← Fantasy Football Happy Hour with Matthew Berry
Fantasy Football Happy Hour with Matthew Berry
Week 7 Waiver Wire: Kimani Vidal, Harold Fannin Jr., Sam Darnold headline top adds
00:51:55
October 14: Matthew (@MatthewBerryTMR), Jay (@croucherJD), and Connor (@ConnorJRogers) examining top targets on the Waiver Wire entering Week 7 of the season, beginning with Kimani Vidal and Tyjae Spears leading the list of RBs. The trio also highlights Kendrick Bourne, Josh Downs and what to make of the Bucs WRs before sharing why Harold Fannin should be prioritized among TEs. They also discuss Jaxson Dart and Sam Darnold before wrapping up the show spotlighting bets they’re making in Falcons-49ers, Patriots-Titans, and Commanders-Cowboys.
Loading summary
Transcript280 lines
- [00:00]
A
You know, the best B2B marketing often gets wasted on the wrong people. So listen, when you want to reach the right professionals, use LinkedIn ads. LinkedIn has grown to a network of over 1 billion professionals. You can target your buyers by job title, by industry, by company, by role, seniority, skills, company revenue. You can stop wasting budget on the wrong audience. So spend $250 on your first campaign on LinkedIn ads and get a free $250 credit for the next one. Just go to LinkedIn.com ffhh that's LinkedIn.com ffhh. Terms and conditions apply. If you're a custodial supervisor at a local high school, you know that cleanliness is key and that the best place to get cleaning supplies is from Grainger. Grainger helps you stay fully stocked on the products you trust, from paper towels and disinfectants to floor scrubbers. Plus, you can rely on Grainger for.
- [00:55]
B
Easy reordering, so you never run out.
- [00:57]
A
Of what you need. Call 1-800-GRAIN click grainger.com or just stop by Granger for the ones who get it done.
- [01:08]
B
The good news is. Yes, sir, you're in line to get your first win of the fantasy season in our show league.
- [01:13]
A
No, I'm not.
- [01:13]
B
No, you're not.
- [01:16]
A
Not at all. No, I know I'm not. No, Damian. Producer Damian put up over 175 points on me. I know, but once. I mean, like, again, I am the. I am the low. I am the most in points against like it is every single week. Everyone brings their A game.
- [01:31]
C
We're all here in points. Four in the.
- [01:32]
B
You're everyone's.
- [01:32]
A
I'm not loud.
- [01:34]
B
Like, when you do the monologue all summer. You're everyone. I picked up four players to beat you.
- [01:38]
A
Yeah, yeah, yeah. No, I get. Listen, I get it. Karma. Karma. Karma's a bitch. Fantasy football happy hour with Matthew Berry.
- [01:54]
B
Welcome to the Fantasy football happy hour. Connor Rogers, Matthew Berry, Jay Croucher. It is waiver wire Tuesday. You need help. Hopefully we have some answers for you. Of course, we're going to recap the doubleheader from Monday Night Football, and it's our early line alert. We look ahead at some of the lines that stand out as they launch at our friends on DraftKings. So, fellas, how we doing?
- [02:14]
A
You?
- [02:14]
C
Hopefully not so good. Everything went wrong for you last night.
- [02:18]
A
Why do you ask you this? Why did you preface that with hopefully? I mean, the answer is like, you not so good because it did not go well for you last night. Fair, understood and absolutely correct. But why? Hopefully. Why the adjective hopefully before that?
- [02:35]
C
I just remember you were rooting for There was a couple of weeks ago where like Amari and Hampton went off and the commanders won and you're just very bubbly. Yeah, I think it's better content and better humanity as well if you're struggling.
- [02:47]
A
You know what? I wish I was doing this show with Julio Think youk Are instead of you two a holes because. Thank you Julio. That's exactly right. Goatberry was on fire yesterday. America forgives you. Burt's hit. Algier got a touchdown. Swift was great. All things we discussed. So. You're absolutely right. Thanks.
- [03:05]
C
I think you are for the shout out for me calling Bajan Robinson longest Russia.
- [03:11]
A
That did that also cash that also catch Corey Cross Gamer did not get to nine and a half receiving that seven yards.
- [03:17]
C
To be fair, when you're betting props a lot of the time you're betting on usage out there a ton.
- [03:22]
B
I mean Jane Daniels should hit him on a couple of checkdowns but instead he ran into sacks. So I mean. Yeah, what are you going to do?
- [03:28]
A
Yeah, we'll get to that. But we will get to that. That was not fun.
- [03:32]
B
Let's jump into waiver wire though. Let's start with the running backs because before we show you any of the players that you're going to pick up, you might be missing one of the big names. That includes James Cook, who's been a top 10 play this season while Derrick Henry has not been. You're still most likely starting him in January.
- [03:48]
C
You've been bullish on him.
- [03:49]
A
How will you know if he's out of your lineup?
- [03:51]
C
Yeah. Also Kate Mitchell on By as well.
- [03:54]
B
That's a big one actually.
- [03:55]
A
Correct.
- [03:55]
B
Most popular handcuff in the sport.
- [03:57]
A
Yeah. The best running back on the Raven, Keith Mitchell.
- [04:00]
B
All right, let's jump right into some solutions. Hopefully Kamani Badal had a big week as Amarian Hampton is on the ir. Badal, not Haskins, got the high snap rate. He made the most of his rushing attempts, caught a couple passes, scored a touchdown for almost 23 fantasy points. We got to hear from his quarterback, Justin Herbert on Vidal stepping up in a big moment.
- [04:21]
C
Yeah, it was awesome to see. You know, he's, he had a great year last year. He stepped up some, some big time big plays last year and so, you know, that's what we're expecting from him. He's done such a great job of, of listening and understanding what we're asking of him and you know, he took the most of it Today, and it's awesome to see that he took the.
- [04:39]
A
Most of that opportunity.
- [04:41]
B
Justin Herbert, with some praise for The Chargers new RB1. Yes.
- [04:45]
C
Did he step up last year? I can't remember much that Kymani Vidal did last year, but good that Justin Herbert is giving him his flowers. So Kamani Vidal will be the big question this. Yeah, exactly. That's. Yeah, that's not great. Things aren't going great in Miami. I'm not sure how long Mike McDaniel is for South Florida, but Kamani Vidal, so He has the 18 carries, which is the main indicator, just the usage, and he made a lot of those carries. Now he's going up against the Dolphins run defense, which is one of the weakest run defenses in the league. But we're going to expect Joe Alt will come back and should stabilize this offensive line a little bit for the Chargers. So I think, look, everyone is going to go head over skis for Kymani Vidal in the same way, like he might. He's kind of the Woody Marks of a couple weeks ago, I would say. So I've gotten a few questions from people about how much fab you should spend on Kamani Vidal. Matthew, what would you be your response?
- [05:39]
A
I think it sort of depends on situation. Right. It's always hard to answer those questions in a vacuum because it's like, are you sitting here and you, you know, you're 2 and 3, you're 0 and 6. Like what? Or 2 and 4? Are you 0 and 6? Are you, you know, are you 4 and 2? Right. So sort of what's your situation? What's your running back depth? I think I would probably spend. If I needed a running back, I would spend somewhere between 25 to 35% of my fab with the idea that that might not get him. Like. So I think everything you just said is right. Look, Omarion Hampton is going to come back, although it might be longer than the three weeks that are left. And this was a good game, but it was a good game against Miami and everyone has sort of a good game against Miami. They play the Colts this week, Give up the 8th fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs. They're a top 10 run defense over the last four weeks. Then they're home to Minnesota, then they're at Tennessee, then they're home to Pittsburgh. So you sort of see that, that schedule right there at the Jaguars, which is a tough matchup, and then it's a buy in week 12. So you're really talking about, you know, next three to four weeks like you would expect it at the, at the minimum. Hampton is back in Week 13 for the home game against the Raiders. So how much do you want to use? Now the positives of Vidal are that he's used in the passing game, right? I mean like he had an 88, an 88 utilization score last week, which is seventh among all running backs in week six. He also had a double digit target share in this game. They're not scared to throw him throwing the ball in the flat. And so that may mitigate some of the issues that they have with the offensive line at your point. Like if Alt comes back, whether it's this week or you know, in two weeks, that's obviously going to help. So I would be aggressive, but I wouldn't go crazy because unlike Woody Marks or Quinshon Judkins where we're like, there's an easy path to see where this is the guy throughout the rest of the season. Even though it didn't actually work out for Marks, like there's a scenario here where you're just like, well, you know, that might have been game script. It also might have been, remember they didn't have two J in this game. They want to run the ball. I'm sorry, they want to throw the ball. Schedule gets tougher. Hampton's coming back.
