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Jamie Erdahl
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Heath Cummings
This is fantasy football today from CBS Sports.
Jamie Erdahl
What a play. Can you believe this?
Heath Cummings
It's time to dominate your fantasy league.
Jamie Erdahl
He stays at his feet. This is gonna go the distance.
Heath Cummings
Now here's some combination of Adam, Dave, Jamie and Heath.
Jamie Erdahl
Yeah. What's up? It is worryometer Wednesday. Oh, no. A horrible thing. We'll see who the fantasy community is worried about. Rookie running back. This show sponsored by rookie running backs. This show is also brought to you by BetMGM, the sportsbook born in Vegas. Welcome, everybody, to fantasy football today. Yeah, if you go on X, Twitter or Twix, as we started calling it, a lot of. I'm seeing fantasy analysts going, hey, rookie running backs are still going to be great. And everyone else being like, why'd you tell me to draft rookie running backs? So that's obviously something we'll talk about because we didn't even get to talk about Genti and Hampton from the Monday night games.
Jamie Weinman
Good morning, Jamie. Commentators.
Jamie Erdahl
What's that?
Jamie Weinman
Neither did the commentators.
Jamie Erdahl
They didn't talk about them.
Jamie Weinman
They didn't do very much.
Jamie Erdahl
They got. Yeah, well, I hope. I hope Chris Fowler had a nice day or two in bed to rest. He's really gutting it out on Monday night. That's Jamie. Hey, Dave.
Dave Richard
What's up, dude?
Jamie Erdahl
Heath. Yeah. Yeah. All right. So we're going to get our biggest risers and fallers and we're going to get your trade targets and we're going to preview Thursday Night Football. Dolphins at Bills. Is this the time to get rid of your Dolphins before it's too late? Who do you guys think the most traded player is in CBS sports leagues?
Dave Richard
Rushy Rice, Javante Williams, Mecca Buka.
Jamie Erdahl
One of you was right. Raise your hand if you think you're right. Dave was right. It's Javante Williams followed by AJ Brown and then number three, Isaiah Pacheco. If I had, if I had just been asleep for two weeks, I've been like, oh, he's having that good of a year. People are selling him for Ashton Genti. All right, all right. Anyway, who are some guys that have risen the most for you that you're just kind of buying since preseason? Heath, go.
Heath Cummings
I will say Zay Flowers. He followed up his excellent week one with an 11 target game in week two. Has a 42% target share, which is second in the NFL right now. Has is averaging 4.27 yards per route run, which is absolutely insane. A hundredth of a yard behind jsn, who's also a big riser. But we had him ranked higher in the preseason and I think there's still. First off, you shouldn't expect him to do this all year because no one ever has. And there we'll find out a little bit more when Isaiah likely is 100%. We see what the target distribution is like then. But he's a former first round pick who's in year three of his career who looks like he's having a breakout. I don't want to be too skeptical with guys like this because we always thought he was talented. It was just the situation. The low pass volume and the amount of targets that went to the tight ends kind of held him back. That doesn't seem to be the case right now.
Jamie Erdahl
All right, that's Zay Flowers. Big riser for Heath. Dave, who's a big riser for you?
Dave Richard
Javante Williams. It's obvious. We've seen it now. Two games. He's.
Jamie Weinman
There's.
Dave Richard
There was a reason why the Cowboys went with him as their main running back. And though he's. I don't know how his efficiency metrics are, but the workload is unbelievable. Clearly working in short yardage situations and being successful with it. And I get why people want to get away from him because it's Javante Williams. There's all kinds of downside kind of baked in based on what we've known about him since he's come into the NFL back to back weeks with 20 PPR points is pretty good. I think the receiving traits and certainly the receiving numbers in games where the Cowboys are going to be trailing, which, you know, I don't know how many of those games I don't think it's going to be every week, but I think it's going to be a bunch of games where the Cowboys are going to be at least competitive because their defense isn't great. I think you're going to see good numbers continue from Javante Williams, so you've got no choice but to view them as a nice number two fantasy running back moving forward.
Jamie Erdahl
With that said, he is our most traded player and you did put him in the notes as a sell high. So Javante Williams, it's because of you.
Dave Richard
And it's because how many more weeks is he going to deliver 20 plus PPR points and if you use that to try and turn him into something really good, why wouldn't you do that?
Jamie Erdahl
Yeah, no, I get it. I I'm definitely struggling with this because I have him in four or five weeks and I just feel like I'd be an idiot if I didn't try to sell him. But at the same I ran a.
Heath Cummings
Twitter poll this morning and I should have sent it to you. Javante Williams will be a blank. Top blank running back rest of season 76 said top 20.
Jamie Erdahl
That seems about right, but I wouldn't say top 15. And I'd be nerd. I don't know. I'd be a little only ten.
Heath Cummings
Only ten said top ten. But which I think he's what is he number two or three right now?
Jamie Erdahl
These are his James Cook 1. Christian McCaffrey 2. Javante Williams 3. Bijan Robinson 4. Devon H.N. 5. Awesome. He has a good schedule. You know what's Javante and I know I wanted to like be quick on this, but he's so interesting and he's the most traded player. So you get Chicago this week. They've had a terrible run defense. He gets Green Bay in week four. That's. That's bad. Jets, Panthers, commanders, are we shying away from any of these matchups? You know, maybe you could say the Cowboys won't have to throw so much in these games necessarily so he won't have the catches. But I it's not. If he had a really bad schedule, I guess I'd be nervous. But Jamie, you haven't chimed in. How do you feel about Javante?
Jamie Weinman
I think it's been fun. You know, it's been fun to see him, you know, take advantage of this opportunity. You know, we, we were saying that Daniel Jones is the new Sam Darnold. Javante Williams is the new J.K. dobbins. You know, a guy that gets a great opportunity, that had the talent to be successful and injuries were a problem, and here he is healthy and taking advantage of this opportunity. So, you know, I, I, I think it's obvious, as you guys alluded to, you know, you try to sell him if you can, but you clearly have to make sure you're getting something spectacular in return at this point because he's playing at a very high level. And maybe he's just a much better version of Rico Doddle who closed last year at a very high note as well.
Dave Richard
Would you turn him into Chase Brown if you could?
Jamie Weinman
In a heartbeat. Agreed.
Heath Cummings
What, what about Rushy Rice?
Jamie Weinman
I think that comes down to need. You know, I mean, if you're talking about a flex at this point, I'd probably rather have Rice, but, you know, there's so many people that need running backs. I, I can't, I can't think of a situation where if you're dangling Javante Williams in trade that it's not going to bring you back something good in return at this point.
Jamie Erdahl
Rico dowdle in weeks 12 through 18, when he finally got the work was RB18 per game in full PPR. That was with only 32 catches and only five touchdowns. Sorry. On pace for only 32 catches and on pace for only five touchdowns. Javante's already scored, what, three this year. And, and also the difference is Dowdle Average 4.7 yards per carry, 4.4.8 yards per carry in that stretch where we don't think Javante is going to do that. All right. But RB18 maybe is where you kind of look at Heath. Last thing. Would you trade Javante for Genty or Hampton or any other rookie running backs?
Heath Cummings
I would happily trade him for Genti. I think that might be it. The only other thing I will say is, like, I thought week one was the fantasy production was not entirely fraudulent, but at least fraudulent adjacent. Week two was the Giants. Like I'm still pretty undecided on Javante and Dakota currently. We all think he's playing really well, has a 2.3% touchdown rate. Like he's probably gonna double that and maybe more. So the rushing touchdowns for the Cowboys are not going to be like this.
Jamie Erdahl
Okay. All right, Heat, Jamie, who's a big riser for you.
Jamie Weinman
Debo Samuel, you know, give him some credit, you know, for what the situation has unfolded. You know, we'll see what happens with Jayden Daniels in this knee injury, but I mean, he's clearly been the go to guy in this receiving core and taking advantage of Terry McLaurin's absence in training camp and developing that rapport with Daniels and developing that. You know, I think the reliability that Cliff Kingsbury was looking for and it's been fun to watch, you know, hopefully he stays healthy and, you know, hopefully Daniel stays healthy. At some point, McLaren's gonna have, I think, the production that, you know, he's capable of doing. But right now it's been a, a pretty big disconnect between Daniels and McLaren and a pretty solid connection between him and Debo.
Jamie Erdahl
Okay, biggest fallers. Heath, we'll start with you. Who's the biggest follower for you?
Heath Cummings
It's got to be David and Joku. Harold Fannin's role, completely unexpected week one, and so far he's. Fannin has out produced Njoku in two games. I thought Najoku had a chance to be a top five tight end this year. I thought he was the best value amongst the tight ends going between round three and round ten, and that does not look to be true at all. And the bad thing is so far for the Browns, targets to Fanon have been better plays than targets to Najoku. So it's hard to really imagine that swinging back in his favor. I'm not all the way out on him yet, but he's definitely, definitely a big Fuller.
