Fantasy Football Podcast 2017 - First Round Busts + Saturday Surprises

Summary

Fantasy Footballers Podcast 2017 - First Round Busts + Saturday Surprises Release Date: July 8, 2017

The Fantasy Footballers hosted by Andy Holloway, Jason Moore, and Mike "The Fantasy Hitman" Wright dive deep into the intricacies of fantasy football in their July 8, 2017 episode titled "First Round Busts + Saturday Surprises." This comprehensive summary captures the episode's key discussions, listener interactions, and expert insights, providing valuable takeaways for both seasoned and novice fantasy football enthusiasts.

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1. Introduction and Episode Overview

The episode kicks off with Andy Holloway welcoming listeners to the Saturday edition of the podcast, expressing excitement about the upcoming fantasy football season. Despite being early July, the hosts anticipate the fantasy season's commencement and set the stage for a discussion centered around potential first-round busts.

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2. Identifying Potential First-Round Busts

Main Topic: Which Round One ADP (Average Draft Position) Player Has the Biggest Chance of Being a Bust in 2017?

Key Discussion Points:

• Jason Moore's Insight on Melvin Gordon (02:10 – 05:00):

  • Bust Candidate: Melvin Gordon, a first-round running back.
  • Rationale: Despite Gordon's impressive jump from zero touchdowns in his rookie year to 12 in his sophomore season, Jason highlights concerns about his efficiency and the potential regression in touchdown numbers due to the return of teammate Brandon Oliver (Bo).
  • Quote: "Melvin Gordon is a workhorse. He proved he can do it in the running game, in the passing game" (04:55).

• Alternative Bust Candidate: Mike Evans (05:00 – 07:16):

  • Rationale: Evans showed high target volumes in the previous season but faced challenges such as increased competition for targets with the rise of Chris Godwin and the return of the running game.
  • Quote: "Mike Evans had one top ten performance over the last eight weeks of last year. The only target in town ended the year with 173 targets" (06:50).

Conclusion: Both Gordon and Evans present legitimate bust potentials in the first round due to efficiency concerns and changing team dynamics.

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3. Listener Reviews and Feedback

Segment: Reviewasaurus

• Listener Highlight: A review from PNB emphasizes the podcast's effectiveness in helping listeners win championships.
  • Quote: "After playing fantasy football with no championships for 10 years, I started listening to the footballers two years ago and immediately won my first championship in a very competitive 20 team league" (09:07).

This segment underscores the podcast's impact and the value listeners derive from their expert advice.

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4. Mailbag: Listener Questions Answered

Listener Question 1: Streaming Quarterback Strategy

• Timestamp: [10:58 – 12:42]
• Question: Who are the top streaming quarterbacks for 10-12 team leagues?
• Discussion:
  • Andy: Recommends quarterbacks like Matthew Stafford, Eli Manning, Eli Dalton, and Tyrod Taylor as viable streaming options in the mid-to-late rounds.
  • Jason: Emphasizes flexibility, noting that over 40 quarterbacks become viable streamers each season, making it impractical to rely on a single individual.

Listener Question 2: Half-Point PPR for Wide Receivers

• Timestamp: [12:42 – 15:43]
• Question: Should a league adopt half-point per reception (PPR) for wide receivers while keeping full points for other positions?
• Discussion:
  • Jason: Advises against unique scoring systems that deviate from standard formats, as it complicates advice and rankings from external sources.
  • Andy: Agrees, suggesting that standard scoring facilitates better alignment with available advice and media content.

Listener Question 3: Drafting Multiple Running Backs Early

• Timestamp: [22:27 – 24:42]
• Question: Is it wrong to draft three running backs in the first three rounds?
• Discussion:
  • Andy: Declares it not wrong but unnecessary, recommending flexibility by targeting value running backs in later rounds.
  • Jason: Highlights the advantage of capitalizing on late-round running backs like Rob Kelly and Theo Riddick, who can provide consistent contributions.

Listener Question 4: Best Wide Receiver on a Bad Team

• Timestamp: [26:01 – 31:40]
• Question: Which wide receiver on a bad team will have the most fantasy points in 2017?
• Discussion:
  • Andy: Favors Corey Coleman for his upside and potential, despite health concerns.
  • Jason: Supports Corey Coleman, noting his low ownership rate and high touchdown potential, making him a valuable asset despite associated risks.

Listener Question 5: Bench Spots and Drafting Multiple QBs or TEs

• Timestamp: [34:31 – 36:17]
• Question: Should deep bench spots influence the decision to draft a second quarterback or tight end?
• Discussion:
  • Jason: Recommends focusing on high-value positions like running backs and wide receivers over drafting multiple quarterbacks or tight ends, unless the league structure specifically rewards it.
  • Andy: Adds that stacking elite quarterbacks is advantageous but cautions against overcommitting to positions that don't require multiple starters.

Listener Question 6: Selling High on Antonio Brown in Dynasty Leagues

• Timestamp: [37:22 – 38:41]
• Question: When is the best time to sell high on Antonio Brown, considering Big Ben's potential retirement?
• Discussion:
  • Jason: Suggests selling high mid-season if Brown remains productive, emphasizing the premium value he holds despite potential future uncertainties.
  • Andy: Agrees, highlighting the importance of capitalizing on Brown's current performance while mitigating future risks.

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5. Sponsor Highlights and Promotions

While the episode contains promotional segments for sponsors like Pristine Auction and PlayDraft, these segments are primarily advertising and do not contribute to the episode's core content on fantasy football strategies and insights.

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6. Concluding Remarks

The episode wraps up with the hosts encouraging listeners to engage with their platforms, including their website and social media channels. They also tease upcoming content and episodes, maintaining a connection with their audience and setting the stage for future discussions.

