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This is Fantasy Football Today from CBS Sports. What a play. Can you believe this? No, I can't.
C
It's time to dominate your fantasy league.
B
Off to the races and he stays on his feet. This is going to go the distance.
D
Now here's some combination of Adam, Dave, Jamie and Heath.
B
What's up everybody? Welcome to the show. It's Fantasy Football Today. I'm so excited for today's show. Five big mysteries for 2026 1. Will the Eagles offense bounce back? This is important because looking at Fantasy Pro's consensus rankings, most of the Eagles guys are ranked higher than where they finished. Maybe just a little bit higher in some cases, like Devonte Smith, way higher than where they finished last year. We're going to talk about some teams with kind of muddy receiver rooms. Who's going to lead them in receiving like the Bears and the 49ers and the Packers? What version of injured players will we get in 2026? Malik neighbors, Patrick Mahomes, Quintean Judkins, George Kittle? What are we looking at here? Will the wide receiver position bounce back? Guys, I'm going to give you a stat here. Here's how many wide receivers average 14 or more PPR fantasy points in the last five seasons? 27, 2023, 29, 16. That is the lowest. Tied for the lowest in at least 15 years. And. And will the sophomore running backs live up to the hype because they Kind of didn't as rookies. Good morning, Dave.
C
I had the number at 15 PPR points per game and it was similarly low in 2024. For example, 19 receivers had 15 plus PPR. 20, 25, 10. Hopefully it does bounce back, but there's reasons for it not to.
B
Yeah, we're gonna look at some NFL trends. Does the new kickoff rule have anything to do with this? Do quarterbacks just stink right now? Jamie, what's up?
E
Good morning.
B
What's up with all the Expos stuff?
E
I have two kids that play on Expos teams.
B
So different Expos teams.
E
Well, they're two different age groups. Yes.
B
Wow. Same hat. How about that, Heath? Is that a CBS Sports hat you have on?
F
It is.
D
It's. I think it was the first CBS Sports hat that I ever got. It's. It's pretty much if I wear a hat, the hat that I wear, it's been through some things. That's kind of what I like in a hat.
B
It's got character. I found. Recently found my old CBS Sports. Maybe they gave us jerseys with our last name on it. I put Rowan Gardner on the back.
E
Yes.
B
Yeah, I found that. I should have. I should. I should.
D
I don't think I was here for the jerseys.
C
No, I think I threw mine out.
D
That sounds exactly right.
B
All right, let's do some news and notes before we get into the mysteries. Lamar Jackson, you know, he doesn't always show up for OTAs, but he's showing up. He's in good spirits, apparently. Zay Flowers says Lamar Jackson's really excited about the new coaching staff and the new offense. So he's been amazing. But maybe some somehow rejuvenated here. That's a good sign for him.
D
He was also excited about the offensive lineman the Giants just signed.
B
Yeah, the Giants signed a former Ravens offensive guard who did not have a very good season last year. The Giants are a little weak on the interior of the offensive line. Atlanta edge. James Pierce is not with the team. He's a former. He's a first round draft pick from last year. Talented player, but he's facing four criminal charges. Also, their right tackle Caleb McGarry is retiring. He missed all of last year with a knee injury. And the Falcon signed former Kansas City right tackle Juwan Taylor to a one year, $5 million deal. You know, Jamie, we actually got an email about the Lions offensive line and. And if we're overrating Jameer Gibbs or not worrying enough about Jameer Gibbs with a lot of changes in the last couple of years on the Lions offensive line and now you look at the the Falcons offensive line. Obviously this is a guy they didn't have at all last year, but he is retiring and Juwan Taylor's an interesting player when he lines up properly. But what do you think about the offensive lines for the top two running backs in fantasy.
E
You obviously never like to see change when there's been success in the Lions case. For me it's more about what Jameer Gibbs should be able to accomplish and what in a small sample size he's already accomplished when David Montgomery hasn't been there. I do think Isaiah Pacheco is probably getting undervalued a little bit in terms of what he's going to do, but I don't think it's going to have the same impact as what David Montgomery previously did. So I think that Gibbs is in line for hopefully a monstrous season, which is why I have him number one overall. In the case of Bijan Robinson, I think from you just sort of alluded to this. We kind of saw what this offensive line was last year. I think it's going to be a very similar version of it. And I'm hopeful based on what Tua has done with his running backs in the passing game that that helps Bijan or keeps Bijon the same level. I don't think gets better than 100 targets, but I think keeps Bijan at a very similar level from a passing down perspective. And I think he's still one of the best runners in the league. So that's why they're my first two overall selections.
B
You know, if you had this conversation with people from different websites, you might get different versions. So PFF had the Atlanta Falcons with the 10th highest run blocking grade. ESPN had them with the 30th best run blocking grade. So how about that? ESPN had the the Lions at 20th and PFF had the Lions at 13th. So it's a different, it's a frustrating metric. You do get kind of a lot of these examples of the those two websites being way off in their their run blocking assessments. Not, not inaccurate, just different. I don't know who's accurate. And Houston picked up the fifth year options for edge rusher Will Anderson and quarterback C.J. stroud. All right, let's get into the mysteries. Any Scooby Doo fans here?
C
Where's your magnifying glass?
E
How could you not be a Scooby Doo fan?
D
Everybody loves Scooby Doo.
B
Do kids these days like Scooby Doo?
E
I don't think kids, I don't know Scooby Doo.
D
But kids don't watch TV anymore. Is Scooby Doo on YouTube?
B
My kids watch TV all the time, man, but never Scooby Doo. All right, mystery number one. Will the Eagles offense bounce back here? Here's where they've ranked in points per game in the four years with A.J. brown 2nd, 7th, 6th and 21st yards per game. 3rd, 8th, 8th and 24th plays per game. 5, 7, 3rd and 23rd. They've been a pretty slow pace team each of the last three years, but the last two years they've been 29th in pace. That's the amount of time left on the play clock before they snap the ball. So yeah, it's an important question because like I said, rankings have these guys kind of bouncing back and, and we need it. This is going to be one of the best offenses in football. Dave, will the Eagles offense bounce back?
