
The TRUTH: RBs Part 2 + Late Round Hits - Fantasy Football Podcast for 1/28
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Andy Holloway
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Jason Moore
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Mike Wright
Welcome to the Fantasy Footballers Podcast with your hosts, Andy Holloway, Jason Moore and Mike Wright.
Jason Moore
Welcome in. Pack it up.
Mike Wright
We're done.
Andy Holloway
Pack it up.
Jason Moore
Yeah, we're done. Pack it in.
Mike Wright
Oh no, man. No, I disagree with you.
Andy Holloway
Are you talking about the season like we're all we're good here. It's a wrap.
Mike Wright
I think Andy is disappointed in the super bowl outcome of who's playing it. Is that what. Is that what the take is?
Jason Moore
Tongue in cheek. Yes. I'm not, actually. I mean, when it arrives, it will be an event. We're watching history and, you know, that's what will be on TV that day.
Mike Wright
I get it. I think everyone in the world, you know, you're always rooting for the underdog. No one's rooting for the Chiefs this last weekend. Unless you're from Kansas City or you're wearing a Kansas City Chiefs hat. No one was rooting for them. And I. And I think on the. On the other side, everyone was rooting for Jaden Daniels and the Cinderella story of the commander. So I totally get that. But I think people are really missing the fact that I think the two best teams are in the super bowl and they're both incredibly awesome teams. And it's a rematch from a couple years ago. There's a lot of storylines I actually like about this.
Jason Moore
I could tell that was the angle you were going to take on the show today. You want to know why?
Mike Wright
Tell me.
Jason Moore
Because you're the only person in our live game, Slack Channel, that didn't think Josh Allen got the first down. So I knew. I knew we were coming in here.
Andy Holloway
I didn't think you got it either.
Jason Moore
I knew we were coming in here and you would be.
Mike Wright
You know, I mean, make no mistake, I was rooting for the Bills. I was very upset with a lot of the play calling. The constant failures on the single tush push there is taking James Cook out of the game way too often.
Jason Moore
Yeah. And I think that was blitz pickup stuff. And I agree with you on the take. I saw you tweet that. I do feel a sense we have a responsibility. I want to get this. I want to get this off on the right track. I want to put. I want to put the fandom of the NFL, the average NFL fan, on the right pathway here, which is not to focus on. Did they get the first down or this play, did it hit the ground or any of those. I mean, yes, there were some bad calls, in my opinion. There were some bad calls. Game was still a great game. Big play still had to happen. Two third downs and had to happen at the end of the game, which Andy Reid is just unstoppable on those. You know what makes the Chiefs more irritating is that they don't mess them up.
Mike Wright
Right.
Jason Moore
And that's what comes down to Mahomes Like Smajay P. Ryan for the, for the third down line to gain in the game instead of giving us a minute with Josh Allen. He hadn't played in the game. Can you drop it? What if you drop.
Mike Wright
What if you screwed up?
Jason Moore
What if the Chief screw up? What if they had a player like Dalton Kincaid, they had the ball go right through, hit their hands and it.
Mike Wright
Doesn'T, it doesn't have to be, you know, someone that has been a failure like Dalton Kincaid. Like you've seen, you've seen Saquon Barkley have a couple of those mess ups this year and drop the importance. Mark Andrews, a great player like screw up Casey, nobody screws up there. But you know what's funny is like Mahomes is really, really good. And we can complain about the calls, we could complain about the short area passing versus his heyday of airing it out. But it's like, put him aside. Andy Reid is so good. Like Mahomes did nothing great on that third down. I was watching the play, I'm rooting against the Chiefs. I see the whole play develop. The entire offense goes to the right and there's P. Ryan just leaking out hidden. No one could see him wide open. And you're like, that is such a good design.
Jason Moore
And on the play where Kincaid drops the miracle throw from Josh Allen, the fade away jumper from the back right corner, look, he had Shakir on the same P. Ryan play on the left side of the field wide open. That could have been the read. It's funny because you said, okay, give Andy Reid credit, give Mahomes credit. They deserve a lot of credit. What's crazy though is it was the supporting cast. It's the Spagnola. It's the defensive side of the ball. Josh Allen has played in, in his three games against the Chiefs in the playoffs, he hasn't thrown an interception, he hasn't fumbled the football. He has nine touchdowns. He's done literally everything you can do. But you can't stop the Chiefs with 13 seconds left two years ago. You can't stop the Chiefs on third down twice on the final drive.
Mike Wright
He is as an Arizona native, as an Arizona native, I have always thought, and I think statistically speaking, across the major sports, and I don't count baseball on that, we are, we are the saddest fan base. Like we've had winning franchises, we've never won anything of relevance. The Cardinals have never won a Super Bowl. They never will. The Suns have never won the championship. They never will. But we got nothing on the Bills I feel so bad for the Bills fans who have. I mean, they just, they, they. They root through the bad times, through the good times, and they've had so many good times that will never, ever result in the championship. I feel it's just. It's so sad.
Jason Moore
One team wins every year. Everybody else failed.
Andy Holloway
They still failed.
Jason Moore
Everybody else screwed it up.
Mike Wright
You mean the Chiefs.
Jason Moore
The Chiefs win every year.
Andy Holloway
So I agree. It's kind of. It's boring in terms of fatigue. Like the two teams that are there. But looking it up because I was like, I don't know of. Because this is a game of not just this year. Like, that's how I'm going to try and look at this game in my brain. Like, this is a game. This is a legacy. This is greatness of. You either have the three Pete from Mahomes, which. That will be a. It's never been done. And that will be. Even if he doesn't catch Tom Brady.
Jason Moore
Like, that'll be its own market. If you're like, yeah, it's his own.
Andy Holloway
That guy got three in a row. And it would be what, four and five years, something like that. You're like, maybe he's. We. Maybe we can just call it, say, that's the greatest of all time. And then on the other side, there's one quarterback who has two super bowl victories, at least my quick research while you guys were talking. Kyle, you can correct me if you know, there's only one quarterback in the super bowl era who has two super bowl wins and is not in the hall of Fame. I mean, like, would Eli's. We still have time to go for him to see if he gets in or not. But like, Jim Plunkett has two super bowl wins with the Raiders and no hall of Fame. Am I right on that, Kyle? You go ahead and vet that.
Mike Wright
So.
Andy Holloway
But like, that's. I've never thought of. Well, is Jalen Hurts going to be a Hall of Fame type?
Mike Wright
Well, he would have. I was going to say you'd have to get another championship after this year.
Jason Moore
Oh, he didn't.
Andy Holloway
We were at that win.
Mike Wright
Yeah.
Andy Holloway
No, we had really good season there, Mike.
Jason Moore
You were right there, Mike.
Andy Holloway
I was mixing the Eagles win in or the Nick Foles one.
Mike Wright
Yeah.
Andy Holloway
Okay, my bad, everybody.
Jason Moore
So just undo most of what you said.
Andy Holloway
I guess it's not. Well, what a boring game.
Mike Wright
But hey, you're trying to make a.
Jason Moore
Reason to root for.
Mike Wright
I was really trying.
Jason Moore
I'm rooting for Saquon. That's the only side of that. Of that team that I want to win.
Mike Wright
You can't win a second super bowl without the first. So this is the beginning of your argument.
Andy Holloway
That's true.
Mike Wright
I agree. Saquon is the storyline on the Eagle side that I'm rooting for the most. I hate to admit it, but, like, I.
Jason Moore
No, you don't. You don't hate to admit it.
Mike Wright
Oh, I do. I don't want to say it out loud.
Jason Moore
Oh, no, you've been saying it in every way, shape and form.
Mike Wright
I think I'm rooting for the big ref.
Jason Moore
Big Chiefs over here.
Mike Wright
You've always been big reference. Not anymore. Get rid of all formation rules.
Jason Moore
Yeah. 55, 23 Eagles over the commanders. 32, 29 Chiefs over the Bills.
Mike Wright
A much closer game for the Commander's Eagles than that score. I mean, the majority of the game was pretty close and tight.
Jason Moore
They were within, I mean.
Andy Holloway
I mean, 11 points.
Jason Moore
I mean, there you go. I mean, there you go. That's a two score game.
Andy Holloway
I mean, but that's a close game.
Jason Moore
They had one drive middle of the game that they turned the ball over for the third time where they could have brought it close.
Andy Holloway
When you're down by 11 and you have the ball, that's a close game.
Mike Wright
I will say that I just felt bad for Jaden Daniels, who played outstanding because his team kept fumbling the ball.
Andy Holloway
Yeah, they did.
Jason Moore
Yeah. You don't win giving up 55 points.
Andy Holloway
No, but you get to the. Once you get to the end of the game, like they had to go for it. It was like fourth and long on the 30 or so of you. It's like, well, we don't have a choice. And that's when the score gets blown out of proportion. I thought that game was fantastic. Washington played a really strong game despite giving up 55 points in the end. And the future for the Commanders, very bright. Is very, very bright.
Jason Moore
All right, we will talk some more news.
Mike Wright
News and notes from around the league, presented by USAA Insurance.
