Fantasy Football Happy Hour with Matthew Berry – Week 4 Love/Hate: Breece Hall, Rome Odunze, Patrick Mahomes Headline the List
Date: September 25, 2025
Host: Matthew Berry (with Jay Croucher and Lawrence Jackson)
Main Theme:
Matthew Berry and his co-hosts break down their Week 4 “Love/Hate” list—focusing on fantasy players with the best and worst matchups and outlooks this week. They highlight key starts (Love) and sits (Hate), discuss strategy, and debate player situations including injury impact and trends. Segments also include lively banter, classic movie diversions, and audience Q&A.
Overview:
This episode dives deep into Week 4 fantasy football, offering the signature blend of analysis and humor from Matthew Berry and his colleagues. Berry, facing a personal rough patch in his own main league, discusses which RBs and WRs he loves and hates this week—anchored by analysis on Breece Hall, Rome Odunze, and Patrick Mahomes—plus key quarterback, tight end, and sleeper options.
Key Discussion Points & Insights
Matthew Berry’s Personal Fantasy Struggles
- Berry starts by sharing his “0-3” record in his key league, blaming a mix of injuries and bad luck.
- Notable moment (03:28): “Some years, you know, it just ain’t your year. Derrick Henry looks human. He’s been bad… The players I have that are healthy have sucked.” —Matthew Berry
Love/Hate Running Backs (06:17)
Amarian Hampton (Chargers RB)
- Why Berry Loves Him:
- “Top-10 play this week.”
- Excellent matchup against the Giants (who’ve allowed a rushing TD to an RB every game, fourth-most points to the position).
- A “96 utilization score” (proprietary stat proven predictive); 90+ typically means 22+ fantasy points/game and top-5 RB finish.
- Lawrence Jackson’s Eyeball Test:
- “The metrics I use Matthew is these right here, these glass and these eyes right here... And they telling me the same thing.” (08:14)
- Hampton’s usage (especially in the passing game) indicates a full workload going forward.
- Humor: Bet if Hampton finishes RB1, Berry should get an “ankle tat of Amarian Hampton’s face.” (09:11)
Breece Hall (Jets RB) (09:45)
- “I like Breece Hall to get back on track here against this Dolphins defense. Who, to say it the nicest way, is trying to figure it out for sure.”
- Dolphins have allowed the 5th-most fantasy points to RBs.
- Hall struggled against tough teams, but Miami is much softer on the ground.
- Quarterback discussion: Hall’s prospects are good whether Tyrod Taylor or Justin Fields starts, but “Fields is slightly better for Hall than Taylor.” (12:09)
J.K. Dobbins (Broncos RB) (13:01)
- Great matchup vs Bengals, who have allowed 125+ RB yards back-to-back weeks.
- Dobbins had an 85% rush share and 55% route participation last week.
- “Top-15 play this week.”
Josh Jacobs (Packers RB)
- Facing Cowboys; “If they don’t figure out their run game in this matchup, when is it ever going to happen?” —Jay Croucher (13:59)
- Seven-point favorites, weak Dallas defense = script sets up for RB success.
Jordan Mason (Vikings RB) [Dublin Game] (17:52)
- Giants on IR, Mason’s usage spikes.
- “Handled 76% of running back rushes for the Vikings in first three quarters last week...”
- “Pittsburgh defense is no longer what it used to be.” —Berry (18:02)
- TOP-20 play, preferred over David Montgomery in TD-only formats.
Running Backs to Hate (21:28)
David Montgomery (Lions RB)
- Faces Browns D (NFL’s #1 run defense).
- Low snap share (36%), only 13 touches per game.
Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots RB)
- Fumble issues, usage decrease, now a clear RBBC situation.
- Panthers have bottled up other strong RBs; “I’m off Stevenson for this week.” —Lawrence Jackson (23:27)
Javonte Williams (Broncos RB)
- Game script against Packers (possible blowout), limited scoring opportunities.
Love/Hate Wide Receivers & Tight Ends
Garrett Wilson (Jets WR) (27:04)
- “Every game this year, Garrett Wilson’s had at least a 37% target share. Not a typo.” —Berry
- Dolphins: Allow highest catch rate to WRs, a TD to a WR in every game.
- “Top-nine play for me.”
Rome Odunze (Bears WR) (27:27)
- “This offense is running through him… favorable matchup against Raiders.” —Jay Croucher
- “Not fluky. He’s getting the targets, the receptions, the yards, the TDs.” —Lawrence Jackson
- “He is becoming everything we thought he was going to be last year coming out of college…” —Berry (29:45)
Chris Olave (Saints WR) (32:45)
- “No one in the NFL has more targets this year than Chris Olave.”
- Saints throw a ton (third-most pass attempts).
- Facing Buffalo as double-digit dogs spurs passing game.
- “Have him WR14, a top-15 play.”
Drake London (Falcons WR) (33:55)
- Commanders allow 8th most fantasy points to WRs.
- “He’s still getting the looks—so against this defense, gotta step it up.” —Lawrence Jackson
Jake Ferguson (Cowboys TE) (36:46)
- “22 receptions on 26 targets over the last two weeks… averaging 19 fantasy points per game.”
