Fantasy Footballers Podcast: Episode Summary

Episode Title: Fantasy Football 2018 - Player Price Check + WR Revelations
Release Date: June 5, 2018
Hosts: Andy Holloway, Jason Moore, Mike "The Fantasy Hitman" Wright

1. Reception Perception Analysis

Overview:
The hosts delve into the concept of reception perception, a metric developed by Matt Harmon from NFL.com, which evaluates wide receivers independent of their quarterbacks. This analysis focuses on how receivers perform across various routes compared to the average.

Key Discussions:

• Randall Cobb's Performance:
  Jason Moore highlights Randall Cobb's reception perception as an overachiever despite changes in his team's quarterback situation. Moore remarks, “Cobb became an afterthought in fantasy” but his reception perception suggests he retains elite capabilities (04:55).

• Impact of Jordy Nelson's Departure:
  The absence of Jordy Nelson has shifted focus to other receivers like DeVante Adams and potentially Geronimo Allison. Moore suggests, “One of those two players is going to break out or break back in this year” (06:10).

• Marquise Lee's Struggles:
  Mike Wright points out Marquise Lee's disappointing reception perception metrics, rating him below the 11th percentile in multiple categories, indicating he may not hold up as the Jaguars' primary receiver (07:05).

• Michael Crabtree's Outlook:
  Despite his previous season's disappointing fantasy numbers, Crabtree's reception perception remains strong in various route categories. Andy Holloway considers him a viable option in PPR formats, anticipating he could lead his team in targets (09:06).

Notable Quote:

Jason Moore ([04:55]): "There’s no way that the wide receiver two from Green Bay, if Aaron Rodgers plays, there’s no game he finishes that low."

2. ADP Price Check and Wide Receiver Rankings

Overview:
The segment focuses on Average Draft Position (ADP) in PPR leagues, evaluating several wide receivers and discussing their draft value and potential.

Key Discussions:

• Tyreek Hill's Draft Position:
  The trio debates whether Tyreek Hill is being drafted too early. Jason Moore argues that Hill is being overvalued, suggesting a position around the 212th pick (14:25). Mike Wright concurs, placing Hill around the 304th pick in PPR ADP.

• Comparing Hill to Peers:
  Andy Holloway emphasizes the tiered nature of wide receivers, suggesting that drafting Hill at his current ADP separates him from other valuable receivers like Adam Thielen and Doug Baldwin (19:26).

• Tariq Cohen as a Sleeper:
  Tariq Cohen is discussed as a potential sleeper with an ADP around the 606th pick in PPR leagues. The hosts weigh his value against other players like Carlos Hyde and Marshawn Lynch, ultimately favoring Cohen due to his potential role in the offensive scheme (24:39).

• Will Fuller’s Value:
  Initially perceived as undervalued, Will Fuller's ADP is surprisingly high, with Andy Holloway noting he’s being drafted directly behind Tariq Cohen. The hosts debate whether Fuller represents a high-upside pick worth his current draft position (29:01).

• Jameson Crowder Analysis:
  Jameson Crowder is scrutinized for his PPR value, with Mike Wright placing him around the 711th pick. The discussion highlights Crowder’s inconsistent performance and compares him to other receivers like Marquise Goodwin and Kelvin Benjamin (32:07).

Notable Quotes:

Jason Moore (14:11): “I've seen him go usually in the third as high as the second.”

Andy Holloway (19:26): “It seems foolish to probably be at the front end of that wide receiver group and grab Hill.”

Jason Moore (29:01): “He’s a guy that could put up two touchdowns.”

3. Quarterback and Tight End ADP Insights

Quarterback Discussion:

• Kirk Cousins' Draft Position:
  Kirk Cousins is unexpectedly falling to the eighth round in PPR leagues, following quarterbacks like Jimmy Garoppolo and Jared Goff. Jason Moore recommends Cousins as a viable option in late rounds (35:10).

Tight End Discussion:

• Jordan Reed vs. Kyle Rudolph:
  In a listener question, the hosts debate whether to select Carson Wentz and David Njoku or Aaron Rodgers and Kyle Rudolph in a PPR Dynasty league. Jason Moore firmly opts for Rodgers and Rudolph, emphasizing their long-term value over Wentz and Njoku (43:54).

Notable Quotes:

Jason Moore (35:10): “Cousins is probably the first quarterback I would be looking at... I like Stafford, I like Rivers. I can get them a couple rounds later.”

4. Mailbag: Listener Questions and Advice

Key Topics:

• Dynasty League Draft Timing:
  A listener from Pittsburgh inquires about the optimal time to conduct a dynasty league draft. Jason Moore advises waiting until after week three of the preseason to mitigate risks associated with early-season injuries (39:57).

• League Setup Tips:
  Listeners seek advice on software and soundboard apps for managing their leagues. The hosts recommend tools like Audacity for recording and various soundboard applications, emphasizing the importance of choosing software that suits individual needs (49:00).

• Draft Position Strategy:
  A listener from Dakota, Missouri, asks whether to draft Aaron Rodgers and Kyle Rudolph or Carson Wentz and David Njoku in a Dynasty PPR league. The hosts collectively suggest Rodgers and Rudolph for their established performances and reliability (43:31).

Notable Quotes:

Jason Moore (39:57): “If the stakes are so much higher for if some guy has a catastrophic injury early in the season... I would prefer it to be later.”

Jason Moore (43:55): “I have Rodgers and Rudolph in our Dynasty league. And if someone offered me Wentz and Njoku, I would not accept the deal.”

5. Community and Social Engagement

Overview:
The hosts encourage listeners to engage with the community through various platforms and participate in giveaways. They promote jointhefoot.com for joining leagues with other listeners and highlight ongoing giveaways like signed jerseys and footballs (12:41).

Notable Quote:

Andy Holloway (12:41): “You can win a signed Le'Veon Bell jersey or a signed Alvin Kamara Football... visit footclangiveaway.com to enter for free.”

6. Final Thoughts and Recommendations

Overall Recommendations:

• Player Drafting Strategy:
  The hosts consistently emphasize the importance of evaluating players beyond consensus rankings, encouraging listeners to trust their own research and adjust based on individual league dynamics.

• Utilizing Reception Perception:
  Leveraging advanced metrics like reception perception can uncover hidden value in players who may underperform traditional fantasy expectations.

• Flexibility in Roster Construction:
  Building a balanced team with a mix of volume receivers and high-upside players can enhance league success.

Closing Remarks:
The Fantasy Footballers conclude the episode by reaffirming their commitment to providing insightful analysis and encouraging listeners to participate actively in their fantasy football strategies.

Note: Timestamps correspond to the transcript provided and serve as references to specific discussions within the episode.