FFT Express - 6 BOLD Fantasy Predictions from Adam Aizer! Cowboys Bust? Chiefs Break Fantasy? (09/02 Fantasy Football Podcast)

Summary

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FFT Express – 6 BOLD Fantasy Predictions from Adam Aizer! Cowboys Bust? Chiefs Break Fantasy?

Podcast: Fantasy Football Today
Release Date: September 3, 2025
Host: Adam Aizer
Analyst: Dave Richard

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Episode Overview

In this special "FFT Express" episode, Adam Aizer brings six bold fantasy football predictions for the 2025 NFL season, ranging from breakout stars and rookie impacts to significant shifts in NFL offenses, including surprising stances on the Cowboys and Chiefs. Analyst Dave Richard reacts and grades each prediction on its boldness and plausibility, leading to lively debate and strategy discussion for fantasy managers ahead of draft season.

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Key Discussion Points & Insights

1. Nico Collins as THE Wide Receiver 1

• Adam’s take: Nico Collins will finish as the overall WR1 in fantasy.
  • Reasoning:
    • Collins is the clear target leader for the Houston Texans.
    • Projected volume: "Before his hamstring injury last year, Nico Collins was on pace for more than 2,000 receiving yards and over 180 targets." (Adam, 01:14)
    • Elite advanced stats every year (yards per route run, yards per target).
    • Under-the-radar status: “Might be the best player that people don't really know about in the NFL.” (Adam, 01:31)
• Dave’s response: Gives the take a C for boldness.
  • “I think about that run game in Houston… if they can't get it on track, that means more pass attempts for CJ Stroud.” (Dave, 02:12)

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2. Ricky Pearsall Outscores Garrett Wilson

• Adam’s take: Rookie Ricky Pearsall will outscore Garrett Wilson.
  • Supporting arguments:
    • Garrett Wilson’s explosive play rate has been poor despite heavy targets.
    • QB concerns: “I just don't think that Justin Fields is necessarily the quarterback that's going to make this work for him and finally give Garrett Wilson this breakout season...” (Adam, 03:34)
    • Pearsall: Highly talented, injury adversity behind him, steps into a big role in a better offense.
• Dave’s response: Also a C for boldness. Admits he’s a “big Pearsall guy.” Notes Wilson’s high targets but modest PPR output. (04:04)

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3. Tyreek Hill Reclaims WR1 Status

• Adam’s take: Predicts Tyreek Hill will be the fantasy WR1.
  • Reasoning:
    • “Coming off two straight 1700 yard seasons.” (Adam, 04:27)
    • Numerous Dolphins changes mean Hill should dominate targets.
    • Dolphins’ success is linked to Hill’s production.
  • “I don't think they can get back to (winning) without Tyreek Hill being a huge part of it.” (Adam, 04:51)
• Dave’s response: Concerned about upside but sees logic; grades the boldness as a C.

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4. Two Rookie Running Backs in Fantasy Top 5

• Adam’s take: Projects two rookies to finish as top 5 fantasy RBs.
  • Key names: Ashton Genti (“one will definitely be Ashton Genti”), Hampton and Travion Henderson as other top candidates. (Adam, 06:00)
  • “Nobody thought Bucky Irving was going to be as good as he was...if they had just gave him the chances.” (Adam, 06:18)
• Dave’s response: “Not bad, not bad.” Gives another C for boldness.

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5. Kansas City Chiefs "Break Fantasy" in a Good Way

• Adam’s take: Claims the Chiefs’ offense will outperform all expectations, massively boosting fantasy value.
  • Supporting points:
    • KC is "dedicated to getting their explosive plays back."
    • "We don't have a single Kansas City Chief being drafted in the top 48..." (Adam, 07:00)
    • Sees undervalued players offering major gains.
  • “I think they could be absolute steals this year and they're going to break fantasy in a good way.” (Adam, 07:33)
• Dave’s response: Reflects on Mahomes’ low draft position since 2018 and the departure from past years where several Chiefs were early picks. Still gives a C for boldness.

