going to add by the way, I think Texans cover there plus three and a half. I think that the cluster injuries on the offensive lines. Last team that you want to play with cluster injuries on the offensive line. Yes. With Will Anderson and Danielle Hunter, two of the best head rushers in the league. Hate list for me. Keenan Allen against Philadelphia Keenan Allen just hasn't done much lately. He's topped 58 yards once since week three. He came out looking amazing to start the season. But since that start as the Chargers have dealt with their own issues on the offensive line past game has been very inconsistent. He has a quarterback who may or may not plan. If he does play, it's going to be having coming off a surgery seven days prior. So Keenan Allen Lawrence in this past game for the chargers, I tell lad McConkey is still the guy but after that I don't feel good about anyone.
- [35:41]
Lawrence Jackson
Yeah, it's. It's lad McConkey and then it's like everybody get in where you fit in and that's kind of what we kind of. We knew it would come to that.
- [35:51]
Aronde Gatson. Nice. He's a good player. In fantasies he's a tight end. But the overall scope of it, you just don't feel confident with Keenan Allen at this point.
- [36:01]
Jay Croucher
Definitely. All right, well, staying in this game, Lawrence, A.J. brown probably has better prospects than Ken Allen, but still difficult to count on him.
- [36:09]
Lawrence Jackson
Hey, temper the expectations folks. Looks AJ Brown has been the best receiver in fantasy over the past two weeks. This the thing though. I think the Eagles want to win this game. They want to win now. They've been losing too much in their last three losses. A.J. brown is averaging eight catches, 107 yards on 10 targets. The Eagles last three wins. A.J. brown four catches, 61 yards on six and a half targets. So they don't need him to win like that. Like you could get by. When they were winning, they were throwing to Devonte Adams, Devonte Smith, Dallas Goddard, he seven touchdowns this season. Then there's the fact that the Los Angeles Chargers give up the fewest fantasy points per game to to wide receivers. And another thing too about this game, the over under here 40 and a half. Nothing is lower than that. Besides the Cleveland and Titans game. So that's a little bit scary too. So I expect this to be a defensive battle. You just talked about the Chargers passing game. The Eagles passing game hasn't been consistent either. So I think that just like kind of shores up to be like a low scoring game.
- [37:23]
Jay Croucher
Yeah, I still think you got to start.
- [37:25]
Lawrence Jackson
Yeah, yeah, don't mention you definitely got to start him. But if he gets you one of those three for 33s, you can't be shocked and you can't be mad.
- [37:35]
Jay Croucher
Yep, used to be the most stable, projectable offense in football with just how streamlined it is to the three pass catches in Saquon, but not so much anymore. AK Sheggs Alexa knows how to play flip cup. I believe that.
- [37:50]
Lawrence Jackson
Yeah, I would say so. Yeah.
- [37:53]
Jay Croucher
Yeah. Well, we set the bar pretty low here on that front. We're gonna hit our first break. When we come back, it's love. Hate quarterbacks. Stick around.
- [38:09]
Matthew Berry
Traditions have the power to bring a whole city together. Tapas tailgate in the pouring rain or refuse to wash that lucky jersey. And tradition is what inspires Tostitos to make their masa the traditional way, starting with whole corn kernels and made with no artificial flavors, colors or preservatives crafted for that perfect crunch. Anytime I'm watching football on Sunday, I look around and there's always somebody eating Tostitos. Whether you're at the tailgate or home watching with friends, choose Tostitos for your next game day. Tostitos Tradition matters. Official Chip and Dip sponsor of the NFL. You know the best B2B marketing often gets wasted on the wrong people. So listen, when you want to reach the right professionals, use LinkedIn ads. LinkedIn has grown to a network of over 1 billion professionals. You can target your buyers by job title, by industry, by company, by role, seniority, skills, company revenue. You can stop wasting budget on the wrong audience. So spend $250 on your first campaign on LinkedIn ads and get a free $250 credit for the next one. Just go to LinkedIn.com ff that's LinkedIn.com ffhh terms and conditions apply. If you're an H Vac technician and a call comes in, Grainger knows that you need a partner that helps you find the right product fast and hassle free. And you know that when the first problem of the day is a clanking blower motor, there's no need to break a sweat. With Grainger's easy to use website and product details, you're confident you'll soon have everything humming right along call 1-800-granger clickgranger.com or just stop by Granger for the ones who get it done.
- [39:48]
Lawrence Jackson
Seems like Campbell has a burning side.
- [39:49]
Jay Croucher
For the Cowboys, you know, with all.
- [39:51]
Matthew Berry
The tackle has a what Burn his.