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Notable Quotes with Timestamps

• Jason Moore on Melvin Gordon's Bust Potential:

  "Melvin Gordon is a workhorse. He proved he can do it in the running game, in the passing game" (04:55).

• Jason Moore on Mike Evans' Efficiency:

  "Mike Evans had one top ten performance over the last eight weeks of last year" (06:50).

• Listener Review Highlight:

  "This podcast is the difference between barely making the playoffs and winning the hashtag Foot Clan title" (09:30).

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Key Takeaways

1. Running Backs in Early Rounds: While securing reliable running backs early can provide a strong foundation, flexibility in drafting allows managers to exploit value in later rounds, particularly with emerging talents.

2. Quarterback Streaming: Adopting a streaming strategy for quarterbacks can be effective, especially in standard scoring leagues, but requires active management and flexibility.

3. Scoring Systems: Maintaining standard scoring systems is advisable to align with widely available advice and rankings, ensuring consistency and reliability in draft strategies.

4. Handling Busts and Upside: Identifying potential busts like Melvin Gordon and Mike Evans helps managers mitigate risks, while targeting players with high upside, such as Corey Coleman, can provide significant returns.

5. Bench Management: Prioritizing depth in high-value positions over drafting multiple players in positions like quarterback or tight end can enhance overall team performance.

6. Dynasty League Decisions: Making informed decisions about trading or selling high on marquee players like Antonio Brown can optimize long-term team success in dynasty formats.

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This episode of the Fantasy Footballers podcast offers a blend of strategic insights, risk assessment, and practical advice, empowering fantasy managers to make informed decisions as they prepare for the upcoming season.

Transcript

[Andy Holloway]

Hey, Foot Clan. Welcome to our Saturday edition. It is July. The fantasy football season is nearly upon us, or so we like to believe. And we are here once again, our third episode of the week. Very excited. Thanks for supporting the podcast. Want to tell you about a giveaway we're doing? We're giving away some free stuff. A Ty Hilton jersey, autographed. An autographed Tyreek Hill jersey, an autographed Tevin Coleman jersey, your very own Jay Grizz, and a DFS pass. It is free to enter. There are a number of different ways you can enter and it [e-mail] that's footclangiveaway.com.

[Jason Moore]

Welcome to the fantasy Footballers Podcast coming to you from the Play Draft Studios with your hosts, Andy Holloway, Jason Moore and Mike Wright.

[Andy Holloway]

Welcome into the show. It is Saturday, July 8th.

[Jason Moore]

Everyone is saying that this is going to be the best Saturday podcast ever recorded in 2017 so far.

[Andy Holloway]

Everyone is saying that very long sentence.

[Jason Moore]

All of the people.

[Andy Holloway]

I am Andy Holloway, joined by our grammatical entrepreneur, Jason Moore. And Jay Grizz is here as well. Mike will return on Tuesday of next week. Brooks is manning the ship. Any asteroids in sight? Brooks, do you see anything dangerous?

[Jason Moore]

We're clear.

[Andy Holloway]

We're clear.

[Jason Moore]

Great show.

[Andy Holloway]

Good. Let's start with a quick question. On today's episode of the podcast, this one comes in off of Twitter lanceloot, also named as Austin Allen. What round one ADP player has the biggest chance of being a bust in 2017? So this is the player, player currently being drafted in the first round. So who has the highest odds of being a bus? Because statistically someone's going to bust from.

[Jason Moore]

The several, several players in the first round will bust. It happens every single year. So this is a great question that a lot of times, gun to your.

[Andy Holloway]

Head, who do you have to pick?

[Jason Moore]

Well, let me just say this. If you have your way, Andy Holloway, then I would be able by the end of this fantasy season to say Adrian Peterson will be the bus. Because you, you'll have them all the way up there in the first round. The 101.

[Andy Holloway]

I will not.

[Jason Moore]

But no, I. In the first round, the guy that I would say has the highest potential to bust. For me, I had to pick a running back because just statistically speaking, in the first round, usually running backs bust more than the wide receivers.

[Andy Holloway]

They call that Eddie Lacing.

[Jason Moore]

Yes, they do. And so I went with Melvin Gordon, a guy I like. A guy I bet, you know, high. Look, last year, despite, you know, only playing in 13 games, he finished as the running back seven. So obviously he can get it done. That's great. However, here are a few reasons why I think he has legitimate bust potential. Okay, so first of all, his rookie year, you know, comes out as a highly touted recruit from college and completely disappoints because he gets exactly zero touchdowns through the entire year. Now, that number seemed a little low for the volume he got, but now last year he went from zero to 12 touchdowns in not just 12. 12 touchdowns in 13 games. That was a crazy pendulum swing. And I expect that genuinely to be somewhere more realistic. Somewhere in the middle there, closer to seven, eight, nine touchdowns. Also, you have his efficiency, right? I mean, his rookie year, he was terrible. Three and a half yards of carry. Well, he upped it last year all the way to almost four yards of carry, which is not a good number. Then you have the fact that last year it was this perfect storm. You had Danny Woodhead injured, you had Brandon Oliver gone. Well, Bo is back.

[Andy Holloway]

Bo is a great name for Brandon Oliver, right?

[Jason Moore]

Well, especially if he does what Philip Rivers thinks he can do because he's going to come across as body odor to all the Melvin Gordon owners. This is a quote from Philip Rivers. He says, it's been great having him back. Referring to Bo, Brandon Oliver. Gosh, we really had such high expectations for him going into last year. He looks good, he looks explosive. I know it's early, but I think he is a really great complement to Melvin. Their styles are different, but similar. We have two backs who can run all the same plays. So you add Brandon Oliver in, you get the crazy touchdown numbers to just a normal amount. You still have the inefficient running possibility. And he's being drafted in the first round. So he is my highest likelihood of busting in the first round running backs, even though I'm not calling for a bust.

