Fantasy Football Today: NFL Schedule Release! Best and Worst Matchups, Avoid All Giants? (05/14 Fantasy Football Podcast) – May 15, 2025
Hosted by Adam Azen with analysts Dave Richard, Jamey Eisenberg, Heath Cummings, and the CBS Sports Fantasy Football team.
Introduction
In this insightful episode of Fantasy Football Today, host Adam Azen and his panel of analysts delve deep into the recently released NFL schedule, dissecting the best and worst matchups for fantasy football players. They also explore whether managers should avoid drafting players from the New York Giants due to their challenging schedule.
Analyzing the Giants' Tough Schedule
The discussion kicks off with Dave Richard highlighting the New York Giants' daunting schedule based on last year's performance metrics.
Dave Richard [03:34]:
"It's by win percentage. So they have the toughest schedule win percentage last year."
Adam expresses skepticism about relying solely on past data to predict future performance.
Adam Azen [04:07]:
"I just think it makes me clench up and get angry when people use old data to try and make points on future events like games and stuff."
Despite reservations, Dave emphasizes the Giants' difficult upcoming matches, including duels against formidable teams like the Chiefs and Eagles.
Dave Richard [05:00]:
"The NFC east team’s got a very difficult schedule now. You’re facing a lot of losses, probably for the Giants right now. That means Jackson Dart."
Adam concurs but cautions against over-reliance on past schedules, advocating for a more nuanced approach that considers current team dynamics and defensive strengths.
Favorable Schedule Insights
Shifting focus, Adam outlines several teams with favorable schedules that could benefit fantasy managers:
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Baltimore Ravens: Two significant home stretches that are advantageous for players needing stable performance periods.
Adam Azen [09:22]:
"The Baltimore Ravens have not one, but two home stretches like home stands in baseball that make me feel really good about..."
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers: A strong finish to the fantasy regular season with manageable defenses in the latter weeks.
Adam Azen [09:22]:
"...just another reason to kind of dig Mike Evans, especially if he slips on draft day."
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Buffalo Bills: Despite an early tough schedule, the latter part of their games positions them well for a fantasy postseason push.
Identifying Players to Avoid Based on Schedule
The analysts caution against drafting certain players whose early-season matchups could impede their fantasy performance:
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Calvin Ridley: Faces a series of challenging defenses in his initial games, potentially leading to a slow start.
Dave Richard [16:51]:
"Calvin Ridley is a guy that I think I don't want to draft and I'm interested in him this year."
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DeAndre Swift: Early games against strong run-defensive teams in Minnesota and Detroit could limit his productivity.
Dave Richard [18:42]:
"DeAndre Swift’s first two games are against Minnesota and at Detroit. That could be trouble."
Defensive Matchups and Their Impact
A significant portion of the episode is dedicated to analyzing how defensive schedules can influence player performance:
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Malik Neighbors (Giants): Faces a slew of tough cornerbacks twice, which could hamper his effectiveness.
Dave Richard [22:56]:
"He’s going to face Malik Neighbors, on paper, he does have a pretty tough schedule."
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Brian Thomas Jr.: With defenses like the Chiefs and Chargers lined up, his ability to produce fantasy points may be constrained.
Dave Richard [22:28]:
"Brian Thomas Jr. [faces] Kansas City. Seattle could be tough. Rams could be tough."
Adam, however, argues that other factors such as improved quarterbacks and offensive dynamics might mitigate some defensive pressures.
Adam Azen [22:56]:
"It’s more about Neighbors and all the other issues that are underlying in New York."
Strategic Takeaways for Fantasy Managers
The panel provides actionable strategies for fantasy football enthusiasts:
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Use Schedule as a Tiebreaker: Instead of making schedule a primary factor, utilize it to break ties between similarly ranked players.
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Monitor Defensive Changes: Stay updated on teams that have altered their defensive strategies or personnel, as last year's data might not reflect current realities.
Adam Azen [26:20]:
"If you believe that matchups are important to fantasy football, then you should believe that the schedule is important and taking everything as at least a tiebreaker is smart."
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Focus on Player Resilience: Consider players whose offensive schemes can compensate for tough defensive matchups, ensuring they maintain consistent fantasy output despite challenging opponents.
Conclusion
In wrapping up, Adam and Dave reiterate the importance of a balanced approach when evaluating player schedules. While acknowledging the Giants' tough slate of games, they emphasize not to rely solely on past performance but to consider current team improvements and defensive adjustments. The episode serves as a comprehensive guide for fantasy managers aiming to optimize their drafts and weekly lineups by understanding the intricate interplay between NFL schedules and player performance.
Adam Azen [27:13]:
"Have a great night. We'll talk to you on Thursday morning with the Mailbag."
Stay tuned for more expert insights and strategies to help you dominate your fantasy football league on Fantasy Football Today.
