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Adam Mazer
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Adam Mazer
A lot of drafts today and we're going to give a lot of draft advice. Welcome everybody to Fantasy Football Today presented by BetMGM, the the sportsbook Born in Vegas. We are pumped to be talking to you right now on this Tuesday afternoon with a lot of drafts coming up for all of us. In fact, we have a draft at 4pm we're going to be competing against each other in the FFT League. I am Adam Mazer with Dave Richard and Jamie Eisenberg. Dave, you have the second pick in this three receiver PPR league. Who are you going to take?
Dave Richard
Do you think Jaqui Crosby Merit makes it that far?
Jamie Eisenberg
Not at this point, no. No.
Dave Richard
I love Bijan Robinson. I love Jamar Chase. I figure whoever's picking first is going to take one of those guys. I will take the other of those gu.
Adam Mazer
Jamie, you have the ninth pick in the draft. Who are you going to take?
Jamie Eisenberg
You know, probably for the 28th time I'll get Christian McCaffrey, unless you're picking in front of me. So it could be him. It could be Justin Jefferson, could be Nico Collins, could be Ashton Genti. You never know.
Dave Richard
Hold on. You're not pick. You're picking after Jamie in round one.
Adam Mazer
So as of now, I have the 11th pick. Dan Schneier has the right to swap picks with me if he wants it. He has the eighth pick, so I don't know yet.
Dave Richard
You see what he just did? He just figured out how he could get his hands on McCaffrey by asking you about it.
Jamie Eisenberg
No, it doesn't matter because he just looks at my rankings anyway and that's how he picks. He just goes straight down the line. It's very frustrating to pick after or before Adam or anywhere near Adam because that's all he does.
Adam Mazer
I would be surprised if I didn't come away with a running back and a wide receiver with the 11th overall pick and then the 14th overall pick. So that will be, that will be what I set out to do. I definitely won't go rbrb. I might go like, I keep going like neighbors Thomas. I did that from 10 or 111 draft, so I might do that. All right, today on the show, last minute fantasy advice and some buy or sell and your questions at ask fft on Twitter. A little bit later, we're going to start with Dave's. Dave, I told you on the podcast this morning, I'm having some friends over for the draft tonight and I already took your advice. Going to make this joke again. I bought the diploma and the chips, but buy the dip is one of your pieces of last minute advice, Dave.
Dave Richard
And we can really give this advice now because the NFL season's about to start and we've had a full summer of drafting and seeing where these players are going. And at the beginning of the summer, Puka Nkua was a top 10 pick. Devonte Adams was a top 30 pick. Devon Achan was a top 10 pick. All three of these guys have fallen because of injuries, either to themselves, in the case of Achan, to the quarterback, in the case of Matthew Stafford and the receivers there. But Stafford's ready to go week one. Achan looks like he's on track to be ready to go week one. And those are just three names. There's a lot of names later on in the draft who's had some injury news that isn't good. But things have changed recently and the ADP hasn't adjusted yet. Darnell Mooney, Juwan Jennings literally back at practice on Monday for the 49ers. That's a good thing. Godwin looks like he did avoid the PUP list. He might be back sooner than expected. Khalil Shakira Najee Harris is back. Cam Scatterboo is back. Quinshaw, Judkins. It's not an injury, but he's expected to be back with, with with Cleveland soon. These are all guys that you're going to be able to get at depressed values in your drafts today, all the way through kickoff on Thursday. You might as well take advantage.
Adam Mazer
Yeah. You know, Jamie, we brought up last month that Jameer Gibbs had two soft tissue injuries in preseason last year. And I think it was certainly understandable to downgrade him in drafts. But he ended up being ready for week one and he ended up being not RB1 per game, but RB1 overall because Barkley sat. Week 18 obviously had a great season. But I also think just on the other side of this, I do think that we should exercise some caution with, let's just take Puka Nakua because of Matthew Stafford and Devon H.N. he's got a calf injury. He's got some injury history. We're not necessarily back to where we were with those guys, are we?
Jamie Eisenberg
I don't think you can be in the case of Stafford and his situation because it's not like he got a new back and he's fine. Like this could still be an issue that creeps up at some point during the season. And we continue to get, you know, I saw some, some emails today about Devon H.N. and the CAF situation. You know, is it Christian McCaffrey all over again? Is it? You know, a lot of NBA fans obviously saw what happened with Kevin Durant and Tyrese Halliburton and Jason Tatum over the last couple years, you know, with these, you know, Achilles injuries. So it could still be a problem or calf, excuse me, that become Achilles injuries. It still could be something that, that creeps up at some point during the season. But I think if you're just looking at it from the standpoint of what you're getting for maybe where they were, you know, you're looking at h and was a first round pick and now you're getting him in round two and et cetera, et cetera. So I think just in the case of some of these guys that are injury concerns like last, you know, I don't know if you're going to bring this up, but you know, last year, Jameer Giz, we had the injury worries. It was Kyron Williams who was getting really pushed down draft boards last year because he wasn't going to do punt returns. You know, we had that stupid story. So I think it's, you know, kind of Case by case, you know, and how you probably felt about these players before the news happened, you know, so if you're in on Quinshawn Judkins and now you're going to get him at such a cheap cost, if you were in on obviously the Rams receivers, you're getting them at a reduced price. Tyreek Hill, you know, based on his injury situation, you know, going to be, you know, playing week one. It goes all down the line. And then there's the, you know, flip side of it. You know, when, when you drafted, you know, should you panic if you took somebody, let's say like a Patrick Mahomes because you thought you're going to have Arashi Rice for the entire season or maybe only missing three or four games and now you don't have him for the first six games. So that goes both ways. I think just in the case of getting some of these superstars at better prices, it's definitely a good way to win your league.
Adam Mazer
All right, so would you take a Chan or Puka first?
Jamie Eisenberg
I would take Puka first.
Dave Richard
I would too.
Adam Mazer
Would you take Achan or Josh Jacobs?
Jamie Eisenberg
I go back and forth on those. I think there's more upside with Achan, but they are now back to back. Originally it was Achan was ahead of Saquon Barkley. For me, that's how much I liked him prior to the calf injury.