Jason Moore
The Raiders hired Adam Thielen as their head coach. Oh, oh, wait, that's Pete Carroll. Oh, 73 years young.
Andy Holloway
That's me.
Jason Moore
Pete. He does seem younger than several head coaches.
Mike Wright
Yeah, I actually think it's a very good hire. You've got a guy who.
Jason Moore
I don't know what's going on.
Andy Holloway
What is happening here? No, it's not.
Mike Wright
I'm not allowed to have my own opinions here if they don't follow yours.
Andy Holloway
But you're just wrong. Okay, let's hear it.
Mike Wright
Okay, here's. I believe that The Raiders as an organization have not been the most functional. Right. You've got this owner at the top who's obviously been a little bit too meddling. And you're going from, you know, a lot of times random head coach to random head coach. Gruden was a stabilizing force, but that obviously ended in, you know, an upheaval, a bad fashion. Yes. Because of things that weren't really football related.
Andy Holloway
Right.
Mike Wright
Pete Carroll is a stabilizing force. I know he's old. He's 73. That's insanely old for a head coach. However, he, he.
Andy Holloway
For a human.
Jason Moore
I don't sure.
Mike Wright
For a human, for any job, for.
Andy Holloway
A working human, 73 is extremely old.
Mike Wright
But he's an outlier. I mean, you could say that at 31 is extremely old for a running back. That's also a fact. That's true. But Derek Henry's an outlier. And I think Pete Carroll has more energy than I have, has pretty much always been part of winning programs. And when he got fired, it was a surprise. I don't think people were. He wasn't on the hot seat. And so I believe he is a good coach.
Jason Moore
So when I look at higher Biden as offensive coordinator, it makes sense.
Mike Wright
I mean, they're, you know, probably cousins. I, you know, this is to me, when I'm thinking is it a good hire for a head coach? My first question is, was he a good coach?
Jason Moore
I'm going to agree with Jason on this on the principle that of what was remaining which they failed horribly to acquire any of the coaches they actually wanted, this was the one that's going to most positively impact the locker room and probably be a bridge to a future situation.
Mike Wright
Now, it was not a long term plan.
Jason Moore
I mean, if they end up like some. I think Jeremiah's mock draft has Shadow or Sanders there at 6. You know, we've seen Pete Carroll and a rookie quarterback before make waves. Players will respect Pete Carroll. I agree with that. Brooks, you have a situation that was kind of just dysfunctional through and through over the last few years. So, you know, in that regard, look, it's probably a better NFL to see Pete Carroll chewing bubblegum on the sidelines and peach cobbler back in the business.
Andy Holloway
I'm in full agreement that Pete Carroll is an excellent coach. It's just you're. He's 73 and the Raiders job is that thing. That thing is the ashes right now. There is, there is absolute nothingness.
Jason Moore
That's how you get another job at 73.
Andy Holloway
I'll tell you that you're trying to build your program up with like, Pete Carroll has taken over an orphaned Dynasty team.
Jason Moore
I see.
Andy Holloway
That's what has happened. And Pete Carroll, I mean, he's probably.
Jason Moore
Got more testosterone than the three of us combined.
Andy Holloway
He might. There was the video of him getting into office in Raiders office today. And I'm like, I'm. I'm analyzing this and it's. That guy does not walk around like he is 73. 73. Like they're good. He just.
Mike Wright
I do.
Andy Holloway
He can just move.
Mike Wright
Like, when I'm walking down the hallway, I'm like, oh, my hip.
Jason Moore
73.
Andy Holloway
Like it. I hope it works.
Jason Moore
Do you like it more or less than the Jaguars and Liam Cohen. We had the absolute man. What like a three movie spectacle. The Liam Cohen adventures we announced on our show. Yeah, we did.
Mike Wright
We had it in the news. That.
Jason Moore
Which was reported because of it being reported by. You know.
Mike Wright
Yeah, I mean, it was. It was officially reported. It obviously was not officially signed that he was remaining with the Bucks as the head coach. As great for continuity and all of that. OC or as the OC and eight. Nope.
Jason Moore
Eight offensive coordinators in eight years for Baker Mayfield.
Mike Wright
Now that's got to be a record.
Jason Moore
And Liam Cohen, what happened is he had. They had extended him the contract to make him the highest paid offensive coordinator ever, and he hadn't signed it. And instead of signing it on Thursday morning, he secretly.
Andy Holloway
He freaked. Darkness.
Jason Moore
On a quote. He reported a personal matter to Tampa Bay.
Andy Holloway
It was very personal at that point.
Mike Wright
You have to take that job.
Jason Moore
And then went to Jacksonville. Didn't tell them that he was in Jacksonville and kind of. Yeah. Set up the next tenure here, do you think? Because Jaguar country.
Mike Wright
It's funny the way that that process played out. I keep going back and forth. Obviously, these are humans with relationships. You know, Baker Bowles, they're friend. They're a friend to this man. But also friends can piss you off and do things to end friendships. And I wonder if the fact that it seemed like, oh, you were coming back and then you secretly go and get another job. Are they happy for him or are they mad at him?
Jason Moore
Mad.
Mike Wright
Yeah. I mean, that was my first test.
Andy Holloway
I think they're going to feel a level of betrayal and it like this all didn't happen. The reexamination of the hire, that didn't happen until the Jaguars fired gm.
Jason Moore
Right, Trent.
Andy Holloway
Which was like that to me. It's like this is one of the problems of the Jags of why are you going to Go take that job. If you have a GM who you just. You don't have faith in and you like, this person's controlling so much of my job right now, I don't want to be a part of it. And it was a shock that they kept him on. When the season first ended, it kind of figured like, this would be a full clearhouse. They didn't. It almost costs them getting their Cohen, getting their guy. But eventually they make the decision, bring Cohen in.
Mike Wright
I forgot that that was the Zoom interview.
Andy Holloway
Yes.
Mike Wright
Where the owner and GM were both on it and they were asked, like, would you replace the gm? And he's like, yeah, if something better came along, I would.
Jason Moore
Right next to him right there. You know, you're going to start seeing the Travis Etien and the Bucky Irving role type of videos coming out and all the projection of how they might run the Jacksonville offense, because that's how it always works. Well, look, with Jacksonville, some teams, you might be able to do that and say, you know what, this is going to really be special. When this guy comes into this situation, I'm going to make him show me that first on the field in Jacksonville with the way that Trevor Lawrence has been inconsistent ETN inconsistent, maybe it makes you more excited about stability for Brian Thomas Jr. Moving forward.
Mike Wright
But the problem with the Bucky Irving role in quotes is that it was him. Like, yeah, it was Bucky. The role was he's super explosive and he's breaking tackles and getting away from people. If you want to talk about the Rashad White role from a couple years ago where he was a great pass catcher, that makes sense. That was more of the role.
Jason Moore
Well, today's a truth episode part two for running back. So we will talk about both Bucky and Mr. White.
Mike Wright
Yeah.
Jason Moore
The Seahawks replaced the one year trial of Ryan Grubb with Clint Kubiak, their new offensive coordinator.
Mike Wright
All right, run that ball. I mean, this, you know, Grub, I think this is a defensive head coach that wants to run the ball. Grub came in, said all the right things, said he was going to run the ball, and then they threw it a lot. And I don't think that that was what was desired.
Jason Moore
The Cowboys hired Brian Schottenheimer to be their next head coach. They're going to hire Matt Eberfluss as their defensive coordinator.
Mike Wright
All right, guys, tell me how to feel about Schottenheimer. This one is fascinating.
Jason Moore
So if 10 is excited and one is as unexcited as you can get, Brooks, as a Cowboy fan, you're on the microphone, I think. Do we have Brooks with us? Yeah, sorry. Which is the least excited side?
Andy Holloway
The small number Brooks.
Jason Moore
Small number Brooks. We'll give him it a two.
Andy Holloway
Okay.
Jason Moore
I think that's been the general sentiment. Jerry Jones coming out and saying, look, I can, I can live outside the box. Here's a guy without coaching experience. I'm making him a head coach.
Mike Wright
Did you see him get teary eyed at the, at the press conference? I think that was today. Talking about how he, you know, he's known this guy and he's talked to a bunch of people about him and.
Jason Moore
I mean, look, I'm fine with it. I really am.
Mike Wright
What's your one through ten?
Jason Moore
Excitement.
Mike Wright
Excitement.
Jason Moore
It can't be more than a four.
Mike Wright
I am a four.
Jason Moore
A four in excitement, but a. An eight inconsistency. So like, we thought losing Kellen Moore would lead to the demise of the offense and instead what it led to was the success of Dak Prescott as a fantasy asset and CD Lamb as a fantasy asset to the nth degree. So in that regard, you're going to have stability. And to that, I'm happy about that because those are the players that I care about on that offense.
Mike Wright
Yeah. Jerry Jones did confirm that Schottenheimer is going to be the play caller as well, at least to start, which could be good news for going from McCarthy. Trying to get a little bit more action in the motion, you know, pre snap stuff that the Cowboys didn't really do.
