Podcast Summary: Fantasy Footballers - RB Rankings Part Two + Bag O' Money, Time After Time
Episode Overview In this episode of the Fantasy Footballers podcast, hosts Andy Holloway, Jason Moore, and Mike "The Fantasy Hitman" Wright delve into the second part of their running back (RB) rankings, covering positions 11 through 20. The discussion offers in-depth analysis of each player’s fantasy potential, addressing factors such as opportunity, usage, health, and team dynamics. Additionally, the hosts touch upon recent NFL news impacting RB values and provide strategic insights for fantasy managers navigating their drafts.
Washington Football Team RB Situation
Key Players Discussed: Antonio Gibson, Adrian Peterson, Peyton Barber, Bryce Love, JD McKissick
The episode begins with a focus on the Washington Football Team's running back room, highlighting the recent release of Darius Geist due to off-field issues. This situation has significant fantasy implications, particularly concerning Antonio Gibson's role and upside.
- Antonio Gibson:
- Andy Holloway emphasizes, “He doesn’t need to be the guy to be the highest scoring Fantasy output at the position for Washington” ([05:29]).
- Jason Moore adds, “I'm excited. There's nothing that could happen better for him than the presumed starter to be completely out of the way” ([07:02]).
- Mike Wright supports Gibson’s potential despite Geist’s release, stating, “I believe that Antonio Gibson has the talent to get to become ... the 1A running back” ([09:19]).
Analysis: The hosts agree that while Gibson displays immense talent, his fantasy value is contingent on his opportunity within a deep RB committee. They caution against overvaluing him prematurely, advising managers to monitor camp developments before drafting him at higher positions.
Nick Chubb - RB12
Key Highlights:
- Andy Holloway praises Chubb as “one of the best pure runners in all of football” but notes concerns regarding his touchdown efficiency ([26:12]).
- Jason Moore compares Chubb to Lamar Miller, suggesting his workload will likely sustain his high performance ([24:53]).
- Mike Wright is optimistic, highlighting improvements in the Cleveland Browns’ offensive line under Coach Kevin Stefanski, which should favor Chubb’s usage ([28:43]).
Analysis: Chubb remains a high-value RB due to his consistent workload and elite running ability. Despite some concerns about touchdown production, his overall efficiency and role in the offense make him a reliable pick for fantasy managers.
Joe Mixon - RB13
Key Highlights:
- Andy Holloway reflects on Mixon's split performance last season, where he was productive in the latter half while also being a target in the passing game ([32:19]).
- Jason Moore views Mixon as a low-end RB1 with doubts about his consistency and the Browns’ quarterback situation ([35:21]).
- Mike Wright believes Mixon will remain the workhorse back despite potential fluctuations in usage ([36:14]).
Analysis: Mixon is seen as a talented RB with RB1 upside, primarily dependent on the Browns’ offensive stability and his ability to stay healthy. Managers are advised to consider Mixon as a solid mid-round pick with potential for high returns.
Austin Ekeler - RB14
Key Highlights:
- Andy Holloway discusses Ekeler’s dual-threat as a rusher and receiver but raises concerns about his workload in a likely three-back system ([36:30]).
- Jason Moore appreciates Ekeler’s receiving skills, labeling him “awesome Echler” but remains cautious about his role as RB1 ([40:03]).
- Mike Wright underscores Ekeler’s versatility, emphasizing his reception yardage as a critical fantasy asset ([40:21]).
Analysis: Ekeler is valued for his pass-catching prowess, making him a valuable RB2 or flex option in PPR leagues. However, his RB1 potential is moderated by uncertainty regarding his rushing workload, necessitating careful consideration based on league format and draft strategy.
David Johnson - RB15
Key Highlights:
- Andy Holloway acknowledges Johnson’s reclaiming role in Houston’s offense but remains skeptical about his rushing efficiency ([43:29]).
- Jason Moore criticizes Johnson’s inconsistency, labeling him a draft value but not a reliable RB1 ([43:53]).
