Bold Predictions & Player Analogies - LIVE in Phoenix

Summary

Fantasy Footballers Podcast Summary: "Bold Predictions & Player Analogies - LIVE in Phoenix"

Release Date: August 27, 2018

Hosted by the expert trio Andy Holloway, Jason Moore, and Mike "The Fantasy Hitman" Wright, this live episode from Phoenix dives deep into player analogies, bold predictions for the 2018 NFL fantasy season, and engages with listeners through a live mailbag session. The discussion is rich with analysis, humor, and strategic insights designed to help fantasy football enthusiasts dominate their leagues.

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1. Player Analogies: Crafting Memorable Comparisons

The Fantasy Footballers have a tradition of using creative analogies to describe players' performances and roles within fantasy football. Reflecting on past analogies:

• Dirty Cake: Described a player on a struggling team, comparing his performance to "eating cake off the floor."
• Big Salad: Represented players like Sean Drona, equating them to less desirable fantasy options, such as "lettuce in the salad."
• Pink Moose: Assigned to Antonio Brown, albeit humorously acknowledged as "the literal worst analogy of all time."

New Analogies Introduced:

• Lamar Miller – "Never Gonna Give You Up": Mike Wright likens Lamar Miller to the iconic Rick Astley song, suggesting that fantasy managers might repeatedly "fall for the trick" of overvaluing him, much like getting "Rickrolled" online. (Timestamp: 03:31)

  Mike Wright: "The joke is actually not on me because this song is catchy and it sinks into your bones... that Lamar Miller gets to be a three down back."

• LaShawn McCoy – "One Day Expired Milk": Andy Holloway paints McCoy as a reliable but questionable asset, much like milk that's past its prime but still usable in a pinch.

  Andy Holloway: "LaShawn McCoy, I've said it this whole offseason, he has so many problems... but he's probably going to touch the ball 300 times. So, yes, he's stinky expired milk."

• Sam Bradford – "Sammy Biscuits": Jason Moore creatively compares quarterback Sam Bradford to himself, emphasizing Bradford's underrated and surprisingly athletic qualities despite questionable past performances.

  Jason Moore: "I'm going to compare Sam Bradford to Jason Moore... surprisingly athletic given the body type."

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2. Bold Predictions for the 2018 Fantasy Season

The hosts lay down their audacious forecasts for the upcoming NFL season, aiming to shake up conventional wisdom.

Mike Wright: Arizona Cardinals' Offensive Explosion

Mike predicts that the Cardinals' offense will outperform expectations dramatically, finishing the season with players in the top 12 at all four major starting positions: quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end.

Mike Wright: "The Cardinals offense are going to shock, stun, and surprise many people when they finish the season with a player in the top 12 of their position at all four major starting positions for fantasy football." (Timestamp: 09:26)

Jason Moore: Derek Carr's Resurgence & Cleveland Browns' Playoff Push

Jason forecasts that Derek Carr will return as a top-tier quarterback, leveraging the Oakland Raiders' favorable schedule and offensive talents like Amari Cooper and Martavis Bryant. Additionally, he boldly asserts that the Cleveland Browns will not only make the playoffs but also perform unexpectedly well in the fantasy landscape.

Jason Moore: "Once again, Derek Carr will be back for 2018 to the tune of a quarterback one season." (Timestamp: 14:16)

Jason Moore: "The Cleveland Browns are making the playoffs. I believe the Browns will be the team that does what Mike said the Cardinals would do." (Timestamp: 31:44)

Andy Holloway: The Downfall of the New England Patriots

Andy presents a contrarian view by predicting a decline for the Patriots, citing potential weaknesses like Tom Brady's age, internal team turmoil, and key player uncertainties. He suggests that despite their historical dominance, the Patriots might struggle to maintain their elite status.

Andy Holloway: "I believe that in 2018, is the beginning of the end for the New England Patriots." (Timestamp: 18:11)

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3. Rookie Running Backs: The Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse

Mike Wright introduces a daring prediction about rookie running backs, branding Rashad Penny, Sony Michel, Nick Chubb, and Ronald Jones as the "Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse" poised to wreak havoc on fantasy football leagues during the latter half of the season.

Mike Wright: "These four running backs are not necessarily players that I am interested in the draft season. I'm not even interested in them in the first four weeks. But... they're going to ride in and destroy fantasy seasons for all that oppose them." (Timestamp: 23:15)

Meanwhile, Andy Holloway counters by suggesting that only Saquon Barkley will emerge as a standout rookie running back, predicting he will be the sole rookie in the top 15 by season's end.

Andy Holloway: "Saquon Barkley will be the only rookie running back in the top 15 at the end of the season." (Timestamp: 35:00)

The discussion highlights the complexities of drafting rookie running backs, emphasizing the importance of evaluating talent, opportunity, and timing within the season.

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4. Live Mailbag: Listener Engagement and Strategic Advice

The live segment features listeners posing various fantasy football-related questions, prompting insightful and often humorous responses from the hosts.

Example Q&A Highlights:

• Transaction Restrictions in Leagues:

  Listener Brian asks about participating in a league with a transaction limit of 10 per year, including trades.

  Mike Wright: "I'm going to have at least two quarterbacks. I'm going to crush the quarterback position." (Timestamp: 41:03)

  The hosts advise maintaining flexibility by drafting multiple quarterbacks late and prioritizing positions like tight end early to conserve transactions for mid-season adjustments.

• Draft Strategy Dilemma – Saquon Barkley vs. Alvin Kamara:

  Listener Saquon seeks advice on choosing between drafting Saquon Barkley or Alvin Kamara with the sixth pick in a 12-team PPR league.

  Andy Holloway: "I am firmly on the Saquon Barkley side. I want the volume... his floor is 10 and his ceiling is 1." (Timestamp: 45:47)

  The consensus leans towards selecting Saquon Barkley for his higher usage and versatility, essential in maximizing fantasy points.

• Keeper League Confusion:

  Listener Dre navigates the complexities of joining a keeper league with inherited teams.

  Andy Holloway: "If you draft the best team imaginable and then don't stay committed through the season... you have no chance of winning." (Timestamp: 28:17)

  The hosts recommend embracing the keeper aspect by focusing on drafting players who can outperform their draft positions and contribute consistently throughout the season.

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5. Conclusion: Solidifying Bold Predictions

Wrapping up the episode, the Fantasy Footballers reiterate their bold predictions and encourage listeners to engage with their strategies.

• Mike's Cardinals Offensive Prediction
• Jason's Claims on Derek Carr and Browns Playoff Run
• Andy's Warning on Patriots' Potential Decline
• Rookie Running Backs' Mid-Season Impact

The hosts emphasize the dynamic nature of fantasy football, where adaptability and strategic foresight are crucial for success.

Andy Holloway: "You do not win your championship at the draft. You build the foundation." (Timestamp: 57:20)

Listeners are encouraged to stay informed, remain flexible with their rosters, and leverage the insights shared to secure their fantasy championships.

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Notable Quotes with Timestamps

• Mike Wright (03:31): "The Cardinals offense are going to shock, stun, and surprise many people when they finish the season with a player in the top 12 of their position at all four major starting positions for fantasy football."

• Andy Holloway (35:00): "Saquon Barkley will be the only rookie running back in the top 15 at the end of the season."

• Jason Moore (14:16): "Once again, Derek Carr will be back for 2018 to the tune of a quarterback one season."

• Andy Holloway (18:11): "I believe that in 2018, is the beginning of the end for the New England Patriots."

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Final Thoughts

This episode of the Fantasy Footballers Podcast offers a blend of humor, strategic insights, and bold forecasting that exemplifies fantasy football at its finest. Whether you're navigating rookie runs, making critical draft decisions, or strategizing for a keeper league, the discussions provide valuable takeaways to enhance your fantasy football experience.

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Join the Fantasy Football community at jointhefoot.com and follow them on Twitter @the_ffballers for more expert analysis and advice.

Transcript

[Andy Holloway]

Hey, all. Before we start today's show, we want to get real with you with a message from the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. Drafts are here. You're going to have time with your friends. You're going to have fun with your friends. But let's remember to be smart this season. Remember that your reaction times slow way down when driving drunk or driving high. Don't kid yourself. If you feel different, you drive different. Learn [e-mail] and remember, drive high. Get a DUI. Welcome to the Fantasy Footballers Podcast coming to you from Draft.com Studios with your hosts, Andy Holloway, Jason Moore and Mike Wright. Hey.