Andy Holloway
And it could be like everything in the NFL is chicken or egg. You know, do you have the offense? Do you have the players that can actually run the offense? But there was an ESPN write up that Hayden Winks had tweeted about with the quote. In 12 years as a play caller, Schottenheimer had four offenses finished inside the top 10 in points per game and three times in the top half in the league in yards per game. So we have, we have plenty of years of shot and hire. But, you know, it's like, oh, he was with the jets, you know, it's so. It's hard to really know. But did they win? I don't really care about wins and losses. I care about points for fantasy.
Mike Wright
Yeah.
Andy Holloway
So.
Jason Moore
Well, we're talking philosophically why they would hire a player or hire a coach. They do seem, they do care about wins in the NFL.
Mike Wright
Yes.
Andy Holloway
And he has as an oc, you know, like win loss percentage. The last. Aside from last year, you know, the four years before that with a couple years with Seattle, it's good, right?
Jason Moore
I'm just curious. I didn't know the answer to that, but Bobby Slowik went from a oh my goodness. Bobby Slowik was the offensive coordinator for the Texans. Now fired. We bemoaned his play calling from the jump this year after loving it last year. It's one of the reasons Houston believes they took a step back with CJ Stroud was predictable play calling, no adjustments. Basically everything that Liam Cohen did well, Slowik did poorly.
Andy Holloway
That man flew in not too close to the sun. He flew into the sun.
Mike Wright
Sometimes you're projected to be a top five pick and you go back college and it don't work out. Your career never happens. That was that was Bobby Slow.
Andy Holloway
He could have had any of the jobs last year as whatever was open last year. I get you didn't want to take them, but whoops.
Mike Wright
I'm impressed by the Texans to make the change. It's very difficult to go to the second round of the playoffs two years in a row and then say we need to remove our offensive coordinator. But having that kind of thoughtful introspection on what is good and what could be improved, I'm pretty impressed because the play calling was, I think, very poor.
Jason Moore
All right, that was today's news and Notes presented by USAA Insurance. Learn more@usaa.com insurance we'll take a break. We'll hit the running backs.
Mike Wright
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Jason Moore
All right, it's time to get back into the.
Andy Holloway
Truth.
Mike Wright
You want answers? I think I'm entitled. You want answers? I want the truth.
Andy Holloway
You can't handle the truth.
Jason Moore
We still have a Saints head coaching job to figure out, don't we?
Mike Wright
Yes, there was a.
Jason Moore
Is that. Is Cliff going to end up in.
Mike Wright
So Joe Brady or Mike McCarthy maybe. I mean, there's. Like you said, it's Slim Pickens left. Joe Brady has elected to remain with Buffalo. He's going to stay. He was garnering. Interesting. And so I think what happened here is he saw what Liam Cohen did on, like, I'm totally. I'm totally going to stay with the Bucks. And then the, you know, and then the Jags were like, oh, we'll. We'll. We'll steal you. I don't know. Not really. That is the last coaching job left.
Andy Holloway
We also.
Jason Moore
Cliff can interview now. He's got time.
Andy Holloway
Monkin. Todd Monkin, the OC for the Ravens. It was also. I don't know if.
Jason Moore
Coming on back. Yeah.
Andy Holloway
Or if they were working on the extension, but that's. That's fantastic news for Ravens fantasy football.
Jason Moore
All right, we're back into the running backs. We covered the top eight last week. Today we'll get into the names like Camara, Connor, Chase Brown, Jonathan Taylor, and talk about the truth, which is our analysis of their consistency and their actual value to your fantasy team when contrasted to their fantasy finish. And how impactful were they? We talked through eight names. One of the headline takeaways for running backs in 2024 was that, well, it wasn't a year for 0 RB. The elite running backs, they crushed. Yes, McCaffrey was a bust with the 101 or 102 in your league, but you look at the next 10 guys off the board, you had a lot of hits. Bijon Gibbs, Saquon, Kyron Henry, Hn. These are names that we brought up. In the first Running Back Truth episode, there was a small pocket of late round hits that happened. Chase Brown in the 10th round, Chuba Hubbard in the 11th round. But, you know, it took Chase Brown a while to get going, so that didn't help you right out of the gate. And then, you know, J.K. dobbins was. Was a contributor. So there was a little run there in the 10th, 11th and 13th round.
Andy Holloway
I was reinforcements. There wasn't.
Mike Wright
Right.
Andy Holloway
Like these.
Jason Moore
Not league winners.
Andy Holloway
Yeah, well, I mean, Chase Brown was a league winner, but if you managed to hold on to him long enough, it wasn't a week two. Oh, here we go. Here was the late round hit. That's going to Be consistent all year long. They were just, they were like band aids.
Mike Wright
I will say that, you know, when projecting out these late round guys, got to give credit to Mike because he was, he was talking about the teams that you want being, you know, Chargers, Bengals, Cowboys, and those were three of the only later round running backs that did much of anything. I think the real reason 0 RB didn't work is there wasn't a bunch of waiver wire pickups because the top guys, you know, didn't get injured. So the waiver wire is usually where the anti fragility becomes a strength.
Andy Holloway
Yes.
Mike Wright
And outside of Bucky at the very end of the season, there wasn't, it wasn't a whole lot.
Jason Moore
Yeah. When you bring up Bucky, I start to think about the narrative and data that surrounds the, you know, that there's a rookie running back that always ends up in that top tier. Well, it wasn't the ones you, it wasn't, you know, Trey Benson wasn't one of those guys. And Jonathan Brooks, Blake Corum, it wasn't anybody that was predictably drafted. Even towards the end. Marshawn Lloyd, like those were the four names that got brought up a ton. Even Jalen Wright, none of those guys contributed. The guy that contributed was a free agent running back, Buck Irving, who came in and just kind of stole away the job. And then we had Tyrone Tracy.
Mike Wright
Tyrone Tracy, Giants was pretty good.
Jason Moore
All right, so a quick refresh reminder for you. We're looking at their game log. How many great games of 21 or more points, how many good games, 12 or more points, how many bus games? Fewer than seven points. Coming in at number nine on the fantasy finish list with a consistency rank of six tried and true. Alvin Camara, we did it again. Now we got hurt down the stretch. So if you, you know, Camara and James Conner to me were two of the best running back values for the entire season. Right. You had Camara in the fifth round, Conner in the fifth round, both of those guys in the top 12. And Camara did it for you pretty much the whole year. You just didn't get him during the fantasy playoffs.
Mike Wright
Yeah, that was a real shame. And I'm not sure how much of that was, you know, towards the very, the very, very end of the season. You know, the final three weeks was just shut him down because you had no one else out there. He's a veteran. You, you know, you don't have your quarterback, you don't have your wide receiver, you don't have your tight end. Like everybody got injured so why put him out there? I'm going to be honest with you, he's 29 years old. I'm not usually in on, you know, aging running backs into their 30s. I'm going to be in on Camara. I feel like we've worried about his age for the last two seasons and he just catches the ball so much that for fantasy football purposes, I think he has a very safe floor. He wasn't always, you know, having those incredibly powerful, weak winning performances. You know, he did very early in the season, like week two, but he, it was very hard for him to not have a good fantasy game when, when you're targeted as much as he is.
Jason Moore
There is a. Yeah, there he is. There is a comfort level with Derek Carr being back and they, they seem to have confidence that Derek Carr is going to be the quarterback. That gives me confidence that, you know, he will throw the ball to Alvin Camara and take the path of least resistance oftentimes in the offense. He was much better against bottom half defenses, like eight fantasy points per game better when it was a matchup that, you know, you could see coming, so to speak, and defenses that weren't strong. You know, he's just been so consistent and he is very much in the Derek Henry category I think in people's minds in fantasy now where it's like, well, you know, it won't last forever, but do you just, do you just keep enjoying this and ride it right into the ground? Because he doesn't really have to do a lot to give you a lot in fantasy with the receiving work.
Mike Wright
Yeah.
Andy Holloway
And the, that kind of stretch there, you know. So like week seven through 14 where he's still giving you, you know, pretty much top 15 type numbers and. But because of the Saints, where the team was at that time, they just, they weren't scoring and Alvin Camaro wasn't scoring. So for him to be able to do all of those, to give you that level of fantasy when he's not getting the ridiculous touchdowns. I think it's, it's a good sign for next year. His ADP will be fascinating to me.
Mike Wright
I don't think it'll be that high.
Jason Moore
He's not going to move up much.
Mike Wright
But I'm with you.
Andy Holloway
But does he just chill out in the fifth round? Because then, yeah, sure, maybe fourth.
Mike Wright
I definitely think he'll be fifth or later. I mean, he was the fifth round this year and he was great this season prior on a per game basis, got injured at the end of the year. It was very similar to this year and I think next year going, he's going to be 30. I think he's in the fifth and I'll draft him.
Jason Moore
He is just fun fact. He is a few months younger than Austin Eckler. So, you know, the nice thing is his contract situation. He's under contract for a couple more years and they made an effort to bring him back to make him the.
