Bears Trade DJ Moore to Bills | Fantasy Football Impact + Josh Allen’s New WR1? (03/05 Fantasy Football Podcast)

Summary

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Fantasy Football Today – Episode Summary

Episode: Bears Trade DJ Moore to Bills | Fantasy Football Impact + Josh Allen’s New WR1?

Date: March 5, 2026
Host: Adam Aizer
Analysts: Dave Richard, Jamey Eisenberg, Heath Cummings, and guests

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Episode Overview

This jam-packed episode reacts to the headline trade of DJ Moore from the Bears to the Bills, analyzing its fantasy football impact from every angle. The crew debates Moore’s draft value, impact on Josh Allen, ripple effects for both teams, and the new pecking order among Chicago's young weapons. They dig into stats, usage, and expectations, questioning whether Moore can finally become a true fantasy WR1 with Buffalo and how the Chicago locker room will shake out. The tone is lively, opinionated, and data-driven, with sharp disagreements and playful banter throughout.

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Major Discussion Points & Insights

1. The Excitement Meter & Initial Reactions

• Adam launches the show by asking for excitement levels (0-10) on the trade.
  • Heath: 6/10 for the whole trade (00:55)
  • Dave: Agrees it’s a win-win for both sides but questions how big a fantasy impact it brings (02:15)
  • Jamie: Sees Moore’s move as the rare "shiny new toy" scenario for fantasy managers (06:09)

2. DJ Moore’s Career in Context

• Moore’s Historic Fantasy Finishes: Only two top-14 finishes per game (2019: WR14, 2023: WR9), despite talent and opportunity. (02:41, 05:30)
• Quarterback Play & Usage: Most of Moore’s career spent on poor offenses; saw a higher usage but far less efficiency and consistency. (03:11, 07:01)
• Quote – Jamie (on upside):
  "If this is anything close to Stefon Diggs joining Buffalo... you're talking about 150 plus targets for DJ Moore, which is amazing." (06:36)

3. How Does Moore Rank Now Among Pass-Catchers?

• Rapid-Fire Rankings: The team is split on who you draft first among Moore, Loveland, Burden, Odunze (Chicago’s rookie pass-catchers) – showcasing ambiguity and debate.
  • Jamie: "Loveland, Burden, Moore, Odunze." (04:47)
  • Dave: "Burden, Loveland, Moore, Odunze... I had Moore last." (04:51)
  • Consensus: "No obvious right answer—cases can be made for all as #1 or #2 in redraft." (05:11)

4. Projecting Moore in Buffalo’s Offense

• Buffalo’s Passing Volume:

  • Heath: "Joe Brady’s offense is extremely run-heavy, 28th or lower in pass rate since Brady took over." (07:57)
  • Adam: "You don't give up a second-round pick for a 29-year-old receiver with the intent to throw less." (08:40)

• Target Share Reality: Conservative projections put Moore at 125-130 targets if he gets a 25% share (08:47)

• Skeptical Take – Dave:
  "I've just seen enough of this Buffalo offense with Brady calling the shots to know that they're... slow pace, run heavy... Now it's going to be 29-year-old DJ Moore? Yeah, well, this is the best if this is the best they can do... I'm not buying DJ Moore is going to be a huge revelation." (09:04-10:17)

5. Parallels with Stefon Diggs’ Arrival

• Adam: Compares Moore’s best career situation now to when Diggs transformed as he joined Buffalo (10:28-11:17)
• Jamie: Cautions there are differences; Diggs was younger, but "this is their move... this was their 'go get a guy' and so where you draft DJ Moore now becomes the question." (11:38, 12:49)

6. Moore’s Realistic Range & Risk

• Jamie:
  "The worst year Stefon Diggs had in Buffalo was 16 PPR points... the best year DJ Moore had was just shy of 17... that's probably realistic, with floor around 14 points/game." (12:49-13:01)
• Heath: Notes Moore has some rushing production that pads his floor—14 carries, 75 yards, and a TD last year (13:36)

7. Impact on Josh Allen

• Dave:
  "Nothing changes for Allen... not enough for me to prioritize taking him earlier." (15:52-16:04)
• Jamie:
  "This is a win for all major fantasy parties... a bit more distance now between Allen and the QB2s." (17:06)
• Allen’s ceiling (with Diggs) was in the mid-30s for TDs and potentially higher fantasy points per game, with hopes that Moore could help approach those heights again (16:35)

