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FFT Express - Super Bowl 60 Fantasy Preview! Players We Love & Hate | Patriots vs Seahawks (02/06 Fantasy Football Podcast)
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- [00:00]
A
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B
Adam Azer, Jamie Eisenberg getting you all set for the big game, Seattle and New England. All right, Jamie, we're going to talk DFS here.
- [02:29]
A
Have you created any new lineups since we last spoke?
- [02:32]
C
I have not. I have 10 lineups that you can actually read on the site on CBSSports.com five on DraftKings, five on FanDuel.
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B
Okay.
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A
Pretty cool.
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B
Do you have a favorite I don't.
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C
Know if I have a favorite. I tried to do like a Seattle slated lineup for each side of New England. Slated lineup, free, slight slanted lineup, free site.
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D
And I guess slate is the wrong.
- [02:57]
C
Word to use when you're talking about slate. And then some mixed, you know, just to kind of switch it up a little bit. But tried to get at least, you.
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D
Know, some sampling of almost all the key players.
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C
I didn't really change up a lot.
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D
Of the captain slash MVPs. I used a lot of the same.
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C
Guys for those spots but, but mixed up the other stuff a little bit.
- [03:15]
B
So what is your strategy with the captain slash mvp? Because they're getting one and a half times as many points as everyone else in your lineup.
- [03:24]
C
Excuse me, I cough. I think for, for that spot I want to try to maximize the points. Obviously, you know, so you mentioned earlier today on our full length episode, like you have Hunter Henry in, in the MVP in your MVP or captain's battle for you. Which one you said that makes sense to be different. You know, obviously he, if he has a big game then you're going to be thrilled about that. I think he said he's going to use Jason Myers. Right. Because he's expecting a lot of field goals.
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B
Yeah.
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C
So you want to be different if you can. But I think you also want to have the person who's gonna score the most points there too, you know, so there's different ways to go about it. I, I think there's like there, there's, there's certain strategies like you can just put the like four best players, use that for your salary and then just throw like two cheap guys and they're not gonna do anything and just hope, you know, you can maximize it that way. But there's just always different ways when it comes to the showdown lineup to sort of, sort of maximize that. If you go cheaper though, on draftkings, you get more options because of the pricing changes.
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A
Who do you think is going to.
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B
Score the most fantasy points?
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C
Usually it's going to be the quarterbacks, you know, so you know, you lean that way if you, if you trust the quarterbacks. But I can't see Sam Darnold having a big game without JSN having a big game. So you know, he's, he's obviously somebody that's going to be in play for a 20 point PPR type of game, a 30 PPR type of game. You know, he has just that much upside. He had 10 games this season with at least 10 targets, including the playoffs and he averaged 25.1 PPR points per game in those 10. Wow.
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A
It's a tough matchup for him.
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B
And he's only faced. JSN's only faced three defenses that are currently I guess finished top 10 against wide receivers. He had one great game, one fine game and one bad game. But he seems pretty match approved. They did use Christian Gonzalez to shadow Cortland Sutton for the most part, two weeks ago, their most recent game. Do you think that's gonna happen? You think he's going to shadow Chris jsn?
- [05:25]
C
If it's me and it's the biggest game of the season and that's the most important player on the other side of the ball, I'm putting my best guy on him, you know, I mean look, Cooper Cups had, you know, a couple of decent games, obviously a couple of good games, a few good games throughout the course of the season and he's been here before. Former Super Bowl MVP Rashid Shahid is obviously their speed threat and is going to make plays. But this, this is the guy that makes this offense go in jsn. And so I'm putting Christian Gonzalez on him. I'm putting a safety over the top. I'm probably putting a linebacker underneath. You know, I'm going to make him, I'm going to make things as difficult for JSN as as possible.
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D
That being said, I don't know how you stop him because he's that good.
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C
But I'm gonna do everything I possibly can to make that happen.
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A
Let's talk about the players in this.
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B
Game that actually get targets and we'll talk about the running backs in a bit.
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A
But you know, Cooper cup gets targets. Although he has had his consecutive games.
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B
With double digit fantasy points for the first time since man, I think October twice last season.
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C
Seven.
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B
Yeah, yeah. So Cooper cup with 11 targets in his last two games. It's the first.
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A
The last time it happened was weeks.
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B
Five and six, three touchdowns this season for cup including the postseason.
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A
Rashid Shahid almost never gets started.
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B
I mean you're talking two or three a game basically for Rashid Shahid.
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C
He has yet to score an offensive touchdown with the Seahawks.
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B
Jake Bobo, I mean it's a, it's.
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A
A complete dart throw in a prayer.
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B
Demario Douglas, same thing.
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A
The but Keisha Booty and Mac obviously Stefan Daisies targets. Keisha Booty and Mac Hollins get targets. Hunter Henry gets targets.