- [39:55]
Jay Croucher
Side, you know, I mean, what, he's one for one.
- [39:57]
Lawrence Jackson
We're one and one.
- [39:58]
Jay Croucher
You said he likes beating us. I mean, it's not like he's gotten comfortable doing that. So.
- [40:04]
Yeah, I'm sure the guy has a history here. I'm sure he wants to beat us.
- [40:08]
Lawrence Jackson
Just like everybody else does.
- [40:10]
Jay Croucher
Hell, I mean, I don't think this needs to be extra motivation. I'm sure the guys understand that when.
- [40:16]
Lawrence Jackson
You have the star on your helmet.
- [40:17]
Jay Croucher
Everybody plays that way when they play us, to be honest with you.
- [40:19]
Lawrence Jackson
So it's not just because the coach has been here and you know, got.
- [40:23]
Jay Croucher
That, got something against us or whatever it may be, you know, that comes with territory playing for the Dallas Cowboys. And you get that each and every week.
- [40:32]
Prescott talking about the rivalry of the Lions and Dan Campbell. Dan Campbell, who in this matchup had one of the greatest meltdowns I've ever seen where they get the conversion on the 4th and 2 for the 2.2 years ago. You get the penalty, which probably shouldn't have been a penalty. And he's like, oh, screw it, we're going for it anyway on 4th and 7 instead of kicking the point after. It's a tired Dan Campbell one of a kind. Anyway, Dak Prescott gets that match up against Dan Campbell, struggling past defense, Matthew Terry and Arnold now out for the year. Overall, this is a team Detroit that you can throw on. Their pressure rate has been well down. Aiden Hutchinson has not really been cited outside of that sack at the end of the Giants game. So Dak Prescott, your man, your rival in the NFC east, he headlines the love list.
- [41:16]
Matthew Berry
Yeah, I mean, it's interesting Dak didn't mention I Dan Campbell got screwed. Let's be clear on that. The Lions got screwed in that two point conversion. They called back. It was a terrible call. They got screwed. All that said, I think Dak Prescott has a monster game tonight. He's my second quarterback. He's my number two quarterback in my rankings this week as well. No team allows touchdowns at a higher rate in the NFL since Week 9 than the Detroit Lions. They allow the third most fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks in that time. And as we've talked about the over under in this game, Cowboys implied team total is over 25 points when the Cowboys score at least 21 points. Dak averages 22 points. That's a lot of numbers. Blah, blah, blah. Dak's gonna eat tonight. Start Dak, easy top three play.
- [41:59]
Jay Croucher
Yep, this is going to be a nice way to wash out Broncos Raiders from the Thursday night slide from a.
- [42:05]
Lawrence Jackson
Couple I would say.
- [42:05]
Jay Croucher
So this would be the antidote. There a guy who lit up Thursday last week, Lawrence Jordan Love. Now my man, the third favorite for mvp. I do love Jordan Love. As I said, he's been in my stable for a long time now. Him, him and Brock Purdy kind of been the two guys I've attached myself to. I mean, so great for Brock lately, but it's been very good for Jordan Love. He just seems to go on these heaters where he gets into the zone and he was fantastic against the Lions. Now he plays a suspect Chicago defense, right?
- [42:33]
Lawrence Jackson
And he's got multiple touchdown passes and two out of his last three games including that four touchdown game on Thanksgiving that you mentioned. Now the Chicago Bears pass defenses been middle of the pack over the past four weeks, right? And they've only allowed two games where they allow multi touchdown passes by a quarterback in their last six games. However, some of those quarterbacks was Mason Rudolph, J.J. mcCarthy, Jackson Dart who had two rushing touchdowns against them. He didn't throw any. And then Tyler Huntley. So it's basically a Jackson dart in a bunch of backups. You, you peel that back. Chicago is bottom eight when it comes to allowing fantasy points per game to quarterback. And like you said, I think this is a part of one of those heaters that Jordan Love is on and I think they take advantage of the weaker parts of that defense. So Jordan Love on my love list week 14.
- [43:32]
Jay Croucher
Yep. The packers are inching towards touchdown favorites in that game which will shape.
- [43:37]
Lawrence Jackson
It's a lot for two teams with only three losses.
- [43:40]
Jay Croucher
Yeah, well, the market doesn't believe in the Bears and it believes in the Packers. Chicago friends are not happy about the disrespect.
- [43:47]
Lawrence Jackson
9 and 3 you a touchdown dog.
- [43:49]
Jay Croucher
The one seed. The one seed is almost touchdown dog in the NFC. Anyway, just show it on the field. Go in the game.
