Dream Landing Spots + Keep/Trade/Cut - Fantasy Football Podcast for 4/10

Summary

Fantasy Footballers Podcast Episode Summary
Episode: Dream Landing Spots + Keep/Trade/Cut
Release Date: April 10, 2025

In this engaging episode of the Fantasy Footballers Podcast, hosts Andy Holloway, Jason Moore, and Mike "The Fantasy Hitman" Wright delve deep into strategic fantasy football discussions, offering listeners valuable insights into player evaluations and team management. The episode, titled "Dream Landing Spots + Keep/Trade/Cut," seamlessly combines analysis of potential rookie destinations with the ever-popular Keep/Trade/Cut segment, ensuring both novice and seasoned fantasy managers find actionable advice.

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1. Quick Question of the Day: Rookie Landing Spots

The episode kicks off with the hosts addressing the Quick Question of the Day: Name a rookie and a landing spot you would love to see, and explain why. This segment serves as a creative exploration of emerging talent and their potential impact based on team dynamics.

• Andy Holloway expresses a strong preference for Caleb Johnson landing with the Denver Broncos. He emphasizes the Broncos' young and promising offense, noting, “The Broncos are the one I'm pretty much the most excited for” ([03:37]). Holloway highlights the team's history of producing fantasy-worthy running backs under Sean Payton, citing past players like Alvin Kamara, Mark Ingram, and Pierre Thomas. He believes Johnson’s opportunity to thrive in Denver’s system could translate into significant fantasy production.

• Mike Wright opts for Ted Arrow McMillan joining the Dallas Cowboys. He appreciates Arrow McMillan’s physical attributes as a wide receiver, suggesting his presence would force defensive attention away from elite players like CeeDee Lamb, thereby enhancing overall offensive efficiency. Wright states, “I could see it happening” ([05:39]), indicating confidence in the strategic fit within the Cowboys' framework.

• Jason Moore introduces a unique perspective by advocating for Jackson Dart to the Pittsburgh Steelers. He lauds Dart’s college pedigree and NFL potential, mentioning, “He's got some Josh Allen pocket awareness” ([07:10]). Moore believes that Dart’s skill set could rejuvenate the Steelers' offense, making it more competitive and valuable for fantasy managers.

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2. NFL News and Notes

Transitioning from rookies, the hosts discuss recent NFL updates and their implications for fantasy football.

• Andy Holloway shares news about James Cook remaining with the Buffalo Bills, ensuring stability for fantasy managers who rely on Cook's performance. He humorously notes Cook's potential move by saying, “maybe he just wants to move to a different neighborhood, but it looks very” ([12:18]).

• Jason Moore delves into the 49ers' running back situation, highlighting Christian McCaffrey's health and the team's need to bolster their backfield. He remarks, “The biggest, if you want to paint the positive side of the McCaffrey story” ([14:56]).

• The episode also covers quarterback updates, particularly Trevor Lawrence's recovery from shoulder surgery. Moore clarifies the timeline, pointing out the difference between recovery by camp versus the start of the season: “Camp slash season. Like if you say by camp. Cool. If you say by season, I'm like, wow” ([16:12]).

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3. Keep/Trade/Cut Segment

The heart of the episode lies in the Keep/Trade/Cut segment, where each host evaluates specific players, providing their strategic decisions based on performance metrics, injury history, and team dynamics.

A. Quarterbacks: Jaden Daniels, Jalen Hurts, Joe Burrow

• Andy Holloway advocates for cutting Joe Burrow, citing his status as a pure pocket passer without the scrambling ability that adds value in fantasy formats. He explains, “I'm far more confident in the other two guys because of their scrambling, rushing and rushing touchdown ability” ([21:38]).

• Mike Wright chooses to keep Joe Burrow, appreciating his consistent performance despite being a traditional passer. He argues, “I have no problem keeping Burrow” ([23:50]).

• Jason Moore opts to keep Jaden Daniels, trade Joe Burrow, and cut Jalen Hurts, emphasizing Daniels' high rushing attempts and potential upside. He states, “I would keep Jaden Daniels” ([23:16]).

The discussion further delves into the impact of scoring formats (4-point vs. 6-point passing touchdowns), with Moore highlighting, “Both Burrow and Hertz have a consistency rating of B with 52.9% of games exceeding 20 points each” ([25:59]).

B. Running Backs: Chuba Hubbard, Alvin Camara, Kenneth Walker

• Andy Holloway decides to keep Alvin Camara, valuing his explosive playstyle and reliability. “I'm going to keep Alvin Camara” ([42:21]).

• Mike Wright chooses to keep Kenneth Walker, appreciating his talent and fit within the Carolina Panthers’ offensive strategy. He comments, “I'm going to keep Walker” ([42:15]).

• Jason Moore opts to keep Chuba Hubbard, trade Alvin Camara, and cut Kenneth Walker, citing Hubbard's impressive yards per carry and workload despite missing a game. He explains, “I'm going to keep Chuba Hubbard” ([39:16]).

The hosts debate the risks associated with injury-prone players versus consistent performance, with Moores emphasizing the high-value opportunities that Hubbard presents.

C. Tight Ends: Sam LaPorta, T.J. Hockenson, Mark Andrews

• Andy Holloway initially expresses frustration with the tight end options, considering cutting all three: “I'll be cutting T. Higgins, Terry McClaurin and Garrett Wilson” ([54:28]).

• Mike Wright decides to keep Sam LaPorta, believing in his potential growth despite a rough start. He states, “I'm keeping LaPorta” ([57:26]).

• Jason Moore makes a format-dependent decision:

  • In PPR leagues, he keeps T.J. Hockenson, trades Sam LaPorta, and cuts Mark Andrews: “I'm keeping Hawkinson and then I will trade Laporta, cut Andrews” ([56:54]).
  • In Standard leagues, he opts to keep Mark Andrews, trade T.J. Hockenson, and cut Sam LaPorta: “If I am 100% standard league, I'm actually going to keep Mark Andrews” ([57:04]).

The discussion centers around Andrews' inconsistent performance and injury issues, while LaPorta's increased target volume with a new quarterback presents a case for his retention.

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4. Final Thoughts and Conclusions

As the episode wraps up, the hosts reflect on the complexities of fantasy football decision-making, emphasizing the importance of balancing upside potential with risk management. They acknowledge the varying preferences dictated by league formats and individual team strategies.

• Andy Holloway underscores the challenge in choosing between consistent veterans and high-upside rookies, noting the inherent difficulty in player projections: “You can make a very intellectual argument for all three of them” ([23:57]).

• Jason Moore highlights the significance of understanding league scoring formats and how they influence player valuation: “Because you're in a 4-point I guess I'll take one of the running quarterback” ([26:15]).

• Mike Wright emphasizes the pragmatic approach to team building, advocating for retaining players who offer reliable performance under his system: “I think I just want to go upside or I'm going waiver wire” ([60:27]).

The hosts conclude by encouraging listeners to join their fantasy football community and stay tuned for upcoming episodes, promising more in-depth analysis and discussion to help fantasy managers excel in their leagues.

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Notable Quotes:

• “The Broncos are the one I'm pretty much the most excited for” — Andy Holloway ([03:38])

• “I could see Garrett Wilson upsets me” — Andy Holloway ([52:10])

• “If you're in a four point I guess I'll take one of the running quarterback” — Mike Wright ([26:15])

• “I'm cutting T. Higgins, Terry McClaurin and Garrett Wilson” — Andy Holloway ([54:28])

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This episode of the Fantasy Footballers Podcast offers a comprehensive look into strategic fantasy football management, blending player evaluations with dynamic team-building strategies. Whether you're contemplating your draft picks or seeking advice on mid-season trades, this discussion provides valuable perspectives to enhance your fantasy football prowess.

Transcript

[Andy Holloway]

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[Jason Moore]

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[Andy Holloway]

Welcome to the Fantasy Footballers podcast with your hosts Andy Holloway, Jason Moore and Mike Wright.

