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Dan
21/Tcs apply sleepers, breakouts and Busts Right now for the NFC east on FFT Express. So yeah was a couple months ago maybe we had to write our player outlooks.
Chris
Yes.
Dan
Yeah. So Dan assigned us divisions and he assigned himself the nfcs. Huge surprise for all Dan Dan's on the show to give us a sleeper breakout and bust in the NFC East. Although I'm going to help out. So how about a sleeper?
Chris
For me the sleeper is going to be Jaden Blue. Really enjoyed watching his tape at Texas. I felt like he was a player who reminded me in some ways of a old school fantasy guy that you may remember from Cal who played on the Detroit Lions. Do you think you can guess from Jaden Blue's profile? Java Best job Invest a little bit of best in him. Not quite level of best best if he never got the injuries would have been an amazing NFL player and more in like the Chris Johnson light. This is not that but he could easily in my mind be the best player in this Cowboys backfield from a talent standpoint and the most effective. And in my mind he could actually take over a pretty big role right away. So he's my favorite sleeper in the division.
Dan
So you know, it's interesting because I'm starting to really think that Javante Williams might be that guy might be that sleeper.
Chris
Can't do it.
Dan
I know he's been so bad the last two years but I I kind of could buy the excuse. He he had such a serious knee injury and he says he's finally back to to being healthy and I feel very confident that he's going to get the first shot. So I'm you know I went from a guy who was Javante Williams is basically a nothing.
Chris
Yeah.
Dan
Javante Williams might might be the best sleeper in fantasy football.
Chris
He might be if you're right and what he said is true that he finally feels back to his health. But I've heard that line from players thousands of times since I've started doing Fantas. What would you guess? We don't there's no science behind this. We can't azer static. But what would you guess would be the percentage rate of when players say they finally feel healthier, they finally feel themselves. Does it actually come out playing true? You say it's probably under 60.
Dan
Oh yeah, right. That's the thing. But it's two years now, right? So happened with Chris Godwin. Chris Godwin had a great bounce back season. Two years removed from his ACL injury and he said that it took him a long time.
Chris
Godwin was a great player before the injury. I'm not sure Javante Williams ever was a great NFL player before the injury.
Dan
Well, he only had a few games at the end of his rookie season and a few at the beginning of his second season. So we don't know. But I do think Javante Williams or Jaden. But I think the Cowboys are an interesting team. Is their starting running back. We don't know who it is. They're probably going to be a good offense. They usually are. And there's if, if a guy can take over. Just look what happened with Rico Dowdle. He was a very valuable player second half. So.
Chris
Exactly.
Dan
Let's. Let's keep an eye on this because you don't have to spend a top 100 pick on a Cowboys running back. You may not even have to spend a top 120 pick on a Cowboys running back. Okay. A breakout for you. Oh, you want me to do the breakout?
Chris
You could hit the breakout. I have a couple. Go for it.
Dan
I'm gonna stick with the Cowboys. I'm gonna go George Pickett's I don't think he's ever finished higher than 36 per game in PPR and I think being the number two receiver on a good passing offense will be better than being the number one receiver on a subpar. I won't say bad, but a subpar passing offense. And you know he was in a pretty good.
Chris
Pretty.
Dan
Was in a pretty good stretch with. With Russell Wilson. This is Only the number 30 wide receiver per game with Wilson. But in the first that was eight games. The first six games of that stretch. George Pickens was the number 14 wide receiver per game. Then he missed three games with an injury and he came back and he was absolutely terrible against Kansas City and Cincinnati. He had four catches for 50 yards in the last two games of the year. But he actually a pretty consistent player in his first six games with Russell Wilson and that was with really bad touchdown luck. So I think we saw a very brief stretch of him being a number one receiver and being a top 15 wide receiver. I don't expect that. But I think top 30 is good. You know, good safe kind of floor for I wouldn't say floor safe expectation for George Pickens. Extremely talented guy and I don't expect a ton of targets or catches. I sort of expect a light version of Jameson Williams. You know, big play potential on an offense that's not as good as Detroit, but good. And I like him beginning in the, maybe the sixth round. I'd love him in the seventh round.
Chris
Okay, I like that value. I think I can get on board with that. Dallas is going to be, like you said, one of the higher scoring offenses. Their offensive line is still trending up and they continue to invest in it with another first round pick. So I'm in on that.
Dan
All right. Unfortunately yes, I want to check his adp. Okay, because then he's a fifth round pick on yes, he's a fifth round pick on Fantasy pros but he is a sixth round pick on CBS and this is a huge difference for me. I want to take a break and talk about a bust in the NFC east after this.