Jamie Erdahl
Okay, Dave, follow for you.
Dave Richard
I. I originally was going to go with Calvin Ridley. There's 33 wide receivers who have had at least 14 targets so far this season, and Ridley's averaging under eight PPR points per game. But then I looked just like a couple of spots higher and Brian Thomas Jr. Is in. He's got 19 targets and he's averaging less than nine PPR points per game. And the week two film was bad for him, man. Just the fact that he's not going all out to snare every pass and every target that he gets from. From Trevor Lawrence, his only big play has really been on a run. I'm. I'm wondering if this injury that's going on with his wrist. There's more to it than that and I'm definitely worried about him not meeting expectations this year.
Jamie Erdahl
Okay. Zay Flowers or Brian Thomas Jr.
Heath Cummings
I still have Thomas and I love Flowers.
Jamie Weinman
Oh, they're asking Dave. I'm sorry. I would, I would take Thomas Though.
Dave Richard
I would take Thomas as well, but the gap is narrowing.
Jamie Erdahl
Jackson Smith and Jigba or Brian Thomas.
Jamie Weinman
Jr. JSN, Jason, I think I have.
Heath Cummings
Them back to back.
Jamie Erdahl
You want to hear a stat on Jackson, Smith and Jigba?
Dave Richard
Is it that he's got the highest target share?
Jamie Erdahl
Well, we have three wide receivers obviously through two weeks. Stats are wonky. Right? We have three wide receivers with a target share of 40 or higher. That has not happened. I just looked at weeks one and two. Hasn't happened since 2017 or 18 maybe. I think Julio Jones. So that would be Jackson Smith and Jigba's. Garrett Wilson and Zay Flowers I believe are the three wide receivers with the four. So jsn, I talked about this on me on the box score. He's not running a lot of routes. He's not playing a lot of snaps for, for a, you know, an elite wide receiver. 57 wide receivers so far have 10 or more targets. 57. Here are where JSN Cooper cup and Zay Flowers rank in routes run. They are 52nd, 53rd and 54th. So just in other words, it's, you know, it's, it's a very high target. Unsustainably high target share. Unsustainably high target per out run rate. And for whatever reason they, the Seahawks have not been playing their wide receivers the typical snapshare. I don't even think he played 70% of this. He played around 70% of the snaps.
Heath Cummings
I think, I think Cups played more snaps than him.
Jamie Erdahl
Right. He did in week two, I think very slightly.
Heath Cummings
But they, I think, I think if you look at this past week when cup was actually involved because he was not, he was a ghost in week one, JSN had a 30% target share. That's probably more reasonable for what you should expect.
Jamie Erdahl
Okay, well that would be great. All right. Oh, Jamie, who's a follower for you?
Jamie Weinman
Every rookie running back. I'll just take the low hanging fruit.
Jamie Erdahl
But you did have them as your buy lows. So you want to talk about that?
Jamie Weinman
I mean there's still so much upside for them. So you know, at this point you can get them hopefully as cheap as it will be because things will start to get better. But the time shares that we were concerned about are playing themselves out in every case except for Genti. And Genti is just struggling right now behind a bad offensive line, bad game script and bad play calling and bad, bad, bad, bad, bad. But you know, I worry about the, the we won't call it a fumble. The handoff exchange that was credited to Justin Herbert at the end of the game being a problem for O' Marian Hampton going into week three. I wonder if J.K. dobbins just picking up from last year and being productive for the Broncos going to continue to be a problem for RJ Harvey and now Ramandre Stevenson looking as good as he did in Week two, is that going to continue to be a problem for Trevion Henderson? You know I, I don't think anybody would have said through week two that the best rookie running backs would be Dylan Sampson, Bashel Tootin, Cam Scatter, Boo and that might be missing somebody. But I mean that like this is where we are.
Jamie Erdahl
Looking good now to hit a good spot. Not that he's been so good. It was good week one. Yeah, I, I, this is the top the topic of the day. Go ahead.
Heath Cummings
I was looking at the snap shares for the rookies like that. That's probably the most discouraging thing for me is almost all of the high end rookies saw their snapshare go down after week one and even Hampton. Jamie, like we don't worry about the committee with him there as much but what we saw was when they're chasing the score, he's not their running back that's on the, they're in the two minute drill. He's not the running back that's on the field. And so that, that is concerning. But what I, I saw Hampton had an 80 snap share in week one, fell to 62% last week. Naji was 18 in week one, 34 last week. Would anybody be surprised if Naji plays more snaps than Hampton this week after the way that ended?
Jamie Erdahl
No.
Dave Richard
But I would imagine that it would be a temporary thing.
Jamie Weinman
Not unless Nazi has a great game. Yeah, they're leading rusher right now is Herbert. Like they, they can't run the ball, you know.
Jamie Erdahl
Look, I, I don't know, I don't know how many people listen to beyond the box score and are listening now. So I'm sorry for repeating a lot of stats. But again, round two running back Hampton's different. He's getting the work. Genti is getting the work. Hampton really didn't get the work last week. A lot of that was late. But the round two running backs, they usually take a few weeks for them to get worked in. This is not unusual. I thought, I think we all thought it would be a little bit better for this group. But Breece hall took four weeks before they finally gave him big work. Joe Mixon, I think it took three weeks. It does happen. Doesn't always happen, though. I mean, sometimes you're waiting and waiting and it doesn't always get there. I feel like the one that I just don't really see right now is RJ Harvey as a buy low. You know, I, I, I, I hope I'm wrong because I, we were all really high on him. I kept saying it like his ADP is not moving. We don't understand it. You know, he's our guy, whatever. But they're using bidet. Obviously Dobbins has been good. So this one I think you might have to really be patient for. I don't know that I would, I don't know that I would call R.J. harvey a bilo. And I'm going to take a break on that and let you guys respond to that when we come back on Fantasy Football today. We'll be right back.
Heath Cummings
What's up, everyone? It's Siya Najad from Fantasy Football Today dfs, a weekly NFL daily fantasy show that's a part of the CBS Sports Podcast Network. If you're looking for NFL game by game previews, which players stock is up or down, and DFS strategies and advice, Mike McClure, Meg Shoup and I have you covered every single week. Download and follow us on Apple Podcast, Spotify and anywhere podcast podcasts are found. Make sure to turn on those notifications so you don't miss a single pick all season long. Good luck.
Jamie Erdahl
If you love the NFL and NFL draft, you'll love with the first pick a part of CBS Sports Podcast Network. CBS Sports draft analyst Ryan Wilson and former Titans GM Ran Carthon come to you twice a week to give the front office perspective on the biggest NFL storylines of the day. We also follow the NFL Draft closer than anyone. The weekly updates on our favorite college players, names to know based on your favorite NFL team's needs and all the mock drafts and big boards you could want. If you love football, you're exactly where you're supposed to be. Download with the first pick and follow on Apple Podcasts, Spotify and anywhere podcasts are found. All right, so let's do this as we talk about the rookie running backs because listen, they're still really talented players and if things break right, this could be that, you know, you could be kicking yourself. I can't believe I didn't sell. I didn't buy low on these guys, right? So let's go through them and you tell me how you feel about them just going forward. Ashton Genti.
Dave Richard
Yeah, I expect things from.
Jamie Weinman
A top 10 running back to a top 15 running back for me rest of season with the hope that he can still become that guy because he's the one that the workload you don't have to worry about. And if they just get their head on right and start to feed him a little bit more, you could see the path to path to success.
Dave Richard
Not only could you call him a top 15 fantasy running back at the moment, but he's top 15among running backs in touches through the early part of this year. Clearly leads all the rookie running backs. There are still things that he's doing that are exciting and have translated from his days at Boise State. I don't think his biggest issue is definitely the offensive line followed by the play calling and just the offense in general. In Las Vegas there isn't. It's not like Zamir White is taking away a huge chunk of work that makes us nervous. He doesn't have the same problems that a lot of these literally almost every other running back in this rookie class has. So I feel good about him coming through and he's a terrific buy low candidate.
Heath Cummings
I'll still take Genti top 12 rest of season but I, I will say his snap share was lower than Amorgan Hampton's on Monday night.
Dave Richard
Was that because they were trailing perhaps.
Heath Cummings
Right. But they're the Raiders.
Dave Richard
It's true.
Jamie Weinman
Minute drive that they got a field goal out of in a game where they were trailing 26.
Jamie Erdahl
Yeah, Gino was really bad on Monday. He just, just had an off night. Omari and Hampton, how do we feel about him?
Jamie Weinman
I don't know if that's an off night.
Jamie Erdahl
I do. I mean he was missing guys. He was the first. The interception like right out of the gate. Just didn't see the safety. I don't know. I mean look, he's not a great player.