8. Fantasy Fallout for Other Bills' Weapons (Kincaid, Shakir)

• "Kincaid was a borderline top-12 TE… will lose targets, but the Bills weren’t running it back with the same tight end and WR corps regardless." (17:32)
• Shakir’s value takes a major hit, as discussed in a live-trade Dynasty question from Heath (26:28+)

9. Chicago’s New Target Hierarchy

• Heath:
  "With DJ Moore gone, huge opportunity for Burden, Odunze, and Loveland. If Burden is efficient in a full-time role, he could be a top-12 WR." (24:36)
• All three could share targets fairly evenly, with Burden and Odunze projected at 21% target share, Loveland at 19% (25:43)
• Jamie calls it "such a great trade for fantasy," given the unlocked volume and potential for these young Bears (25:54-26:00)

10. Trade Value: Was This an Overpay for Buffalo?

• Some split among the group: Adam and Jamie see second-rounder and guaranteeing salary as reasonable given Buffalo’s short-term window (27:27), while others are cautious about commitment and age.
• Adam:
  "For very good wide receivers, age 32 is when they often start to fall off. You could still get three very good years out of DJ Moore." (28:01)

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Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments

• Jamie (on DJ Moore's upside):
  "There's a chance for DJ Moore to have the best year of his career. There's a chance for him to put up numbers similar to what Stefon Diggs accomplished..." (21:11)
• Dave (on Moore's effort and reunion):
  "There were a lot of concerns in Chicago that he was lackadaisical... but I think that could get wiped out in Buffalo. There will be a little bit of a feel-good reunion between him and Joe Brady." (22:23)
• Heath (on Bears hierarchy):
  "If DJ Moore is gone... there's a chance for one of those WRs—if Burden can come anywhere close to his efficiency in a full-time role, he could be a top 12 wide receiver." (24:36)
• Jamie (on the trade):
  "You get the opportunity to feature your three young pass catchers that have the chance to all be superstars... you get Josh Allen a number one [receiver] that the OC likes and has a history with. You get everybody wins." (26:00)
• Adam (on trade value):
  "For very good wide receivers, age 32 is when they often start really falling off. The question is just how good DJ Moore is... you probably are going to get three very good years out of him and he'll be well worth a second pick." (28:01)

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Timestamps for Key Segments

• 00:55 – Excitement meter ratings and trade details
• 02:31 – DJ Moore career finishes, usage trends
• 04:44 – Ranking Moore vs. Loveland, Burden, Odunze
• 06:36 – Upside if Moore is featured like Diggs
• 07:57 – Bills' pass rate under Joe Brady
• 08:47 – Projected target share and totals for Moore
• 10:17 – Dave’s cautious take on Moore’s upside in Buffalo
• 11:17–13:36 – Historic parallels to Diggs, realistic points projections, floor/ceiling
• 15:52–17:30 – Allen’s fantasy outlook post-trade
• 24:36–26:00 – Bears' WR/TE target breakdown and fantasy winner analysis
• 27:27–28:19 – Was this an overpay? (contract, trade compensation debate)

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Final Takeaways

• Major Fantasy Winner: DJ Moore now in the best offense of his career, but faces questions about usage and Buffalo’s run-heavy trend. He's anywhere from WR12 to WR30 in rankings debate.
• Josh Allen: Firm QB1; ceiling potentially boosted, but team philosophy may reign in passing volume.
• Chicago Rookies: Luther Burden, Odunze, and Loveland all see elevated value, tremendous opportunity, though usage could be distributed.
• Cost for Buffalo: Considered fair by some, risky by others given Moore's age and contract, but urgency of championship window is clear.
• Fantasy Landscape: Exciting new layers for drafts and projections; both teams’ WR depth charts are upended.

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Transcript

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[Host]

We'll talk about it right now on Fantasy Football Today Express. Oh yeah, the fireworks are starting early. This is great. It's Thursday, March 5th. New next week was going to be wild, but it gets started right now with this trade of DJ Moore and a fifth round pick going from Chicago to Buffalo for a second round pick. Okay, let's get obviously the excitement. Oh, meter out here. We'll go heath, Dave, Jamie, 0 to 10 on the excitement. O meter six.

[Dave]

This is like for the overall trade or just for DJ or reuniting in Buffalo? I or just a big trade like kicking off the off season.

[Host]

It's actually. You know what, it's actually a fair question. I should have spent.

[Dave]

Of course it's a fair question. Do you think I ever ask unfair questions?

[Host]

But yes.

[Dave]

No, never. Never.

[Host]

I would say that. Heath, what question did you answer?