C
I'm optimistic that they'll bounce back to a degree. I don't know if it's going to be right back to where they were and everybody will be awesome. And again, we don't know if A.J. brown's going to be a part of this team or not. Let's assume for this conversation that he is and that we know who the principles are of this offense. It's kind of easy to take what we saw from Jalen Hurts last year and to throw it out because he's got a track record of having a completion rate between 60 and 68% every other year of his career. His ADOT's between 8, 9, his off target rate isn't too high and last year was just a career worst year for him. We know about the issues with Kevin Petullo and the play calling. They brought in Sean Manion. I did a little bit of research on Sean Manion. He's a disciple from the Shanahan McVeigh coaching staff. He's worked with a bunch of coaches that you know of who have succeeded in that type of west coast offense. Not only do I expect them to do more zone running and that'll help obviously against the type of defenses that they think they're going to face based on last year, but I think there'll be a lot of easier throws on top of it for Jalen Hurts. And, and, and I, I think the end result will be probably better efficiency for Jalen Hurts with the same amount of at least rushing expectation to go along with it. And so it's, it's gonna mean a bounce back to some degree for Jalen Hurts. I, I, I Just, I, I think it makes him a value in fantasy drafts. Unless you. I, I know Heath has him ranked pretty high. I'm not sure if everybody else will feel that same way, but maybe he's on to something that Jalen Hurts is going to be worth taking. Where do you have him, Heath? Is, is he a top five qb, A top six qb?
D
He's in the top five. I think he's in the top five conversation. I think the fact that we're having like, we're starting this conversation with him and he finished last year as QB7 is like, if he bounces back, he has to be top four. Top three, like QB7 is the down year that we're all having the panic about. And honestly, I don't really think it had much to do with the passing. The, the, the big drop off for Jalen Hurts last year was in the rushing. He ran for 420 yards, which is 200 less yards than he'd ever run for in a season. He ran for eight touchdowns.
B
It was the.
D
But he'd been in double digits four straight years. If you look at his passing efficiency last year, his yards per attempt were down, but his touchdown rate was higher than his career mark. It was actually a career high 5.5% touchdown rate. His completion percentage was 64.8%, just slightly better than what his career average is like. The, the yards per attempt and the way that it looked was frustrating, but in terms of why he didn't score more fantasy points, the tush push wasn't as good for Philadelphia as it's been in the past. He only scored eight rushing touchdowns and he ran for 200 fewer yards.
B
He ran a lot less. Right. I mean, it was the attempts per, it wasn't the per carry. It was just. He kind of stopped running. And I think that's a big deal for the, for the offense. So does he need to get back to that? But I do think, like just looking at. Jalen Hurts was QB7 per game last year. Saquon Barkley was RB15 per game, 16 per game in full PPR. AJ Brown was wide receiver 12 per game in full PPR. Although that again is in a bad year like the previous year, he would have been wide receiver 23 per game with the same amount of points per game. Devonte smith was wide receiver 30 per game. So they came off a down. Oh, Dallas Goddard was top five tight end per game, top six.
D
And I think as far as the wide receivers go, like, their potential bounce probably is answered by Does Dallas Goddard have double digit touchdowns again because he's never been a good touchdown guy before last year. And he stole touchdowns from A.J. brown and Devonte Smith, right?
B
Yeah. And it was in a very designed way where he got a bunch of targets inside the five yard line. If you go back and watch all his touchdowns, there are a lot of kind of gadget plays, screen passes for him, little shovel passes for him. When they got near the end zone, that's just who they looked for and it never happened before in Dallas. Goddard's career, I don't know if it's going to happen again. But yeah, he did definitely take because they, because as far as a lot of the offensive stats were much worse for them but the one that wasn't was touchdown passes. They're always kind of right around 25ish touchdown passes and I think they were again last year. Okay, so Jamie, what's your confidence level in, in the Eagles bouncing back and what do you think their ceiling is? Can they be a top, you know, seven offense again?
E
They obviously can because of the personnel that they have. I think the biggest thing also is can the offensive line stay healthy? You know, they had so many different injuries last year and you're talking about a group that's clearly getting older, specifically Lane Johnson. So you know, he's kind of been the, the key to Jalen Hurts, his success. When he's been on the field. Jalen Hurts has been awesome when he's been off the field. We've seen her struggle. Makes sense when you lose one of your key pieces. But as Dave alluded to, you know, I think Sean Manion coming in doing some different things. Hopefully based on the ESPN story that came out last week, we see Jalen Hurts take to that. This could also be a team where the bottom falls out. You know, there's been so much talk about, you know, is this the right coach, is this the right quarterback, is this the right team to keep together? You know, are they going to have to hit the reset button at some point and maybe they do after the season, but hopefully it's, it's another year of these guys, you know, playing at a high level. I think the thing about Hertz running, you know, as running quarterbacks age, they run less and so I hope he hasn't hit that point yet and will still give us that 500 plus yards. I don't know if we get 600 plus yards but 500 plus yards. So hopefully, you know, somewhere in the middle of where he was last year compared to where he's Typically been. I think the tush push will stay. So you're still going to get that sort of floor from him from a touchdown perspective. But I think just, you know, as long as A.J. brown stays there, Jalen Hurts has the chance to still be a very successful fantasy quarterback. If A.J. brown leaves, you know, we've been saying what the Patriots like devonte Smith could be an absolute monster.
D
Yeah.
E
If that happens and, you know, that changes, you know, you know, you want to talk about fixing the receiver position, maybe we get two benefits from one trade with, you know, Brown still being a very good fantasy option and then devonte Smith being this, this superstar. So that's something to keep an eye on there from the, you know, eventual conversation we may be having NFL draft weekend or post NFL draft. But I think just looking at it, you know, to answer your question, yes, they're too good of players. They're. There's too talent there. Barkley is, you know, kind of at that age and, you know, concern level after what we saw last year, you know, can he bounce back to anything close to 2024? I don't think that's realistic, but I do think you could see maybe a point or two better of what he performed last year from a, you know, fantasy production standpoint. So he's still worth taking in the. In the round two ish range. Again, we've seen him go in our drafts and at least a couple of them early round three. I don't think he gets out of round two from an ADP standpoint. So I think it's worth the risk. Just at the back end of round two more. So in the early part around two.
D
Adam, are the Eagles. The Bizarro Chargers?
B
What does that mean?
D
I always joke about how we're like every year is going to be the Chargers year, and we're always super excited about the Chargers and there's always so much concern about the Eagles and whether Nick Sirianni is the right guy or Jalen Hurts is the right guy. And there's probably one team or fan base that would not trade the last five years with what the Eagles have had the last five years under Sirianni.