[Jason Moore]

Welcome in Thursday, April 10, the fantasy footballers, Jason Moore, Mike Wright, Andy Holloway, happy to be with you for another episode of the podcast. Might be watching over on YouTube. YouTube.com the fantasy footballers thank you for tuning in. We're all here. We're all ready to go. We got keep trade cut today. We got some NFL news to talk about. We have a very fun quick question we'll jump into momentarily, but how are you two gentlemen doing?

[Andy Holloway]

I'm doing very, very well, thank you for asking.

[Jason Moore]

Good, good.

[Mike Wright]

What are we doing here?

[Jason Moore]

No, we're not doing anything. How are you, Mike?

[Mike Wright]

I'm fine.

[Jason Moore]

Okay, thanks. Right, not a lot going on. Let's jump in here.

[Mike Wright]

I'm in the throngs of top 30 visits over here, man. Well, we've got to crack the code.

[Jason Moore]

We've got early rankings shows coming out very soon as well. And I know you were working through your top what, 20 running back.

[Mike Wright]

Yeah, we're getting into early running back.

[Jason Moore]

Rankings right before the show. I know you were. You were working on that a little bit.

[Mike Wright]

Yeah. Screwing everything up.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah. Breaking some of our documents. But quick question of the day.

[Mike Wright]

When you say it full in documents, like how is. What am I tearing them up?

[Jason Moore]

Yeah, we do it all on paper. And Mike walked over, my quill is out of ink.

[Mike Wright]

Our documents are in shambles.

[Jason Moore]

He spilled some coffee on the papers and we got to rewrite them, but that's why we got a team. You can see Dooserz, Ellie. These guys take care of all the paperwork.

[Mike Wright]

You can break a dock, you cannot break a.

[Jason Moore]

The document was too formal for you.

[Mike Wright]

Yes.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah. Sorry about that. Ultimate Draft Kid.com the Dynasty Pass available now. If you want to check that out Our quick question of the day, Name a rookie and a landing spot that you would love to see. So pick a rookie, pick a landing spot and give me the reason why you want to see that rookie land there.

[Andy Holloway]

I'm going to jump in first.

[Jason Moore]

Okay.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah, I want to see Caleb Johnson go to the Broncos. And this is not my most ideal like, oh my gosh, I'm going to go crazy if this happens. But the Broncos to me are my favorite destination. There's, there's a handful of really good destinations for running backs this year. You know, a lot of people love the Cowboys, the Bears, there's, there's a handful I'd be happy. The Chargers, the Steelers, there's a bunch. But to me, the Broncos are the one I'm pretty much the most excited for. It's a young up and coming offense. You have a long history with Sean Payton of getting a ton of fantasy production out of his running back core. And it wasn't just because of Alvin Camaro. Way before Camaro was there. You know, whether it was Mark Ingram or whether it was Pierre Thomas. Pierre Thomas, everybody.

[Mike Wright]

He's Chris Ivory.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah, I mean the list was huge this last year. The opportunity was totally there for Javante Williams. The pass catching running backs like the targets to the running back position, outstanding. The talent was just not good enough. But the reason I want it to be Caleb Johnson going to the Broncos is because the other tippy top guys, the guys like, you know, Amari and Hampton, obviously Gente like Henderson, it doesn't matter where they go. It really, they're going to be drafted high enough and they're going to go somewhere where they're going to make an impact for fantasy football. But Caleb Johnson is a player I believe is very good. I think if given an opportunity in a good situation, he will succeed. And so he's the one I want to push up and add another guy to like your rookie drafts where you're going, oh, I'm excited about a fourth player. You know, you could say the same for like Cam Scatter. Boo. I want him to be an early draft pick. I don't care where he goes. Just some team to invest early because I think he's good.

[Jason Moore]

You just want more players for us to care about.

[Andy Holloway]

Bingo.

[Jason Moore]

Okay, Mike, who's the name for you?

[Mike Wright]

I'm going to go with ted arrow and McMillan to the Dallas Cowboys as.

[Jason Moore]

Interesting because my answer to this question was almost Matthew golden to the Dallas Cowboys. Yeah, so talk about your like of this fit.

[Mike Wright]

So I like it because he is he's big bodied outside wide receiver. We don't need to get creative with him. We don't need to move him into the slot, which he'll do some of that I'm sure. But it's like we can keep CD Lamb as the elite number one of the Dallas Cowboys, moving him all around while you have actually someone who the defense has to care about and they're on the outside and then CD Lam, you know, runs PA crossers across the middle and then gets us tons of fantasy points where I don't know for sure if McMillan can be a true number one wide receiver in the NFL. Like I'm not saying you can't, but it's. I don't look at his, at his film, at him being a prospect and go, yeah, absolutely, this is going to be a slam dunk. You know, like watching Malik neighbors we knew he would be. He'll have no problem being a number one. Can McMillan do it? I don't know for sure. So get that secondary option where I'm not overly concerned about. Holy crap. They added a true alpha here to the Cowboys. Is this going to bring CD Lamb down at a couple spots? Is he wide receiver 6 now I don't worry about that. It helps the offense and I think that it's just a great fit and draft capital makes sense where they are selecting. So I could see it happening.

[Andy Holloway]

So are you saying you would rather him go to a team with a quarterback where he could be the two? Yes. Then go to maybe a worse offense as a whole, but he gets to be the one?

[Mike Wright]

Yeah, that's what I would prefer.

[Jason Moore]

All right. I went with Jackson Dart to the Pittsburgh Steelers, which would be picked 21 if it stayed the way it is now. I am a, I'm becoming more and more of a fan of Jackson Dart. The more that I watch him play, the more film I watch. I think that this fit. There are players that we want to care about on Pittsburgh. We've been fatigued. We've been fatigued by the quarterback situation. I don't know if we'll get what we want from Aaron Rodgers if he signs, but we want to care about DK Metcalf for a bunch of years. We want to care about Pat Fryer mates, we want to care about Jalen Warren, whoever they bring in at running back. We want the offense to matter again in Pittsburgh and Jackson Dart could be the guy that it works out that, you know, I think that he is probably going to go higher than 21. But Pittsburgh's a team that's a, that is going to be competing that has pieces that would make it very easy on him. This is a three year SEC starter. I love his evasiveness in the pocket. I love the fact that he's gotten better every single year. I love the back shoulder throws. I love the ability. He's got some Josh Allen pocket awareness to him. Most yards in the sec. He's got NFL pedigree. Right. Like his dad played in the NFL. So I think we see a lot of things out of his name's Dart.

[Mike Wright]

And he throws ball.

[Jason Moore]

He does throw darts. Come on as well. Highest yards per attempt. Those are darts.

[Mike Wright]

Love it.

[Jason Moore]

But no, I think that that would be a really unique fit and it's one where like you could see like what if Aaron Rodgers is not the quarterback? That's starter, that's like rookie starter. You know, we've done the Kenny Pickett thing and I know that that didn't work out and I know your odds are lower in the 20s, but I think that could be a move up.

[Mike Wright]

Sure.

[Jason Moore]

That could be a pick 14. That could be a pick 15.

[Andy Holloway]

Well, Pittsburgh does not currently have a second round draft pick. I think Pittsburgh taking Jackson Dart would be an excellent move at 83 in the third round.

[Jason Moore]

Well, Jason, for some reason just, you know, he clearly didn't watch the Gator bowl because Jackson Dart was the MVP of the Gator Bowl. He didn't watch the Senior Bowl. So I mean to me though, Jackson Dart, it's about a lot of isolated plays for him that are NFL level throws and not necessarily.

[Andy Holloway]

I mean, I think you're 100% right there. Because when I watch quarterbacks, and I've said this for years, so I think Andy is a way better scout of quarterback talent than I am. That is not the position that I feel like I thrive in projecting. And so I'll. I'll probably give Jackson Dart a little bit more leeway than based on my own eyes because I'm like, I don't get it. I've watched a couple but I think you nailing. Why he definitely has incredible plays like this play where he evades the pocket, gets out, keeps his eyes down field, throws or scrambles and runs, you know. But he also has a lot of inconsistency and I see that over and I see some things where I go what? And I prefer, you know, the every play type of quarterback.

[Jason Moore]

I think he's going to go ahead of Sanders.

[Mike Wright]

That's what my follow up was going to be for you personally I do.