[Heath]

The whole trade. The whole trade.

[Host]

So not from a fantasy.

[Jamie]

You know what?

[Host]

Yes.

[Heath]

Yes. The Hallow whole trade.

[Guest Analyst]

Yes.

[Host]

Okay.

[Dave]

It's a shame if we're combining all things involved.

[Host]

It's pretty cool. This is really exciting.

[Guest Analyst]

Yeah.

[Dave]

It's a win win.

[Guest Analyst]

It's a win win.

[Host]

How many times in DJ Moore's career do you think he has finished higher than 25th per game? In 26 per game? Even in full PPR

[Jamie]

once.

[Dave]

I'll say.

[Guest Analyst]

Nuns.

[Host]

Well, come on.

[Dave]

Yeah.

[Host]

No, it's two. Heath is crushing it right now. He knows what my question first year with the Bears.

[Guest Analyst]

Yeah, for sure.

[Host]

And 2019 he was wide receiver 14 per game. Carolina was second in the NFL in past attempts. 2023. Jamie mentioned his first season with the Bears. That was the Justin Fields year Just had an amazing year. And he was a wide receiver, nine per game. He also. In 2020, he was on pace for 75 catches, 1, 352 yards and only five touchdowns. Carolina threw 16 touchdowns that year. So he's.

[Heath]

And who is his offensive coordinator then?

[Dave]

Jay Brady.

[Host]

Was it Jay.

[Heath]

And 2021.

[Host]

This is terrific. He's been on a bad offense his entire career until last year. Finally, D.J. moore got on a good offense. They were 12th in the NFL in gross passing yards per game. I think they were 10th in scoring. But he didn't get targeted. He had 85 targets in 17 games. His lowest target shares, lowest target per out run of his career. All right, so let's talk about it. Jamie, who is drafted first? I. Should I include. Not including running backs, you know, just receivers and tight ends. I won't include Josh Allen on Chicago and Buffalo. Who's drafted first?

[Guest Analyst]

Colson, Loveland, Heath,

[Dave]

probably.

[Host]

Okay, Dave, it'll be.

[Dave]

It'll be Loveland, but it'll be close between him and Luther Burton. That's it. See, he's on one today.

[Guest Analyst]

I think Moore gets drafted before Burden. Whoa.

[Host]

Is that what you would do or you think people will do?

[Guest Analyst]

I think that's what people will do.

[Dave]

I'd be surprised if people did.

[Heath]

I. While we were waiting for Adam to show up, I asked Dave just like, what order do you draft those guys in? And we didn't even agree on who was second or third either. So I think we've got three completely different opinions. I. I had it. Burden, more. Odunse. Dave had more. DJ more.

[Guest Analyst]

Last.

[Dave]

So I had more last.

[Host]

I'm fascinated. And where was Loveland for you guys? How about rank all four of them?

[Guest Analyst]

Rank or how they'll get drafted?

[Host]

Rank your rankings.

[Dave]

Rank.

[Guest Analyst]

Loveland, Burden, more. Odinza

[Dave]

Burden, Loveland, Moro, Dunze, Loveland, Burden, Odunze more.

[Host]

Is it crazy to have any order? You know, could you say there's no way this guy could be one? Because I think you could make the case. Dunes is a tough sell, but I think you could make the case for all of them to be number one.

[Guest Analyst]

Sure. Absolutely.

[Dave]

I think you can make the case for all of them to be number two. But I don't think you can make the case for all of them to be number one. I don't think fantasy managers have warm, fuzzy feelings about DJ Moore.

[Host]

They know that name.

[Dave]

And you said he's finished top 25 twice in his career. How many times has he finished top 15 in his career?

[Host]

Twice.

[Dave]

He was top 15 twice per game.

[Host]

14th once and ninth ones.

[Dave]

Okay, okay, okay. So maybe people remember that and they feel good about that. He said 25th the first time. Don't laugh at me.

[Heath]

How many times does he finish top 14?

[Dave]

Well, obviously twice now. Thank you very much.

[Host]

Yeah, but he's always been on these battles.

[Dave]

People are going to be excited that I don't think they're going to be that excited about DJ Moore.

[Guest Analyst]

He just went to Buffalo to be. Join. To join Josh Allen.

[Jamie]

Everybody's going to be excited, fired up.

[Host]

I think I wanted to. I think I want to take him first in this group.