[Jason Moore]

Welcome in to the Fantasy Footballers Podcast live in Phoenix. Give it up. The final stop of our Fantasy for the People tour, presented by Draft. We've been around the country. We bring it back home here. NFL season's almost here.

[Mike Wright]

I see. Saved it. I didn't want to tell the other cities, but we knew that Phoenix was going to be the best stuff on.

[Andy Holloway]

The tour.

[Jason Moore]

Which means we. We got a live mailbag on the show today, which means a live mailbag drop, which means you have to bring it. You got to bring it for the live mailbag. It's not Mike's responsibility tonight, it's yours. Not tonight, it's yours. We got a great show for you today. Bold predictions.

[Andy Holloway]

Ridiculously bold.

[Jason Moore]

So bold.

[Mike Wright]

These takes will melt your face. Well, hot takes that will give you the hot snakes.

[Andy Holloway]

You don't want the hot snakes and.

[Mike Wright]

You do not want the hot snakes. So if you're Tums, if you're not prepared with the Pepto Bismol or the Imodium, I suggest you leave the building.

[Jason Moore]

You can follow us on twitter @the ffballers. They know that right here. But if you're listening at home, follow us. Stay tuned. We have look, this show. Over the course of the last three years, we've chosen to bring up a few analogies. Maybe you remember the dirty cake. Maybe you remember Jeremy Macklin. I mean, some of you might, some of you might not.

[Andy Holloway]

It was a delicious cake on a bad team. It was like eating cake off the floor, which I've done it before. I do it again.

[Mike Wright]

No shame.

[Jason Moore]

I don't know if you remember.

[Mike Wright]

Sean Drone was, oh, that's going back.

[Jason Moore]

He was a big salad and we compared him to the fantasy vegetables that you got to eat. Not everybody's sexy. Sometimes you're the lettuce in the salad.

[Mike Wright]

And you don't want to eat it, but you know it's good for your team.

[Jason Moore]

It's not a salad without lettuce. And recently we got the pink moose. Antonio Brown. The pink moose.

[Mike Wright]

Logical. Made a lot of sense when so much sense you compared him to a pink moose.

[Andy Holloway]

The literal worst analogy of all time, the pink moose.

[Jason Moore]

That's okay. That's all right.

[Andy Holloway]

You win some, you lose.

[Jason Moore]

So we'll go with this as a quick question here in Phoenix tonight. What's the best player analogy you have for 2018? The season's almost here. Mike, what you got?

[Mike Wright]

All right, I'll start us off. And I want to talk about a running back from the Houston Texans. His name is Lamar Miller. And the honest truth is Lamar Miller is the audience. The audience has already weighed in, and this is what I want to say about Lamar Miller is he is the song Never Gonna Give youe Up because number one, not only have I Rickrolled this entire audience, but we have all fallen for that trick. How many times. How many times have you personally fallen for a Rick roll on the Internet? I'm in the double digits. But here's the thing about that song. I like that song.

[Jason Moore]

It's kind of a good song.

[Mike Wright]

So while the joke's on them, the joke is actually not on me because this song is catchy and it sinks into your bones and it gets in your soul, and you get a smile on your face. Just like breaking news today when head coach O'Brien says Lamar Miller is a three down back.

[Jason Moore]

And on top of that, you got rig roll, Mike.

[Mike Wright]

On top of that, his main competition, Deontay Foreman, he's headed for the pub. That's six weeks without Deontay Foreman. That Lamar Miller gets to be a three down back.

[Jason Moore]

So you're playing that song every week is what you're saying.

[Mike Wright]

So what I'm saying is he's getting Rick rolled. I might. I might be. I'm. I might be. I might be clicking on an unauthorized hyperlink.

[Jason Moore]

Yes. Okay.

[Mike Wright]

All right.

[Jason Moore]

We got it, Jason.

[Mike Wright]

But I like it.

[Jason Moore]

But I like it.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah. I'm gonna give an analogy that I. That I don't like, but I think it's the best one we could come up with this year. LaShawn McCoy is the equivalent of one day expired milk. Okay. We've all been there.

[Mike Wright]

Yeah, we've been there.

[Andy Holloway]

We've all been there.

[Mike Wright]

It's like, I've been there, but that milk is out.

[Andy Holloway]

Right? I mean, different people, right? Different people are like, oh, dude, I don't do that. One day expired. That's garbage milk. Some people are like, one day expired. That's two weeks early. I'll still drink it.

[Mike Wright]

And those people have equal eye.

[Andy Holloway]

But here's what I am. Here's what I am. I'm the guy that, in those first two rounds, I. I already poured the cereal. I already poured the cereal. It's in the bowl, and I need a running back. And I'm looking and I go. And I open that thing and I'm like. I'm giving it a good whiff, and I still can't tell. I smell it. I go, I hope it's okay. And look, here's the deal. I'm gonna pour it in, I'm gonna take the value. I'm not gonna be happy about it, but it will get the job done. And the reality is, Lashawn McCoy, I've said it this whole offseason, he has so many problems, so many red flags, so many reasons why he's going to suck, but he's probably going to touch the ball 300 times. And if you do that, you're going to get the job done. So, yes, he's stinky expired milk. And, yes, I'm going to put him in my third round on my team, and I'll be just fine. Hopefully I don't get the hot snakes.

[Mike Wright]

But do you do the friend test? Oh, when you're sniffing the milk, because you can ask your friends, like, what is this? What does this smell like?

[Jason Moore]

Smells fine to me.

[Mike Wright]

In my house, I go to the wife. I get. You got to smell this. You gotta.

[Jason Moore]

You gotta sniff this confirmation.

[Mike Wright]

Did you ask your friends?

[Andy Holloway]

No, I'm gonna.

[Jason Moore]

I'm gonna pour the cereal. He doesn't need to ask anybody.

[Andy Holloway]

Starving, Mike.

[Jason Moore]

That's pretty good, though. I'm not sure McCoy would enjoy the analogy, but I. I can see what you're saying.

[Andy Holloway]

It might be deserved.

[Jason Moore]

Here's what I'm bodied. Here's. You already brought it out.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah.

[Jason Moore]

Here's what I'm going to go with. I'm going to compare Sam Bradford. Sammy Biscuits. Right. Sammy Biscuits. We call him that for some reason. I'm going to compare Sam Bradford to Jason Moore.

[Andy Holloway]

All right, so you're telling me he's awesome.

[Jason Moore]

Underrated.

[Andy Holloway]

All right. Okay. So far, so good. Hyper.

[Jason Moore]

Accurate. If you saw his rankings from last.

[Andy Holloway]

Year, this is sounding great.

[Mike Wright]

Number three. Number three.

[Jason Moore]

Questionable fashion decisions with the sleeves for Sammy Biscuits. And you've. Yeah, that's nice.

[Mike Wright]

Jason is unbuttoning. This is a problem for everyone.

[Jason Moore]

And then lastly, more importantly, surprisingly athletic. Given the body type, this is the.

[Andy Holloway]

Nicest you have ever been to me on this show.

[Jason Moore]

You took that as a full compliment.

[Andy Holloway]

Full compliment.

[Jason Moore]

Okay, so. And you like biscuits?

[Andy Holloway]

Oh, dude, I can eat biscuits all day.

[Jason Moore]

J biscuits.

[Andy Holloway]

J biscuits with a side of expired milk, my friend.

[Jason Moore]

Oh, goodness. All right, well, I mean, it's time. Let's do it.

[Andy Holloway]

Ridiculously bold predictions for 2018.

[Jason Moore]

Oh, it just keeps going.

[Mike Wright]

It's super.

[Jason Moore]

The live rumble.

[Mike Wright]

Some might say it's great. I've heard from the front row. They said they've proclaimed that it's great.

[Jason Moore]

Well done as always. All right, ridiculously bold predictions. We're going to kick it off with Mike.

[Mike Wright]

That's probably a good place to start. Yeah. We're in Arizona. I am shamelessly a Cardinals fan.

[Andy Holloway]

But.

[Mike Wright]

Here'S something that I gotta tell everyone in the entire fantasy community when I'm talking about bold takes. The Cardinals offense are going to shock, stun, and surprise many people when they finished the season with a player in the top 12 of their position at all four major starting positions for fantasy football.

[Andy Holloway]

I don't even know if the Arizona crowd is on your side.

