Fantasy Football Happy Hour with Matthew Berry

Episode: Week 14 Takeaways: Josh Allen, Shedeur Sanders, DK Metcalf + Daniel Jones injured
Date: December 8, 2025
Host: Matthew Berry (plus Connor Rogers & Jay Morrison)

Overview

This episode dives into the biggest fantasy football storylines from Week 14 of the NFL season. The hosts break down monster performances by Josh Allen and Shedeur Sanders, the impact of Daniel Jones' season-ending injury, DK Metcalf and Aaron Rodgers heating up, and the emerging curse of Jay. They parse through fantasy relevant outcomes, discuss who is hot (Puka Nakua, Jacoby Myers), who’s a headache (Chiefs, Breece Hall), and highlight key injuries heading into the postseason.

Key Discussion Points & Insights

1. Josh Allen's Superhuman Value & Buffalo Outlook

(00:42–06:47)

• Allen’s Dominance & Fantasy Impact:

  • "Josh Allen's the best player in football—fantasy football, real life football. He stands alone, the biggest needle mover." (Jay Morrison, 00:59)
  • Allen posted his third game this year with over 35 fantasy points, and has locked up his third straight season with 12+ rushing TDs.
  • "He was the number one consensus quarterback rightfully so. He will be again next year." (Matthew Berry, 01:29)

• Bills’ Pass-catcher Dilemma:

  • Beyond Allen, “I don't know that there's a pass catcher on this team that you really want.” (Berry, 01:46)
    • Khalil Shakir is touchdown-dependent, and even top TE Dalton Kincaid is splitting snaps and routes more than fantasy managers would like.
    • Kincaid “needs a touchdown to pay off…he’s a part-time player who’s got a decent amount of touchdown equity.” (Berry, 05:42)

• Allen's MVP Candidacy & Narrative:

  • MVP voting’s bias for new faces may hinder Allen, but the hosts argue removing Allen from Buffalo would leave them “useless.” (Berry, 05:20)
  • Odds discussion: Current market undervalues Allen’s MVP shot (Jay: “I think his MVP price should be about 11-1, not 15-1.” 04:19)

2. Cincinnati Bengals: Burrow is Back, and So is Tee Higgins

(06:47–10:02)

• Burrow’s Stability Returns:

  • “When Burrow is healthy…he just looks like Joe Burrow to me. And that's a real life top three—at worst, top four—quarterback in football.” (Jay, 07:05)

• Higgins — Must-Start, but Concussion Concerns:

  • “Higgins is a must start wide receiver. Obviously Jamar Chase goes without saying.” (Jay, 07:37)
  • Higgins now has at least one TD in five of the last six games; his 30% target share in Week 14 cements must-start status.

• Chase Brown’s Ascension (with Caveats):

  • “Chase Brown has suddenly become very, very viable…fifth best running back in fantasy football since week eight. But…he’s probably more a mid-tier RB2 than the RB1 he has been.” (Berry, 08:11/09:11)

3. Jaguars Dominate, Colts Lose Daniel Jones for the Year

(12:18–18:40)

• Daniel Jones Torn Achilles, Colts' Offense Limps

  • “Poor Daniel Jones. He drinks for free today here at the Fantasy Football Happy Hour Bar. We are wishing the best for Daniel Jones—torn Achilles in the first quarter.” (Connor Rogers, 12:27)
  • “Just gut wrenching…what a baller, to be playing on a broken leg in the first place.” (Jay, 12:52)

• Fallout for Indy’s Offense:

  • Rookie Riley Leonard is a downgrade. “If Daniel Jones was playing, that line would be like [plus] 4.5. Daniel Jones to Riley Leonard is like a six point drop-off.” (Jay, 13:21)
  • Jonathan Taylor downgraded to low-end RB1; Tyler Warren now a low-end, touchdown-dependent TE1; Pittman’s target share spikes with Leonard.

• Rookie QBs & Offense Adaptation:

  • “A full week of practice where [a rookie] is the number one guy will do wonders.” (Berry, 17:18)
  • Colts' fantasy pieces all take a hit, but Steichen’s creativity may mitigate a complete collapse.

4. Jaguars Passing Attack: Myers Eats, Thomas Flashes

(19:52–23:16)

• Jacoby Myers the Alpha:
  • Third straight game with a TD, massive 32% target share: “Jacoby Myers feels like a very safe floor wide receiver 2.” (Berry, 20:05)
  • Brian Thomas Jr. shows signs of life, but Myers is the clear “guy you want in that passing game for now.” (Jay, 23:11)

5. Shedeur Sanders Explodes in Browns Loss, Fannin Breakout

(24:54–29:01)

• Shedeur Sanders’ Historic Game:
  • “Shedeur is ATOP the board. 33 and a half points.” (Connor, 25:33)
  • “Shedeur is only the third QB this year with at least 350 passing yards and 4 total touchdowns in a game in the NFL this season.” (Berry, 27:21)
  • Harold Fannin, TE, is emerging as a TE1: “Only Trey McBride has a higher target share since Week 7 than Harold Fannin.” (Berry, 28:05)

6. Steelers Top Ravens: Metcalf, Rodgers Shine

(29:38–36:22)

• Metcalf’s Usage Spikes:

  • “For the first time all season…he got 12 targets…five targets of 15+ air yards, three end zone targets, most in a game this year.” (Berry, 33:01)

• Rodgers Actually Throws Deep:

  • “For the first time he threw deep. I don’t know why, but for the first time this season, they actually looked for DK in the end zone.” (Berry, 33:29)
  • Jay: “I have no belief this is sustainable going forward.” (Jay, 33:48)

• Lamar Jackson Trending Back Up:

  • “He looked like 85% Lamar as opposed to 60…43 rushing yards, most since week four.” (Berry, 35:12)
  • Zay Flowers comes alive (8 for 124, 11 targets).

