Fantasy Football Today — "Fantasy Breakups! Are We Done With These Guys?"
Episode Date: February 18, 2026
Hosts/Analysts: Adam Aizer (host), Dave Richard, Jamey Eisenberg, Heath Cummings
Theme: The Feb. 18 episode centers on the idea of "Fantasy Breakups"—the players the panel is ready to move on from in 2026, due to performance, injuries, changes in situation, or other red flags. It's a candid discussion of heartbreaks, caution signs, and the chance of these old flames rekindling interest.
Episode Overview
The hosts take a tongue-in-cheek, "Valentine's Day aftermath" approach, discussing the players they’re “breaking up with” for fantasy in 2026. Noteworthy wide receivers and running backs are analyzed, including deep dives into statistical regression, coaching changes, and fantasy upside. The conversation weaves in a few memorable quotes, friendly banter, and plenty of direct, honest analysis.
Key Discussion Points & Player Breakups
Introduction: "Fantasy Breakups" Theme
- Premise: Which players are the FFT analysts done with in fantasy football—whether due to age, production decline, or new competition?
- Adam (02:03): "We were feeling the love last week on Valentine's Day. But today, we are breaking up."
News & Notes (Quick Hitters)
- Mike Evans testing free agency, but panel still sees him as a viable fantasy WR (05:23)
- Falcons likely moving on from Tyler Allgeier, impact on Bijan Robinson and short-yardage role
- Dave (05:42): "This draft is full of 1B running backs... Hopefully not somebody as physical as Allgeier."
- Plug for the FFT “Diamonds” show—focused on position deep dives and rookies (07:16)
Deep Dive: WR Breakups
Marvin Harrison Jr. (Arizona Cardinals)
- Dave (08:09): Outlines steep decline: 36th in targets/game, 39th in PPR points/game, 33rd in consistency.
- "New coaching staff... they’re going to have new ideas, but it doesn't mean that they're going to care about Marvin Harrison being an early round one pick."
- Draft Value: Most recent mocks put him in Round 5, with consensus that’s probably his ceiling.
- Adam (09:30): “It's not that bad... he scores touchdowns. Right?”
- Splits based on snap share and Jacoby Brissette at QB are dissected.
- Adam (12:13): Highlights Harrison’s lack of “easy” targets: only two screens in two years.
- Dave (13:19): “I'd be surprised if all of a sudden Marvin Harrison became Davante Adams in the Arizona offense.”
- Heath (14:18): "I think I'm going to be able to easily find 24 wide receivers I'd rather draft than Marvin Harrison Jr. at this point."
Xavier Worthy (Kansas City Chiefs)
- Jamie (17:24): "He's currently not in my top 60 wide receivers."
- Dave (17:32): Drops in usage and productivity from Year 1 to Year 2; yards per route run steady but no touchdown upside and red zone targets plummeted.
- Adam (18:39): "Worthy ranks 90th in yards per attempt on deep balls the last two years. And some of that honestly is Mahomes... they have a bad connection."
- Panel agrees Worthy is now a deep-league “dart throw,” only valuable if opportunity spikes due to suspension/injury elsewhere.
Dalton Kincaid (Buffalo Bills, TE)
- Dave (19:55): "Really became touchdown dependent... he's had chances... but needs the touchdowns, and I don't want to raise him up just because it's his best year or because of the new playcaller."
- Adam (21:06): "There's always encouraging stuff with him, but it's just never enough actual production. 2.74 yards per route run led the position by a mile..."
- Jamie (22:17): Points out changes coming in personnel (possible cap casualty for Dawson Knox, more WR turnover), but he’s a fallback, not a target.
Heath's “Literal” Breakup List
- Heath (23:11): "...just turned into a highlight of guys he was really wrong about last year."
- Jerry Jeudy: "Absolutely awful. The Browns are going to hopefully add an actual wide receiver one."
- Justin Fields: "Awesome for fantasy when he got to start, but I think the NFL's decided he doesn't get to start anymore."
- Deebo Samuel: "Has to land in a place where he's going to get rushing work... he's a free agent; we have no idea if he'll get that."
- Deebo’s rushing work and injury trend analyzed; panel agrees odds are against a “lead” role.
In-Depth: Disappointing or Concerning WRs
Justin Jefferson (Minnesota Vikings)
- Jamie (39:12): "...over 16 PPR points per game in the Carson Wentz games... barely over 10 in the JJ McCarthy games."
- QB situation and overall decline in pass game volume (Vikings dropped to 30th in passing yards/game in 2025) present ongoing red flags.
- Jamie (40:51): “I cringe in the early part of round two. In the middle part, maybe... I just don't feel like Justin Jefferson is going to perform to the level of his potential in the current environment that he's in because of his quarterback."