[Jason Moore]

They're like, are you sure? I mean, this is not something that happens very often.

[Mike Wright]

No, it certainly does not. In 2017, there were only two teams with a quarterback, running back, wide receiver and a tight end in the top 12. That was Kansas City and the Chargers. The zoo. The zoo needs to hold it. I haven't gotten there yet.

[Jason Moore]

He's here.

[Mike Wright]

Calm the zoo animals.

[Jason Moore]

He's taking it in.

[Mike Wright]

Let's start where. Let's start where it's easy. David Johnson.

[Andy Holloway]

Sure.

[Mike Wright]

His 2016 overall running back one performance, that was the most points at the position since Chris Johnson in 2010. It was dominant. We all remember how Todd Gurley crushed it last year. David Johnson 2 years ago had more points. Let's move it over. It's still kind of easy. Larry Fitzgerald, a wide receiver one. Why is he a wide receiver one. Because that's what he is. First ballot hall of fame and he's been there the past three years. Wide receiver 9. Wide receiver 12. Wide receiver 5. This is what Larry Fitzgerald does. 100 yards. 1,000 or 100 receptions, 1,000 yards. Book it. Here's where it gets a little more difficult. Ricky Seals Jones.

[Jason Moore]

Who is that? Jason.

[Mike Wright]

When he finally got his opportunity to convert it into a tight end. And when. I like fantasy tight ends, I like when they've been changed from pass catchers from wide receivers into tight ends. Last year, four straight games of 18 plus yards per reception. That is insanity. That's Gronkian, as we say in the biz. In the biz, starting now.

[Jason Moore]

Yes.

[Mike Wright]

Sam Bradford's tight ends over the past two seasons where he played essentially a full year. 2015. Zach Ertz, 112 targets. Kyle Rudolph, 2016, 132 targets. That was the tight end nine and the tight end two finish on the year. Now we've got. Now we've gotten to Sam Bradford. This one's a little bit harder. And I could tell you that he had the second most accurate season in the history of the NFL.

[Jason Moore]

That's all you got?

[Mike Wright]

That's really all I have to go off of. But. But. Oh, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no. There's no time for the public opinion when my takes are this hot.

[Andy Holloway]

But, Mike. Yes. Sam Bradford's played in the league a long time and he's literally never once been a quarterback one.

[Mike Wright]

And I argue that rebuttal with. Come on.

[Andy Holloway]

Hey, I.

[Mike Wright]

Hey, it only takes once, right?

[Jason Moore]

It only takes once. Hard hitting analysis from Mike the fantasy hitman.

[Mike Wright]

But here's the deal. If David Johnson does what we think he's going to do, and that's a thousand and thousand. If Larry Fitzgerald is a wide receiver one and Ricky Seals Jones is a tight end one, then it is not a stretch at all to just tiptoe women.

[Jason Moore]

How does he stay healthy?

[Mike Wright]

How does he stay healthy?

[Jason Moore]

How does that happen?

[Mike Wright]

Hyperbaric chamber of some kind and lots of vegetables.

[Jason Moore]

Okay, all right, but that.

[Mike Wright]

Yeah, the keto diet, maybe that was. Something's going to help him. But if he. But here's. Here's the real deal about Sam Bradford that I honestly do believe. I don't have him projected for 16 games, but if he does play 16 games, he is a top 12 quarterback in the NFL. That's the hot take.

[Andy Holloway]

I think that's fair.

[Jason Moore]

All right, I'll bring mine to the table.

[Mike Wright]

Thank you.

[Jason Moore]

Now, in fantasy football, we are a forgetful bunch. Sometimes at the beginning of a season, players let us down. And we don't forget that.

[Andy Holloway]

No hold the grudge.

[Jason Moore]

We do well at the end of the season. We remember that for the next year. But we forget. Seasons pass. And I want to remind everybody of a very important instruction for my first bold prediction.

[Andy Holloway]

Send in the car. No.

[Jason Moore]

Send in the car. It's time to send in the car. Once again, Derek Carr will be back for 2018 to the tune of a quarterback. One season. We have forgotten what happened. You don't like it?

[Andy Holloway]

No, sir. I feel like that was like two week expired.

[Jason Moore]

No, come on. He's 27 years old. And you got to remember at the two years ago this was a surefire MVP candidate with eight quarterback one weeks, four of them in the top five. Do you remember, Mike?

[Mike Wright]

I do.

[Jason Moore]

Can you remember back?

[Mike Wright]

I sent in the car many times.

[Jason Moore]

Surefire MVP candidate. Now he comes back this year and listen, I know you'll read into this a lot. You love their head coach, John Gruden.

[Mike Wright]

Yes.

[Jason Moore]

The most talented quarterback he has ever coached. That's what he said.

[Mike Wright]

To be fair, it might just be.

[Jason Moore]

Here's the thing. The schedule for Oakland is very, very nice. You've mentioned this before on the show. They faced three teams this entire season that had a winning record from 2017.

[Mike Wright]

What?

[Jason Moore]

3. And Derek Carr has Amari Cooper, who you both believe is a breakout candidate. Say what you will about Jordy Nelson, he's got the job locked down. Martavis Bryant brings some explosiveness to the offense.

[Mike Wright]

Your argument is he.

[Jason Moore]

Yes, he has the job. The argument is that he has the job and that Michael Crabtree was real bad last year. So it's possible he can meet or exceed that.

[Andy Holloway]

Forget about my Jared Cook and Jared Cook is there.

[Jason Moore]

He's competent. That's what the C stands for.

[Andy Holloway]

The most honest thing you can say.

[Mike Wright]

About 30 yards a game.

[Jason Moore]

They still have the set. Remember the offensive line that everyone wants to talk about. They still the seventh highest ranked offensive line according to Pro Football Focus. This is a year in which you can believe in and buy Derek Carr later. Send him in, Mike. Send him in.

[Mike Wright]

I don't want to.

[Jason Moore]

You gotta.

[Mike Wright]

We'll see.

[Andy Holloway]

That's the great thing. We get to find out if these really big grasp ever come true or not. The last two years that we have been doing.

[Jason Moore]

This is so hot and spicy. Jason, you shouldn't say it out loud.

[Mike Wright]

I warned everyone at the top of the show that you need a modium or Depends or some kind of defense. I wasn't joking.

[Andy Holloway]

Here it comes. Let me give. Let me give the backstory here. 2. Not yet. There's not necessary. But the shades will come. Don't you worry. There will be enough hate to block. Two years ago, the Carolina Panthers were scorching the earth on offense. Everybody knew how great they were going to be. Cam was the hotness. Everyone was a top draft pick. And I came on our show and I said in my bold prediction, it was crazy then that Carolina is going to revert to their 2014 form. They're going to disappoint Lo and Behold. That happened last season, everybody. Oh, I'm toot. Tooting the heck out of this because I got to lay that groundwork with how crazy this prediction is going to be. Last year, everyone wanted the Redskins. Everyone wanted Terrell Pryor and Jordan Reed and Samaj P. Ryan.

[Jason Moore]

He scored tonight. He scored tonight.

[Andy Holloway]

And Jameson Crowder and all of these pieces. And I said they're all going to disappoint. Well, this year.

[Mike Wright]

Hold. Okay, I'm gonna. I'm gonna. I'm gonna give you a moment to pause.

[Andy Holloway]

You're gonna.

[Mike Wright]

Okay, I'm allowing this. You can out right now, right now, Jason. And no one will ever know. We can delete this. We can throw these computers in the garbage.

[Jason Moore]

It's a podcast. We can edit.

[Andy Holloway]

I believe that this year, in 2018, is the beginning of the end for the New England Patriots.

[Jason Moore]

They. They want you. They want you to be right so bad.

[Andy Holloway]

And, And. And, you know, the truth is I. I get that right every. The Patriots have been so good for so long. They are a dominant team. And that's why in fantasy, we always want these assets. We talk up Rex Burkhead. We talk up Julian Edelman after he gets back. We talk up Sony Michelle. We talk up. Gronk is not included. Gronk's gonna be just fine. But let's talk about Brady. Brady is the horse that makes the whole thing go. If Brady goes down, Plant power. If Brady goes down, there is no Jimmy Garoppolo anymore. There is not a backup to come and make it okay with Bill Belichick. This is a team. This is a team.

[Jason Moore]

Like he said, there is no backup that will make it okay with.

[Andy Holloway]

In, you know, a couple years ago.

