FFT Express - Heath Cummings SHOCKING 2025 Projections Revealed! Daniels, Achane, LaPorta & More! (07/17 Fantasy Football Podcast)

Summary

Fantasy Football Today: FFT Express - Heath Cummings SHOCKING 2025 Projections Revealed!

Release Date: July 18, 2025

On this episode of Fantasy Football Today, host Adam Aizer teams up with analyst Heath Cummings to unveil some groundbreaking projections for the 2025 Fantasy Football season. Packed with insightful analysis and surprising forecasts, this episode is a must-listen for fantasy enthusiasts aiming to dominate their leagues.

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1. Shocking Quarterback Projections

Heath Cummings kicks off the episode with a bold prediction for the upcoming season:

Heath Cummings [00:50]: “I have Jaden Daniels projected to score more fantasy points than any other quarterback in the NFL. My projection for him, 4262 passing yards, 28 passing touchdowns, 814 rushing yards, and five and a half rushing touchdowns.”

Analysis: Heath advocates for drafting Jaden Daniels as the third quarterback option in your draft strategy.

Heath Cummings [01:16]: “Almost always. What I do is just wait until somebody takes one of Lamar or Josh Allen and then I take Jaden Daniels... Biggest takeaway from me in this would be draft the third quarterback.”

Adam Aizer supports Heath's enthusiasm by drawing parallels to Cliff Kingsbury's tenure with Kyler Murray, highlighting Daniels' potential dual-threat capability.

Adam Aizer [01:45]: “I just love the usage. You don't see quarterbacks rush more than a hundred times a year and also throw 35 or more passes per game. I think that's a real possibility for Jaden Daniels.”

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2. Dominant Running Back Forecast

Next, Heath presents an unexpected top-tier projection for the running back position:

Heath Cummings [03:01]: “I have Devon Achane projected to score more PPR fantasy points than any other running back in the NFL. His first 1000-yard rushing season... 1196 yards rushing, 9.9 rushing touchdowns, 95 targets, 76 catches, 584 yards receiving, and 4.3 touchdowns.”

Key Insights:

• Draft Strategy: Heath has consistently targeted Achane in the fifth round over the past two drafts and anticipates drafting him in the eighth round for a 14-team league.

Heath Cummings [03:34]: “I have taken him fifth in each of the last two drafts I've done. I have my 14 team FSGA experts draft starting in about 40 minutes and I really anticipate that I will take Achane at eighth because he doesn't go until round two.”

• Performance Metrics: Achane's projected 1857 total yards and 21 touchdowns position him as a potential RB1 in PPR formats.

• Offensive Line Concerns: The discussion touches on the Dolphins' offensive line performance, with Heath noting a projected need for efficient pass-catching from Achane to offset any line shortcomings.

Heath Cummings [05:14]: “I do not expect the Dolphins to have a good offensive line... it would have to be in full PPR by leading the position in targets, receptions, and receiving yards, which I project Achane to do.”

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3. Wide Receiver Outlook

Shifting to the wide receiver slot, Heath offers a contrarian view on Mike Evans:

Heath Cummings [06:47]: “I do not have Mike Evans projected to top 1000 yards for the first time I believe in his NFL career... 71 catches for 915 yards and nine touchdowns on 111 targets.”

Analysis: Heath questions Evans' ability to maintain top-tier performance at age 32, citing historical declines in similar-aged receivers like DeAndre Hopkins and Keenan Allen.

Adam Aizer [07:43]: “Last year changed everything with age at running back, but not necessarily at receiver because DeAndre Hopkins and Keenan Allen fell off the age 32 cliff last year...”

Heath argues that Evans' efficiency might dip due to factors like team changes and defensive adjustments.

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4. Tight End Surprises

The tight end position isn't left out of Heath's surprising projections. He spots potential in Sam LaPorta:

Heath Cummings [08:47]: “I think it's probably Sam LaPorta who I basically have Projected to score 10 fantasy points per game, 66 catches, 728 yards, six touchdowns on 91 targets.”

Key Points:

• Performance Trends: Despite a slow start to the season, LaPorta's late-game performance and increased target share indicate a strong breakout potential.

Adam Aizer [08:58]: “Sam LaPorta had a very interesting season... He played 16 games. But first, 11 games he was really bad.”

• Future Potential: With Jared Goff showing promise as a tight end alternative, Heath emphasizes the importance of projecting target shares accurately to maximize value.

Heath Cummings [09:54]: “So a 20 target share... as long as he continues to score at a very high rate, which he has done two years in a row.”

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5. Team Dynamics and Their Fantasy Impact

A significant portion of the discussion revolves around the Detroit Lions and how their offensive strategies could influence fantasy outcomes:

Adam Aizer [10:35]: “How run heavy are they? How much are they using David Montgomery? Or did they just say, you know what, we had a lot of success scoring late last season throwing the ball.”