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B
Now are all four digs Henry and those two wide receivers going to get targets in the same game? No, not necessarily but.
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A
And Hooper Austin Hooper very rarely.
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B
You're not. You're usually not going to see more than two targets in a game for Hooper.
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C
And A.J. barner has been non existent in the playoffs.
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A
He has been, but at least he did have a stretch.
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B
He ended the season with three or more catches in six of his last eight games. 5.7 or more PPR fantasy points in six of his last eight games. At least he had that. But you're right, he has pretty much disappeared in the two postseason games. So I just want just some stats there for you, just to let you know who's actually getting targets.
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A
Jamie and I will talk about the running backs. Potentially two featured back. Definitely gonna have one feature back in this game.
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B
Ramandre could be the other based on what happened in the Denver game.
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A
But two of the best run defenses in football.
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B
What does it mean for your DFS lineups when we come back?
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E
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A
All right, so look, you got to pay up a little bit here for Ramandre and for Ken Walker. Who do you like better?
- [08:28]
C
I mean, I lean Ken Walker just because I I think he's more explosive and there's I think less likely a chance that George Holani steals work from him than there is Trevion Henderson. Like you could see the Patriots like five or six design plays for Trevion Henderson to get him out in space and see if he can make an explosive play. And I know Holani had some plays in the passing game against the Rams and that will certainly show up. I think. Again, you know you brought it up in terms of props that one and a half receptions. That seems like an easy over to play even though the odds aren't great. But I just think that Ken Walker has small sample size. But three games this season where Zach Charbonnet was either out or did not Play the majority of the game and it's 18 PPR points or more like that's hard to overlook. The role in the passing game is hard to overlook when Charbonnet is not on the field. And really the touchdowns, six touchdowns combined in those three games. So he had a two touchdown game in week three against New Orleans. He had a three touchdown game against the 49ers. Then he had the one touchdown last week against the Rams. Like that's the biggest thing I think that changes for him is he doesn't come off the field in any short yardage situations, especially near the goal line. So I would lean Walker, but I also think that as good as Seattle's run defense is, when Milton Williams is on the field, the Patriots run defense is almost elite. Like what They've done first 11 games of the season when he was healthy and active. And I know Spillane in and out, you know, wherever you want to take around it. But just Milton Williams alone, two touchdowns to running backs in the first 11 games. In the last four games since he's been back Week 18 in the three playoff games, no rushing touchdowns, no touchdowns to running backs. Like they're averaging almost two yards per carry. It's, it's, it's pretty dominant.
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B
And a running back hasn't had a run longer than 10 yards in those four games.
- [10:09]
C
Yeah, and, and again, you know, they face Houston, that's not a great running team. They face Denver with a backup quarterback.
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B
Without Omarion Hampton. Hampton got hurt right away and offensive.
- [10:18]
C
Line issues, you know, so, you know, a lot of what New England's numbers are are very weighted because of who they played, you know, and, and not to take anything away from, they're here, but a lot of it is because of this quarterback missing. That coach was fired. This team was missing that, that team was missing this, you know, so they've, they sort of, you know, work their way productively and successfully to the spot. And again, not to take anything away from them, but we'll see if this is another one of those games. And again, we're not talking about an elite offense by any stretch. You know, this certainly Seattle's performance has been great and they've turned things up lately. You know, going back to basically that overtime win against the Rams, you know, Sam Darnold has looked much better. Obviously Walker has started to perform better in JSN's elite. But we're still not talking about, you know, greatest show on turf type offense. You know, this is still a very, I think, slightly above average offense. At best.
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B
All right, so we'll just finish it with this.
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A
Who are some guys that you feel.
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B
Like are, are must haves in a fantasy lineup or maybe just the best bargain, something like that.
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A
Recommendations?
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C
Well, I think, you know, the, the high end guys are kind of obvious. You know, you should be looking at some combination of Drake, May, Sam Darnold.
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D
JSN and the two running backs.
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C
I think those are the safest plays. Then you sort of go to that.
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D
Next tier of guys and it's Diggs, maybe Hunter Henry, maybe Cooper Cup. But you know, there's not, that's not very, a very deep group. I think it's really that that next group of guys like who you trying to get, that's the cheaper options or can sort of backfill and maybe still have some production. So as I said on the, on the show earlier today, like I have a lot of Jake Bobo just because he's cheap. And if he catches a pass, it may be a red zone pass, it may be a touchdown. Again, he hasn't done very much that he's got four catches on the season, but two of them come in the last two playoff games. I think you're looking at Rashid Shahid because if there is a splash play that can get a broken tackle or something, you know, that's the type of player that can, you know, be a difference maker and, and swing a matchup for you. So he's cheap enough. Also you brought up a great scenario about, you know, Tariq Wolin and what he allows or, or has allowed and what that could mean for Keisha Booty. I think, you know, you listened to the show earlier today. Matt Collins. So Matt Collins comes back last week against the Broncos after a four game absence with an abdomen injury where they place him on IR and he gets two catches for 51 yards. Well, the two previous games that he played before getting hurt, he had 17 combined targets in those two games. One of those he had 13 and a half or 13.9 PPR points. He had six games this season with at least five targets and in three of them he's been 13.9 PBR points or more. So you know, there, there are guys that are going to show up here. It's just not one of these off. It's not like the Rams where, you know, they, the two receivers were the only two players that caught passes against Seattle in, in their last game. That was it.