[Andy Holloway]

I like him, you like him.

[Jason Moore]

He's a workhorse. He proved he can do it in the running game, in the passing game.

[Andy Holloway]

I'm willing to excuse pendulum swings. When you are breaking into the league, I would expect Pendulum swings.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah. I mean, LaShawn McCoy had, you know, didn't do much his rookie year, broke into the league of sophomore year, never looked back.

[Andy Holloway]

I heard this. I don't remember what. Shaw is listening to some Fantasy show on SiriusXM the other day and they were kind of making the argument that Melvin Gordon and Gurley are kind of the inverse. Right. Like Gordon had that first year. They both had the pedigree, they both came out in the same draft class, kind of they were making the point that, okay, the pendulums swung too far on Gurley if he's this generational player. And when he was coming out, everybody said, this is the next Adrian Peterson. But they meant it like it was a justifiable comparison. Whereas rarely that is the case because of Gurley and how he looked and how he performed and how he, how explosive he was in his rookie year. Just how crazy it would be then to swing it all the way to the other direction and say, well, he's done. I don't want him in the second round, I don't want him in the third round. But Gordon, I understand the argument certainly with the inefficiencies. For me, when I Look at round one, it came down to LaShawn McCoy or Mike Evans. If I had to, you know, again, gun to your head, have to pick a first round bust. I went with Mike Evans. Evans had one top ten performance. Okay, this is the guy who's been the, you know, number one wide receiver, one top ten performance over the last eight weeks of last year. You know, part of that fantasy finish that he had was on the heels of a dominant first half that was very volume dependent. The only target in town ended the year with 173 targets. I think it's an impossibility for that number to repeat. I think you're going to lose 20 to 25, 30 targets off of that number this year with Chris Godwin, DeSean Jackson, the return of the running game, maybe with Doug Martin, O.J.

[Jason Moore]

Howard.

[Andy Holloway]

O.J. howard has been added there. And I just, as much as I like Winston, he is an erratic quarterback who makes mistakes, throws interceptions, you know. Will he bust Mike Evans? Probably not. But if you're making me pick somebody from the top 10 ADP, I'm going to go with Evans because I think the expectations are so incredibly high for him that disappointment or bust is a possibility.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah, that's how I've felt, felt about Mike Evans this entire off season. You know, but we do need to, we do need to be careful there because, you know, through, through those last eight weeks, he did not have, you know, those great, you know, first, second wide receiver finishes like we saw through the first half of the year. But over the last eight weeks and half point scoring, he was still the wide receiver nine during that stretch. So it wasn't like he was, you know, pooping his big boy pants on your team.

[Andy Holloway]

And he wouldn't have been able to finish where he finished if he was completely Laying an egg. All right, we told you about foot clangiveaway.com now we want to ask you to head over to FootClan.

[Jason Moore]

Vote.com FootClan assemble.

[Andy Holloway]

The 2017 Podcast Awards are accepting nominations this month. You have to vote. You have to nominate one time only and one time only. And we are, we are listed under the People's Choice as well as the sports and recreation categories for the Podcast Awards. So if you want to support us over there. Takes about, I don't know, 40 seconds to go over there.

[Jason Moore]

You just got to make sure you register and then click the confirmation in your email.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah. And then you're done. Done deal. So easy over and they. I, we know the guy who runs it over there. They don't do anything with your information. It's very secure. So check that out if you want to follow us on Twitter. That our handle is heffballers and the website's thefantasyfootballers.com. all right, before we get into answering listener questions, off season, questions keepers, trades, all that sort of fun stuff, we do want to jump into our reviewasaurus because we like to read reviews from the listeners from time to time. Thanks for reviewing us on itunes. So Jason's going to do it in a very special way.

[Jason Moore]

Review a source, Rex. This one comes in from PNB. He says must listen. Five stars. After playing fantasy football with no championships for 10 years, I started listening to the footballers two years ago and immediately won my first championship in a very competitive 20 team league.

[Andy Holloway]

That's a humongous league.

[Jason Moore]

That is a very competitive league. Fun and easy to listen to. This podcast is the difference between barely making the playoffs and. And winning the hashtag Foot Clan title. Well, PMB Triple O, thanks for the review.

[Andy Holloway]

Very nice.

[Jason Moore]

Congrats on your championship. You did that.

[Andy Holloway]

I would feel a wonderful sense of accomplishment winning a 20 man league.

[Jason Moore]

Oh yeah.

[Andy Holloway]

And then I would remind everybody of my accomplishment all off season long.

[Jason Moore]

Banners made T shirts, trophies.

[Andy Holloway]

All right, let's go ahead and do it. Jason, I'm going to put you on the spot. You've got the mailbag drop today. Now Jay Grizz took care of it earlier this week. Mike isn't back till Tuesday.

[Jason Moore]

Before you hit that drop.

[Andy Holloway]

Uh huh.

[Jason Moore]

I just want to apologize to the people for what's gonna happen.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah, I would apologize for sure. Here we go.

[Jason Moore]

Mailbag. Mailbag. Yeah. Okay.

[Andy Holloway]

You went a different direction.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah, I figure I can't do the Mike primal scream, so I just gotta, I gotta go with it.

[Andy Holloway]

Oh Be me. I did say before the show do whatever you want. And you did.

[Jason Moore]

You did.