Mike Wright
You know, the way that the Saints operate. I assume they'll have to give him a contract extension soon and kick that money further down.
Jason Moore
James Conner, I just mentioned him. He comes in at number 10. Consistency rank was 13. I'll be honest, he felt more consistent than that. As someone who had him on his. On my roster, he did have a couple just absolute disappearing games. But first half consistency rank was 14. Second half, 15. Better against bad defenses, much better at home, six points better at home. 13% great games, 69% good games, 25% busts. I didn't give you those numbers for camara. Camara was 21% great, 71% good, 7% busts. So they're very similar.
Mike Wright
The bus games were really frustrating for James Conner because it never looked like his fault and it probably wasn't. Yeah, I mean there were games where it was really frustrating watching where it's like this is the. Did you count locomotive to your. To your team? Yes. Week 17 is in this data which.
Jason Moore
He got hurt on the first play, didn't play anymore.
Mike Wright
Correct. So that's one of the. But you would have played him and that honestly if, if you had him and you were in the championship, you know, that week 17 counted. If for context you just.
Jason Moore
Yeah, take that one out for.
Mike Wright
Curious what it would be like without that.
Jason Moore
Maybe that's why it felt that way to me is that he was a little bit better.
Mike Wright
He would be. Consistency rank of running back 10.
Jason Moore
Okay. He felt much more like 10.
Mike Wright
Yeah.
Jason Moore
So what do you think about James Conner? He signed a two year extension in late November to stay with Arizona. Very much the identity of the team. We talk about Philadelphia and the transition to being Saquon's team. I feel like that happened this year in Arizona. Like it went from Kyler's team to Connor's team.
Mike Wright
In some ways you saw the commitment from the team in signing him again. This really is. He is the heart of this offense. So you can make a strong argument that the way he played down the stretch was incredible. He should be drafted highly with confidence. However, he's not the. He doesn't have like, you know, we're just talking about Camara. Camara had 89 targets and missed three games. If you compare that to James Conner, his receiving work, he can be a good receiver, but he's not to that level. So I worry if you lose a step, like if both of these guys lose a step, Camara and Conner, I think Camaro will be fine for fantasy and Connor will turn to dust. So I'm, I'm a little bit more worried. I saw nothing on film to make me worry that he will turn to dust. But that's what happens with these, you know, Sean Alexander's who go from being one of the best running backs in the entire league to the next year just, you know, just one step too slow is too slow in the NFL.
Andy Holloway
And I think he'll be, he's going to be another great value pick to me next year. Like I think that he has at least one year that dynasty wise. Does he have two? I don't know, but I would. I'm going to put the chips on him having at least one more really strong season. Like he stayed so many games over.
Jason Moore
100 yards, mostly healthy, scored eight times on the ground, had one receiving touchdown, but 414 receiving yards. So yeah, I mean he's definitely going to be in that category of guys that just doesn't move up in fantasy dress.
Andy Holloway
Right.
Jason Moore
It just won't happen at his age and with Arizona and no excitement of any kind around the franchise ever again.
Andy Holloway
Because it's like James Conner will not be a ceiling pick where you're like, oh, here, this is the year that he can have an outlier season to give me 1300 rushing yards and 14 rushing touchdowns. Like that seems. That's it. That seems impossible.
Mike Wright
Yeah, that's why he's going to be a dead zone running back. And what you're hoping for is that he just has another season like this one where he's consistent, has enough touchdowns around the goal line and you know, is still breaking tackles next year.
Jason Moore
He's a lunch pail guy for your fantasy team.
Andy Holloway
Yeah.
Jason Moore
At 11, Chase Brown, 24 years old, drafted in the 10th round as the RB41. Here's a diamond in the rough consistency rank of 10. And even more impressive, go look at that second half where he was the third most consistent running back in football. And it's pretty fair to look at the second half alone because he was sharing time with Zach Moss, was not the guy to start the year in the first couple games. Ends up 25% great games. Despite that 63% good 19% bust. Great at home and on the road, great against top and bottom defenses. And you just needed the Zach Moss injury to get him going and the team to trust him.
Mike Wright
Zach Moss played the first eight games, so this is a true split here. The first eight and the rest through 17. You know, the first half. Consistency, rank of running back, 29. He was good on a per touch basis. We watched the games and we said he was, he looks better than Zach Moss, but he had more juice. It took that injury for the team to be forced to just say, okay, we're giving it to you. And their offense got so much better. Chase Brown was, he's just so much more versatile, so explosive and made plays that Zach Moss just couldn't and didn't make. Now the question becomes, do they commit to him? Did they see that down the stretch and say that's the, that's the replacement for our Joe Mixon that we lost. We're going to commit to him going forward because it was so successful for us, or do they go, we can't rely on that. We wanted two backs, you know, and I think it's transactions that will tell us.
Jason Moore
I think they'll stick with him. He's at that perfect age to me and the way he played for this team. To enter his Echler era for Cincinnati, I would believe that they saw his improvement and his versatility and his pass catching, everything improved over the course of the year. So I don't know what you would want in Cincinnati beyond, you know, a 24 year old running back that gave you that kind of production. Yes, they might draft somebody, but look, this is a team that has a lot of needs too. The defensive side of the football betrayed Burrow and if they, if they do happen to invest in T. Higgins, that's even more of a reason I think, that you don't go and find anything other than a Khalil Herbert style running back. So to me, a 10th round pick last year, this is a guy I would take ahead of Connor.
Andy Holloway
Oh, he will skyrocket.
Jason Moore
Third, fourth round.
Mike Wright
So Zach Moss signed a two year deal. He should be back. I mean, so that's, that's really my expectation is that they're going to come back into next year with the same core that they came into this season and we won't know for sure what the commitment is on a, on a workload split. Obviously when Zach Moss was healthy, he was, it was pretty 50, 50. So it was, I just have to.
Jason Moore
Decide do they want to waste a down or not? And you know, but a lot of.
Mike Wright
Teams decide to waste downs. I don't get it.
Jason Moore
You call him the Tyler Johnson downs.
Andy Holloway
But he's, he's not expensive next year. Talking about Zach Moss for the year two of his contract. But the cap hit is 4.8 million, so just under five. Dead cap would be one and a half.
Mike Wright
Yeah, they'd have to. They can, they'd have to spend money to replace him. Yeah, dead caps.
Andy Holloway
But just saying like if they feel like this Herbert. Yeah, if they feel like Herbert was, we can try and bring him back. I don't remember if he's a free.
Mike Wright
Agent or not, but down the stretch, those last eight games, to give context to how good Chase Brown was, he was on pace for 320 carries and 93 targets. If that was a 17 game span. 1300 rushing yards, 650 in the passing game. So an exceptional fantasy asset and you'll have to call your shot next year.
Jason Moore
I agree. He didn't just fill in.
Mike Wright
No, he didn't.
Jason Moore
He was an addition.
Mike Wright
Yes.
Jason Moore
All right. Chuba Hubbard.
Mike Wright
It blew my mind. I still don't have it.
Jason Moore
I still can't. I remember in the preset I tried multiple times to give you the end of the season of Chuba Hubbard with Carolina and the eye test and tell you I tried to say this guy's a baller.
Mike Wright
And you know what I say, I still don't have it. But I definitely.
Andy Holloway
He'll wipe his tears with all his money down.
Mike Wright
The. I mean, the film on Chuba was outstanding. Yeah.
Jason Moore
I mean 1195 yards, 10 touchdowns. Despite missing the last two weeks of.
Mike Wright
The year and despite playing for the Panthers, one of his valuable traits, they were very bad. Yeah, I mean, he did a lot. You know, it's hard to remember going back. I believe he was a five star recruit out of high school and a superstar track athlete.
Andy Holloway
Yeah, I think he had like he had a 2000 yard rushing season in.
Mike Wright
College and so to start his NFL career, he kind of dropped in the draft. I don't, I don't remember the context as to why. Maybe Kyle can come in there.
Andy Holloway
He had the huge year and then the next year it was, oh, in college it was not nearly as good.
Jason Moore
He profiled a couple years ago as somebody that would be that career, backup career, second tier committee back and transformed really over the back half of 2023 and then into 2024. I mean, the numbers that I just read out, he put them up with the second fewest total offensive plays in football in Carolina. The Third fewest offensive plays with the lead, which we like running backs with the lead. And 20% great, 60% good, 20% bus games. You know, he finishes at 12 with a consistency rank of 12. Not a lot of receiving production. 43 catches, that's good. One hundred and seventy one yards. That's not good.
Andy Holloway
No. So that's wildly low.
Jason Moore
And they give him a four year, $33 million contract in November and we're in all the Jonathan Brooks truth that is going, oh my gosh. And then Jonathan brooks retears his ACL. You get the Miles Sanders Week 18. And you know, Chuba was just so. He reminded me the most of what Connor was for Arizona this year. Those two players. Every down, Connor ran as hard as he could run. Every down Chuba Hubbard ran as hard as he could run. And lot of tackle breaking. I don't know, I just. Maybe it's the underdog story of being a Carolina Panther and having production that also adds to the lore of Chuba Hubbard. Or the fact that it was just a player that no one wanted to draft because he went in the 12th round.