[Guest Analyst]

I think that that's what I'm saying. When you said who's going to be drafted first, I think DJ Moore gets

[Jamie]

drafted first, depending on how tight ends go in leagues. Because Colson Loveland is going to get overhyped, understandably so, as either the third or fourth tight end. So depending on how you feel about Fanon or Warren, that's going to push him up probably to a level that, that might not be realistic to live up to. But you just. Shiny new toy with great quarterback like this is what people draft all the time. Rightfully or right or wrong.

[Host]

Rightfully.

[Dave]

Right.

[Guest Analyst]

I hope it's rightfully. You know, it's, it's a, it's a great situation for, for him. He's now going to be featured. If this is anything close to Stefan Diggs joining Buffalo, which I don't think it is, but if it is, you're talking about 150 plus targets for, for DJ Moore, which is amazing.

[Host]

Yeah, he's.

[Heath]

He's the MO. Like, forget about the fact that he's going to a new team with a quarterback that's much, much better than any

[Guest Analyst]

quarterback he's ever played with.

[Heath]

He's the most difficult wide receiver to evaluate from a statistical basis that I can ever remember. If you look at his career catch rate, it's 62%, which is pretty normal. In the last four years, it's ranged between 53% and twice 70%. If you look at his career yards per reception, it's rained from 9.9 to 18.1.

[Guest Analyst]

And who was he with when he had 18.1?

[Heath]

He was with Brady.

[Guest Analyst]

It was a Joe Brady.

[Heath]

Now the very next year with Joe

[Guest Analyst]

Brady, he averaged 12.4, so 163 targets. Right.

[Heath]

He had 24 target share one year, a 27 target share the next year. If you're telling me he's getting a 25 share with Josh Allen and he's right there in the consideration for number one.

[Host]

Number one in this group and again

[Guest Analyst]

number one amongst this group.

[Dave]

Yeah.

[Host]

Yeah. The Bill's offense under Joe Brady, by the way, has been very slow pace and very run heavy. They've been 28th or lower in pass rate each of the three seasons with Brady. That is 20, 23, week 11 on.

[Guest Analyst]

So.

[Heath]

But that was Sean McDermott's fault.

[Host]

Maybe. But they've been 28th, 31st, 31st, 28th and 31st in pass rate. They've been 19th, 26th and 25th in pass attempts per game. This is just the braid Joe Brady era. They've gone from 32.7 pass attempts per game to 30.6 to 29.1. They had Stefan Diggs that first year. They didn't have Diggs either the next two years. I'd like to believe that we're going to get more than 30 pass attempts per game. You know, here's hoping, but that's also an obstacle here.

[Guest Analyst]

But you don't give up a second round pick for a receiver who's 29 years old with the intent to throw less.

[Host]

You'd hope so, but they're obviously really good at running the football too.

[Heath]

And, and even if it's 30 attempts per game, that's 500, 510 pass attempts for the year. If he has the 25 target share, he gets 125, 130 targets. Yeah, that's fine.

[Guest Analyst]

Which is probably more than Burden and Odin's I get

[Host]

and Loveland Worth. Dave, what do you think? What are your thoughts here?

[Dave]

Yeah, I, I'm taking the under on these numbers. I've just seen enough of this Buffalo offense with Brady calling the shots to know that they're. We already said it. Slow pace, run heavy, getting DJ or giving the second round pick. It's just what they had to pay to get DJ Moore. And do we? I just, I, I have a hard time believing that. We haven't seen a good Bills wide receiver for fantasy since Stefan Diggs. Now it's going to be 29 year old DJ Moore. Yeah, well, this is the best. If this is the best that they can do and they don't make any other splashes, then maybe we can talk about them being higher than, you know, like a top 30 type of fantasy receiver, which you guys will probably think is absurd, but I'm, I'm not buying it. I'm not buying that DJ Moore is going to be a huge revelation and that he's going to be the catalyst for massive offensive change in Buffalo's Offense when what's been working for the past two years is run the ball and Josh Allen plays Superman half the time with his legs. DJ Moore is good. He's the best receiver that Josh Allen will work with since Stefan Diggs was there. That's just not saying a whole lot. I'm not going to be as excited about DJ Moore as you guys are.

[Host]

Okay, fair enough. I think Stefan is. I was trying to look this up. I think Stefan Diggs, you know, his first five seasons in Buffalo, 720 yards. Well, let's do yards per game because he didn't play.

[Guest Analyst]

Four, four seasons.

[Host]

Four, five seasons in Buffalo. Yards per game, 55.4. Sorry, five seasons Minnesota.

[Dave]

My fault.