[Andy Holloway]

So. All right, if you have a question for the show, head to the website thefantasyfootballers.com click the submit a question button or as you will see in a moment you can leave us a voicemail question at 302464, TFFB and myself, Jason and Mike would be happy to answer it, help you out on the show. All right, we are going to kick it off with a voicemail question. I'm excited. I'm ready. Let's answer some of these.

[Jason Moore]

What's going on, footballers? Tyler from Massachusetts had a quick question you. I'm expecting to be in a couple 10 to 12 man team league and I want to really adopt this streaming quarterback strategy and I want to know who do you guys think this year will be the most dependent on as far as streaming quarterback guys that probably won't be drafted but we'll be looking to a lot in a pinch. Thanks for, thanks for everything, guys. Love the show.

[Andy Holloway]

All right, great question. I mean I love the strategy. I love diving in and heading to the late round quarterback avenue. I'm in the middle of writing an article about late round quarterback strategy and I think it's just one of those ways that you can maximize value in your league. So who do you think the most relied upon streaming quarterbacks will be? When I look at the board and I'm seeing the 15th, 16th, 17th range quarterbacks, I'm seeing names that I love the idea of streaming. Matthew Stafford. Okay, 15th quarterback off the board. Eli, Andy Dalton, tyrod Taylor. Those four, you can go up to 14. You go Philip River. So River, Stafford, Manning, Dalton, Taylor. Those would be my picks.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah. I mean you want to draft a guy that you can hope last the whole season as a starter but when you're streaming, if you talk about the guys that aren't drafted because all those guys will be drafted in almost every league, the truth is when it comes to streaming, there is no one guy you're going to use all the time. Every single year there are more than 40 quarterback ones. And if you think about the fact that there's only 32 teams, that's crazy.

[Andy Holloway]

I don't think Taylor's going to be drafted. Palmer's not going to be drafted.

[Jason Moore]

Palmer might not be.

[Andy Holloway]

Bortles won't be drafted in.

[Jason Moore]

Bortles won't be. Those are great. Tannehill.

[Andy Holloway]

Exactly.

[Jason Moore]

I think Sam Bradford, you're going to have Josh McCown as a streaming starter. Who finishes the week as a number two option. I mean, that's the whole point, is that the guys on the waivers, when they've got the right matchup, they're going to outscore your Drew Brees in a wrong matchup.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah, exactly. So those are names that I would pay attention to. But again, you're going to need to be flexible as opposed to say, hey, these guys are going to be the ones that work out. Because this, you know, Jason brought up Josh McCown. It's going to be dependent on performance and it's going to be dependent on really how these defenses look six weeks into the year. And then all of a sudden you're going, wow, I can start almost any quarterback against X and X defense.

[Jason Moore]

Right.

[Andy Holloway]

All right, half point question from Calum in Sydney. Australia says, hey, guys. Oh, Australia.

[Jason Moore]

Bonjour.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah, that way out there in Bonjour land. Looking at proposing half point per reception for wide receivers and full point for all other positions for my 12 team redraft league. Hoping to get your thoughts. What do you think, Jason?

[Jason Moore]

You know, when it comes to balancing a league, I get the argument with that and it really depends on how you want to play. I would not prefer this. I would prefer to have half point across all positions or full point across all positions or standard. And if I'm being honest as to the reason why, it's because when you get advice, when you are listening to this show or other shows, when you, you know, make rankings, when you find rankings, when you look at average draft positions, they're all going to not assume your unique standard scoring. So there's two different types of players here, right? One is the guy that or gal that's going to make their own rankings, put in their own scoring system, and they're going to take advantage of the fact that they realize Theo Riddick, when he gets a full point per reception, is going to outscore your good wide receivers that are only getting a half point per reception and they'll draft him higher. But if you're not willing to put in all of that work, you know, where you're putting in your scoring system and specific to your rankings. I guess you could download the UDK and change the rankings there. I just, I like, you know, fantasy football is fun and I like when I can hear advice or hear arguments for or against a guy based on kind of what I'm playing in.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah. Yeah. I think generally if you have a league with a very unique or complex scoring system, it really works only in leagues where you can almost Be your own media source for your league where everybody is so driven and committed, almost recording their own podcast for their league. That's about the best environment otherwise. Jason makes a good point. I mean, you want to be able to compare advice that you see elsewhere. And that's one of the best reasons to stay in a more standard format. Let's jump into another voicemail question.

[Jason Moore]

Gentlemen, the fantasy gods have smiled upon us after week four. There is only one week in which both Drew Brees and Ben Roethlisberger are on the road. Huzzah. How far would both Breeze and Roethlisberger have to fall for you to consider a situation in which you would draft them both? I pray for nothing but good tidings upon the Holloway Moor and Wright Holmes. Good day to you all. Wow.

[Andy Holloway]

Well, I love that.

[Jason Moore]

That is great.

[Andy Holloway]

That was fantastic.

[Jason Moore]

And how about that news after week four?

[Andy Holloway]

It feels so important when someone speaks to me like I'm a king or something.

[Jason Moore]

Right. King or a pirate or something.

[Andy Holloway]

Right? No, that was more of a formal like a Knights of the round table.

[Jason Moore]

I'll be honest. Pirate makes no sense there.

[Andy Holloway]

No, it didn't.

[Jason Moore]

Fair enough. Well, so to answer the question, look, if you have Drew Brees and Ben Roethlisberger on your roster, come, you know, week five and you only have one, you know, if they're swip swapping home road games, you're going to do very well at the quarterback position.

[Andy Holloway]

Would you spend a fourth and a seventh round pick on two quarterbacks?