Dave Richard
18. I'm sorry to interrupt. Vegas had 18 third downs and Zemir White played on 11 of them and I think that definitely had a hand.
Heath Cummings
In gen. How many Dylan Lobby play on.
Dave Richard
He was just overall on 17 for lobby.
Jamie Erdahl
Okay, moving on, moving on. Amari and Hampton, how are we feeling about him?
Jamie Weinman
I mean clearly more concerned this week than last week. You know last week was okay. They played the Chiefs. Chiefs have a good run defense. Naji will see how much he gets worked in. And then you see as Heath alluded to the playing time shift which I think what you had to expect, you know a a better chance of Naji getting work because he was getting healthier and they had, you know, almost not the, the true mini bye week, but essentially the trumani bye week because they put on Friday. And so then the game unfolds and Naji, not that he ran dramatically better than Hampton, but he ran better than him. And then the fumble at the end of the game. So this is not the scenario that you wanted to see when you have these type of players. Especially Naji never fumbles, you know. You know, so that's gonna, I'm sure, you know, stand in the mind of, of Harbaugh. Again, if you want to put it on Hampton, it's not credited to him. I mean, Max Crosby is literally in his face the moment that the. The ball is on him. But it's just such a tough spot to put the ball on the ground there that, you know, coaches like that are not going to be very forgiving. So you wonder if what'd you say was 60, 30, 65. 35, essentially. Yeah, if now that's, you know, 60, 40 or 55. 45, you know, we're starting to see a more 50, 50 split headed our way.
Jamie Erdahl
How do you feel about him? Like he's an rb.
Jamie Weinman
Oh, I'd still be buying. I mean, I, I still buy the talent, but they can't. They can't run the ball. You know, I mean, it's just, it. It's a very strange thing to see a Greg Roman offense struggling to run the ball like this. And, you know, look, I mean, it goes hand in hand. Herbert's playing great on, on top of it, but, you know, when they need to run the ball, they're just not getting it done. And so that's, I think, almost as concerning as the scenario.
Jamie Erdahl
Yeah, people are really just looking at the chat. I mean, people are seriously down on, on Amari and the rookie running backs. General, how do we feel about Quinte on Judkins.
Heath Cummings
Ascending?
Jamie Weinman
Yeah, I don't. I don't think he belongs in this conversation yet.
Jamie Erdahl
I'm just going through all the rookie running backs in order, the relevant ones that the way they were drafted.
Jamie Weinman
Yeah, he, he. He nailed it. Like there's. There. There's an arrow pointing up for him because he's finally playing. Now, if we get the suspension that you alluded to, I believe, on Tuesday, then we have a big problem because, you know, you're. You're stunting any progress that he may have made and forcing him to miss time. But at this point, like, if somebody's getting rid of him, you know, some sort of trade package that needs receiver help or quarterback help or whatever, like you should be trying to acquire him.
Heath Cummings
And I'll, I'll go back to April when Matt Waldman was on FFT Dynasty and he had Judkins rated as the best runner other than Ashton Jente in the class. And he had one and a half NFL practices and he wasn't great, especially early when the starters are in. But he looked, he looked like a good NFL running back. I think he's a flex in PPR and has a chance to be a number two running back in non ppr. And I'm going to do one more rookie running back thing from the chat because somebody asked Hampton or Tror Grosky Merritt and that's still definitely Hampton rest of season. But I would start crossing merit over from this week.
Jamie Weinman
Yeah. And I would say one thing just about Judkins to buy him. You might be able to get him cheaper next week because if he struggles against the packers, which is probably going to happen.
Jamie Erdahl
Yeah.
Jamie Weinman
You might get a frustrated manager that's willing to really, you know, get rid of him.
Jamie Erdahl
All right, I'm just going to end with would you rather. Would you rather have Judkins or Jakori Crosky?
Jamie Weinman
Merit. Cross. Key Merit.
Heath Cummings
Right now I'd rather start crossy. Merit. I think I'd rather have Judkins rest of season.
Dave Richard
They're dead even on the trade chart in full ppr. Bill one spot ahead of Judkins and.
Heath Cummings
Henderson's still ahead of both.
Dave Richard
Henderson is behind them both in non PPR and ahead of them both in full ppr.
Jamie Erdahl
And what about Harvey Behind.
Heath Cummings
He's. He might be like RB8, RB9. In the class.
Dave Richard
In the class.
Jamie Erdahl
Wow.
Dave Richard
But he's. He's there with Tootin right now. Scatterbows on his tail. He's. He's behind that group of Bill, Judkins, Henderson.
Jamie Erdahl
So the big takeaway. Do you agree with that, Jamie? The big takeaway would be that R.J. harvey of these. Of the rookie running backs that we. That I was going through like the way they were drafted in the NFL draft. But of the rookie running backs that we were drafting in the first five or six rounds, Harvey is, Is raising the most red flags.
Jamie Weinman
Without a doubt. Of course, you know, it's mostly just because Dobbins.
Jamie Erdahl
Yeah.
Jamie Weinman
I think if he gets a chance to play, then he's going to be still a very solid fancy option.
Dave Richard
I don't think any of us saw bidet coming.
Jamie Erdahl
Right. That's true.
Heath Cummings
And that's an unsettling feeling when that happens.
Jamie Erdahl
Dad said he wants. But it was really gross. Like I really wanted bidet. I was like, oh God, I have to think about yeah, yeah. All right. So we'll go to some buy lows and sell highs. We gotta get through the news and notes. Want to remind everyone football fans bet mgm baby. Use the bonus code fantasy when you sign up, but bring that playoff energy to your pro football bets all season long. This pro Football boost pack gives you three ways to boost your payout on a winning bet. Just log into your BetMGM account to receive your boost pack and then place any pro football bet and apply one of the tokens. Make sure to be to bet up to the minimum stake odds and legs specified on the token. If your boosted bed hits, you score a bigger payout. From opening kickoffs to game winning drives, this pro football boost pack is your ticket to unforgettable moments this season. Don't wait on the sideline. Join the action with BetMGM. Your news and notes. Oh, just a reminder, Sunday morning YouTube, 11:30am Eastern. See you there. YouTube.com fantasy football today, your news and notes. Aaron Jones is on ir so he's out at least four weeks. The Vikings are expected to resign. Cam Acres. The next two weeks are favorable. Cincinnati and Pittsburgh's been terrible against the run that maybe they get a little healthier by then. Then after that it's a really bad schedule. Cleveland, arguably the best run defense in football right now. I think you'd have to say this held Derrick Henry to two fantasy points, then a buy, then the Eagles. Probably a bad matchup. Remember, they didn't have Jalen Carter in Week 1. The Chargers have been a tough matchup. Then the Lions, then the Ravens. So right now, would you rather have Jordan Mason or Omarion Hampton? And I don't mean just for the next four weeks. I mean rest of season.
Dave Richard
Rest of season. Hampton.
Jamie Weinman
Hampton.
Heath Cummings
Yeah.
Jamie Erdahl
Okay.
Dave Richard
I've got Minnesota chartered with the second worst running back schedule rest of season.
Jamie Erdahl
Wow.
Dave Richard
It's. You're right. Obviously the next two weeks are good and they end the year. Defense has changed so much between now and week 15 through 17, but they as of now it looks good. But in between those weeks. Yikes.
Jamie Weinman
Let's see what happens when Darisau's back.
Heath Cummings
What they look like Also like There's I think seven teams right now that are giving up less than 3.5 yards per carry on rush attempts. That's not going to continue.
Jamie Erdahl
No. But I think Cleveland's proven themselves so far because they were really good last year. They're off to a great start this year.
Heath Cummings
Right.
Jamie Erdahl
Philadelphia, Detroit, Baltimore, those are kind of the teams that we expect to be good. But you're right, it's, it's extremely unpredictable.
Heath Cummings
And those, those teams, those three teams are not part of that.
Dave Richard
Seven Chargers, by the way, in the projected schedule. Rest of season is top five.
Jamie Erdahl
Okay, when does someone's asking in the chat. When does Christian Darasaw return? It's possible this week. We're gonna call him questionable for this week, hopefully next week at the latest for Christian Darasaw. Juwan Jennings day to day with an ankle injury. Darren Waller likely out this week, but at least he was able to be limited in practice. Jalen Wright could play this week for the Dolphins. Jalen Waddle was limited with a shoulder injury. We have no reason to think Waddle won't play. They got the Thursday game. Buffalo defensive tackle Ed Oliver and linebacker Matt Milano missed practice. So they're not looking good for Thursday. Christian Kirk, baby. It is revenge game week for Christian Kirk at Jacksonville. He is likely to play this week. So is Braxton Barrios. Tampa Bay right tackle Luke Gettyke is going to miss several weeks and defensive tackle Collijah can see is likely out for the season with a torn Peck. Minnesota, I already mentioned this. Left tackle Minnesota. Christian Daras was questionable. Pittsburgh defense is super beat this week. Probably going to be without their top cornerback, one of their best pass rushers. They're super beat up Pittsburgh and they're facing New England on the road and.