[Jason Moore]

Just yelling his name does not make him good.

[Andy Holloway]

A couple years ago, when the Broncos were lighting the world on fire and Peyton Manning was setting records, nobody would have believed that. That next year, out of nowhere, he'd deal with a little injury, he'd suck so much, and the offense would be in shambles. And look, Tom Brady is 41 years old. I don't care that he has a plant based diet. And he's great. He is the goat. He's the greatest of all time. That's. I don't even know how you can argue against it, but the vibes in New England are horrific. Okay? There's been. Remember the bleach report argument about how there's inner tail turmoil? Gronk wasn't in camp. Brady wasn't in camp early on. And in the OTAs. I mean, this is a different year than any year we can remember with a 41 year old guy. And now you've got injuries, you've got suspensions, you've got a lot of things going wrong. Someday it's going to end. And I worry about drafting the Patriots based on so much past and not based on where they're at right now. That's now. I will give you this.

[Jason Moore]

Does it worry you knowing that they're going to be in the super bowl again?

[Andy Holloway]

They'll be in the playoffs. They'll be in the playoffs for sure. For sure. Because of their division. I think they could get in the playoffs at 8 and 8 because, I mean, look. No. Yeah. Well, yes. Who's going to win the division? Is it going to be the Bills or the jets or the Dolphins? It will be the Patriots. They can go 8 and 8 and make the playoffs and be booted in the first round. But I am just worried about the Patriots.

[Jason Moore]

Do you think Bill Belichick would actually just turn it down if he went 8 and 8 and they're like, you're the division.

[Andy Holloway]

Nah, we don't deserve it. No, he's out there and keep trying to win. So that's my bold take. Watch out for the Patriots demise. Calling it early.

[Jason Moore]

Wow. We'll play this one back at the end of the year.

[Andy Holloway]

One way or the other.

[Mike Wright]

Yeah. Hey, foot glam. We're going to get right back to the show, but want to thank today's sponsor, FanDuel. The weight is nearly over. Football is almost here. And this is what FanDuel is bringing for you this season. If you're not a fantasy expert, then FanDuel is clearly the place to play. They have something for everyone. There's more ways to win than ever before. How does this sound? Let me. Let me lay something on you. This season, FanDuel is running a free $250,000 Survivor contest. Did you hear the part where I said it's free? 250 large and it's free to get in? It's a survivor league. Here's how it works. You pick one team to eat. You pick one team to win each week. You can't reuse that team. It locks before week one. Do not miss your chance to sign up right now to get into that free $250,000 Survivor contest, just go to FanDuel.com Footballers that's FanDuel.com Footballers. Plus new users are going to get a $20 bonus when they make their first deposit on FanDuel. Come play with us. @ FanDuel.com Footballers.

[Jason Moore]

All right, we want to take a break. We want to thank NFL Game Pass for sponsoring the show. Look, it's not a hard sell. NFL Game Pass is awesome. You get every out of market preseason game live. Get all the top rookies, the comeback players, the new players, and all the new teams. You get to see what they look like. We talk about, do they pass the eye test on the field? I'm excited to check these guys out. I'm excited to see what happens with Darnold and Mayfield, whoever it is. You can see it with NFL Game Pass. And if I miss a game, you can replay it afterwards. You can go right to the play that you want to. So make sure that you do not miss any of the action this preseason with NFL Game Pass all of the Baker Mayfield, Jordy Nelson, Kirk Cousins and more. Best of all, you can kick off the 2018 NFL season with a seven day free trial of NFL Game Pass. Sign up now at NFL.com fantasy footballers. That's NFL.com/Fantasy Footballers. Game on. Mike, you got your second bowl.

[Andy Holloway]

All right.

[Mike Wright]

I've got my second bold take. And these are four players coming into the draft season that they were getting us, frankly, hot and bothered.

[Jason Moore]

Okay, they were getting you hot and bothered.

[Mike Wright]

No, everybody.

[Jason Moore]

Everybody.

[Mike Wright]

Everybody was in. Everybody who's anybody was on these four players. And since that time, these four players have seen their stock plummet and they have dropped.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah. Yeah.

[Mike Wright]

Hopefully there's some history majors, probably not in this. I'm gonna throw out some names. Conquest, war, famine, Death.

[Andy Holloway]

Are those names?

[Mike Wright]

Does anyone. That is the four Horsemen of the apocalypse. My four horsemen of the apocalypse for the fantasy season are all rookie running backs that nobody wants anything to do with right now. And they're going to ride in and destroy fantasy seasons for all that oppose them. No, everybody. No. Everybody loves Kerryon Johnson. But I'm gonna throw out some rookie running back names that are dropping. Rashad Penny, a first round running back. Sony Michelle, a first round running back. Nick Chubb, a second round running back. And yes, Ronald Jones, a second round running back.

[Jason Moore]

He doesn't deserve that.

[Andy Holloway]

Oh, yes, he does.

[Jason Moore]

He caught a pass tonight.

[Mike Wright]

Here's the deal.

[Jason Moore]

He did.

[Mike Wright]

Nick Chubb, as much as I love Carlos Hyde, before last year, his first three years in the league, he averaged 11.3 games a season. That's an opening window for an extremely talented sec. Second round running back.

[Jason Moore]

That's the. That's the running back. That's the metric for an effort is 11.3 games. That's one.

[Mike Wright]

That's also 11 touchdowns per season. Sony, Michelle, we all remember Dion Lewis because we loved him. But here's the deal. Weeks one through eight, Dion Lewis was getting. Getting seven attempts a game, nine through 16, that bumped up to 15. And as much as I love Rex Burkitt, there's plenty to go around for the Patriots who are still going to crush people. Unlike what my colleague, the Smokey is blowing Chris Carson about the.

[Andy Holloway]

What?

[Mike Wright]

Fifth to last pick in his draft class, had one good game and we're all so excited for Chris Carson to start in Seattle. A team that I still believe this team knows what they're doing. And they drafted a first round running back when they needed players at every single position on their team. And they said, no, we're going to take a running back in the first round. And Ronald Jones, like I talked about Sam Bradford, there's not many arguments I can give for him.

[Andy Holloway]

No, there is a. Look, I can make the argument he went to college, he was, he was great in college. That the Bucks are expected to be bad. And so even if Peyton Barber has that job the first half, the second half of the year, you got to look towards the future. I can make the argument, I just don't agree with it.

[Mike Wright]

But that's my point. So these four running backs are not necessarily players that I am interested in the draft season. I'm not even interested in them in the first four weeks. But we talk about fantasy football. It's a game you have to look at week by week, quarter by quarter, half by half. You can't look and say on the season, I'm ready, I'm ready.

[Jason Moore]

So when do they assemble the Horsemen? What week?

[Mike Wright]

Second half, week eight. Put it in. Everyone pull out your ical right now.

[Andy Holloway]

Technically, that's still first half.

[Mike Wright]

Week nine. Week nine, put, put a calendar reminder and say, I need to figure out how to get Penny Michelle Chubb or Ronald Jones on my roster. Because when I look up that article, that super fancy article that says this player is on the majority of fantasy championship teams, these four guys are going to be highly owned.

[Andy Holloway]

I will say this. The one thing I love about what you said is, you know, and I say this all the time. This is. And this is, this is the main draft weekend. So it's the most important time to say this because our goal here is to help the Foot Clan win your championship. And you do not win your championship at the draft. You cannot just assemble a superpowered team and then think by the end, autopilot yeah. By the end, you're going to win it. If you draft the best team imaginable and then don't stay committed through the season and pick up rookies that pop in week nine, you have no chance of winning.

[Mike Wright]

So how many movies did it take to form the Avengers? It was like 20. You didn't do it in the first one. You gotta wait. You gotta build up to it.

[Jason Moore]

Well, the reverse is true, too. You can take some of those guys at the beginning if you have to wait. Right. The Peyton Barbers or even the.

[Mike Wright]

Yeah, the first half plays.

[Jason Moore]

Oh, even Chris and Michael. Some of the guys. Even Ty Montgomery, right?

[Andy Holloway]

Oh, yes, there are players.

[Jason Moore]

How is he not a Montgomery?

[Andy Holloway]

You know, because here's why he's not a my guy. Because I actually believe that Jamal Williams will be the main starting running back and he'll be in time.

[Jason Moore]

You'll be so close. You move from time Montgomery to another name, but you moved to the wrong one.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah, I know. People love Aaron Jones.