B
Yeah, you're right. I mean, there's always panic about them and I mean, they still won the division last year, right. So. But they had a great defense. That was part of it. All right, I gotta take a break and then I'm gonna ask you one more question about the Eagles and then Pizarro Chargers is a good call. All right, we'll be right back on Fantasy Football today.
E
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B
All right, for those of you watching on YouTube, our new UFC show is coming this Monday, April 13th. Great group of guys and we can't wait for this show as part of the CBS Sports Pod family. So we've got a new UFC show and we're really excited for it and this coming up on Monday. All right, so last question about the Eagles is okay. Like I said, they finished 21st and points per game after three straight years in the top seven. Dave, Heath, Jamie, predict where they'll finish in points per game this year.
E
14.
C
We're assuming that AJ Brown's there. Yeah, yeah, I'll go top. Well, top 12.
D
I'll go top 10 and 14th.
B
Okay, so we'll average it out and say 12. Next topic. I'm gonna give you guys five teams. You tell me who's going to lead the team in receiving. Jamie, we'll start with you on Chicago. Who leads the team in receiving?
D
Oh, when you say receiving, do you mean receptions? Receiving yards, Receiving touchdowns or fantasy points?
B
Receiving or all the above? Receiving yards.
D
Receiving yards. Okay. Yeah, I just wanted to get the projection sorted by that.
B
Should we do fantasy points? Because that's kind of.
C
What's the name of the show?
B
It's Receiving yards Today.
C
Hashtag Ask Ryt.
B
It's a spin off. You know what? We could do fantasy points. We could do fantasy points. Let's throw touchdowns and catches in there, too. Chicago Bears, Jamie Colston. Loveland Heath, Dave Luther, Burton.
C
Loveland.
B
How close are your projections?
D
I think they're like 10 points apart.
B
And where's Odunze?
D
Like 20 points behind that or 10 points behind that, like any of them could. But I've got Burden the highest.
B
Okay, how about the 49ers?
E
Mike Evans.
B
Yeah.
D
Christian McCaffrey.
B
McCaffrey led them in receiving last year. He had 129 targets. What happened?
C
If we're doing fantasy points, it's definitely McCaffrey.
B
Well, not necessarily, because Evans, you know, could catch 10, touch.
C
Oh, Evans might run 250 times.
D
No, no, we're doing fantasy points. Not counting rushing yards, obviously. Or rushing scor.
C
Okay, in that case, I'm feeling better about Evans now.
E
A lot better.
B
Just receiving. Receiving total fantasy points here. Evans versus McCaffrey. If Kittle plays, week one is even. Is he part of this discussion? Yep.
E
I mean, kills should be part of the discussion. He plays in week five. Yep.
B
Yeah. So why, Jamie? Why is this not an easy Mike Evans?
E
Well, I mean, he's, you know, in his early 30s. He's switching teams. He's going to have still if Kittle is there and obviously with McCaffrey and hopefully a healthy Ricky Piersol and maybe Christian Kirk, some still pretty significant competition for target. So on paper, for me, it should be Evans. But it wouldn't shock me if Pierce hall is the guy that Brock Purdy leans on and plays a full season. It's just hard to count on that based on his career. It wouldn't shock me if George Kittle's healthy and that's the guy that leads them in touchdowns and that pushes him past Evans. From a fantasy points perspective, could just be all three of these guys similar to Chicago, in. In a very close range, and just one guy is slightly better than the other.
B
Last year, McCaffrey averaged 50. Wait, how many yards per game? Sorry, 54 yards per game. George Kittle averaged 57 yards per game. It was about 60 yards per game if you remove week one, which he left in the first quarter or early second quarter. Evans averaged 47 yards per game last year. Horrible. That was after three straight years averaging 70 yards per game. So hope we need to bounce back statistically from Evans.
E
There's a wild card to all this, though, and that's. What if they do end up keeping Brandon Iuk and he does play for them?
B
Yeah. Yeah, they might. All right, next team. So. So we've got for Chicago, we had two votes for Loveland and one for Burden. For San Francisco, we had two Evans and one McCaffrey. Was it? Yep. All right, how about the Colts? Who's going to lead the Colts in receiving?
C
Alec Pierce, Tyler Warren?
D
I have Tyler Warren.
B
Man, we can't get any consensus.
D
Well, that's kind of the whole point, right? Our mysteries.
C
Yeah.
B
Yeah. Heath, what are your projections showing? Oh, that, by the way, in fantasy points. Not. Not receiving yards. My bad.
D
Yeah, I've got Warren and pierce right around 12 PPR fantasy points per game with Warren just slightly higher.
B
Okay. Dave, how come you went with Pierce?
C
He averaged 5.6 targets per game last year without Michael Pitman there and with the financial commitment that they made, I think that he will see an uptick. He's had 15 plus PPR points in 10 of 19 career games with at least six targets. I think that number could get close to seven targets and I, I think his adot will come crashing down along with it. That's problem. But I think the volume will be better for Pierce along with the fact that he may be their best touchdown scorer outside of Jonathan Taylor, of course. And he could end up being well worth. He could be the type of player that we're drafting as a wide receiver. 3. And he finishes as a wide receiver too.
B
Okay, let's go to our next team who's going to lead the Pittsburgh Steelers in receiving?
E
DK Metcalf.
C
I almost don't care. I'm not excited about this, this receiving core whatsoever. If you want consensus, I'll give you consensus and say DK Metcalf don't care.
B
Metcalf for Dave.
C
That's how I spell it.
B
I think I, I made this case, you know, a couple months ago or, you know, it's about two months ago when free agency started. I think Pittman, assuming Aaron Rodgers is the quarterback, Pittman's a better fit for Rodgers than Metcalf. Those two guys, I mean, Metcalf really, I feel like, has to be a downfield threat. And Rogers doesn't do it. He just doesn't throw downfield. He's one of the lowest adot quarterbacks in the NFL for multiple seasons now. And I mean, Metcalf is coming off a terrible season where he was 850 yards, 17 game pace was 67 catches, 963 yards, 7 touchdowns on only 112 targets. With a quarterback who has a history of targeting the crap out of number one wide receivers on a team that had zero competition for targets, what was the pace again? 67 catches, 963 yards, seven touchdowns, 112 targets. And now you're adding Pittman. I just think Pittman's a better fit for what Aaron Rodgers can do right now. I was gonna say that is very,
D
very close to Michael Pittman's year last year. Over 17 games.
