I Wouldn't Be Surprised If ... (05/19 Fantasy Football Podcast)

Fantasy Football Today: Episode Summary – "I Wouldn't Be Surprised If ..." (May 19, 2025)

Hosted by Adam Aizer, with analysts Dave Richard, Jamey Eisenberg, and Heath Cummings, "Fantasy Football Today" from CBS Sports delves deep into the latest trends, player analyses, and strategic insights to help fantasy managers dominate their leagues.

1. Introduction and Casual Chatter ([01:40] - [02:36])

The episode kicks off with the hosts exchanging banter about their weekend activities and light-hearted discussions about sports teams they support. Adam Aizer humorously mentions rooting for the Florida Panthers, highlighting the personal connections among the team members. This segment sets a friendly and engaging tone for the episode.

2. Brock Purdy: The Underrated Quarterback ([04:12] - [08:50])

Key Discussion Points:

Performance Analysis: Brock Purdy's performance last season is dissected, emphasizing his efficiency and consistency. Dave Richard asserts, “In both Redrafting and Dynasty, I think he might be the most underrated quarterback in terms of ADP and consensus ranking” ([05:45]).
Fantasy Value: Purdy’s passing and rushing statistics are compared to top quarterbacks like Patrick Mahomes and Joe Burrow. Despite a slight dip in passing production, his rushing yards saw a significant increase, making him a solid fantasy option.
Consistency and Reliability: Heath Cummings remarks on Purdy being a "floor play," indicating his reliability in fantasy lineups. The consensus among the analysts is that Purdy is a safe and valuable quarterback choice, potentially outperforming his current rankings.

Notable Quote:

Dave Richard: “Purdy has outscored Jared Goff and Baker Mayfield and Dak Prescott... So he's a top 10 quarterback for me both in Redraft and in Dynasty” ([06:21]).

3. Quarterback Rankings: Justin Fields vs. Anthony Richardson ([40:58] - [43:41])

Key Discussion Points:

Upside Potential: The conversation shifts to Justin Fields and Anthony Richardson, exploring their potential to break into the top six quarterbacks in fantasy rankings due to their dual-threat capabilities.
Statistical Projections: Adam Aizer presents hypothetical stats for Fields, illustrating how his rushing prowess could compensate for passing yards, projecting around 22 fantasy points per game ([43:11]).
Team Dynamics: Heath Cummings highlights the importance of team support, noting that both quarterbacks have unique upside based on their rushing abilities and the offensive systems they are part of.

Notable Quote:

Dave Richard: “They have a level of upside that no one else there does” ([41:08]).

4. Saquon Barkley and the Tush Push Debate ([17:00] - [25:42])

Key Discussion Points:

Performance Concerns: Jamie Eisenberg expresses concerns about Saquon Barkley’s workload and potential decline in performance, referencing historical precedents where high-touchdown running backs faced injuries and reduced output the following season.
Rule Changes Impact: The potential banning of the "Tush Push" play is debated, with Dave Richard suggesting it could affect Barkley's touchdown opportunities. However, Adam Aizer counters that quarterbacks like Jalen Hurts would still find ways to score rushing touchdowns.
Fantasy Implications: The analysts discuss whether Barkley should remain a top-10 running back, weighing his heavy workload against his past productivity. Heath Cummings points out Barkley’s high number of touches and the risk associated with it.

Notable Quote:

Jamie Eisenberg: “I'm not ranking him outside the top 10... I'm nervous about Barkley and having a significant step back in terms of total production” ([18:52]).

5. Rookie Running Backs: Top 20 PPR Potential ([26:08] - [29:14])

Key Discussion Points:

Six Rookie Running Backs: Jamie Eisenberg outlines six rookie running backs (Genti Harvey, Hampton, Travion Henderson, Judkins, Caleb Johnson) who could break into the top 20 in PPR scoring, provided they secure prominent roles in their respective teams.
Individual Assessments: Each rookie's potential is evaluated based on team dynamics, competition for carries, and offensive schemes. Travion Henderson’s situation with a revamped Patriots offensive line is a focal point, with Heath Cummings expressing optimism about his impact.

Notable Quote:

Jamie Eisenberg: “They're all banking on a successful rookie on a prominent rookie class coming into the NFL” ([26:15]).

6. Listener Shout Out and Charity Highlight ([15:35] - [18:22])

Key Discussion Points:

Inspiring Story: The hosts share an uplifting story from Mike in St. Helens, England, who battled non-Hodgkin's follicular lymphoma and is now in remission. Mike’s email underscores the podcast’s impact during his tough times.
Charitable Efforts: The podcast emphasizes their annual "Draft-a-thon" fundraiser for St. Jude, aiming to surpass six-figure donations. The hosts encourage listeners to contribute and support the cause throughout the summer and draft season.

Notable Quote:

Adam Aizer: “Mike... wants anybody else going through that to know that he did it. You can do it too” ([17:00]).

7. Rookie Wide Receivers: Potential Top Performers and Busts ([36:08] - [61:53])

Key Discussion Points:

Travis Hunter vs. Brian Thomas Jr.: The analysts debate whether Travis Hunter could outperform Brian Thomas Jr. as the leading receiver for Jacksonville. While Jamie Eisenberg sees potential challenges, Dave Richard remains cautiously optimistic.
Trey Harris Prediction: Adam Aizer makes a bold prediction that Trey Harris could emerge as the best rookie wide receiver in fantasy, arguing that quarterback play and team situations could elevate his performance despite skepticism from other analysts.
Justin Jefferson Analysis: The team scrutinizes Justin Jefferson’s past performance, questioning whether he might experience a mild bust this season. Factors such as a dip in target volume and changes in team dynamics are considered, with Heath Cummings defending Jefferson’s consistency and potential.

Notable Quotes:

Jamie Eisenberg: “I wouldn't be surprised if Trey Harris is the best rookie wide receiver in fantasy” ([48:18]).
Heath Cummings: “I wouldn't be surprised if Justin Jefferson is a bust” ([60:19]).

8. Final Thoughts and Conclusions ([61:53] - [64:00])

As the episode wraps up, the hosts reflect on their bold predictions and acknowledge the inherent risks in projecting rookie performances. They emphasize the importance of monitoring quarterback play and team dynamics to validate or challenge their forecasts.

Closing Remarks:

Adam Aizer encourages listeners to engage with the content and stay tuned for future episodes.
The hosts playfully tease each other while highlighting upcoming discussions and maintaining the podcast’s entertaining and informative vibe.

Conclusion: This episode of "Fantasy Football Today" provides a comprehensive analysis of key fantasy football topics, from underrated quarterbacks like Brock Purdy to the potential decline of established stars like Saquon Barkley. The discussion on rookie players offers valuable insights for managers looking to capitalize on emerging talent, while the heartfelt listener story underscores the community and supportive nature of the podcast. Whether debating the impact of rule changes or predicting breakout performances, the hosts deliver a rich and engaging episode packed with actionable strategies and thoughtful commentary.

Notable Quotes Recap:

Dave Richard ([05:45]): “Purdy has outscored Jared Goff and Baker Mayfield and Dak Prescott... So he's a top 10 quarterback for me both in Redraft and in Dynasty.”
Jamie Eisenberg ([18:52]): “I'm not ranking him outside the top 10... I'm nervous about Barkley and having a significant step back in terms of total production.”
Heath Cummings ([41:08]): “They have a level of upside that no one else there does.”
Adam Aizer ([17:00]): “Mike... wants anybody else going through that to know that he did it. You can do it too.”

For more in-depth analysis and expert insights, tune in to "Fantasy Football Today" every Wednesday on Paramount Podcasts.