- [43:56]
All right. I mentioned Jordan Love Matthew being the third favorite for mvp. Matthew Stafford was the favorite until you spilled a full cup of Diet Coke on his jersey. Since then he has plummeted into being second favorite after Drake May. But he makes the love list in a dome against the Cardinals.
- [44:14]
Matthew Berry
Yeah, I spilled Diet Coke on his jersey and then he went to Carolina and did not have a good game. But I'M hoping to make it up to Matthew Stafford by putting him on my love list. He's my QB4 this week. Listen, Arizona is just such a great matchup for him over the last four games. Over the Cardinals last four games. Right. No team in the NFL is giving up passing touchdowns at a higher rate than the Arizona Cardinals. And so here comes Matthew Stafford, who leads the NFL in touchdown rate. It just he should have a monster game against this Cardinals defense that's also giving up 8.6 yards for pass attempt. That's the most in the NFL over the last four games. Over their past four games, I should say the Cardinals just you can throw deep on the Cardinals. You can throw touchdowns on the Cardinals. I guess the point of my essay here is that you can throw on the Cardinals and Matthew Stafford likes to throw. He's my number four quarterback this week.
- [45:00]
Jay Croucher
Yep. Another team you can throw on. The Kansas City Chiefs mentioned their past defense earlier. I don't entirely understand why their past defense is so bad because the corners and the safety room is fine, shouldn't be a huge weakness, but they just seem to not be getting the same pass rush.
- [45:14]
Matthew Berry
No pressure.
- [45:15]
Jay Croucher
Chris Jones, not quite at the level that he was last year as he's on the other side of 30. George Carloftis needs a bit more help on the edge. And now CJ Stroud, who quietly he obviously missed the time of the concussion, but he's passed two full games against the Niners, three 318 passing yards, two touchdowns and then he goes for 276 through the air against the Colts, doesn't get any passing touchdowns which submarines line. But CJ Stroud, I think that just the level that he played against the Colts, if he brings that same quick decision making to Arrowhead, I think he'll have success against this Chiefs pass defense. Texans fan 8906 Greatest fantasy football show of all time. Thank you. Texans fan 8906 that's very kind. I'm in a must win situation to make the playoffs. Who would you start this week, Matthew, CJ Stroud or Lamar Jackson? Wow.
- [46:08]
Matthew Berry
I can't believe this is I like it just goes to show you what a question this is, this kind of question.
- [46:14]
Jay Croucher
I think it's still I understand I'm.
- [46:16]
Matthew Berry
Going to Joe Sheen here and I'm going to say I understand the question.
- [46:21]
I understand the question because C.J. stroud's been better. Lamar. Lamar couldn't even do it against Cincinnati, which was sort of shocking here. And you just talked up C.J. stroud against, against the Chiefs. This is such a, it's a must win for both games. And normally you're like Lamar against Pittsburgh. Steelers have had a better defense. I just think though, by that game against Cincinnati, Zay Flowers had an opi, a ticky tack opi that I don't think should have been called. You know, and, and Isaiah likely basically fumbles a touchdown out of the end zone. And I think if those two plays go the other way, which they easily could have, and, and in the case of likely should have, Lamar's day looks a lot different. I get the question. I understand it. And if you went Stroud, I wouldn't blame you. But for me, I'm, I'm just not benching Lamar Jackson. If I go down this, if I go down on the ship, Lamar Jackson.
- [47:10]
Lawrence Jackson
I go down, you know, but I was. Yeah, I'm with you there. Matthew. Had the game not went that way. Like if you just only looked at the box score, then I probably would be like, yeah, I think I'll go with C.J.
- [47:23]
Matthew Berry
Stroud.
- [47:24]
Lawrence Jackson
But those two negated touchdowns was big there. So.
- [47:29]
Jay Croucher
Yeah, yeah. Also Lamar Jackson got in a full. He got in a practice on a Wednesday for the first time in forever. So perhaps an indication that he's physically feeling more like Lamar Jackson. Let's get to others receiving votes. Matthew, headlined by Jared Gough, who plays in that game tonight with a total of 54 and a half.
- [47:46]
Matthew Berry
Yeah, he's averaging 19 fantasy points at home. He's had at least two touchdown passes in five in the last six. So in a shootout, I have Goff at the top five player this week. And how about Joe Burrow? Cincinnati was fifth in cast rate over expectation in Burrow's first game last week, but Bills in the last month are last in the NFL and pressure rate. So you're telling me Joe Burrow gets Jamar Chase back and he's going to have a clean pocket. I'm in on Joe Burrow. Proud fantasy life investor Joe burrow. He's my QB6 this week.