B
You're right, it is. But I mean, Pittman had Alec Pierce, Josh Downs, Tyler Warren. He had four quarterbacks or three quarterbacks. He was, he was awful in the last five games of the year without Daniel Jones. With Daniel Jones, his first nine games, he was the number 10 wide receiver per game. I don't know if that was all. Oh, no, I'm sorry. That was just the first nine games before. I don't I don't have the splits with Daniel Jones, but the first nine games he was a top 10 wide receiver per game, so. All right, that's just my case. Let's go to a more interesting one.
E
I don't think you're wrong. I mean, look, he's, he's gonna probably get more chances. Just as many chances as Metcalf.
C
Oh, I thought you were gonna say as many chances as he had last year. Do you want the numbers with Daniel Jones?
B
Sure. That'd be what, 12?
C
They're pretty good.
B
12 games.
C
12 games with Daniel Jones. Pitman averaged 13.8 PPR points per game, 8.8 and non 6.8 targets per game. But this is to Jamie's point. I don't think that either of These receivers see 6.8 targets per game. DK had 6.5 last year. Even that felt high. I also wouldn't say that Rogers never throws downfield. I just think he selectively does it and now he might do it even less because he'll feel better about Michael Pittman being an option compared to the other guys that he had in Pittsburgh last year.
E
Well, I think you got to factor in the, the play caller change though, because that's big for everybody here because, okay, Arthur Smith was certainly a problem, as we've seen, and Mike McCarthy has a trust in Aaron Rodgers and vice versa, I would assume. And I also think that now with Pittman there, I mean, DK Metcalf was the only option really, aside from Kenneth Gainwell in the passing game. So now you have another threat that defenses have to account for. So hopefully we see a somewhat bounce back season for Metcalf. To what degree is where you're going to buy into them. So I, I think that's kind of the, the way you should approach both of these guys. Like, I think if, if it goes the way I hope it goes, the value for both Metcalf and Pittman should be great. And so where you're drafting them, it's worth the potential to see what they can become.
B
What is the value here? I mean, what's where we talk?
E
I would think mid to late number three receivers.
C
I bet Pittman will even go further than that. Like he'll be a drafted as a bench receiver.
E
I agree.
C
I, I do worry about if McCarthy just assumes that he's got the same Aaron Rodgers from when they were together in Green Bay, because it's not the same Aaron Rodgers. Not even close. And so does that mean that McCarthy keeps his foot on the gas and he looks for a ton of plays per game like he's done pretty much every year of his coaching career. And what does that mean for Rogers? It certainly I don't think would be good for his. A dot might be good for just overall pass attempts and targets to everybody else, but I kind of feel like Rogers is what he is now, and that's just a really good ish game manager who just does not want to get his ass whipped when pass rush is coming at him.
E
Yeah, and and to your point about plays, I mean, I don't think Rogers is changing how he approaches the play clock. So that's not going to help Mike McCarthy.
B
Right, right.
C
Which in turn does not help the receivers.
B
Forgot a key piece here. Didn't play that once during the entire conversation and I totally should have. Somebody asked, do I have spooky music? Where was that question?
D
That was it.
B
Yeah. You know what I have on my mixer? A bunch of sound bites that say scary music, but I don't know what they sound like, but we can try to hit it.
E
Hit it.
D
A terrible idea.
B
All right, who's going to le.
E
I pray that there's a bad word here.
B
No, it's not. This is like out of Halloween. Who's gonna lead the Green Bay packers in receiving? Last year it was Romeo Dobbs.
C
Why am I laughing?
B
Heath? Who's it gonna be this year for the Packers? Tucker Craft coming off the. Ooh, scary. ACL injury. Dave, how about you? Who's going to lead the packers in.
C
I also like Craft.
B
Oh, interesting. I thought, well, Jamie's going Watson for sure. Jamie takes Watson to the second round.
E
Christian Watts.
B
There you go. We're more like the fifth or sixth round. Okay, so by the way, forgot until this morning, Christian Watson played against Denver in week 15 and he left with a shoulder injury and then he had a reduced snap share the next two games. So I've got a lot of stat manipulation to do for Christian Watson. Then he played 80 of the snaps in the playoffs and got seven targets. All right, so we got two crafts and a Watson. That's got to be pretty close, right? Any. Any, any Matthew golden love out there.
E
That's your guy.
B
This sucks. I draft Matthew golden once in a mock draft in March and now he's my guy. Fine. You know what? I'll own it.
E
Now listen, you're. You're. If I'm the Christian Watson guy, you're the Matthew golden guy. And we know our guy Brandon is the Savion Williams guy. So, you know, we all have A piece of the packers offense in some way, shape or form.
B
I've always been a Christian Watson guy, so I love the call. All right, next topic. Big mystery, scary mystery. We've got some injured superstars or superstars returning from injury. What version of that will we get? Malik Neighbors, Patrick Mahomes, Quinshawn Judkins. I forgot to put Tucker Craft in there. George Kittle, they're all coming off major injuries, but no Scatter Boo. Yeah, I forgot about Charbonnet. He's gonna be back probably later. But yeah, like yeah, geez, you know, there are so many guys. But why don't we focus on Neighbors?
C
No Tyreek.
D
I think he did a good job of choosing the best at each position.
B
Neighbors, Judkins, Mahomes and Kittle and Scatter Boo. Dave, what's going to be your approach to these injured players?
C
It's going to be different for each one depending on where they are in August or September. I already don't like hearing that Malik Neighbors won't be ready for the start of training camp and that his, his trajectory to return is maybe before the start of the season. That that's a little frustrating and I think it warrants him moving down a rank list and not being worth taking in round one. And if he's still not ready when we're drafting in mid August, dude, he's not going to be around 2 pick, maybe not even around 3 picks because it means that he could get off to a slow start, could re injure himself. There's like a whole bunch of problems and by then the Giants might even have another wide receiver on the team. Anyway, it'll be a year where we might not be excited about Malik Neighbors and then we'll see if that ends up being wrong or right. I'm not as worried about Mahomes coming back because there's a long list of quarterbacks that have torn ACL and they come back the next year and they tear it up. And it almost makes me wonder if Mahomes ends up being the best bargain on draft day because he's falling so far behind so many other quarterbacks when we know that he's got potential to be awesome. The one problem is that he hasn't been that awesome on a year long basis for how many years has it been? It feels like it's been a bunch of years, but it's really just been. It's been a bunch of years.