[Jason Moore]

Think he'll go ahead. That's why I don't think Pittsburgh at 21, look, it's a spot you'd love to see. I don't know if it's going to work out. Also, I think Pittsburgh would be willing to make some more moves. I know they don't have a second to get up and get that position figured out if they believed in it, but I think he's going to go ahead as Shador Sanders. I think teams are falling in love with him. I think, you know, it's strange because it's like somebody like Patrick Mahomes in college at Texas Tech. It was about a, you know, this is like a 500 starter. But there were the plays, right? There were the plays and the athleticism and some of the things that happen, you do tend to be when you're that talented a do it all guy in college and that leaves a lot of room for mistakes. He's not without his mistakes. I'm not saying he's. He's a guarantee to succeed, but I would like DK Metcalf to matter and right now he doesn't. And I'd like some of these other players to matter moving forward right now.

[Mike Wright]

Mason Rudolph would be your projected starter for the Pittsburgh Steelers.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah. And they, you know, Dart has spent considerable time visiting Browns, Raiders, Giants, Saints, Rams and then Steelers because I think that was last week he visited the Steelers. So look, I want more players to matter too, Jason. I'm with you on that. So let's talk some news.

[Andy Holloway]

News and notes from around the league.

[Jason Moore]

NFL Network's Ian Rappaport reporting. It's always a tough one. Rapaport reporting. Yeah, you know what I mean?

[Andy Holloway]

That's what it's also.

[Jason Moore]

It's a real block bower.

[Andy Holloway]

I think that's why he got the job.

[Jason Moore]

He's wrap up a porter.

[Andy Holloway]

Exactly.

[Jason Moore]

James Cook will play for the bills in 2025.

[Andy Holloway]

That's good. He's under contract.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah, maybe. Maybe this is more news because, you know, you worry about a hold in or you worry about him listing his house for sale.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah, right after.

[Mike Wright]

Did he, did he do this?

[Jason Moore]

Oh, he wiped socials long.

[Andy Holloway]

Oh, did he do that as well?

[Mike Wright]

Yeah.

[Andy Holloway]

When Brandon said that, you know, the contracts, they tried to extend it, it didn't work. They went elsewhere and then he lists the house for sale. That is a.

[Jason Moore]

You're trying out, you're pulling out all the stops.

[Andy Holloway]

Petty. It's probably unrelated. I mean putting your house to the market is a big decision. Maybe he just wants to move to a different neighborhood, but it looks very.

[Mike Wright]

Petty, a neighborhood far, far away from Buffalo.

[Jason Moore]

49Ers head coach Kyle Shanahan said Christian McCaffrey is healthy, but the 49ers will look to add a running back in.

[Mike Wright]

The draft, as they should.

[Jason Moore]

They probably add two. I mean, this team needs five or six a year, but right now it's Garindo, right? I mean, so no Jordan Mason, no Elijah Mitchell. These guys were part of a backfield with McCaffrey before. So this is not a surprise nor a worry, really.

[Mike Wright]

It's not a surprise not to, and it's not a problem for Christian McCaffrey. McCaffrey is just, if he's healthy, he's awesome and he's one of the better running backs in football. It's more about like, is Garendo going to be the backup or we going to have another third round type running back going to the 49ers, we go, I don't know who the backup is anymore.

[Andy Holloway]

Really hope they don't draft a third round running back. That would suck so much because right.

[Mike Wright]

Now, Gurindo, it's one of their favorite things.

[Andy Holloway]

Gorindo really matters. Yes, he does. A very valuable fantasy asset. And of course, Christian McCaffrey would be, you know, in the running for the running back one again this year if they don't add someone. So hopefully. I mean, every time I hear a coach or a general manager talk about a position that they're looking to add in this year's draft, I. I'm like, yeah, I just can't believe any. You know, it's like, yeah, they are doing a very high level job and this matters to a great degree to them. And so to come out and say, I'm looking for a wide receiver, that just feels like, I don't believe you. I don't. I no longer believe you're looking for a wide receiver. And I hope that's the case here.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah, they'll draft a running back, sure.

[Andy Holloway]

But whether it's a third rounder or, you know, in the sixth or seventh, I mean, they've also been good at grabbing, you know, the undrafted guys and signing, signing them after the draft.

[Jason Moore]

The biggest, if you want to paint the positive side of the McCaffrey story this year is, hey, he's the Same old Christian McCaffrey. Stays healthy, has a great year, could be running back one. The bad side is just the worries that you have with a running back that has been injured before and is getting older, which would be Some sort of. If you have a tweak in training camp, if you have a small injury and you have depth, suddenly it starts to make more sense to protect the guy a little bit at some point in time. Get the most out of him on less snaps like there. I don't think there's anybody that thinks Christian McCaffrey snap counts are going to stay prime. Christian McCaffrey for the rest of his career, his efficiency could still be there. But that's what you get scared of with aging running back coming off season ending injury, you know, going into the year. So, you know, if Caleb Johnson is a, is a San Francisco 49er Jason, which is a very possible thing, that.

[Andy Holloway]

Would make me very sad for Caleb. For Caleb, for Christian McCaffrey and for Isaac Arundo.

[Jason Moore]

So triple set.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah. That would be the exact opposite of what our quick question was, of what my hope was and why.

[Jason Moore]

So maybe that'd be what your hope isn't.

[Andy Holloway]

Correct.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah. Okay. Trevor Lawrence optimistic. He'll be a full go by the start of the camp or season. That seems like a big difference.

[Andy Holloway]

Those are very different.

[Mike Wright]

Wait, wait, can we get the full.

[Jason Moore]

Tweet from Cameron Wolf to make sure?

[Andy Holloway]

Very, very different. Camp starts in July.

[Jason Moore]

Camp slash season. Like if you say by camp. Cool. If you say by season, I'm like, wow, this is a worse injury than I thought.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah. The season starts in September.

[Jason Moore]

So camp slash season is a big what range?

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah. So this is not news. I mean, that's what this is.

[Jason Moore]

Liam Cohen says they're going to be tweaking the footwork to fit the timing offense. Yeah, it says camp slash season. That's the actual quote from Cameron Wolf.

[Andy Holloway]

Okay.

[Jason Moore]

It was non throwing shoulder surgery.

[Mike Wright]

Mr. Wolf. I'm going to need like the audio clip or something there. Come on, help us out, please.

[Jason Moore]

Okay. Okay. Camp slash season slash playoffs, slash playoffs.

[Mike Wright]

I'll be ready anytime between 19 now and October.

[Andy Holloway]

Trevor Lawrence, for all of the mud we could throw on him for his disappointing career so far, he's pretty tough. He's fought through some.

[Mike Wright]

Sure.

[Andy Holloway]

I can't imagine. I think when camp comes around, a non throwing shoulder injury is not going to keep him on the sidelines.

[Jason Moore]

Camp slash season.

[Andy Holloway]

Yes, but I, but I full stopped at camp.

[Jason Moore]

All right, we'll take a quick break. By the way, there's a new Dynasty pod out the mock draft mayhem episode with Kyle, Jason and Mike all in studio. Yeah, you can watch it on YouTube.

[Andy Holloway]

The rookie mock draft. So if you want.

[Jason Moore]

Is that why my microphone smells bad? Is that Kyle.

[Andy Holloway]

Mike was over there.

[Jason Moore]

No, it was Kyle.

[Andy Holloway]

Oh, Kyle was over there. It wasn't me.

[Mike Wright]

How dare you.

[Andy Holloway]

I just. I thought I was going on with the joke. I didn't remember Kyle as part of the show because we were so good.

[Mike Wright]

He just said Kyle was in studio.

[Andy Holloway]

That insinuates I listened to him.

[Mike Wright]

Yeah. And so we did. We did a mock draft where, with a little mayhem put in there, where we would be able to use that and say, okay, here's a scenario. What if this happens? Do you still value that player there? So, you know, just exploring more opportunities and not just, hey, this is where I'm ranking a player right now.

[Jason Moore]

All right, we'll take a break and we'll jump into some keep trade. Cut.

[Mike Wright]

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[Andy Holloway]

Keep, trade, cut.