Dave Richard
And they've been terrible against the run for two straight weeks.
Jamie Erdahl
Yeah. And Cincinnati signed quarterbacks Mike White and Sean Clifford to their practice squad and Brett Rippen is their backup. Okay. Into the buy lows and the sell highs we, I mean we touched on a lot of these guys. Jamie's were, you know, some of the rookie running backs. Is there anything else you'd like to say or have we wrapped up on that?
Jamie Weinman
No, I think we're good. I, I do hope that we get. I guess the one we didn't really mention Travion is, you know, talked about in the trade chart. But I, I would hope that we get a situation where maybe chasing points like we had in week one and he's more involved in the passing game.
Jamie Erdahl
Okay. Heath's by Lows, lad McConkey, Terry McLaurin, Chris Olave, Quin, Sean Judkins and then if you're owing to or no if you're 2 and oh, you're targeting the Owen 2 team that has Rasheed Rice. That's someone you can buy low for. But McConkey. No red zone, no green zone, no end zone targets yet. Seven targets per game. Target per route. Run rate down a little bit. Keenan Allen has more targets. Quentin Johnson has the same amount of targets. So not, not too concerned.
Heath Cummings
And people are really freaking out about lad McConkey. He has a 23% target share. They've just kind of done away with targets to the tight ends and it's 60, 70 of their targets going to three wide receivers so far. If that changes, I don't think it's lads target share that's going down. He's at 23. I got him at 24. Projected at the beginning of the season. I, I have basically zero concern about Ladd McGonkey. The. Yes, there's a little. There's more competition than we expected. Although I said before the year I thought Allen was getting seven targets a game. The pie is gonna be. The pie is going to be bigger than we thought it was. In terms of the passing game.
Dave Richard
It's eight and a half targets per game for Keenan Allen so far. It's seven for McConkey and it's seven for Quentin Johnson. Johnston and McConkey have the exact same target share. I. I think this is kind of a byproduct of Is it question. Is it a byproduct of the Chargers not being able to run the ball or just the byproduct of the Chargers saying, listen, we've got a great quarterback, we're going to use them, we're going to spread the ball around. Or could it just be both of those things?
Heath Cummings
I mean, I think it's probably a little bit of both. But I think the really interesting thing is, I don't know if anybody said this, but Keenan Allen has more targets than Lab and Conkey and Quentin Johnston has the same number of targets as live McConkey.
Jamie Weinman
I heard that.
Jamie Erdahl
Yeah, yeah, but McConkey, okay, so he is averaging the seven targets per game. When he went off down the stretch, he was averaging like 7.5 targets per game.
Heath Cummings
Right.
Jamie Erdahl
So he's shown he can be. He was wide receiver 11 per game in that stretch last year. His last 10 games, he's shown that he can be that good. But, you know, still, we wanted to see more targets per game, but okay, lad McConkey's by low. Terry McLaurin, Chris Olave, I mean McLaurin.
Heath Cummings
And Jamie was on this before the season. I think Dave probably was too. That McLaren get off to a slow start because of the holdout that doesn't mean he's going to be bad all year. He had nine targets last week. Now we get the Jaden Daniels injuries. People might be more scared of him. I think it's a really good opportunity, especially if you don't have to have a win this week to buy low on McLaren, who I still think is going to be a borderline wide receiver two rest of season.
Jamie Erdahl
Olave.
Heath Cummings
I've been really encouraged by the way that they're distributing the football and the way, the way that they're using him. He's moving around the formation more, he's working out of the slot more. And there are. Not this week, but there are some opportunities coming up for the Saints in the past game schedule where I think that they will have better production. They have in the next couple of months. The Giants, the Patriots, the Bears, the Panthers a couple times, the Dolphins. I, I think that it could be a much. Olave was almost my biggest riser and he hasn't even done much to earn that yet.
Jamie Erdahl
So with McLaurin and Olave, would you give up Javante Williams for either of them?
Heath Cummings
You have to get more than that.
Jamie Erdahl
You have to get more than that for Javante.
Heath Cummings
I think you should.
Jamie Erdahl
Okay.
Heath Cummings
But I think there's a chance both those guys are better than him. But I think you should be able to get more than that right now.
Jamie Erdahl
Yeah.
Jamie Weinman
I would not do it for McLaren. I wouldn't do it for McConkie.
Jamie Erdahl
Wait, you would. You would give up Javante for McConkey. You would not give up Javante for McLaurin?
Jamie Weinman
Correct.
Jamie Erdahl
Okay. And then Quinshawn Judkins, we discussed, and Rashi Rice, basically. I'll just ask you this. Do you expect Rashi Rice to be Rashid Rice when he gets back?
Heath Cummings
I expect him to be a top 15 wide receiver from week seven on.
Jamie Erdahl
Okay, there you go. So obviously you have to wait four more weeks, but you should be, if you're in a position of strength, go find the 02 Rashee rice manager.
Jamie Weinman
And what was the trade you just made?
Heath Cummings
I traded Javante for rishi rice. I was 2. 0. He was 012. I have Ken Walker, Travis ETN and Quinn Sean Judkins on that team. So I felt like Javante was a little bit expendable.
Jamie Weinman
You traded your best running back.
Heath Cummings
That's. That's. That was the response from Twitter as I traded my best running back.
Jamie Erdahl
I feel like Xavier Worthy could have a big month because he's probably coming back this week, right? I mean, yeah, I'm not Sure.
Heath Cummings
If we're. Are we at probably coming back this week or are we possibly coming back this week?
Jamie Weinman
I think we'll find out today. I think it's possible. Possibly.
Jamie Erdahl
All right.
Jamie Weinman
Today's a big day. Today's a big day for injuries, but Wednesday is it.
Jamie Erdahl
Thursday is the big day for me.
Jamie Weinman
Well, I mean, if, if Jaden Daniels does nothing, Justin Fields is still in the concussion protocol. Like, we got a lot of guys that are coming into the week with injuries. If they don't do anything, it's going to be a little bit of a panic.
Jamie Erdahl
Okay, Dave, Buy low on Kyron Williams, Chase Brown, A.J. brown and Matthew golden start with Kyron Williams.
Dave Richard
Kyron Williams is still dominating touches. He's got 19 in each of his first two games. He'll be due for touchdowns and big games along the way. The only thing that really worries me, I'm not as worried about Blake Corum as. As you guys might be. I do think the Rams have a tough schedule moving forward and Stafford's been playing great. He's been throwing the ball really well. And of course there's always the concern about what happens if Stafford misses time, what does that do to the run game? That all comes into play. But you can't argue with the workload that Kyron Williams has had so far.
Heath Cummings
Javante or Kyron?
Dave Richard
I think I still have Kyron higher than Javante.
Heath Cummings
I do too.
Jamie Erdahl
Yeah. Chase Brown is next on your buy low list. So I, I said Chase Brown that I would take him. I think I said round four if we were drafting today. Do you value him higher than that.
Dave Richard
12 team league in that range, if not a little bit higher? The good is that he gets a lot of touches. He's still fast, but bad. The offensive line isn't good. I mentioned the Vikings had the second toughest schedule rest of season according to my projections. But the Bengals have the worst. So those things come into play. But he should get more targets as the season rolls along.
Jamie Erdahl
Chase Brown. Okay. Would you rather have Zay Flowers or Chase Brown?
Dave Richard
Brown.
Jamie Erdahl
Would you? Who's like a. Okay, let me take a look at this most traded list here. Would you trade Travis etn? No way. You take ETN over Brown, right? Nope. You take Brown over etn. Jamie Heath, Travis ETN or Chase Brown?
Jamie Weinman
This feels like I'm still Chase Brown, but it's close now.
Heath Cummings
Feels like such a trap. I, I will. I, I think I would still take Chase Brown. I, I will say looking at the advanced stats, like things need to turn around for Chase Brown, it's not. It's not an unlucky. Like, the yards before contact are down. The yards after contact are down. Everything looks worse. And he was one of the biggest surprisers last year.
Jamie Erdahl
So, yeah, they're gonna keep running him right into the in to the guards. Like they just run up the middle with this guy. That shouldn't be doing that. They did that with Joe Mixon all the time. And. And like, that's why I like Zach Moss going into last year is like the Bengals run the ball up the middle all the time. Moss is more suited. That was my theory. Moss. Moss is more suited for that than Chase Brown. And they tried just. Moss wasn't good enough. Brown's not this great rusher. He needs. I feel like he needs burrow. I am worried about him, but not. It's not like he's. He's had. He has every single carry for the Bengals, so at least he's got that right. He's got that job on lockdown.