- [07:43]
B
Sean Scarborough says I would hold on. Haskins, I don't think that's crazy.
- [07:47]
A
No. Again, this could be somewhat, you know, the Woody Marks example is a great one, right? I mean like again, like we sort of, we didn't. They did not come out and say like Monte Vidal is our guy now. They showed it in terms of how the game went. But like it might have been a hot handed approach. It might be how they felt like they could attack that game. They wanted more of a pass catcher there secondary of the Dolphins again, no qj, they want to be pass heavy but you know, and we're going to get to them. But the emergence of Aronda Gadson, they get QJ back obviously McConkey and Keenan Allen, like all of a sudden they've got, you know, more weapons in the passing game. So he's the clear number one target this week. But I mean I'm showing a little bit like this is not me. I would not. He is not a guy that I would push all my fab into the middle for the way we've said with.
- [08:34]
C
Some other guys to contextualize that the way I would look at it. We're going to talk about Bam night in a second. But in terms of how much fab spend on a 1 to 10 scale. If Bam Night's like a 1 and we'll get into it and say Jordan Mason last year after McCaffrey went down was like a 10, right. Then I think Vidal is like a two and a half or a three, right?
- [08:52]
A
Yeah, I might say four.
- [08:54]
B
Yeah, I'd go a little higher. If you're, if you're, you know, contextual. If you're 2 and 4 and you're like these next three weeks because the trade deadline's November 4th and you know, the Chargers, I don't think they're going to make a move for a depth running back right now, even though they lost Najee. Harry, you need some kind of help, then you're going to be a little bit more desperate. But I agree that it's not like don't expect him to save your roster kind of player. This is a short term Band Aid.
- [09:16]
A
Yeah.
- [09:17]
B
So another point.
- [09:18]
A
We like him and we like him significantly more than everyone. Everyone else.
- [09:22]
B
69% available. Kamani Vidal, Tajie Spears, 76% available.
- [09:26]
A
Oh, how was the percentage available?
- [09:27]
B
69. Interesting. Okay, got it.
- [09:29]
A
Thanks.
- [09:29]
B
Tajie Spears, 76. He's got a tough matchup this weekend against New England.
- [09:34]
A
More on that, you understand. I just want to, for the Peacock audience, understand what's the availability?
- [09:39]
B
What about the YouTube audience?
- [09:40]
A
Yeah, this specific question was for the Peacock audience.
- [09:45]
B
I see from Ryan in the chat, such a trash waiver week. It's not the best. I'm not going to lie. It's not the best. That's why our number two running back is Tajie Spears. He's 76% available. He's been out there. The matchup against New England, Matthew, it's not good. It's Mike Brabel's return and I don't think he wants any running back on Tennessee to do anything against this New England defense. But he did have five carries and four targets last week. So he's at least involved now.
- [10:09]
A
Played 59% of the snaps, had a 65 utilization score, basically a 12% target share as well. Heavily involved now. A lot of that was towards the second half where they were trying to come back. But by the way, the Titans are not good. The Titans are not good. And so they're going to be in gamescript quite often. And here's the other thing Jay was we always talk about on this show. It's variance. Yesterday after the show, Brian Callahan fired by the Tennessee Titans. Mike McCoy, the former Broncos head coach, is now their new interim head coach. And so there's variance here. We don't know how Mike McCoy and the quote unquote news staff feel about Tony Pollard versus Taje Spears. They may, but what I would say here is that, you know, for the first up until last week, like it was all Tony Pollard because Tashi Spears was on IR and it got Brian Callahan fired. So I mean just, you know, if you're Mike McCoy, if you're this offensive staff sitting there going like well that guy's out the door, like let's try something different. And I don't know how many. There's a little bit of rearranging the chairs on the, on the Titanic here, you know, in terms of just the roster that is the Tennessee Titans. But there's some potential variance here.
- [11:23]
C
There are some variants. So two things. One, congratulations to Taj Spears who just went past Kenyon Drake in terms of lifetime mentions on the Tuesday waiver wire show. Two, I do think there is some upside just because Callahan and the show that they were running Conor, it might have been the worst coaching operation in the NFL along with your New York jets. They had a sequence at the end of the half against the Colts in week three where they couldn't figure out their field goal unit where it's like this shouldn't happen in high school, like it was just a complete debacle and that may have infected the offense. And there is still upside, like there are still talented players on this offense. It's not going to be great but I think it can get to competence.
- [12:03]
B
I agree. I get what you guys are saying. The problem is Callahan gave up play calling weeks ago and Bo Hardigree is still the play caller. So like maybe the influence from the top does change some things but if the play caller is the same, I don't think you're going to get some giant spike in usage.
- [12:19]
A
Unless again McCoy may just literally say like that's the guy I want if there are some positives to point to. Again, nice usage in week one. He is going to be the third down. They're long down and distance back. Their two minute drill guy, he's their passing down back and this is a bad team that is often going to be in negative game script and having to throw especially against the Patriots and the red hot Drake may so New England who believe it or not is actually bottom 10 in terms of most receiving yards allowed to opposing running backs. Taje Spears has potentially some flex opportunity here in a 12 team or deeper league. He's available in 76% of leagues. But again, it's an ugly week for waiver wire, but he is the second best option out there.
- [13:04]
B
We didn't even get to the injuries yet, specifically at wide receiver and tight end. So you're probably looking to fill out a roster. This one, this one from David Ridley's hamstring could change the balance of Tennessee. Yeah. I mean, no, the balance is still crappy. Yeah, that's the problem.
- [13:19]
A
I don't know that it changes anything, but it is. It is a significant target earner on the Titans that is not going to be there. So as we look at sort of.
- [13:28]
B
That passing attack, Bam Knight, our last running back here, besides. That's right. Former Jet legend Bam Knight, 88% available. He's out there. He basically split this backfield with former other Jet great running back Michael Carter. 11 carries, 34 yards. He did fall into the end zone. He had one catch for 20 receiving.
- [13:48]
C
Sean Green.
- [13:49]
A
Yeah. The Law Powell.
- [13:51]
B
Right. Leon Washington.
- [13:53]
C
Yeah. Leon Washington.
- [13:55]
A
Joe McKnight, superstar. How about Joe McKnight?
- [13:58]
B
Joe McKnight.
- [13:59]
C
Legend.
- [13:59]
B
Legend. Legend.
- [14:00]
A
What about. Hey, I'm looking forward to Jay this off season.
- [14:04]
C
Yeah.
- [14:04]
A
Where there's, you know, some local bar probably in like. Probably like in Queens where Connor Rodgers is hosting like a, you know, a Jets off season. Chalk talk with Bam Knight and Michael Carter.
- [14:18]
B
Right. We love having Arizona Cardinals.
