Fantasy Footballers Podcast Summary
Episode: The Overreaction Episode + AB News, Free Agency Updates
Release Date: March 12, 2019
Hosts: Andy Holloway, Jason Moore, Mike "The Fantasy Hitman" Wright

1. Episode Introduction

The Fantasy Footballers kicked off the episode with enthusiasm, highlighting the rapid developments in the free agency landscape. Mike Wright emphasized the constant influx of free agent signings, stating, "Every moment that goes by, another free agent signing to be is announced on Twitter." [01:16]

2. Free Agency Updates

a. Antonio Brown's Move to the Raiders

A significant portion of the episode was dedicated to Antonio Brown's trade to the Oakland Raiders. The hosts debated whether Brown would surpass JuJu Smith-Schuster in fantasy value.

• Jason Moore lauded the Ultimate Draft Kit, promoting it as an essential tool for fantasy players, complete with sleepers, busts, injury updates, and full projections. [00:04]

• Mike Wright pointed out Brown's potential impact, mentioning, "Antonio Brown… he's going to be a top five tight end next year." [03:05]

b. Case Keenum to the Redskins

Case Keenum was traded to the Washington Redskins for minimal returns. The discussion centered on whether Keenum would secure the starting quarterback position over Colt McCoy.

• Andy Holloway speculated, "I think Case Keenum ends up the starter for 16 games with Washington." [11:25]

c. Running Back Contracts

The episode touched on the Kansas City Chiefs signing Carlos Hyde and the implications for Damian Williams.

• Mike Wright analyzed the Chiefs' running back situation, stating, "I never thought Damian Williams was a 1. I have him around probably RB 15 through 18." [12:15]

• Brooks countered, asserting, "I think Damian Williams is locked in as a running back." [13:19]

d. Other Free Agency News

• Frank Gore's one-year deal with the Buffalo Bills was discussed, highlighting his longevity in the NFL. [15:34]

• Danny Amendola's signing with Detroit was mentioned, with Mike Wright noting, "Danny Amendola, best case scenario for him. They need a slot receiver." [16:06]

3. Main Topic: The Overreaction Episode

The core of the episode revolved around identifying and analyzing players who have been subject to overreactions—either overly positive or negative—in the fantasy football community.

a. Antonio Brown vs. JuJu Smith-Schuster

The hosts debated whether drafting Antonio Brown over JuJu Smith-Schuster was an overreaction.

• Brooks favored Brown, citing his extensive experience and target volume: "Antonio Brown, the target volume. Yes, he's a little bit older… he was still in most scoring formats, the number two wide receiver in fantasy football last year." [08:16]

• Mike Wright expressed skepticism about JuJu being overhyped, stating, "JuJu is a hashtag player… he's not going to be able to move outside and do that. He's going to face completely different coverages." [24:52]

• Andy Holloway supported JuJu, emphasizing his potential increase in targets and red-zone opportunities: "Juju is one of the most dominant wide receivers in the league who is at an age where he is only getting better." [28:33]

Conclusion: The hosts recognized varying perspectives on Brown and JuJu, ultimately presenting both as viable options depending on team strategy and draft position.

b. Devonta Freeman

Devonta Freeman was highlighted as a player being written off too early.

• Brooks argued against Freeman's declining draft position, noting his age and potential resurgence: "It's absolutely outrageous to me that a guy who's just a couple years removed from being an absolute dominant force in fantasy football is being drafted there like he's being written off." [38:38]

• Mike Wright emphasized Freeman's role in a revamped Falcons offense: "Devonta Freeman could be put in a position where maybe you've had some bad fortune. Tevin Coleman's cleared the way. Even if he was in a timeshare role and an offense that was very good, that's enough." [39:38]

c. Adam Thielen

Adam Thielen was discussed as an overreaction candidate due to his fluctuating performance.

• Mike Wright critiqued the overreaction to Thielen's decline, attributing it to offensive line issues rather than his abilities: "I think the overreaction has been staunch. It's been big. People were burned by him. People have scars from the playoff run." [41:07]

• Andy Holloway agreed, asserting Thielen's continued dominance: "Adam Thielen is just a dominant wide receiver in his prime. So I'm just going to trust that he's great because he's been great and will continue to be great." [44:47]

d. Carson Wentz

Carson Wentz was examined as a player who shouldn't be overreacted against despite a challenging season.

• Andy Holloway defended Wentz's efficiency and potential: "Carson Wentz was pretty darn good. I mean, right now, in the best ball ADPs that I checked, he's going as the quarterback 13 or 15." [46:20]

• Mike Wright highlighted Wentz's strengths, especially his touchdown-to-interception ratio: "The biggest problem with Carson Wentz is on the ground, right? But he has a great touchdown throw. He's an efficient quarterback." [48:45]

4. Other Player Updates

The hosts briefly touched upon other player movements and signings, including:

• DeSean Jackson leaving the Broncos and his potential impact on the Tampa Bay offense.

• Jameson Crowder's move to the Jets and its implications for Robbie Anderson and Quincy Enunwa.

5. Conclusions and Recommendations

The Fantasy Footballers concluded the episode by reinforcing the importance of not overreacting to short-term performances and focusing on long-term consistency and potential.

• Mike Wright encouraged listeners to utilize the Ultimate Draft Kit for comprehensive analysis: "Ultimate Draft Kit is the only wingman you'll need this year." [00:04]

• Andy Holloway and Brooks urged fantasy managers to trust in players' proven abilities and not be swayed by temporary setbacks or hype.

Notable Quotes

• Mike Wright: "Antonio Brown is going to have Derek Carr under his little finger and he's going to get the 160 targets." [33:33]

• Brooks: "It's absolutely outrageous to me that a guy who's just a couple years removed from being an absolute dominant force in fantasy football is being drafted there." [38:38]

• Andy Holloway: "Adam Thielen is just a dominant wide receiver in his prime. So I'm just going to trust that he's great because he's been great and will continue to be great." [44:47]

Final Thoughts

This episode offered insightful analyses on key free agency moves and delved deep into understanding and identifying overreactions in fantasy football. By balancing enthusiasm with critical evaluation, the Fantasy Footballers provided valuable guidance to help listeners make informed decisions for their fantasy teams.

For more detailed discussions and updates, listeners are encouraged to follow the Fantasy Footballers on Twitter @the_ffballers and visit their website at jointhefoot.com.