[Jason Moore]

Anybody watch the Browns game last night?

[Mike Wright]

Whoa.

[Jason Moore]

Do you know how frightened I was?

[Mike Wright]

That was intense.

[Jason Moore]

Do you know what my Twitter did? I've never seen more gifs of the reaper in 30 seconds than what happened. But he's okay because even that swing of my sickle missed. And now that he mostly. He dislocated a pinky. That's pretty good when you come up against the reaper. And since he's healthy, that's embarrassing for the reaper since he's healthy. Tyrod. Now, I wrote an article, 32 Bold Predictions on the website, and I said Tyrod Taylor will finish as a top 12 quarterback. And I stand by it. Even with the dislocated pinky.

[Mike Wright]

In fantasy points.

[Jason Moore]

Yes. In fantasy football.

[Mike Wright]

I'm just making sure.

[Andy Holloway]

Yes.

[Jason Moore]

I'm talking about the quarterback who was the number eight in fantasy in 2016. You're right, Mike.

[Mike Wright]

It's fair. That's fair.

[Jason Moore]

But I'm going to go a little farther on this show. We're in front of the people and we did promise ridiculously bold predictions.

[Mike Wright]

Oh, no.

[Jason Moore]

And I haven't done this before.

[Mike Wright]

Oh, no. Okay.

[Andy Holloway]

Whoa. Oh, the glasses.

[Mike Wright]

He's new to the glass.

[Jason Moore]

Not only do I love to Rod Taylor, not only will he be your fantasy savior in the last round if you want him, but the Cleveland Browns are making the playoffs.

[Mike Wright]

I can hear our subscriptions dropping.

[Jason Moore]

Yes, I'm literally about so I don't care. Here's what it means. This is a fantasy football show. Mastermind Hugh Jackson.

[Mike Wright]

Mastermind.

[Jason Moore]

I mean, Todd Haley.

[Mike Wright]

Todd Haley.

[Andy Holloway]

There you go. We could get behind that name. Not Baby Huey.

[Jason Moore]

Here's the thing.

[Andy Holloway]

Baby Huey, that's my new nickname for Hugh Jackson. He keeps it together.

[Jason Moore]

But here's the thing for Fantasy Glue.

[Mike Wright]

It's not very reliable.

[Jason Moore]

Nowhere to go. Nowhere to go but up. He wins the division. No, he doesn't win the division. That's not true. He is a wild card. They're a wild card team this year. I think they finished ahead of Baltimore and they finished ahead of Cincinnati, who I think will struggle. And here's what it means for fantasy. I actually believe the Browns will be the team that does what Mike said the Cardinals would do. I think Landry can finish inside the top 12. Let's stay with me to Rod Taylor in the top 12, Jarvis Landry in the top 12. And just. Just put it on the board now. David Njoku is a top 12 tight end.

[Mike Wright]

This has never been done before.

[Jason Moore]

What exactly is it?

[Mike Wright]

The audience. No, no, no, no, no. Hold on, hold on.

[Jason Moore]

I'm holding on. Mike, I'm feeling a little bit of heat, but the blockers are working.

[Mike Wright]

The audience wants a water bet. But look, a bet of this magnitude cannot simply be a water bet.

[Jason Moore]

Lemonade.

[Mike Wright]

This is a milkshake bet.

[Andy Holloway]

Oh, it's gonna bring all the boys in the yard.

[Mike Wright]

This is a milkshake.

[Jason Moore]

You are in on this.

[Andy Holloway]

Oh, yeah.

[Mike Wright]

Oh, my Cardinals. Your Browns. Higher. Fantasy finish.

[Jason Moore]

There's still my. Oh, fantasy finish.

[Mike Wright]

Yes. Yeah. Fantasy finish.

[Andy Holloway]

Water bat.

[Jason Moore]

Get ready, get ready.

[Andy Holloway]

Wow.

[Jason Moore]

The Browns are making the playoffs.

[Andy Holloway]

Okay, so look, I mean, we're coming here with bold.

[Jason Moore]

If I like these things at all. They make you say weird things out loud.

[Andy Holloway]

Let me just say this as you know, as the hate blocker creator, if you will, I do not stand behind that usage. It was. Oh, man. I just think the Browns are such a facade. They're a hard knocks facade. But that's the cool thing about fantasy football. We get to find these things out. I often think that you're going to be wrong, and I am wrong and vice versa. So let's go to where I. Sweet mercy, I'm going to pivot off of you, Andy. And I'm gonna go to where I think Mike is wrong.

[Mike Wright]

Wait, what?

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah, sorry. Here's the thing. My next bold prediction. I remember being asked the season before last in. I think it was to leave the show. That's every season, every day.

[Jason Moore]

I'm kidding.

[Mike Wright]

He's my friend.

[Andy Holloway]

We love each other. I was asked after the 2016 season by a listener. Whether or not I believed that the incoming rookie class was going to be, and this was at the end of the season, are we going to overvalue these rookie running backs because of what Ezekiel Elliott did? And I remember my answer then, My answer was 100% yes. But it won't be next year. Next year. 2017 is one of the most highly touted draft classes in recent memory. Everybody in the Dynasty community, if you played Dynasty for the last several years, you remember you were trying to stockpile.

[Jason Moore]

26 Christian McCaffrey, Leonard Fournette, Alvin Camara, Kareem Hunt, Joe Mixon.

[Andy Holloway]

I mean, the running backs were unbelievable.

[Jason Moore]

Pretty nice.

[Andy Holloway]

It was a true generational class. And I said then that yes, we will overestimate them, but it won't be in 2017, it's going to be now in 2018. And my bold prediction is that Saquon Barkley will be the only rookie running back in the top 15 at the end of the season. And if you don't remember last year there were four rookies in the top 12 and that didn't even include Dalvin Cook who got injured. Before you take that monster year out and over the previous decade, you averaged two rookie running backs in the top 12. And so for me to say that all of these guys, look, I love Rashad Penny, I love Kerryon Johnson, but I've got him ranked 19. My biggest fear is definitely right now the Royce Freeman.

[Mike Wright]

Yeah, my guy.

[Andy Holloway]

But I don't.

[Mike Wright]

My guy.

[Jason Moore]

I was going to ask you how this feels with Royce Freeman.

[Andy Holloway]

Yes, I don't.

[Jason Moore]

Another touchdown in the, in the game tonight, by the way.

[Andy Holloway]

Oh, he. Look, this is not just a talent based thing. This is. This is talent and opportunity and other running backs. Keep in mind, if you want to be in the top 12, you can have the greatest season ever that's ever been done to that point. And if 12 other guys have better seasons than that, that year you're 13th. And all the great running backs from last year that were top 12, they're going to repeat. The top 12 is established, I feel like from veteran people. Saquon will enter, but I believe at the end of the season that we're going to have. Misdemeanor judged the rookie running backs based on how incredibly valuable they were last year. Even my lovely Carryon Johnson, he'll be a very serviceable guy.

[Jason Moore]

Oh.

[Mike Wright]

You'Re doing a disservice.

[Andy Holloway]

And I do agree with you, Mike, that a lot of these players are going to have much better second half than first half. But this is draft season. This is where you need a whole season if you're taking them now. And by the end of the year, maybe their second half pace, they were in the top 12. But it won't be at the end of the season. It'll only be Saquon up there. That's my take.

[Jason Moore]

What does that mean? Okay, let's say you're drafting, I don't know, this weekend. So what do you do with all those guys?

[Andy Holloway]

Well, look, there's still value to be had there. Carry on Johnson. If he drops to the sixth, seventh round, you're grabbing what?

[Jason Moore]

I ruined him.

[Andy Holloway]

I know. He's in the fifth, sixth, seventh round. Look, I just. We had our listener league draft. Yes. It was a 14 leaguer. 14 leaguer? Yeah.

[Jason Moore]

14 leagues inside of one is huge.

[Andy Holloway]

I stand by it.

[Mike Wright]

I drafted a while.

[Andy Holloway]

I drafted Kerryon Johnson in the fifth round. Just because you don't finish as a top 12 running back does not mean you're not going to be serviceable. These rookies will be serviceable, but what I'm saying is don't overvalue them. Don't think that they're just going to be great because rookie running backs have been great.

[Jason Moore]

We saw this happen a couple of years ago with wide receivers.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah.

[Jason Moore]

Breakout wide receivers. And then everybody's like, oh, I want every single one of them. And. And hasn't been so pretty lately.