- [14:21]
A
Exactly. It's kind of an off season Badlands where it's just sort of like, you know, talk to me. You're not going to get any real jets, you know, like some former Jets. Wayne Crabette's always around. He could grab him.
- [14:32]
B
He is. Wayne Crabrette is around. He was in London with the team.
- [14:34]
C
Chad Pennington.
- [14:35]
B
Chad.
- [14:35]
A
Chad Pennington. Todd Zeal. Probably not available for that.
- [14:38]
B
So now we can't get Todd.
- [14:40]
A
No, no, Exactly. That's.
- [14:42]
B
Yeah.
- [14:42]
A
But you know, you're at some hole in the wall in Queens if you're.
- [14:46]
B
Picking up Bam Knight.
- [14:47]
C
Good luck.
- [14:47]
B
That's my trouble.
- [14:49]
C
Yeah. Bam Knight, no relation to Bam Bam Funkhouser from Curb youb Enthusiasm for those wondering or at a Bio. But Bam Night. So people are absolutely up in arms after there was a reporting going into the game. The Bam night was going to be the starter and the Michael Carter was getting every single carry. And then Bam Knight got a bit more involved. He got the first goal line carry, gets into the end zone. The issue is he's in a timeshare on what is right now a bad offense or at least not a very good offense. They're Six and a half point dogs to the Green Bay Packers. And the bad news is Kyler Murray might come back.
- [15:20]
B
They said like no matter what, if he's healthy starting. So if you have any Jacoby Brissette dreams.
- [15:25]
A
Yeah, I mean, I think that's right. It's a timeshare with Michael Carter. Like he played 49% of the snapshot. He got two of the three goal to go rushes. So to the extent you need to invest in an Arizona Cardinals running back for this week against the packers, not a match you love, then yes, Bam Knight is the guy we are recommending. Having said that, so they play the packers this week, then they're on a bye week. And so then they come back and they're home to. I'm sorry they're at Dallas, but could Trey Benson be back by then? We don't know. Right. Because I think this was the second week and so.
- [15:58]
C
Yeah, well, it'd be out again another week, I think. And that's a favorable matchup. But again, you don't want to be shelling out for Bam Knight for one matchup against the Cowboys, you know, three, three weeks from now, effectively without the RICO workload.
- [16:11]
B
Like it's not going to be like the alpha back of this, which you love against the Cowboys, but it's a split share.
- [16:15]
C
Exactly. So Bam night, a reasonable backup plan if you're desperate to put in your flex and hope that you get eight, nine points out of him, but not a great deal of upside right now.
- [16:27]
B
On the Cardinals, Kamani Vidal. Yep. Yep. I was going to say we're letting you recover.
- [16:31]
C
Yeah, thanks.
- [16:32]
A
Appreciate that. No, not necessarily, but that's all right. I think, I think I can last for 45 more minutes, but you never know. Keep tuning in. What I would say here is that the guys we're about to get to on the deep league mentions, I don't know that any of them are significantly worse than Bam Knight. You see Tyler Algier, who continues to get work on a better than you think Atlanta Falcons offense scored last night. Can you get kind of like, you know, double digit touches a game for Tyler Algier with a shot at a touchdown. Kenneth Gainwell had a 20% target share in week six that was the second highest. On the Steelers. We keep talking about Kendra Miller. Three straight games with nine or more touches. Camara just feels. I know they say he's not going to be traded, which totally means, I think he's going to get traded. Sean Tucker, look, again, no Bucky Irving again, more usage for Sean Tucker last round than the week before he scored the touchdown. And we keep waiting for Burchard Smith and the Chiefs to use him. I don't get it. He's so explosive, given just kind of the plodding nature of what else they have in that running back room as well. I love Bashal Tootin. We're just waiting for, you know, Tootin to get scootin'. They're not our winners, America. They're not our winners.
- [17:40]
B
Let's go to wide receivers, where, boy, this one is not just the bye weeks, but we'll start there. Zay Flowers, Khalil shakir. Keon Coleman. DeAndre Hopkins, Joshua Palmer, who did get hurt, by the way, so keep an eye on him. Rashad Bateman, Dalton Kincaid, who didn't play, and Mark Andrews. But I think what you're more likely here for is to replace one of these guys that are very unlikely to play, besides a few that are pending. Puka Nukua with the ankle, Emeka Abuka with the hamstring. Garrett Wilson had an MRI that came back with positive news, but he still could miss the next couple games before their bye. Marvin Harrison Jr. With that concussion. Calvin Harrison. Ridley we brought up with the hamstring. Dantavion Wicks. We know Juwan Jennings is playing through nine different injuries, so even if you could play him, it might not be great results. George Kittle's trying to work his way back.
- [18:26]
A
Yeah, there is a chance. Kittle.
- [18:27]
B
That's the most optimistic one on this list. Kittle is trying to work his way back. Brock Bowers has been out with the knee and David Njoku got banged up. So keep an eye on his status as well.
- [18:36]
A
And I do think. I think they're going to be extra cautious in Joku because he is rumored to be on the trade block. And so the last thing you want to do is, like, if you're trying to trade them, you don't want that asset to get further hurt. I don't know what's going on with my voice. I apologize.
- [18:50]
C
This is what a lifetime of diet soda does to you. Catches up to you.
- [18:53]
A
I'm drinking water. This is water right here, boys.
- [18:56]
C
You know, I don't know, it left.
- [18:58]
B
With your Guillotine team. They took the trip together.
- [19:01]
C
Indeed.
- [19:01]
A
Might have. Might have. And my hair. Don't forget that. And all my loved ones. Anyway, those are the injuries we're tracking. And I agree with you. Those are the bigger holes that you're gonna see this week. Then you're not really concerned about oh, you know, none of the Ravens are available to me. None of the, you know, you might you're probably actually more you're more likely to need a tight end based on buys. No Mark Andrews, no Dalton Kincaid who missed last week versus but again like a lot of big name injury wide receivers, chances are you're missing somebody this week.
- [19:34]
B
Well, let's look at the wide receivers and Kendrick Bourne is back on the list at 65% available. The Niners have just had an array of injuries to this entire team. Kendrick Bourne has stepped stepped up in the absence and Jay, as I said, even if Juwan Jennings plays and we're waiting to see what Ricky Pierce all does as well, Jennings is so banged up right now that Bourne is a factor.
- [19:56]
C
Yeah. Until he proves his health and performance, I'm just going to go forward. The assumption that Jordan Jennings is now below Kendrick Bourne in the pecking order whether it's Brock Purdy or Mack Jones at quarterback and then Pierce Soul is the real complicating factor. Kittle is the complicating factor as well. But I do think that this offense is going to reorient the these guys get healthier. Christian McCaffrey can't just keep catching eight passes every week. Like they just can't keep doing that. It's going to distribute more usage to Kittle and to the wide receivers. So I think that Bourne actually has a bit of staying ability until they are fully healthy.
- [20:29]
A
He's had over 23% target share each of the last two weeks. They're at home to the Falcons traveling to the west coast on a short week. That's that Falcon secondary is pretty impressive, but still just volume gets him there. Especially if Mac Jones is back under center. There's a chance that Brock Purdy comes back, but there's clearly a connection between Jones and Kendrick Bourne. Friend of the podcast Kendrick Bourne but even if, even if Kittle is back, even if, even if Ricky Pearsall, it still feels like we've seen enough from Kendrick Bourne. Like he's got two different games with over 140 receiving yards that he's in what is a weak. Weak is a viable option.
- [21:09]
C
Yeah, I think no matter. Even if Pearsall comes back, even if Kittle comes back, I still think Kendrick Bourne is the number one pass catcher on the Niners this week. When you factor in the injuries that those guys are coming off, I think.
- [21:18]
B
What would need to change is that continue with Brock Purdy because of Purdy's connection with everybody else. But we'll see, the bottom line is you could play the Bourne Identity as Aloha Brick says right now, should we pick up Bourne or Pearsall?