[Host]

First five seasons in Minnesota. 55 yards, 70 yards, 61 yards, 68 yards. 75 yards per game, 96 yards per game. In his first season in Buffalo, 1500 yards, eight touchdowns. I think he was about a fifth or a sixth round pick that year so that he ended up being an amazing pick. It's not the same as DJ Moore, but there's some parallels here. Again, this will be the best offense he'll. In all likelihood this will be the best offense he'll ever have been on. He finally was on a good offense this year and for whatever reason just had a 16% target share. It's very strange.

[Guest Analyst]

Well, I mean he was in a crowded offense and you know, you look at what the was it though?

[Host]

I mean it wasn't really that crowded because Loveland wasn't really playing at the beginning of the year. Burden wasn't really playing at the beginning of the year. And then Odunze, there's no reason why he should have had the numbers. He had a 15.3 target per out run rate. That's incredibly low.

[Jamie]

He, he obviously is not the same player. And to Dave's point, you're getting D.J. moore, 29. They got Stefan Diggs at what, 26, 25. 26.

[Guest Analyst]

So there, there's an older slayer here.

[Jamie]

There is something to be said for familiarity with the offensive play caller. You know, so this is I'm sure a guy that Joe Brady said if we can get him, get him, this is an overpay. I mean to, to give a second round pick for a 29 wide, 29 year old wide receiver, even though you're getting a fifth round pick back. So you know, Dave's saying, you know, is this the, the splat, however he phrase it, you know, this is the splash that they made. My guess is yes, they're not gonna go now and spend on Alec Pierce. They're not going. They have to, you know, the, the, the cost of DJ More. No, Chicago, I think is playing some of the salary, but they're, they're giving up draft capital and they're now paying a veteran wide receiver. So this is their move. This was their go get a guy. And so what we've been asking for is for them to go get a guy. And so where you draft DJ Moore now becomes the conversation. How much are you willing to risk on what his upside could be? I think if you're looking at it, the worst year Stefan Diggs had in buffalo was around 16 PPR points per game. The best year D.J. morris had was his first year in Chicago, which was just shy of 17 PPR points per game. I think that's realistic. I think it's. It's probably on the high end, but I think it's realistic, you know, so in those two years with Joe Brady, it was 13.9 and 14.1 PPR points per game.

[Guest Analyst]

I think that's the floor. So he's probably going to be like, as bad as things were last year was 12.2 PPR points per game. You know, so we're still talking about a guy that's going to be a borderline 2, 3 wide receiver, I think, out of the gate, and then now what can he ascend to? And So I think 20ish is probably safe. Like you, you know, you go back to those list of wide receivers we talked about earlier today where you took Cortland Sutton in round five. Sutton, McLaurin, Christian Watson.

[Host]

I forget also, Marvin Harrison Jr. Was the fourth guy.

[Guest Analyst]

Marvin Harrison Jr. Like, I think DJ more ceiling's higher than all those guys.

[Host]

All right, let me get a break in here. I also want to point out One thing about D.J. moore. I didn't even realize these numbers. He's got two straight years with about 75 rushing yards with Chicago. He had a rushing touchdown this year, so we do have to factor that in. I don't. He might have, you know, zero rushes or very few with Buffalo, but about 14 carries, 75 yards and a touchdown last year. That's. That helps his. His per game averages as well. And he was only wide receiver 46 per game in PPR. We'll be right back. I do have a few more questions. Let's address Khalil Shakir and Dalton Kincaid. Let's address Josh Allen and what this means for him after this on FFT Express. It's important for your wardrobe to last and of course you want to look good and you want to love your clothes. So go to quints.com fftpod and start shopping on quints. Check out the super soft fleece pullover hoodie. That's my new go to. I also love their sweaters and their T shirts and they have a cashmere polo that I can wear all the time. It looks good, it feels expensive, but it's actually affordable. The cashmere is 100% Mongolian, the same stuff luxury brands use. But Quince works directly with top factories and cuts out the middlemen. You're not paying for brand markup or fancy retail stores, just quality clothing. So right now go to quince.com fftpod for free shipping and 365 day returns. That's a full year to build your wardrobe and love it and and you will now available in Canada too. Don't keep settling for clothes that don't last. Go to Quincom FFTPOD for free shipping and 365 day returns. Quince.com Fftpod Parle tu Francais?

[Heath]

Hablas espanol?

[Host]

Parle italiano.

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[Host]

All right, guys. Dave, Josh Allen. I think he's, you know, going to be consensus QB when he.

[Dave]

Nothing changes.