Andy Holloway
No one wanted him. Which, like process wise, it makes sense. You don't want the, you don't want.
Mike Wright
A perceived grinder or a perceived expiring asset.
Andy Holloway
Yes. Yeah. Yeah. With the rookie's going to come in and take over for a bad team like this. This. It's not like, hey, hey, I'm going to have the starting running back for the Kansas City Chiefs for six weeks and then the rookie's going to take over. I'll take that bet. I'll take that starting running back.
Jason Moore
You certainly would have taken the bet that the starting running back for say, the Chargers, a team that profiled to be good, that was going to run a lot, would perform better than Chuba Hubbard. And he bucked the trend. He's the outlier.
Mike Wright
So is the lesson here to learn nothing, I mean, genuinely like, like that. It's just a little bit. He was better than we thought he was. I mean that was kind of just the truth as an actual running back.
Jason Moore
Yeah. Or maybe the lesson, if you want to take one, is to have trusted what we saw in the field during the back half of last year and not count that as a kind of an outlier performance. And I don't know if that translates to.
Mike Wright
No, that's fair for you. You really, you did talk about that. You believed it. You said it was really, really good down the stretch past the eye test.
Jason Moore
So we had a very clean narrative coming into the year as to why Cuba could be not. It was very. It was, it was very like vanilla, right? Like, it was. It was going to be obvious. It was like, okay, Chuba, last year, the contract, we get Jonathan Brooks, maybe he's a bridge. The team sucks. Everything was very lined up for that to be the truth. And maybe that's the lesson too, is that, you know, it's very circumstance specific and Chuba was just a better player.
Andy Holloway
There was also, like, it took a while, you know, like the first couple of weeks they were still time sharing with chuba and week one was a disaster. Juba was 6 for 14 with no catches in week one and it was. Well, there's the 11th round pick.
Jason Moore
And was it Dalton that took over in week three? Yes, that made a difference.
Andy Holloway
Yeah, it certainly did. But also his snaps going up, you know, week one and week two and week three, 58% of the snaps. But then you start going north and you're in like an 80% player. I mean, that's when things really were turning around. He was getting, you know, he would get you chunk plays, but then other guys would come on the field and you're like, yeah, give me somebody else once Chuba's on there. Worked out.
Mike Wright
Yeah. Andy, you're going to need to convince me next year and remind me that I should be more in on Chuba because I still feel like I'm not going to be because it's still the Panthers. He was.
Jason Moore
So I'll work on it.
Mike Wright
Inefficient in the passing game. He needs that giant workload to be great, but he got it. So, yeah, just work on it.
Jason Moore
Yeah, no, no, we'll do it again. We'll run it back. Thirteen is Joe Mixon. What a season for Joe Mixon because first half of the season he was the number three most consistent running back and it really, it took a nosedive in the second half. 19th and consistency. Dealt with an ankle injury, dealt with one from weeks three to five, then came out of that and delivered six consecutive top 12 performances despite Bobby Slowik's play calling. Joe Mixon was a revelation the first half. This was like week to week he was in the Saquon Henry tier. If you had him, you felt like you could compete with those other players on a weekly basis. So really a neat resurgence considering their offensive line was ranked 29th and you saw that a little bit in the playoffs.
Andy Holloway
What do you make of, though, the end of the season?
Jason Moore
Well, I mean, yeah, goes.
Andy Holloway
It happened. We all watched it and you're like, dude, that guy's. That's Cincinnati Bengals Joe Mixon. That guy's not very good.
Jason Moore
Yeah, I mean, I think you have to find a balance point here. And I think this is one of the few cases where you look at this show and you go, well, we're trying to tell you the truth. The fantasy finish versus the reality. Well, I think the fantasy finish is the reality for Joe Mixon. I think he is a fringe RB one in Houston. He will, he has the ability to give you the big games. This is a team that has offensive line issues, Stefan Diggs, Nico Collins issues. The team's identity on offense changed a lot and it's going to change again with a new offensive coordinator. So I think that's where I'll probably have him slotted in. Not first half, Joe Mixon, not second half. Probably somewhere in 12 to 15.
Mike Wright
I think that's fair. And even though he didn't miss the games later on when it was worse, he was dealing with some injury concerns. I remember we had some fears that he would miss games, played through it. Obviously not that great. Yeah, I mean, Andy, you had the experience, right? He was on your league of record team. So you felt the confidence going towards the playoffs and the letdown in them.
Jason Moore
Yeah. And part of it was like you could see it coming in the fantasy playoffs pretty plainly. At least the first and second week it was Kansas City on the road. Okay. You weren't, you didn't expect a lot. Especially that was a game where they were like he, he wasn't practicing. So Kansas City, he goes to Kansas City off an injury. You could see it coming, plays Baltimore, you could kind of see that coming to dealing with the ankle injury.
Andy Holloway
He scored more points in week one than he did in the entirety of the fantasy playoffs.
Jason Moore
Yeah, yeah. He ran out of the mojo and the age and the injuries. I mean, it was a lot like James Conner's finish to the season. He played and he shouldn't have played.
Mike Wright
I also think that we've got to give a little bit of, you know, the second half for the Texans was just harder. Once you lose Tank Dell and Stefan Diggs, your offense is far more one dimensional and it's easier to play defense against that.
Jason Moore
And he, you know, to his credit, 38% great games, higher number than anybody we've talked about today. By a wide margin. 23% bus, 62% good. You know, when you, when you look at mixing or Connor next year, I'm probably going to, I'll be on the mixing side. I'll be on the mix inside. Not by tons but by some. Any Anything else about mixing you guys want to touch on? He was better against bad defenses. He was much better on the road. We talked about that. Late in the year he had a weird home road split.
Mike Wright
Way better like double the point. Better on the road which is not.
Jason Moore
Usual but two more years under contract. Age will probably keep him in the third to fourth round.
Mike Wright
I think so. I think he'll be in the third.
Jason Moore
Jonathan Taylor. We'll talk about him in a minute. Quick break and then back with some more truth.
Mike Wright
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Mike Wright
I apologize.
Jason Moore
Jay Taylor, first half consistency, was sixth. Missed three games in that stretch. He actually didn't have the like the super top tier finishes in that stretch. He had the number one, number one back to back performances in the fantasy playoffs. You just had to survive the great fumble and which I did not. Better at home. You know, this year's tough because like I think the truth of Jonathan Taylor is a little bit like the Saquon Barkley story. Like Jonathan Taylor is just a tremendous, tremendous running back. Yes, you're going to have ebbs and flows with quarterback changes and offensive changes which happened in New York for Saquon and they've happened in Indianapolis for Taylor over the years. But if you just give him like somewhat of an even playing field, he'll be great.
Mike Wright
I talked about this on the last Dynasty podcast. We had some trade for trade away targets. He was mentioned. I won't tell you in which side.
Andy Holloway
Thank you.
Mike Wright
But I like wanting the next contract. I'm wanting the next contract. Where can he go after what Saquon did, after what Derek Henry did? Because I love how you kicked it off. It's my belief as well that Jonathan Taylor is a tremendous running back. He is not your average player. He's not your average athlete or even your above average athlete. He's a superstar. He's playing in a situation where you can get vultured touchdowns. You can not get dump offs. Anthony Richardson does not. Check it out.
Andy Holloway
We need dump offs.
Jason Moore
Can I read? Yeah. The Target totals for Mr. Taylor since coming in the league. 36, 40, then 28. The 19 as past year 18. Yeah, it's gross but target per outrun was 17.7. Now it's 6.7.
Mike Wright
He did enough on the ground to show what, what a great athlete he is and he has the chops to catch the ball. This is, you know, this is a situation where the quarterback is not and should not be throwing, throw, be throwing to the fair.
Andy Holloway
You can make a strong argument, bring back the wishbone.
Jason Moore
I mean, so considering all of that, because I think we all would agree in a neutral situation that you'd rather have Jonathan Taylor than like Joe Mixon. But then you look at the quarterback, the playoff, the team level, the team is going to be better in Houston probably is that you know which one wins in that situation.
Mike Wright
I'm going to be on the Jonathan Taylor side because I'm looking for, for the highest upside I can get. And I think that Jonathan Taylor has the physical capabilities to be a top three back. We don't know who the quarterback's going to be in week three. You know, it could change to a situation where now all of a Sudden he adds to his repertoire the past catching and let's be, you know, fair about the end of season when he won people championships and was the back to back number one running back on the week. That was with Anthony Richards.
Jason Moore
Yeah. So, yeah, we forget that JT was the number one overall running back like we did. We've gotten that out of him.
Mike Wright
Yeah. Sophomore season, right?
Jason Moore
Yeah. I mean, so much like Saquon's had those years and then we see it happen again. That is in the. In the cards where I, you know, I don't think mixing can give you that in Houston probably.
