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FFT Express - 5 TOUGHEST Players to Rank in 2026: TreVeyon Henderson, DJ Moore, Alec Pierce & More (07/03 Fantasy Football Podcast)
00:11:09
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- [00:00]
Adam
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- [01:00]
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- [02:03]
Adam
Five players who are tough to rank. Not for me, I probably do it easily. But for Dave, super tough to rank right now on FFT Express. All right Dave, let's see what's bugging you in terms of rankings.
- [02:21]
Dave Richard
When I think about players that are tough to rank, I think about players that you can easily make a huge upside case for, a really low downside for. And the first name that comes to my mind is Treveon. Henderson we saw last year when he had those three games without Ramandre Stevenson. He was performing like a top five fantasy running back. He was outstanding and we know that that's part of his ceiling is just to be this unbelievably hyper efficient three down running back. But we also know that Ramandre Stevenson isn't going away. And all the other games that he had with Ramandre Stevenson, he was rarely good. And so how do you, how do you balance that? Do you lean more toward. All right, he's probably not going to be as good, he's not going to have as much work as Ramandre is there. Or do you lean into the track record of Radre Stevenson, which is he's a solid running back and he had a great finish to 2025. That's not really who he is. Whereas Trevon Henderson in his second season could really take off. And we're kind of getting Henderson at a discount compared to last year. We were over the moon for Henderson last year. It did not work out. But if you're getting him in round five, yeah, there's room for downside there. But man, if he can just wrestle away more of the touches from Ramond Ray Stevenson, even if it means splitting near the goal line, we're talking about a guy that's going to be a must start in fantasy leagues. I have a tough time balancing that. So for now he is what I said he is, which is a round five pick.
- [03:42]
Adam
RB 22 for Dave, 23 for Heath, 28th for Jamie. And I completely agree, really hard to rank and I haven't drafted him because I'm just not comfortable. I'm still not comfortable in round five with Henderson and I'm not even sure he's the best Patriots running back to draft. Sure stuff call.
- [04:02]
Dave Richard
I, I like going for him when I really love my first four picks and I, I just get steals with my first four picks and he's sitting there in round five. That's especially when I like him. One player I've got behind Trayvon Henderson is DJ Moore. And this is another player that you could look at and say, all right, is he declining because he didn't have that good of a year in Chicago and how could he have been this bad in Chicago when the Bears offense was so much better than it's been in the past? And now he's going to Buffalo and we know that he knows that the offense, he'll know what to do in this offense. He's got a great quarterback in Josh Allen, but it's still an offense that isn't going to throw a lot. There's a lot of questions. There's a ton of volatility with where his season could go. And because of that, I'm kind of couching him. He's a borderline number two fantasy wide receiver. Certainly more of a low end guy. I go back and forth between him and Parker Washington and full ppr. I do have him ahead of Parker Washington at this point, but he's another player that's right in that late round five range for me. But it's not like Travion Henderson where I go, wow, he's got the upside to just be an amazing fantasy wideout. He's somebody who I think can be an okay number two wide receiver with a floor of being an okay number three wide receiver. That's why I'm looking at him as someone to settle for in that late round five range.
- [05:17]
Adam
Yeah, I don't really struggle ranking DJ Moore maybe within a range of two or three wide receivers, but I kind of feel like with DJ Moore, it's like you have to ask yourself, all right, who are the exciting, mostly young, high upside wide receivers that could be league winners? And then who is the group that I'm pretty nervous about? And then DJ Moore should be right in between them. I do think he has a lot of upside. I think I. I think you're right. I mean, he's got an upside and a downside kind of guy, but I think he should definitely lead the Buffalo Bills. And targets, sure. That's a good thing. So, you know, he is that though. Yeah.
- [05:57]
Dave Richard
We've had the one guy who's done it. It's been Stefan Diggs. He did it four years in a row. He averaged nine targets per game. I don't know if DJ Moore is commanding even eight targets.
- [06:07]
Adam
Seven. Seven to eight. I'd say, you know, maybe 25 targets or something like that. And from Josh Allen, who always throws, almost always throws 30 or more touchdowns and throws for a decent amount of yards usually. I think, I think that's a round five pick. Which is where you have him. I did earlier in round five. But all, you know, all's well that ends well, I guess. All right, we'll take a break. Let's get three more after this. On FFT Express.
- [06:32]
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- [07:31]
Adam
so far. Travyon Henderson and DJ Moore tough to rank for Dave. Who else?
- [07:35]
Dave Richard
You see the highlights from Alec Pierce and you know what he's capable of doing as a downfield receiver. Do the Colts take the step with him and try and get him much more involved as a short and intermediate range receiver? He's big, he's physical. He, he can win on those slants, catch the ball and lean forward for first downs. They can use him that way kind of the same way that they used Michael Pittman for a good chunk of Pittman's career. I wasn't a fan of Pittman in in Indianapolis because that was the only way they were using him. If Pierce is used that way and he still used downfield and he sucks up a big chunk of the 111 targets that Michael Pittman's leaving behind, we're drafting him way too late. I've got him as a round six pick. He's got upside to be a top 15 type of fantasy wide receiver, but he's also got the downside to be a low end number three wide receiver. Last year was the only time he's really been great for fantasy and Even then overall 12.2 ppr points per game and 11.4 ppr points per game in 10 games with Daniel Jones. He really started to take off toward the end of the year and when I say take off, he was just catching more of those downfield throws and catching more touchdowns. So I, I think I'm actually as as I talk it out, I think I'm being a little more cautious on Pierce and that means that I kind of sort of know where to rank him. But he's another one of those guys that just has such a high ceiling and such a bad floor.