Dave Richard
I've got Achan one spot ahead of Jacobs. If it's full PPR, non PPR, it's easy to go with Jacobs over HN.
Adam Mazer
Would you take Puka or Neighbors? Brian Thomas Jr.
Jamie Eisenberg
I had Neighbors and Brian Thomas Jr. Head of Puka a long time ago, so I would stick with those guys.
Dave Richard
But I did not. And I originally had Puka at least some full PPR ahead of both of those wide receivers and now I don't because I'm a little bit worried, I guess, about the Stafford issue. But also I know I can get Puka Nakua after those guys if I wanted to.
Adam Mazer
And would you go with like a guac salsa, a French onion dip? We're talking specific dips. Dave, what's your choice?
Dave Richard
How fresh is the guac?
Adam Mazer
I'm going to the store right now. I'm getting. Everything is super fresh.
Dave Richard
I would go with guac. Definitely get a little bit of fresh salsa as well. And don't forget to get some hot sauce to put in both.
Jamie Eisenberg
Okay?
Adam Mazer
No thanks on the side. All right, Dave's last minute advice number two, take a peek at weeks one and two. Why not? So Dave, let's talk about this. What does this mean? Take a peek at weeks one and two.
Dave Richard
So this is more of a tiebreaker. If you're debating between a couple of players and you just want to figure out, all right, which one do I want more? Look and see how their schedule begins. Do they have easy matchups? Do they have tough matchups and use that as the tiebreaker? And I have a couple examples on something like this. Chuba Hubbard over Breece Hall. Now both of them in adp, I know how you feel about Breeze Hall. You would never take Breeze hall over Chuba Hubbard. But look at our adp. A lot of people have them neck and neck. And I get it. Because Breece hall still has the upside to be good when things are right in New York. I don't know how right they are, but because they're close in adp, I went and I looked at it and I saw the schedule. First four weeks of the season, you know how great defense is. I've got Carolina with one of the most favorable running back schedules that you could ask for, whereas the jets are struggling along. So that's one where I would lean toward Chuba over Breece Hall. How about another one? This is one we've debated a lot lad McConkey and T. Higgins. Those two guys, they always seem to be right there at the 2, 3 turn. Which one is better? I've got McConkey over Higgins and it's because of the schedule. I think the Chargers schedule early on a little bit better than Cincinnati's. I know the volume will probably be there for T. Higgins. Might make sense for him to be the guy in that regard. But if you want to use a tiebreaker, that's what you should do. Go to the schedule. You can get a grid online just like I've got. And just look at the matchups for the first couple of weeks. Jerry Jeudy has a very tough Week 1 matchup. After that, it does get a little bit easier. He's in the wrong division for this. But against Denver in week one, I don't want to.
Adam Mazer
That's Calvin Ridley.
Dave Richard
It's Calvin Ridley. What did I say? Jerry. Judy.
Adam Mazer
Yeah, Jerry.
Dave Richard
Judy.
Adam Mazer
Jerry. Judy has the matchup.
Dave Richard
Yeah, yeah, yeah. Judy's got the matchup. Ridley's got a really tough one in week one. It is against Denver. I'm sorry about that. But now you know that, that if you draft Calvin Ridley, it's great. I still love him. I think he's going to have good volume, but I don't Know if he's necessarily startable in week one against Denver.
Jamie Eisenberg
You should get another grid of the roster so you know which players.
Dave Richard
Right. I talk about players all the time. Sometimes I. I get a name wrong or a team wrong. We all do.
Adam Mazer
Yeah, for sure. Now I. If you ask me who's on by in week eight, I don't know, but Dave knows. Beware of the Week 8 by NATO.
Dave Richard
Let's see if we can get this right. Arizona, Detroit, Jacksonville, Las Vegas, Seattle and the Rams. We got it right because I wrote it down. But those six teams are on. This is going to be the first real test for fantasy managers over the course of the year. And there's a lot of really good players on those teams. And I found when I draft, I end up getting a lot of players that are going to be on bye in week eight. And I know that week eight, it seems like a year from now, but it's really eight weeks from now. And if you want to have a headache later on in the season, then draft these guys and then do nothing about it. But it's just something to kind of just keep an eye out for. I don't mind getting two guys with the same bye week, but three, especially if they're all going to be in my starting lineup. I feel like that's something that you could avoid doing if you can.
Adam Mazer
Jamie, you feel the same way.
Jamie Eisenberg
I never look at the bye weeks, you know, really, I don't quarterback. If I'm taking two quarterbacks, that's the only time I look at it. And kicker and defense. If I have to draft those two, I don't want to have the same bye week because I'd have to deal with two transactions that week. So I'll try to avoid that.
Dave Richard
You're not drafting two kickers or two.
Jamie Eisenberg
I'm not drafting the kicker and DST on the same bye week. The reason I don't really care about bye weeks is because my roster, for the most part is going to change, in some cases dramatically by the eighth week of the season. A lot of people ask us about week 14 and those buys. If I have to make trades to cover myself. If I love the player and I love my roster and I love the way it is, I'll figure it out.
Dave Richard
You can always figure it out later. It's just work. And some people don't want to put in that kind of work. So if you're one of those people, maybe you're not a die hard fantasy manager. Okay, that's fine. I don't know why you're watching us if you're not a die hard fantasy manager.
Jamie Eisenberg
But the remote is broken.
Dave Richard
They got stuck on this.
Jamie Eisenberg
Maybe.
Dave Richard
So.
Adam Mazer
No days off put in the work?
Dave Richard
Yes, we do.
Adam Mazer
365 days a year, especially if you're at UNC. All right, we're going to take a break. We're going to get Jamie's last minute draft advice when we come back on Fantasy football today.
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Adam Mazer
Back on Fantasy Football Today, presented by BetMGM. Adam, Dave and Jamie. Here we're talking last minute draft advice. I am currently trying to get an auctioneer for my draft tonight. If you guys were just trying to get an auctioneer who'd had no fantasy football experience, give me a job description for the auctioneer. What does the auctioneer have to do? How do I sell this?
Jamie Eisenberg
You should give them money first.
Dave Richard
I'm giving them food or at least.
Jamie Eisenberg
The wing flavor of their choice to give them food.
Adam Mazer
Food, yes.