- [21:30]
C
A Bourne Ultimatum, if you will.
- [21:32]
A
Oh, nice. That's well done.
- [21:33]
C
Yeah, you're over there dying slowly. I'm trying to scare the. I'd say Pearsall long term is the better option and he has the rapport with Purdy. But for one week, for this week, I think it's pretty close. But long term, certainly pierce off.
- [21:49]
A
Yeah, I completely agree. Again, it's all contextual. What do you. Do you need somebody for this week or do you just looking for upside? So I agree with Jay. It is born in the. What's the third? There's a third one. There's the Bourne Ultimate.
- [22:00]
C
Born Supremacy.
- [22:01]
A
Born Supremacy. There you go. Exactly.
- [22:03]
B
To me, they slowly kind of. Yeah, it ran its course by like.
- [22:07]
C
By the time Jeremy Renner.
- [22:08]
A
Jeremy Renner, right, yeah. Jeremy Renner came in. For once it was just Matt.
- [22:12]
C
Identity was the best one.
- [22:13]
A
But the first one was amazing.
- [22:15]
B
Phenomenal.
- [22:15]
A
Honestly. That trilogy heavy meat sauce.
- [22:18]
B
Barry's exposed ankles have caught up to him. And he caught a cold. I think he's just choking on water, to be honest with you.
- [22:23]
A
Might be. I don't know, something got in my throat.
- [22:24]
C
I think the diet soda slowly eroded.
- [22:27]
B
Somebody jack on the diet cochlear?
- [22:29]
A
Yeah, yeah, the Diet Coke's pretty good, but not bad.
- [22:31]
B
It's an upgrade from the Excuseler.
- [22:33]
A
I don't know that it is, to be perfectly honest. Anyway, yeah, whatever. We. I'm gonna go watch the Bourne Identity.
- [22:44]
B
Jane, I'll do the rest.
- [22:46]
A
Thanks. Be great.
- [22:47]
C
We'll talk about Josh Downs.
- [22:48]
B
Yeah, Josh Downs is 51% available. He meets our threshold. He's got the Chargers. Been a good two weeks here for Josh Downs and shockingly, Matthew something he doesn't do a lot. He scored in week six. That doesn't seem sustainable. But is the target share?
- [23:02]
A
Yeah, I mean, look over the last two games it started to creep up with a 25% target share. Ad Mitchell basically on the, you know, in the doghouse. Alec Pierce came back last week, but it does feel like it is starting to settle in with Michael Pittman, Tyler Warren and now Josh Downs as the third option in this passing attack. That's obviously better than people think. Six for 42 and a touchdown. Look, the challenge here is that this is still a run oriented team. He. He's still only playing in the slot. Right. He had a 63% route participation on the year and so So I think he's more of a, you know, in a bye week for a 12 team D3 wide receivers, I don't know that he's a shallower league option, but in a deeper league, I think he could potentially be useful. It is a nice matchup with the Chargers, Jay. They allow the fourth most yards after the catch to opposing slot receivers. And so that is where Downs is lining up the. The most part. And we have seen over the. Over. Daniel Jones has actually done a really nice job this year. But traditionally Daniel Jones is more comfortable in the middle of the field when he throws there.
- [24:04]
C
Yeah, it's. I mean, it's a testament to the Colts depth. My beloved Colts, who by the way, AFC is looking pretty open at the moment. Don't be surprised if the Colts are in an AFC title game. They feel destined to lose to Josh Allen or Patrick Mahomes ultimately. But this team is really good. This offense is absolutely humming. And the fact that Josh Downs is basically a fourth option in this office like Josh Downs is really, really good.
- [24:26]
A
Yes.
- [24:26]
C
And I think the concern for him in terms of his fantasy upside is that he can be really, really good and still be 6 for 42. Now he's still got into the end zone and that helps. But it's just like Tyler Warren and Michael Pittman. They operate in the same kind of zones on the field as Josh Downs. And Pierce is more the guy who's on the outside as the deep ball threat. But I think the Downs, just because of the talent, because he seems to have this rapport with Daniel Jones now he can be a viable flex guy. I just don't think there's that much ceiling in this office. This, this passing game. The identity is. Passing game is Tyler Warren. Yeah. Right at the moment.
- [24:56]
A
Yeah. He just doesn't. He's not a. He's never been a big red zone 3. He's never been a big touchdown scorer. And I'm trying to remember the play. I saw the play live. I didn't. I haven't rewatched it, but I don't think he was the first option on that. I seem to remember Daniel sort of scrambling around and he found downs in the. Daniel Jones. Sorry. Found. Scrambled around and found downs in the back of the end zone. But it wasn't like that was a designed play. It was more fluky. So I agree with you. I think there's probably more floor than ceiling when it comes to Josh Downs.
- [25:25]
B
How about the Bucs trio, guys? I'm not talking about Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Emeka Buka. I'm talking about the three healthy players in Sterling Shepherd, 95% available, Tez Johnson, 99% available, and Cameron Johnson, 99% available. They got the Lions this week. There could be a lot of points in that game. Matthew, everybody's trying to figure out who is the wide receiver you want to pick up amongst the three.
- [25:47]
A
And I think you ranked them in the right order when you announced them. That's the order. I would do it. I would do Sterling Shepard, then Tez Johnson, then Cameron Johnson. Sterling Shepard, he's had three games with at least a 15% target share and he's got double digit fantasy points in two of those three games as well. Tez Johnson, obviously he's a nice prospect, made the great catch. We love that. Thought he was getting the MVP chance. We love his humility at the end. It was a lot of fun. 84% route participation for Tez Johnson as well, which we like. But just Sterling shepherd more. The veteran more. You know, he's been on this team before. More of a connection with Baker Mayfield. You know, Tez basically had the big one play. Had the one big play. You know, he had three targets. He earned three targets in this game. Now again, Ebuka left, you know, halfway through the game, but to me, that's the ranking. Shepherd, Tez Johnson, Cameron Johnson, that's how I'll have them ranked in my ranks this week.
- [26:36]
C
Yeah. Also I think Sterling shepherd may have some staying power as well because Evans is still going to come back off the hamstring. Chris Godwin, at this point, I'm just not expecting a great deal from him this year with the seriousness of that fibular injury and then a buka. And to the best of my knowledge, there's been no actual reporting on what grade of strain that he has, but there's still a chance that could be out longer than just two weeks into the buy. As you look at the Bucks schedule going forward, forward, Lions, Saints, those are dream matchups and you may not think so. The Lions, because their season ranks are pretty good. But Connor coming into the season, top two corners on the lines, D.J. reed, Terry and Arnold. The superstar safety duo, Brian Branch, Kirby, Joseph. There's a good chance that all four of those guys don't play and if Joseph does, he might be dragging his leg.
- [27:21]
B
Very, very good chance. They are down to basically second and third string players at every position in the secondary. So this is A. And Baker's one of those guys. We said this yesterday, like he kind of just finds a way to lift up players where I really like the floor of Sterling Shepherd. With Tez though, you'd be hoping for a big play touchdown because that's a lot of his game. Maybe gets a couple screens now that they practice with him for a week. But yeah, there should be a lot of points in this game and somebody has to catch these passes.
- [27:45]
A
And once again, remember, no Bucky Irving in this game. You know, they started to get Kate Otten a little bit more involved. But yeah, I agree with you. I mean I think Shepard again more of the veteran player becomes interesting. Tez Johnson more of a flyer.