Mike Wright
And he's the type of talent where. And I'm not. I mean, you can't draft based on this. But you know, if a team that is super bowl contending or whatever loses a running back and the Colts are bad, you know, late in his contract, go trade. You know, people might trade for him. Christian McCaffrey was traded for. And if you're a great talent, your situation can change to where you can be a league winner for fantasy football.
Jason Moore
15 Aaron Jones consistency. Rank of 21 and just 6% great games. 44% good, 19% bust. So that's 50% of the time he was in the good or great category. 1138 yards on 255 carries, five touchdowns on the ground, caught 408 passes. I don't know how to think about Aaron Jones.
Andy Holloway
I don't know.
Mike Wright
I'm out. I feel like he was so good. I'm out.
Jason Moore
I don't know if we were wrong about him.
Mike Wright
I have no idea.
Jason Moore
I have no. Because he was on our bus list in the udk. Aaron Jones, I believe he was. Unless we audited that late. But for a good period of time, he was.
Andy Holloway
The sentiment of the show was negative. You and my. We were out. Jason was in.
Jason Moore
Okay. Okay.
Andy Holloway
And I mean.
Jason Moore
And we were all right.
Andy Holloway
Well, he. He was drafted as the RB18 and he finished as.
Jason Moore
As 15 with a consistency of 21. So that's 18 to me.
Andy Holloway
That's a win.
Jason Moore
That's a good year.
Andy Holloway
I think so It's a good return. On your adp.
Jason Moore
It started well.
Andy Holloway
I think that was part of the issue of how you don't know how to feel about Aaron Jones. Because a month in it felt like, oh, Jason was very right. Aaron Jones with the Minnesota Vikings.
Jason Moore
Yeah, I felt like that was a big L. A big L for me.
Andy Holloway
You ate the crow, you took the L. And then from that point on it was just mostly.
Mike Wright
He's pretty irrelevant right now. We don't know where he's playing football next year. He looked good on a perfect.
Andy Holloway
It was only one year.
Mike Wright
I think they have. You can bet that. I think they have like voidable years and I don't expect. I mean, they might bring him back.
Jason Moore
The truth is.
Mike Wright
But he's not.
Andy Holloway
It was a one year. Yeah.
Jason Moore
He has been an erratic producer his entire career. He. Even in Green Bay, there were games when you're like, that might be the best running back in football. And then there were games and you're like, they either didn't use him. I think that was more of the case. They didn't use him as much or like he gets banged up. They share time.
Mike Wright
I mean, even. Even this year on the Vikings, you want to talk about drives that were stopped by taking Aaron Jones out. I feel like he was so far away. Far and away their best running back. On a per touch basis, he's excellent at 31 years old, currently without a team going into next year, 31.
Jason Moore
Yeah.
Mike Wright
It's very hard to do anything but have him be a late round pick that you hope gets opportunity.
Jason Moore
He could be entering his Dalvin Cook era.
Mike Wright
Yeah, I mean, you don't want the Dalvin Cook.
Andy Holloway
No, you don't.
Mike Wright
Second era.
Jason Moore
No. You want to get to James Cook. So I don't know if Aaron Jones is a little brother. We got to get him up here. 17 games played, finished as the RB15. So I'm out. He's all right, but Jason's out. You were in, now you're out.
Mike Wright
Yep. He was great on a per touch basis. He's a phenomenal NFL player. For fantasy purposes, I'm going to let other people hold that bag.
Jason Moore
All right, it's time for Bucky and Dick. Bucky Irving at 16. Richard. Dick White at 20.
Andy Holloway
Rashad.
Jason Moore
Rashad, Richard, Rashad.
Mike Wright
You see how we get there? Yeah, it's right there.
Jason Moore
I'm telling you. When I just. When I just blindly read it, I was trying to remember how and why.
Mike Wright
We call him Dick, I believe because you said Richard at one point.
Jason Moore
It's obvious why Bucky ends up at 16, white at 20. Consistency wise, bucky at 16, white at 22. So not far off with their fantasy. Finishes the storyline though. Rookie running back, second half consistency, eight overall for Bucky Irving. You would think that meant White's consistency in the second half would have declined. It was the opposite. He was at 16. Still very relevant. Rashad White though next year seems like he will enter the undraftable category.
Andy Holloway
For me, that's an insurance running back.
Jason Moore
Like somebody else in our league. Like we've got a guy that just takes players that nobody wants to draft. Nick. And he will draft Rashad White and probably get good value out of him and play him and he'll be the guy that I want to play against and he'll perform against me. That's just where White's going to fall into the committee. But this is the Bucky Irving backfield at this point in time.
Mike Wright
In the beginning of the year, there were a lot of questions that Todd Bowles had to answer at the podium talking about are we going to get Bucky more involved? And you know, he would come out and say this is Rashad White's backfield. But yeah, Bucky's earned some touches and I think it was a fair and well earned transition because, you know, the first five weeks of the season you had Rashad White, who was really the center of the running back core the previous year at 67% of the snaps. From that point on, he was down at 51% of the snaps. And they played pretty even snaps. These two guys were pretty 50, 50. But if you look at it, that.
Andy Holloway
Doesn'T work for Rashad White.
Mike Wright
If you look at it in chunks of the season, the further and further they got to more and more important games, Bucky started usurping him in the snap count area while he should have because he was a much more explosive player. So this will be Bucky's team. And I don't think Rashad White is undraftable next year.
Jason Moore
No.
Mike Wright
With his work in the passing game. And you still always have the built in upside, just like we had with David Montgomery and Jameer Gibbs. Whenever you draft either one of these guys, you've got the opportunity for them to become the takeover back from an injury.
Jason Moore
A couple other things I wanted to mention here. One is you said like a natural transition. You got to remember these are not. These head coaches are not just looking at explosive plays alone. When they're selecting who's out there on the field, they're looking at pass protection. He's a rookie, he's learning the playbook. He's making mistakes on a play or doesn't make a mistake. The other story for Bucky was that, you know, he was on the injury report with his toe injury, then a hip and then a back.
Andy Holloway
I think that the toe was. Was it the tow?
Mike Wright
Was that the mummy game?
Jason Moore
The toe was Week 9 against the Chiefs, 14 hip and back. And then he was, you know, he had limited Snap counts A couple times he played 17, but man, he was beat up. And that's the question mark around a guy that you know is five little 195.
Mike Wright
Yeah. And that, I think that was the Carolina game in Week 13 where he had 28 opportunities, 25 carries on the ground as a smaller back and was so good. He was the running back one that week. But I remember walking to the locker room, he was like a mummy. He was wrapped up like a mummy. And then the next week he basically only played 16% of snaps. Got the ball four times because he was. He was dead.
Jason Moore
Yep. And yeah, Rashad White's going to fill that late round pass. Heavy upside like you said, if either guy gets hurt. 17 was David Montgomery. We got to talk about Gibbs on the last episode.
Mike Wright
Consistency rank of seven and man, I had him. I felt it. Consistency. Ranked top 10 running back every week.
Jason Moore
Somehow he always did it.
Mike Wright
I mean it wasn't. It wasn't great. I mean it's 7% great games. He didn't go out there and win you the week, but goodness gracious, he got a touchdown every. I was like always. He's just my automatic 9% good game. I'm going to get, you know, 10 to 15 points every week in half PPR. Not even worried about him.
Jason Moore
He's such a. I think he's a tough pick for fantasy players. Maybe that is going to change, but maybe not. I mean, Jameer Gibbs is just. What is it? Sonic and Knuckles. Right. I mean, Gibbs is so explosive that I think it's fair for anybody watching the game to always want Jameer Gibbs on the field. If you're a Detroit Lions fan, you would want that. But Montgomery brings something to the offense. It's just a matter of does he get into the end zone? He did this year.
Mike Wright
12 touchdowns, 25 touchdowns on the ground in the last two years. So will he get into the end zone next year? Yes. And the worry of the injury is irrelevant. He was back playing football this year. So I'll be fully in because David Montgomery is not going to rise. He did this last year and if anything, he's going to fall from where he was in the draft.
Jason Moore
Because of Gibbs's fantasy finish.
Mike Wright
Exactly.
Andy Holloway
We have.
Jason Moore
You're probably right.
Andy Holloway
Ben Johnson, variable of he will no longer be in town. What does the offense look like? I know they'll do their best to keep it the same, but will they have the same success when you don't have that mastermind sequencing your plays? And the other thing that was just Was weird. Was two years like Gibbs rookie season.
Mike Wright
Right.
Andy Holloway
You felt like there was a difference between the two in terms of like. Well, no, Gibbs is going to. He's a passing weapon. And then at the end of the year, you know, Monty go, Monty gets hurt, Gibbs takes over and then they stay with Gibbs. You know, like towards the end of two years ago, Gibbs was, was getting snaps, he's getting all this goal line work and then you have this year and their receiving work is almost identical before the injury.
Mike Wright
It was, yeah.
Jason Moore
That's because I think that's part of the genius of Ben Johnson to me was you don't have a prototypical. Well, Melvin Gordon's out there. He's not going to get thrown the football and Eckler's out there, so he will get thrown the football. They're both capable, so why run plays that are specific to one? You need to have the threat of both for both guys out on the field. And Monty is more than capable if you wanted to throw him the football. Like if there was no Gibbs, Monty's.