Jamie Eisenberg
And then you just tell them that they just have to manage a group of adults. I assume it's all adults in a way that they can express what they need to purchase and count that down.
Dave Richard
Find somebody who's ever seen an auction before and say, can you do what that guy in the front of the room does?
Jamie Eisenberg
Yeah. Get that micro machine guy.
Adam Mazer
Get the micro machine gun. I got $5, I got four seconds. I got $6. I got six of your. They're not going to be doing that. They're just going to be saying, going once, going twice.
Dave Richard
I think he just found his auctioneer.
Jamie Eisenberg
Well, he doesn't want to do it again. Here's what you should do. Here's what you should do. And you can mark the tape to show him. Have Dan Schneider do it as a way to make up for cheating. And so he just comes to your house and all's good.
Adam Mazer
He said he did express interest in.
Jamie Eisenberg
Doing that or the perfect solution would be just call Nando.
Adam Mazer
Yeah. No, he wouldn't do that. All right, now Jamie's gonna say, I don't need his last minute draft advice. He's gonna say, oh, you're gonna just use my rankings anyway. You don't need my advice. But that's not true. I use everyone's rankings. In fact, we now have the consensus rankings option in our draft room on CBS Sports. But Jamie's three tips. Number one is get your guys. Screw adp.
Jamie Eisenberg
Yes, screw adp. ADP is a great blueprint of what you want to look at to see how all the drafts are going. But it's your draft. You want to make sure you're getting the player that you want. You want to make sure you're getting the guy that you're going to have to manage the entire season. So, for example, I like Treveon Henderson a lot. I don't care that he's going in the fourth or in some cases, the fifth round. I'm taking him in round three. I'm taking RJ Harvey in round four. I don't care that he's going in round five. And the guy that Adam tries to steal from me all the time, which is why I know he's using my rankings, is Braylon Allen, who goes in, like, round 12. And you can get him in round nine if you really want to, because it's your team. So if you don't want to take a player, let somebody else take them. But if you have an inkling of a player that you think is going to have a breakout season, Dave likes Keon Coleman, for example. He's not waiting for average draft position to take him. Tyler Warren is somebody you're taking ahead of his average draft position. If you love a player and you think they're going to have a breakout season, I don't care what average draft position says, go get your player.
Dave Richard
But you don't want to be a knucklehead about it. Like, I love Keon Coleman. I'm not going to take him in the third round or the fourth round.
Jamie Eisenberg
No, it's obviously not to. You made the joke. You're not taking Jaquori Koski Merritt second overall because you think he's going to be great. I know you don't, but you made the joke about it's obviously within reason. And so whatever you think the range of the players should go in and the second part of this will be, you know, tearing your players. So when you start to see the tier of guys that you think are in a certain range, then you reach for that player if you, again, feel a certain way about it. So I think it always comes down to, yes, ADP should be somewhat of a guide for you but if it says player number 100 and it's pick number 80 and you see that guy come up on whatever rank list you're following, again, Adam follows mine, then you take that guy that you really want because you want to make sure you get him on your roster.
Adam Mazer
Do you think a good rule of thumb would be it's okay to reach two rounds earlier than adp, but no more than that?
Jamie Eisenberg
I wouldn't necessarily lock myself into that because, you know, again, Dave is screaming to the rafters, keon Coleman's going to be great this year. If there is team Dave and they only look at, you know, Dave's in a, in a draft with 11 other people that are looking at his rankings. Well, they know that he has him ranked two rounds ahead or, you know, 50 picks ahead of whatever his average. I don't know what the number is.
Dave Richard
It's not quite 50, but it's high.
Jamie Eisenberg
But you get the point like, you know, he's going to have to make some sort of aggressive move. And if there's 12 people that are following Heath's rankings and only Heath's rankings, then they're going to see DeAndre Swift goes in a certain spot or they're going to see these players that Heath likes. You know that he knows that Jaden Daniels is number one quarterback, whatever the case may be. Again, I think you just have to your personal feelings about certain players. Don't let whatever a rank list, right. An average draft position list. Anybody that's telling you, if you believe that player is going to break out, get them on your team. Because the last thing you want to do is watch that player go off on somebody else's roster.
Dave Richard
Yeah.
Adam Mazer
All right, number two tip from Jamie here. Tier. Your rankings have some sort of plan.
Jamie Eisenberg
So I don't think everybody has to go out and make their own rankings. If you like Dave's rankings, my rankings, Heath's rankings, whatever site you play on, take that rank list and start to make tiers. And what that will tell you is, okay, I love all of the top five quarterbacks. If I get Lamar Jackson or Jalen hurts, I'm fine with it. But know that when that player starts to come off the board in that tier, you want to make sure you're going to be a little bit more aggressive in drafting that particular tier of players. So I want to get a top five quarterback. I see Lamar Jackson going round two because somebody in my league has to have the quarterback. And then it starts the trickle down effect if it gets to you. And all the next four guys are on the board. You're probably not going to get that guy coming back. Take that quarterback. Every position you could do this with, you know, just start us. Where does the difference come between RB 23 to RB 30? You know, it might be 23, 24, 25. I'm done. 26, 27, 28. That's the next tier. You know, whatever the case may be, you make your own tiers based on the rank list that you follow. So Adam in his bedroom has a list of my rankings with lines marked off of where he wants to cut off that particular tier. But again, it's not necessarily an overall top 200 list. You could do it this way if you want to, but I think by position, you tier your players. Dave has tiers on CBSSports.com, i have tiers on CBSSports.com, i think heath does as well. There are tiers all over the place. Again, from a variety of sites. Take whatever rank list you want. If you want to really be aggressive with it, make your own rank list, but get those groups of players in some semblance of an order and take somebody from that tier if you feel like that's the spot you need to get one of those particular positions.
Adam Mazer
I was wondering why my wife's been sleeping on the couch. I didn't have the courage to ask, but I guess. I guess it's the Jamie rankings of laying all over the place. All right, number three here is weight on qb. There is value late. So when do you ever take a top five quarterback, Jamie?
Jamie Eisenberg
I've done it more often than I probably give off the impression that it happened. So, like, I was in the draft last night's keeper league, so it kind of, you know, throws off some of where the players are going. But Jalen Hurts was just sitting there in round three. Now, there are. Dave, do the math. Was 12 times 4. 48.