- [48:14]
Jay Croucher
Okay. Battle of fantasy life investors Matthew Barry, a man torn between Burrow and Alan. Yeah, let's, let's jump to the hate list with Baker Mayfield. Despite the relatively favorable matchup against New Orleans, just hasn't looked like Baker Mayfield in two months. Now. Matthew.
- [48:32]
Matthew Berry
Yeah, we talked about him yesterday in terms of keeping open. Close it out. We closed it out on him yesterday. Unfortunately, Baker, who's one of my favorite players in the NFL, but he does make the hate list this week because he's just not throwing a ton. Since Week 6, he's had only two games with more than 28 passing yards and I think you're gonna be able to run on the things one of the reasons why we love Bucky Irving. So you're gonna be a lot of the Saints, they're big favorites here as well. So Baker Mayfield, who since week seven hasn't even been a top 20 quarterback on a points per game basis, he's on the hate list. He's my QB18. I'm closing it out and he's on the hate list.
- [49:03]
Jay Croucher
Okay. Lawrence Justin Herbert. Difficult matchup against the Eagles, whose run defense just got destroyed, but their past defenses been a lace.
- [49:10]
Lawrence Jackson
Right. And. And he's hurt too, so that's a big factor too. But Phillies allow four total touchdown passes their last four games and those quarterbacks include Caleb Williams, dad Prescott, Jared Goff and Jordan Love. Four pretty good quarterbacks there to only give up four TDs last four games. So he's on my hate list this week.
- [49:30]
Jay Croucher
Yep. Hey, list for me, Caleb Williams. I think there's two ways to look at this matchup with the Packers. One, he he's probably going to have to throw, which he hasn't had to do in recent weeks as they've been winning. So that's good. What's bad is that he's facing Micah Parsons and a defense that seems to be really coming into its own. Ben Johnson was pretty honest about the state of the Bears passing game situation, saying that they like winning in spite of it at the moment, really, and that it's not really helping. So I think it's going to be a tough game for Caleb Williams. All right, before we hit our last break, it's that time of year. If you're one of our top podcast listeners, post your end of the year wrapped using the hashtag ffhrapped. Our top listeners could be making some noise in this week's regular rankings. Whatever platform you're listening on, please tweet the hashtag and we will show you some love.
- [50:19]
Matthew Berry
Or yeah, or. And tag me on Instagram as well. If you're if you're sharing your Spotify or any other raps on on Instagram, tag me at matthewberry TMR on the gram and I'll give you some love there as well.
- [50:32]
Jay Croucher
Yes, Matthew Barry, a big fan and proponent of Said Graham all right, we're going to hit our last break. When we come back, it's last call. We're hitting our best bets for Cowboys, Lions.
- [50:48]
Matthew Berry
Traditions have the power to bring a whole city together. Tapas tailgate in the pouring rain or refuse to wash that lucky jersey. And tradition is what inspires Tostitos to make their masa the traditional way, starting with whole corn kernels and made with no artificial flavor, flavors, colors or preservatives crafted for that perfect crunch. Anytime I'm watching football on Sunday, I look around and there's always somebody eating Tostitos. Whether you're at the tailgate or home watching with friends, choose Tostitos for your next game day. Tostitos tradition matters. Official Chip and Dip sponsor of the NFL Chime is changing the way people bank. Forget overdraft fees, minimum balance fees and monthly fees. It's the new way to build a credit history with your own money and get rewarded every single day. Chime is not just smarter banking. It's the most rewarding way to bank. Join the millions who are already banking fee free today. It just takes a few minutes to sign up. Head to chime.comffh that's chime.com ff hh Chime is a financial technology company, not a bank. Banking Services the Secured Chime, Visa credit card and my pay line of credit provided by the Bancorp Bank NA or Stride Bank NA. MyPay eligibility requirements apply, and credit limits ranges $20 to $500. Optional services and products may have fees or charges. See chime.com/fees info. Advertise annual percentage yield with Chimes plus status only. Otherwise, 1.00% APY applies. No minimum balance required. Chime card on time payment history may have a positive impact on your credit score. Results may vary. See chime.com for details and applicable terms.
- [52:25]
Holidays are here, and everyone has their favorite holiday movie. Mine is Die Hard and I Will Die on that Hill that it's a holiday movie. By the way, go look at Hulu. It's listed in their Holiday Movies section. But to make these holiday favorites, it took a team of talented people, from actors to writers to editors and more. And when it comes to building such a team, whether it's for entertainment or a wide range of other industries, you need to hire the right people. The best way to do that? ZipRecruiter. And right now you can try it for free@ziprecruiter.com FFHH ZipRecruiter's matching technology works fast to find top talent so you don't waste time or money. You can find out right away how many job seekers in your area are qualified for your role. And with ZipRecruiter's advanced resume database. You can instantly unlock top candidates contact info make your hiring a little merrier with ZipRecruiter. Four out of five employers who post on ZipRecruiter get a quality candidate within the first day. Remember, just go to this exclusive web address right now to try ZipRecruiter for free. It's ZipRecruiter.com ffhh Once again, that's ZipRecruiter.comffhh ZipRecruiter the smartest way to hire DraftKings.