[Andy Holloway]

Right. And so that's what I'm predicting. We're going to be disappointed with rookies at the end of this year. Rookie running back.

[Jason Moore]

All right, well, we also want to thank Pristine auction. By the way, this signed Kurt Warner helmet. We're giving it away tonight under duress. How many years have to go by before people don't remember Kurt Warner?

[Mike Wright]

What? Before they don't remember Kurt War in Arizona.

[Jason Moore]

Well, in Arizona, they better.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah. It's really sad how old we are. I remember hearing from our chief of staff editor, Kyle. He works with youth and he was asking them about Scottie Pippen and no one in the room knew who that was. And it was like, oh, no. Are we that old?

[Jason Moore]

We're really, really old.

[Mike Wright]

The fact that you're talking about Scottie Pippen while we're trying to talk about Kurt Warner on a football podcast.

[Andy Holloway]

I apologize, Kurt.

[Mike Wright]

You shame your family dates you a little bit.

[Andy Holloway]

Apologize, family.

[Jason Moore]

So here we go. Bold predictions. Mike, you've got the Cardinals as an offensive surprise. 4.

[Mike Wright]

4.

[Jason Moore]

Sammy.

[Mike Wright]

Sammy biscuits. David Johnson, Larry Fitz and Calm your. Calm yourself, Ricky Seals Jones. Now you go. It's still terrible.

[Jason Moore]

You've got the rookie running backs, second half warriors, the Four Horsemen.

[Mike Wright]

Yes.

[Jason Moore]

Penny, Michelle Chubb, Ronald Jones. So you believe Royce is just great? All through the year?

[Mike Wright]

Of course.

[Jason Moore]

All right, I'm saying Derek Carr. Draft him late. He's back as a QB.

[Mike Wright]

One like a car in Sun City.

[Jason Moore]

And Browns against the world.

[Mike Wright]

That was a local joke.

[Jason Moore]

A local joke. He's 27, Mike. He's 27. His whole career did not go by in two years.

[Andy Holloway]

Some troubles.

[Jason Moore]

Who'd you point at?

[Mike Wright]

She knows.

[Jason Moore]

Your grandmother here. The wife and Jason went with the beginning of the end for the defending Super Bowl.

[Andy Holloway]

Super bowl losers. Runner ups get bodied.

[Jason Moore]

And then Saquon is the only top 15 running back. You guys ready for a live mailbag?

[Andy Holloway]

There will be other top 15 running backs.

[Mike Wright]

Is everybody warmed up?

[Jason Moore]

Can you warm them up? Mike, if you have a mailbag question, by the way, start lining up right here. And we're going to get into a live mailbag, answer some questions. But first, prepare yourselves because it's happening right now.

[Andy Holloway]

Mailbag.

[Jason Moore]

Oh, very, very, very nice. Hometown crowd.

[Mike Wright]

Love it.

[Jason Moore]

All right, who's our first mailbag question? Come up here. Tell us your name.

[Mike Wright]

Step up to the mic, sir.

[Jason Moore]

My name is Brian.

[Mike Wright]

Who is this guy? Hey, Brian. Nice to meet you, Brian.

[Andy Holloway]

Nice to meet you.

[Jason Moore]

Nice to meet you guys. I am joining a league. And this league.

[Andy Holloway]

Congratulations.

[Jason Moore]

Are they okay with it?

[Andy Holloway]

I'm joining a league. I am born.

[Jason Moore]

I am joining a league. And they have a transaction restriction. The late 40s is when.

[Andy Holloway]

Next question. 10 transactions per year.

[Jason Moore]

And that includes trades. So you said that includes trades. 10 transactions per year. So first.

[Mike Wright]

Hold, hold on, hold on. Let the man speak first.

[Jason Moore]

How do I convince them they are dumb? Okay, so we second. How does this change my draft strategy?

[Mike Wright]

No, that.

[Andy Holloway]

That's a. That's a good question. If you do stay in the league.

[Jason Moore]

First tell him Reagan's not president anymore. So that would be step one.

[Andy Holloway]

Let him know that the systems actually do the transactions for you. You don't have to do it by hand.

[Jason Moore]

Not mail in anymore.

[Andy Holloway]

Point them to draft.comballers. if they want to do a best ball league where you don't have transactions, you can do that. Why this? Anyways, but let's say you're in the league.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah. What's the strategy if you're in a league that has limited. Because that happens. Maybe he likes these people and he wants to stay there.

[Mike Wright]

Six bench spots. Six bench spots. Okay, so if I'm in A league I can only make 10 transactions including trades.

[Jason Moore]

How does that change? How does that change late round quarterback strategy?

[Mike Wright]

It doesn't change. I'm still going late round but I'm going to have a platoon. I'm going to have.

[Jason Moore]

You're going to draft two of them?

[Mike Wright]

I'm going to have at least two.

[Andy Holloway]

I'd be fine with just.

[Mike Wright]

I'm going to go.

[Jason Moore]

I'm going to draft like Stafford and Alex Smith.

[Mike Wright]

Yeah. So rounds nine, ten.

[Jason Moore]

So one Stafford fan.

[Mike Wright]

For me, that's actually early the way that I would handle Rivers and Stafford. But 9, 10, I'm just going to crush the quarterback position. I'm going to take them both. And if you want, if you're trying to prove to them that they are to show them the error of their ways, there's gonna be some audio of a giant crowd of people booing them.

[Andy Holloway]

I feel like I their booze. I felt their souls leaving their body.

[Mike Wright]

Yes.

[Jason Moore]

Which means we are properly training the fantasy community.

[Andy Holloway]

Yes.

[Jason Moore]

Public pressure is one of the most powerful things to get things done.

[Andy Holloway]

I completely agree. I would draft two quarterbacks and they would definitely be late. I'm not abandoning. Abandoning the late round quarterback. Here's another reason why I definitely don't abandon late round quarterback. Because I will be taking an early round tight end. I want Zach Ertz, Travis Kelsey or Gronk. I'm willing to take Travis Kelsey in the second if I have to. Gronk in the first if I have to. I want to lock one of those.

[Mike Wright]

Make any moves you can't stream. Tight end.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah, I mean tight end is one of those positions.

[Jason Moore]

Where do you reserve a couple trades for injury if you do that, you're not drafting another tight end later, are you?

[Andy Holloway]

No, no.

[Jason Moore]

So then if that player gets injured, you reserve some of that transaction for those trades.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah. I mean you'll definitely have to play your transactions through the year by year and be wise to not just use them all up early. But those would be the first two things that come to my mind is early tight end, double late quarterback.

[Mike Wright]

I feel like I would go instead of early tight end, I would go in that 6, 7 range. I would be Delaney Walker from Tennessee or Trey Boo Boo. Trey Burton from Chicago. Hey, hey, Boo Boo. That's where I would go.

[Jason Moore]

All right.

[Mike Wright]

Thank you, Brian.

[Jason Moore]

Thank you.

[Andy Holloway]

Next question. Yeah.

[Mike Wright]

Oh yeah. Watch your bye weeks, my friend. Hi guys.

[Andy Holloway]

Love the show.

[Mike Wright]

Long time listener.

[Jason Moore]

Love the YouTube.

[Mike Wright]

Watch it on the tube. My name is Troy.

[Andy Holloway]

Nice to meet you.

[Mike Wright]

Big league drafting tomorrow. I'VE got the second pick. We got three holdovers.

[Andy Holloway]

First guy's going, Zeke, I'm going to be choosing between Camara and Saquon Barkley.

[Mike Wright]

So not sure where to go. Them quads.

[Jason Moore]

So this is a very tough decision because you've got, I don't know, you've got the unknown, right? The power of the unknown in fantasy football. With Saquon, you don't know what he's going to do. You can talk all you want about the bad offensive line and the troubles they had last year, but he's Saquon. And then you've got the proof in Alvin Camara, but the kind of unsustainable efficiency numbers. What do you guys do? This is a tough decision.

[Andy Holloway]

The question between Saquon and Camara is a very common one. Not just in your situation, but when you're at that.

[Jason Moore]

Six, seven.

[Mike Wright]

Yeah.