[Jason Moore]

All right, we're going to start with some third, fourth round quarterback options. Keep, trade, cut. Jaden Daniels. Jalen hurts Joe Burrow, man.

[Mike Wright]

Jaden, Jalen and Joe, we're supposed to like ease into things, right?

[Jason Moore]

Right. You normally want some, some softball?

[Mike Wright]

I want to lay up because this one is brutal.

[Andy Holloway]

I think the cut is pretty clear here. You do? I do, yeah.

[Jason Moore]

Uh huh. And you should tell us.

[Andy Holloway]

It would be Joe Burrow for me. And it's simple. We've talked about it a lot ad nauseum over the years. But the fact that he is a pure pocket passer, he's not going to be going out there and rushing for 10 touchdowns and 750 yards. That means that he's got to stay complete magnifier. And don't hear what I'm not saying. I'm not saying I don't want Joe Burrow next year. I think he's going to be excellent. But if I had to draft at the same draft value and I'm deciding between these three players, I'm far more confident. Assuming the touch push is not outlawed. I'm far more confident in the other two guys because of their scrambling, rushing and rushing touchdown ability.

[Mike Wright]

I know that's. That is almost always my go to answer, but it's like what Joe Burrow did last year. It's like yeah, Jaden was a rookie, he's going to get better. But like Joe Burrow was more points per game than both of those guys last year.

[Andy Holloway]

Kind of.

[Mike Wright]

What's kind of.

[Andy Holloway]

So Joe Burrow was 21.9 fantasy points per game last year. Jalen Hertz got injured in the third to last game and then didn't play the rest. If you take out his injured game, he was 22.2. So he actually averaged more than all three of these guys. It doesn't feel like that when you look at the season.

[Jason Moore]

Well, he was. It's funny because he was actually at 21 last year. Jalen Hurts was at 21 last year and Burrow two years ago was 21.9 again. So this is tight.

[Mike Wright]

Jay, Just saying that's a, that's four point. Just so you know that those points per game are four point.

[Andy Holloway]

Sure, but they were for both.

[Mike Wright]

But it. Okay. It's because in six point, I'm seeing Joe at 27.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah, I would take Joe Burrow.

[Andy Holloway]

You were keep Joe Burrow like out of these three.

[Jason Moore]

No, no, no, no. I would keep Jaden Daniels, I would trade Joe Burrow and I would cut Jalen Hertz.

[Andy Holloway]

Mike.

[Mike Wright]

Gosh, this question is. This, this question is wild. I guess I'm, I'm probably keeping Burrow just because this is. I'll take a slight value of. Give me, you know, the whatever running back wide receiver in that Jaden Daniels spot and then get me Burrow. Like, oh man, the rushing attempts for.

[Jason Moore]

Daniels is, you know, it's outstanding.

[Andy Holloway]

Yes.

[Jason Moore]

148. I think it's tight.

[Andy Holloway]

The reason that you say this is not a softball question is because my keep is Jalen hurts. So you kept Burrow, I kept Hertz and you kept Jayden Daniels. You can make a very intellectual argument for all three of them.

[Mike Wright]

Right.

[Andy Holloway]

When I think about are they in the same tier?

[Jason Moore]

Because if they're in the same tier, you should take Burrow.

[Andy Holloway]

I don't. Yeah, I was going to say I don't think they're in the same tier because to me, I feel like the two mobile rushing quarterbacks are worth more than Joe Burrow. I mean, Joe Burrow 21.9 points this year. That's great. A couple years ago, 21.9, he's had 19.6, 14.7. He had some injuries that year. But if you look at Jalen Hurts and yes, these are all four point. Both him and Jalen hurts. All the numbers I'm talking about are 4 point per passing touchdowns, which does that favors the. Favors the mobile quarterback. But that is still the predominant. You know, that's the majority of leagues. It's getting closer to 50. 50. But you look at his numbers, I mean 21 points, which again, this was actually 22.2. If you take out his injured game last year for Jalen Hertz the year before 21 better than, you know, all those other numbers the year before 25. I mean, you look at his rushing touchdowns and I made a joke, which wasn't a joke, which was the tush push matters. The tush push. Jalen Hertz since his rookie year where he didn't really play as a actual starter has not had fewer than 10 rushing touchdowns like in his career. 10, 13, 15, 14. There is a baseline there that is really unfair and that's with saquon having like 700 rushing touchdowns.

[Mike Wright]

What was so Hertz was at what.

[Andy Holloway]

If you the injured game 22.2 in four point score.

[Mike Wright]

You take out week 18. Joe Burrow is at 22 and a half.

[Jason Moore]

Both Burrow and Hertz have a consistency rating of B with 52.9% of games exceeding 20 points each. I think this exactly tied now just.

[Andy Holloway]

To go back because I'm not going to let you just take out his worst game.

[Mike Wright]

I was just taking.

[Andy Holloway]

He played 100% of snaps. I'm not taking out a random game. I'm taking out a game where Jalen Hurts didn't play.

[Mike Wright]

Oh, I was taking out a game that real fancy players don't play.

[Andy Holloway]

Sure. But Joe burrowed it.

[Mike Wright]

I think I'm answering this question based on scoring format. Like if I'm in, if I'm in a four point I guess I'll take one of the. I'll take the running quarterback. But if I'm in a six point per passing touchdown, I'll take a value on Joe Burrow. You'll go after those guys.

[Andy Holloway]

How is Burroughs? I haven't looked into this. His touchdown percentage, was it very different this last year than in years prior? Do you have that?

[Mike Wright]

I could pull that up real quick. So last this past year he was 5.8 or wait, no, he was at 6.6 in 24. And so the year.

[Andy Holloway]

Right.

[Mike Wright]

So 23. You know, it was the down year that was. He was down in the fours but before that was 5.8 and 6.5. So for Joe to be in the sixes is strange.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah. Joe Burrow is going to throw more touchdowns this year than Jalen Hurts. That's a, that's a given. It's just a matter of.

[Mike Wright]

It's the total touchdown.

[Jason Moore]

Yep. It's the total and the consistency and they both have been very consistent. I mean we did. We haven't spent a lot of time talking about Jaden Daniels. You're going to be, you know, target on your back sophomore season. A lot of expectations. Not catching anybody by surprise. You know, any thoughts about Jaden in the conversation of like it's funny, he's.

[Andy Holloway]

Obviously being drafted ahead of the other two guys and he's the most exciting. He is the guy that if I'm, if I leave the draft with one of these three, I'M the most excited for Jaden Daniels just because the what if you know, such an incredible good rookie.

[Jason Moore]

Did you just gasp? Yeah, that was a, that was for effect.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah, exactly.

[Mike Wright]

That wasn't a sustained.

[Andy Holloway]

No, it wasn't to sustain life or speech. It was to be wowed. But you know, it's funny with Jaden Daniels because there's, there's the opportunity for him to really take off and elevate his game going into year two. Adding Debo Samuel, all those things that are fantastic. But there's also the world where you know, the CJ Stroud that was impossible to get worse. Adding Stefan Diggs and going into year two couldn't get worse. But he didn't have as big a sample size. Neither Jalen Hertz nor Joe Burrow to me have aged out to where I'm fearful that their play is going to be bad next year. And so I would rather have someone that's got three, four, five seasons under their belt doing it consistently than the one year. Even though the one year does mean higher potential 500 votes in.

[Jason Moore]

I threw it up really quick 51.5% four point leagues, 48.5% six point leagues. Pulling the foot clan which it seems pretty neck and neck right now.

[Andy Holloway]

And honest, honest to goodness, Mike is very wise to say that, that those two players and really more than any other two players, specifically Joe Burrow and Jalen Hurts. When you're comparing those two, that scoring format makes a big difference. You're talking about double digit touchdowns on the ground for Jalen Hurts guaranteed if the tush push is still here versus way more passing touchdowns for Joe Burrow.

[Jason Moore]

Well, seventh and eighth round quarterbacks then another three back to back to back. Baker Mayfield, Bo Nix, Kyler Murray. Baker had eight finishes inside the top five at the position which was the most of all quarterbacks. Bo Nix was at that sweet, sweet 21.9 fantasy points per game which is Joe Burrow numbers and four point. That's from week five on for Bo Nix and then Kyler Murray the fifth most rushing yards among quarterbacks. There was some some little puff piece about him running more.