Adam Mazer
48.
Jamie Eisenberg
There are 48 players gone the minute we, you know, start the draft. So round three, Jalen Hurts was still there. Was like, okay, I'm going to take Jalen Hurts. I've taken Joe Burrow a lot over the last, you know, several drafts. Dave will tell you this a lot. It's about value. So when you find these guys just continuing to fall, you know, buy the dip, whatever the phrase you want to use, you know, you take advantage of, you know, players in your draft, falling to certain spots. So I'm not going to pass up a great opportunity to take one of these quarterbacks. But for the most part, especially in the drafts that I do with a lot of analysts. I'm going to wait on the position. So I end up taking a lot of Drake May, a lot of Kyler Murray. You want to take it a step further than that? Jordan loves the guy that I target. Trevor Lawrence is a guy that I target, you know, Great early season schedule for the Jaguars. Trevor Lawrence hopefully has an opportunity to get off to a great start and so you can find great players or quality players in the position. And I'll go back to last year. There were five quarterbacks that were basically drafted. It was like pick like 97, 98. So let's just say pick 100 overall or later. In the case of a. Sam Darnold was not drafted at all. Baker Mayfield in a lot of leagues was not drafted at all. We saw what Jayden Daniel was able to accomplish. There were five quarterbacks in the top 10 based on their points per game that were pick 100 overall or later. So you know what you're getting with the top five guys for the most part. We saw what happened to Patrick Mahomes last two seasons. We saw what happened to C.J. stroud last year. It's not like they're without flaws, but I think if you just wait on the position, depending on how you draft and how comfortable you feel with, hey, Drake May's my starter. You know, I post a lot of my drafts on X and I get, oh, your quarterback stinks. I'm okay with that. I don't think he stinks. I think he's going to be great. I think he's going to be a breakout player. He's a guy I want to go get. Screw adp. So tie them all together. Tier your rankings, Get a guy that you want. Forget about what the other rank lists say, go get your players and you can wait on the position if you really want to at the quarterback.
Dave Richard
And the worst case scenario, let's say Drake May doesn't meet your expectation. He's not that good. You can go to the waiver wire and find another quarterback.
Jamie Eisenberg
I'm glad you brought that up. So I did a draft. It's our flex leagues draft. Adam was the champion and the best ball league last year. Jake Seeley of the Athletic does a great job running these, these different leagues. My quarterbacks, four points per pass, touchdowns. I like Justin Fields a lot in that format. I took him as a seventh quarterback off the board ahead of adp, ahead of some other, you know, very not.
Dave Richard
The guy you wanted.
Jamie Eisenberg
Very quality quarterbacks. At the time, I took as a backup quarterback Anthony Richardson because we did this draft in early August. You know who I'm going to pick up off waivers who did not get drafted in this league? Jared Goff. Again, difference in four points versus six points. So he's not, as you know, potentially productive. But I'm dropping Anthony Richardson. Imagine this phrase I'm about to say. I'm dropping Anthony Richardson to pick up Jared Goff. That's how some leagues go. TUA will be available. CJ Stroud will be available. Jordan Love will be available. You're going to see a lot of good quarterbacks on waivers and trust me, a lot of leagues.
Adam Mazer
You know, believe it or not, with Jared Goff, this gets a little lost in four point per passing touchdown leagues. But over the last three years with Detroit, he's basically finished the same in four point as he has in six point. And that's because of the yards. The passing yards are really important. He's going to be amongst the NFL leaders in passing yards. He's been 4,438 or more passing yards three straight years. And that does boost him. So he's been 14th, 14th and seventh per game in four point per passing touchdown leagues. 13th, 12th and eighth per game in six point per passing touchdown league since joining Detroit. And I just want to give one last stat here to support what Jamie's saying. Over the last seven seasons, you look at the 14 quarterbacks that have finished as QB1 or QB2, eight of them were drafted as at QB9 or later. It's unbelievable what kind of value you get. And last year Joe Burrow was QB7. He was going after C.J. stroud and Anthony Richardson in 80.
Dave Richard
Yeah, you know what? That just tells me that reaching for a quarterback is like the worst thing you can do. And you're going to see that in a lot of drafts in your home leagues where Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson especially go in the first 20 picks. We still hear about those quarterbacks going in round one in a one quarterback league. It's the biggest mistake you can make because of what we've talked about for like the last five minutes.
Adam Mazer
All right, when we come back, Adam's last minute draft advice. I'm going to help you win your fantasy league after this.
Dave Richard
What does possibility mean to you?
Jamie Eisenberg
Um, that's a hard question.
Adam Mazer
Something that you can strive for. I'm able to do anything I set my mind to. You're confident in yourself and you believe in yourself. Stuff that you could achieve. I feel it's sighted.
Jamie Eisenberg
Anything is possible when you're more confident. Shoes are a huge part of that. They are the most important part of my style.
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Adam Mazer
Looking for some more last minute draft advice? You're going to get it from the guy who doesn't even do rankings, just uses Jamie's rankings all the time apparently. So I'm going to try to help you out and we'll see what Dave and Jamie think about my advice. All right, let's start with number one. So hero RB has become a really fun, important strategy. It just kind of replaced 0 RB. But I think guys, this year hero wide receiver is better than hero rb. I think it's more important to get. For me it's one of the top eight wide receivers. For you guys it might be one of the top 10 wide receivers with your first and second pick. By the way, if you don't know what the hero strategy is, basically taking a position running back or a wide receiver in round one or two, you know, and then waiting until maybe round five or so for your next guy at the position. But to me there's two factors here. You know, the drop off at wide receiver after the elite guys is bigger than that at running back. I don't want to miss out on the running backs in rounds three and four. Specifically a guy like Omarion Hampton or Travion Henderson. You might love Alvin Camara there. Ken Walker's in there. You might love Chuba Hubbard. I just like those guys better than the wide receivers I'm seeing in that range. Not exclusively, but overall. And then there's the bigger factor is that the wide receiver position from rounds, let's say 5, 5 through 8 are. It's just so much better than the running back position. So I think you can afford to take a hero wide receiver and then really just wait on the position. I would say probably not in a three receiver league, but you could get away with it. You want to go, you know, Malik Neighbors in round one and then your next from rounds five, six, seven or six, seven, eight, you're getting Jameson Williams, Calvin Ridley and Ricky Pearsall or some players like that. I think you could do worse. That's a better way to go in my opinion this year than hero RB fellas.
