Fantasy Football Today — Trade Talk, Advanced Metrics, Schedule Analysis & Raiders-Broncos Preview

Date: November 5, 2025
Hosts: Adam Aizer (A), Dave Richard (B), Jamey Eisenberg (D), Heath Cummings (C), Guest Analyst Jacob Gibbs (E)

Episode Overview

The FFT crew dives into trade strategy as league deadlines approach, advanced fantasy metrics, crucial injury and trade updates, waiver wire gems, and in-depth schedule analysis. They break down key RB/WR buy-low and sell-high candidates, debate the impacts of the NFL trade deadline, and preview the Raiders-Broncos Thursday Night matchup. The show also features analytics-packed insights from Jacob Gibbs, giving fantasy managers an edge for the playoff push.

Key Discussion Points & Insights

1. Trade Deadline News & Reactions

Timestamps: 03:41–12:00

• Kyler Murray’s Lingering Injury / Jacoby Brissette Starting

  • Kyler Murray may miss 4-8 weeks; Brissette’s been notably better for fantasy and real-world production.
    • Jamey: “Brissette looks much better. Their offense is averaging a touchdown per game better with Brissette under center.” (04:00)
  • Speculation on Cardinals’ future QB plans, possibility of targeting a rookie or old veteran.

• Wide Receiver Trades

  • Rashid Shaheed to Seattle: High weekly upside, low floor, likely in WR3/FLEX range.
    • Heath: “He could show up this week and play a full complement of snaps...he could score 18 to 20 points and it wouldn’t be that surprising.” (06:18)
    • Benefits Sam Darnold, minor value bump for Shaheed, but not expecting 7+ targets weekly.
  • Jacoby Myers to Jacksonville: Clouds Brian Thomas Jr. outlook; Parker Washington’s short-term value; Myers could play outside as well.
    • Dave: “Myers could also play on the outside...but it’s obviously going to hurt the upside for Washington.” (10:14)

• Other Trade Deadline Notes

  • Sauce Gardner to Colts, Adonai Mitchell featured more.
  • Jets strengthen defensive backfield, Cowboys add Quinnen Williams & Logan Wilson to address run defense woes.

2. Waiver Wire & Deep League Pickups

Timestamps: 10:46–11:37

• Notable deeper league options highlighted:
  • Jack Bech, Devon Vail, Jalen Lane, Adonai Mitchell (if Garrett Wilson stays hurt)

3. Buy Low Candidates

Timestamps: 14:07–27:15

Dave’s Buys

• Aaron Jones (RB, Minnesota)
  • Cheap to acquire, good stretch of schedule (Washington, Dallas, Giants)
    • Dave: “He’s got a top 8 projected schedule rest of season.” (15:00)
• DK Metcalf (WR, Pittsburgh)
  • Disappointing recently, but still #1 target; favorable upcoming matchups.

Jamey’s Buys

• Zay Flowers (WR, Baltimore)
  • Target share solid, easier end of season schedule.
• A.J. Brown (WR, Philadelphia)
  • End-of-season schedule favorable, could rebound if healthy.

Heath’s Buys

• Tedorro McMillan (WR, Arizona)
  • Massive air yard share, metrics indicate positive regression.
• Dak Prescott (QB, Dallas)
  • Confident in bounce-back; projects as top-6 to 8 QB rest of season.

Notable schedule debates:

• Cowboys’ pass defense called “atrocious,” likely to create shootouts favoring Dak’s fantasy output. (26:34)

4. Sell High Candidates

Timestamps: 27:35–43:32

Heath’s Sell

• Daniel Jones (QB, Giants)
  • Brutal upcoming schedule: Berlin (vs. top-8 defense), Chiefs, Texans, tough road games. Cautious even after bad recent performance.

Jamey’s Sells

• Brock Bowers (TE, Seattle)
  • If trading, expect a “King’s ransom”; brutal end-of-season schedule could cap upside.
  • Jamey: “You might be able to get two amazing players in return...you should explore that.” (32:50)
• Emeka Egbuka (WR, Tampa Bay)
  • Schedule concern, gradual decline in production post-injury; trade if you get high-end value.

Dave’s Sells

• Kyron Williams (RB, Rams)
  • Heavy workload but faces bottom-10 schedule, TD/game-script dependent.
• Ashton Genti (RB, Raiders)
  • Recent spike partly due to receiving work; efficiency and schedule both concerns. Pair with another asset to upgrade at RB or WR.

5. Debate: Rest-of-Season Rankings — Pittman, Flowers, AJ Brown

Timestamps: 29:26–31:41

• Wide-ranging opinions. Orderings differed:
  • Dave: Pittman > Flowers > Brown
  • Jamey: Flowers > Pittman > Brown
  • Heath: Brown > Flowers > Pittman
• Adam worries about Zay’s lack of TDs, Jamey flags AJ Brown’s injury status as decisive.