Mike Wright
Catching a lot of passes, Monty would be a league winner. I mean, these guys both know the full playbook. They're both in inside the five yard line, they're both in the receiving game, they're both here's.
Jason Moore
Sorry.
Mike Wright
Yeah, I'm just saying either one of them goes down, the other one is absolutely going to help you win your league.
Jason Moore
The question is, do you believe they're going to keep winning? Obviously this year, number one offense, 70% of Montgomery's carries came with them leading or tied. You know that when they're down, two minute offense, they want the explosive versatility of Gibbs. They can both catch the football. Yes, but Gibbs can get to places that Monty doesn't get to in the route tree. So look, you're probably right, he'll probably be undervalued and I bet you'll take him over this guy Breeze hall at 18.
Mike Wright
I'm out.
Jason Moore
Breece Hall, Jason's favorite player.
Mike Wright
The sad thing is he has been.
Jason Moore
Consistency rank of 20.
Andy Holloway
And I'm sad for you, he went.
Jason Moore
From 16 in the first half. That's, you know, we can live with that. To 26 inconsistency in the second half. After being drafted as the RB3, Breece hall was statistically, unequivocally one of the true busts of Fantasy Football in 2024.
Mike Wright
Yeah, I mean the jets team as a whole obviously was an implosion, a black hole, an albatross. This was a hugely disappointing season for A team that was, you know, thought to be vying for with the Bills and with everybody in that division for the division lead and it didn't work out. This team is a mess, the organization is a mess. Going forward. You would expect that Breeze hall is still going to be a centerpiece of the offense, that the new coordinator will get them more involved and yada, yada, there's going to be all sorts of hype, pieces of they got this new offensive lineman or we don't know what the jets future will look like. But we do know it's bad because it always is. I mean, it's just, it's like there's.
Jason Moore
No player that you have been more deeply destroyed by that has corrupted any possible unbiased analysis.
Mike Wright
Correct. I should not even be talking right now.
Jason Moore
I think the truth of Breeze hall is going to be relative to expectation of Breeze Hall. If you're drafting him in the first round as the RB3 and you get a consistency of 16, that's a bust. Right? So even that first half consistency on a, on a team that was like what, dead last in rush plays inside the five yard line. Breeze hall eye test film week to week. Okay. Player not great. Much better. When you. Jason is like sitting over there going, yeah, I know, that sucks.
Mike Wright
That's exactly what the biggest problem was. He wasn't special.
Jason Moore
He was special. When you gave him the football in the passing game, 10 yards, 7 yards down from the line of scrimmage in space and he got ahead of steam and he could make some things happen in the open field, but no, from behind the line of scrimmage with the offensive line, you know that he didn't do a lot of things that were like, you earned something more than what was given to you.
Mike Wright
Exactly. As a runner, I would agree with you. Whenever he gets the ball in space, he's, you know, watch out. But as a runner, breaking tackles, getting around edges, finding the right hole, all of that stuff. I was really frustrated watching guys like Chuba Hubbard and Chase Brown be true difference makers and then constantly watch Breece hall, who is.
Jason Moore
He's just a better.
Mike Wright
Like, I mean, coming into the NFL, he's a better.
Jason Moore
He's along for the ride.
Mike Wright
He's a better running back, he's a better athlete.
Andy Holloway
His schedule was real difficult. Jay.
Mike Wright
Oh, is. I assume this is not.
Andy Holloway
It was the second easiest strength of schedule for the running back. Like the jets were the. Which we all know strength of schedule is not everything. But when it lines up and a team gets hot like two Years ago with the Cowboys, you're like, no, this thing can really explode. The jets, we were just staring at it, waiting, waiting for this. The second half scheduled to be incredible. And Breece hall should take advantage of it. Braylon Allen, if Breeze hall misses time, should be able to take advantage of it. And the answer was no, Nobody.
Jason Moore
And we're two full years now from the acl. I don't know what the story is going to be when you write about Breeze hall five years from now, but.
Mike Wright
Running backs usually peak genuinely. They're. Whether it's athleticism or understanding of NFL offense, whatever. But running backs usually peak and have their best season at age 24. That will be the next season for Breece hall. The last two years. The jets do not run inside the five yard line. They're dead last second year in a row. So if the offense does better, if he has more opportunity inside the five yard line and he's coming into what should be his prime as a very young back, there are lots of reasons why it could really, really work. But among 46 running backs with 100 plus carries, he was 36. Enforced missed tackles per attempt. That's what I was talking about watching. You watch Chuba, you watch Chase Brown, these guys who have spent their careers being just a guy, you know, an untouched, just average player. And then you watch the flip where Breeze used to break all of that.
Jason Moore
And there was something exploding out of a cannon type of situation. You didn't. I believe you said the word albatross earlier to describe Bruce hall amongst the.
Mike Wright
No, the Jets.
Jason Moore
The Jets. I am just curious, what is. What do you think? The plural. How would you pluralize a bunch of Albatross?
Andy Holloway
Albatross.
Mike Wright
I. Albatross. I'm going to go. I'm going to go. Classic. I'm going to go. Albatrosses.
Andy Holloway
Albatrosses.
Jason Moore
Yeah, I would.
Mike Wright
Do you have the answer?
Jason Moore
No, I don't.
Mike Wright
Oh, I thought this was. I was waiting for the reveal. It's not albatrosses.
Jason Moore
It is. It is. Albatrosses.
Andy Holloway
That's such a weird word.
Jason Moore
I love it when the right answer is a dumb answer. I want to say albatri or something.
Mike Wright
Yeah, albatri again.
Jason Moore
All right. Najee Harris at 22.
Andy Holloway
We weren't even acknowledging.
Jason Moore
No, we were moving on. Najee. He had an airball before the show too. Najee Harris at 22, consistency of 27. J.K. dobbins at 23, consistency of 19. Rico Dowdle.
Mike Wright
Yeah.
Jason Moore
At 24, consistency rank of 29.
Andy Holloway
That was good.
Jason Moore
Kenneth Walker 26 consistency of 15. The truth of Kenneth Walker, he. It's a very TBD new offensive coordinator again. He and Charbonnet played better than he played last year.
Andy Holloway
He did, yeah.
Mike Wright
Yeah.
Andy Holloway
Towards. Especially towards the second half of the year. Ken Walker, it's like he's. He's not the same level of player of. Of Saquon Barkley, but like this. To me, I still believe in like the talent of the player. It seems like he's trying to do so much on every single carry and he does succeed. Like, Ken Walker gives you some highlights. Like, do you guys remember the front flip play where he was on a body and then flips off like, oh.
Mike Wright
Yeah, that was awesome.
Jason Moore
He can do things some players can't be. Can't get rid of that quality. And when they lose their athleticism, it hurts them even more.
Andy Holloway
Yeah.
Jason Moore
And if he is going to always be. I have to do everything player. You may see the continuation of what we've seen, which is year one, explosive 4.6 to carry. Year two, still explosive, 4.1 a carry. Year three, less explosive, 3.7 a carry. I mean, it has gone down.
Andy Holloway
He was. Yeah, yeah. The yards per carry because he's trying to hit home runs. But at the same time, that Stat J of 46 running backs with 100 carries, Ken Bone Walker was number one. Enforced miss tackle rate like he is. He is elusive, he is powerful.
Mike Wright
He just is.
Andy Holloway
He is not in a great situation and he is in a timeshare and.
Jason Moore
He keeps getting hurt.
Andy Holloway
He does. He is made out of wet newspapers. That's what his bones are made out of.
Jason Moore
Bleak calf, ankle IR with the calf. Kept trying to come back.
Mike Wright
I mean, I think I'm going to be in though. He's too, you know, mixing or Ken Bone next year.
Jason Moore
Oh, I still think I'm on the mix inside of that one.
Mike Wright
I'd probably be on the mix inside of that one.
Jason Moore
Connor or Ken Bone.
Mike Wright
Ken Bone.
Andy Holloway
Yeah. That one will go walk.
Jason Moore
See, I just think it's. If you get the right season and this team can perform, but I don't have confidence yet. And the quarterback, the head coach, well.
Andy Holloway
They got to fix that line.
Jason Moore
The offensive line.
Andy Holloway
Yeah, their offensive line.
Mike Wright
Per PFF's ranking 31st, 71% of his rushing yards came after contact. That just shows what a special player he is and what a bad offensive line he had. Yeah, if that's where you can.
Jason Moore
It also shows he had a lot of chances to try to break tackles because they were like permanent.
Mike Wright
Yeah, you Said it. If the right season happens and I'm not expecting like I wouldn't push my chips that the right season is going to happen, but it's one of those players like Jonathan Taylor where if the right season happens, he's, you know, a top five back and a total difference.
Andy Holloway
If it presents itself.
Mike Wright
And he started catching a ton of balls this year.
Jason Moore
So we got a Super bowl coming up, huh? We do a repeat of the one.