[Jason Moore]

I would never, ever, ever, ever. Unless it's a two quarterback league. Spend a fourth and a seventh on two quarterbacks. You're giving up too much.

[Andy Holloway]

So here's the I got the advice too. If you did that, you'd be like, I'm locked into this strategy no matter what.

[Jason Moore]

I have your solution. Oh, gentleman caller.

[Andy Holloway]

No, no, no, no, no pirates. No gentlemen callers.

[Jason Moore]

I liked that one. All right, here's the solution. Drew Brees and Ben Rosberger, if you.

[Andy Holloway]

Look at their to watch Princess Bride.

[Jason Moore]

A little bit more the first. If you look at the first four weeks, you'll notice that one of the home games for Drew Brees, you know that that locked and loaded, you know you want Drew Brees at home is actually the Patriots and that is. That's a very difficult defense to play against. A lot of times he starts on the road at the Vikings and then at the Panthers. So Drew Brees does not get off to a nice start and he's going to be the more expensive of the Two. So what I would do is I would draft Ben Roethlisberger, who, if you look at his two road games, his two road games in those first four weeks are the Browns and the Bears. Yeah, he might just be able to get it done to start the, you know, to start the year and then go trade for Drew Brees when. When his owner is disappointed.

[Andy Holloway]

Well thought out reply. Other than all of the like gentlemen call attempts to connect to the axis.

[Jason Moore]

I do.

[Andy Holloway]

No Ian and Marblehead. With DeSean Jackson at quarterback, does it make Will Fuller and C.J. fedorowicz more valuable in the later rounds to Sean Watson?

[Jason Moore]

I think he said Jackson.

[Andy Holloway]

Did I say Jackson? Deshaun Watson at quarterback? Well, if DeSean Jackson was at quarterback, then no. And with DeSean Watson at quarterback, I will say no as of today. I mean, it's Tom Savage today, and it will be Watson by week six through ten, and even that.

[Jason Moore]

But if it was going to run.

[Andy Holloway]

A conservative offense, they're going to put him in a position not to. I mean, when's the last time a rookie quarterback had the opportunity to produce massive fantasy numbers coming in midway through the year that didn't involve him running? I mean, even Carson Wentz, who had one of the better rookie years in a while. I think 14 touchdowns, something ridiculous.

[Jason Moore]

Right. If. If Watson is the starter week one, I don't. I don't bump up Will Fuller or Fedorowitz. If you look at what Brock Osweiler was good at, and there wasn't much.

[Andy Holloway]

It was wallpapering.

[Jason Moore]

It was wallpapering targeting tight ends, which all the DeAndre Hopkins owners, you know, hated because, man, C.J. fedorowicz and Ryan Griffin. Yes, they got plenty of targets.

[Andy Holloway]

Griffin's back, by the way.

[Jason Moore]

Right. And then he does have a strong arm. Right. Brock Osweiler can throw a good deep ball. That's what helped Will Fuller those first few weeks. You know what's crazy is if we remember the first four weeks of last year, Will Fuller was the wide receiver. 13. He was. Everyone was like, oh, this is the. You know, this guy's the Future. From weeks five to 17, he was the wide receiver 100.

[Andy Holloway]

Ah. And even 100 cracked right where you want to be.

[Jason Moore]

But no, I don't think Watson's arm strength helps Will Fuller. I don't think his lack of targeting tight ends at the rate that Brock did will benefit either of those gentlemen.

[Andy Holloway]

All right, we're going to jump into another voicemail question. Before we do that, I want to thank the sponsor of today's show, Christine Auction. I was [e-mail] we have lunch with him today, by the way. Great company local out here. I looked at the homepage of Pristine Auction, see what autograph memorabilia was available right on the homepage. A framed Cam Newton jersey, Jerry Rice, Jim Brown, Bo Jackson. There was a. An autographed Tom Brady jersey with eight of his teammates for the Super Bowl.

[Jason Moore]

Do you know what they threw up the other day? Which is crazy with no reserve. No reserve pricing. They threw up a signed framed Wilt Chamberlain jersey.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah. And this is just the tip of the Pristine Auction iceberg because they have not tens, but hundreds of auctions that end every day on autographed memorabilia. There is something for every budget, genuinely. There is something for every team, for every sports fan, for every movie fan, for every entertainment fan. The absolute best authentic gear over at Pristine Auction. So check them out. The address is pristineauction.com P R I S T I N E auction.com and.

[Jason Moore]

Also make sure you check out the Ultimate Draft Kit. That is our baby. Take a look at our group child. You know, the Ultimate Draft Kit. We helped a lot of people win fantasy titles last year. That's what we want to do here. And there is a lot in there. There's Matt Harmon's reception perception. There's all of our premium rankings. There's all of our tiers and our tier based drafting in there. Sleepers, breakouts, busts, all of those plus player profile videos.

[Andy Holloway]

So whoever you want us to drill down to, you can find them right on there.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah, I heard someone saying when they go to, you know, draft a guy, before they do, they just pop on the video of us just describing them and get that affirmation or warning. And you know, there's. There's just a lot of good stuff. So check it out.

[Andy Holloway]

Ultimate DraftKit.com all right, let's jump back into the mailbag. This one's a voicemail question. Hey, guys, Longtime listener, first time caller, welcome, gentlemen. Call.

[Jason Moore]

I've been doing my mock drafts lately and I've been thinking, what is the lowest running back to that I feel comfortable going with into the season? And consistently the answer is basically like Crowell or somebody on that tier. So basically my question is, is it wrong to draft running back, running back.

[Andy Holloway]

Running back the first three rounds of the draft?

[Jason Moore]

It just feels weird. Thanks.