Adam
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Dan
Here on Fantasy Football today Express so sleepers, we're looking at the Cowboys running backs breakout. I'm looking at George Pickens and Dan can get on board which is good. How about a bust?
Chris
For me It's Brian Robinson Jr. I went over this on a few a few shows ago, maybe a month or two ago. But really what it comes down to with Brian Robinson Jr averaged under two targets per game one 1.71 I don't see that taking any kind of jump if anything maybe to 2 to 3. So there's no involvement in the past game whatsoever. And it comes down to with Robinson a can this offense be as successful as it was last year because it was wildly efficient with a year of defensive coordinators having a film on the scheme to take away. We saw what happened with CJ Stroud when teams got filmed. This is what happens with a lot of rookie quarterbacks going from year one to Year two people expect a big jump from year one to year two with quarterbacks oftentimes is the opposite. Year three is usually when that real jump happens. So I'm a little worried about that offense and I'm worried about if that offense isn't what it was, what is Brian Robinson for us? He's a guy who relied on touchdowns in my mind and it's just not a player I would want to invest in with no receiving profile because I mostly play in PPR leagues.
Dan
Yeah, obviously his value changes a lot in non ppr. Half ppr. He's still kind of a liability. Full ppr. He's risky. I. I agree with your sentiment about Brian Robinson Jr. He is going to have to score touchdowns. I just think he will. And if you look at him last year on a per game basis, he was running back 21 in non PPR and 30 in full PPR. But he left two games early, one of them with an injury. One of them was week 18. You remove those two games and he's top 24 running back. And guess where he's going in fantasy pros ADP. He's RB30. So I almost feel like I, I agree with you. There's nothing. There's not a lot to get excited about here. There's not a league winning potential. There's not big upside. Like for example, if you're choosing between Brian Robinson Jr. And Cooper cup, who's two picks later and you don't care about the position. I'd go with Cooper cup, but getting drafted as RB30, I actually like that value a lot because I don't really think he can do much worse than that. I don't think there's competition that's taking him off the field basically. So he'll be fine. It just. He won't be great. I. I see your point. I just feel like he's being drafted almost as a bust.
Chris
Yeah, that's fair. It's not like you have to make a huge investment.
Dan
All right. We haven't talked about any Eagles. You think Saquon Barkley is going to be a bust?
Chris
No, I'm. I'm on. Say I'm on the Saquon Barkley train. He's. He's my RB1 overall, so. No.
Dan
Okay.
Chris
You.
Dan
You were thinking about making Tyrone Tracy a breaker, a breakout call. How do you see the Giants back right now?
Chris
Thing is, for a while I wasn't on that train, Adam. And then I went back over the last couple weeks, really the last week, and watched a ton of TYRONE Tracy, all 22. We're just so impressed with the way that he paces his runs, with his vision, with the subtle cuts he uses, great space. I think going back through some stable data, he really has leaned on one back and tried to even last year when Tracy got the hot hand. So I think Tracy will actually be that one a lot. There's been a lot of expectation it'll be just like a full split with him in Scatterboo or like maybe like a 64 or 60 or 50, 40, 10 with with singletary. I think it will be more, more Tracy. So I'm willing to bet on the possible breakout there.
Dan
All right, that's it for Fantasy Football Today Express. Hope everybody has an awesome 4th of July weekend and we're back on Monday on Fantasy Football Today. See you.
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Fantasy Football Today: FFT Express - Don’t Sleep on Jaydon Blue! 2025 NFC East Sleepers, Breakouts & Busts
Released on July 5, 2025
Hosted by CBS Sports' Adam Aizer, Fantasy Football Today brings together a panel of fantasy football experts—including analysts Dave Richard, Jamey Eisenberg, and Heath Cummings—to dissect the latest trends, player performances, and strategic insights essential for dominating your fantasy leagues. In the FFT Express segment of the July 3 episode, the focus is squarely on the NFC East, examining potential sleepers, breakouts, and busts that could influence fantasy rosters this season.
The episode kicks off with Dan introducing the topic at [00:27], setting the stage for an in-depth analysis of the NFC East. Assigned divisions have the analysts evaluating key players who could either exceed expectations or disappoint based on their recent performances and potential trajectories.
a. Jaden Blue – Chris’s Perspective
At [01:01], Chris identifies Jaden Blue as a primary sleeper for the NFC East. Drawing from his college performances at Texas, Chris likens Blue to a classic fantasy football asset, reminiscent of a successful run from his time at Cal with the Detroit Lions. He elaborates:
"He could easily in my mind be the best player in this Cowboys backfield from a talent standpoint and the most effective. And in my mind, he could actually take over a pretty big role right away." (01:30)
Chris emphasizes Blue's potential to become a cornerstone in the Cowboys' offense, projecting significant immediate impact if he remains healthy and capitalizes on his opportunities.