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6. Dallas Cowboys Offense Crashes

• Adam’s take: Predicts the Cowboys offense will be "crap."
  • Key concerns:
    • Declining offensive line play; no longer a strength.
    • Dak Prescott’s diminished rushing and increased sack rate: “Are we at the point in Dak's career where he has lost some mobility?” (Adam, 09:37)
    • CD Lamb’s production last year was inflated by one big quarter: “Other than that, 13, 19, 8, 22, 11, 15, 15…” (Adam, 09:17)
    • Skepticism about OC Brian Schottenheimer’s track record.
    • Looming salary cap issues and uncertain play from new weapons.
    • “I think the Cowboys are a mess. And this could be the end of a long, sustained era of offensive greatness.” (Adam, 10:12)
• Dave’s response: Finally, a higher grade—A- for boldness.
  • Reads Dallas’ brutal early schedule and suggests the first four weeks will tell all. “If they stink in all four of those games, then yes, we’ve made a huge mistake on the Cowboys.” (Dave, 10:30)

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Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments

• Adam, on Nico Collins:
  “Nico Collins might be the best player that people don't really know about in the NFL.” (01:31)

• Adam, on Garrett Wilson:
  “I just don't think that Justin Fields is necessarily the quarterback that's going to make this work for him and finally give Garrett Wilson this breakout season...” (03:34)

• Adam, on the Chiefs:
  “They could be absolute steals this year and they're going to break fantasy in a good way.” (07:33)

• Adam, on the Cowboys:
  “I think the Cowboys are a mess. And this could be the end of a long, sustained era of offensive greatness.” (10:12)

• Dave, on predicting the Cowboys' fate:
  “If they stink in all four of those games, then yes, we've made a huge mistake on the Cowboys.” (10:30)

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Timestamps for Important Segments

• Nico Collins as WR1: 01:08 – 02:12
• Pearsall vs. Wilson: 02:24 – 04:04
• Tyreek Hill WR1: 04:27 – 05:05
• Rookie RBs Top 5: 05:57 – 06:27
• Chiefs Break Fantasy: 06:33 – 08:09
• Cowboys Offense Busts: 08:16 – 10:14

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Final Thoughts

Adam Aizer brings both statistical rigor and strong instincts to a slate of bold predictions, pushing fantasy players to question consensus around Houston stars, overlooked rookies, the Chiefs’ potential, and—perhaps most provocatively—the decline of the Cowboys offense. Dave Richard provides a critical reality check, helping listeners weigh the risk and rewards for each take as they prepare for their own drafts.

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Perfect for fantasy managers seeking upside, debate points, and contrarian draft strategies ahead of the 2025 season!

Transcript

[A]

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[B]

Mazer is bringing the heat with his bold predictions for 2025 next on FFT Express. What's up everybody? Dave Richard joined by Adam Hazer who told me seconds ago he has six full predictions. Let's hear one of them and I'm gonna grade them on a scale of A to F on how bold they are.

[C]

Adam? Oh, well, I'm starting with the least bold and going. Here comes your F. Yes. Bold prediction number one. Nico Collins will be wide receiver one.

[B]

Oh, I don't think that that's an F at all. Why, why do you think he's going to be wide receiver one?

[C]

I think he is, you know, obviously the clear target leader for Houston. I think they're going to throw the ball enough. And in the first four weeks of the season before his hamstring injury last year, Nico Collins was on pace for more than 2,000 receiving yards and over 180 targets. So that's obviously awesome. He is perennially one of the leaders in yards per out run, yards per target. He is, I think obviously in fantasy circles we know him. You ask a casual football fan. I think Nico Collins might be the, the best player that people don't really know about in the NFL. So I'm looking forward to him having a huge breakout season from, you know, an attention standpoint and really entering the chat, as they say, as one of the, the truly elite players. I don't think it's that bold of a take because I have him as my wide receiver too. Most people have him on ours, you know, Right. I've got him fourth four. So I think, I think Nico Collins has his year where everybody realizes how good he is and he's gonna be wide receiver 1.