B
It's been four years, right? Well, what do you three.
C
He had 29 fantasy points per game and 2022.
B
Yeah.
C
And then so 2023 and 2024. Listen, 2024, he got it. He got hot at the end of the year. That obviously helped them make their super bowl run. We know how that ended for them. He averaged 28 fantasy points per game last year in six point in his first six without Rasheed Rice. And then Rice came back and first eight games, this includes Rice's first two games, it was at 28.8. It was even better. So I think we know that he can be outstanding. He's just gotta hold up. His line's gotta hold up. These are really big factors. I think it actually helps them that Kelsey's coming back. And I'm not that worried about the ACL for Patrick Mahomes. With Judkins I want to see where he's at. But even when he does come back, that's really an ugly offense. I don't want to trust a running back in that offense. Kittle, I'd be shocked if he's ready by week one and by the he might be somebody who ends up impacting fantasy second half of the year. Maybe we could say the same thing about Neighbors just with them giving them time and some grace to come back and be themselves. When in the case of Neighbors had a real serious injury. When the case of Kittle, not only do you have this serious injury, it happened so late in the season for him that you just got to assume that you're not going to get George Kittle as you know him for at least the first month, month and a half of the regular season.
B
So to go over the injuries, Neighbors, ACL and Meniscus Neighbors was ACL and Meniscus Mahomes was ACL and LCL Scatterboo. According to the quick AI we're talking about Judkins. Okay. But I will get them scatterable was dislocated ankle, fractured fibula and ruptured ligament.
D
Did he have the tightrope procedure?
B
I'm not sure. Judkins dislocated ankle and fractured fibula. So pretty similar. But much later in the year Kittle torn Achilles. It's not. It wasn't just an ACL for. For Mahomes and I think with Mahomes there have been quarterbacks who have come back and been great. You know Tom Brady had a pretty good. You're not amazing for him. The year after tearing his acl in week one, Carson Palmer had two, two great years after torn ACLs and for Palmer was an ACL and an MCL
C
at one year, he's had two ACL injuries.
E
Paul.
B
Yeah, and the first one he came
C
back and he stunk. He was, he wasn't good until he was there in Arizona. His. His ACL injury in Arizona.
B
Well, he had a solid year.
D
The, the big problem with Mahomes is I'm not particularly worried about the, the passing part of it.
B
Right.
D
But the re. And he was good. Like, I think he was QB3 last year before he got hurt. He was averaging four fantasy points per game. So he was very, very good last year, but he was very good because he had 422 rushing yards in 14 games and ran for five touchdowns and he's run for at least 300 yards in six straight seasons. And I'm afraid that number might be 100 this year. I just don't think. And then the other problem is part of the reason that he had to run around so much and did a fantastic job of it is he doesn't really have like any. Like if they get Carnell Tate in the draft or I guess they really like Jordan Tyson or maybe they take Lemon, like if they go get a good wide receiver, I'll feel a little bit better about him being able to just be a pocket passer and be elite again. But I don't think they really have guys that just get open.
B
Jamie, who are you the most concerned about in. In their recovery or that we're going to a year from now be like, well, he just wasn't fully healthy in 2025 or 2026 and now he's gonna finally be back. Like what we've seen with maybe a Chris Godwin in the past.
E
It's probably Kittle just because of when he had his injury and his age, you know. So I do think that he could still be a touchdown, you know, have. Have a good season scoring touchdowns. Obviously in terms of Judgins and Neighbors, we've seen what skill position players look like when they're coming off significant injuries, but they're so much younger. And so hopefully, you know, for Neighbors, when he got hurt and I know the reporting has not been great so far as Dave alluded to, you know, that he's going to come back, he's gonna miss a start training camp when he, when he does come back or start, you know that that's the expectation right now. Judkin seems to be on track for the start of the season, so that's good. And Mahomes, as the guys have alluded to, you know, can. Can come back and still be a good fantasy quarterback. I don't know if he'll be elite based on some of the things that were said but Kittle at his age, you know, with the additions that they've made, you know, so you have target competition. You have you know, a 33 year old tight end coming off an Achilles tear like that just makes me a little bit concerned.
C
I could already see us saying next year. Well Neighbors wasn't himself. Yeah, yeah this year he's gonna 20, 27, he's gonna be back, he'll be himself. We're gonna draft him close to a se. I could already see it happening.
D
Yeah. I think with Kittle I'm more concerned that it's just over with Neighbors and, and Neighbors probably is the one I feel the most concerned about because he's the only one that so far it hasn't fel has really pushed his ADP down like Mahomes gets drafted as QB 12 or 13 now and I think when does Judkins gets drafted? Round six or something of our mox A lot of times Kittle we're not even thinking about unless it's in the maybe Travis Kelsey range in the double digit rounds. But Neighbors is still being drafted as one of the elite wide receivers.
B
Judkins you know, concerns me. He really so I think I was wrong about him a year ago. I didn't really like him coming out of college and then he goes out as a rookie and he only averages 3.6 yards per carry. But I watched more tape of Judkins than probably any running back last year and I think he's awesome and I think his offensive line was so bad and I still think it's bad. Right. And. And they didn't really throw to him. You know I. You take out three games where he played less than 40% of the snaps being generous here and he was on pace for. For 23. Well not really because he had one 26 catches in 14 games. Let's just say that. So is he going to be involved in the passing game? Is he going to be efficient? Is he going to be fully healthy? If he's not really himself this year on a bad offensive line, probably a bad offense. It's going to be tough. He's going to have to be a mid round pick and right now in the consensus rankings he's RB24 which is. I think it's fine but you know
D
I think that may have been a bad use of Azer setting.
B
Why?
D
Because the three games that you took out where he played less than 40 of the snaps. He had 12 targets in those three games.
B
I know. I just went back to the 26 catches in 14.
D
You really hurt his receiving average by removing those games.
B
It was, it was better with Shadur Sanders, I will say that. But, you know, if the guy's not going to be involved in the passing game and he's running behind a bad offensive line on a bad offense, the odds are kind of stacked against him. Unless he's really himself. All right, let's take a break and talk about, I think, my favorite of the scary mysteries, the wide receivers. Will they bounce back in 2026? We'll tell you after this on Unsolved Fantasy Football Mysteries.