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C
You know, I'm sorry.
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D
The only two receivers that caught past Titans were involved, but it wasn't like A very deep receiving core, as we, as we well know with, with the Rams, you know, so this is like a wide open group. You know, you mentioned Austin Hooper. It could be him. We could see Demario Douglas have a play, score a touchdown against the Texans, you know, in, in the playoffs already. I think for Seattle, you know, it could be A.J. barner, could be, you know, Jake Bobo, could be somebody that just hasn't been productive lately. Could be George Holani on a swing pass, you know, something along those lines. You know, so there's just a lot of different ways you can go with this, which makes it fun and, and your lines could be diverse, but it also, you know, could not necessarily lend itself to. Okay, at least you know what you're getting. You know, it's a lot of guessing.
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B
Yeah, I just think one of the questions that people are going to have to answer is you've got Walker for sure and it's probably Stevenson having big, big roles.
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A
Travion Henderson did have a shoulder injury.
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B
Going into the Broncos game. He ended up being a full participant by the end of the week. But was that the reason he played four snaps? You know, that was weird. If Travion gets back to playing a third of the snaps and Henderson's touches is 60 of what he had last.
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A
Week, then he's probably going to be the.
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B
Henderson's probably going to be too expensive or, sorry, Stevenson, it's probably going to be too expensive.
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A
But you just have to look at these running backs facing arguably the two.
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B
Best run defenses in the NFL and.
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A
Ask yourself, are they traps? You know, they seem obvious because they're.
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B
Feature backs and that's always great. And they're both involved in the passing.
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A
Game, but they might have bad games. There's only been when Milton Williams has played, there's only been two running backs.
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B
Who scored more than 13.5 PPR fantasy points all year against the Patriots when Milton Williams has been in the lineup. So, you know, it's a question you have to answer. I think there's certainly pros and cons to playing the running. Both of the running backs. But, you know, I have a lineup.
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A
I think I have. I only have two lineups.
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B
One of them has neither. One of them has just Ramandre Stevenson. But, you know, could see.
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C
One thing for this. We didn't see it from Stevenson in the Denver game, but he's been three of his last five. I think it was last six, three, three or more catches. And then what Walker has done in the last two games with his receptions Think seven catches in those two games. You know, so we are seeing these guys involved in the passing game, and I think that's where they're gonna have to win. You know, they're not going to do it by big games on the ground. At least the expectation based on the. The matchups and who they're facing. So, you know, Stevenson, 25 carries against the Broncos, 71 yards. Like, that's not going to cut it if you're talking about using him.
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B
Do you have one lineup handy?
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C
Sure.
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B
All right, give me one lineup.
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C
Which site?
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B
I do not care. You give me one side, I'll give you the other.
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C
Okay. I'll give you on FanDuel with. Sorry. The way they put on the art on the story is not great. I'll give you a Seattle slanted lineup on Fantal. So Sam Donald, mvp, JSN Flex Cooper Cup. Rashid Shahid, AJ Barner. And the other side would be Stefan Diggs.
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B
Okay. On DraftKings, I went Hunter Henry as the captain. We talked about it. Just on paper. Hunter Henry probably has the best matchup of any player in this game. Hunter Henry with jsn.
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A
Drake May, Mac.
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B
Hollins, Ramandre Stevenson and the Seahawks DST seems a little contradictory, but, like, we've seen Drake Macon have a good game and maybe fumble the ball, get sacked a few times, 15 times in the playoffs. So you can have the Seahawks DST get some turnovers. Drake make himself a good game.
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A
I. I think it's. I think it's gonna be kind of.
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B
A low scoring game. So, you know, the DSTs might be. Might be valuable, too. And the kickers. Don't forget about the kickers.
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A
All right, Jamie, thank you very much. Enjoy the Super Bowl.
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C
You too. Everybody listening as well.
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B
By the way, I went to the sandwich shop that I told you about today. They are getting evicted. So I will not have any sandwiches from athletes evicted.
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A
They weren't picking up their phone all week.
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B
So, like, you know what? I'm gonna drive over there and see what's going on. Smash, eviction notice right on the door.
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C
Damn.
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B
All right, we'll have to pivot.
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A
Have a good super bowl, everybody. See you.