b. Javante Williams – Dan’s Counterpoint
Dan introduces an alternative sleeper candidate, Javante Williams, at [01:42]. Acknowledging Williams' struggles over the past two seasons due to a severe knee injury, Dan remains optimistic about his recovery:
"He says he's finally back to being healthy and I feel very confident that he's going to get the first shot." (01:48)
Dan draws parallels to Chris Godwin's successful return from an ACL injury, suggesting that Williams could follow a similar path to reinstate his value in fantasy leagues.
c. Analytical Debate
Chris remains skeptical about Williams’ revival, questioning the reliability of players’ claims about regained health:
"What would you guess would be the percentage rate of when players say they finally feel healthier, they finally feel themselves. Does it actually come out playing true?" (02:15)
Dan counters that while skepticism is warranted, the time elapsed since Williams' injury could favor his resurgence, especially if the Cowboys' offensive scheme continues to evolve favorably.
Shifting focus to breakouts, George Pickens emerges as a standout candidate. At [03:32], Dan discusses Pickens’ potential within the Cowboys' high-octane offense:
"I think being the number two receiver on a good passing offense will be better than being the number one receiver on a subpar... I sort of expect a light version of Jameson Williams. You know, big play potential." (03:45)
Chris concurs, highlighting the Cowboys’ improving offensive line and continued investment in their offense as factors that could elevate Pickens’ performance:
"Dallas is going to be, like you said, one of the higher scoring offenses. Their offensive line is still trending up and they continue to invest in it with another first-round pick." (05:11)
The analysts agree that Pickens offers significant value, especially considering his current Average Draft Position (ADP):
"I'd love him in the seventh round." (03:55)
However, Dan notes discrepancies in ADP rankings across platforms, underlining the importance of monitoring his draft value:
"He is a fifth-round pick on Fantasy Pros but he is a sixth-round pick on CBS, and this is a huge difference for me." (05:11)
Transitioning to players who may underperform, Brian Robinson Jr. is spotlighted as a potential bust by Chris at [06:09]. He cites Robinson's limited involvement and inconsistent performance metrics:
"He averaged under two targets per game... there's no involvement in the past game whatsoever." (06:15)
Chris further elaborates on the challenges facing Robinson, including diminished offensive efficacy and defensive strategies that could stifle his production:
"I'm a little worried about that offense and I'm worried about if that offense isn't what it was, what is Brian Robinson for us?" (07:00)
Dan reflects on Robinson's fantasy value across different league formats, ultimately viewing him as a low-risk, low-reward pick:
"He's being drafted almost as a bust... there's not a league-winning potential. There's not big upside." (07:06)
The conversation briefly touches upon Saquon Barkley, with Chris affirming his belief in Barkley's continued performance:
"I'm on Saquon Barkley train. He's my RB1 overall." (08:27)
Conversely, Tyrone Tracy emerges as a potential breakout for the Giants. Chris shares his renewed confidence in Tracy after recent performances and film study:
"I think Tracy will actually be that one a lot. There's been a lot of expectation it'll be just like a full split with him... I think it will be more, more Tracy. So I'm willing to bet on the possible breakout there." (08:40)
Dan acknowledges Tracy’s prospects, positioning him as a valuable asset for fantasy managers looking to capitalize on untapped talent within the Giants' backfield.
Wrapping up the FFT Express segment at [09:20], Dan extends well wishes for the 4th of July weekend and teases the return of the show on Monday, leaving listeners with actionable insights on navigating the NFC East's fantasy landscape.
Notable Quotes:
Chris on Jaden Blue:
"He could easily in my mind be the best player in this Cowboys backfield from a talent standpoint and the most effective." (01:30)
Dan on Javante Williams:
"He says he's finally back to being healthy and I feel very confident that he's going to get the first shot." (01:48)
Dan on George Pickens’ Value:
"I sort of expect a light version of Jameson Williams. You know, big play potential." (03:45)
Chris on Brian Robinson Jr.:
"He averaged under two targets per game... there's no involvement in the past game whatsoever." (06:15)
Final Thoughts
This episode of Fantasy Football Today delivers a comprehensive analysis of the NFC East, providing fantasy managers with valuable insights into potential sleepers like Jaden Blue and Javante Williams, the breakout potential of George Pickens, and cautionary tales with Brian Robinson Jr. Additionally, the discussion around emerging talents such as Tyrone Tracy offers strategic avenues for optimizing fantasy rosters. Whether you're a seasoned fantasy veteran or a newcomer, the expert opinions and detailed evaluations presented in this episode are instrumental in making informed decisions for the upcoming season.