[Andy Holloway]

All right, great question. Is it wrong? No, it's not wrong. However, you don't need to draft three to get a running back to that you necessarily feel comfortable with. You know, Crowell is a third round pick. If you ask me that question, the guy that I'm actually I would be targeting for that running back to spot that will give you flexibility to draft other positions if you want to. Couple of guys. Ty Montgomery I think is interesting as a running back too at the back of the fourth, certainly Mike Gillisle at the top of the fifth is very interesting to me.

[Jason Moore]

Love that.

[Andy Holloway]

And then I, I really wouldn't mind doing something like Dalvin Cook at the back of the fifth and then pairing him with another rookie later in the draft, maybe even with a guy like CJ Pro Size who's going in the 11th. If I could pair a rookie with another PPR contributor later, assuming half point or full point PPR, that's about where my comfort level would be.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah, get a late feel. Riddick. One of the things you'll notice this year in average draft position is that the top running backs are going as early as they have gone in recent memory. I mean they are all being drafted very, very high.

[Andy Holloway]

It's about time.

[Jason Moore]

Then there's this huge gap where you know, the later running backs, they're being drafted later than ever. So there is value to be had in those late rounds with running backs. I mean, you know Rob Kelly is in the eighth round, right. You know Theo Riddick is in the 10th round. These are guys that will be contributing week in and week out. So I think you, you have the opportunity where maybe you don't love your RB2, you know, to the moon, but you've got a couple guys on your bench that you're going to be able to figure out that RB2 spot, no problem.

[Andy Holloway]

I'm going to tell you something, Jason.

[Jason Moore]

I'm going to listen.

[Andy Holloway]

I'm going to ruin somebody's ADP over the next two weeks. I'm going to ruin it. And his name is Jonathan Stewart. He's a ninth round draft pick. It's in the middle of the ninth round.

[Jason Moore]

So you're not ruining it.

[Andy Holloway]

I'm going to ruin it in the sense that he's going up. Yeah, I'm going to ruin it for me. I'm going to ruin it for everybody who wants to draft him because I'm going to talk about him too much. We have a show coming up next week called Old Bland and Undervalued. We're going to talk about some of these forgotten players. Jonathan Stewart is smack dab in the middle of that conversation. Ninth round pick, starting running back for the Carolina Panthers. That is the current state of affairs. But Nobody wants to draft him. And you talk about being comfortable. If I could grab Dalvin Cook and Jonathan Stewart and figure out my running back two, I might end up with an RB2 and a Flex out of that situation. So a lot of options. But great question, Appreciate it. James has a question. Which wide receiver on a bad team will have the most Fantasy Points in 2017? So what wide receiver on a bad team will have the most Fantasy Points in 2017? It happens every year, obviously. Passing volume, the famous garbage time. Who's the garbage man?

[Jason Moore]

Well, then he, he provided a few. I don't know if he wanted.

[Andy Holloway]

Oh, these. Are these from him?

[Jason Moore]

Yeah.

[Andy Holloway]

Oh. So he, he proposed Cameron Meredith, Quincy Anunuwa, Corey Coleman or Robert Woods.

[Jason Moore]

Which one? I got my pick.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah. I'm going to say. And I have them back to back right now. I'm going to go with Corey Coleman. I saw what Pryor was able to produce as the one. I think Coleman is the one talent wise. He just has to be healthy. I have him and woods back to back. I'm going to say Coleman right now.

[Jason Moore]

Here's a funny stat that will make sure that you realize that stats can say absolutely anything you want them to. Did you know, Andy, that through the first eight weeks of the season, we're talking the first half of the season, there were three wide receivers tied in third place for fantasy points scored per game. Julio Jones, Antonio Brown and Corey Coleman.

[Andy Holloway]

I did know that. You told me yesterday.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah. It's just funny because he only played two games. One of those games was a monstrous blow.

[Andy Holloway]

So therefore his points per game.

[Jason Moore]

His points per game looked great. But my, my point in all that.

[Andy Holloway]

Jargon, does that mean he's your answer?

[Jason Moore]

He is definitely my answer. I think the upside of Corey Coleman with Terrell Pryor leaving his. His talent was shown in that week too, where he can get down for the, you know, the 31 yard touchdown, no problem.

[Andy Holloway]

Right now he's, he's scaring me because he's starting to feel like devonte Parker with the injury concerns.

[Jason Moore]

I agree.

[Andy Holloway]

You don't. Is he not taking something seriously? And I don't want to you, you know, like disparage Corey Coleman, but when you're injured and you're injured in the different kind of variety of subtle ways with soft tissue issues, you just worry about conditioning. Devonte Parker came out later and said, hey, I didn't take this eating and thing seriously my first two years. I'm going to do that now.

[Jason Moore]

There's no veteran presence there to Teach Corey Coleman when you're on the Browns. And so I've moved Corey Coleman down in my rankings because of exactly what you're talking about.

[Andy Holloway]

I don't want him to learn from Kenny Britt. I saw him on Hard Knocks flipping a golf cart.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah, yeah.

[Andy Holloway]

He's not a veteran presence.

[Jason Moore]

He is a very large child.

[Andy Holloway]

Large child. Big boy.

[Jason Moore]

But, yeah. So, you know, I do worry about Corey Coleman. He's got risk, but he, he has an upside that the other guys, in my opinion, don't have.

[Andy Holloway]

Dickerson in Tampa says Dynasty 2 quarterback super flex league with full PPR. Should he consider trading Zeke Elliott for Joe Mixon and Alan Robinson? I wouldn't.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah, I wouldn't either at all.

[Andy Holloway]

No, I'm not.