6. Advanced Metrics Spotlight with Jacob Gibbs

Timestamps: 54:53–74:15

Quarterback Accuracy Deep-Dive

• Jacob: “Sam Darnold’s 61% highly accurate throw rate on 10+ yard passes is the highest in the league. Lamar Jackson is the only one close at 58%.” (60:00)
• Trevor Lawrence also top-ranked for catchable air yards per game over the last month; positive sign for Jacksonville pass-catchers.

Rashid Shaheed’s Outlook

• Productive in Kubiak systems, elite per target metrics. Aggressively targeted last year under Kubiak.
• Jacob: “He averaged 1.92 PPR points per target since entering the NFL... just below Mike Evans, Jamar Chase, Justin Jefferson for that span.” (67:54)

Historical Yards Per Route Run

• JSN currently setting an unprecedented pace: 4.7 yards/route run—higher than Tyreek Hill’s historic season (3.96).
  • Hosts debate the validity of “selling high” on JSN. Most say only for a king’s ransom.
• Dalton Kincaid comps as a hyper-efficient TE (3.0 YPRR; only Gronk was higher in last decade through Week 9), but limited routes and target volume are minor red flags.
  • Adam: “Dalton Kincaid is right now the most efficient tight end in football. That’s my point.” (73:37)

7. Raiders–Broncos Thursday Night Preview

Timestamps: 45:27–54:53

Broncos Outlook

• Bo Nix: “12 of his last 12 home games, he’s averaging over 28 fantasy points per game in Denver. Top 5 upside.” (Jamie, 45:56)
• Courtland Sutton: Clear top-12 WR start.
• Troy Franklin: Heavy recent target share, viable WR3/flex.
• J.K. Dobbins: Top-24 RB, but floor has been concerning—volume alone keeps him in lineups.
• RJ Harvey: High route participation, desperation flex play.

Raiders Outlook

• Trey Tucker: Big play upside, low-end WR3/FLEX in boom-or-bust range.
• Ashton Genti: Low-end RB2, especially valuable in PPR if passing game remains active.
• Brock Bowers: Consensus TE1; usage/talent too great to fade.
• The consensus: prefer Franklin over Tucker and Dobbins narrowly over Genti; both Dobbins and Genti are shaky RB2s for this week.

8. Community Engagement / FFT Open Leagues

Timestamps: 54:53–57:05

• League standings update, playoff structure explained.
• All hosts’ teams competitive; top-4 in division make playoffs, then division champs battle in Weeks 16–17 for the overall title.

Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments

• On Aaron Jones as a buy low

  • Dave (15:00): “He wasn’t even on the trade chart last week, so he’s not going to be somebody who should cost a lot in a deal.”

• On the sell-high window for Brock Bowers:

  • Jamey (32:50): “If you can get something amazing in return for him or two amazing players…you should explore that.”

• On Rashid Shaheed in Seattle:

  • Heath (06:18): “He could score 18 to 20 points and it wouldn’t be that surprising.”

• On JSN’s historic efficiency:

  • Adam (65:18): “Does anybody…maybe he’ll be more like WR8 or something like that rest season instead…the most incredible player in the world.”

• On advanced throwing accuracy:

  • Jacob Gibbs (60:00): “Sam Darnold’s 61% highly accurate throw rate on 10+ yard passes is the highest in the league.”

• On Cowboys defense and Dak's schedule:

  • Heath (26:34): “Five of those teams might score 40 points against the Cowboys…that’s actually better for Dak because…the last thing you want is him sitting on the sideline.”

Timestamps Reference

• 03:41 — Kyler Murray/Brissette update
• 06:17 — Rashid Shaheed trade impacts
• 11:03 — Deep league waiver targets
• 14:07 — Buy low segment begins (Dave)
• 22:00–27:15 — More buy lows (Jamey, Heath)
• 27:35–43:32 — Sell high segment (Heath, Jamey, Dave)
• 45:27–54:53 — Raiders–Broncos preview
• 54:53–58:13 — FFT Open leagues update
• 58:13–74:15 — Jacob Gibbs advanced metrics segment

Original Tone & Language

Banter between hosts remains lively, debate-driven, and full of classic FFT humor—especially during rankings debates (“AJ Clown” jokes) and the German stadium roof discussion. Jacob Gibbs’ segments add analytics gravitas, while actionable takeaways and matchup-based advice shine throughout the trade and preview portions.

Bottom Line

This episode arms fantasy managers with advanced data, sharp trade talk, and clear go-forward strategy. It’s a must-listen for anyone eyeing a late-season surge, and its blend of actionable advice, schedule analysis, and metric-based insights (plus their entertaining back-and-forth) encapsulate what makes FFT a judgment-free haven for fantasy diehards and newcomers alike.