[Andy Holloway]

Wherever you are. I am firmly on the Saquon Barkley side. I want the volume. I don't want a guy who last year was so electric. And look, last year in this room I made, I said Alvin Camara will be a top three back. That was, that was my bold prediction. I love him. You're doing right to how to Alvin Camara finish. The thing is, is he had, you know, he didn't crack 200 carries and he's not going to do it this year. I want a guy who's drafted with the draft capital of Saquon, who has the pass catching ability of Saquon. I feel like his floor is 10 and his ceiling is 1. Alvin Camara's ceiling is 1. But Alvin Camara, if he doesn't get the touchdowns he had last year and he keeps that volume, his. His floor could be 16.

[Jason Moore]

I am curious though. We haven't done this before. We've got the live audience here. Some of you have drafted, some of you are about to draft, some of you have labored with this decision and it's very easy to poll them right now.

[Andy Holloway]

I love it.

[Jason Moore]

So figure your answer out and I want to hear it. If you would take Barkley over Camara. Let me hear it.

[Mike Wright]

That's coming in strong. That's coming hot.

[Jason Moore]

And let's flip it around. Camara over Barkley.

[Mike Wright]

That's Saquon Barkley.

[Jason Moore]

I think Saquon took it there and I agree. All right.

[Mike Wright]

I agree with the crowd. Yeah.

[Andy Holloway]

Next question.

[Mike Wright]

Who's up?

[Jason Moore]

Hey, guys. It is. It's Barkley himself.

[Andy Holloway]

Oh, Saquon.

[Mike Wright]

Hey, guys.

[Jason Moore]

Nice to meet you. I was walking around outside. I heard Some noise that came in here.

[Mike Wright]

Okay.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah. Would you take Camara or yourself? This is my question here.

[Mike Wright]

You stumped him.

[Andy Holloway]

So my wife's work league.

[Jason Moore]

Here we are. It's a 12 team PPR. I have the sixth pick. Here's the problem. It's three wide receivers plus effect a flex. I have the sixth pick. Normally I would either go Kamara or yourself or yourself or myself or Melvin Gordon I think is very much in the conversation at that spot.

[Mike Wright]

This is not your show sir.

[Andy Holloway]

But.

[Jason Moore]

With three wide receivers and a flex, a B. I don't know.

[Mike Wright]

Yeah.

[Jason Moore]

Am I, what am I doing here?

[Andy Holloway]

Is it a full PPR, half PPR.

[Mike Wright]

Full PPR, full PPR 3 wide receiver plus the flex which is this is the format that you can actually go zero running back in if you so choose to buy into that drastic. Oh man.

[Jason Moore]

Over. Over Camara.

[Mike Wright]

Barkley Gordon over Camara is extremely easy for me. You would for me to take Antonio Brown especially in a three wide receiver. It's so hard to pass on a running back that's going to carry the ball 250 plus times catch 50 plus passes.

[Jason Moore]

I think I'd go running back.

[Mike Wright]

Those, those are the most. That's the biggest edge in fantasy football. You can possibly get your hashtag blessed to be looking at that position in fantasy football in your draft. But Antonio Brown is. He's safe. You know he's not going to bust.

[Andy Holloway]

Well, John Madden says otherwise. But I will say this. I. I've said this on John Madden.

[Jason Moore]

How involved is John Madden anymore in that production?

[Andy Holloway]

Okay. The Madden video game series.

[Mike Wright]

He.

[Andy Holloway]

Here's the truth though. I've said this on the show before. I personally, if I have the decision between all three of those guys in not standard but even in half point leagues, two, two and a flex. I'm still taking Antonio Brown. I want. He is a stud and I'm willing to do that in a three wide receiver league.

[Jason Moore]

Even more.

[Andy Holloway]

Even more.

[Mike Wright]

All right, let me give you some names that you can possibly do at that position. So you could end up with Antonio Brown and then on your way back you might end up with Devonta Freeman in a PPR League 3 wide receiver. You have started Antonio Brown. Devonta Freeman.

[Jason Moore]

Well, it's likely the other people in the league are going to prioritize wide receiver too.

[Mike Wright]

Yeah, that's more that Devonta Freeman is likely to drop to you in the middle of the second. I like it. I like, I like that better than going Saquon.

[Jason Moore]

What if you had Saquon And AJ Green.

[Mike Wright]

I like brown. I like Brown Freeman better.

[Andy Holloway]

I do, too. I hope you have an answer. Next question.

[Jason Moore]

Thank you very much.

[Mike Wright]

Yes, thank you, sir.

[Jason Moore]

Mike, you're very handsome.

[Mike Wright]

Oh, my. It's the best man in the crowd.

[Jason Moore]

The guy wearing that hat just told you you were handsome.

[Mike Wright]

I love it. I love that hat. Hello, sir.

[Jason Moore]

What's up, fellas? My name's Chad. I'm from Seattle.

[Mike Wright]

Hey, Chad.

[Andy Holloway]

It's so nice to meet you, Chad.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah, yeah, we can. We can. See. So surprised you're not chewing gum. I'm like your head coach.

[Mike Wright]

I'm very sorry.

[Jason Moore]

Can't chew gum and talk. Seattle. Yeah, I got you. So, asking for a friend.

[Mike Wright]

Yes, sir. Yeah.

[Jason Moore]

Asking for a friend. So, okay. It's a 25 year league. It's our anniversary this year. Wow, you guys have been together that long? We have, yeah. A lot of counseling. Okay, that makes sense. So I'm the commissioner, and my friend came to me the other day. Apparently his wife informed him that our draft day is the same day as his mother in law's 75th surprise birthday party.

[Mike Wright]

Oh, no. Oh, no.

[Andy Holloway]

Oh.

[Mike Wright]

Oh, no.

[Jason Moore]

75. Is that a big one?

[Mike Wright]

I've heard.

[Jason Moore]

So here's the dilemma, right? He said, chad, I can be there for the first half of the draft. I'll just leave my list and let somebody else draft my team.

[Andy Holloway]

No, no, no, no.

[Jason Moore]

Serious. All right, so what's that?

[Mike Wright]

Look, I honestly. I heard the answer come out of the crowd.

[Jason Moore]

You did?

[Mike Wright]

Yeah. You listen to the show. You get the hot snakes. You're gonna be at this. You're gonna be at that birthday. You're gonna be in the bathroom many, many times over. I'm so sorry. This is. This is the most embarrassing thing I've ever had to suffer.

[Jason Moore]

Once per 10 minutes for 12 straight for 120 minutes.

[Andy Holloway]

Look, if it.

[Mike Wright]

Oh, oh, bring shellfish. Just bring something. Maybe you just poison the whole party. I don't know.

[Andy Holloway]

You do what it takes. You do what it takes.

[Jason Moore]

Is spiraling out of control.

[Andy Holloway]

If it's me, she doesn't know a surprise birthday party's coming up, right? It's a surprise. She's the one who told him. I'm taking. I'm taking Graham. Graham out the night before to celebrate her beautiful life. And then. And I'm going to my draft.

[Mike Wright]

Hold on, hold on. Jason, Jason, you are not weighing the consequences of ruining your mother in law's 75th surprise birthday party.

[Andy Holloway]

I think you're thinking too highly of yourself. That if you're Absent from her party. It's ruined. But you're fine just literally crapping all over her party.

[Jason Moore]

It's a. That is a bit of a. Some paradox, Mike, in the story.

[Mike Wright]

Sometimes you gotta run, cuz you got the runs.

[Jason Moore]

Okay, all right, all right. I hope.

[Andy Holloway]

Next question.

[Mike Wright]

I'm so sorry for you friend.

[Andy Holloway]

What's going on, J?

[Mike Wright]

What's up man?

[Jason Moore]

What's up?

[Andy Holloway]

Oh, hey, My name is Dre. Just like the doctor.

[Mike Wright]

I won't forget.

[Andy Holloway]

Never heard that one before.

[Jason Moore]

So I was just invited to a. A keeper league. It's an inherited team, not a single person worth keeping.

[Andy Holloway]

Those are always the ones you inherit.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah. Welcome, welcome, welcome. 10 team league. I got the 10th pick. The snake for the draft starts after round two. Okay, so is it, is it worth it to try and trade up or, or give away some picks for, for a top 10 or just take my chances with the, with the pick.

[Mike Wright]

How many keepers?

[Andy Holloway]

Only one.

[Mike Wright]

Okay, so it's only. Are you, are you.

[Jason Moore]

Do you have to pick one?

[Andy Holloway]

No.

[Jason Moore]

Do you get something in exchange for not picking one?

[Andy Holloway]

No.