- Mike Wright points out the competition for carries in Houston, doubting Johnson’s ability to secure a top-tier fantasy position ([45:00]).
Analysis: Johnson is positioned as a risky pick with potential upside in a new offensive system. Fantasy managers should approach him as a high-risk, high-reward option, weighing his pass-catching ability against uncertain rushing opportunities.
Le'Veon Bell - RB16
Key Highlights:
- Jason Moore advocates Bell as a low floor, low ceiling option with significant receiving targets ([48:34]).
- Mike Wright supports Bell's potential as an RB1, contingent on a favorable role in the Jets' offense ([50:40]).
- Andy Holloway recognizes Bell’s passing role but remains cautious about his scoring consistency ([50:07]).
Analysis: Bell is considered a rebound candidate who could deliver fantasy value if his role in the Jets' offense is substantial. His receiving involvement makes him an appealing RB2 option, though his touchdown dependency remains a concern.
Chris Carson - RB17
Key Highlights:
- Mike Wright expresses confidence in Carson’s health and role, anticipating his ranking to rise once confirmed ([51:11]).
- Jason Moore emphasizes Carson’s stability and productivity, suggesting he should be prioritized over other question-mark RBs ([52:00]).
- Andy Holloway highlights Carson’s potential if he starts week one, but notes his current lower ranking due to uncertainty ([51:24]).
Analysis: Carson is viewed as a valuable pick if health concerns are alleviated. His established role in the Seahawks' offense positions him as a strong RB2 with potential to climb in rankings based on preseason developments.
Melvin Gordon - RB18
Key Highlights:
- Mike Wright questions Gordon’s efficiency despite his potential workload ([54:31]).
- Andy Holloway notes Gordon’s dual-threat capability but remains wary of his touchdown production ([55:41]).
- Jason Moore discusses Gordon’s transition to a new team, expressing uncertainty about his pass-catching role ([56:32]).
Analysis: Gordon presents as a high-variance pick with the ability to produce in both rushing and receiving. Fantasy managers should monitor his integration into the Chargers' offense and his utilization in the passing game before drafting him.
Todd Gurley - RB19 & James Conner - RB20
Key Highlights:
- Mike Wright dismisses Gurley as a bust, aligning with previous sentiments ([59:21]).
- Jason Moore contends that Gurley remains valuable due to his pass-catching skills despite Mike’s skepticism ([60:14]).
- Andy Holloway is critical of Gurley’s efficiency and longevity as a fantasy asset ([59:38]).
Analysis: Gurley is largely viewed as a risky pick with limited upside, primarily relying on his receiving ability. Conner, meanwhile, is praised for his talent but marred by injury concerns. Both players are recommended as speculative picks for deeper leagues or as roster additions rather than primary starters.
Strategic Insights & Conclusions
Throughout the episode, the hosts offer strategic advice for drafting RBs:
- Monitor Opportunities: Players like Antonio Gibson and Chris Carson require attentiveness to their preseason roles and usage.
- Assess Team Dynamics: Understanding offensive schemes and coaching philosophies is crucial in evaluating RB potential.
- Balance Risk & Reward: Diversifying RB picks with a mix of high-upside and stable options can mitigate risks associated with injuries and role uncertainties.
Notable Quote:
Jason Moore: “I'm going to temper expectations and be realistic with what is actually going to happen with the Washington football team backfield. This isn't going to be the Antonio Gibson Show Week 1. He's just the starter.” ([07:02])
Final Takeaway: The RB rankings from 11 to 20 present a mix of high-potential young backs and experienced veterans whose fantasy value is influenced by team dynamics, health, and usage. Fantasy managers are encouraged to stay informed on preseason developments and adopt a flexible draft strategy to optimize their rosters.
Timestamp Reference: All timestamps correspond to the format (MM:SS) and indicate the approximate point in the episode where each topic or quote occurs.