Mike Wright
Yeah. The one here in Arizona.
Jason Moore
We got any predictions? Are you. I'm obviously your Chiefs.
Mike Wright
You know, I mean, look, I called the Chiefs over the Eagles in the playoffs before.
Jason Moore
He definitely got the first down. He definitely got the first down.
Mike Wright
If your butt is what qualifies. Oh, it's not. It's the ball.
Jason Moore
It's your.
Mike Wright
Yeah. So then he did ball.
Andy Holloway
Did you see the angle.
Jason Moore
Did you see the angle though of the. The ref that was on the ball side.
Mike Wright
Yeah.
Jason Moore
Was running across the field for sure.
Mike Wright
The ref.
Jason Moore
And he had to get a cheese playback and he was way ahead of the line and they put where the back judge was that only had a booty shot.
Mike Wright
100%. You are correct. Watching it live. I thought he crossed and got there because of.
Jason Moore
You're just talking one side angle.
Mike Wright
The down the. Directly down the line angle where you can.
Andy Holloway
The best shot that we had.
Mike Wright
That's the one.
Jason Moore
The ball didn't make it over Deucers Alley. Do you think he got the first down? Raise your hand if you do.
Mike Wright
But you know their answers. So he.
Jason Moore
No. I only knew one. I only knew the Falcon definitely believed he got it.
Mike Wright
I was on a cruise.
Jason Moore
Just see it. Three for three. Three for three over there in Deuces Alley.
Mike Wright
Well, the heart wants what the heart wants. I wish it was first down.
Jason Moore
Yeah, well, you know, big Chiefs guy over here.
Andy Holloway
I shouldn't know the old catch. That one is more up in the air.
Jason Moore
The catch was not either. No, no, no, no. That one do.
Andy Holloway
People got mad at me.
Mike Wright
I loved your tweet.
Jason Moore
People got mad at me.
Mike Wright
I literally went to tweet the exact same thing that you tweeted and saw that you did it. And I didn't give you credit, but that was. I mean that was one.
Jason Moore
People were not ready to tweet.
Mike Wright
That tweet was.
Jason Moore
I just tweeted the Dalton Kincaid missed catch and said the refs called this incomplete and the whole world. I mean I had to block some people.
Mike Wright
Oh, man, that's a Good. That's. That's 10 out of 10 tweeting.
Jason Moore
And you know what? You see Philly firing the guns off in the crowd. Straight into the sky. Did you see that video?
Mike Wright
What?
Jason Moore
Freaking Philly. No, Philly, look, you're your own thing.
Mike Wright
Wait, like real guns?
Jason Moore
Yes.
Mike Wright
Dude, somebody's in psa.
Andy Holloway
Who's doing the security?
Mike Wright
Kill people.
Jason Moore
It's like a cartoon.
Mike Wright
No.
Jason Moore
Yes. Dude, look at this.
Andy Holloway
Yosemite Sam's in the.
Jason Moore
It was Yosemite Sam and Philly. A guy just pulls a gun out, throws it over his head and boom, boom, boom. Three into the sky.
Mike Wright
Wow.
Jason Moore
In the middle of a crowd. Can we not do that, please?
Andy Holloway
What?
Jason Moore
Freaking Philly. Oh, man, they're a passionate bunch. I don't know if you knew that.
Andy Holloway
Oh, this was not in the stadium.
Jason Moore
No.
Mike Wright
How would they get the gun in the stadium?
Andy Holloway
That's why I was asking who's doing the security?
Jason Moore
No, no, no, no.
Andy Holloway
Okay, that makes far more sense.
Jason Moore
It was the celebration. Let's celebrate with dignity and some self respect as we head into the Super Bowl.
Andy Holloway
Not Yosemite Sam.
Jason Moore
Oh, my gosh, no. Yosemite Sam. All right, we're wide Receiver Truth on Thursday. More news, more to talk about.
Mike Wright
Woo.
Jason Moore
It's been a good one. Take care.
Andy Holloway
Goodbye.
Mike Wright
Thank you for listening to another episode of the Fantasy Footballers Podcast. Join our fantasy football community on jointhefoot.com and follow us on Twitter Heffballers.
Episode: The TRUTH: RBs Part 2 + Late Round Hits
Release Date: January 28, 2025
Hosts: Andy Holloway, Jason Moore, Mike "The Fantasy Hitman" Wright
Podcast Title: Fantasy Footballers - Fantasy Football Podcast
The episode opens with the hosts delving into discussions surrounding the recent Super Bowl matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Buffalo Bills. Mike Wright expresses frustration over the Chiefs’ dominance, highlighting that only Chiefs fans supported them, whereas the Bills garnered support as underdogs.
Notable Quotes:
The hosts commend both teams, acknowledging their strengths and storylines, particularly focusing on Andy Reid’s effective play-calling for the Chiefs despite criticisms. They debate the pivotal plays that could have shifted the game's outcome, emphasizing the importance of strategic decision-making in high-stakes situations.
Notable Quote:
The conversation transitions to recent coaching changes across the NFL, with a significant focus on the Raiders hiring Pete Carroll as their new head coach. Despite Carroll’s age (73 years old), the trio discusses his potential impact and the stability he might bring to a previously tumultuous organization.
Notable Quotes:
The hosts also touch upon other coaching movements, such as the Cowboys hiring Brian Schottenheimer and the Jaguars’ potential hires, discussing the implications of these changes on team dynamics and future performance.
Notable Quotes:
The bulk of the episode centers around an in-depth analysis of various running backs, evaluating their consistency, fantasy performance, and overall value for the upcoming season. The hosts revisit and expand upon their earlier discussions from Part 1, focusing on players like Alvin Kamara, James Conner, Chase Brown, Chuba Hubbard, Joe Mixon, Jonathan Taylor, Aaron Jones, Breece Hall, Najee Harris, and others.
Key Highlights:
Alvin Kamara [29:36]: Despite injuries towards the end of the season, Kamara remained a consistent fantasy asset, primarily due to his high utilization in the passing game.
Notable Quote:
James Conner [33:30]: Conner showcased consistent performance but raised concerns about his long-term reliability compared to Kamara.
Notable Quote:
Chase Brown [36:53]: Drafted late in the rounds, Brown emerged as a valuable late-round hit, especially after Zach Moss’s injury opened up opportunities.
Notable Quote:
Chuba Hubbard [40:45]: Despite promising talent and a strong game log, Hubbard struggled with consistency and offensive supporting cast issues, leading to mixed fantasy results.
Notable Quote:
Joe Mixon [46:46]: Mixon's season was marked by a strong first half but a disappointing second half, influenced by team dynamics and injuries, positioning him as a borderline RB1/RB2.
Notable Quote:
Jonathan Taylor [51:56]: Taylor exhibited high potential but was hampered by inconsistent offensive support, drawing parallels to Saquon Barkley’s career trajectory.
Notable Quote:
Aaron Jones [55:02]: Jones showed inconsistency throughout the season, making him a challenging pick for fantasy managers despite flashes of brilliance.
Notable Quote:
Breece Hall [65:16]: Hall’s performance was deemed one of the biggest fantasy busts, attributed to team instability and offensive inefficiencies, despite his undeniable talent and athleticism.
Notable Quote:
Najee Harris & Others [71:18]: The analysis continued with other running backs, evaluating their season performance and future prospects, emphasizing the importance of situational factors and team support in determining fantasy value.
Overall Insights:
Consistency vs. Upside: The hosts highlight the delicate balance between a player's consistency and their potential upside, stressing that reliability often trumps sporadic high-scoring performances in fantasy leagues.
Team Dynamics: The importance of a team’s offensive strategy and support system is underscored as crucial factors influencing a running back’s fantasy output.
Injury Impact: Injuries play a significant role in a running back’s season performance, affecting their availability and overall contribution to the team and fantasy roster.
Conclusions:
Draft Strategy: Managers are advised to prioritize running backs who offer a balance of consistency and potential upside, while being cautious of those prone to injuries or reliant on unstable offensive units.
Waiver Wire Activity: The scarcity of impactful late-round hits this season suggests a need for managers to be proactive in managing their rosters and exploring waiver wire options.
Towards the end of the episode, the hosts briefly touch upon the upcoming Super Bowl, discussing potential plays and controversial calls that could impact the game’s outcome. They emphasize the passionate fan response and the unpredictability inherent in such high-stakes matches.
Notable Quotes:
The episode concludes with a teaser for the next Running Receiver Truth segment and a lighthearted exchange about fan reactions and game highlights.
Running Back Evaluation: The episode provides a comprehensive analysis of various running backs, emphasizing the importance of consistency, team support, and injury management in determining fantasy value.
Coaching Stability: The discussion on coaching changes highlights how leadership stability can influence team performance and, by extension, player productivity.
Fantasy Strategy: Managers should focus on drafting running backs who not only show consistent performance but also operate within robust offensive frameworks to maximize their fantasy potential.
This detailed summary encapsulates the core discussions, insights, and conclusions presented in the Fantasy Footballers podcast episode, offering an informative overview for those who haven't tuned in.