- [53:33]
Jay Croucher
Sportsbook is an official sports betting partner of the NFL and new customers can bet $5 and get 200 in bonus bets if your bet wins. Download the app Use the promo code FFHH when you sign up offkeepsbook the crown is yours. All right, let's take a look at the most bet props for Thursday Night football. Lot of 2 plus passing touchdowns Dak Prescott and Jared Goff both hanging around the -200 range. I'm going to go away from the quarterbacks and go with George Pickens over 82 and a half receiving yards. It's on the love list for Matthew for a reason. Matthew mentioned how good Pickens has been against man coverage throwing as well. You know Dak Prescott loves he loves single high coverage and he absolutely torches at the Lions play a ton of it. George Pickens has been the most valuable receiver in the league against single eye coverage. So I think this is a game where the Cowboys may have to pass because the Lions run defense and how have the struggles that the Lions pass defense has had and I think that George Pickens will continue to feast. What do you got Lawrence?
- [54:39]
Lawrence Jackson
Yeah, I'm going to go the projected potentially number one receiver for the Lions, Jameson Williams to get at least five receiving yards in each quarter. That's at plus 200 and I think that number goes down if a Monroe St. Brown plays. Look last game he hit this number in every single quarter last game except the first quarter when A Myanmar Brown was still playing. However, he still had two targets in that first quarter. Three of his last four games. J he has a reception of at least 37 yards so I think it's just a nice bet at plus 205 yards each quarter.
- [55:20]
Jay Croucher
Okay Matthew, what do you like?
- [55:22]
Matthew Berry
I I'm with you on George Pickens. I'm actually going George Pickens anytime. Touchdown.
- [55:28]
Jay Croucher
Oh wow.
- [55:28]
Matthew Berry
Devonte Adams. Devonte Adams is literally the only wide receiver with more end zone targets this year than George Pickens. When they get in close. Dak Prescott likes To look at him lines have allowed six touchdowns to opposing wide receivers in the last two games. Literally six in the last two games. They also give up the second most touchdowns to wide receivers on the year. We've talked about the matchup, the high scoring nature of this. Give me George Pickens anytime touchdown tonight at plus money.
- [55:54]
Jay Croucher
Okay, let's take a look at your top players, Matthew for this Thursday night football matchup. A lot of players here who are just automatic starts. Matthew.
- [56:04]
Matthew Berry
Yeah, obviously both quarterbacks I think are no brainers. Goff isn't always an automatic start but he is in this one. Gibson, Williams. We've talked about the two Cowboys wide receivers in Lamb and Pickens. I agree with Lawrence on Jameson Williams. Jake Ferguson is the top five tight end. We think Isaac Tesla is an interesting flyer in a deep league and Monty made the hate list but he's still a touchdown dependent flex here. The last thing I'll say is that if Aman Ross St. Brown is active, I don't expect him to be. But if he is active, I think he's still got to start him. Given the, given the importance of this game to the Lions and given the, the, you know, shootout nature that we expect tonight.
- [56:41]
Jay Croucher
Yeah, absolutely. I picked up Tom Kennedy in our league, which I don't feel great picking.
- [56:47]
Matthew Berry
Up presidents now but Tom Kennedy ended up running a lot of routes once Amon Ross St. Brown went down.
- [56:53]
Jay Croucher
Yeah, I don't love it but it's him or like Cooper cup for me from on RA is out. So I don't know. I know Cooper Cup's gonna be bad.
- [57:00]
Matthew Berry
I don't know.
- [57:00]
Jay Croucher
We'll see about Tom Kennedy. All right, Matthew, take us on.
- [57:04]
Matthew Berry
Yeah, that music means you don't have to go home, but you can stay here. Live from Orlando, I'm Matthew. Thank you NBC. Thank you, Alexa. Thank you, Dave. Thank you lords. Go get yourself a wind starting tonight. Peace out.
- [57:31]
Hey neighbor. Celebrate the holidays with Birch Lane. Our timeless furniture and decor are delivered for free in days, not weeks. Its classic style for joyful living. Shop Birch Lane, a Wayfair specialty brand at birchlane. Com.