Dave Richard
So one of the questions I get a lot is I only people ask me. I only like eight or nine wide receivers that are at the top of your rankings. But I have an early first round pick and Jamar Chase is off the board and CD Lamb's off the board too. At what point do I say, okay, I'll just stick with getting one of those top eight receivers and pass over the elite running backs there. And I have a tough time saying to go after the wide receivers because the running backs at the top of the fantasy draft, they're there for a reason. They could put up huge numbers. Bijan Robinson, last year, from week six on, he was at 23 PPR points per game. Almost. We know what Christian McCaffrey is capable of doing. I can't pass up those guys, especially as you get later into round one because you're picking earlier in round two. But I get where you're coming from as far as getting at least one of those stud wide receivers and then building around other positions before coming back to wide receiver in round five.
Jamie Eisenberg
I think it's. There's like, you almost have to like split this up because if you're picking in the beginning part of the first round and the back end of the first round, you know, you can easily do what you're talking about, Adam, in the back end of the first round because you're getting a neighbors, A Thomas, Brian Thomas Jr. You know, Amon Ross, St. Brown, whoever the case may be. And then you can come back in round two and maybe there's a Derek Henry or a Genti there or an A. Chan or Jacobs, depending on how you want to, you know, go about doing it. But I think in a three receiver league, you're not going to see the guys that you mentioned in rounds five, six and or, you know, even four, five and six. It's going to be a little bit more challenging to see those guys go because the receivers are going to get pushed up a little bit more. And so you may have to reach for those guys a little bit differently. So I am curious for your take on this based on the strategy because I know you like two guys that go in that round three, four range of Tyreek Hill and Mike Evans. So if you do take a receiver in the first round and you're sitting there and you see Tyreek and Evans versus let's say a Hampton and Ken Walker. You know, two guys I think you like. Which way are you going?
Adam Mazer
I'm going Hampton, Evans, Hill, Walker, gotcha. In that order.
Dave Richard
And I think it's important for fantasy managers before they go into the draft to look at the wide receiver position and see, all right, how many of those elite guys do I look at as like slam dunk 17, 18 PPR point per game wide receivers. And then how many of them are like good starting wide receivers? 15 PPR points per game. And there might be like 30 of those names. And the more of those wide receivers that you like, the higher those numbers are, the more you might be willing to wait on filling those positions. But it does depend on league format.
Jamie Eisenberg
And I also want to say Adam just kind of stumbled into one thing that we really have not said is this is the first, like, strategy thing that we talked about. You talk about buying the dip that's on a player. You know, I'm talking about get your guy, whatever. Adam's talking about a strategy, and then we just posed a situation to him to alter that strategy. Do not be stuck in. I'm only doing Hero RB. I'm only doing Hero wide receiver. I'm only going 0 RB. I'm only waiting on a quarterback. If something presents itself to you that you are like, I cannot pass this up because I like this player that much, you alter your strategy and you're going to be fine.
Dave Richard
You know what the strategy is?
Jamie Eisenberg
No strategy Value. Yes.
Dave Richard
You want to get good value on draft day.
Adam Mazer
I think the better way that I could have said this was that there's about 25 running backs that I'm comfortable with as my RB2 RB1 or 2. And there's probably close to 40 wide receivers, 30, 36ish wide receivers that I'd be comfortable with as my wide receiver, too. All right, My second.
Jamie Eisenberg
I just updated the rankings, though, so check. So make sure that number's.
Adam Mazer
I'm looking at consensus.
Jamie Eisenberg
Just checking, big guy.
Adam Mazer
My second one is don't be afraid to draft a backup quarterback even if you drafted a stud. You know, look, busts happen at every position. It's hard to see Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Jaden Daniels, Jalen Hurts, or Joe Burrow being a bust. It is hard, but it happens, you know, so if this happens to be a year, we think quarterback is super deep. And if you do draft one of those top five quarterbacks, you don't have to draft the second quarterback. Don't worry about it. You don't. You don't need to. But if you really like a guy and you think Caleb Williams or Drake may could be a league winner or CJ Stroud could have that huge bounce back, I don't. I don't think he has that kind of upside. Or Trevor Lawrence finally breaks out and has a top five kind of season, if you think that player is out There, I mean, I remember last year, I think in our FFT league at one point I'm playing Jared Goff over Jalen Hurts. And I didn't draft Jared Goff. But my point is if you think the guy. If you believe in the quarterback, go ahead and get them. Even if you have a stud quarterback, you might be able to trade your stud quarterback and then ride your backup quarterback for the rest of the season. And my third one, guys, I think is is more interesting, right? It's the Chiefs could make or break fantasy and I was talking about this with Dave earlier on FFT Express. We don't have a single chief in the top 48 in average draft position. And that is mind blowing. It's probably been seven years since that's been the case. Now pretty much all of them except for Rashid, Rice, Mahomes, Pacheco Worthy, Kelsey, they're all pretty much going in round five or early round six. But I see huge potential for this offense. They're going to be more aggressive, they're going to open it up, they're going to throw the ball downfield, they're going to. I think they're going to try to get back to their roots a little bit and to be able to get these guys starting in round five or late, late round four from a homes or something is pretty exciting. So I think the Chiefs could, could really. Actually I don't even know that they could break it because you're not spending that early of a pick. But I think the Chiefs could definitely make your fantasy team.
Dave Richard
Wouldn't you argue that the Chiefs are one of the teams that should be top 10 in just points per game, just scoring in an NFL game. Points per game.
Jamie Eisenberg
They should be.
Dave Richard
Right?
Adam Mazer
They should.
Dave Richard
I think the larger takeaway is to draft players from teams that are expected to be high scoring because if these teams are going to put up a lot of points, then hello, it means a lot of touchdowns, it means a lot of yardage, it means a lot of catches, it means all the things that are good for fantasy football teams. And so the Chiefs are absolutely one of those teams. And the fact that you are able to get as many as you want starting in round five, I think that's a great call. But the better takeaway could be don't go chasing after the teams that might not be top 10 scoring offenses or maybe just use it as a tiebreaker.