- [27:58]
B
To recap, Kendrick Bourne, Josh Downs, Sterling Shepard, Tez Johnson and Cameron Johnson are at the top of our waivers. And then the deeper league targets, Trey Tucker is still out there as is Christian Kirk. Elik IO Manor, who if Calvin Ridley is out IO Manor should get a fair share of Cam Ward's targets k' Shawn Budi and Luther Burton, who definitely have some explosive playability. It's just the usage question with the rookie.
- [28:21]
A
And Burden, we'll get more into him as we talk about those games a little bit, but season highs in target share and route participation in week six for Luther Burden. Christian Kirk, by the way, it's worth noting like again because they were in the bye last week but he's starting to come back getting a little bit healthier for this Texans offense. It's looked better more recently. Seahawks allow the fifth most receptions per game to the slot, which is obviously where Kirk lines up a decent amount. Also by the way, no Puka Nukua so we expect Tutu Atwell back this week. Jordan Winnington is there as well so probably.
- [28:52]
C
Probably. No, he may play. McVay said he's day today so we'll see.
- [28:58]
A
I don't.
- [28:58]
C
I don't think he'll play but it wouldn't be the most shocking thing anyway.
- [29:02]
A
Tomorrow. Well yeah, exactly. We'll. We'll know more tomorrow there as well. Very quietly, Trey Tucker has at least 60 yards in three of the last.
- [29:08]
C
Four games and also Jacoby Myers might not be on that team in two weeks.
- [29:11]
B
Feels best for both sides.
- [29:13]
C
Yeah.
- [29:13]
A
Yeah.
- [29:13]
C
Just it's seems destined to be a Steeler. Yeah.
- [29:17]
B
Steelers will make a move for somebody, a wide receiver. It's a matter of who. Maybe Alan Lazard.
- [29:21]
C
12.
- [29:22]
A
There you go. You could dream.
- [29:23]
B
You can only dream when you're thinking about Jacoby Myers and you end up with Alan Lazard.
- [29:26]
C
There you go.
- [29:27]
A
Yeah.
- [29:27]
C
Rashid Shahid. Yeah, Rashid Shahid would be a good.
- [29:29]
A
One There Randall Cobb come out of retirement for Aaron Rodgers in Pittsburgh.
- [29:33]
B
So he's a possibility. Wouldn't rule it out. It was so good a couple years ago with the Jets.
- [29:37]
A
Yeah, Jacoby Meyer, I mean Steelers make a lot of sense for Jacoby Myers for sure.
- [29:42]
B
Tight end Harold Fannin Jr. We mentioned that David Njoku is banged up right now and Fannin's gotten a recent bump from Dylan Gabriel. That offense is a little limited. Fannin though, not feeling any of that. Ten targets, seven catches, 81 yards in week six here. Matthew, if Njoku's out, I mean you feel even better about his target share.
- [30:01]
A
He also had a 78% route participation and number a 90 utilization score that was fifth best among all tight ends last week. It's a nice match with Miami that allows the fifth most yards per game to opposing tight ends. And so Dylan Gabriel who is like seems like the definition of a short armed, you know, like, you know, just kind of, you know, like. Exactly. Not a guy that wants to throw deep. He's Dylan Gabriel becoming the starter for the Browns has done a significant amount for Harold Fannin's fantasy value. After that first game of the year where he thought like, oh, Fannin had this great camp and looks like he's immediately going to be part of their offense. Then he sort of went down and like Njoku. But with Njoku's injury and Gabriel becoming more comfortable like coming off the big game here against, you know, last week. Right. Where he went 7 for 81 the week before he caught a touchdown in the, in the overseas game. So I think Fannin is pretty interesting. He's available in 73% of leagues.
- [30:54]
C
Yeah. I mean his quarterback is a guy who's the fans he trusts enough seemingly they. Dylan Gabriel dropped back to like over 60 times in that game to pass and he doesn't seem to be able to throw outside the numbers, doesn't throw down the field. It's all intermediate middle of the field stuff. And so that's where you tied in Shines.
- [31:09]
A
And by the way, even with Njoku banged up like I think there's a scenario which is better than average that Njoku also gets dealt to another team which obviously would open up playing time for Fan and down the stretch.
- [31:20]
B
Stuntman Chuck says Fanon the Flames pretty good there.
- [31:23]
C
Stuntman Chuck better than most of Matthews material.
- [31:26]
A
Yeah.
- [31:27]
B
Our next one, Kate Otten you mentioned to Matthew with all these wide receivers hurt and we've seen this from Kate Otten last year when they had some wide receiver injuries, his targets Go up a little bit. And there's rapport with him and Baker.
- [31:38]
A
26% target share last week. In week six, actually, he for the year, he leads all tight ends in snap rate, believe it or not. So he's been out there a lot. He just hasn't done much with it until recently. But when he gets a 20% target share, when he at least gets some looks, he's averaging almost 15 fantasy points per game. And as we talked about, no Abuka, no Godwin, maybe no Evans once again. And so Kate Otten, who along with Sterling shepherd is one of the guys that has more of a history with Baker Mayfield, suddenly becomes interesting. The other guy I want to mention here real quickly is Michael Mayer. Again, no Brock Bowers last week. We don't expect Mayer scored the touchdown. Doesn't feel like Brock Bowers is trending towards playing this week. You know, had a 30% target share. They're at Kansas City. LaPorta just had a nice game against the Chiefs. The Chiefs have struggled against tight ends this year. And so to your point about no Brock Bowers, Jacoby Myers, it's been inconsistent. He obviously Meyer runs very different routes than Trey Tucker. So you could see some viability for Michael Mayer. They're biased next week. The Raiders are by next week. And so feels like you can make it. Make it. There's a strong argument made that like, hey, let's let Bowers have one more week of rest. We get to the bye and then we can come back with him.
- [32:52]
B
Deep league targets here. Mason Taylor, he's got the Panthers. We'll circle back to him in just a second. Arande Gadsden was on the field a lot more for the Chargers. Dalton Schultz, Chingaconkwo and Tyler Higbee. Matthew. But Mason Taylor with a good matchup after a week where the jets could not throw the ball at all against.
- [33:09]
A
Denver, only one teams allow. Only one team in the NFL allows more fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends. Then the Carolina Panthers. So Mason Taylor again last week was just absolutely so brutal. I have to believe Connor. Now it seems like Aaron Glenn has basically said, like, no, no, Justin Fields is our guy, but he's got to be on a much shorter leash this week. Like, if things start going south against the Panthers the way they did against the Broncos, it has to be Tyrod Taylor time, right? Yeah.
- [33:35]
B
Because you have to do right by the defense and the special teams that really gave you a shot to beat the Broncos. And no Garrett Wilson in this game. Yeah, this is it.
- [33:42]
A
There's a very real scenario where Mason Taylor leads the jets in targets, receptions.
- [33:47]
B
Receiving yards, say in DraftKings. It should be most likely.
- [33:50]
A
Yeah.
- [33:51]
B
I would think all his props are higher than Josh Reynolds, who would be the. Would be the next guy.
- [33:55]
C
Yeah.
- [33:55]
A
And of course we already got Alan Lazard heading to Pittsburgh, so.
- [33:58]
B
Yeah, he's barely active.
- [33:59]
A
Yeah, exactly. Gadson is also somebody. We talked about him yesterday as well. I feel like we've talked about him a couple of weeks for a couple of weeks here on the show. But 21% target share last week, second on the team. And this is a game that Will Disley was active and healthy for. Like, I just think, I just think Gadson's a talented player. I watch a lot of Syracuse football, as you can imagine, you know, having been a graduate of the Orange. And Gadsden's a nice player. Connor. Yeah.
- [34:26]
B
I mean you think of when they were rolling at times with Stone. Smart as that third time, and this is like the better version of that. Gadsden was breaking all kinds of records in the acc. They used him as a big slot receiver that he's put on a lot of weight in recent years too, where he could actually be a tight end now. So legit receiving skills and somebody that I think will grow into something. An offense that doesn't like. They're not getting anything out of Tyler Conklin. It's, it's. There's a lot there for him. Opportunity wise.