[Jason Moore]

So you probably should pick one.

[Andy Holloway]

Advice? I get my 10th pick. That's it.

[Mike Wright]

Okay. So in that situation, you're talking if everyone else. Was it 10 team, you said? Okay, so there's not very many players off the board. You're just going to have to eat the disadvantage to start this season. And I'm sure there's going to be some people in that league, they're going to make a mistake on who they kept. It's just, it's going to happen because that's the way of fantasy football.

[Jason Moore]

So in a one keeper league, it's hard to trade up, lose more picks. You already think you're at a disadvantage and then you're playing catch up for years.

[Mike Wright]

You don't draft to keep in a one keep.

[Jason Moore]

You try to take, make the most of that 10th pick and hopefully you secure somebody that outperforms the draft position and you keep them for.

[Andy Holloway]

If you're making the trade because you're worried your team is bad, you're almost always going to make a tilt trade. You're going to make a trade where it's like I'm trying too hard. What I would do is just have the mindset of, you know, don't take that keeper, get that 10th pick and start like, I mean so many players every single year, their first round pick, they get injured, they bust.

[Mike Wright]

It happens.

[Andy Holloway]

It happens and they win the championship.

[Jason Moore]

Punt quarterback and go to Rod Taylor with your last pick.

[Mike Wright]

Maybe, maybe yeah. Or maybe.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah. So I. I would. I would take. I would keep your 10th pick and just draft. Well, listen to the fantasy footballers podcast to dominate your league.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah. All right. There you go.

[Mike Wright]

Thank you, sir.

[Andy Holloway]

Next question.

[Jason Moore]

Next question.

[Mike Wright]

Who's next?

[Andy Holloway]

Possibly final question.

[Jason Moore]

Possibly a person named Adam speaking to the mic. What is with all the Seattle.

[Mike Wright]

Where's my Seattle?

[Andy Holloway]

Wait a minute.

[Mike Wright]

I think you've answered the question. It's not here.

[Andy Holloway]

I am.

[Jason Moore]

I'm offended because I. I need to give him this helmet.

[Mike Wright]

Wait, wait, what?

[Andy Holloway]

Yes. Our Warner helmet. Won the freaking helmet to a Seahawks fan.

[Mike Wright]

No, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no. Boo.

[Jason Moore]

Take it off. Take it off before.

[Mike Wright]

Hold on, sir.

[Andy Holloway]

You have.

[Mike Wright]

You have an undershirt. I see. You don't have an undershirt. You do have it on. I'm not giving you this helmet if you're wearing that Seattle jersey. I can't disrespect my team like that. Oh, what's it going to be?

[Jason Moore]

Say something nice about Kurt Warner.

[Andy Holloway]

He's struggling. He's struggling.

[Mike Wright]

Come on, sir. Great, great player. Look up to him. All right, all right, all right. Well, he's gonna sell this in five years.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah, I was gonna say, I'll buy it from you for $10.

[Mike Wright]

Good news, Arizona. There's probably a Kurt Warner signed helmet for sale.

[Jason Moore]

Great.

[Mike Wright]

This is the worst moment of my life. Congratulations. Kind of.

[Andy Holloway]

Oh, man. All right.

[Mike Wright]

Ask your dumb.

[Jason Moore]

You have a question, too.

[Mike Wright]

I do. First out, I got a shout out to my buddy Mike Arnson, who introduced.

[Jason Moore]

Me to the podcast.

[Mike Wright]

Oh, well, this guy. I like him.

[Jason Moore]

Is he a Seattle fan? He is a Rams fan and a Court Warner fan.

[Mike Wright]

On the Rams.

[Jason Moore]

We can give that to him.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah. He deserves it.

[Mike Wright]

He wanted it. He wanted to be here.

[Jason Moore]

All right, that's better. Second of all, I need to thank.

[Mike Wright]

You three for talking me off the ledge last year for a one in four season start. Came back and won my first hash clan put. Listen to the man. If you're one in four, we're going to say it throughout the season. If you start 1 and 4, do not freak out. Do not tilt.

[Andy Holloway]

We've seen year after year, people. I'm 06. I'm clearly going to phone it in and they come back and win a championship. You don't win the championship at your draft. You build the foundation.

[Jason Moore]

That's awesome. Congratulations.

[Andy Holloway]

What's your question, Adam? So question is, yes, the Seahawks will be terrible. Get body. That is all.

[Mike Wright]

So out of all the rookie wide receivers it seems like all of you, the highest you have ranked the rookies this year is like in the 40s or 50s. For the wide receivers, who do you think is going to be the next possible juju or rising star? My breakout, Cortland, my Sutton, my breakout man from a couple shows ago. There's. It's honestly to me it's two guys. Yeah, it's, it's. I lied.

[Andy Holloway]

It's three people.

[Jason Moore]

It's DJ five people.

[Mike Wright]

It's eight players, all rookies.

[Andy Holloway]

It's one of the Rookie wide receivers, D.J.

[Mike Wright]

Moore, Cortland Sutton and Michael Gallup. Those are the three most likely to break out.

[Andy Holloway]

And how would you order those three?

[Mike Wright]

I'm still going to give the edge to DJ Moore just slightly because I project him to be a starting wide receiver for the Carolina Panthers. But Cortland Sutton is an absolute monster. He's. If you're in a keeper league, like a multiple keeper league, please grab Cortland Sutton late in your draft. Especially if it's one of those drafts where you get to keep a guy where you drafted him because you're going to be keeping guy who's going in next year's top five rounds in your double digit area. You've heard it here first. That's how much I believe in Cortland Sutton.

[Andy Holloway]

It's true. Demarius Thomas, the contract situation there, I would be shocked if he's back next year. The problem is demarius Thomas is there this year. Emmanuel Sanders is there this year. I believe Cortland Sutton is the most talented. I had him above DJ Moore pre draft. But DJ Moore has an opportunity to be the one and Michael Gallup has an opportunity to to be the one. Unless injury befells the, you know, the longtime Pro bowl wide receivers ahead of Sutton, he doesn't have that opportunity this year. So I would rank them. DJ Moore, Michael Gallup, Cortland Sutton.

[Jason Moore]

What about. I mean the essential is not a rookie rookie. That makes it harder. Look, we're at home. We're at home. Christian Kirk. Talk to me about Christian Kirk could win the starting job on the outside to start the season for your number one quarterback, Sammy Biscuits.

[Mike Wright]

He certainly could but there's just so many fantasy points I have going out to the rest of the position that Chris occurred can't possibly break.

[Jason Moore]

Also I figured it out. I figured out what jersey he's wearing. That is the Tom Brady jersey from next year after he fails in New England. That's not the 12th man. That's the Tom Brady. Good job on the Tom Brady jersey.

[Andy Holloway]

Wow.

[Jason Moore]

He feels good about that.

[Mike Wright]

Hey, congratulations on your helmet.

[Jason Moore]

Congrats. Thank you for the question.

[Mike Wright]

Thank you.

[Andy Holloway]

Hey, thank you, guys.

[Jason Moore]

We're wrapping this thing up. I want to give a shout out to Stateside Presents. I want to give a shout out to Draft for sponsoring today's podcast and the entire Fantasy for the People tour. Thank you for coming out. Thank you to Pristine Auction for giving us that beautiful Kurt Warner helmet that we had to reluctantly hand to that man. And thank you. I'll never forgive myself for all that you do. We're gonna hang out. We're gonna get a picture. Hang out as long as you want. And thank you so much.

[Mike Wright]

We'll see you next time on the podcast, everybody.

[Jason Moore]

Goodbye.

[Andy Holloway]

Goodbye. Thank you for listening to another episode of the Fantasy Footballers Podcast. Join our fantasy football community on jointhefoot.com and follow us on Twitter @the ffballers.

[Mike Wright]

Before we close out the show, want to remind you about fanduel. If you're not a fantasy expert, don't worry about it. FanDuel is clearly the place to play. This season. They're running a free $250,000 Survivor contest. This is the biggest free Survivor contest ever. Here's how it works. You pick one team each week, then you can't reuse them again for the rest of the season. It's super easy. It's free.

[Jason Moore]

Free.

[Mike Wright]

It's 250 thousand dollars. To get into it, go to fanduel. Com Footballers. That's FanDuel.com footballers. Plus, new users are going to get $20, a $20 bonus when they make their first deposit on FanDuel. Come play with us at fanduel. Com Footballers.