Adam Mazer
Or maybe we need to consider that the Chiefs were not a top 10 offense last year.
Dave Richard
Right. But they improved their offensive line. I think having Xavier worthy for a second season is a really good thing. I think their overall receiving core is deeper. I know that no one's really drafting Tyquan Thornton or Hollywood Brown, maybe like a late round pick on him, but I think they're deep, I think they're healthier and I think you're right, they want to be more aggressive. I think if it plays out that way, it'll be very good.
Jamie Eisenberg
Oh, if they would have stayed healthy last year, if Rice was healthy last year and Pacheco was healthy last year.
Dave Richard
Oh yeah, they would have been.
Jamie Eisenberg
It's a much better offense and so, you know, offensive line as well. So there's a lot to like about it. But I really don't think we'll see the best of them until Rice is back because you're taking away such a big piece of what they can do. But at the same time, you know, it's out of everybody's control, you know, from a fantasy perspective.
Adam Mazer
Okay. All right folks, we will be right back with some buy or sell on fantasy football today after this.
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Adam Mazer
Welcome back everybody. This is Fantasy Football today presented by BetMGM. Adam Mazer, Dave Richard, Jamie Eisenberg and it is time now for some buy or sell. Here we go. Buy or sell number one. Now that A.J. brown is healthy he should be drafted ahead of Drake London.
Dave Richard
What's the format?
Adam Mazer
4 points per reception.
Dave Richard
Who plays in a 4 point perception?
Adam Mazer
1 point per reception.
Dave Richard
I'm still going to take London over ajb. If it's full ppr, half ppr, non ppr, I'll take Brown.
Jamie Eisenberg
I'll take London in all formats. I think they're both going to have great seasons but I'm expecting a little bit more of an ascension for London because I think Penix is going to unlock another level for him to get to.
Dave Richard
I was with you until Darnell Mooney came back for Atlanta because I think Mooney can be at least as good as he was last year and that's going to be somebody that takes a few targets away from Drake London. I'm not saying that's going to be the only reason. And I like Drake London a lot. He's going to live off of those targets. But as far as the yards and the touchdowns, I get a little bit worried about him hitting new highs there. Whereas AJ Brown, I feel like that's what he's best at getting.
Jamie Eisenberg
Yep, Fair point.
Adam Mazer
Oh, the yards especially. He's been on pace for over 1400 yards all three seasons with the Eagles. And Drake London's not even reached 1300 yards. I'm on Brown here, but it's close. ADP has London ahead of A.J. brown. Sure. All right, buy or sell number two tight end premium is the dumbest thing that's ever happened to fantasy football.
Dave Richard
Sell very much so.
Adam Mazer
It doesn't make any sense. I you know, we've played fantasy baseball for years. What if they said we're going to give catchers six points for a home run instead of four and every time a catcher steals a base it's going to count for three? Steal. This is so stupid. I hate tight end premium. I'm so mad that I'm in a tight end premium league. I don't even know if I would have done it because it was for charity, but I resent Heath for making me join a tight end premium league is the worst, dumbest thing. Zero sense to spy. Despise it. Make the case for tight end premium and then I'm just. I'm not even going to listen. But make it for the other people who might want to listen.
Jamie Eisenberg
Anti fun Azer Yeah, I mean that's part of it.
Dave Richard
I mean, what do you think about two QB leagues, which is totally not realistic. NFL teams don't play with two quarterbacks.
Jamie Eisenberg
Why would we? But it's fun. Why we use defensive players.
Adam Mazer
This is so awful.
Jamie Eisenberg
My gosh, it's just terrible to use idp.
Dave Richard
Why are kickers worth more? You know, but the point is, is that you're trying to add value to a position that normally, I mean, a couple of players every year, they're awesome. But everybody else in that position, it's just kind of the same. But now you're doing something that gives them a little bit more value. It changes the game a little bit. It spices things up a little bit, you know, like hot sauce in the guacamole. That's the type of thing that makes fantasy fun. And 10 years ago, I don't know if Super Flex was even a big deal then. I know Tight end premium wasn't a thing then. Think about how fantasy football has mutated Adam since we started podcasting, which is more than 10 years ago. It's just, it's fun. I love that these things are happening, that the game is changing and there are so many different variations. You need to embrace change, Adam.
Adam Mazer
No, I don't need to embrace this change because here's the problem with it. Tight end premium basically just makes the elite tight ends that much more valuable. It creates an even bigger gap at the position.
Jamie Eisenberg
But you also draft those guys sooner, which is how people are going to build the rest of their rosters.
Dave Richard
It might have the, you're going to have the exact same gap at the position, Adam. But now the tight end as a whole position gets boosted compared to wide receivers and running backs, and that's what makes it a little bit more challenging when you're drafting.
Adam Mazer
It's the worst. All right, buy or sell.
Jamie Eisenberg
I'm glad we did your buy or sell, not the audience. Buy ourselves.
Adam Mazer
Buy or sell. Travis Hunter will have 1,000 receiving yards this season. And Travis Hunter hates tight end premium leagues.
Jamie Eisenberg
Sell and sell.
Dave Richard
I think it's a sell for both. That's probably the safe way to go about it.
Adam Mazer
If I told, if I explained to him, oh, yeah, I know, let's play some fantasy football. But your tight end gets double the points for a catch he would not play. I know Travis Hunter well enough. He would not play. Buy or sell number four.
Jamie Eisenberg
I think he would probably play absolutely.
Dave Richard
Play because he's hyper competitive.
Jamie Eisenberg
He would play in a tight end premium league and a non tight end premium league because he likes to do things. Yeah, both sides of the leisure.
Adam Mazer
Hey, look, I'll play in a super, I'll play in, I'll play in an IDP league in a super flexible tight end Premium is where I think I'm.
Jamie Eisenberg
Going to change the FFT league to tyrant premium league just to piss you off.
Adam Mazer
Now that Najee Harris is healthy, we should feel bad about drafting Omarion Hampton in round three.
Jamie Eisenberg
Sell.