Dave Richard
Yeah.
Jamie Erdahl
We're saying. What's that?
Jamie Weinman
For what it's worth, in the seven games Browning played in 2023, Mixon averaged over 18 PPR points per game.
Jamie Erdahl
Yes. And Chase Brown was a factor then too. Like, Mixon was very good.
Dave Richard
Line was better then was definitely better than.
Jamie Erdahl
AJ Brown is a buy low. All right, how are we feeling about A.J. brown?
Dave Richard
I thought he started to flash more quickness last week, and I think Philadelphia will throw at least a little more moving forward. And it's a cheap price tag for a guy who is drafted in the top 30 range.
Jamie Erdahl
Okay, I agree.
Heath Cummings
I hope they don't have to change offensive coordinators again. Their offensive plan of attack has not been inspiring through two weeks, but they're two.
Jamie Weinman
Zero, Right.
Heath Cummings
Which is even scarier.
Dave Richard
Right.
Heath Cummings
For us.
Jamie Erdahl
Okay, so let's see. I've got. Looking at this Mecca. Buka, would you. Obviously. You'd give him up for A.J. brown, I assume?
Jamie Weinman
Yep, in a heartbeat.
Jamie Erdahl
How about Garrett Wilson or A.J. brown?
Heath Cummings
Brown.
Jamie Weinman
Brown. Brown.
Jamie Erdahl
How about Vlad McConkey or A.J. brown?
Heath Cummings
Brown.
Jamie Weinman
Brown. Agreed.
Jamie Erdahl
All right. Matthew Golden. Matthew Golden's a by low for you, Dave. Just.
Dave Richard
And this is a cheap one. Obviously in some leagues you might be able to get them off the waiver wire, but I love the speed. I love the deep targets that he had last week. I would imagine that the packers can use him a little bit more or at least vary how they use him in their offense. And he's. He's just someone who I think is still stashable. I know what the track record is of, of packers wide receivers and, and the spreading of targets around. I feel like it's gonna be different with, with golden because of where they drafted him, the capital invested and what they saw from him leading up to the season, it hasn't quite translated. He made a couple of mistakes in week two that if he just, you know, went after the, remember that deep ball into the end zone and he's just kind of waiting for it. If he goes after it, that's a touchdown. And everybody's going crazy over Matthew golden. So I'm hoping that he takes some coaching points and he evolves and maybe we have to be patient with him the same way we have to be patient with some of these rookie running backs. But he's a, he's a receiver I would love to have on my bench right now.
Heath Cummings
Fun fact, Matthew golden or Jaden Reed is the most dropped wide receiver right now. Matthew Golden's fourth.
Jamie Erdahl
You know, I thought about he should.
Dave Richard
Be a throw in in a trade.
Jamie Erdahl
If anything, I thought about drafting Matthew, dropping Matthew golden in a 10 team league for Juwan Jennings and I said, you know, we could set a lineup, right? I was like, I have a co manager. We could set a lineup now without either of these guys. So I'm gonna wait because I think that Golden's gonna pay off eventually. You could see the speed. He's so dynamic now. Christian Watson's on his way back maybe in the next month or so. Jaden Reed's not out for the year, but you could see that golden has something that the other receivers on the team don't have. So I kind of felt like Jennings is a better short term play, Golden's a better long term play. That's how I played it. All right, we're going to take a break. We'll get through the sell highs. We'll preview Monday night or Thursday night football and we will get to the worryometer after this on fft. It's football season and you gotta keep up with the action. Listen in to Pushing the pile part of CBS Sports podcast network with Mike Renner, Kyle Long and now me JP.
Jamie Weinman
Acosta for smart analysis of everything between the lines.
Jamie Erdahl
With four episodes a week, Sunday night recaps, film review, power tiers and weekly previews. You will know ball. Stick with us until one team lists the Lombardi download and follow pushing the pile on Apple podcasts, Spotify and anywhere podcasts are found.
Heath Cummings
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Jamie Erdahl
Okay, guys, running a little bit long here. So we're going to do the sell highs and I just want you to kind of just give me a quick thought on it and how you view this player rest of season. Maybe if you want to say who you trade him for. Dave, go ahead. You can start with Javante Williams, David Montgomery, Keenan Allen, your sell highs. Or maybe we'll go to Heath.
Heath Cummings
Yeah, it looks like everyone.
Dave Richard
I was just waiting for my phone to stop ringing in the house and there it goes one last time. It's a spam call. We don't even use it. I don't know why we have it. Who am I starting with? You want Javante?
Jamie Erdahl
Yeah, but I wanted, I wanted quick analysis. Just tell me how you value them. Rest of season.
Dave Richard
Yeah, I just, I don't think he's going to remain 20 plus PPR points good the rest of the way. But if you value him and around the range of 13, 14 PPR points per game, I think he can do that. So if you can get a player in return who's underwhelmed the first two weeks of the season. Genti makes a ton of sense. Hampton is much closer. Those are two guys. Chase Brown would be a third one. We already talked about this already. Yeah, like you don't give them away for nothing.
Jamie Erdahl
All right, David Montgomery I.
Dave Richard
This. I, I feel like every time he has a big game, you should try and sell high on David Montgomery. He's had 61 total yards on 12 total touches. That was last week. Detroit scored 52 points in the game. Usually when Detroit has big games like this, Montgomery is more involved. I don't think he'll be as consistent as he was in the past. Doesn't have the same sort of snapshare as he had. It's a tough schedule, rest of season as well.
Jamie Erdahl
And he's got. Yeah, right, right. Coming up, Baltimore, Cleveland with the next two schedule. Next two games for Montgomery could be tough. Keenan Allen, 81 rostered as of Sunday. He might be up from that now, but Keenan Allen's a sell high for.
Dave Richard
You and you're not going to get a ton for him. 17 PPR points per game at least. He's worth more than a throw in on a trade. But if you can turn him into something better, Keenan Allen and something else to get A.J. brown, that would make all the sense in the world to me. I was offered Keenan Allen essentially straight up for Travion Henderson. I turned that down.
Jamie Erdahl
You're keeping Henderson. Okay, keeping Henderson. Heath, you're by your sell highs or Daniel Jones. We'll go one by one. Daniel Jones, go.
Heath Cummings
Yeah, I, I, I will come around to believing in this more if it gets through the next two weeks or really even this first outdoor game at Tennessee. Who's been a pretty good past defense so far. I just. Derek Carr was the number two quarterback a year ago at this time averaging 11 yards per attempt. It's been encouraging for Jones and he thought that he was going to lose his job to Anthony Richardson is gone, but I don't think he's going to be someone you really want to start in a one quarterback league.
Jamie Erdahl
Tucker Kraft, this is an interesting one.
Heath Cummings
And, and the sec, the next one's like it too. It's a mecca Abuka. This is only sell really, really high. But what they've done, especially what Kraft did last week on seven targets, is not what you should expect. Where Evan talks about Kraft being the number three tight end and maybe he will be, but I don't think it's going to be number three like he's close to Brock Bowers or Trey McBride. It's going to be number three like he's 11.8 PPR fantasy points per game and tied in six is 11.4. And so I would like to see what, what does it cost for me to upgrade from Tucker Craft to Brock Bowers or Trey McBride?
Jamie Erdahl
I mean, I think another thing maybe you could do is if you have trained, if you have Tucker Kraft and Tyler Warren, obviously or maybe Harold Fannin or Juwan Johnson, just like a guy you feel like you could be okay at tight end. Obviously you can be better than okay if you have Warren. Maybe you just try to trade tucker craft for A.J. brown or something like that for a starter somewhere else.
Heath Cummings
I don't think we'll get A.J. brown, but I'd love to.
Jamie Erdahl
I mean I obviously a lot of people would be like no way I'm giving you A.J. brown for Tucker Craft. But when I look at the chat here I see the venom being spewed about all these guys that are having bad starts. So I so try. I mean just give it a shot.
Jamie Weinman
You could turn almost all these guys though into Rice if you're they're owing.
Jamie Erdahl
To Tucker Kraft might just be a really great player. So you don't you like Heath said you want to sell really high. I looked at the over the last five years, 19 tight ends have averaged 13 or more PPR fantasy points per game. Fifteen of them have had a target per out run rate of 23% or higher. Tucker Craft is right around there. He's, he's being targeted in consecutive games in ways that we kind of have not seen before in terms of target per route run rate. So I want to see if he can do it for a third straight game. But I had the same thought about Tucker Craft and you said the same thing about a buka. You got to get something really, really good. James Connor is a sell high for you. Go ahead Heath.