Heath highlights the uncertainty surrounding David Montgomery's role under the new offensive coordinator, suggesting that a shift towards a more pass-heavy offense could elevate Jared Goff's value.

Heath Cummings [11:12]: “If Montgomery disappears, then I'm going to be very happy that I have Jared Goff ranked six spots higher than he's being drafted.”

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6. Final Thoughts and Upcoming Episodes

As the episode wraps up, Adam and Heath reiterate the significance of these projections for fantasy managers. They tease future discussions and analyses that promise to further aid listeners in making informed draft decisions.

Adam Aizer [11:53]: “Lions, obviously a team that will influence a lot of fantasy leagues. We will talk to you tomorrow on FFT Express.”

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Conclusion

This episode of FFT Express offers a treasure trove of unconventional and bold projections that challenge traditional fantasy rankings. Heath Cummings and Adam Aizer provide compelling arguments backed by statistical analysis and team dynamics, equipping listeners with the insights needed to gain a competitive edge in their leagues. Whether you're rethinking your quarterback strategy or scouting for undervalued tight ends, this episode delivers valuable foresight to help you dominate your fantasy football season.

Transcript

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[Adam Azer]

Hold onto your hats. Projections that will shock you right now on Fantasy Football Today Express. Welcome everybody. Adam Azer and Heath Cummings here. Heath shock us. Just dazzle us with some crazy projections.

[Heath Cummings]

I have Jaden Daniels projected to score more fantasy points than than any other quarterback in the NFL. My projection for him, 4262 passing yards, 28 passing touchdowns, 814 rushing yards and five and a half rushing touchdowns.

[Europe United Representative]

That'd be a pretty good season. Do you draft him first overall?

[Heath Cummings]

Almost always. What I do is just wait until somebody takes one of Lamar or Josh Allen and then I take Jaden Daniels and I think in our pick by pick actually Allen went first, then Daniels and then Jackson and I don't really have much of a difference between them so I don't care. Biggest takeaway from me in this would be draft the third quarterback.

[Adam Azer]

Okay, I one thing I love about him is Cliff Kingsbury and his track record with Kyler Murray because Kyler Murray in his first. Let me just make sure these all line up with Kingsbury. Kingsbury was there from 2019 to 2022. So in those years Kyler Murray was on pace or Kyler Murray averaged 34.9, 36.5, 34.4 and 38.9 pass attempts per game while also being on pace for 571, 925, 514 and 706 rushing yards. And I just love the usage. You don't see. You don't see quarterbacks rush, you know, more than a hundred times a year and also throw 35 or more passes per game. I think that's a real possibility for Jaden Daniels. I don't know about 35, but. But to be a lot more pass heavy than Lamar Jackson and not be too far behind in rushing totals. Exciting.

[Heath Cummings]

Yeah, I was just looking past attempts per game. I have him at 33.4 and Jackson's.

[Adam Azer]

Usually around 28 or so.

[Heath Cummings]

Right.

[Adam Azer]

Okay, how about your next shocking projection?

[Heath Cummings]

I have Devon HN projected to score more PPR fantasy points than any other running back in the NFL. His first 1000 yard rushing season. Kind of weird that he hasn't had one of those yet. 1196 yards rushing, 9.9 rushing touchdowns, 95 targets, 76 catches, 584 yards receiving and 4.3 touchdowns.

[Adam Azer]

Okay, so this is a guy that you end up drafting a lot because.

[Heath Cummings]

I have taken him fifth in each of the last two drafts I've done. I have my 14 team FSGA experts draft starting in about 40 minutes and I really anticipate that I will take a Chan at eighth because he doesn't go until round two. According to ADP somehow how many fantasy points did Asian average with two at last year?

[Adam Azer]

22.6. Which is essentially what Gibbs and Barkley. I mean it's basically RB1. That's PPR 2023. He played nine games with 39 or more of the snaps in his rookie season and he was. He didn't really get used that much, but on pace for 1857 total yards and 21 touchdowns.

[Heath Cummings]

That's good.

[Adam Azer]

Yeah, I know, it's. It's really amazing.

[Heath Cummings]

And what solidified this for me was like I already had HN higher than most and ahead of Gibbs. And I think it's almost certain that however many games Achan plays with TUA and however many games Gibbs plays with Montgomery, Achan's going to be better than Gibbs for those games. You're going to need a significant missed period of time for TUA and or Montgomery for Gibbs to be better than Devon. Hn.

[Adam Azer]

Are you worried about the offensive line? It's. It's not really common. The only time that I remember I looked, I did this research a couple days ago of a running back finishing number one overall and having a horrible offensive line was Austin Eckler. And that was a year where Eckler just had a ton of catches. So is that concern?

[Heath Cummings]

Yeah, I mean, I don't think the Dolph, I don't expect the Dolphins to have a good offensive line. I'm not sure that they're going to have a horrible offensive line, but if you were going to do that, it would have to be in full PPR by leading the position in targets receptions and receiving yards, which I project a CHAN to do.