Dave Richard
I feel bad about it or be nervous about. I'm going to sell on that too. You know, I, I, I'm, I'm. First of all, I'm happy that he's going to be able to play. And I, I just, I can't help but think that Omarion Hampton has had all of this time to show the Chargers coaching staff what he can do. By all accounts, he had a tremendous training camp. We saw him in the preseason. There were flashes there. He didn't really play that much in the preseason, but I kind of feel like after four years in the League. We know what Najee Harris is all about. Omarion Hampton should be a much better running back and someone who can play three downs just as effectively as Najee. If I'm getting that guy in round three on a team that wants to run the football like the Chargers, I'm okay with it.
Adam Mazer
I think there's some sneaky catch potential for. For Hampton, I don't think. I agree 50 or 60, but I think 40 because Dobbins was on pace for about 40 last year. Hampton can catch the ball, so I don't. I don't think he's going to be a complete dud there. I hope, anyway. All right, buy or sell number five. The best format is obviously 12 teams, half PPR, two running backs, two receivers, two flex and fabric.
Dave Richard
Is there a tight end in there?
Adam Mazer
Yeah, tight end quarterback.
Dave Richard
How many points for tight end catches?
Adam Mazer
The same half PPR for everyone.
Dave Richard
Okay, I'm just messing around.
Jamie Eisenberg
I'll buy that.
Dave Richard
I like that league. That sounds fun.
Jamie Eisenberg
Sure.
Adam Mazer
Thank you. Okay, good. Thank you. They are not interested in having this dispute. All right, buy or sell number six. Here's a guy that. It's almost like his name has been erased from fantasy. I never mentioned him. Rashad white will have 50 catches and be a good flex in PPR.
Jamie Eisenberg
I'll buy the first part and sell the second part. He's had 50 catches every year of his career, including last year when Bucky Irving, you know, became a superstar toward the end of the season. And you're looking at a receiving core that is down potentially two guys to start the season in Chris Godwin and Jalen McMillan. So we could see Rashad White still have a big role in the passing game. And you've heard from people out of Tampa and our own pet Priscoe going there where they said they don't necessarily want to ramp up Bucky Irving yet until the end of the season. So does that mean Rashad White in pass downs, obvious passing downs, does that mean Sean Tucker? Maybe in some running down situations, I would think it's the former rather than the latter, because why would you take Bucky Irving off the field in what he does best? So Rashad White, I think can still get to 50 catches. I don't think he'll do it, but he can. But I don't think he's going to be a flex on a weekly basis.
Dave Richard
Yeah, he's. He's cheap depth at the running back position in full ppr and it's got to be full ppr. I wouldn't feel good about him in any other format and I just checked, he plays New Orleans in week eight. So when there's six teams on by, we're going to be desperate for replacements in a full PPR league. You might be starting Rashad White against those Saints.
Jamie Eisenberg
Actually I'm changing the FFT league where Rashad White gets a point and a half per catch.
Dave Richard
So only him.
Jamie Eisenberg
Only him.
Adam Mazer
It's a keeper league. I have Rashad white in round 14. Buy or sell number seven. The Houston and Miami offensive lines are so bad that we should be devaluing their players.
Jamie Eisenberg
Sell.
Dave Richard
I'm selling on Houston. I already feel like we've sold enough on them. I kind of buy it on Miami just a little bit.
Jamie Eisenberg
I think the passing attack for the Texans is going to be great and they'll hold up enough in pass protection to allow those guys to perform at a high enough level. So Nico Collins should be a top five receiver if he stays healthy. I think Christian Kirk's one of the best values on draft day in any format based on his potential role. I am not even concerned about the Texans running back situation because I'm not drafting them unless the value is just incredible that I'm getting Nick Chubb very late.
Dave Richard
It's all in the double digit round.
Jamie Eisenberg
Very late for the Dolphins guys. I think there's just so much upside. I mean, you know you talked about the Chiefs and their offense, how they could define fantasy. This is a team that could define fantasy. You said on our podcast today if Tyree kills, you said Tyree Kill is the last player at his position that could be a top three guy. I don't want to change your words.
Adam Mazer
Around but number one wide receiver, number three overall type of player.
Jamie Eisenberg
Dave made the case that if Tyreek is not back to normal we could get a huge bounce back season from Jalen Waddle who has three straight thousand yard seasons to start his career and then just fell off last year and we started talking about buying the dip on Devon H and like there's so much upside for these guys that yes the offensive line can bring them down but I'm not running away from them because of the potential failures of what could be a terrible offensive line.
Dave Richard
Do you remember what that offense looked like last year behind a terrible offensive line? That's my fear is that they revert back to just two. Is getting the ball out super quick and he does it all the time.
Jamie Eisenberg
But two players were awesome.
Adam Mazer
They were.
Dave Richard
But not everybody was awesome and that includes Tyreek Hill. Tyreek was okay with Tua he was okay but he wasn't a man of.
Adam Mazer
Himself up against the break. I got one more here. Buy or sell? The Giants will make the playoffs and as a bonus, buy or sell. Dave is insane for buying this.
Dave Richard
I am absolutely buying this. I think they're a wild card team.
Adam Mazer
So yeah, it's a sell but I love it. Dave. I love the enthusiasm and I was trying to find an Abdul Carter jersey for my son today but but couldn't find one. All right.
Jamie Eisenberg
We wanted to make it in jets colors, no.
Adam Mazer
Plus if I did buy it for him he wouldn't be able to wear that plus a Giant's hat on the same day unless it were game day because those are the rules. We will be back with your questions from X when we come back on Fantasy Football today.
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Adam Mazer
All right, we're going to take your questions now. This is from Turner drafting seventh in a 12 team half PPR league. Would Christian McCaffrey as a first pick be crazy versus Nico or neighbors, etc.
Dave Richard
Absolutely not. I actually love that, especially because it's a half PPR league so the catches don't count as much for Nico and neighbors.
Jamie Eisenberg
Yep, I would agree. Take CMC.
Adam Mazer
Yeah, I mean I bring this up. McCaffrey averaged more points in 2023 than Barkley did last year. We know his upside. This is from Dan, a guy in my 14 team league started his draft Saquon, AJ Brown and Jalen Hurts. So three Eagles smart or stupid? Disclaimer. I am not that guy.