Heath Cummings
Yeah, I thought and they told us in training camp and there's been a lot of things we were told in training camp that have not held true. But they told us they were going to play Trey Benson more and they're playing Trey Benson more and Trey Vincent looks if not better, at least worthy of having a larger share of the touches than he has in the past. We knew coming into the year Connor has the age concerns. Connor has the injury concerns now he has the Trey Benson concerns. And I think if anybody's still looking at him as a must start running back, I would like to capitalize on that.
Jamie Erdahl
If you can't because I have Connor in one league. If you can't sell Connor, I think I'm going to try to buy Benson and lock up that backfield. I'm not going to give up too much but see if what I can.
Heath Cummings
Do no, I like buying Benson.
Jamie Erdahl
Jamie, ken Walker and J.K. dobbins are sell highs.
Jamie Weinman
I mean Dobbins is obvious. You know there's, there's the injury concern that has just unfortunately plagued him basically his entire career. So last year things were going great, missed four games, came back and still ran well. But that was with, you know, a slug on his team. If he loses any participation, game time, game reps, whatever the case may be, maybe there's an opportunity for RJ Harvard to run away with it. So while he's not Javante Williams, he's off to a good start and an unexpected start. So if you can Turn him into something better long term. I would look to do that. And in the case of Walker, I mean, he said as much. I think it was coming off of Sunday or Monday. He's okay being in a timeshare. If it's going to preserve him, his health, I don't want to hear that. I want you to go out and say, I want to dominate when I'm in a contract here. So, you know, he was clearly better than Charbonnet in week two. We'll see what happens in week three. There's a big opportunity for him against Seattle. Excuse me, against New Orleans in that defense. So if he has another big game, knowing that this guy missed so much time last year, knowing that there's an injury track record in his past, and knowing that Charbonnet is still going to have a role, like, if you could turn into something great, why wouldn't you do it?
Jamie Erdahl
By the way, as we get ready to talk about Thursday Night Football, last week I said I would try to trade Tyreek Hill for Cortland Sutton and I did. I tried in a league and it was turned down. This week I've been offered Cortland Sutton for my Tyree kill and I don't know what I want to do. Oh, so let me. Before we get into the Dolphins, do you feel.
Jamie Weinman
Have you guys made any trades? I know Heath has, but David Adam.
Jamie Erdahl
Made trades yet I keep rejecting trades or getting rejected. I tried to trade Joe Flacco to Schaefer for T. Higgins in our super flex league and he like, was pissed off by. He tweeted about how bad of a trade offer it was.
Heath Cummings
He traded Cooper cup to our week three opponent for nothing.
Jamie Erdahl
I dropped Cooper cup after week one. In a tent.
Heath Cummings
That guy picked him up.
Jamie Erdahl
Team league you approved.
Jamie Weinman
This is the same league where you didn't pick up Joanne Jennings, actually.
Jamie Erdahl
Yeah, but, but.
Jamie Weinman
So when you said you had a manager, you just didn't decide to name Heat?
Jamie Erdahl
No, no. Differently. Different.
Heath Cummings
Multiple leagues. Adams thought about picking up Joanne Jennings.
Jamie Erdahl
But not there were 10 team leagues. I mean, it's 12 team league. Is definitely should Adam, but yeah. Do you guys think we should be selling our Dolphins? Specifically Tyreek Hill?
Jamie Weinman
Yeah. I mean, this. This could get ugly. I mean, they lose this week, they're owing three. They may be, you know, firing their coach.
Heath Cummings
I'm not selling Hm.
Dave Richard
No chance.
Jamie Weinman
Would you someone for G. Robinson for hm. Would you do it? Yeah.
Heath Cummings
Yeah. I give.
Jamie Weinman
Yes. Okay, so you are selling.
Dave Richard
That's not selling. That's upgrading. Everyone will upgrade if they if given the opportunity. But a Chan for Keenan Allen and Chase Brown is no, I mean anybody's anywhere in the neighborhood.
Jamie Erdahl
HN for McCaffrey. Who would you rather have? McCaffrey H and for Heath McCaffrey for Dave. What'd you say?
Jamie Weinman
Jamie McCaffrey. I made two trades yesterday in. In one ten team dynasty league where I was carrying too many quarterbacks. I traded bo Nicks and C.J. stroud for Joe Burrow. So I have known Joe Burrow forever. And then I trade. I was offered this trade. I have a Trey McBride. I was. And I picked up Harold Fannon. I was offered Basil Toon for Fannon. So I made that trade.
Jamie Erdahl
Who got Jake Browning in our soup? Oh, that doesn't run until tomorrow. Oh, Dave.
Heath Cummings
And I made a trade. Dave's made a trade.
Jamie Erdahl
What'd you do?
Heath Cummings
I traded Daniel Jones and a round four rookie pick for Cooper cup and around six rookie pick.
Dave Richard
I had Joe Burrow with no backup.
Heath Cummings
But you got Jake Browning too.
Dave Richard
I picked up Jake Browning as well.
Jamie Weinman
So would you have made the trade if you knew you were guaranteed to get Browning?
Dave Richard
I wanted to have options at quarterback so I don't fall into the same trap that I've fallen into now two of the last three years in this league. And my championship window is closing quickly. So my championship hopes are clinging to Daniel Jones and Jake Browning.
Jamie Weinman
Baby, would you rather have Browning, Carson Wentz and Cooper cup or Daniel Jones, Jake Browning and.
Dave Richard
No, I'm glad I got something for Cooper cup, not to mention a small pickup grade.
Jamie Erdahl
Okay, Dave, we have a game.
Jamie Weinman
By the way, in one Super Flex league, Jake Browning went for the full thousand dollar budget for someone.
Dave Richard
Yeah, I had to overspend. Forum. In ours I spent like 22%. Something like that.
Heath Cummings
In a 1 QB?
Dave Richard
In a 1 QB?
Heath Cummings
Yes. I got him super for 75. In the super Flex Flex league, I tried.
Jamie Weinman
I tried 981 of my thousand dollars and I was just shy. And then I got Carson Wentz for 651.
Jamie Erdahl
I got Marcus Mariota in our Dynasty Baked Burger Dynasty super flex league for $26, 100 budget and I was the only one who bid though.
Jamie Weinman
I got Mariota for nothing. In a Super Flex league of analysts.
Jamie Erdahl
I could have done that too. I have Jaden Daniels, so he's a little more important to me. Okay, Dave, there's a game Thursday night. It's the Dolphins at the Bills. Okay, so do we think the Dolphins. Obviously you're starting. Hn do we think the passing game can. Can Hit in this game.
Heath Cummings
I'm starting Tyreek. He's a low end wide receiver too. And Waddle is a low end wide receiver. 3.
Jamie Erdahl
Would you start Keenan Allen or Tyreek Hill? Keenan Allen or. Or Jalen Waddle?
Heath Cummings
Allen in full ppo. Allen and everything.
Dave Richard
I have Waddle ahead.
Jamie Erdahl
Let me give you some stats here. How about a bad Tyreek Hill stat? So he's actually sixth in yards per out run, which is great. I think this was among wide receivers with 10 or more targets. But Tyreek only has a 20.6% target share. 23.2% target per out run rate. 23.2 is not bad. You can be a good wide receiver there. But when he was at his best his 1700 yard seasons, his target per hour run rate was 32% and 36.6%. His target share was over 30. So right now his target share is 20.6%. It's because Tua is leading the NFL right now and he led the NFL last year in running back target rate. He's 10% higher this year than he was last year in running back target rate. So it probably won't be this dramatic but that is what is happening there. But the good news on this is that the Dolphins and I think if you watch the tape, my opinion, they kind of look like the Dolphins again to his has right now actually believe it or not a career high in time to throw. In terms of how long it's taking him for to get rid of the ball was still quick but he's holding the ball a little bit longer. He has a career high in deep ball percentage, double his deep ball percentage of what it was last year. So I, I am seeing a competent looking offense but I am seeing Tua making really bad throws. I don't know what the hell is going on with him. He is missing Tyreek Hill on some big plays. He is throwing ridiculous interceptions where he's just not seeing guys. But I think I'm, I actually, you guys can disagree. I think I'm seeing a, a competent looking Dolphins offense. Believe it or not. If, if Tua can just make the throws that he needs to make.
Heath Cummings
I think tomorrow, tomorrow night is a big, big night because right now the evidence we have is Geno Week 1 against the Patriots, Geno Week 2 against the Chargers to a Week 1 against the Colts to a Week 2 against the Patriots. Like those two guys were productive and had good passing games. Playing the Patriots, they were complete disasters in their other two games. Are the Patriots just one of the worst Pass defenses in the league.
Jamie Erdahl
But against the Colts, had Tyree Kill open. Chunk play overthrew him. Interception had Tyree Kill open. Even chunkier play. Threw it out of bounds. He's. He's not playing well. But there are opportunities there in this offense because I think the. What I'm really trying to get at is the offensive line is actually holding up.