- [34:50]
C
Yeah, definitely Chica conqueror as well. Just with the change, no more Brian Callahan maybe creates a little bit more variance. Despite your point, Connor of the same play caller there, cheek. I mean, he looks good, looks explosive. Had a great burst the yards after the catch on the weekend. So always like Chigong. He's not much of a ceiling there. But again, Calvin Ridley out. The targets are going to go somewhere.
- [35:11]
A
The last four games he's had at least 45 receiving yards. I will tell you though, there's a kid on Tennessee, just for those of you in dynasty leagues, he may still be out there in some, some dynasty leagues. Gunnar Helm. They really like Gunnar Helm in Tennessee. And so I don't know if he's. It's going to turn into fantasy production this year because again, the offense is tough and Cam Ward is struggling, but just that's a super deep league. That's a dynasty or keeper league name, you know, Gunner Helm, I think is kind of interesting.
- [35:39]
B
Yeah, Cam Ward gave him a lot of love over the summer when those two are working together during training camp. Speaking of Cam Ward, how about some quarterbacks? The notable ones on the bye Josh Allen is on the buy. I've heard of him. You've heard of him.
- [35:50]
A
Proud fantasy life investor Josh Allen and.
- [35:52]
B
Those who are waiting for Lamar Jackson to get healthy in return. Well, you'll have to wait at least one more week because he is on the buy. So this is is a pretty important waiver period for a lot of people. Jackson dart is 68% available and Jay, what's really mattered with Dart is he's getting it done with his legs. The only problem is they have the Broncos on deck. Broncos have been amazing at limiting running quarterbacks. Justin Fields didn't do anything against them. Herbert didn't do anything against them.
- [36:16]
C
Yep, we're going to learn a lot about Jackson Dart in this matchup because he was amazing against the Eagles. Eagles look a little bit broken at the moment, but still independent of that. He played really, really well. But we are still one week removed. Him really struggling against the Saints. He just provide so much rushing that even with the difficult matchup against the Broncos, I think he is going to be a startable quarterback and he shouldn't be on any waivers. Any quarterback who can string together three weeks in a row of over 50 rushing yards needs to be rostered and started. But look, the Broncos, I'd say that they, they're probably the clubhouse leader to have the best defense in the NFL right now. And there's no Malik Neighbors and so Jackson Dart is going to have a lot to, a lot to prove.
- [36:54]
A
Yeah, I, I think you know that you're absolutely right that this matchup against Denver is going to be very informative. Denver held both Justin Fields, Jalen Hurts and Daniel Jones to 36 rushing yards. Not each of them like combined. Combined. Those three mobile quarterbacks had under 37 rushing yards combined against the Broncos. So they're really good against mobile quarterbacks. They're allowing just the second fewest fantasy points. Two opposing quarterbacks. Again, the game that we saw last week with Justin Fields certainly helped skew that. But Dart, we've talked about this like I've said this like the minute he got named the starter, honestly in the offseason. We talked about this in the preseason. We talked about it. We saw sort of some of these preseason games like the minute Jackson Dart becomes a starting quarterback, he's going to be a top 12 option. I think he's going to be borderline. This is probably his toughest matchup we've seen so far. But to date he's the 11th best quarterback in fantasy football. In his three starts, he's averaging 19.7 fantasy points per game. And even if you don't want to use him this week, I think he's a priority on the waiver wire because there'll be other weeks where you can use him and I think he's going to be good enough that if you're hurting somewhere else, like let's say you have Josh Allen or you have Jalen hurts you. I don't need a quarterback. I have Mahomes. I don't need to go. No, no, no, no, you do. Because I think Dart is good enough and will be good enough down the stretch to be a viable QB one. So if you're like hurting at wide receiver, hey, I'm trading Patrick Mahomes now. What can I get from Mahomes? What can I get for Jalen? Hurts because I have Jackson dart and I feel good about that. I'm just saying that's how I would. How would I would approach it.
- [38:27]
B
Raise the flags of an interesting question here. Knicks or Dart in the same game?
- [38:31]
A
Yeah, I'm probably going Knicks here. I just. It's two good defenses, right? It's close. Knicks look terrible.
- [38:38]
B
The Broncos offense was rough against the Jets. You can hope for a bounce back.
- [38:41]
A
But I think it's two good defenses. I just think. But I'd rather face the Giants and the Broncos and I'd rather be throwing the Cortland Sutton, Troy Franklin, Marvin Mims than Wandell Robinson and, you know. Yeah. And.
- [38:55]
C
Yeah.
- [38:55]
A
Little Jordan Humphrey and so. So it's close.
- [38:58]
C
But Nick's higher floor dot, high ceiling.
- [39:01]
B
Right.
- [39:01]
A
I think that's fair.
- [39:02]
B
I think good chance, honestly, that both of them don't have a viable fantasy week. Just being this could be another. Broncos play low total games constantly. They dictate the pace of play, and they constantly play low total games.
- [39:13]
A
Yeah.
- [39:13]
B
Our next quarterback who's been great this season, Sam Darnold, is 62% available. Got to hear from his coach and his number one wide receiver on his hot start.
- [39:23]
A
Well, I think it just speaks to.
- [39:25]
B
Sam's poise, his confidence right now, the preparation that he's doing.
- [39:30]
A
I mean, you don't just show up on Sunday and these plays come to life. You gotta.
- [39:34]
B
You got to make them happen.
- [39:35]
A
We got to be able to move and shake at the line of scrimmage.
- [39:38]
B
We got to be able to operate.
- [39:39]
A
At a high level and. And Sam's doing that.
- [39:43]
C
Dax, and all the things you're becoming competent in your quarterback. What's the most. What are you most confident in him there? What do you can count on him.
- [39:50]
A
And that he's going to show up and play his game. He's not going to force anything. You know he's just going to take with the defense, you know, gives him.
- [40:00]
B
JSN starting to dress like a number one wide receiver different live at the podium. Good for jsn.
- [40:05]
A
Yeah, he should be.
- [40:06]
B
He should be feeling himself after the season he's had and that's helped Sam Darnold who is. Yes, as you see right there, the passing yard leaders yards per game. Darnold is third. He's ahead of Baker Mayfield, he's ahead of Patrick Mahomes. I mean he's been that good so far. I'm actually surprised. 62% available.
- [40:24]
A
Yeah. He's now had back to back weeks finishings at top 10 fantasy quarterback as well. He's had at least two touchdowns now in four of the last five games. So it feels like there's at least a floor here. You don't love the matchup against Houston, but again they're at home. Houston has to travel to Seattle here and so with a better with a out of the buy, I think the Houston offense will look better. The Seahawks defense a little bit banged up. They're starting to show some cracks and so I do think Seattle may have to be more aggressive in this game. Again, not that you love it, but I do think Darnold is more viable than he than people probably thought at the beginning of the year.
- [40:58]
C
Yeah, definitely. I'm very interested to see how this sustains in terms of the play action deep shots that they've been thriving on. Donald to jsn. I think it just has to regress a little bit because they just, they throw the ball so little. Their pass rate over expectations being bottom five in the league. So he needs to keep hitting these plays to maintain the value that he has so far. I think that it will maintain an above average rate. I just don't think there's going to be like 60 yard bombs connected on every single play because no one, every single game because no one ever does that.
- [41:26]
A
You think so? But then like I feel like that's what we said last week last year against Saquon Barkley. There's no way he can keep getting 60 yard rushes every single game. And then it felt like he kind of did.