I
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B
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B
Wide receiver was bad last year. Passing games were bad last year. I'm gonna read you. Over the last 10 seasons, how many teams average fewer than 200 passing yards per game? 1220305419 so three of the last four seasons have been pretty high. But last year, nine teams averaged fewer than 200 passing yards per game. That is insane. That is almost as many as the previous four seasons combined. So it's, it's been a rough, it was a rough year for wide receivers. Will they bounce back? Because, Jamie, the way we're looking at drafts right now, it's, it's almost like you better get wide receiver early because that position gets kind of weak. However, you know, sometimes we get these down years and then regress right back to the mean the following year. So, you know, what's your take on wide receiver and whether that position will bounce back?
E
I guess I'm hopeful that it will bounce back. Just, you know, looking at you had. Not that he's gonna necessarily boost his receivers as much as he's going to boost himself, but yeah, you know, Jayden Daniels missing a good portion of the season. Yeah. Daniel Jones getting hurt at the end of the season. Yeah. Patrick Mahomes getting hurt at the end of the season. You know, you may have, from a, just a passing perspective, if TUA can have a good season, maybe better passing attack in Atlanta over the course of a full year, certainly in Minnesota, which has always been, you know, what we've looked at as, as a team that's going to help us in that regard. So in just some certain situations, you know, I'm hopeful that those teams will bounce back and those receiving cores will bounce back. But you know, I, I think that some of the things we've talked about off the air we'll bring up now. And I want to, you know, steal what the guys have been discussing, but it, it's, it to, to how you approach your fantasy drafts. First off, hope, you know, we, we did a fantasy football to express about Ryan Wilson's mock draft and I think we hated five of the seven receivers where they went. So if some of those guys, Carnell Tate and Jordan Tyson and some of these guys end up in good spots as opposed to him having takeo to the Rams, for example, you know, then we get, oh, wow, okay, this guy could be good and that guy could be good and this guy could help this, this, this team. Etc. So it's, it's kind of a little incomplete right now for me, but I, I still think like now you have and it could continue with the Eagles Patriot situation, some addition by subtraction, you know. So like we talked about the Colts, like that could be a better situation for Alec Pierce and then maybe Michael Pittman gets a better situation in Pittsburgh now because of how Aaron Rodgers may use him. We may get a better situation in Tampa Bay now because Mike Evans is gone and now Mecca Buka steps up. Better situation in Chicago and Buffalo because DJ Moore now gets the opportunity to be a good fantasy receiver once again. And Luther Burden and potentially Romo Dunes, they also get the chance to be good wide receivers as well. So I'm just looking at the landscape of it and, and seeing some, some hope and, and just kind of, you know, approaching it that way. So I think from again the, the round, the mid round picks, which is where it feels kind of gross right now. Hopefully we get some better scenarios from that group of guys. You know, Alec Pierce, Christian Watson, you know Wandell Robinson, Romeo Dobbs, you know those guys that have either changed teams or gotten, you know, better opportunities can boost the position to it to a degree where it's back to hopefully some high level production as well.
B
Davis the wide receiver, you know, down year, part of a league wide trend, part of a blip on the radar. Let's bring up some stats here and what we're going to look at here is just, there's a bunch of columns so it's a lot of.
C
Yeah, those were a lot of stats.
B
So you can see year by year. This is Pro Football Reference, by the way, year by year, points scored, 2025 was, see if I can highlight it for you. 2025 was a high scoring year. But look at yards per game. Yards per game, fewest since 2006. Look at pass attempts per game, 32.1 the year before, 32.7. We're definitely seeing fewer pass attempts per game right now. So that's part of this. But you know, what's your, what's your takeaways from, from some of the data, some of the league wide trends we're seeing in terms of the way teams are playing and how they're scoring.
C
Sure. So the way that teams are playing is that they're almost inviting the run and they're not necessarily doing that against teams that have a great running back. But there aren't a lot of teams that have a great running back. So you see more teams reverting to the zone coverage too high safeties kind of daring them to run and not throw and not attack downfield. And so what teams do is they try to run anyway or they resort to shorter throws. And the shorter throws mean shorter, not shorter, but fewer fantasy numbers on a per play basis. Unless a receiver can, you know, catch, pass, break one long for a big play or a touchdown. Yeah, that doesn't happen. And so I, I think the focus needs to be how many teams are out there that rain or shine, they're just going to throw a ton. And those are usually the teams with a good quarterback and at least multiple good wide receivers. The Dallas is the Cincinnati's of the world. There's other teams out there too. Philadelphia could theoretically be one of those teams. If Hertz throws a little bit more, they keep A.J.
E
brown.
C
You get the picture. Yeah, I'm worried that there's a shortage of receivers that get a ton of targets. And last year was an example of that. Last year there were 24 wide receivers that had at least seven targets per game. You can go back and look at each of the past six years before that and there were at least 30 wide receivers that had seven or more targets per game. And so that's a 20 dip. And that just happened for the first time last year. Is it because there were a lot of quarterbacks missing? Sure, that's definitely part of it. Could it be that other, other teams were spreading the ball around a lot? I think about the Chargers and how maybe they spread the ball around a little bit more than we would have liked. Even though the targets per game wasn't too far off for lad McConkey but him just as a random example, did that happen too much? I. I think that there's a number of reasons why that number was lower in 2025. And I don't know if there's going to be enough change in how defenses are played, how offenses decide to play, the defenses that they face and the number of good quarterbacks that will be in the league that can shoot that number right back up to 30 plus wide receivers with seven plus targets per game.
D
Here's a fun one for you, Adam. Last year, 52.4% of the offensive plays were pass attempts.
C
That's low.
D
The year before it was 52.5%.
C
What about the year before that? Do you have that number? 53.4 and I felt like it was even higher than that.
D
Well, I think you may be thinking about the rate that we're past plays. These are past attempts. So sacks would not be factored into this. Generally when you see a team's pass rate or drop back rate that includes sacks or it includes scrambles. This is just the number of their offensive plays that were pass attempts. We had the lowest number of offensive plays per game since 1992.
B
Well, let's see. Plays per game. They did both. They. Yes, they dipped to 62. And I think the new kickoff rules would explain that. The new kickoff rules really kicked in in 2024 and we went down from 63 plays per game basically three years in a row to 62.2. And then the kickoff rules got a little bit more extreme in 2025 and now we're down to 61.33 plays per game. So that could certainly be a part of it. Yards per play is basically remain the same. One thing I'm seeing here, I didn't even think about looking this up until Dave, you started mentioning the seven targets per game thing. I think we had the lowest wide receiver target rate in at least 10 years. So quarterbacks through to wide receivers less than other positions. Well, I mean, how many times have
D
we talked about how much better tight end is?