- Packers struggle against TEs—no Ceedee Lamb means more targets for Ferg Daddy.
Sleeper mentions:
- Quentin Johnston (Chargers WR): At least 7 targets in every game this year; faces Giants’ weak WR defense.
- Ricky Pearsall (49ers WR): 29% share with Jennings out.
- Hunter Henry (Patriots TE): Panthers have allowed most yards to TEs.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends to Hate
DK Metcalf (Seattle WR) (40:54)
- Vikings have allowed the fewest WR points; Metcalf has two TDs but can’t crack 12.5 fantasy pts.
- “I have him at WR29, just inside top-30.”
Michael Pittman (Colts WR)
- Rams solid vs WRs (allowing just 165 passing yards/game).
- “He’s not A.J. Brown… tough matchup.” —Lawrence Jackson (42:30)
Keon Coleman (Bills WR)
- “Only 46 yards in the past two games… team hasn’t needed him.” —Jay Croucher (42:59)
Quarterback Love/Hate (46:54)
Quarterbacks to Love
Caleb Williams (Bears QB) (46:54)
- “He’s chucking it deep in Ben Johnson’s offense. Raiders are bad vs deep passes.”
- “Top-5 fantasy QB this week.” —Berry
Jordan Love (Packers QB)
- Cowboys allow most fantasy points per game to QBs (27.8).
- “All three QBs vs Dallas scored at least 24 points. Top-10 play.” (48:20)
Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs QB)
- “Baltimore defense is terrible… Mahomes always lights them up. Now he’s running more.” —Lawrence Jackson (48:28)
Matthew Stafford (Rams QB)
- Faces Colts, over/under is pushing 50, plus Colts missing star slot CB.
Others receiving votes:
- Bo Nix (Broncos QB): Facing bad Bengals pass defense.
- Geno Smith (Seahawks QB): Bears allow high TD rate, Smith forced to throw a lot.
Quarterbacks to Hate
Kyler Murray (Cardinals QB)
- Faces Seahawks, who are tough vs QB—Murray’s history: 14 pts/game in matchups, short week.
- “He’s a QB16 for me, on the hate list.” —Berry (51:03)
Jackson Dart (Chargers QB)
- Making his first start vs tough Chargers defense.
Jared Goff (Lions QB)
- Facing Browns D, game script not favorable for volume.
Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments
-
On Amarian Hampton (RB): “Players that have a utilization score of 90 or better average over 22 fantasy points per game, are top-five fantasy running backs. Give me all the Amarian Hampton.” —Matthew Berry, 07:52
-
Hampton tattoo bet:
- “If Hampton finishes RB1, Matthews should get an ankle tat, I would say of Amarian Hampton’s face.” —Jay Croucher, 09:08
-
On Rome Odunze (WR):
- “He’s getting the targets, the receptions, the yards, the touchdowns…” —Lawrence Jackson, 29:18
-
On David Montgomery’s tough matchup:
- “You’re telling me that David Montgomery is getting probably 13 touches against the number one run defense in the NFL? I have him just barely inside my top-30.” —Matthew Berry, 22:11
-
On Chris Olave’s target dominance:
- “No wide receiver, no player in the NFL has more targets this year than Chris Olave.” —Matthew Berry, 32:45
Fun & Banter
- Regular diversions into movie trivia (“Best movie of 1991 is Point Break”—Jay Croucher, 20:06), jokes about fantasy misfortunes, and quitting while behind.
- Arguments about whether Michael Penix should be benched; humor about Kyle Pitts’ perpetual absence from Berry’s top-10.
Audience Q&A (Selected)
Jordan Mason or David Montgomery, TD-only league?
- Berry: “I like both, but the Browns’ defense is tougher. Give me Mason vs. the Steelers.” (19:23)
Are we higher on Breece with Fields or Taylor at QB?
- Berry: “Fields is slightly better for Hall than Taylor.” (12:09)
Timestamps for Important Segments
- 06:17 — Beginning of Love RBs (Amarian Hampton deep dive)
- 09:45 — Breece Hall analysis
- 13:01 — J.K. Dobbins & Josh Jacobs discussion
- 17:52 — Jordan Mason sleeper value
- 21:28 — Hate RBs (Dave Montgomery, Stevenson, etc)
- 27:04 — Start of WR/TE Loves (Garrett Wilson, Odunze, Olave)
- 32:45 — Olave stat bomb, Saints receivers
- 36:46 — Jake Ferguson (tight end sleeper)
- 40:54 — WR/TE Hate (DK Metcalf, Pittman, Keon Coleman)
- 46:54 — QB Love (Caleb Williams, Patrick Mahomes, etc)
- 51:03 — QB Hate (Kyler Murray, Jackson Dart, Jared Goff)
Tone and Style
The show is conversational, witty, and insight-driven. Berry, Croucher, and Jackson openly rib each other, drop pop culture references, and blend stats with “eye test” scouting and strong opinions.
For Fantasy Football Managers
This episode is an essential listen for anyone making tough Week 4 lineup decisions. Berry & crew provide specific player calls, context on why, and timely guidance for RB, WR, TE, and QB—plus humor and perspective for those going through fantasy football misery, just like Matthew Berry himself.