Jamie Eisenberg
In a deeper league it's you want to obviously do whatever you can to make yourself win. I would not do this. But if they all hit he could potentially run away at the league.
Adam Mazer
I think. What do you think about this theory that if Saquon were to get hurt or something like that, it would only make Brown and Hertz better?
Dave Richard
No question. But then you can say bye bye to one of those three picks and that's not optimal.
Adam Mazer
All right, next question. Tyrone Tracy or Ricky Pearsall in week one? Pearsall's got Seattle. Tracy commanders.
Dave Richard
I would start Piersall.
Jamie Eisenberg
Same.
Adam Mazer
Mm. Thank you, Robert. Next from Riley. Why is Baker ranked so high compared to guys like Dak and Purdy? Feels like Baker has a lot of.
Dave Richard
Uncertainty and it comes out in his ADP as well. Like his average draft position just so much higher. I think his upside is tremendous. Dak has it, too. Purdy, I don't think has quite the same type of upside, but we saw it last year. Baker was a top five fantasy quarterback. I can't rule out that it'll happen again.
Jamie Eisenberg
Dak has offensive line issues. Purdy has receiving core issues. Baker has both. But we saw what Baker did last year and I think he could come close to replicating that based on his situation.
Adam Mazer
All right, thank you all so much for your questions. And that's going to do it for fantasy Football today. I want to thank you guys for watching and listening. We appreciate it. If you enjoyed the show, check out the Fantasy Football Today podcast anywhere you listen to podcasts. Thanks to Dave, Richard and Jamie Eisenberg. And for those of you watching and listening, I'm Adam Azer. We'll talk to you next time on Fantasy Football Today.
Jamie Eisenberg
I'm Dexter Morgan.
Dave Richard
I've been through hell, but now I'm.
Jamie Eisenberg
Back for my curtain call. And what better place to hide than New York City?
Dave Richard
There may be a new area code.
Jamie Eisenberg
But my code never changes. In a city full of monsters, my dark urges will feel right at home.
Dave Richard
Dexter Resurrection. Starring Michael C. Hall, Uma Thurman and Peter Dinklage. New series now streaming on the Paramount Premium Plan.
Date: September 3, 2025
Hosts: Adam Aizer, Dave Richard, Jamie Eisenberg
Theme: Essential last-minute draft strategies, player debates, and actionable tips to help you win your 2025 fantasy football league.
In this high-energy episode, Adam, Dave, and Jamie break down the “9 Final Draft Tips” every manager needs before their 2025 fantasy draft. They cover injury news, value picks, strategic tiering, “get your guys” philosophy, positional strategies, bye week considerations, and much more — all through the lens of their own ongoing leagues and recent draft experiences. They close with spirited buy/sell debates and thoughtful answers to listener questions.
“I love Bijan Robinson. I love Ja'Marr Chase. I figure whoever's picking first is going to take one of those guys. I will take the other...” (02:20)
“You're going to be able to get [these players] at depressed values in your drafts today, all the way through kickoff on Thursday. You might as well take advantage.” (05:01)
“If you want to use a tiebreaker, that's what you should do. Go to the schedule.” (08:39)
“The reason I don't really care about bye weeks is because my roster, for the most part, is going to change, in some cases dramatically by [then].” (11:39)
“If you love a player and you think they're going to have a breakout season, I don't care what average draft position says, go get your player.” (15:47)
“You make your own tiers based on the rank list that you follow... Groups of players in some semblance of an order — and take somebody from that tier.” (18:29)
“If you just wait on the position... I get, ‘Oh, your quarterback stinks.’ I'm okay with that. I think he's going to be a breakout player. Screw ADP.” (21:20)
“I think this year, hero wide receiver is better than hero RB. The drop-off at wide receiver after the elite guys is bigger than that at running back.” (25:00)
“I see huge potential for this offense... The Chiefs could make your fantasy team.” (31:16)
Rapid buy/sell takes on hot-button topics:
A.J. Brown vs. Drake London:
“I'm expecting a little bit more of an ascension for London because I think Penix is going to unlock another level for him...” (35:09)
Tight End Premium:
Omarion Hampton vs. Najee Harris:
Houston & Miami O-lines:
Miscellaneous:
On “Buy the Dip”:
“We can really give this advice now because the NFL season's about to start and we've had a full summer of drafting... players have fallen because of injuries... You might as well take advantage.” (Dave, 03:53)
On Tight End Premium:
"It doesn't make any sense... This is so stupid. I hate tight end premium..." (Adam, 36:07)
“You're trying to add value to a position that normally, a couple of players every year, they're awesome. But everybody else... kind of the same. Spices things up a little bit, like hot sauce in the guacamole.” (Dave, 37:04)
Adam on Getting “Your Guys”
“The last thing you want to do is watch that player go off on somebody else's roster.” (Jamie, 17:47)
On Flexibility:
“Do not be stuck in, I'm only doing Hero RB... If something presents itself, you alter your strategy and you're going to be fine.” (Jamie, 29:29)
| MM:SS | Segment/Topic | |-------------|-----------------------------------------------------------------------------| | 01:47 | Opening discussion: personal draft slots & targets | | 03:53 | Dave’s “Buy the Dip” — injury discount value | | 05:39 | Jamie’s injury risk caution | | 08:28 | Tip 2: Use early-season schedules as a tiebreaker | | 10:39 | Tip 3: Beware “Bye-nado” (Week 8 bye cluster) | | 15:04 | Jamie’s tip: Draft Your Guys, Screw ADP | | 17:54 | Tip: Tier Your Rankings | | 19:42 | Waiting on QB: best value late | | 25:00 | Adam’s “Hero WR over Hero RB” for 2025 | | 31:16 | “Chiefs could make or break fantasy” in mid/late rounds | | 34:33 | Buy or Sell: A.J. Brown vs. Drake London | | 36:07 | Buy or Sell: Tight end premium is dumb? (humorous segment) | | 42:20 | Buy or Sell: Houston/Miami O-lines effect on skill guys | | 45:20 | Listener mailbag (CMC at 1.07, Eagles stack, RB/WR flyers, QB ranking) |
Perfect summary for anyone prepping for their fantasy football draft — whether you’re a grizzled veteran or a first-timer.