[Mike Wright]

Well the it is interview.

[Jason Moore]

It's an interview with Kyler.

[Mike Wright]

That's what I say. It's not quite a puff piece because this isn't someone projecting. This is they you just know it's a lie. Yes, that. That, that is the thing you have to decide. Watch the clip of it's Kyler Murray and they're saying they're talking about him running and Kyler is. He's saying like, he's like, yeah, next year I need to run more. It's. It's going to be part of the scheme, essentially, is what he's saying. And it's this. Oh, my gosh, Kyler, are you seriously going to try drag us back in because we just got out.

[Jason Moore]

No.

[Mike Wright]

And I was feeling, I was feeling so good and so safe on the outside.

[Jason Moore]

Stay out. The previous question had two rushing quarterbacks, one pocket passer. This one is more so. Two pocket passers, one rushing quarterback. Although Bonix can run a little bit, but.

[Mike Wright]

Yeah, how far?

[Jason Moore]

But so can Baker. I mean, they're scramblers, but they're not.

[Andy Holloway]

Bo Nicks had 430 rushing yards, but on 92 attempts, a lot of, A lot of rushing scrambles.

[Jason Moore]

Don't discount Baker. He's almost at 400 yards on the ground.

[Mike Wright]

So Kyler was at 572.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah. So where do you look here? Kyler Murray with newly minted Trey McBride. Marvin Harrison, sophomore season. Bo Nix with Cortland Sutton and company. Probably adding some pieces in the draft. Baker Mayfield with his tried and true all pros. Godwin will be back. Mike Evans, McMillan.

[Mike Wright]

It's the thing for Baker is, I know he was, he was still good and fine when Chris Godwin left, but Chris Godwin, before he went down was. I think he was the wide receiver too. In points per game and all of fantasy football, he was dominating. We won't know the health of it, but like, if you could tell me right now, going into week one, Chris Godwin will be good to go and he'll be fine, then I would go.

[Andy Holloway]

Baker.

[Jason Moore]

Baker is currently being drafted higher. I think Baker is very safe.

[Andy Holloway]

Baker finishes the quarterback three last year.

[Jason Moore]

Would you rather, Real quick sidebar, would you rather have one of these three names, Mayfield, Nicks and Murray at their ADP versus those first three names? Or do you, do you. Would you rather be at the bottom of that last group and maybe take Burrow in the fifth, you know, fifth pick off the board at quarterback versus waiting on these three? Because these three, you know, you see upside cases, but you see downside for all three of them.

[Mike Wright]

Definitely.

[Jason Moore]

Like, none of them feels like they're a lock. Like, Bo Nix could definitely regress, have his ups and downs. Baker Mayfield, you know, you feel okay about, but you don't really look at him as an every week auto start. And then Kyler Murray, he's had his disappointments of late that are just burning people out.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah, I mean, it's, it's really tough. I, you know, I put Jalen Hurts at the top of the earlier three pack. He would, I would rather have him than any of these three, including the ADP in and what you're sacrificing at the running back or wide. Wide receiver position. When I look at these three quarterbacks and I'm like, okay, I think Bo Nix is going to be good. He looked great as a rookie, hasn't done it yet. Kyler I know is cursed and will ruin me. He's out. He will only be good once we're all out. So just get him out. Don't, don't include him.

[Mike Wright]

But Baker is mean. We can never go back in though, because as soon as you go in.

[Andy Holloway]

Correct, you will be burned.

[Mike Wright]

Stops.

[Andy Holloway]

Yes. You just. If you want him to be good, stay out, be everyone, get off the Kyler Murray train and then he'll be okay. Otherwise, if he has one believer, if mama still believes he's going to make sure to disappoint her. Of the three quarterbacks, Baker Mayfield is the best quarterback. For NFL purposes, I believe he is the best quarterback. That's who I want. But for fantasy purposes, it is scary. I brought up Joe Burrows passing touchdown numbers. When you are a prolific pass rusher, which Baker did scramble a lot this year, which is helpful, but that's not like necessarily guaranteed that he's going to be a rushing guy.

[Jason Moore]

The previous year he was 62 for 163.

[Andy Holloway]

Exactly.

[Jason Moore]

He rushed the exact same amount of times this year, but for 378 yards. It's very outlier.

[Andy Holloway]

It is, it is an outlier, but the other thing, that's an outlier. So if those rushing numbers come down.

[Jason Moore]

12 fumbles, the baker hold on to the ball.

[Andy Holloway]

The passing touchdown rate for Baker Mayfield, if you take out his rookie season, actually, we'll include his rookie season because it was great. 5.6% even help him out here. His average before this season, his passing touchdown rate is 4.6%, which is slightly above average for the NFL. That's not a bad percentage. That's like, hey, you are a, you're a franchise quarterback.

[Mike Wright]

But that's not fantasy. Winning pocket.

[Andy Holloway]

No, but you don't want to know what it is. 7.2. And that's what he threw last year. So, you know, there's, there's warts on all three of these guys.

[Jason Moore]

I think, I think Baker, I look at Baker at this point in two careers, like, I don't, I don't, you know, it's, it's Tampa Bay, Baker and everything before.

[Andy Holloway]

Right.

[Mike Wright]

But the first year, Tampa Bay.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah.

[Jason Moore]

4.9.

[Mike Wright]

4.9, yep. So I mean if you meet in the middle, you're still okay. You're not QB3.

[Jason Moore]

But I'll keep Baker, trade Kyler, I'll cut Knicks, man.

[Andy Holloway]

I think at the value like Jayden Daniels has the ability to regress going into year two. So does Bo Nix. But the value where it's later in the draft versus earlier, they both have the option to go north. I think I'm going to take Knicks as your keep. As my keep. Trade Baker and of course cut Kyler. But that's. Yeah, it's tough. I like Baker a lot. I don't think there's any player I'd prefer watching right now.

[Jason Moore]

If he's the best quarterback and has the best wide receivers, which is the current situation.

[Andy Holloway]

Definitely.

[Jason Moore]

And has a passing like a running back room that can catch, catch the football. With Buck Irving and with Rashad White, it's easier for me to lean that way. Would you guys. Did you answer the question of would you take one of these three or the first three at their adp?

[Mike Wright]

I would take Burrow overall.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah. I would take Hertz.

[Jason Moore]

Running back, keep, trade, cut Chuba Hubbard. Okay, these are back to back to back. Again, they're all. They've been designed to be difficult. Chuba Hubbard, Alvin Camara, Kenneth Bone Walker, K Bone. The bone man. Yeah, the bone zone.

[Andy Holloway]

This one's not difficult.

[Jason Moore]

Chuba is RB17. He's a higher ADP right now than the other two guys. If you look at the game log, you will probably be shocked again just how outstanding Chuba Hubbard was.4.8 a carry, almost 1200 yards despite missing a game. And his opportunities didn't even shoot up till week three. But you're talking about. I mean he had games, 31 opportunities, 34 opportunities. He was a workhorse for them. Jonathan Brooks will not be in the picture. Alvin Camara, we know what we got with him at this point in time. And then Kenneth Walker, new head coach, new offensive coordinator, new quarterback, but obviously a ton of talent. What is your instant reaction to that?

[Andy Holloway]

My instant reaction is that I don't think Alvin Camara should be at this place in the draft because it's too low. It's too low. He's old. He's 29.7. He's going to play at 30 years old this coming season and so he's going to stay in this area of the draft. This is a player who has just never not been great like ever. Pretty much the last couple years he was on a per game basis, outstanding. But at the end of both years kind of fell apart. I mean, I think his ad.

[Jason Moore]

Can I just defend his ADP here?

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah.

[Jason Moore]

I think his ADP here is very specific to. I think where Underdog is on best ball type of situations. The injury risk that you talked about, the fact that we. His prime is behind him. Chuba Hubbard could have a better season. Chuba Hubbard could be entering that. I mean, he just got paid big money. The team made huge steps over the back half of the year and he is the guy. So I think, you know, in Underdog, you're also looking for ceiling. And I don't know if we believe that at this stage. Alvin Camara has much ceiling left. He's got a good floor.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah.