[Jason Moore]

I'm not tempted by that. Zeke is a true elite known difference maker.

[Andy Holloway]

What if it said Joe Mixon and Julio Jones? Well, then sure, yeah, exactly. The problem to me doesn't I need. With Mixon's upside, it sits with the other piece that isn't guaranteed. They're both not guaranteed.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah, they're both not guaranteed. But for me, as a general rule, as a strategy in redraft leagues, there are very few true elite stud difference makers. I'm not talking about, you know, the guys that are good. I'm talking about the. Basically the top six draft picks right now in the draft. You got your Zeke, David Johnson, Love Bell, and you got Antonio Brown, Julio and Odell Beckham. If I've got one of those guys, if I trade them, I want another guy like that in that trade.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah, it's not worth it. Not worth it. I mean, we see that in our dynasty league. It's hard to pry those guys away. And I would need more. I would need a lot more. All right, King, now here's the actual King. King in Houston. How do you guys feel about LeGarrett Blunt's production? Do you see him as a high end number two? What do you think?

[Jason Moore]

No, I don't. I don't see him as a high end number two. Could he finish there? Sure. Maybe a low end number two I think is more realistic. Here's what LeGarrett blunt is. LeGarrett blunt was opportunity last year. I mean, he was in our ultimate draft kit last year as, you know, a great sleeper because people were, you know, just hating on LeGarrett blunt and we're like, he's, he's got this great opportunity right now with the Patriots and he scored 18 touchdowns.

[Andy Holloway]

That's 18 more than you had last.

[Jason Moore]

Year eight, just barely 18 touchdowns. Here's what's the craziest though. The guy scored 18 touchdowns last year and there were seven times that he was not a top 20 running back. So you had a lot of times where he's not really helping you out. And that was on the Patriots scoring 18 touchdowns. I realize you know that Ryan Matthews, he had eight touchdowns and limited work. They're going to give him the opportunity to score touchdowns, but what does he get? 10. If he gets 10 touchdowns, that would be incredible. That would be great. You're probably going to pay off where you draft him, but even then, the rest of his volume, he's not involved in the passing game hardly at all. He's going to have more duds. You're really reliant on the touchdown with LeGarrett Blunt. I like him better in a best ball league where you're just waiting for those games where he scores and you don't have to worry about the games where he doesn't.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah. And even though he had such an incredible year, the stat you just brought up points out the problem we've had with starting Patriots running backs in general. There is an inconsistency to the game plan and you don't necessarily get to lock and load a guy. And that question still exists for guys like Mike Gillislee, Rex Burkhead, Dion Lewis, James White's production. I think White's probably the safest.

[Jason Moore]

See where Blunt is being drafted right now.

[Andy Holloway]

Blunt, he's being drafted in like the fourth.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah. Wow.

[Andy Holloway]

Too high.

[Jason Moore]

I agree. I was, I was actually thinking I wanted to pull that up so I could say he's probably being underdrafted still though. But nope, sorry. No good news for Legarre Blunt.

[Andy Holloway]

All right, Rick wants to know what if you're in a six point touchdown for quarterback league? Would that change your opinion on waiting on quarterbacks?

[Jason Moore]

Great.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah. Great question.

[Jason Moore]

We get this question many times every year. It does not in any way shape or form change. In fact, every league we play in is six points per quarterback. What actually happens there? You know, the reason we value or devalue the quarterback position is what we referred to earlier in the episode, the streaming options where you just play off of the waiver wire. We will make picks all year long where we just look at guys that aren't owned at every week and say, you know, they're less than 50% owned on ESPN. Start this guy this week. We did that a couple. You know, I think we finished as the quarterback six overall. If you had played the guys off streamers.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah.

[Jason Moore]

But here's what happens in six quarterback point per touchdown leagues. You would think that you would end up with, you know, a bigger gap between the better and the worse. But what happens is the worst quarterbacks actually have more finishes inside the top 12. And shout out to JJ Zacharyssen for enlightening me on that one. So no, it's opposite of what you think.

[Andy Holloway]

All right. Dylan in Tennessee wants to know, says that him and his friend have a bet on who would have more yards this year. Hope it's a water bet. What is your opinion? More yards. Michael Thomas, Odell Beckham Jr. Michael Thomas.

[Jason Moore]

Or Odell Beckham Jr. More yards.

[Andy Holloway]

I'll take Odell Beckham Jr. Yeah, I'm.

[Jason Moore]

Going to default to Odell Beckham Jr. And if you want to know exactly, I have Michael Thomas down for 1200 yards and Odell Beckham Jr down for 1485 yards. So even though I have plenty of.

[Andy Holloway]

Love, Beckham was 1450 in 2015. He was 1367 last year. That is where he will be. So yeah, I've got a lot of love for asking a lot for Michael Thomas.

[Jason Moore]

You gonna lose that bet?

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah. All right. Benjamin off of Twitter says can you discuss the importance of bench spots in relation to drafting a second quarterback or tight end? Isn't it better to draft a late round upside running back wide receiver and grab a waiver wire upside, I guess in those other positions through the first few weeks. Certainly if the bench is very deep, then you are afforded more opportunity to pick a quarterback that you believe will bust out and play the rotation. Basically stream off of your own bench if you have a super deep different league. A lot of leagues have four or five bench spots, maybe one IR spot. And so yes, it is better to have those more high value positions that you have to start more of than the two positions that you don't start more than one of.

[Jason Moore]

Right. I mean I, you know, when it comes to, you're right. If you've got a deeper league or let's say your league always, every single team, without question is rostering two quarterbacks. Some are rostering three quarterbacks. Then maybe, you know, if there's an opportunity late, I might take a second quarterback. Or if it's, you know, a deeper bench, I will never, I don't think there is really a situation where I will draft two tight ends.