- [41:35]
C
Yeah, more faith and Saquon and the Eagles O line than Sam Donald and jsn. But you know, we'll see. JSN is right now Is a. Seems like a top three receiver in the sport. And Donald, like now we have a season and a bit over a quarter sample of Sam Donald just being a really good quarterback. So I think we probably like, he's the number one quarterback in EPA per play. He's been the most efficient quarterback in the league.
- [41:57]
A
He's played really well. It's been a great signing for Seattle, by the way. And it's so funny just seeing like sort of what's happened in Minnesota, you know, and what's happened with Geno Smith in Las Vegas. And the Seahawks are looking the best of all the kind of musical quarterback chairs that have happened among the franchises here. Last thing here, watching that clip of Jackson, Smith and Jigba facing the press, like, it's just so brutal. Must be so brutal being an NFL player because so many of the people that are asking questions are not trained broadcasters. They're writers and they're just, you know, they're stumbling through these long winded questions that, you know, sort of stumble on each other. And like that question to Jackson, Smith and Jigba was like long and awful.
- [42:43]
B
That's part of the gig.
- [42:44]
A
Yeah, that's how the coaches feel.
- [42:47]
B
They do it almost every day.
- [42:48]
A
Can't imagine. You should, you know, as a member of the New York media, as an Emmy losing member of the New York media. Connor Rogers, talk to your colleagues.
- [42:56]
B
I enjoy you just taking a dump on like 90% of the people will see at the combine and super bowl this year.
- [43:01]
A
Yeah, that's fine.
- [43:03]
B
All you idiots ask awful questions, but we use all the sound every single week on the show.
- [43:07]
A
Some people ask good questions. Just, you know, there's some that are brutal. You guys know who you are. All right, so we see Dart and Donald. By the way, JJ McCarthy should be back potentially this week as well. We still have hopes for him in this.
- [43:20]
B
I would not be starting J.J. mcCarthy against the Eagles.
- [43:23]
A
No.
- [43:23]
B
The Eagles have been embarrassed. No, thank you.
- [43:26]
A
Had 10 days to prepare. But this is about depth, you know. Again, could you see McCarthy have a second half of the year? That potential. Michael Pennock's looked really good last night. We'll get him to the next segment. But on the road, that banged up Niners defense without Bosa and Warner and Joe Flacco, It's a short week, but he's home to the Steelers as well. Pittsburgh is a bottom five pass defense on the year.
- [43:49]
B
Yeah, it's a good spot for the Bengals receivers if you're ever looking for one and hoping, especially if they're in a throw script again if you need a defense the Seahawks against the Texans. The Seahawks guys, they had a pressure rate of 50% against Jackson. Half the plays they got pressure rate. I don't think that's going to change against the Texans offensive line.
- [44:07]
A
No sir.
- [44:07]
B
The Browns against the Dolphins, some turmoil in Miami right now and then the Bears against the Saints. Although Spencer Rattler's been a lot better than people give him credit for this year, I will say that.
- [44:16]
A
But he has been But Bears defense looked good last night, especially the defensive line.
- [44:21]
B
They really did. All right, we're going to take our first break. Just ahead we got our Monday night double header takeaways and more on some of our bets and Guillotine League right after this.
- [44:36]
A
Looking for a smarter way to watch the big game? Sling has launched a game changing way to stream live TV with passes. Instead of committing to a monthly plan you might not use. Passes gives instant access for just a day, a week or a weekend with a day pass. Nonstop college football is available for 24 hours for only $4.99. ESPN, ESPN2 and ABC games simulcast on ESPN3 are included. And for just one more dollar you can add SEC or ACC networks. Sling puts fans in charge with total flexibility and control. Watch what's wanted when it's wanted. Best of all, you don't need to remember to cancel when your access is up. You won't be charged again until you purchase another day pass. Passes are only available for orange subscription packages. Visit sling.com to learn more. Traditions have the power to bring a whole city together. Tap us tailgate in the pouring rain or refuse to wash that lucky jersey. And tradition is what inspires Tostitos to make their masa the traditional way, starting with whole corn kernels and made with no artificial flavors, colors or preservatives crafted for that perfect crunch. Anytime I'm watching football on Sunday, I look around and there's always somebody eating Tostitos. Whether you're at the tailgate or home watching with friends, choose Tostitos for your next game day. Tostitos Tradition Matters Official chip and dip sponsor of the NFL, PolicyGenius makes finding and buying life insurance fast, easy and surprisingly affordable. So if something happens to you, your loved ones are taken care of with coverage you can trust. Talk to a team of licensed agents who will walk you through the process step by step. They answer questions, handle paperwork and advocate for you throughout the process. Policy Genius lays out all your options clearly. Coverage, amounts, prices, terms. No guesswork, just clarity. See if Policy Genius can help you find 20 year life insurance policies starting at just $276 a year for 1 million in coverage. You've got goals, you've got responsibilities, and now you've got a simple way to protect them. Visit policygenius.com to compare life insurance quotes, find your best fit and get back to building the future you've worked so hard for. That's policygenius.com was the was it the ball slick? Did that impact that play at all?
- [46:51]
C
I'm not going to sit up here and blame it on the elements. I mean, at the end of the.
- [46:55]
A
Day I got to focus.
- [46:57]
C
I get paid to go out there and focus playing the play out and I had a lack of focus right there and it cost us a game.
- [47:04]
A
When you're on the sidelines, you see the ball come out, time to go win the game and not give the ball back to them again. The mindset was being able to hold the ball, run the ball, run the ball, make them use their timeout, stay in bounds, you know, play smart situational football at the end of the game and go in.
- [47:24]
B
That was Jayden Daniels and Caleb Williams after the Commanders Bears matchup that came down to the final seconds. A Huge night for DeAndre Swift. Not only on the ground where he topped 100 yards, but he had the huge short catch that turned into a long, long touchdown in this one, guys. I mean do you sell high here on Swift? This was his best game but the volume has been great every week.
- [47:46]
A
I buy high actually on DeAndre Swift, right? So the volume has been there. Like I actually mentioned this, I mentioned this yesterday. I think I mentioned it on Sunday show about just like DeAndre Swift is actually a trade target. He's not all that sexy. You know, I didn't expect him to have as huge a game as he did last night. But look at this upcoming schedule. Home to New Orleans at the Ravens, at the Bengals, home to the Giants. Like you feel really good about DeAndre Swift just because to your point, Connor, the usage has been kind of ridiculous so far this year, you know, and it's only going to get better. They're going to be in positive game script against all these teams. You know, he has not been great. He averaged 3.3 yards per carry on the season last night, 7.7 yards per carry. My commanders could not stop the run. They looked awful. Their defensive line just got dominated left and right. Weirdly, he played under 60% of the snaps. But like when you're breaking off long runs and big catches, you don't really need to do much. But I think DeAndre Swift is probably, you know, when you think about this upcoming schedule, like, he's probably like a top 15 with, you know, he's a mid tier RB2 with weekly RB1 potential. And I wonder if he's being valued as that even with, you know, somebody that has him on the roster. Somebody on the roster may think like, oh, I'm selling high. Anderswift has not been great this year. You know, like, I'll sell high off this game. And I actually think. No, I. I think this game is closer to what he's going to do over the next month.
- [49:13]
C
Yep. No, I agree with that. Also, I would try and trade for Jakori Crosby Merit after this game. Understand he didn't have a good game, had another fumble. But the commanders gave 20 carries to their running backs and Cory CROSS Camara got 17 of them. And I think that is very encouraging going forward.
- [49:29]
A
It is. Although, you know, it was a brutal loss, obviously. And so we'll see what happens. They play the Cowboys this week, 54 and a half over under. The game's in Dallas, so they're expecting a ton of fireworks between, you know, two pretty good offenses and two bad defenses. As you see the schedule right there, they're at the Chiefs in week eight, Home to the Seahawks, home to the Lions, home to the Dolphins. So it's gets the Dolphins game's in the middle.