[Jason Moore]

Do you disagree with that?

[Andy Holloway]

No, no. I was. I was looking up. I wanted to see on sleeper where it's not a best ball mentality. Alvin Camara is a few spots ahead of Chuba.

[Jason Moore]

Makes sense to me.

[Andy Holloway]

They're basically at the 4 or 5 turn. Kenneth Walker is almost a full round ahead of Chuba. He's an early fourth versus a late fourth for Camara versus early fifth for Chuba.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah, that. It's super surprising and won't be normal for redraft leagues for Chuba to be the highest drafted among these three.

[Mike Wright]

Right.

[Jason Moore]

So to me, I'm throwing the ADPs of Underdog out. I'm looking at it from a redraft league. I'm looking in August what I'm going to be doing in that case, you know, it's easier to sell Chuba as the best value of the group. 17 fantasy points per game from weeks three through 16, RB7. It's probably time we gave him a little bit more credit. So I will do that now.

[Mike Wright]

Yeah.

[Jason Moore]

I'm going to keep Chuba Hubbard at the value. I'll trade Alvin Camara and I'll cut Walker.

[Mike Wright]

I have. I have no problem giving Chuba the credit. I mean, he. Financially, it's all there. They. But they're for fantasy purposes. I mean, the Carolina Panthers backfield, it was a situation this year. It just worked out of. They thought they were going to have Chuba and Jonathan Brooks and maybe even. And Miles Sanders. Like they thought they had enough bodies and then the bodies just depleted and it was only Chuba. The Jonathan Brooks comeback was very short and very bitter. And while. Look, I'm not saying Rico Dowdle was overtaking Cuba, but looking at just box Score hunting. You know, after the bye week, you had four. You had a full straight month of Chuba Hubbard averaging about three and a half yards per carry. So I'm wondering, did the Carolina Panthers.

[Jason Moore]

See a guy who was at 4.8 on the year?

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah.

[Mike Wright]

Yeah. He's saying the season opened up gangbusters for him. But do they feel like we overworked him? And we do need someone else to come in here and take some of these carries because these his whole opportunity.

[Jason Moore]

I don't think 304 was the goal, but he was at 282 the year before. So you're talking about a player that's held up to 280 plus for two straight years.

[Mike Wright]

So, like, I think Rico is going to take more workload than the Chuba people want to believe. And then Camara, it's. They have. They have to draft somebody, right?

[Andy Holloway]

They have to someday. I mean, they definitely need a running back. Yes.

[Mike Wright]

Because if they don't, then Alvin Camara is going to get. He'll get all those receptions again. He'll be gross.

[Jason Moore]

He'll be hurt again.

[Mike Wright]

It grossed into something.

[Jason Moore]

That's what'll happen, man.

[Mike Wright]

So you're keeping Chuba Jay, who are you?

[Andy Holloway]

I'm going to keep Alvin Camara. You know, the most explosive, you know, per play guy is Kenneth Walker here. But if you want to talk about getting hurt, I have more confidence in Alvin Camara playing 17 than I do Kenneth Walker.

[Jason Moore]

You. I think this is going to be a very controversial one that we just discussed. I don't think people are going to be. I don't think many will agree with me about you, but I think a lot of people are bullish on Kenneth Walker and are probably sitting here going, he should 100% be the highest among this group.

[Andy Holloway]

He is currently being drafted as the highest the team is. Has made an offensive coordinator change that from the outside appears to be to get towards running the ball more. And that, you know, it makes sense. And when you see Kenneth Walker on the field, he. He's very, very good. You know, I want to force missed.

[Jason Moore]

Tackle rate among 46 running backs with 100 plus carries. Yeah. If you're not factoring in draft costs here, I think Walker is just fine to be your key.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah, I wouldn't argue with anyone for keeping Walker. He could end up being a steal in this year's draft. But Ken Brittlebone Walker. Yeah, he is tough to really anchor your ship to.

[Mike Wright]

I'm going to keep him though.

[Andy Holloway]

So again, we're keeping you're keeping Chuba. I'm keeping Camaro.

[Mike Wright]

Quit Ken Bone. Walker.

[Andy Holloway]

You're keeping Ken Bones.

[Mike Wright]

It's too sensational when you want to play.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah, I'm just going for value. But yeah, I think pure talent and entering like Kenneth Walker and Chuba Hubbard, you put them in the exact same system and you tell them, you give them the same opportunities and you say you're not hurt for the year. Kenneth Walker will have a bigger fantasy year.

[Mike Wright]

Yeah.

[Jason Moore]

Than Chuba Hubbard will. But I just don't think anybody really wants to like, build their team around Chuba Hubbard. Even though they could have done it for two straight years now. For two straight years, you could have had him in as your RB2 and you'd have been living life. Whereas Walker missed time, Camara missed time. It's a tough one.

[Mike Wright]

Imagine if Walker doesn't, though.

[Jason Moore]

Exactly. But the biggest problem of getting hurt a bunch is just teams decision making on how they manage the future. Like they just invested money in Camara, too. Like they just re upped Camara and it's like, well, do you want him on the field?

[Mike Wright]

They don't know what they're doing.

[Jason Moore]

They don't want him on the field 38 times like he was on the field in week nine. 38 opportunities, that's all they got. I'm sure that played a part in missing the last three weeks of the season and not being helpful.

[Andy Holloway]

I believe he led the team in receptions.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah. So that's your case for them, is they draft one of the top wide receivers and they get healthy. Maybe they go down.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah. I mean, hope Chris Olave can stay healthy. That would be. That'd be great.

[Jason Moore]

Derek Carr play 17 for them.

[Andy Holloway]

I don't think so, Mike. But not because of injury, right?

[Jason Moore]

That's why I'm asking.

[Mike Wright]

You think they take someone and he gets benched?

[Andy Holloway]

I think towards the end of the year, he gets benched. Whether they take someone or not. If they're not winning games, they're going to, you know, probably due to injury, contract situation. Just be like, let's go. Let's get our quarterback of the future next year.

[Jason Moore]

Give Jackson Dart a few snaps. Oh, all right, we'll take a break. We got a couple more.

[D]

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[Jason Moore]

Reynolds here from Mint Mobile with a message for everyone paying big wireless way too much. Please for the love of everything good in this world, stop with Mint. You can get premium wireless for just $15 a month. Of course if you enjoy overpaying, no judgments but this. That's weird. Okay, one judgment anyway. Give it a [e-mail] Switch upfront payment of $45 for 3 month plan equivalent to $15 per month required intro rate first 3 months only then full price plan options available, taxes and fees extra. See full [e-mail] and I mentioned it at the top of the top 15 running backs and wide receivers early ranking shows coming next week. By the way, keep trade cut these are all hard Garrett Wilson, T. Higgins, Terry McLaurin just to give you the.

[Andy Holloway]

Terry to DeAndre Hopkins just to make it to make it easier to have an Easy yeah.

[Jason Moore]

McLaurin last year was one of 10 wide 10 wide receivers since 2000 with 13 plus reception touchdowns receiving TDs on fewer than 125 targets. So hyper efficient in the touchdown department. But I mean go to guy for Jaden Daniels T. Higgins last year fourth best among wide receivers of fantasy points per game. If you run up the hill and get on the field Tee it's nice.

[Andy Holloway]

They call him the Ken Bone Walker.

[Jason Moore]

Of wide receivers and then just got paid.

[Mike Wright]

I have a type.

[Andy Holloway]

Yes, Mike has a type. He likes the guys who if they play they're great.

[Mike Wright]

They burn so bright guys.

[Jason Moore]

Just imagine Blake Jarwin if he had been out there. Garrett Wilson second most targets through three years in NFL history. He'll have Justin Fields. This is what's actually interesting about these three names that I like is that they are all three players that have been in so much hope in each name for so long. So much it wasn't their year has happened to them and here we are with good seasons coming into 2025 being drafted back to back to back on underdog.