[Andy Holloway]

There's one situation and it was popping into my head. The only time I've ever taken another tight end is if it's A tight end starting the year on the injured reserve that I know is going to return.

[Jason Moore]

Like if you've got Gronk, like when.

[Andy Holloway]

Gates was suspended last year and I was willing to hold on to him for four year, four weeks or something like that, but almost no situation.

[Jason Moore]

Right. I mean, two tight ends, you're wasting, you're completely wasting your, your bench spot. Great logic from, from the writer that, that wrote in. I want to jump in. I see a lot of people ask, well, what about if I get two of the elite tight ends? Doesn't it make sense to flex? Always flex one if you got two of the elite tight ends.

[Andy Holloway]

I mean, what, Gronkowski and Reed?

[Jason Moore]

Yeah. So let's say you got Gronk, Gronk and Reed. Now you've made a roster composition problem. Unless you're in the Scott Fishbowl league where Titans outscore wide receivers. Because what you have done is you have given up two of your first four or maybe five rounds to not running backs and wide receivers.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah. You've drafted your flex above positions that you need to start 2 and 3 of.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah. Multiples of you've hurt your team.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah. If you end up in that situation, if you end up in that situation organically through trade and things like that, sure you should flex Jordan Reed because he's going to, you know, be a better performer than a number of wide receiver options. All right. Chris. In London, England.

[Jason Moore]

Oh, bonjour.

[Andy Holloway]

Hey guys, Great show. I'm in a two quarterback old school standard scoring league. Your recent two quarterback mop mop, also known as a mock, was very helpful, but in my league, quarterbacks are generally drafted later than normal.

[Jason Moore]

Great.

[Andy Holloway]

Is there value in stacking elite quarterbacks early in that situation? I would say the answer is yeah. Because what that means if they're drafted later, is that you're going to get that second quarterback option later than you could normally.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah.

[Andy Holloway]

So I would think that it would be a severe advantage if you could stack Rogers in the second with Luck in the fourth.

[Jason Moore]

Well, and that's, that's what we need to be clear on. Because if, if that just means you're getting good value on them, then yes. If it means going to just spend my first two picks on those two guys, then you know, you're not playing to the fact that your league drafts quarterbacks late. Use that. And if you're, if you're drafting based on tiers, then that'll take care of it. It doesn't matter what round, it just matters how many guys are left in each tier, and you'll do fine.

[Andy Holloway]

All right, we're going to close on this question from Joe off of Twitter. Interesting one. What is the best time to sell high on Antonio Brown, given Big Ben's potential retirement? He is coming from a dynasty PPR perspective. I think it's a great question. I'm not sure that I know the right answer for you, but I'm willing to talk about it.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah. Well, I brought this up yesterday on the footcast show over at Join the Foot, that I am an Antonio Brown dynasty owner.

[Andy Holloway]

Yes, you are. You have this decision.

[Jason Moore]

Fully convinced that Big Ben will be playing his last year, this year.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah.

[Jason Moore]

And while Antonio Brown is not going to die, he's going to be, you know, he's going to play.

[Andy Holloway]

Everybody dies and.

[Jason Moore]

Well, I guess not everybody lives. Oh, good movie. No, but the point is, he'll. He'll still be a relevant, productive wide receiver for whatever quarterback comes in, but he won't be the number one Antonio Brown. You know, we saw this with Larry Fitzgerald when he lost, you know.

[Andy Holloway]

Yeah. Nobody doubts Larry Fitzgerald's a Hall of Famer.

[Jason Moore]

Right.

[Andy Holloway]

So you did see a Hall of Famer have their production slashed.

[Jason Moore]

Right. Until they got Carson Palmer back.

[Andy Holloway]

So, I mean, I do trust Pittsburgh to find themselves a quarterback more than another franchise.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah, they've. They've been trying. I feel like they've failed quite a bit. But you could be right, you know, I don't know when that time is. You got to look at your league's trade deadlines, if you have one, and decide. But I will say this. You got to get a premium because he's still Antonio Brown. He's the best in the business. And if you can get a premium for what he is, you know, halfway through the season, then pull the trigger. If you can't keep him, you're not going to be sad that you have him.

[Andy Holloway]

That's a good answer. All right, well done, Jay Grizz, anything to add to this Saturday episode? Okay, yeah, that makes sense. You want to get back to it? I got you. All right, that is it. Brooks, you doing well? You ready to sign off? Yeah. All right, we're done here. Tuesday, Mike will be back. Jay Gris, sorry you're on the sidelines. Great shows ahead next week. Make sure you check out the various URLs we gave you earlier. FootClanVote.com and FootClangiveAway.com. check those out.

[Jason Moore]

Join the Foot.com yeah. And the Fantasy Footballers.com. just go and YouTube.com the Fantasy Footballers.

[Andy Holloway]

We are trying to buy up the Internet. We just one domain at a time.

[Jason Moore]

Well, the one we don't, we don't have. Go to playdraft.comballers, our studio sponsor. If you haven't been playing over there.

[Andy Holloway]

I hope somebody has like eight to eight to ten windows open right now and they've been typing every URL.

[Jason Moore]

Yeah, they're smart. You're doing it right.

[Andy Holloway]

But check out playdraft.com ballers. Play some best ball leagues with us. We'll talk to you next week.

[Jason Moore]

Thank you for listening to another episode of the Fantasy Footballers podcast. Join our Fantasy Footballers football community on jointhefoot.com and follow us on Twitter @the ffballers.