[Adam Azer]

Okay. Also, they were pretty bad offensive line last year. PFF had them 27th and run blocking. ESPN had them 26. Could be worse, but they've already been bad. All right, we'll take a break and give you a couple more shocking projections after this.

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[Adam Azer]

All right, welcome back. So we've talked about QB1 Jaden Daniels, RB1 Devon Achan. Here's a guy that's definitely not going to be wide receiver 1 give me a wide receiver projection.

[Heath Cummings]

I do not have Mike Evans Projected to top 1000 yards for the first time I believe in his NFL career and I've got him just, just under that at I'm getting it. 71 catches for 915 yards and nine touchdowns on 111 targets. It's an insane touchdown rate, but that's what pretty much what he's always done. That does not make him a top 20 wide receiver for me. He was on pace for 878 yards when he played with Chris Godwin last year in six healthy games and they added a Mecca Buka and they keep talking about how much they love him and he's going to be a part of the offense and there's a chance that the efficiency is not as good, partially because it was so insanely good last year and partially because they lost Liam Cohen.

[Adam Azer]

Okay, this is my and he's 32 the third. Okay, the 32 thing.

[Europe United Representative]

We better be right about that because.

[Adam Azer]

Adams and Evans, you have to invest some pretty big draft capital. Last year changed everything with age at running back, but not necessarily at receiver because DeAndre Hopkins and Keenan Allen fell off the age 32 cliff last year and it happens time and time again. Will it happen at Evans and Adams? It's a really big question, Heath and I, I don't know the answer well.

[Heath Cummings]

And I think also the only thing I would push back is last year instead of saying it changed everything at running back, I would say it bucked everything at running back. It's gonna have to happen for a couple more a couple more running backs besides Derrick Henry and the guys that happened with last year. But yeah, it's it was an outlier and it's possible that Adams and or Evans have an outlier in that regard. Those happen, but I just don't want to project it.

[Adam Azer]

Yeah. All right. And give me a tight end projection. That's shocking.

[Heath Cummings]

I think it's probably Sam Laporta who I basically have Projected to score 10 fantasy points per game, 66 catches, 728 yards, six touchdowns on 91 targets.

[Adam Azer]

Six touchdowns. Wow. And yeah, he's going to be taken with a top 60 pick in a lot of leagues. Certainly top 70. Sam Laporta had a very interesting season because, and I feel bad if you listen to the full length episode of the tight end tiers, this is one guy we pretty much skipped. He ended up as tight at nine per game. He was on pace for 88 targets. He played 16 games. So his stats are mostly what, what you see there. But first, 11 games he was really bad. He was tight end, 16 per game. Jared Goff averaged 28 pass attempts per game last six games. He was amazing. He was on pace for 130 targets. And Jared Goff averaged 40 pass attempts per game and was on pace for 5,553 yards, 45 touchdowns and 17 interceptions. He did have a 20 target share in those last six games. Was he just getting healthy?

[Europe United Representative]

If you give him a 20 target.

[Adam Azer]

Share, I think he's gonna have a good year. Heath, I don't know what if you have that available.

[Heath Cummings]

So a 20 target share. Let's see what I've got. Jared Goff projected for. In terms of targets, it's 569. So 569 times 20%. It's going to get you 113 targets.

[Adam Azer]

Yeah.

[Heath Cummings]

That, that, that will be good. As long as he continues to score at a very high rate, which he has done two years in a row. We'll see how much Ben Johnson impacts it.

[Adam Azer]

All right, so thank you very much. In case you're curious, by the way, in those last six games he out targeted Jameson Williams who had a 17% target share.

[Europe United Representative]

And actually Heath, I think with a.

[Adam Azer]

New offensive coordinator, I just wonder are they going to be as run heavy? I could see a scenario where you're too low on everyone because David Montgomery is the one that's really suffering that they take, they phase him out of the offense. They're a more balanced offense. Gibbs is the lead rusher and he's doing his thing as a receiver and golf's throwing the ball a lot and then the Lions are going to really come through. If Montgomery still has his role, that's, that's where I think your projections make a lot of sense.

[Heath Cummings]

And I, what I would say is I'm not quite too low on everybody. If Montgomery disappears, then I'm going to be very happy that I have Jared Goff ranked six spots higher than he's being drafted.

[Adam Azer]

There you go. But that's the interesting one to me is like, how run heavy are they? How much are they using David Montgomery? Or did they just say, you know what, we had a lot of success scoring late last season throwing the ball. We get back to that, I and.

[Heath Cummings]

I to my perspective or impression is that David Montgomery is very much a Dan Campbell guy.

[Adam Azer]

He's good. And their defense fell apart late last year too. So. All right, Lions, obviously a team that will influence a lot of fantasy leagues. We will talk to you tomorrow on FFT Express.

[Heath Cummings]

Have a good one.

[Europe United Representative]

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