Heath Cummings
Yes.
Jamie Erdahl
And the Bills are probably without Ed Oliver again and Matt Milano for what that's worth, but they still have a, you know, a feisty pass rush. The Dolphins do not have good history against the Bills. Tyree Kill has bad regular season history against the Bills. Jalen Waddle has bad history against the Bills. Tua, not great against the Bills. So I don't know. How are you guys? You know, Jamie's not on the stream right now, I think. Oh, Jamie's back on the stream. But Dave, I'll let you like, what do you think the Dolphins offense does against Buffalo?
Dave Richard
I think they give them a fight. I don't think they're going to lay down and collapse. I don't think they'll win the game, but I think that they're going to build off of what they did last week and put some points up. So I'm okay starting Tyreek Hill. I'm okay starting Jalen Waddle. And TUA is just not someone that I'm excited to start. Two QB league.
Jamie Weinman
Sure.
Dave Richard
And hn's a must.
Jamie Weinman
You'll. We'll see pretty quickly how much this team cares about Mike McDaniel.
Jamie Erdahl
I think Tua, by the way, has scored more than 13.4 fantasy. More than 16 fantasy points. Once in five games against Buffalo in his career.
Jamie Weinman
Twice.
Jamie Erdahl
Twice.
Jamie Weinman
Got two games over 20 against him.
Jamie Erdahl
Am I missing a game? A playoff game or something?
Jamie Weinman
No, two in the regular season.
Jamie Erdahl
Oh, okay. For all this talk, I only did. I only did the ones with Tyreek Hill. Sorry.
Jamie Weinman
Gotcha.
Jamie Erdahl
Go ahead, Heath.
Heath Cummings
For all this talk about the Dolphins history against the Bills, Devon Hn was absolutely amazing against them in both games last year. Had three touchdowns, 15 catches, close to 300 yards and very good in both. I think he had three more touchdowns in his rookie season against them. Not quite as many yards or catches.
Jamie Erdahl
All right.
Jamie Weinman
He's destroyed them.
Jamie Erdahl
I'm sorry. And he's an easy one. James Cook is RB1 right now, so we're gonna start him. And Josh Allen is an easy start. So that brings us to the Bills passing game. Dave, do you like anyone other than Josh Allen in the Bills passing game?
Dave Richard
I think Keon Coleman's a good number three receiver. I like the matchup for him against the Dolphins secondary.
Heath Cummings
I love the matchup. Do they throw more than 22 passes?
Dave Richard
I think they will. So there have been seven games that Mike McDaniels coached the Dolphins against the Bills. That includes the playoffs. Dolphins have hung around in five of the seven. It's been a one score game. They haven't. Only one has been a win. But they, they've kept it competitive. And I, I think the clear weakness in this Dolphins defense, I mean it's literally everything but their pass rush at this point. So you can pick your poison between the run or the pass. But I think Keon Coleman will be okay as a flex this week. So I. There's a two week window here for Keon to reemerge as a good fantasy receiver again after last week not having many chances against the Jets.
Heath Cummings
I think this game has the biggest spread of the year so far. 11 and a half. The last time I saw it, 12 last year. 12. Now last year the, the Dolphins and Bills played a three point game and Josh Allen threw 39 passes. The Bills beat them by 21 and Josh Allen through 19 passes.
Jamie Erdahl
Yeah, I mean I can give you some, some Keon Coleman's, you know. Keon. Keon Coleman or Wanda Robinson.
Jamie Weinman
I would go Wando, Wando. Keon.
Dave Richard
I got my guy.
Jamie Erdahl
Higher. Keon Coleman or Juwan Jennings?
Heath Cummings
Jennings.
Dave Richard
Jennings.
Jamie Erdahl
Keon Coleman or Omarion Hampton? Who'd you say?
Jamie Weinman
Coleman.
Heath Cummings
Coleman.
Dave Richard
I, I don't hate the matchup for Hampton. It's just a matter of how many carries he gets. Can he score?
Jamie Erdahl
It's Denver. Yeah.
Dave Richard
Yeah. Well, I, I think it makes sense to go with Coleman. They both feel like very low flory.
Jamie Weinman
All right.
Jamie Erdahl
I mean, I don't think he has a great matchup or anything. Maybe Denver's, Denver's run defense I guess hasn't been that good it was last year.
Dave Richard
No, I mean they look good against Tony Pollard in week one.
Jamie Erdahl
Tony Pollard or Keon Coleman?
Heath Cummings
Pollard.
Jamie Erdahl
This could be the week where Pollard actually does something with those 18 touches.
Dave Richard
His line is in rough shape.
Jamie Erdahl
How about Keon Coleman? I'll do one more.
Dave Richard
Or.
Jamie Erdahl
She'D. Shaheed.
Jamie Weinman
I think she'd.
Jamie Erdahl
I've got Coleman and Waffles ahead of Coleman, I assume.
Jamie Weinman
Yeah.
Jamie Erdahl
All right. What about Kincaid? What about Shakir Palmer?
Heath Cummings
No, thanks.
Jamie Weinman
Okay. No, I mean Shakir is not far off from Coleman. Coleman's got more upside. But again, you know, if Josh Allen's going to throw, these are the guys he's going to lean on. So it, it's. It's a matter of how you anticipate the game going. Like Coleman's got the most touchdown potential. You know, Shakira is allergic to the end zone. Kincaid is not proven yet that he's going to be a consistent touchdown producer despite scoring in week one.
Jamie Erdahl
Yeah.
Jamie Weinman
If they could do whatever they want to in this game. I mean, the Dolphins are so bad.
Jamie Erdahl
Bill's DST starter set.
Jamie Weinman
I mean, must start.
Dave Richard
I think you should start them.
Jamie Weinman
Okay.
Jamie Erdahl
Dolphins have been bad. A lot of sacks, turnovers, punt return for a touchdown. They're giving up the second most Fantasy points to DSTs. Okay. We have a poll on YouTube. Do you still have a landline in your home? 88% said no. But I should have a landline in my. I'm just too lazy because if there's.
Heath Cummings
Why should you?
Jamie Erdahl
Because if there's a power outage, you definitely should. Like with the hurricane. I remember, you know, growing up in South Florida, right. There's a hurricane. Yep. You need that landline. It knocks the power out you. Your cell phone probably not going to get service and the battery could die. So landline, spend, splurge. You know what? I'm going to. I'm going to. I'm going to bring this up as soon as I get off the air. So my wife. We need a let. She could probably hear me. We need a landline in here. All right, let's do the worry.
Dave Richard
How many hurricanes do you get in suburban New York City?
Jamie Erdahl
Not many, but we've had two earthquakes. Three earthquakes, I think, actually, since I moved to about Kisco two years ago.
Jamie Weinman
There was one when I was there that's.
Jamie Erdahl
Oh, really? That's right. It's crazy, right? We had.
Dave Richard
What was it.
Heath Cummings
Was it Irma, where we lost power for like seven or eight days. I don't. We didn't lose cell service.
Jamie Erdahl
I. I don't.
Dave Richard
Right. You get the cell service back. But if you lose power, it's hard to charge stuff.
Jamie Erdahl
Yeah. Use the car. Yeah.
Jamie Weinman
I mean we.
Dave Richard
We kept the landline for that reason primarily. Plus like to cancel it. We're saving like a few bucks a month also.
Heath Cummings
I don't know who. Who am I going to call if we have a hurricane?
Jamie Erdahl
Dave, he's got a landline. All right.
Jamie Weinman
It's a worry out of.
Dave Richard
It also helps for radio spots. Like they always prefer a landline to cell phone.
Jamie Weinman
They've never heard one in about 10 years.
Dave Richard
What a radio.
Jamie Weinman
Yes.
Dave Richard
Things they always ask me.
Heath Cummings
That's crazy because they know you have one.
Dave Richard
They always prefer. Maybe they prefer landline to cell phone. Some might say that they don't care.
Jamie Erdahl
He's Dave. Landline in like the Rolodex. All right, Worryometer Wednesday. Let's finish with this. Brian Thomas Jr. Worryometer. Zero to ten. Zero. I'm not worried at all. Ten. Yikes.
Dave Richard
Fight four.
Jamie Erdahl
I'm definitely making some. Brian Thomas Jr. By low offers. He can't.
Dave Richard
No one's gonna accept them.
Jamie Erdahl
You're probably right. So people aren't as worried as they say they are then, I guess. Calvin Ridley. From Dylan to Calvin.
Jamie Weinman
Those 10 safe wide receivers in the first two rounds.
Jamie Erdahl
Yeah.
Dave Richard
Yeah.
Jamie Erdahl
Well, most of them are safe. A.J.
Heath Cummings
Brown, Nico Collins. Brian Thomas doesn't. Jefferson. Jefferson.