[Host]

Well, nothing changes. Or do you take him earlier? I mean, does, does he have. Does he get back to that ceiling of being closer to 30 points per game rather than, you know, 26, 27 or so?

[Dave]

No, I, I don't think it makes. It'll make a difference, but not enough to make me prioritize taking him even further away from the rest of the pack at quarterback.

[Host]

Anyone feeling like he said, how are you feeling about Alan?

[Dave]

He.

[Heath]

I'm not like, I'm not moving my top 200 regularly right now, but I think you might see him move up 5, 6 spots based on this. Maybe he, maybe he's a little bit earlier in round three, Jamie.

[Host]

Because, you know, the past three seasons, 29, 28, 25 passing touchdowns the yards have been much lower the last two years because he's not throwing as much. But in those prime seasons with Diggs. When did Diggs get there? 20. 20? Yes. In those prime seasons with Diggs, Josh Allen threw 37, 36 and 35 touchdowns. And, you know, he's been amazing for fantasy, but he was even better in those years. Do you think you'll move him up in your overall rankings?

[Guest Analyst]

I think he was right. You know, five or six spots is, is probably safe, you know, so I do think he is ahead of the field. I mean, that's, you know, something that was probably going to get drafted anyway. So there is a little bit now more distance between whoever your QB2 is, whether that's Drake May or Lamar Jackson or Joe Burrow, whoever the, you know, number two guy will end up being. But it's. This is a win for everybody in, in the major parties involved.

[Host]

Except the Shakira and Kincaid.

[Guest Analyst]

Right, the major parties involved like those guys. You know, Kincaid was a borderline top 12 tight end to begin with. He's still going to be a borderline top 12 tight end. He's going to lose targets, opportunities, but they were going to get somebody. This, this wasn't going to be the case, you know, so this wasn't going to be, hey, we're running it back with the same cast characters. I do think there will be somewhat of a philosophy change in how they operate simply because of just now who the head coach is. So I don't think Sean McDermott was holding back Joe Brady, but there was probably some reservations about how they wanted to operate and lean on their defense in their run game and not necessarily make Josh Allen have to throw the ball all over the place. You know, they asked him to be Superman in the fourth quarter. I don't think they want to be like that either. I don't think they want to have to be in situations where we have to go, you know, rescue every game with our quarterback from however he was doing it. This is going to make things easier for him. So, you know, hopefully in, in that case, the, the production comes along with it. So, yes, he gets better, clearly, with Timor.

[Host]

Let's take a look at this poll here. I just put it up while we were doing our show. So only 99 votes.

[Dave]

D.J.

[Host]

more to the bills. Who are you drafting first in? PPR Luther Burden, 34, Romon Dunes, a 25, Colson Loveland, 22%. Oh, it's already changing. Burden, 35 Loveland now is second place at 25. Odunze 24. But D.J. moore is, is a distant fourth. I guess it's not too distant, but 16. I'm a little surprised. I, I thought he'd go ahead of Odunze if for, you know, first of all, it's only 130 votes right now, but I thought for sure he'd be ahead of Odunze.

[Heath]

Yeah, I, I think last year is. I think there's must be a lot of people who just think that last year at age 28, DJ Moore fell off a cliff. But also the same without last year.

[Host]

Wasn't the year before even worse? Heath, I mean, the year before was horrible.

[Heath]

Well, the year before he had 140 targets and got 98 passes at least.

[Host]

Yeah, but he didn't reach a thousand yard the year before. You know, the, all the years.

[Heath]

I think the big difference is Caleb Williams was much worse the year before.

[Host]

Yeah, it is too.

[Dave]

His role changed in 2024. Halfway through the year. Remember they fired Shane Waldron.

[Host]

Yeah.

[Dave]

And they made more like a short area target. And his numbers perked up a lot because he got a bunch of easier throws. And then that went out the window after Ben Johnson got hired and changed everybody's role in Chicago.

[Host]

I guess you could look at D.J. moore as having two pretty disappointing seasons in a row. Even though he, he was. I think it was just. I know he was 36 per game two years ago.

[Jamie]

Right.

[Host]

And so, so overall he was good because he hasn't missed a game in five seasons. But per game. I'm sorry, he was 27th per game two years ago. My fault. He was 46th per game last year. So you could look at that as considering he had. How many targets did he have in 2024? He had 140 targets and was 27th per game in full PPR.

[Jamie]

Yikes.

[Host]

But Jamie, I'll just end it with this. Jamie, you said, you know, he's not. I think you said he's not the player that he used to be. I think that's where I, I'm more optimistic. First of all, we keep saying that he's 29 years old. Who cares? That's not old. He's still at the tail end of his prime. 29 does not bother me at all.