- [08:59]
Adam
Number one in yards per target among wide receivers with 50 or more targets two straight seasons. Number one in yards per catch. If the ADOT goes down, it becomes a different player. You can expect that to change a lot of times. The certainly the Yards per catch guys are the, are the guys who get thrown the ball downfield. Makes sense, right? They catch the ball. It goes for 20 or more yards. Alec Pierce had seven or more targets in five games. He reached 80 yards in all five games. Definitely a difficult player. We'll be asking him to do something he's never done before. Who's next?
- [09:31]
Dave Richard
We talk a lot about players where the, the biggest downside argument you can make for them is, well, he could get hurt. And we, we talked about some of those players on Thursday's episode of Fantasy Football Today. Mike Evans comes to mind. A.J. brown comes to mind. Christian McCaffrey comes to mind. And Jackson Dark comes to mind as well because we saw it last year how many times he left games because of concussion protocol. He plays very aggressively. He's willing to run with the football and that's probably the biggest downside case for him is that he could get hurt. The other downside case for him is that he might not have the the kind of Malik Neighbors talent receiver I. E. Malik neighbors his rookie year until 2027. But even then last year he was averaging 19.4 fantasy points per game in six point without Malik neighbors on the field for almost the entirety of his time on the field. We know that he's got some good upside. I don't love that about 40% of his fantasy points came from rushing. If he loses any of that, then he's not going to be as good as. But he's yet another player humongous upside because if he does keep running and he does throw well, he's going to be amazing. And if he gets hurt or if he just doesn't run as much, you're going to wish you hadn't drafted him as a top 12 quarterback.
- [10:44]
Adam
Jackson Dart was that number. You gave 19.19.4 overall.
- [10:50]
Dave Richard
If you, if you just take the 11 games where he played 20 or more drop backs, 20 or more. That's it. He averaged 24.7.
- [10:58]
Adam
Yeah. So right. So that okay is 12 starts minus the one game against Minnesota where he scored zero fantasy points on 13 pass attempts. You want to look at that game, he had 12 starts. Jackson Dart averaged 22.6 fantasy points per game, which is really good. I actually would say the Giants in general are the toughest team to rank right now. You've got an unproven quarterback who gets hurt a lot. You've got an unproven running back who gets hurt a lot and is coming off a major injury. You know, you've got a wide receiver that we don't know if he's going to be ready for week one. There's a lot of moving pieces with the Giants right now and new coach and new coordinator.
- [11:35]
Dave Richard
You just took the words right out of my mouth. You've got John Harbaugh, whose entire track record has been playing conservatively on offense, leaning into the run game. That's not great for Jackson Dart. And a new offensive coordinator and a new offensive brain trust. That really doesn't make you feel excited about any of the players. In New York. It's Matt Nagy, it's Greg Roman, it's Brian Callahan. A lot of guys that when they've had the play sheet in their hands, they usually struggle.
- [12:00]
Adam
Okay, last one. What do we got?
- [12:03]
Dave Richard
There's so many names on this list. Adam, who do I want to end with? I kind of want to end with a boom. So let's end with Ted Aurora McMillan, who, talent wise is a unicorn. He's gigantic and he's quick. He can just change directions in a. Jeff, he's got good hands, but he's on a team with a quarterback that's really dicey. The offensive line, I've got question marks about, especially with the Quanu, their left tackle, potentially missing the entire year ahead. They've got Jalen Coker, who's okay. He'll. He'll take away some targets. I don't really think that Chris Braswell does what the Panthers think he will do, at least not as a rookie. And so I, I wonder if, if there's going to be a huge second year leap for Ted Roy McMillan or if it's going to be just more of the same. And last year it was just okay for Tetaro and McMillan. In fantasy, he had some big games. He was very up and down. But the bottom line is he averaged 12.4 PPR points per game on 7.2 targets per game. So he was getting a lot of targets, just not doing a ton with them. For him to take that next step, he's either going to need 10 targets per game or he's going to really have to develop some efficiency and rhythm with an improved Bryce Young. And I'm just not sure I can buy into that.
- [13:15]
Adam
Okay. Wide receiver, 23 per game last year for McMillan and a bad year for wide receivers. He's going earlier than that in average draft position. Yeah, yeah, I completely agree with this call. He's. He's really tough. He also was on pace for 136 targets in his first 12 games and 88 targets in his last five games, and that was with. I don't really. That's what I don't really buy. I really don't think Jalen Coker is going to be what holds him back. But not only that, they do want to run the ball. I don't know if they'll be able to do it as much as they want, but they want to run the ball. All right. Thanks to Dave Richard for his five players who are very tough to rank. You have any thoughts, leave some in the comments. We'd appreciate it. Enjoy your Fourth of July weekend, everybody. Talk to you on Monday on Fantasy Football Today,
- [14:10]
AllTrails Brand Representative
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