- The entire group is wary until a real QB upgrade materializes.
Brian Thomas Jr. (Jacksonville Jaguars)
- Jamie (41:51): "A lot of things changed throughout the course of the season… breakouts from Parker Washington, Jacoby Myers addition... as Trevor Lawrence improved, Brian Thomas Jr. did not come along for the ride."
- Best rookie company (2.46 YPRR, per Adam), but fell to WR46/WR46 per game in his sophomore season.
- Adam (48:45): Breaks down target per route run: Parker Washington and Jacoby Myers outshined BTJ after the Myers trade.
- Jamie (47:17): “I personally would like to see him traded and go to a team where he could be the clear-cut alpha... Buffalo would make a ton of sense.”
Running Back Concerns
Christian McCaffrey (San Francisco 49ers)
- Jamie (31:19): "A lot of red flags... going to be 30 in June, coming off another season with 400 total touches..."
- Points to Saquon Barkley and "the data that we get with these guys when they hit this age with this workload." Jamie ranks Bijan, Gibbs, and potentially Taylor/HN over CMC.
- Heath (33:17): "If you just project 17 games for everybody, McCaffrey is so obviously the number one pick. It's not even close. So how much do you factor in all the things that Jamie said…"
- Adam (35:23): "With McCaffrey, all he has to do is stay healthy. I don’t think he’s going to be less efficient than he was last year."
- Panel consensus: he'll be a first-round pick, but many are backing away from taking him at 1.01 due to volume/injury age cliff risk.
Rapid-Fire: Notable Breakups & Remarks
- Jerry Jeudy (Cleveland Browns): Career has trended up in even years and crashed in odd years—Heath jokes he’s "due for another good year" (28:02), but skepticism prevails.
- Justin Fields (NYJ): Even with elite fantasy outings when starting, his NFL future is too bleak for optimism.
Notable Quotes & Moments
- Jamie (13:12): "[Marvin Harrison Jr. profiles] more closely to Davante [Adams] for sure."
- Dave (14:18): "I think I'm going to be able to easily find 24 wide receivers I'd rather draft than Marvin Harrison Jr."
- Heath (23:11): "Jerry Jeudy was absolutely awful. The Browns are going to hopefully add an actual wide receiver one."
- Jamie (31:19): "It's just tough to buy into all the data that we get with these guys when they hit this age with this workload..."
- Adam (35:23): "With McCaffrey, all he has to do is stay healthy. I don’t think he’s going to be less efficient than he was last year."
- Jamie (39:12): "If [Justin Jefferson] gets a quarterback upgrade and Thomas gets traded, then I will definitely go apologizing, flowers and candy... but as we stand right now, [I'm breaking up with both]."
- Jamie (47:17): "I think we need the Jaguars and Brian Thomas Jr. to break up in order for fantasy managers to reconcile with him."
- Dave (47:33): Suggests Washington Commanders as a fit for BTJ: "If the Commanders want to prioritize adding another wide receiver... that would be an amazing landing spot for him."
Timestamps for Key Segments
- 02:03 — Main theme introduced: “Fantasy Breakups”
- 05:23 — Mike Evans, Tyreek Hill, and other news/notes
- 08:09 — Marvin Harrison Jr. deep dive (pros/cons, new regime impact)
- 12:13 — Breakout stat: Harrison lacks screens/motion—impact on upside
- 17:24 — Xavier Worthy: "Not in my top 60 WRs"
- 19:55 — TE Dalton Kincaid: "Touchdown dependent," injury-risk caution
- 23:11 — Heath's “actual” breakups: Jeudy, Fields, Samuel
- 31:19 — Christian McCaffrey age/performance/ranking debate
- 39:12 — Justin Jefferson: Elite, but QB/volume risk
- 41:51 — Brian Thomas Jr.: Upside, but crowded and misused
- 48:45 — Reset on Jacksonville WR pecking order
- 53:20 — Fun mailbag: Day 3 RBs, changing coaching trends
Final Thoughts
The crew delivers a fun, honest, statistics-rich breakdown of who they’re done chasing in 2026, with a recurring acknowledgment that context (QB moves, trades, injuries, and coaching changes) could always draw them back for a fantasy “reconciliation.” It’s a must-listen for managers looking to avoid old traps and stay sharp about value vs. risk heading toward draft season.
Quick Guide: Fantasy "Breakups" List
WRs: Marvin Harrison Jr., Xavier Worthy, Keon Coleman, Dalton Kincaid (TE), Jerry Jeudy, Justin Jefferson, Brian Thomas Jr., Deebo Samuel
RBs: Christian McCaffrey
QBs: Justin Fields
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