Jamie Erdahl
Jesus, Nico. God. It's one inch away from scoring that other touchdown. Calvin Ridley. Zero to ten. Lauriometer.
Dave Richard
Six. I was gonna say six.
Jamie Weinman
Five. I mean, we're getting past the brutal part of the season for him.
Jamie Erdahl
Alejandro, Jerry Judy and zero on Alejandro. He's good. Jerry Judy and Kyron Williams.
Dave Richard
Six on Judy. Three max on Kyron Williams.
Jamie Erdahl
Yeah.
Jamie Weinman
Five on Judy. Four on Kyron.
Jamie Erdahl
30 on Judy.
Dave Richard
30.
Jamie Erdahl
Yeah. Like, how's he gonna do against Green Bay this week? Probably not well. When are they gonna bench Joe Flacco? Probably in week five. When they're.
Heath Cummings
You know what? Like, that has been the theme of the preseason and I said it a million times. The way Joe Flacco is playing right now, I'm not sure it's going to get a lot worse.
Jamie Erdahl
He isn't. You're right, he's not playing well. But I think it's also that Fanon is so involved and Tillman is. Tillman. I tweeted yesterday, Tillman has outscored Jerry Judy in five of the last six games that they've played together, excluding the game that Tillman left with an injury.
Jamie Weinman
But that's touchdowns, though. And I'm not.
Jamie Erdahl
But it's also targets. Their targets are almost identical. And now Fannon's in there and Samson is in there. And Jerome Ford. Didn't he have five catches last week? They. I don't know. I mean, I'm really regretful of all the Jerry Judy I have, but you guys are not there yet.
Jamie Weinman
Well, I think we are. I think it's, you know, just creeping towards a bad spot. Not there yet.
Jamie Erdahl
Wariometer on Bo Nicks being last in PFF QB passing grades, which he is through two weeks.
Heath Cummings
Zero.
Jamie Weinman
We. We just lost Joe Burrow. We may lose Jane Daniels. We don't know what Justin Fields like. You got to be happy if you have Bo Nicks this morning.
Jamie Erdahl
He's got the Chargers this week though. It could be tough.
Jamie Weinman
Might not play.
Jamie Erdahl
Yeah, they played the whole game without Khalil Mack. Did. Did great. But you're right from Fiesel. Better.
Dave Richard
Better offensive line in Denver.
Jamie Erdahl
Yes. Looking forward to this game. Denver at the Chargers, TYRONE Tracy.
Jamie Weinman
The two best teams in the AFC West.
Heath Cummings
Winner wins the division.
Jamie Erdahl
Tracy's a big worry. 8.
Jamie Weinman
This is a 9.
Jamie Erdahl
Dan has a theory that I don't agree with. He has a theory that Tracy got in the put in the doghouse for calling out the play calling after week one.
Heath Cummings
I. I asked you about that on Sunday, right?
Jamie Erdahl
Did you?
Heath Cummings
I think so. Maybe I was the one that had the theory, not Dan.
Jamie Erdahl
No, Dan had said it on beyond the Box.
Jamie Weinman
Where.
Jamie Erdahl
I'm sorry, I don't remember that you saying that on Thursday. But wouldn't that have happened in the first half because he went in the doghouse in the second half. He just hasn't run that well and he's playing on special teams. I guess I just.
Heath Cummings
I can't scam. Scatter is just a better runner if.
Jamie Erdahl
He can stay healthy because all he wants to do is just like run over people.
Heath Cummings
It's just like your guy who Pacheco got big time Pacheco vibes.
Jamie Erdahl
Yes. Check. Okay. All right, we're. We're out of here. We've got starter sit for the AFC home games tomorrow and enjoy the rest of your Wednesday. We'll talk to you soon.
Jamie Weinman
New commander's depth chart was just released. Would you like to know the order?
Jamie Erdahl
Yeah.
Jamie Weinman
Who do you think is one?
Jamie Erdahl
Jane Daniels.
Heath Cummings
Chris Rodriguez.
Jamie Erdahl
Oh. Oh. At running back. Yeah. Jeremy McNichols.
Jamie Weinman
Jacori Crosky. Merit is one.
Heath Cummings
Oh, that's bad.
Jamie Weinman
Nichols. Two. Now the big one. Who's two?
Dave Richard
McNichols.
Jamie Erdahl
Two. Yeah, McNichols.
Heath Cummings
I'll say.
Jamie Weinman
Christian.
Heath Cummings
Okay.
Jamie Erdahl
Oh, man.
Heath Cummings
I hope all of you remember what.
Jamie Erdahl
I called McNichols on the Sunday stream last year. We will be back tomorrow with another.
Jamie Weinman
Edition of fantasy football Today, Paramount podcast.
Dave Richard
Now streaming.
Jamie Erdahl
When people go missing, I get hired to help find them.
Dave Richard
When lives are on the line.
Jamie Erdahl
Coulter, please find my daughter. He is the man for the job.
Heath Cummings
I'm gonna do everything you can.
Dave Richard
Don't miss a moment.
Jamie Erdahl
Culture's in trouble. I can feel it.
Dave Richard
Of TV's number one show.
Jamie Weinman
These people are dangerous.
Jamie Erdahl
I'm doing this alone.
Jamie Weinman
No, no, no.
Heath Cummings
Every Batman gotta have their router.
Jamie Erdahl
Coulter Justin Hartley stars.
Heath Cummings
I made a promise I would never stop looking in.
Dave Richard
Tracker all episodes now streaming on Paramount plus and returning CBS fall.
This "Fantasy Football Today" episode, hosted by Adam Aizer with analysts Dave Richard, Jamey Eisenberg, Heath Cummings, and Jamie Weinman, dives into Week 3 fantasy football strategy. The crew focuses on buy-low and sell-high trade candidates, rising and falling player values, rookie running back woes, and offers a robust preview of the Dolphins at Bills Thursday Night Football game. The tone is energetic, insightful, and a bit irreverent, with banter and strong opinions guiding fantasy managers through early-season dilemmas.
Heath: Zay Flowers
Dave: Javonte Williams
Jamie: Deebo Samuel
Notable Quote
“Tucker Kraft might just be a really great player… but you want to sell really high.” – Jamie Erdahl (46:30)
Dolphins Outlook:
Bills Outlook:
Other Notables:
“You shouldn’t expect [Zay Flowers] to do this all year because no one ever has… But he looks like he’s having a breakout.”
— Heath Cummings (03:28)
“The time shares we were concerned about [for rookie RBs] are playing themselves out, in every case except for Genti.”
— Jamie Weinman (13:49)
“If anybody’s still looking at [James] Conner as a must-start running back, I would like to capitalize on that.”
— Heath Cummings (47:18)
“Try to sell [Javonte Williams] if you can, but make sure you’re getting something spectacular in return.”
— Jamie Weinman (07:09)
“Tucker Kraft might just be a really great player. You want to sell really high.”
— Jamie Erdahl (46:30)
“If you want to put a rookie RB on your bench and wait, don’t be surprised if you’re still waiting in Week 10.”
— Jamie Erdahl (16:14)
| Player | Worry Score (0=none, 10=full panic) | Analyst Notes | |--------|----------------|---------------| | Brian Thomas Jr. | 4 | Gap narrowing with Zay Flowers; “making by-low offers” | | Calvin Ridley | 5–6 | Getting past brutal schedule stretch | | Jerry Jeudy | 6 | “30” joke by Jamie, much regret, “targets almost identical [to Tillman]” | | Kyren Williams | 3–4 | Workload solid, “he’ll be fine” | | Bo Nix (last in PFF grades) | 0 | Context, lack of alternatives, not worried | | Tyrone Tracy | 8–9 | Snap share decline, in the doghouse? |
Rookie running backs: Exercise patience, but manage expectations — time shares, snap share reduction, and backfield competition are real. Genti and Hampton remain top buy-low stashes if available cheap.
Buy low on slumping studs: Especially star WRs (McLaurin, Olave, A.J. Brown), and RBs with stable roles but tough schedules. Use panicked managers’ impatience to your advantage.
Sell high on unsustainable performances: Especially Javonte Williams, David Montgomery, Keenan Allen, and others whose opportunity may shrink or production is fluky.
Thursday Night Football: Start your Dolphins and Bills studs, but temper expectations for Miami’s WRs, outside of HN (who owns Buffalo). Keon Coleman a decent plug-and-play WR3/flex.
Worryometer pulse: Be proactive but not reactionary — worry for now is moderate for most underperforming names. Keep taking swings on breakout candidates, especially as roles solidify after Week 3.
Stay tuned for start/sit advice and more in the next show. Don’t forget to set your lineups and work those trade offers before the week kicks off!
This summary covers all critical topics and key moments from the episode, with direct takeaway and advice for fantasy managers looking to get an edge this week.