E
Yep.
D
Why is tight end better? Because more of those guys are demanding targets, I guess.
B
I, I didn't check to see if the tight ends went up or if it was the running backs that went up or whatever, but those looks like tight end at least went up. Tight end target rate went up to 20, 23.8. That's pretty high, I think. All right, so that is interesting. You know, if wide receiver bounces back and you are a guy who or a girl who drafted wide receivers in rounds five, six, seven, we usually get a lot of really good values in that range. So might work out. You think? Okay, so we had 16 wide receivers average 14 or more PPR fantasy points per game. It's tied for the fewest in the last 15 years. We almost always have 20 or more. We usually have 23 or more. These are wide receivers who average 14 or more PPR fantasy points per game. Last year we had 16, 20, 26. We will have how many, Dave?
C
18.
B
Okay, not much of a bounce back. Jamie?
E
20.
B
Heath?
D
I was going to say 18, but I'll just say 19 so I can't be wrong.
C
Want to take a guess on how many of those 16 wide receivers had at least goodness, 8 targets per game? Forget about 7, let's just go right to 8.
B
4. 12.
C
There were 16 wide receivers with 14 or more PPR points per game. 14 of them averaged 8 or more targets per game.
B
All right, last question. Good if you ask me.
E
Oh, wait, last question.
B
That should have been the sound of every Ashton Genty carry. Not because he stands up like Michael Myers, but because they were terrifying in a bad way. The rookie running backs did not live up to the hype in imho. Will the sophomore running backs, Will this group live up to the hype in 2026 that they didn't really reach in 2025? First word to Heath Cummings.
D
Yeah. So I do expect Genti do better than he was last year.
B
Okay.
D
I expect Travion to be better than he was last year. I hope Hampton is healthier than he was last year. So I, I think, I think the class last year delivered on the incredible depth that we saw because there were a lot of guys who were drafted later who were really good, but the top guy is disappointed and I do expect that they will be better than they were last year.
B
Okay, Jamie, let's go through some consensus rankings here for, for the running backs and we have Genti as RB7. How do you feel about that?
E
Good.
B
Hampton is RB8.
E
Good.
B
Who would be next? Maybe Scatterboo Scadaboo, maybe. Oh, he's 21.
E
He would be next because judge, he says 24.
B
Judkins is 24, Scatterbus 21.
E
Is there anyone might be in the 20s?
B
Travion is RB20. Wow. So it goes Henderson, Scatterboo, Judkins from 20 to 21. Then you have RJ. Oh, RJ Harvey, RB22. What? DeAndre Swift, 23. Quinton Judkins, 24. For the record, I'm not sure about the date range of these consensus rankings and I wonder if free agents like, did they just think that J.K. dobbins wasn't coming back and this wasn't adjusted, but to have Henderson, Scatter Boo, RJ Harvey and Quinton Judkins between running backs 20 and 24. Jamie, how do we feel about that?
E
Well, first off, let's hope that Scatter Boo and Judkins are healthy because I think if they are healthy, this is maybe a little bit late. I would take Scatter Boo sooner than this, assuming that there's no addition in the NFL draft and Judkins right around this range. So I like the value for. For both of these guys. Henderson scares me just because of how last year finished for him and what Ramandre Stevenson still showed. For what I think Mike vrabel and Josh McDaniels want to do, it's probably going to be an injury situation for Henderson to take a big leap forward. And I think the same thing with RJ Harvey, at least for Harvey. You saw that last year. You saw it with the small sample size for Henderson in the two games that Stevenson missed. He was an absolute monster. And so if Stevenson were to miss time, then Henderson has a chance to be obviously very special. But I just don't know if both Henderson and Harvey can be consistent fantasy producers if there's not an injury to help Them it just doesn't feel like their coaching staffs trust them at least, at least based on what we saw in the rookie campaigns.
B
Someone says Scatterboo is too low. Mel says that Scatterboo is too low. He was RB23 I think it was or what a 20 whatever, 21, 23, whatever.
E
You got to be concerned with the injury. And look when he was right last year once he took over the starting job it was. He was averaging over 19 PPR points per game, you know, over that six game stretch. So like you, you saw the high end production and again that was without Malik Neighbors. You know, we'll see if you want to call this a better offensive system than he has. I just think it's going to be a better team because Harbaugh will hopefully give them more wins and more wins lead to typical typically more rushing production. So you know, that's the hope. But he's still going to share with Tracy and you know, we'll see if that is a problem for him with a new coaching staff but if he's healthy and I think the same thing with Judkins, you know, Judkins offensive environment is bad as you alluded to Adam. But I think Todd Monkin, you know, we didn't mention. I know that's a big reason for Heath. Todd Monkins presence there should help help Judkins in, in a big way if the offensive line is, you know, hopefully somewhat capable of, you know, being better than what it was a year ago. So I think in the case of both of those guys, based on what their role should be and again in the case of Scatterboo, like his offense, I think there's a chance for him to be pretty special and Judkins has a chance to be better than I think the, at least the consensus ranking is right now.
G
Yeah.
B
So I just want to read some really gross medical words. Well, not gross. He had Cam Scatterboo had an open tibia fracture. Doesn't that sound bad? Here's what an open tibia fracture is. According to AI, the shin bone breaks and pierces the skin exposing the bone to the environment. He also had a ruptured deltoid ligament and a dislocated right ankle, whatever that is. Anyway, it's a lot to come back from. He also, he also was, was getting a ton of catches. He only had 24 and eight games but two of those games he barely played. When he was playing a normal Snapchat he was on pace for 60 catches and that was pretty much all without Malik Neighbors. So you have to wonder what kind of effect that could have. Then again, he did have Wando Robinson
D
and without Isaiah likely.
B
And without Isaiah likely. Yeah. And Tyrone wasn't so bad Internal Moody Tyrone Tracy wasn't so bad with, you know, at the end of the year. So I don't know man.