[Guest Analyst]

Okay.

[Host]

But he's, he's had such a weird up and down career that I just don't know who he, who he is. And I'm not putting it past him to be a great receiver again. Personally. Jamie, I'll throw it to you first.

[Guest Analyst]

I mean, look, he changed teams once and had a renaissance, and hopefully the same thing happens again.

[Jamie]

You know, goes to Chicago, first season with clearly not the best quarterback. And I would probably think that everyone agree, not the best offensive system. And he goes out and has the best year of his career, you know, so there's a lot being asked of him right now. There's a lot being asked of him, someone who knows him. There's a lot being asked of him with a quarterback who might be the best he's ever played with. You know, not taking away what Cam Newton was at the end of his tenure in the first tenure, at least with Carolina. So he now gets a chance to do what Stefan Diggs accomplished in Buffalo. We've seen two years now of this offense at 100 targets and 95 targets for its target leader, and that was Khalil Shakir. DJ Moore's resume is much better than Khalil Shakir's. So there's a chance for DJ Moore to have the best year of his career. There's a chance for him to put up numbers similar to what Stefan Diggs accomplished. There's a chance for him to do what he did in 2023 with Chicago. So I don't know if, if you're telling me that I can get him after Romo Dunes and after Luther Burden and after Colson, love him, I will

[Guest Analyst]

take that all day long.

[Jamie]

I think there's amazing value there.

[Host]

Okay, final thoughts on what kind of player DJ Moore is. Does anyone feel confident in assessing what kind of player he is?

[Dave]

There were a lot of concerns in Chicago that he was lackadaisical on the field. And when you watch the film, you can see examples of it. I think that could get wiped out in Buffalo. I think he. I think there will be a little bit of a feel good reunion between him and Joe Brady. This is going back to last August, but when practice wrapped up, those two guys made a beeline for each other to, you know, say hi to each other. DJ's family was. That was there. This was a Bills Bears joint practice. I was waiting to talk to Joe Brady and I was standing there waiting because he was spending so much time with DJ and DJs family. And that's kind of how I knew that there was a chance of a reunion here, because if the Bears made him available, Joe Brady would want to get somebody back who he's familiar with and can work with. And I think DJ Moore can probably put in a better effort than what we saw in the field last year. And maybe he put in that effort because he wasn't the number one guy. And if things stand as they are now in Buffalo, yes, he's going to be the number one guy. Should see north of a hundred targets. I'm just a little nervous about trusting a Bills wide receiver and overpaying him on draft day when we've got three young, really quality players in Chicago who can step up and, and maybe there's a target crunch between the three of them. There's going to be one but it could also be concentrated between the three of them and they could all end up being somewhere between. Well, in the case of the receivers, 13 and a half to 15 PPR points and I think DJ Moore will come out just underneath that.

[Host]

I'm taking him in the second round now. Just fired me up so much with that Joe Brady story.

[Jamie]

I'm.

[Host]

I'm all in.

[Dave]

Yeah, Joe definitely loves him. There's no question.

[Heath]

Do we need to talk about the Bears?

[Dave]

I tried to touch on it just then.

[Host]

What about.

[Dave]

Didn't we agree with me?

[Host]

No.

[Dave]

There's going to be huge opportunity for those guys.

[Host]

He had a 16 target share. Like this is the other thing. It is a big deal but he had 85 targets in 17 games. But yeah.

[Heath]

Another way to look at it. Is he in Alameda? Zakia has had 150 targets.

[Guest Analyst]

Okay.

[Host]

They'll probably.

[Guest Analyst]

Okay.

[Host]

Yeah. All right, so go ahead. What's your. What's your Bears takeaway?

[Heath]

Well, I think it's fan like we've kind of put the qualifier on. Talking about Luther Burden and Colston Loveland a couple times. I think even a couple hours ago and one of those qualifiers is gone. If DJ Moore is back. If DJ Moore is gone, he is gone. And I think there's a chance. I, I'm. We're. I think all betting on Burden being that guy. The chance for one of those wide receivers. If Burden can come anywhere close to his efficiency from last year in a full time role then he could be a top 12 wide receiver.

[Host]

Any other thoughts? I guess you know where I'm at is Romo Dunes. They looked like the one of the breakout stories of the year very early on.

[Jamie]

Right.