- [49:59]
C
Head over there. Commanders, I should.
- [50:01]
A
Yeah. I mean, they're the home team. Right. It's the Madrid game. Correct.
- [50:03]
C
Some top us from. Yeah. Matty Escragnolo.
- [50:07]
A
Listen, the idea of leaving the country is actually very appealing to me. You know, I just don't know when I would come back. But, yeah, the idea of just like going somewhere where I don't have to talk about anything would be great, actually. I would enjoy that. I might. Let me look into the. Look into that. I got to talk to the wife and kids.
- [50:24]
C
Some pinchos for Matty.
- [50:25]
A
Yeah, perhaps. But anyway, I think, look, we had hoped coming out of the buy that we would see more from Luther Burden, we would see more from Colston Loveland, potentially see more from Kamanangay. We didn't see any of that really last night, but it was a weird game in terms of it was raining and just bad conditions and they were running so effectively they didn't need to do much.
- [50:47]
B
No, I mean, that's. Ben Johnson's going to lean on that. We know that. That's why.
- [50:50]
C
Yeah.
- [50:51]
B
Swift, the volume. It's hard to trade somebody like that in this landscape where you're losing people to injury. And there's just not a lot of true RV ones right now in terms of just volume.
- [50:59]
A
But I'm just saying, I don't know if you've had DeAndre Swift this whole time. He's been fine. He hasn't been amazing. And then he has this big game and so if I had him, I think, ooh, I'm selling high because he kind of sucks. But there's a scenario where he's probably like at least over the next month a top 12 running back here. Tough game box score wise for rumor dunes a but you know, gets a touchdown called back due to kind of a ticky tack penalty. I think if that penalty doesn't get called, it's a different scenario. Not worried about Roma dunes the other.
- [51:29]
B
Game in this one, a nice win for the Falcons. Falcons fans, you drank.
- [51:34]
A
Yeah.
- [51:37]
B
Falcons Bills. How about Luke McAfee for sure. Bijan Robinson and Drake London go nuclear in this game. Bijan had the massive long touchdown run where he broke the tackle of Cole Bishop and kind of scampered down the sideline there. We haven't seen, we've seen greatness, Jay from Bijan, but we haven't seen him break off those massive long runs like that.
- [51:55]
C
No. Coming into this season, he'd never had a longer than 40 yard rush in the NFL across his first two years. But he was magnificent last night. Best game of his career. That's the best Falcons win in a long time. Yeah.
- [52:07]
A
Burn up.
- [52:07]
C
Yeah, bird up.
- [52:08]
A
Falcons fans, our own Lawrence Jackson and everyone else. You guys drink for free. Congratulations. What a victory for you guys. A dominating performance. I mean, they, they just, they looked awesome. Pennix looked a lot better, obviously. It's Bijan, by the way. It's gone back and forth, but I, I believe it's Bichon.
- [52:26]
B
I heard him say Bijan, so I don't know what.
- [52:28]
A
But then he said, but then he said, no, no Bijan.
- [52:31]
B
All right, we'll figure it out by the end of the season.
- [52:34]
A
I don't know.
- [52:34]
B
Well, I got to do a promo read with his name, so I'm going to go with Bijan Robinson and the their stretch of primetime games this Sunday when they face Christian McCaffrey and the 49ers out on the West Coast. Coverage of the matchup begins at 7pm Eastern as we lead you up to kickoff. Still to come, find out if we're betting a side or total in this NFC matchup. Early line alert is next.
- [52:56]
A
Buffalo. By the way. Some some sell lows. They're going into the buy. They're going to get this figured out of the buy. I'm not worried about the Bills offense.
- [53:03]
B
No, not the offense. It's the defense that see where it goes.
- [53:06]
A
But we're a fantasy show. We only care about the offense. Chime understands that every dollar counts. That's why when you set up direct deposit through Chime, you get access to fee free features like free overdraft coverage, getting paid up to two days early with direct deposit and more. Not to mention access to over 47,000 fee free ATMs, more than the top three national banks combined. So work on your financial goals through Chime today. Open an account in two minutes at chime.com/ff h that's chime.com/ff h Chime feels like progress. Chime is a financial technology company, not a bank. Banking services and debit card provided by the Bancorp Bank NA or Stride Bank NA members FDIC Spot Me Eligibility requirements and overdraft limits apply. Timing depends on submission of payment file. Fees apply at out of network ATMs bank ranking and number of ATMs according to US News and World Report 2023 Chime checking account required the holidays are upon us and businesses are hiring for seasonal roles. Everything from haunted corn maze workers to elves and real bearded Santas to snowplow drivers. This means that people with certain skills, experience, or even a special license are in high demand and they're not easy to find. Whether you're hiring for one of these roles or any other role, the best way to find the perfect match for your role is on ZipRecruiter. ZipRecruiter's matching technology works fast to find top talent so you don't waste time or money. You can find out right away how many job seekers in your area are qualified for your role. With ZipRecruiter's advanced resume database, you can instantly unlock top candidates. Contact Info Let Zip recruiter find the right people for your roles, seasonal or otherwise. Four out of five employers who post on ZipRecruiter get a quality candidate within the first day. And right now you can try it for free@ziprecruiter.com FFHH Again, that's ziprecruiter.com FFHH ZipRecruiter the smartest way to Hire and now a next level moment from AT&T business. Say you've sent out a gigantic shipment of pillows and they need to be.
- [55:19]
B
There in time for international Sleep day.
- [55:21]
A
You've got AT and T5G so you're fully confident, but the vendor isn't responding and International Sleep Day is tomorrow. Luckily, AT&T 5G lets you deal with any issues with ease, so the pillows will get delivered and everyone can sleep soundly, especially you. AT&T5G requires a compatible plan and device coverage not available everywhere. Learn more@att.com 5G Network DraftKings Sportsbook is.
- [55:47]
B
An official sports betting partner of the NFL and new customers can bet $5 and get $300 in bonus bets if wins. Download the app and use promo code FFHH when you sign up. DraftKings Sportsbook Crown is yours.
- [55:59]
A
Crown is yours.
- [56:02]
B
Last call. It's time for early line alert. As we do every Tuesday, we take a look at the sides and totals to kick things off. What do you like this so far? Jay?
- [56:12]
C
Got to take the Falcons plus three at San Francisco. I don't understand why the Falcons are three point dogs here. I think these teams are very close right now just in terms of the level with all of the Niners coming, injuries on defense in particular. I think the Diners might have one of the worst defenses in football without Nick Bosa and Fred Warner. I think that Bijan on his rushing attack just gives the Falcons a relatively high floor and their defense is playing incredible. So I think this should be. I think this should be closer to Niners minus one and a half.
- [56:39]
B
Yeah, I like that call a lot. I'm going to take the Titans under 17 and a half points. That's their team total against New England. I know 17 and a half's a low number, but Mike Brable's defense is playing really well right now and I think it's going to be a little personal for him going back to Tennessee and Tennessee. I mean they had the fluky win against Arizona, but that offense can't get anything rolling right now.
- [56:58]
A
No, it's brutal. I like that call. I'm going to take the under on the Washington on the Washington Dallas game, 54 and a half is a big number. So two teams coming off brutal losses, right? The Cowboys losing, the Panthers commanders obviously losing to the Bears in a heartbreaker last night. Dan Quinn returning to Dallas as well. I think both these defenses were embarrassed by what happened to them last week. I think they both played tough. I think it's a closer game than maybe you think maybe under on 54 and a half in this game. I think it's a lower scoring game than they think that music means. It's closing time. You don't have to go home, but you can't stay here. We are back tomorrow for Jay and Connor. I'm Matthew. Good luck in waivers tonight. Peace out.