C
It's super easy if you find yourself drafting Scatter Boo, even if you feel the way that Adam just sounded. But to go and add Tyrone Tracy with a mid to late round pick and just lock up the Giants backfield, I, I, I think what Jamie said about Harbaugh making this team better and coaching them better will make a difference. Hopefully that's enough to overcome what Matt Nagy might do as a play caller because we don't have a lot of confidence in him. But I, I, I think that that's sort of a solution even if you're not in love with drafting Scatterboo and you've got to be encouraged that Harbaugh said that Scatter Boo should be ready for training camp.
B
I think also worth noting that the Giants hired Greg Roman.
C
Ostensibly they've got a bunch of dudes who've gotten fired.
B
No. But Greg Roman is a good run game coordinator.
E
Yes.
B
Matt Nagy has sort of. The teams haven't really been great running the football from what I recall, especially last year. So I think maybe that's kind of where they're going with that. All right, thank you for there's one
E
guy that I would put in the Henderson Harvey range, at least for me as a sophomore, and that's Basil Tootin.
B
Oh yeah, yeah, yeah.
E
You know, I think just looking at the upside that he has if he's the starter for the Jaguars and still question mark here and Dave, you know, brought up what they said on Was NFL Radio serious NFL.
C
Yeah. Stable.
E
You know, where it could be a committee backfill, which makes sense right now. But you know, hopefully Tooton is the, is the leader of the backfield and and again as we saw last year, Liam Cohen's offense was great for Travis ETNH and whatever you want to call them now. Chris Rodriguez is going to be a factor. You know, we'll see if they're done. But there's a, there's a lot to like about the situation for Basil Tutin right now.
B
We got some emails at fantasy football cbsi.com and here's one from Ryan that we can clear up. He says subject line is drafting bust players confusion and Ryan says my question is in regards to bust Players. If you guys say a certain player is a bust, that pick 34, but if I pick them at pick 52, it's good value, how does that make sense? You think they're going to be bad at 34? How does them being drafted later all of a sudden make them better? Shouldn't I just avoid drafting them altogether?
D
Heath, there's different types of busts. There's some are some busts that you probably be better off avoiding drafting altogether. But for the most part we don't choose busts. Like the whole fantasy football community has gotten so smart and so like it doesn't do any good to say somebody's gonna be a bust if they're being drafted in round eight. So we have to choose busts based on basically guys who are drafted too high.
B
Right? Like Nico Collins was not a bust call. But just looking back, if he was a bust in round one, he was probably a bus in round two. If you took him. If you're like, hey, don't take him round two, we take him around three, then you would have been perfectly fine. We've been happy with, with that. Then there's the guys that were just complete stink bombs that would have been busts basically anywhere you picked them. Let's see. I didn't put the emails in the notes. I'm sorry. But Jared has a keeper question and this is pick one and keep for only one year. It's a 10 team PPR league. Two running backs, three receivers and two flex. So pick one keeper. Do you like Javante Williams in the 9th, Rasheed Rice in the 10th, Cam Scatterboo in the 12th or Basil Tutin in the 14th Rice. Finally we agree on something. And then a keeper question from Eric. Oh, sorry Eric, I didn't have the sound bite pulled up from Eric. Ten team, two quarterback league. I'm keeping, keep one, keep one Bowers, Trayvon Henderson, Omarion Hampton or none of them. And draft Jordan Love in a two quarterback league. Ten teams keep Bowers, Henderson, Hampton, or throw them all back and draft Jordan
C
Love
E
probably there's no value associated.
B
I guess they're a first round pick, I'm guessing because then you, you throw them back and you take Jordan Love. But let's say they're the equivalent value of Jordan Love. So it's Bowers, Henderson, hampton or love.
D
2 QB said yeah, yes, I'd probably go Hampton.
E
I would either go Hampton or Bowers since it's a 10 team league like you want to get right some dominant players at certain spots. And if Bowers hit. Not that Hampton can't be that same guy, but those will be the two choices. I would take both those over.
C
Love Mylene was Bowers.
B
Eric, There we go.
C
Just in time.
B
Okay, great show. Have a lovely weekend, everybody. We'll talk to you Monday. We really got to start ramping up our NFL draft coverage. By the time Monday rolls around, we'll be a week and a half away from really exciting NFL. A lot of mystery here because it's kind of been framed as this. Well, the best players aren't quarterbacks or they're not at the premier positions necessarily.
E
So it's a bad draft going in. It may be a fun draft when it happens.
B
Yeah, well said. Anyway, we'll talk to you on Monday. See you later, everybody. That's very.
H
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Date: April 9, 2026
Hosts/Analysts: Adam Aizer (Host), Dave Richard, Jamey Eisenberg, Heath Cummings
Episode Theme:
An in-depth breakdown of five major fantasy football "mysteries" for the 2026 season—focusing on the Eagles’ offense, chaotic WR rooms, superstars returning from injury, league-wide WR trends, and the all-important sophomore RB class. The crew debates consensus fantasy rankings, production outlooks, NFL trends, and actionable draft advice to help listeners dominate in their upcoming leagues.
[07:16–15:47]
Key Points:
Analyst Takes:
“I’m optimistic... I think there’ll be a lot of easier throws for Jalen Hurts. I think the end result will be probably better efficiency for Jalen Hurts... I think it makes him a value.” [08:03]
“The big drop off for Jalen Hurts last year was in the rushing... the ‘tush push’ wasn’t as good... He only scored eight rushing touchdowns and he ran for 200 fewer yards. If he bounces back, he has to be top four, top three.” [09:39–10:17]
“The biggest thing is can the offensive line stay healthy. Lane Johnson’s kind of been the key to Jalen Hurts’ success... As running quarterbacks age, they run less. I hope he hasn’t hit that point yet.” [12:37]
[19:18–30:58]
[31:45–39:43]
Main Names:
Approach:
Memorable quote:
“I could already see us saying next year: well, Nabers wasn’t himself. This year he’s gonna be back, we’ll draft him close to a WR1.” – Dave [37:59]
[42:05–51:43]
2025 Context:
Panel Analysis:
Projections for 2026:
[51:49–59:30]
2025’s expected big RB class didn’t deliver at the top. Will they make the leap in year 2?
Key Names & Consensus Rankings:
Analyst Views:
Fun/Lighter Moments:
This episode is packed with data-driven debate, sharp positional analysis, and actionable roster-building advice for the 2026 fantasy football season. Whether you’re a season-long vet or dynasty addict, the FFT crew aims to help you solve the “unsolved mysteries” that will make or break your draft.