7. Packers Edge Bears: Love, Watson Link-up

(36:22–38:24)

• Love’s Chemistry with Watson:

  • “The receiver that you want on the Packers is just very clearly Christian Watson…his big playability, his rapport with Jordan Love.” (Jay, 36:56)
  • “Over half of [Watson’s] targets are 15+ air yards.” (Berry, 37:35)

• Bears’ Passing Game Sputters:

  • “It’s an offense designed to hide Caleb Williams…and you don’t feel great about anyone other than the running backs.” (Berry, 38:38)

8. Injuries to Monitor Post-Week 14

(39:31–40:16)

• Daniel Jones: torn Achilles, season over.
• Jaden Daniels (elbow reinjury), Geno Smith (shoulder), Tyrod Taylor (groin), Devon Achane (ribs), David Njoku (knee), Zach Ertz (season-ending knee), Darnell Washington (concussion).

Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments

• “You take Matthew Stafford out of the Rams and there’s a downgrade, but you take Josh Allen out of Buffalo and the team’s useless.”
  —Matthew Berry (05:20)

• “It burns…what the saddest thing is, Connor, is that the drive before [Daniel Jones] tears the Achilles is the best that the Colts offensive look for a month.”
  —Jay Morrison (12:52)

• “Chase Brown has suddenly become very, very viable…but I just want to caution people—he’s probably more a mid-tier RB2 than RB1.”
  —Matthew Berry (09:11)

• “I don’t say it wasn’t an amazing day for Lamar Jackson, Matthew, but he looked a little bit more like Lamar Jackson than he had the previous three weeks.”
  —Jay Morrison (34:53)

• “Shedeur is only the third QB this year with at least 350 passing yards and four total touchdowns in a game in the NFL this season. So credit to Shedeur Sanders…”
  —Matthew Berry (27:19)

• Comic Relief: Curse of Jay
  • “Is there a curse of Jay? Because I think there might be.” (Berry, 22:28)
  • “I killed a dead man twice.” (Jay, 23:59, re: Damar Hamlin’s comeback player candidacy)

Timestamps for Key Segments

• 00:42 – Bills head coach audio; Josh Allen discussion begins
• 01:29–03:17 – Allen’s fantasy stats, pass-catcher scarcity
• 04:19–05:06 – MVP odds, narrative & path
• 06:47 – Bengals outlook, Burrow/Higgins/Chase Brown
• 12:18–17:30 – Jacksonville-Colts recap; Daniel Jones injury impact
• 19:52–23:16 – Jaguars pass game: Myers, Thomas
• 24:54–29:01 – Shedeur Sanders breakout & Browns takeaways
• 29:38–36:22 – Steelers-Ravens: DK Metcalf, Aaron Rodgers, Lamar/Zay Flowers boost
• 36:22–38:38 – Packers-Bears: Love feeds Watson, Bears’ offense
• 39:31–40:16 – Week 14 injuries rundown

Weekend Warriors & Sunday Scaries (Top Performers & Disasters)

(40:53–48:42)

• Weekend Warriors:

  • Puka Nakua: “I think this is the best receiver in the entire NFL.” (Jay, 41:10)
  • Blake Corum: High TD probability flex (Berry, 41:50)
  • Michael Wilson (ARI): Averaging 12 receptions/148 yards in 3 games without MHJ
  • Jackson Smith-Njigba: Solidifying WR2 role in Seattle
  • RJ Harvey: 23 total touches, 6 catches
  • JJ McCarthy: 3 efficient TDs for MIN

• Sunday Scaries:

  • KC Chiefs Triple dud: Mahomes, Rashee Rice, Kelce; “Absolutely brutal…this is just a tough day at the office.” (Berry, 46:19)
  • Baker Mayfield/A. Buca: “He has not played well really in two months. Abuca as well—just a disaster.” (Jay, 47:27)
  • Chris Olave (NO): “More a bad day at the office…only his second game under 14 fantasy points since week six.” (Berry, 47:57)
  • RB Disappointments: Ashton Gentry, Breece Hall, Kenneth Walker—chronic underperformance

Closing & Betting Corner

(49:17–end)

• Hosts give their best bets for MNF (Herbert’s rushing, Hampton’s carries, Herbert’s pass attempts under).
• Berry: “I need Saquon Barkley to get three points to survive in a Guillotine league—think I’ve got my shots there…” (51:24)

Conclusion

• Summary: Week 14 was packed with fantasy fireworks (Josh Allen, Shedeur Sanders, Puka Nakua), gutting injuries (Daniel Jones), and plenty of shifting values as the season nears the playoffs. The Bills offense centers entirely on Allen, the Colts’ hopes nosedive without Jones, and breakouts like Jacoby Myers and Jackson Smith-Njigba fuel playoff hopes. Meanwhile, curses (Jay’s), running back headaches, and a suddenly stingy Texans D are giving managers nightmares.
• Mood: Upbeat and lively, plenty of friendly jabs (“curse of Jay”), nerdy stats, and playoff encouragement—classic Fantasy Happy Hour blend.

For further analysis & waiver advice, tune in tomorrow as Matthew returns to the studio!