[Andy Holloway]

Terry McLaurin to me is the easy cut of the three of these people.

[Mike Wright]

Really?

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah. To me he's the easy cut because you know Andy just read the crazy efficiency of touchdowns. We talk about it all the time. Even for prolific career long touchdown scorers there is a lot of variance from year to year when it comes to specifically touchdowns. This is a guy obviously we've always talked about he's got a quarterback problem. Well, now he's got a quarterback solution. It doesn't change the fact that he's had four touchdowns, five touchdowns. Five touchdowns, four touchdowns, 13. Thirteen touchdowns. When you've got a great quarterback is hard to repeat.

[Jason Moore]

That number at that volume is.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah. Now you add in Debo Samuel and you go, okay there I see how it goes wrong. You also look at these three guys and go, well, who's the oldest? Terry McClaurin is going to turn 30 this year. So it's not that Terry McLaurin is a great player. I don't think he's aged out, but he is getting older. He's got a great quarterback that could take a step forward but could also take a step back. So when I'm comparing him to T. Higgins and Garrett Wilson, I would rather have those other two guys.

[Jason Moore]

It's funny because I mean you are cutting the by far best fantasy finisher from last year. Yeah, from last year.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah.

[Jason Moore]

Mike, do you agree with the easy cut on Terry McLaurin? Because I don't. I don't think I do. I think, I think my keep here. I actually think it's going to be T. Higgins.

[Andy Holloway]

I thought for sure it's going to be Terry McLaurin.

[Jason Moore]

It's going to be T. Higgins. But. But then I'm going to, I'm going to trade Terry McClure. I'm going to cut Garrett Wilson. I don't, I don't like the level of Garrett Wilson may put up a fantasy finish that you're kind of okay with. I do not think it will be very consistent with Justin Fields in that division and I think that the team needs to add more pieces. So I will. That's the way I'm going to go.

[Mike Wright]

So I'm doing a quick look here of the, the history of Washington. While, while Terry is there, like how many passing touchdowns per year were they. Were they having? So the rookie year, that was where it was just brutal. That was like, you know, the Alex, Alex Smith through six touchdowns. So they had 16 total passing touchdowns that season. So that one, I'm not even going to factor that into any of my thought here. In 2021 they had 21 passing touchdowns. In 22 it was 24, 23 in 2023 it was. Where do we go? 24 passing touchdowns. And this one, it was. This year was 29, 25 was Jaden Daniels. So my point being like he. It's not a crazy difference yet. Like they weren't Substantially higher in passing touchdowns this year. But Terry McLaurin hit. And so that makes it even scarier. That makes it. That makes it far more difficult when the. When the team is still throwing mid-20s and Terry McLaurin's catching five to six touchdowns a year. And then he has the one year where he shoots up. And of course Jaden Daniels is the variable that we don't have enough information on yet. It's a. That's scary that, like Jason's saying that. That feels like it was the magical year for Terry McLaurin because the yardage was normal. Terry yardage. This was just a. He came through with a lot of receiving touchdowns.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah. T. T Higgins would be my keep as well. Andy T. Higgins last year was. Was 15.5 fantasy points per game when he played. That was significantly ahead of Terry McLaurin's 13.3 or Garrett Wilson's 11.8. So you're talking about a player that, I mean, again, he has a health issue. But good news, everybody.

[Mike Wright]

That was also a spike for T.

[Andy Holloway]

But the good news is his new contract incentivizes him actually playing these games.

[Mike Wright]

It does.

[Andy Holloway]

I'm so thrilled when.

[Mike Wright]

Yeah. There is such a high profile per game bonus check for him every single week.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah.

[Jason Moore]

If you look at Garrett Wilson, if we're talking touchdowns, he has 469 career targets.

[Andy Holloway]

Nice.

[Jason Moore]

He averages a touchdown every 33.5 targets.

[Andy Holloway]

I don't think that's going up with.

[Jason Moore]

Justin Fields, which is only 14 touchdowns on 469 career targets across three years. He's never had the spike year. He doesn't have the quarterback situation figured out.

[Andy Holloway]

You know what? You were right. It is not an easy cut for Tara McLaurin. It's an easy keep for T. Higgins.

[Jason Moore]

To me that's fine. Because if I had to bet money on which one would have double digit touchdowns, I would bet T. Higgins despite Terry McLaurin's 13.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah, me too.

[Jason Moore]

But Terry McLaurin get to eight or nine with the best, you know, a much better quarterback situation than Garrett Wilson. Like, what are the odds of Garrett Wilson putting 10 into the end zone this year? McLaren has to be higher than this.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah.

[Mike Wright]

And then quarterback wise, like Jayden Daniels had an incredible year. 25 passing touchdowns.

[Jason Moore]

He could go does. But he could go up.

[Mike Wright]

Yeah, he can. But is he going to be anywhere close to Burrow?

[Andy Holloway]

No.

[Jason Moore]

No. So that's why I'm Higgins, McLaren, then Wilson. Yeah.

[Mike Wright]

Even though he's the technical wide receiver too, on his team. I'd Rather be the wide receiver two where my quarterback can be 4040.

[Andy Holloway]

Then Garrett Wilson upsets me. He.

[Mike Wright]

Dude, he upsets me.

[Andy Holloway]

He really makes me upset because, yeah, okay, Aaron Rodgers didn't play the best and he had a fine fantasy season.

[Mike Wright]

He had a stretch run in the middle of the season right before Devonte Adams got there. Where was the breakout was happening. But I also shut down.

[Andy Holloway]

I don't watch Tara McLaurin or T. Higgins when they're on the field and get frustrated by them. Like. Like what? Like, you know, why can't you tap your toes? Or why can't. You know, Garrett Wilson is a talented wide receiver. He's super good. But he does some stuff out there that I feel like just mental errors over and over. And so if you're taking the volume from Aaron Rodgers to Justin Fields, that's going to be frustrating.

[Jason Moore]

What if. What if Garrett Wilson is more Jarvis Landry than we'd like to give him credit for?

[Andy Holloway]

I could see that.

[Jason Moore]

What if he's not that guy?

[Andy Holloway]

What if he's not Justin Jefferson? We've been waiting for him to be Justin Jefferson. I mean, it's just not going to happen.

[Jason Moore]

He's caught 57% of his passes in three years. He's got no.

[Mike Wright]

It's bad. It's been.

[Jason Moore]

I mean, it's not like he's. It's not a lack of targets.

[Mike Wright]

Yeah, but those targets, those first two years, the targets were so bad.

[Jason Moore]

He's got to be the first player to turn 95 receptions into a wide receiver. 32 finish.

[Mike Wright]

Because look at those first two years. He caught 56, 57% of his passes. That jumped to 66% quarterback with a bad Aaron Rodgers. So.

[Jason Moore]

And yet still much better than what he had.

[Andy Holloway]

Had.

[Mike Wright]

Yeah.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah.

[Mike Wright]

I don't mean.

[Jason Moore]

So where did you finalize.

[Mike Wright]

I'm keeping T. How do you rank the other two? I guess I would trade. I mean, Garrett's going higher, but that's. That's also best ball mentality. I think in redraft people are going to prefer Terry. So I'll trade Terry.

[Andy Holloway]

You know what? Oh, I'm going to make that pivot an easy. He would be from easy cut. He would be an easy cut to me. If this was keep cut, cut.

[Mike Wright]

The question becomes much easier.

[Jason Moore]

Change any rule he wants.

[Andy Holloway]

Look, you guys, you guys won me over. You swayed me.

[Mike Wright]

I'm going to. I'm going to one up. You imagine the game is cut, cut, cut.

[Andy Holloway]

That's so easy. I'm cutting T. Higgins, Terry McClaurin and Garrett Wilson.

[Jason Moore]

I'm cutting Garrett Wilson, Terry McLaurin and T. Higgins.

[Mike Wright]

You can't get it wrong.

[Jason Moore]

No, this is way easier, man. Do we want to try on this final tight end keep trade cut.

[Andy Holloway]

Sure, I want to try on tight end. Cut, cut, cut.