[B]

Bold prediction, I think about that run game in Houston and if they can't get it on track, that means more pass attempts for CJ Stroud. I'm going to give that a C on the bold scale. So not enough whatsoever. Number two, Adam.

[C]

Number two. I went with Ricky Pearsall. Outscores Garrett Wilson.

[B]

Okay.

[C]

Oh, you want me to give the okay, I thought you would explain it.

[B]

Yeah, yeah, give me a little bit.

[C]

Well, you know, with, with Garrett Wilson, he's been over 140 targets every year of his career and I think his highest finish was wide receiver 19 per game in full PPR last year. Justin Fields doesn't throw a lot of touchdowns. Now Garrett Wilson, I think you look at the D.J. moore year with, with Justin Fields, which was terrific. D.J. moore had a lot of very long touchdown pass touchdown catches. Right. He had these big explosive plays. That has been something that's been missing from Garrett William Garrett Wilson, he's been since entering the league, one of the worst. So here's been his explosive play rate. In three seasons. There's usually about 85 to 90 wide receivers with 50 or more targets. Garrett Wilson's been 54th, 75th and 61st. I don't really think this is necessarily a Garrett Wilson problem because I watched all of his targets of 20 or more air yards last year and I think Aaron Rodgers, Rodgers was really to blame. Missed him a lot. Garrett Wilson can get by people, he can get open. I just don't think that Justin Fields is necessarily the quarterback that's going to make this work for him and finally give Garrett Wilson this breakout season because again, he's had the targets. I'm not worried about the targets, worried about the touchdowns. Really. Pearsall first round pick last year got, you know, the gunshot wound. He was worried about living and not just playing football. He said that the season was basically his training camp because he didn't have that. So, you know, obviously a much better off season for him. Steps into a big role, terrifically talented player, better offense, great yak guy. It's going to be better than Garrett Wilson.

[B]

12.7, 13.0, 14.8 are the full PPR per game averages for Garrett Wilson. With 4 point team, 14.8 coming last year. Over 9 targets per game for Garrett Wilson each of the past two seasons. Listen, I think this one's definitely got a good shot of happening. I'm a big Piercel guy. I give that one a C. Number three, Adam.

[C]

All right, so I said Nico Collins would be wide receiver one. Let's how about this. This honestly doesn't require that much explanation. Tyreek Hill will be wide receiver one. He, you know, coming off two straight 1700 yard seasons, had a preseason wrist injury, lost a lot of targets to Johnny Smith. Johnny Smith isn't on the team anymore. I don't think the Dolphins can be great and they have been very good. As Jamie pointed out, when Tua has been healthy, what were they, 20 and 11 under Mike McDaniel. So they're a good team. I don't think they can get back to that without Tyree Kill being a huge part of it. Tyreek Hill will be wide receiver one.

[B]

He averaged 14.9 PPR points per game on 7.9 targets per game in 11 games with Tua starting last year. That includes a game that Tua did not finish. If we take that game out, it's actually 15.8 PPR points per game. I'm worried about the upside. I'm going to give that Bold take a C. We'll be back with Adam's next three Bold takes right after this.

[D]

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[C]

This season.

[D]

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[B]

Adam Bold take number four. Let's hear it.

[C]

Very bullish on the rookie running backs. I will say that two rookie running backs will finish top five. One of them will definitely be Ashton Genti. I think Hampton's got a great chance and I think Travion Henderson has a decent chance to do it. After that, I think it would be a little surprising. But RJ Harvey has a shot. But I'll say, look, nobody thought Bucky Irving was going to be as good as he was. He wasn't top five, but he could have been for a full season if they had just gave him the chances. So two rookie running backs will finish top five.

[B]

All right, not bad, not bad. I'll give that one C. Next bull prediction.