[Host]

And then he got hurt. It was a little touchdown dependent. It wasn't a reliable yardage necessarily. Then he got hurt. But he's also the guy that Caleb throws to in the end zone a lot and Luther Burden had one end zone target all year so I didn't. I don't know if it's as clear cut. You know who it's Going to be.

[Dave]

And they all could end up being.

[Guest Analyst]

They all win.

[Host]

They all win.

[Dave]

Yeah.

[Guest Analyst]

Yeah.

[Heath]

I mean right now I've got burden and a dunes. They Both at a 21 target share and Loveland at 19. So it's not expressing much confidence in who's going to be first.

[Host]

It's a great way to frame it. Jamie, this is such a great trade for fantasy. Yeah, this is except for, I mean

[Guest Analyst]

look, you get a second round pick for a 29 year old wide receiver that you probably wanted to move on from. You get the opportunity to feature your three young pass catchers that have the chance to all be superstars. You saw it in flashes last year. You get the chance in Buffalo to get a number one wide receiver that the offensive coordinator likes and has a history with. You get Josh Allen number one. Like everybody wins.

[Host]

Everybody on Coleman.

[Dave]

Dave, I don't know who that is.

[Heath]

And fantasy cops question.

[Host]

Oh, okay.

[Heath]

I have a dynasty trade in my inbox of somebody offering me a round two pick for Cleo Shakir.

[Host]

No, no, no.

[Heath]

You can't accept it now.

[Host]

You definitely can't. Now you have to.

[Heath]

Yeah, they knew that they were going to sign somebody. This might actually be better. It's not. A.J.

[Host]

brown, why don't you accept the trade that I proposed to?

[Heath]

Because it's awful.

[Guest Analyst]

It's.

[Heath]

It's really terrible. You've offered me the 11th and the 12th fic in a seven player draft for the third pick.

[Host]

There are more than seven players in the draft. I offered you two first round picks for one first round pick. Like do the math.

[Heath]

You're killing somebody else. I have a third pick in a different league and somebody offered me 10 and 11 and I just said no thank you.

[Guest Analyst]

It's pretty incredible how you butchered this Malik Neighbors thing.

[Host]

Yeah, it doesn't matter. I mean how good was my team with league neighbors? It's horrible. Anywho, I think that's about it. Yeah. Oh no, wait. I wanted to disagree with you.

[Guest Analyst]

Isn't it funny that the Bills and Bears made a trade and we somehow talked about the Giants.

[Host]

We didn't really talk about. I want to disagree with you on one other thing, Jamie. I don't think this is an overpay for Buffalo. I think they.

[Heath]

Are you kidding?

[Robert Half Advertiser]

No.

[Host]

They have this window. They have to. They have to win now.

[Heath]

It's like the Schefter reported just recently that as part of this deal they are guaranteeing $15 million of his 20.

[Guest Analyst]

28.

[Host]

2028. He'll be 30.

[Heath]

So he's under contract for about $40 million.

[Guest Analyst]

Is not what it sounds like though.

[Host]

Well, I've sort of. For very good wide receivers, it seems like age 32 is when they often start really falling off. The question is just how good DJ Moore is. If he's a really good wide receiver, you probably are going to get three very good years out of him and then he'll be well worth a second pick.

[Guest Analyst]

The second round 15 million is not something I like. I wouldn't, I wouldn't worry about that so much. I think the second round pick like you may find out next week, like Brian Thomas gets traded for a second round pick like that. Right? Is, is incredible. If they could have done that, maybe.

[Host]

But I, I'm, you know what? I think I'm just excited. I'm just excited. I was an eight on the excitement. Oh, meter, let's go. All right, everybody, we will again speak to you as the news does now

[Guest Analyst]

set the, set the standard of what, maybe A.J.

[Dave]

brown, he's gonna go for more than this. This also gives the Bears more ammo to make a run at Max Crosby

[Guest Analyst]

or maybe Tyler Lindemont.

[Host]

Okay, let's talk about the Raiders now, guys. Have a great day. We'll speak to you soon. On fantasy football today,

[Guest Analyst]

Paramount podcasts.

[Host]

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[Guest Analyst]

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[Host]

And the best part, they accept Discover. Except Discover in a little place like this? I don't think so, Jennifer.

[Jamie]

Oh, yeah, huh.

[Host]

Discover's accepted where I like to shop.

[Guest Analyst]

Come on, baby, get with the times. Right.

[Host]

So we shouldn't get the parachute pants. These are making a comeback, I think.

[Thumbtack Advertiser]

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[Guest Analyst]

Based on the February 2025 Nielsen report.