[Jason Moore]

Well, you would cut, cut, cut the tight end sometimes. Sam Laporta, T.J. hawkinson, Mark Andrews. This one, this one is fun. There's some stank on all these guys right now. T.J. hawkinson, you know, had the major injury. It was tough. Mark Andrews, the slow start. You had to have some metal to keep playing him.

[Mike Wright]

Yeah. Which the Mark Andrews was. You either had the stones to keep him and he destroyed you to the point where it's like it doesn't matter what he did later once the comeback was too late. So even if you survived it, he was murdering you on a week to week basis.

[Jason Moore]

Laporta obviously did not have the replication of his rookie season, but did have a nice finish. Andrews, the nice finish. Hawkinson, you know it's going to be a new quarterback, but we know what he's capable of it just coming back last year, he wasn't the same guy. It was pretty clear that he was on some snap counts. Where did he get to? Did he get up to 70% of snaps? He did that twice but you know, he averaged four catches a game which was not what we saw in 2023.

[Andy Holloway]

Right.

[Jason Moore]

I mean he was a six catch a game guy in 2023. Is this an. Do you have this one worked out already? La Porta Hawkinson, Andrews. Right now on underdog. It's Laporta first, Hawkinson second, Andrews third. And this is probably Andrew's last year with Baltimore.

[Mike Wright]

It certainly could be. Hawkinson is extremely difficult because he was last year. I don't. It's hard to take stock in anything from last year because he was recovering from such a devastating injury. He didn't catch any touchdowns.

[Jason Moore]

95 for 960 and 5 the year before.

[Mike Wright]

And now he will have a. Essentially a rookie as his quarterback which like that, that then caps your touchdown upside. Because if JJ McCarthy hits mid 20s in a touch in touchdowns, he had a great year.

[Jason Moore]

All right, I've got my answer. PPR leagues. I'm keeping Hawkinson.

[Mike Wright]

Okay.

[Jason Moore]

And then I will trade Laporta, cut Andrews in full PPR. If I am 100% standard league, I'm actually going to keep Mark Andrews.

[Mike Wright]

Okay.

[Jason Moore]

And I will go ahead and trade Hawkinson and cut Laporta.

[Mike Wright]

I think no matter the format I'm going to keep LaPorta, trade Andrews. I think he's slightly more valuable than Hawkinson.

[Andy Holloway]

I think I'm going to keep Laporta here. I really want to keep Mark Andrews because I.

[Jason Moore]

Neither of you considered keeping Hawkinson.

[Andy Holloway]

I did. I considered all three. I mean I think that these are, you can make arguments for all of them. Hawkinson, when he was on, you know.

[Jason Moore]

He'Ll catch the most passes by maybe 30.

[Andy Holloway]

He will catch the most passes. He was coming off of an injury, didn't play the whole season. His projection, you know, if his projection for the season would have been, you know, 69 receptions, which would have been significantly more than either of the other two guys, significantly nicer. And so Hawkinson is definitely in the running to me. But you've got, you know, last year was a down year for Laporta and you know, Mark Andrews was better than laporta because he got a ton of touchdowns. But we know LaPorta can get touchdowns. He just did it his rookie year. So the touchdowns to me aren't what I can bank on. I've got to bank on volume a little bit. So that's where Hawkinson maybe, that maybe he should be the right pick. But I also think that laporta should be better this coming season than he was this last season.

[Mike Wright]

Kind of me in the middle, I'm going to keep laporta.

[Jason Moore]

La Porta ended up as the tight end. Seven, despite the rough start to the year, still scored seven times. That's not, I mean, that's okay.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah, I think I'm going to go Laporta, Hawk, Andrews.

[Mike Wright]

Because my question on Hawkinson is if J.J. mcCarthy throws 20, 25, 26 passing touchdowns, which again is for a first time starter, that's a great year. How many of those like what's Hawkinson's touchdown upside?

[Jason Moore]

Yeah, I would be. That's why I said ppr, because I don't, I'm not counting on more than five.

[Mike Wright]

Yeah. And Andrews, Andrews, he'll. He has, he has the opportunity to go double digits again. So I like him more than Hawkinson.

[Andy Holloway]

I still think Andrews could be like when I watched Andrews, I did not see bad play. I really didn't. I saw an offense that no longer.

[Mike Wright]

There was one bad play.

[Andy Holloway]

Yes. Okay, the drop ski on the two point conversion was bad, but I think the offense has moved beyond requiring Mark Andrews.

[Jason Moore]

Well, this is why he'd be the biggest risk of these three by far. Like laporta and Hawkinson are very. I think those two guys are much safer. We saw from Andrews that he can completely like what he shut it down for the first five weeks at least.

[Andy Holloway]

Weeks two and three, but then he was very good.

[Jason Moore]

It's just I don't have as much confidence in his role. Like I know Hawkinson with J.J. mcCarthy and Hawkinson, that's like BFFs. That's going to be the most important player to McCarthy outside of Jefferson because of just how many underneath safety valve plays. Whereas we've talked before La Porta, he's going to fall behind the pecking order of Almond Ra and probably jmo, probably Jamo and the running backs potentially. I mean, I would expect more receptions from Jameer Gibbs than 60.

[Mike Wright]

I think that it's. Then it becomes philosophical of if you're going with the tight end position, do you want to go safe? I think that I.

[Jason Moore]

Sure.

[Mike Wright]

I think I just want to go upside or I'm going waiver wire.

[Jason Moore]

So that's why you drafted Mark Andrews where you did.

[Andy Holloway]

The jokes happening about cut, cut, cut are, you know, fun, but that's genuine. Like I don't want any of the, I don't, I don't want any of these tight ends. These are the exact type of tight ends that I will not be drafting in 20, 25.

[Jason Moore]

Do we know, do we. Do you have rounds, do you have the sleeper rounds for these guys? Because I don't really like the like looking at underdog best ball. What tight end they are doesn't matter to me. But like if Hawkinson's a, if he's an 8th round tight end for me, then I'm cool. Getting 90 receptions at my tight. It's like taking Ingram 8th round is fine. If he's an 8th Round tight end, I'd be cool.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah. I mean Laporta right now is showing up in the sixth, Andrews is in the seventh. Hawkinson is blowing my mind and I feel like the data has to be broken because it says he's in the fourth round. What? Yeah.

[Jason Moore]

Well, that won't work for me.

[Andy Holloway]

No, but I don't want like to me.

[Mike Wright]

I know you like the 8th, Andy, but what if it was the.

[Jason Moore]

No, that's not going to work.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah. So like me, I'm going to go ahead and I'm going to draft Brock Bowers or Trey McBride or George Kittle. I'm going to get Bowers, I'm going to take Bowers, McBride or Kittle and then if I don't get one of those guys, I am checking out and I will go late I will take someone that. I don't think you'll take Evan Ingram.

[Jason Moore]

On the Broncos late.

[Andy Holloway]

Sure, I'll take Evan Ingram on the Broncos.

[Jason Moore]

That could be good.

[Andy Holloway]

I'll take David Najoku again. I'll take one of the two rookies. Depending on, you know, where Loveland goes or, you know, Tyler Warren or Fannin.

[Mike Wright]

Oh, man.

[Andy Holloway]

I'll add him in there.

[Mike Wright]

He's going to be a day two pick on Harold.

[Jason Moore]

Well, there you go. Those are. Those were tough. Those are tough. There were a couple of positions where I think the league format makes the biggest difference.

[Mike Wright]

Got to get Harold to a.

[Jason Moore]

Are you talking Harold Fannin?

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah.

[Mike Wright]

Yeah.

[Andy Holloway]

Why?

[Jason Moore]

To a purple team?

[Mike Wright]

Oh, come on. Harold and purple crayon.

[Andy Holloway]

Super sick reference. I mean, where's the crickets on that?

[Jason Moore]

Someone will like it.

[Andy Holloway]

Oh, someone will love that. I've never heard that in my life.

[Jason Moore]

What have you. What was this, Mike? We don't know things.

[Mike Wright]

It was a kid's book. Goodbye.

[Andy Holloway]

Thank you for listening to another episode of the Fantasy Footballers Podcast. Join our fantasy football community on jointhefoot.com and follow us on Twitter the Ffballers.

[D]

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