[C]

All right, my next two are about offenses here. The Kansas City offense will break fantasy in a good way. This has been a team that and I'm about to talk about this on CBS Sports Network, but this has been a team that's been so dedicated to getting their explosive plays back. And I think it's so funny to think they lost in the super bowl and they're coming off a disappointing season. But I do feel like they have to evaluate their team and say, look, we got to get the explosives back. They kept talking about it. We saw it in the preseason game against the Bears, I think they. I think they're going to go nuts. I think they're going to be great values. And can you believe that we don't have a single Kansas City chief being drafted in the top? Like 48. Like Mahomes is right around there. It's been so long since that's been the case. We usually had three, you know, Kelsey Mahomes and whether it was Tyreek Hill or Isaiah Pacheco, I'm guessing we may even have four in some seasons. So I think that they could be absolute steals this year and they're going to break fantasy in a good way.

[B]

This is the lowest we've been able to draft Patrick Mahomes since 2018, and that was before Patrick Mahomes was Patrick Mahomes. So definitely value there. I've seen Worthy go as a top 48 pick, but I haven't seen any Chiefs going as a top 36 pick. So to your point, they definitely have a lot of talent and I think people are just a little bit nervous about another, you know, okay year from the Chiefs. But they've definitely talked about being more explosive. We'll see if they can do it. What grade do you think I'm going to give you?

[C]

B.

[B]

No, I think I'm gonna go see. You've got one bold prediction left. Let's hear it.

[C]

I do think this is my boldest one. The Dallas offense will be crap. They were 18th in scoring last year with Dak Prescott, if you remember the the way the season progressed. I'm just going to pull it up real quick for CD Lamb. He had that one big fourth quarter against the 49ers, and in that game, CD Lamb scored 39 fantasy points. Other than that, 13, 19, 8, 22, 11, 15, 15. That was what CD Lamb did with Dak Prescott last year. There was no George Picketts. There was Zach Martin. Last year. There was probably a better running back with Rico Dowdle. People are very concerned about their offensive line. It's not being considered as it to be a good one. I know Pete Prisco on the draftathon said he does like it. He says they're young, but he likes the young guys. Dak Prescott last year had a pretty troubling trend where he he was running less and his sack rate went way up despite his pressure rate not going up. So are we at the point in Dak's career where he has lost some mobility? Those two things would suggest, yes, I think he could bounce back from that. So I'm not exactly drafting this way, but. But I just want people to remember that CD Lamb was a bus last year and that was without. And that was with Dak, and that was without George Pickens being on the team. So Pickens gives me hope for their offense, but their offensive line does not. Dax, you know, getting up there and agent that old, but might not be running as much. Their run game could be abysmal. And I don't really believe in Brian Schottenheimer. I think he has. Oh gosh, I have this that he's like three top 10 offenses in his entire career as a play caller. So I had some really great years of Russell Wilson, but also some very, very underwhelming resume. Yes, I, I think the Cowboys are a mess. And this could be the end of a long, sustained era of offensive greatness.

[B]

For the Dallas Cowboys and unfortunately, one that's going to cost them on the salary cap because they paid Dak what they did. As far as getting a gauge on the offensive line. I'm going to read you the early season schedule for the Cowboys. You tell me when you think we're going to know what that offensive line is given the matchups, Week one and week two. Well, week one and week two is against Philadelphia and the Giants. And those are two teams with good pass rushes. And they play Green Bay and Micah Parsons in week four. Yeah, in between then Chicago Week three. Like if they, if they stink in all four of those games, then yes, we've made a huge mistake on the Cowboys. And people that drafted a lot of Dak and a lot of Lamb and a lot of pickings are probably going to need to adjust expectations. I can't give you a C for that one. The gag was giving you a C for every single one but that one. On the boldness scale, that's an A minus. That one's good. And there you have it. Six bold predictions from Adam Azer. We will see you next time on FFT Express.

[C]

No, don't whisper.

[A]

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